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000
FXUS65 KVEF 310946
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
246 AM PDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH WINDS
BECOMING GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A COOLING TREND BEGINS
WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY AS A SERIES OF WEATHER
DISTURBANCES BRINGS COOLER AIR TO THE REGION. THERE WILL BE PERIODS
OF GUSTY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS WEEK AND EVEN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

AN UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES THROUGH MUCH
OF THE THE SHORT TERM AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH SETTLES OVER THE WEST
AND A COUPLE OF ENERGETIC EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES PASS BY OR ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA.

THE FIRST WAVE REACHES THE SOUTHERN OREGON/NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST
LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN MOVES EAST THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT
BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. AS IT MAKES IT`S CLOSEST APPROACH LATER
TODAY, WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH AND BECOME GUSTY. THE
STRONGEST WINDS ARE FORECAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER
THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WHERE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH ADVISORY
LEVELS. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS REGION EFFECTIVE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE SECOND SHORTWAVE FOLLOWS ON THE HEELS OF THE FIRST AND TAKES A
MORE SOUTHEAST TRAJECTORY...MOVING FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THIS WILL
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA BUT THEY CURRENTLY
LOOK SUB-ADVISORY LEVEL. THIS SECOND WAVE WILL ALSO BRING MORE
MOISTURE WITH IT IN THE FORM OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER TO
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. EVEN A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY
OVER NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS. AS
THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST THURSDAY, A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PASS
THROUGH THE AREA RESULTING IN GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER AS THE WEEK GOES ON AS HIGHS
DROP FROM NEAR 90 DEGREES TODAY IN LAS VEGAS TO NEAR 80 WEDNESDAY
AND INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S ON THURSDAY. NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ARE IN THE MID 70S. THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
WILL ALSO FEEL COOLER WITH LOWS DIPPING DOWN TO NEAR 50 BY FRIDAY
MORNING.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE LONG TERM PERIOD BEGINS FRIDAY MORNING WITH LINGERING ENERGY
FROM A SHORTWAVE EXITING TO THE EAST. THIS WILL YIELD MAINLY HIGH
CLOUDS AND WILL CAUSE GUSTY WINDS TO HANG AROUND THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT IN HAVING A SHORTWAVE RIDGE QUICKLY TRANSLATE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN OVERNIGHT FRIDAY BEFORE SOUTHWEST FLOW TAKES CONTROL
AGAIN BY SATURDAY MORNING AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.

WHILE SOME DISCREPANCIES STILL EXIST BETWEEN MODEL
SOLUTIONS...MAINLY DEALING WITH THE FINER DETAILS OF TIMING AND
AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH...MODEL GUIDANCE AT LEAST HAS A GENERAL IDEA ON
HANDLING THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM TONIGHT. THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS OF
THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE ACTUALLY HINTED AT SOME KIND OF
CONSISTENCY...AND BOTH SOLUTIONS ARE BEGINNING TO CONVERGE ON
SOMEWHAT SIMILAR SOLUTIONS WITH RESPECT TO TIMING AND
AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH. AT THIS TIME...BOTH MODEL SOLUTIONS DEPICT A
LESS AMPLIFIED TROUGH WITH THE LOW CENTER ITSELF MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GREAT BASIN/NORTHWEST PLATEAU REGION SUNDAY-MONDAY...WHILE
THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED TROUGH AXIS EMITS SEVERAL ROUNDS
OF SHORTWAVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT.
WITH THIS SYSTEM LOOKING DRY LIKE ITS PREDECESSORS...POPS ARE NOT A
GREAT CONCERN AT THIS TIME. STRONG...GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL
BE A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT SATURDAY AND
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY...WHERE ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION...PARTICULARLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTY. MODEL GUIDANCE KEEPS THIS SYSTEM AROUND THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OR TWO OF WIND POSSIBLE BEFORE
THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURE WISE...WE WILL FINALLY FEEL AS IF WE ARE IN EARLY APRIL
RATHER THAN LATE MAY...AS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AROUND AVERAGE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL LIKELY BE ON
SATURDAY WHERE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND BREEZY WEST TO SOUTHWEST
SURFACE WINDS WILL HELP BUMP TEMPERATURES UP TO 3-5 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO IMMEDIATELY COOL DOWN TO AVERAGE
SUNDAY WITH THE ONSET OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS LOOK TO STAY IN
CONTROL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING. THE BIG PUSH OF
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND LOOKS TO ARRIVE AROUND 20Z...WITH WINDS
INCREASING DURING THE EARLY TO MID-AFTERNOON HOURS. GUSTS OF 20-30
KTS ARE EXPECTED AT THE TERMINAL THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL GIVE WAY TO VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDS TUESDAY. DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS WILL GIVE WAY TO TO STRONG
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS
GENERALLY IN THE 20-30 KT RANGE...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KDAG WHERE
GUSTS BETWEEN 30-40 KT ARE EXPECTED. NORTHERN TAF SITES...INCLUDING
KBIH AND KVGT WILL EXPERIENCE A NORTHERLY SHIFT IN WIND AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THOSE AREAS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT
RESPECTIVELY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SALMEN
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER














000
FXUS65 KVEF 310946
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
246 AM PDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH WINDS
BECOMING GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A COOLING TREND BEGINS
WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY AS A SERIES OF WEATHER
DISTURBANCES BRINGS COOLER AIR TO THE REGION. THERE WILL BE PERIODS
OF GUSTY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS WEEK AND EVEN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

AN UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES THROUGH MUCH
OF THE THE SHORT TERM AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH SETTLES OVER THE WEST
AND A COUPLE OF ENERGETIC EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES PASS BY OR ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA.

THE FIRST WAVE REACHES THE SOUTHERN OREGON/NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST
LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN MOVES EAST THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT
BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. AS IT MAKES IT`S CLOSEST APPROACH LATER
TODAY, WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH AND BECOME GUSTY. THE
STRONGEST WINDS ARE FORECAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER
THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WHERE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH ADVISORY
LEVELS. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS REGION EFFECTIVE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE SECOND SHORTWAVE FOLLOWS ON THE HEELS OF THE FIRST AND TAKES A
MORE SOUTHEAST TRAJECTORY...MOVING FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THIS WILL
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA BUT THEY CURRENTLY
LOOK SUB-ADVISORY LEVEL. THIS SECOND WAVE WILL ALSO BRING MORE
MOISTURE WITH IT IN THE FORM OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER TO
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. EVEN A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY
OVER NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS. AS
THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST THURSDAY, A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PASS
THROUGH THE AREA RESULTING IN GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER AS THE WEEK GOES ON AS HIGHS
DROP FROM NEAR 90 DEGREES TODAY IN LAS VEGAS TO NEAR 80 WEDNESDAY
AND INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S ON THURSDAY. NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ARE IN THE MID 70S. THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
WILL ALSO FEEL COOLER WITH LOWS DIPPING DOWN TO NEAR 50 BY FRIDAY
MORNING.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE LONG TERM PERIOD BEGINS FRIDAY MORNING WITH LINGERING ENERGY
FROM A SHORTWAVE EXITING TO THE EAST. THIS WILL YIELD MAINLY HIGH
CLOUDS AND WILL CAUSE GUSTY WINDS TO HANG AROUND THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT IN HAVING A SHORTWAVE RIDGE QUICKLY TRANSLATE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN OVERNIGHT FRIDAY BEFORE SOUTHWEST FLOW TAKES CONTROL
AGAIN BY SATURDAY MORNING AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.

WHILE SOME DISCREPANCIES STILL EXIST BETWEEN MODEL
SOLUTIONS...MAINLY DEALING WITH THE FINER DETAILS OF TIMING AND
AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH...MODEL GUIDANCE AT LEAST HAS A GENERAL IDEA ON
HANDLING THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM TONIGHT. THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS OF
THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE ACTUALLY HINTED AT SOME KIND OF
CONSISTENCY...AND BOTH SOLUTIONS ARE BEGINNING TO CONVERGE ON
SOMEWHAT SIMILAR SOLUTIONS WITH RESPECT TO TIMING AND
AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH. AT THIS TIME...BOTH MODEL SOLUTIONS DEPICT A
LESS AMPLIFIED TROUGH WITH THE LOW CENTER ITSELF MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GREAT BASIN/NORTHWEST PLATEAU REGION SUNDAY-MONDAY...WHILE
THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED TROUGH AXIS EMITS SEVERAL ROUNDS
OF SHORTWAVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT.
WITH THIS SYSTEM LOOKING DRY LIKE ITS PREDECESSORS...POPS ARE NOT A
GREAT CONCERN AT THIS TIME. STRONG...GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL
BE A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT SATURDAY AND
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY...WHERE ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION...PARTICULARLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTY. MODEL GUIDANCE KEEPS THIS SYSTEM AROUND THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OR TWO OF WIND POSSIBLE BEFORE
THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURE WISE...WE WILL FINALLY FEEL AS IF WE ARE IN EARLY APRIL
RATHER THAN LATE MAY...AS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AROUND AVERAGE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL LIKELY BE ON
SATURDAY WHERE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND BREEZY WEST TO SOUTHWEST
SURFACE WINDS WILL HELP BUMP TEMPERATURES UP TO 3-5 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO IMMEDIATELY COOL DOWN TO AVERAGE
SUNDAY WITH THE ONSET OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS LOOK TO STAY IN
CONTROL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING. THE BIG PUSH OF
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND LOOKS TO ARRIVE AROUND 20Z...WITH WINDS
INCREASING DURING THE EARLY TO MID-AFTERNOON HOURS. GUSTS OF 20-30
KTS ARE EXPECTED AT THE TERMINAL THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL GIVE WAY TO VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDS TUESDAY. DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS WILL GIVE WAY TO TO STRONG
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS
GENERALLY IN THE 20-30 KT RANGE...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KDAG WHERE
GUSTS BETWEEN 30-40 KT ARE EXPECTED. NORTHERN TAF SITES...INCLUDING
KBIH AND KVGT WILL EXPERIENCE A NORTHERLY SHIFT IN WIND AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THOSE AREAS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT
RESPECTIVELY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SALMEN
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER














000
FXUS65 KVEF 310946
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
246 AM PDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH WINDS
BECOMING GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A COOLING TREND BEGINS
WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY AS A SERIES OF WEATHER
DISTURBANCES BRINGS COOLER AIR TO THE REGION. THERE WILL BE PERIODS
OF GUSTY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS WEEK AND EVEN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

AN UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES THROUGH MUCH
OF THE THE SHORT TERM AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH SETTLES OVER THE WEST
AND A COUPLE OF ENERGETIC EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES PASS BY OR ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA.

THE FIRST WAVE REACHES THE SOUTHERN OREGON/NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST
LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN MOVES EAST THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT
BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. AS IT MAKES IT`S CLOSEST APPROACH LATER
TODAY, WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH AND BECOME GUSTY. THE
STRONGEST WINDS ARE FORECAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER
THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WHERE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH ADVISORY
LEVELS. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS REGION EFFECTIVE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE SECOND SHORTWAVE FOLLOWS ON THE HEELS OF THE FIRST AND TAKES A
MORE SOUTHEAST TRAJECTORY...MOVING FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THIS WILL
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA BUT THEY CURRENTLY
LOOK SUB-ADVISORY LEVEL. THIS SECOND WAVE WILL ALSO BRING MORE
MOISTURE WITH IT IN THE FORM OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER TO
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. EVEN A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY
OVER NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS. AS
THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST THURSDAY, A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PASS
THROUGH THE AREA RESULTING IN GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER AS THE WEEK GOES ON AS HIGHS
DROP FROM NEAR 90 DEGREES TODAY IN LAS VEGAS TO NEAR 80 WEDNESDAY
AND INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S ON THURSDAY. NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ARE IN THE MID 70S. THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
WILL ALSO FEEL COOLER WITH LOWS DIPPING DOWN TO NEAR 50 BY FRIDAY
MORNING.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE LONG TERM PERIOD BEGINS FRIDAY MORNING WITH LINGERING ENERGY
FROM A SHORTWAVE EXITING TO THE EAST. THIS WILL YIELD MAINLY HIGH
CLOUDS AND WILL CAUSE GUSTY WINDS TO HANG AROUND THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT IN HAVING A SHORTWAVE RIDGE QUICKLY TRANSLATE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN OVERNIGHT FRIDAY BEFORE SOUTHWEST FLOW TAKES CONTROL
AGAIN BY SATURDAY MORNING AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.

WHILE SOME DISCREPANCIES STILL EXIST BETWEEN MODEL
SOLUTIONS...MAINLY DEALING WITH THE FINER DETAILS OF TIMING AND
AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH...MODEL GUIDANCE AT LEAST HAS A GENERAL IDEA ON
HANDLING THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM TONIGHT. THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS OF
THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE ACTUALLY HINTED AT SOME KIND OF
CONSISTENCY...AND BOTH SOLUTIONS ARE BEGINNING TO CONVERGE ON
SOMEWHAT SIMILAR SOLUTIONS WITH RESPECT TO TIMING AND
AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH. AT THIS TIME...BOTH MODEL SOLUTIONS DEPICT A
LESS AMPLIFIED TROUGH WITH THE LOW CENTER ITSELF MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GREAT BASIN/NORTHWEST PLATEAU REGION SUNDAY-MONDAY...WHILE
THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED TROUGH AXIS EMITS SEVERAL ROUNDS
OF SHORTWAVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT.
WITH THIS SYSTEM LOOKING DRY LIKE ITS PREDECESSORS...POPS ARE NOT A
GREAT CONCERN AT THIS TIME. STRONG...GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL
BE A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT SATURDAY AND
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY...WHERE ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION...PARTICULARLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTY. MODEL GUIDANCE KEEPS THIS SYSTEM AROUND THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OR TWO OF WIND POSSIBLE BEFORE
THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURE WISE...WE WILL FINALLY FEEL AS IF WE ARE IN EARLY APRIL
RATHER THAN LATE MAY...AS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AROUND AVERAGE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL LIKELY BE ON
SATURDAY WHERE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND BREEZY WEST TO SOUTHWEST
SURFACE WINDS WILL HELP BUMP TEMPERATURES UP TO 3-5 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO IMMEDIATELY COOL DOWN TO AVERAGE
SUNDAY WITH THE ONSET OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS LOOK TO STAY IN
CONTROL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING. THE BIG PUSH OF
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND LOOKS TO ARRIVE AROUND 20Z...WITH WINDS
INCREASING DURING THE EARLY TO MID-AFTERNOON HOURS. GUSTS OF 20-30
KTS ARE EXPECTED AT THE TERMINAL THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL GIVE WAY TO VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDS TUESDAY. DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS WILL GIVE WAY TO TO STRONG
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS
GENERALLY IN THE 20-30 KT RANGE...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KDAG WHERE
GUSTS BETWEEN 30-40 KT ARE EXPECTED. NORTHERN TAF SITES...INCLUDING
KBIH AND KVGT WILL EXPERIENCE A NORTHERLY SHIFT IN WIND AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THOSE AREAS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT
RESPECTIVELY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SALMEN
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER















000
FXUS65 KVEF 310946
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
246 AM PDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.SYNOPSIS...WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY WITH WINDS
BECOMING GUSTY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A COOLING TREND BEGINS
WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY AS A SERIES OF WEATHER
DISTURBANCES BRINGS COOLER AIR TO THE REGION. THERE WILL BE PERIODS
OF GUSTY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS WEEK AND EVEN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.

AN UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP ACROSS THE WESTERN STATES THROUGH MUCH
OF THE THE SHORT TERM AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH SETTLES OVER THE WEST
AND A COUPLE OF ENERGETIC EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES PASS BY OR ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA.

THE FIRST WAVE REACHES THE SOUTHERN OREGON/NORTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST
LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN MOVES EAST THROUGH THE NORTHERN GREAT
BASIN AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. AS IT MAKES IT`S CLOSEST APPROACH LATER
TODAY, WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH AND BECOME GUSTY. THE
STRONGEST WINDS ARE FORECAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT OVER
THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WHERE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH ADVISORY
LEVELS. A WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THIS REGION EFFECTIVE
LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

THE SECOND SHORTWAVE FOLLOWS ON THE HEELS OF THE FIRST AND TAKES A
MORE SOUTHEAST TRAJECTORY...MOVING FROM THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST INTO
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. THIS WILL
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA BUT THEY CURRENTLY
LOOK SUB-ADVISORY LEVEL. THIS SECOND WAVE WILL ALSO BRING MORE
MOISTURE WITH IT IN THE FORM OF MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUD COVER TO
PORTIONS OF THE AREA. EVEN A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE...PRIMARILY
OVER NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY WITH LIGHT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS. AS
THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST THURSDAY, A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PASS
THROUGH THE AREA RESULTING IN GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE NOTICEABLY COOLER AS THE WEEK GOES ON AS HIGHS
DROP FROM NEAR 90 DEGREES TODAY IN LAS VEGAS TO NEAR 80 WEDNESDAY
AND INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S ON THURSDAY. NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ARE IN THE MID 70S. THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
WILL ALSO FEEL COOLER WITH LOWS DIPPING DOWN TO NEAR 50 BY FRIDAY
MORNING.

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE LONG TERM PERIOD BEGINS FRIDAY MORNING WITH LINGERING ENERGY
FROM A SHORTWAVE EXITING TO THE EAST. THIS WILL YIELD MAINLY HIGH
CLOUDS AND WILL CAUSE GUSTY WINDS TO HANG AROUND THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT IN HAVING A SHORTWAVE RIDGE QUICKLY TRANSLATE ACROSS THE
GREAT BASIN OVERNIGHT FRIDAY BEFORE SOUTHWEST FLOW TAKES CONTROL
AGAIN BY SATURDAY MORNING AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.

WHILE SOME DISCREPANCIES STILL EXIST BETWEEN MODEL
SOLUTIONS...MAINLY DEALING WITH THE FINER DETAILS OF TIMING AND
AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH...MODEL GUIDANCE AT LEAST HAS A GENERAL IDEA ON
HANDLING THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM TONIGHT. THE LAST SEVERAL RUNS OF
THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE ACTUALLY HINTED AT SOME KIND OF
CONSISTENCY...AND BOTH SOLUTIONS ARE BEGINNING TO CONVERGE ON
SOMEWHAT SIMILAR SOLUTIONS WITH RESPECT TO TIMING AND
AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH. AT THIS TIME...BOTH MODEL SOLUTIONS DEPICT A
LESS AMPLIFIED TROUGH WITH THE LOW CENTER ITSELF MOVING ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GREAT BASIN/NORTHWEST PLATEAU REGION SUNDAY-MONDAY...WHILE
THE NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ORIENTED TROUGH AXIS EMITS SEVERAL ROUNDS
OF SHORTWAVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AND MOJAVE DESERT.
WITH THIS SYSTEM LOOKING DRY LIKE ITS PREDECESSORS...POPS ARE NOT A
GREAT CONCERN AT THIS TIME. STRONG...GUSTY SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL
BE A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT SATURDAY AND
ESPECIALLY SUNDAY...WHERE ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT OUT OF THE
QUESTION...PARTICULARLY ACROSS WESTERN PORTIONS OF SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTY. MODEL GUIDANCE KEEPS THIS SYSTEM AROUND THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH AN ADDITIONAL ROUND OR TWO OF WIND POSSIBLE BEFORE
THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE AREA.

TEMPERATURE WISE...WE WILL FINALLY FEEL AS IF WE ARE IN EARLY APRIL
RATHER THAN LATE MAY...AS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AROUND AVERAGE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL LIKELY BE ON
SATURDAY WHERE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND BREEZY WEST TO SOUTHWEST
SURFACE WINDS WILL HELP BUMP TEMPERATURES UP TO 3-5 DEGREES ABOVE
AVERAGE. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO IMMEDIATELY COOL DOWN TO AVERAGE
SUNDAY WITH THE ONSET OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS LOOK TO STAY IN
CONTROL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE MORNING. THE BIG PUSH OF
SOUTHWESTERLY WIND LOOKS TO ARRIVE AROUND 20Z...WITH WINDS
INCREASING DURING THE EARLY TO MID-AFTERNOON HOURS. GUSTS OF 20-30
KTS ARE EXPECTED AT THE TERMINAL THROUGH THE EVENING AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WILL GIVE WAY TO VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDS TUESDAY. DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS WILL GIVE WAY TO TO STRONG
SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS
GENERALLY IN THE 20-30 KT RANGE...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF KDAG WHERE
GUSTS BETWEEN 30-40 KT ARE EXPECTED. NORTHERN TAF SITES...INCLUDING
KBIH AND KVGT WILL EXPERIENCE A NORTHERLY SHIFT IN WIND AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES THROUGH THOSE AREAS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT
RESPECTIVELY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SALMEN
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER















000
FXUS65 KVEF 310339 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
839 PM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
TUESDAY BEFORE A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES BRINGS PERIODS OF GUSTY
WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF LINCOLN
COUNTY WITH THESE DISTURBANCES.
&&

.UPDATE...INHERITED FORECAST LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE SO NO UPDATES
NEEDED THIS EVENING. PRIMARY FOCUS FOR THE OVERNIGHT FORECAST
PACKAGE WILL BE TUESDAY WINDS AND ANY POTENTIAL IMPACTS.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...SOUTHWEST WINDS GENERALLY 7-10 KTS
OVERNIGHT THEN INCREASING TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS
EXPECTED AT THE TERMINAL. VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE TONIGHT WITH TYPICAL
DIURNAL WINDS AT MOST TAF SITES. SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING
20-30 KTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION BY TUESDAY
EVENING...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SIERRA AND
WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...142 PM PDT...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TRANQUIL BUT WARM CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH
JUST A FEW FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. TOMORROW AN
APPROACHING WAVE WILL BRING ENHANCED SOUTHWEST WINDS TO MUCH OF THE
REGION. THE STRONGEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY AND THE SIERRA. DID CONSIDER BOTH FIRE WEATHER AND
WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS...BUT AT THE MOMENT THE DURATION AND
STRENGTH OF THE WINDS WITH THIS EVENT LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA.
THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH OVERNIGHT AS THE NEXT ROUND OF
MODELS BECOME AVAILABLE...ESPECIALLY WITH THE DRY FUELS REPORTED IN
THE OWENS VALLEY AND SIERRA.

A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL TURN WINDS TO A NORTHERLY
DIRECTION TUESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE NEXT
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE WILL BE QUICK TO MOVE IN LATER ON
WEDNESDAY...SO IT`S UNLIKELY THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL LAST MUCH
MORE THAN 24 HOURS IN ANY GIVEN LOCATION...NOR WILL THEY HAVE A
CHANCE TO STRENGTH TO CRITICAL LEVELS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY.

THIS NEXT WAVE MOVING IN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY APPEARS A BIT MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND LESS AMPLIFIED THAN PRIOR RUNS INDICATED. AS A
RESULT I DID NUDGE WINDS DOWN A TOUCH FOR BOTH DAYS. WE WILL NEED
TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL WIND HIGHLIGHTS...BUT AT THIS
TIME IT ALSO LOOKS TO BE JUST BELOW CRITERIA. WINDS WILL ALSO TURN
TO THE NORTH THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS SECOND
WAVE...AND THIS TIME SHOULD MATERIALIZE INTO GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE
RIVER VALLEY BY FRIDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY BEFORE DROPPING
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS. THIS EQUATES TO
HIGHS NEAR 90 IN LAS VEGAS TUESDAY...DROPPING INTO THE LOW 70`S BY
THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO
THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM
MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL
SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR
A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE
ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...SALMEN

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











000
FXUS65 KVEF 310339 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
839 PM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
TUESDAY BEFORE A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES BRINGS PERIODS OF GUSTY
WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF LINCOLN
COUNTY WITH THESE DISTURBANCES.
&&

.UPDATE...INHERITED FORECAST LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE SO NO UPDATES
NEEDED THIS EVENING. PRIMARY FOCUS FOR THE OVERNIGHT FORECAST
PACKAGE WILL BE TUESDAY WINDS AND ANY POTENTIAL IMPACTS.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...SOUTHWEST WINDS GENERALLY 7-10 KTS
OVERNIGHT THEN INCREASING TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS
EXPECTED AT THE TERMINAL. VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE TONIGHT WITH TYPICAL
DIURNAL WINDS AT MOST TAF SITES. SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING
20-30 KTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION BY TUESDAY
EVENING...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED ACROSS THE SIERRA AND
WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...142 PM PDT...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TRANQUIL BUT WARM CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH
JUST A FEW FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. TOMORROW AN
APPROACHING WAVE WILL BRING ENHANCED SOUTHWEST WINDS TO MUCH OF THE
REGION. THE STRONGEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY AND THE SIERRA. DID CONSIDER BOTH FIRE WEATHER AND
WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS...BUT AT THE MOMENT THE DURATION AND
STRENGTH OF THE WINDS WITH THIS EVENT LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA.
THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH OVERNIGHT AS THE NEXT ROUND OF
MODELS BECOME AVAILABLE...ESPECIALLY WITH THE DRY FUELS REPORTED IN
THE OWENS VALLEY AND SIERRA.

A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL TURN WINDS TO A NORTHERLY
DIRECTION TUESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE NEXT
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE WILL BE QUICK TO MOVE IN LATER ON
WEDNESDAY...SO IT`S UNLIKELY THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL LAST MUCH
MORE THAN 24 HOURS IN ANY GIVEN LOCATION...NOR WILL THEY HAVE A
CHANCE TO STRENGTH TO CRITICAL LEVELS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY.

THIS NEXT WAVE MOVING IN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY APPEARS A BIT MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND LESS AMPLIFIED THAN PRIOR RUNS INDICATED. AS A
RESULT I DID NUDGE WINDS DOWN A TOUCH FOR BOTH DAYS. WE WILL NEED
TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL WIND HIGHLIGHTS...BUT AT THIS
TIME IT ALSO LOOKS TO BE JUST BELOW CRITERIA. WINDS WILL ALSO TURN
TO THE NORTH THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS SECOND
WAVE...AND THIS TIME SHOULD MATERIALIZE INTO GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE
RIVER VALLEY BY FRIDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY BEFORE DROPPING
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS. THIS EQUATES TO
HIGHS NEAR 90 IN LAS VEGAS TUESDAY...DROPPING INTO THE LOW 70`S BY
THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO
THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM
MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL
SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR
A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE
ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...SALMEN

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER












000
FXUS65 KVEF 302042
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
142 PM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
TUESDAY BEFORE A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES BRINGS PERIODS OF GUSTY
WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF LINCOLN
COUNTY WITH THESE DISTURBANCES.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TRANQUIL BUT WARM CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH
JUST A FEW FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. TOMORROW AN
APPROACHING WAVE WILL BRING ENHANCED SOUTHWEST WINDS TO MUCH OF THE
REGION. THE STRONGEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY AND THE SIERRA. DID CONSIDER BOTH FIRE WEATHER AND
WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS...BUT AT THE MOMENT THE DURATION AND
STRENGTH OF THE WINDS WITH THIS EVENT LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA.
THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH OVERNIGHT AS THE NEXT ROUND OF
MODELS BECOME AVAILABLE...ESPECIALLY WITH THE DRY FUELS REPORTED IN
THE OWENS VALLEY AND SIERRA.

A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL TURN WINDS TO A NORTHERLY
DIRECTION TUESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE NEXT
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE WILL BE QUICK TO MOVE IN LATER ON
WEDNESDAY...SO IT`S UNLIKELY THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL LAST MUCH
MORE THAN 24 HOURS IN ANY GIVEN LOCATION...NOR WILL THEY HAVE A
CHANCE TO STRENGTH TO CRITICAL LEVELS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY.

THIS NEXT WAVE MOVING IN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY APPEARS A BIT MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND LESS AMPLIFIED THAN PRIOR RUNS INDICATED. AS A
RESULT I DID NUDGE WINDS DOWN A TOUCH FOR BOTH DAYS. WE WILL NEED
TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL WIND HIGHLIGHTS...BUT AT THIS
TIME IT ALSO LOOKS TO BE JUST BELOW CRITERIA. WINDS WILL ALSO TURN
TO THE NORTH THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS SECOND
WAVE...AND THIS TIME SHOULD MATERIALIZE INTO GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE
RIVER VALLEY BY FRIDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY BEFORE DROPPING
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS. THIS EQUATES TO
HIGHS NEAR 90 IN LAS VEGAS TUESDAY...DROPPING INTO THE LOW 70`S BY
THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO
THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM
MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL
SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR
A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE
ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED AT THE
TERMINAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH LIGHT VARIABLE WIND THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY FAVORING AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS GUSTING 20-30 KTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT THE TERMINAL
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...VFR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND
CONTINUING AT MOST TAF SITES UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TODAY.
SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING 20-30 KTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION BY TUESDAY EVENING...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SIERRA AND EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 302042
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
142 PM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
TUESDAY BEFORE A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES BRINGS PERIODS OF GUSTY
WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF LINCOLN
COUNTY WITH THESE DISTURBANCES.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TRANQUIL BUT WARM CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH
JUST A FEW FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. TOMORROW AN
APPROACHING WAVE WILL BRING ENHANCED SOUTHWEST WINDS TO MUCH OF THE
REGION. THE STRONGEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY AND THE SIERRA. DID CONSIDER BOTH FIRE WEATHER AND
WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS...BUT AT THE MOMENT THE DURATION AND
STRENGTH OF THE WINDS WITH THIS EVENT LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA.
THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH OVERNIGHT AS THE NEXT ROUND OF
MODELS BECOME AVAILABLE...ESPECIALLY WITH THE DRY FUELS REPORTED IN
THE OWENS VALLEY AND SIERRA.

A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL TURN WINDS TO A NORTHERLY
DIRECTION TUESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE NEXT
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE WILL BE QUICK TO MOVE IN LATER ON
WEDNESDAY...SO IT`S UNLIKELY THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL LAST MUCH
MORE THAN 24 HOURS IN ANY GIVEN LOCATION...NOR WILL THEY HAVE A
CHANCE TO STRENGTH TO CRITICAL LEVELS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY.

THIS NEXT WAVE MOVING IN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY APPEARS A BIT MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND LESS AMPLIFIED THAN PRIOR RUNS INDICATED. AS A
RESULT I DID NUDGE WINDS DOWN A TOUCH FOR BOTH DAYS. WE WILL NEED
TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL WIND HIGHLIGHTS...BUT AT THIS
TIME IT ALSO LOOKS TO BE JUST BELOW CRITERIA. WINDS WILL ALSO TURN
TO THE NORTH THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS SECOND
WAVE...AND THIS TIME SHOULD MATERIALIZE INTO GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE
RIVER VALLEY BY FRIDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY BEFORE DROPPING
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS. THIS EQUATES TO
HIGHS NEAR 90 IN LAS VEGAS TUESDAY...DROPPING INTO THE LOW 70`S BY
THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO
THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM
MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL
SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR
A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE
ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED AT THE
TERMINAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH LIGHT VARIABLE WIND THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY FAVORING AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS GUSTING 20-30 KTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT THE TERMINAL
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...VFR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND
CONTINUING AT MOST TAF SITES UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TODAY.
SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING 20-30 KTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION BY TUESDAY EVENING...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SIERRA AND EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER









000
FXUS65 KVEF 302042
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
142 PM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
TUESDAY BEFORE A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES BRINGS PERIODS OF GUSTY
WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF LINCOLN
COUNTY WITH THESE DISTURBANCES.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

TRANQUIL BUT WARM CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY WITH
JUST A FEW FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. TOMORROW AN
APPROACHING WAVE WILL BRING ENHANCED SOUTHWEST WINDS TO MUCH OF THE
REGION. THE STRONGEST WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY AND THE SIERRA. DID CONSIDER BOTH FIRE WEATHER AND
WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS...BUT AT THE MOMENT THE DURATION AND
STRENGTH OF THE WINDS WITH THIS EVENT LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW CRITERIA.
THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH OVERNIGHT AS THE NEXT ROUND OF
MODELS BECOME AVAILABLE...ESPECIALLY WITH THE DRY FUELS REPORTED IN
THE OWENS VALLEY AND SIERRA.

A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL TURN WINDS TO A NORTHERLY
DIRECTION TUESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE NEXT
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE WILL BE QUICK TO MOVE IN LATER ON
WEDNESDAY...SO IT`S UNLIKELY THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL LAST MUCH
MORE THAN 24 HOURS IN ANY GIVEN LOCATION...NOR WILL THEY HAVE A
CHANCE TO STRENGTH TO CRITICAL LEVELS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER
VALLEY.

THIS NEXT WAVE MOVING IN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY APPEARS A BIT MORE
PROGRESSIVE AND LESS AMPLIFIED THAN PRIOR RUNS INDICATED. AS A
RESULT I DID NUDGE WINDS DOWN A TOUCH FOR BOTH DAYS. WE WILL NEED
TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR POTENTIAL WIND HIGHLIGHTS...BUT AT THIS
TIME IT ALSO LOOKS TO BE JUST BELOW CRITERIA. WINDS WILL ALSO TURN
TO THE NORTH THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS SECOND
WAVE...AND THIS TIME SHOULD MATERIALIZE INTO GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE
RIVER VALLEY BY FRIDAY.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY BEFORE DROPPING
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BACK TO NEAR NORMAL LEVELS. THIS EQUATES TO
HIGHS NEAR 90 IN LAS VEGAS TUESDAY...DROPPING INTO THE LOW 70`S BY
THURSDAY.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO
THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM. DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM
MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL
SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT
DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR
A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE
ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED AT THE
TERMINAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH LIGHT VARIABLE WIND THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY FAVORING AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS GUSTING 20-30 KTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AT THE TERMINAL
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...VFR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND
CONTINUING AT MOST TAF SITES UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TODAY.
SOUTH/SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS GUSTING 20-30 KTS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION BY TUESDAY EVENING...WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SIERRA AND EASTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
LONG TERM...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 301529 CCA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
816 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE TUESDAY BEFORE THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF STORMS BRINGS
PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES TODAY
AND TUESDAY ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...BUT BY THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND NORMAL. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS.
&&

.UPDATE...CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR WITH HIGHS IN LAS
VEGAS IN THE UPPER 80`S TO LOW 90`S. THERE WILL BE A FEW CLOUDS
AROUND BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SENSIBLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. THE
CURRENT FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL AND NO ADDITIONAL UPDATES PLANNED
THIS MORNING.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
300 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY PROVIDING SOME
VERY WEAK INSTABILITY TO THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. MOISTURE WILL BE EVEN MORE LIMITED TODAY THAN SUNDAY AND ITS
LIKELY THAT ONLY THE SIERRA WILL SEE SOME CUMULUS TODAY WITH MAINLY
A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL JUST SEE A FEW
HIGH CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN REMAIN NEAR RECORD
TERRITORY AND ITS LIKELY THAT A FEW SITES WILL BREAK HIGH
TEMPERATURES RECORDS AGAIN TODAY. A STRONGER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BRING AN
INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE REGION. THE RESULT WILL
BE AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEEING WINDS IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. A FEW
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WILL SEE WINDS IN
THE 20-30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. A FEW MORE RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT ITS EXPECTED TO
BE THE LAST WARM DAY FOR A WHILE AS TEMPERATURES START TO TREND
DOWNWARD BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS OVER MOST LOCATIONS
WEDNESDAY WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO COOL ABOUT 6-9 DEGREES.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

DIFFERENCES IN AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH CONTINUE TO CAUSE DISCREPANCIES
WITH MODEL GUIDANCE ON THE PROGRESSION OF THE SHORTWAVE...WITH THE
WEAKER/MORE PROGRESSIVE ECMWF BRINGING THE SHORTWAVE THROUGH AND OUT
OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS BRINGING IN
A SECONDARY PIECE OF ENERGY ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH CAUSING IT
TO LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY CONTINUES TO EXIST WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH
THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS SOLUTION BEING THE MOST CONDUCIVE FOR THIS
RESULT. OTHERWISE...WINDY AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WITH THIS SYSTEM AREA-WIDE THURSDAY AND MAINLY IN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY...WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS
DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THE SHORTWAVE.

AS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM...MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER
LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE
THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET
UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE
A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.  &&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED AT THE
TERMINAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH LIGHT VARIABLE WIND THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY FAVORING AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDS TO CONTINUE TODAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...VFR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND
CONTINUING AT MOST TAF SITES UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TODAY. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP FOR A FEW
HOURS IN THE OWENS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

LOCATION        MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY   101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE...WOLCOTT
SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER















000
FXUS65 KVEF 301529 CCA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
816 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE TUESDAY BEFORE THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF STORMS BRINGS
PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES TODAY
AND TUESDAY ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...BUT BY THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND NORMAL. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS.
&&

.UPDATE...CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR WITH HIGHS IN LAS
VEGAS IN THE UPPER 80`S TO LOW 90`S. THERE WILL BE A FEW CLOUDS
AROUND BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SENSIBLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. THE
CURRENT FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL AND NO ADDITIONAL UPDATES PLANNED
THIS MORNING.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
300 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY PROVIDING SOME
VERY WEAK INSTABILITY TO THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. MOISTURE WILL BE EVEN MORE LIMITED TODAY THAN SUNDAY AND ITS
LIKELY THAT ONLY THE SIERRA WILL SEE SOME CUMULUS TODAY WITH MAINLY
A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL JUST SEE A FEW
HIGH CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN REMAIN NEAR RECORD
TERRITORY AND ITS LIKELY THAT A FEW SITES WILL BREAK HIGH
TEMPERATURES RECORDS AGAIN TODAY. A STRONGER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BRING AN
INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE REGION. THE RESULT WILL
BE AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEEING WINDS IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. A FEW
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WILL SEE WINDS IN
THE 20-30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. A FEW MORE RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT ITS EXPECTED TO
BE THE LAST WARM DAY FOR A WHILE AS TEMPERATURES START TO TREND
DOWNWARD BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS OVER MOST LOCATIONS
WEDNESDAY WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO COOL ABOUT 6-9 DEGREES.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

DIFFERENCES IN AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH CONTINUE TO CAUSE DISCREPANCIES
WITH MODEL GUIDANCE ON THE PROGRESSION OF THE SHORTWAVE...WITH THE
WEAKER/MORE PROGRESSIVE ECMWF BRINGING THE SHORTWAVE THROUGH AND OUT
OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS BRINGING IN
A SECONDARY PIECE OF ENERGY ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH CAUSING IT
TO LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY CONTINUES TO EXIST WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH
THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS SOLUTION BEING THE MOST CONDUCIVE FOR THIS
RESULT. OTHERWISE...WINDY AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WITH THIS SYSTEM AREA-WIDE THURSDAY AND MAINLY IN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY...WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS
DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THE SHORTWAVE.

AS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM...MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER
LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE
THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET
UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE
A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.  &&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED AT THE
TERMINAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH LIGHT VARIABLE WIND THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY FAVORING AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDS TO CONTINUE TODAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...VFR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND
CONTINUING AT MOST TAF SITES UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TODAY. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP FOR A FEW
HOURS IN THE OWENS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

LOCATION        MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY   101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE...WOLCOTT
SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER
















000
FXUS65 KVEF 301529 CCA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
816 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE TUESDAY BEFORE THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF STORMS BRINGS
PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES TODAY
AND TUESDAY ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...BUT BY THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND NORMAL. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS.
&&

.UPDATE...CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR WITH HIGHS IN LAS
VEGAS IN THE UPPER 80`S TO LOW 90`S. THERE WILL BE A FEW CLOUDS
AROUND BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SENSIBLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. THE
CURRENT FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL AND NO ADDITIONAL UPDATES PLANNED
THIS MORNING.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
300 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY PROVIDING SOME
VERY WEAK INSTABILITY TO THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. MOISTURE WILL BE EVEN MORE LIMITED TODAY THAN SUNDAY AND ITS
LIKELY THAT ONLY THE SIERRA WILL SEE SOME CUMULUS TODAY WITH MAINLY
A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL JUST SEE A FEW
HIGH CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN REMAIN NEAR RECORD
TERRITORY AND ITS LIKELY THAT A FEW SITES WILL BREAK HIGH
TEMPERATURES RECORDS AGAIN TODAY. A STRONGER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BRING AN
INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE REGION. THE RESULT WILL
BE AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEEING WINDS IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. A FEW
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WILL SEE WINDS IN
THE 20-30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. A FEW MORE RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT ITS EXPECTED TO
BE THE LAST WARM DAY FOR A WHILE AS TEMPERATURES START TO TREND
DOWNWARD BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS OVER MOST LOCATIONS
WEDNESDAY WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO COOL ABOUT 6-9 DEGREES.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

DIFFERENCES IN AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH CONTINUE TO CAUSE DISCREPANCIES
WITH MODEL GUIDANCE ON THE PROGRESSION OF THE SHORTWAVE...WITH THE
WEAKER/MORE PROGRESSIVE ECMWF BRINGING THE SHORTWAVE THROUGH AND OUT
OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS BRINGING IN
A SECONDARY PIECE OF ENERGY ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH CAUSING IT
TO LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY CONTINUES TO EXIST WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH
THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS SOLUTION BEING THE MOST CONDUCIVE FOR THIS
RESULT. OTHERWISE...WINDY AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WITH THIS SYSTEM AREA-WIDE THURSDAY AND MAINLY IN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY...WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS
DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THE SHORTWAVE.

AS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM...MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER
LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE
THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET
UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE
A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.  &&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED AT THE
TERMINAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH LIGHT VARIABLE WIND THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY FAVORING AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDS TO CONTINUE TODAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...VFR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND
CONTINUING AT MOST TAF SITES UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TODAY. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP FOR A FEW
HOURS IN THE OWENS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

LOCATION        MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY   101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE...WOLCOTT
SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER
















000
FXUS65 KVEF 301516
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
816 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE TUESDAY BEFORE THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF STORMS BRINGS
PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES TODAY
AND TUESDAY ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...BUT BY THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND NORMAL. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS.
&&

.UPDATE...CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR WITH HIGHS IN LAS
VEGAS IN THE UPPER 80`S TO LOW 90`S. THERE WILL BE A FEW CLOUDS
AROUND BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SENSIBLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. THE
CURRENT FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL AND NO ADDITIONAL UPDATES PLANNED
THIS MORNING.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
300 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY PROVIDING SOME
VERY WEAK INSTABILITY TO THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. MOISTURE WILL BE EVEN MORE LIMITED TODAY THAN SUNDAY AND ITS
LIKELY THAT ONLY THE SIERRA WILL SEE SOME CUMULUS TODAY WITH MAINLY
A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL JUST SEE A FEW
HIGH CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN REMAIN NEAR RECORD
TERRITORY AND ITS LIKELY THAT A FEW SITES WILL BREAK HIGH
TEMPERATURES RECORDS AGAIN TODAY. A STRONGER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BRING AN
INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE REGION. THE RESULT WILL
BE AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEEING WINDS IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. A FEW
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WILL SEE WINDS IN
THE 20-30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. A FEW MORE RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT ITS EXPECTED TO
BE THE LAST WARM DAY FOR A WHILE AS TEMPERATURES START TO TREND
DOWNWARD BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS OVER MOST LOCATIONS
WEDNESDAY WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO COOL ABOUT 6-9 DEGREES.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

DIFFERENCES IN AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH CONTINUE TO CAUSE DISCREPANCIES
WITH MODEL GUIDANCE ON THE PROGRESSION OF THE SHORTWAVE...WITH THE
WEAKER/MORE PROGRESSIVE ECMWF BRINGING THE SHORTWAVE THROUGH AND OUT
OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS BRINGING IN
A SECONDARY PIECE OF ENERGY ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH CAUSING IT
TO LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY CONTINUES TO EXIST WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH
THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS SOLUTION BEING THE MOST CONDUCIVE FOR THIS
RESULT. OTHERWISE...WINDY AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WITH THIS SYSTEM AREA-WIDE THURSDAY AND MAINLY IN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY...WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS
DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THE SHORTWAVE.

AS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM...MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER
LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE
THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET
UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE
A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.  &&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED AT THE
TERMINAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH LIGHT VARIABLE WIND THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY FAVORING AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDS TO CONTINUE TODAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...VFR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND
CONTINUING AT MOST TAF SITES UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TODAY. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP FOR A FEW
HOURS IN THE OWENS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

LOCATION        MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY   101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE...WOLCOTT
SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











000
FXUS65 KVEF 301516
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
816 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE TUESDAY BEFORE THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF STORMS BRINGS
PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES TODAY
AND TUESDAY ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...BUT BY THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND NORMAL. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS.
&&

.UPDATE...CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR WITH HIGHS IN LAS
VEGAS IN THE UPPER 80`S TO LOW 90`S. THERE WILL BE A FEW CLOUDS
AROUND BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SENSIBLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. THE
CURRENT FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL AND NO ADDITIONAL UPDATES PLANNED
THIS MORNING.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
300 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY PROVIDING SOME
VERY WEAK INSTABILITY TO THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. MOISTURE WILL BE EVEN MORE LIMITED TODAY THAN SUNDAY AND ITS
LIKELY THAT ONLY THE SIERRA WILL SEE SOME CUMULUS TODAY WITH MAINLY
A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL JUST SEE A FEW
HIGH CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN REMAIN NEAR RECORD
TERRITORY AND ITS LIKELY THAT A FEW SITES WILL BREAK HIGH
TEMPERATURES RECORDS AGAIN TODAY. A STRONGER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BRING AN
INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE REGION. THE RESULT WILL
BE AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEEING WINDS IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. A FEW
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WILL SEE WINDS IN
THE 20-30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. A FEW MORE RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT ITS EXPECTED TO
BE THE LAST WARM DAY FOR A WHILE AS TEMPERATURES START TO TREND
DOWNWARD BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS OVER MOST LOCATIONS
WEDNESDAY WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO COOL ABOUT 6-9 DEGREES.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

DIFFERENCES IN AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH CONTINUE TO CAUSE DISCREPANCIES
WITH MODEL GUIDANCE ON THE PROGRESSION OF THE SHORTWAVE...WITH THE
WEAKER/MORE PROGRESSIVE ECMWF BRINGING THE SHORTWAVE THROUGH AND OUT
OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS BRINGING IN
A SECONDARY PIECE OF ENERGY ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH CAUSING IT
TO LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY CONTINUES TO EXIST WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH
THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS SOLUTION BEING THE MOST CONDUCIVE FOR THIS
RESULT. OTHERWISE...WINDY AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WITH THIS SYSTEM AREA-WIDE THURSDAY AND MAINLY IN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY...WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS
DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THE SHORTWAVE.

AS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM...MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER
LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE
THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET
UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE
A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.  &&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED AT THE
TERMINAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH LIGHT VARIABLE WIND THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY FAVORING AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDS TO CONTINUE TODAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...VFR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND
CONTINUING AT MOST TAF SITES UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TODAY. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP FOR A FEW
HOURS IN THE OWENS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

LOCATION        MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY   101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE...WOLCOTT
SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER












000
FXUS65 KVEF 301516
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
816 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE TUESDAY BEFORE THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF STORMS BRINGS
PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES TODAY
AND TUESDAY ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...BUT BY THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND NORMAL. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS.
&&

.UPDATE...CONDITIONS TODAY WILL BE VERY SIMILAR WITH HIGHS IN LAS
VEGAS IN THE UPPER 80`S TO LOW 90`S. THERE WILL BE A FEW CLOUDS
AROUND BUT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF SENSIBLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED. THE
CURRENT FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL AND NO ADDITIONAL UPDATES PLANNED
THIS MORNING.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
300 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY PROVIDING SOME
VERY WEAK INSTABILITY TO THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. MOISTURE WILL BE EVEN MORE LIMITED TODAY THAN SUNDAY AND ITS
LIKELY THAT ONLY THE SIERRA WILL SEE SOME CUMULUS TODAY WITH MAINLY
A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL JUST SEE A FEW
HIGH CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN REMAIN NEAR RECORD
TERRITORY AND ITS LIKELY THAT A FEW SITES WILL BREAK HIGH
TEMPERATURES RECORDS AGAIN TODAY. A STRONGER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BRING AN
INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE REGION. THE RESULT WILL
BE AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEEING WINDS IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. A FEW
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WILL SEE WINDS IN
THE 20-30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. A FEW MORE RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT ITS EXPECTED TO
BE THE LAST WARM DAY FOR A WHILE AS TEMPERATURES START TO TREND
DOWNWARD BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS OVER MOST LOCATIONS
WEDNESDAY WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO COOL ABOUT 6-9 DEGREES.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

DIFFERENCES IN AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH CONTINUE TO CAUSE DISCREPANCIES
WITH MODEL GUIDANCE ON THE PROGRESSION OF THE SHORTWAVE...WITH THE
WEAKER/MORE PROGRESSIVE ECMWF BRINGING THE SHORTWAVE THROUGH AND OUT
OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS BRINGING IN
A SECONDARY PIECE OF ENERGY ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH CAUSING IT
TO LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY CONTINUES TO EXIST WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH
THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS SOLUTION BEING THE MOST CONDUCIVE FOR THIS
RESULT. OTHERWISE...WINDY AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WITH THIS SYSTEM AREA-WIDE THURSDAY AND MAINLY IN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY...WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS
DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THE SHORTWAVE.

AS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM...MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER
LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE
THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET
UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE
A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.  &&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED AT THE
TERMINAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH LIGHT VARIABLE WIND THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY FAVORING AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDS TO CONTINUE TODAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...VFR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND
CONTINUING AT MOST TAF SITES UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TODAY. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP FOR A FEW
HOURS IN THE OWENS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

LOCATION        MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY   101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

UPDATE...WOLCOTT
SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











000
FXUS65 KVEF 301006
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
300 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE TUESDAY BEFORE THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF STORMS BRINGS
PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES TODAY
AND TUESDAY ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...BUT BY THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND NORMAL. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS.
&&

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY PROVIDING SOME
VERY WEAK INSTABILITY TO THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. MOISTURE WILL BE EVEN MORE LIMITED TODAY THAN SUNDAY AND ITS
LIKELY THAT ONLY THE SIERRA WILL SEE SOME CUMULUS TODAY WITH MAINLY
A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL JUST SEE A FEW
HIGH CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN REMAIN NEAR RECORD
TERRITORY AND ITS LIKELY THAT A FEW SITES WILL BREAK HIGH
TEMPERATURES RECORDS AGAIN TODAY. A STRONGER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BRING AN
INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE REGION. THE RESULT WILL
BE AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEEING WINDS IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. A FEW
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WILL SEE WINDS IN
THE 20-30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. A FEW MORE RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT ITS EXPECTED TO
BE THE LAST WARM DAY FOR A WHILE AS TEMPERATURES START TO TREND
DOWNWARD BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS OVER MOST LOCATIONS
WEDNESDAY WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO COOL ABOUT 6-9 DEGREES.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

DIFFERENCES IN AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH CONTINUE TO CAUSE DISCREPANCIES
WITH MODEL GUIDANCE ON THE PROGRESSION OF THE SHORTWAVE...WITH THE
WEAKER/MORE PROGRESSIVE ECMWF BRINGING THE SHORTWAVE THROUGH AND OUT
OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS BRINGING IN
A SECONDARY PIECE OF ENERGY ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH CAUSING IT
TO LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY CONTINUES TO EXIST WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH
THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS SOLUTION BEING THE MOST CONDUCIVE FOR THIS
RESULT. OTHERWISE...WINDY AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WITH THIS SYSTEM AREA-WIDE THURSDAY AND MAINLY IN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY...WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS
DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THE SHORTWAVE.

AS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM...MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER
LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE
THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET
UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE
A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.  &&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED AT THE
TERMINAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH LIGHT VARIABLE WIND THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY FAVORING AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDS TO CONTINUE TODAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...VFR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND
CONTINUING AT MOST TAF SITES UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TODAY. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP FOR A FEW
HOURS IN THE OWENS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

LOCATION        MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY   101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 301006
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
300 AM PDT MON MAR 30 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE TUESDAY BEFORE THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF STORMS BRINGS
PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS AND COOLER TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES TODAY
AND TUESDAY ARE STILL EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL...BUT BY THURSDAY ARE EXPECTED TO DROP TO AROUND NORMAL. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH ANY OF THESE STORMS.
&&

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION TODAY PROVIDING SOME
VERY WEAK INSTABILITY TO THE FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA. MOISTURE WILL BE EVEN MORE LIMITED TODAY THAN SUNDAY AND ITS
LIKELY THAT ONLY THE SIERRA WILL SEE SOME CUMULUS TODAY WITH MAINLY
A FEW VIRGA SHOWERS. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA WILL JUST SEE A FEW
HIGH CLOUDS. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN REMAIN NEAR RECORD
TERRITORY AND ITS LIKELY THAT A FEW SITES WILL BREAK HIGH
TEMPERATURES RECORDS AGAIN TODAY. A STRONGER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BRING AN
INCREASING SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO THE REGION. THE RESULT WILL
BE AN INCREASE IN SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
WITH MOST LOCATIONS SEEING WINDS IN THE 15-25 MPH RANGE. A FEW
LOCATIONS...ESPECIALLY THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT WILL SEE WINDS IN
THE 20-30 MPH RANGE WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 40 MPH. A FEW MORE RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY FALL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT ITS EXPECTED TO
BE THE LAST WARM DAY FOR A WHILE AS TEMPERATURES START TO TREND
DOWNWARD BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH
THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN TUESDAY NIGHT. WINDS OVER MOST LOCATIONS
WEDNESDAY WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AND TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
TO COOL ABOUT 6-9 DEGREES.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

DIFFERENCES IN AMPLITUDE/STRENGTH CONTINUE TO CAUSE DISCREPANCIES
WITH MODEL GUIDANCE ON THE PROGRESSION OF THE SHORTWAVE...WITH THE
WEAKER/MORE PROGRESSIVE ECMWF BRINGING THE SHORTWAVE THROUGH AND OUT
OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT AND THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS BRINGING IN
A SECONDARY PIECE OF ENERGY ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH CAUSING IT
TO LINGER THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY CONTINUES TO EXIST WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH
THE STRONGER/SLOWER GFS SOLUTION BEING THE MOST CONDUCIVE FOR THIS
RESULT. OTHERWISE...WINDY AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL BE THE BIGGEST
IMPACT WITH THIS SYSTEM AREA-WIDE THURSDAY AND MAINLY IN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY FRIDAY...WITH THE MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS
DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THE SHORTWAVE.

AS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG TERM...MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
BE ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM.
DISCREPANCIES CURRENTLY EXIST FROM MODEL TO MODEL...SOME RATHER
LARGE...ON WHEN THE TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA. DESPITE
THE UNCERTAINTY...IT APPEARS THAT DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL SET
UP FOR THE WEEKEND...ALLOWING FOR A SLIGHT WARM-UP IN TEMPERATURES
TO A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AGAIN. GUSTY WINDS ALSO LOOKS TO MAKE
A RETURN AHEAD OF AND WITH THE ON-SET OF THIS PARTICULAR SYSTEM.  &&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS EXPECTED AT THE
TERMINAL THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING WITH LIGHT VARIABLE WIND THIS
AFTERNOON...GENERALLY FAVORING AN EASTERLY DIRECTION. VARIABLE HIGH
CLOUDS TO CONTINUE TODAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...VFR CONDITIONS AREA WIDE WITH TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND
CONTINUING AT MOST TAF SITES UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS TODAY. THERE
IS THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS TO DEVELOP FOR A FEW
HOURS IN THE OWENS VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

LOCATION        MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY   101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER









000
FXUS65 KVEF 300429 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
927 PM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHWEST WINDS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER
SYSTEM MAY BRING WIDESPREAD BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT COOLING. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL DROP TO NEAR NORMAL.
&&

.UPDATE...HIGH CLOUDS FROM EARLIER THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCURRED OVER
THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE SIERRA CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTH AND EAST
THIS EVENING...BUT SATELLITE TRENDS SHOW THESE CLOUDS GRADUALLY
DISSIPATING AND SHOULD MOSTLY BY GONE BY MIDNIGHT. OTHERWISE A
STREAM OF HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTHEAST ACROSS
SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY THIS EVENING. THESE ARE EXPECTED TO LAST MUCH
OF THE NIGHT AND HAVE GONE AHEAD AND ADDED A FEW MORE CLOUDS TO THE
FORECAST. OTHERWISE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE.
&&

PREV DISCUSSION
250 PM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE MEAN RIDGE IS
CREATING SOME WEAK LIFT AND INSTABILITY MAINLY ALONG THE SIERRA THIS
AFTERNOON. CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT WAS NOTED ON SATELLITE AND WEB CAMS.
SOME MODELS CONTINUE TO GENERATE SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION THERE AND
I KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS
TROUGH WEAKENS MONDAY WHILE THE MEAN RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE
AREA KEEPING NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES IN THE FORECAST ALONG WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. A MODERATELY STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY WHICH WILL HELP KICK WINDS UP ACROSS MUCH
OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER WESTERN SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY AND OVER THE SIERRA LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. LOCALLY BREEZY NORTH/NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE
AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE EXITS TO
THE EAST. THIS WILL BRING IN SOME COOLING WITH HIGH GENERALLY 5 TO
10 DEGREES COOLER THAN WHAT IS FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE STRONGER SHORTWAVE DROPPING INTO
THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY. ADDITIONAL COOLING IS STILL EXPECTED
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES ROUGHLY ACROSS NORTHEAST
NEVADA AND ACROSS UTAH AND HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE CLOSE TO
NORMAL. THERE COULD STILL BE A FEW SHOWERS IN LINCOLN COUNTY
ALTHOUGH THE EURO HAS BACKED OFF ON THIS. BESIDES THE COOLER
TEMPERATURES THE BIGGEST IMPACT WILL LIKELY BE WINDS WITH THE
STRENGTH DEPENDING ON WHICH SOLUTION VERIFIES. THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR WIDESPREAD NORTHWESTERLY GUSTS 35-40 MPH THURSDAY WITH STRONG
GUSTS PERSISTING MAINLY DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ON FRIDAY.

MODELS DIFFER WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM FOR THE WEEKEND BUT THEY ALL LOOK
A BIT SLOWER BRINGING IT IN. FOR THE MOST PART IT LOOKS LIKE OUR
AREA WILL BE IN A MAINLY DRY WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH
TEMPERATURES A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. AREAS OF BREEZY
SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS ARE ALSO A GOOD POSSIBILITY.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND TRENDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH MONDAY WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS IN THE DAY AND
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 KNOTS AT NIGHT. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL
BE AROUND THROUGH MONDAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...EXPECT MAINLY TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS TO CONTINUE
AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH MONDAY UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

LOCATION        MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY   101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

GORELOW/HARRISON

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER
















000
FXUS65 KVEF 300429 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
927 PM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHWEST WINDS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER
SYSTEM MAY BRING WIDESPREAD BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT COOLING. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL DROP TO NEAR NORMAL.
&&

.UPDATE...HIGH CLOUDS FROM EARLIER THUNDERSTORMS THAT OCCURRED OVER
THE WESTERN SLOPES OF THE SIERRA CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTH AND EAST
THIS EVENING...BUT SATELLITE TRENDS SHOW THESE CLOUDS GRADUALLY
DISSIPATING AND SHOULD MOSTLY BY GONE BY MIDNIGHT. OTHERWISE A
STREAM OF HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH NORTHEAST ACROSS
SOUTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY THIS EVENING. THESE ARE EXPECTED TO LAST MUCH
OF THE NIGHT AND HAVE GONE AHEAD AND ADDED A FEW MORE CLOUDS TO THE
FORECAST. OTHERWISE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE.
&&

PREV DISCUSSION
250 PM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE MEAN RIDGE IS
CREATING SOME WEAK LIFT AND INSTABILITY MAINLY ALONG THE SIERRA THIS
AFTERNOON. CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT WAS NOTED ON SATELLITE AND WEB CAMS.
SOME MODELS CONTINUE TO GENERATE SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION THERE AND
I KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS
TROUGH WEAKENS MONDAY WHILE THE MEAN RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE
AREA KEEPING NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES IN THE FORECAST ALONG WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. A MODERATELY STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY WHICH WILL HELP KICK WINDS UP ACROSS MUCH
OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER WESTERN SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY AND OVER THE SIERRA LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. LOCALLY BREEZY NORTH/NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE
AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE EXITS TO
THE EAST. THIS WILL BRING IN SOME COOLING WITH HIGH GENERALLY 5 TO
10 DEGREES COOLER THAN WHAT IS FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE STRONGER SHORTWAVE DROPPING INTO
THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY. ADDITIONAL COOLING IS STILL EXPECTED
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES ROUGHLY ACROSS NORTHEAST
NEVADA AND ACROSS UTAH AND HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE CLOSE TO
NORMAL. THERE COULD STILL BE A FEW SHOWERS IN LINCOLN COUNTY
ALTHOUGH THE EURO HAS BACKED OFF ON THIS. BESIDES THE COOLER
TEMPERATURES THE BIGGEST IMPACT WILL LIKELY BE WINDS WITH THE
STRENGTH DEPENDING ON WHICH SOLUTION VERIFIES. THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR WIDESPREAD NORTHWESTERLY GUSTS 35-40 MPH THURSDAY WITH STRONG
GUSTS PERSISTING MAINLY DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ON FRIDAY.

MODELS DIFFER WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM FOR THE WEEKEND BUT THEY ALL LOOK
A BIT SLOWER BRINGING IT IN. FOR THE MOST PART IT LOOKS LIKE OUR
AREA WILL BE IN A MAINLY DRY WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH
TEMPERATURES A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. AREAS OF BREEZY
SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS ARE ALSO A GOOD POSSIBILITY.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND TRENDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH MONDAY WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS IN THE DAY AND
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 KNOTS AT NIGHT. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL
BE AROUND THROUGH MONDAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...EXPECT MAINLY TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS TO CONTINUE
AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH MONDAY UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

LOCATION        MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY   101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

GORELOW/HARRISON

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER
















000
FXUS65 KVEF 292151
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
250 PM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHWEST WINDS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER
SYSTEM MAY BRING WIDESPREAD BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT COOLING. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL DROP TO NEAR NORMAL.
&&

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE MEAN RIDGE IS
CREATING SOME WEAK LIFT AND INSTABILITY MAINLY ALONG THE SIERRA THIS
AFTERNOON. CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT WAS NOTED ON SATELLITE AND WEB CAMS.
SOME MODELS CONTINUE TO GENERATE SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION THERE AND
I KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS
TROUGH WEAKENS MONDAY WHILE THE MEAN RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE
AREA KEEPING NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES IN THE FORECAST ALONG WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. A MODERATELY STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY WHICH WILL HELP KICK WINDS UP ACROSS MUCH
OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER WESTERN SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY AND OVER THE SIERRA LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. LOCALLY BREEZY NORTH/NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE
AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE EXITS TO
THE EAST. THIS WILL BRING IN SOME COOLING WITH HIGH GENERALLY 5 TO
10 DEGREES COOLER THAN WHAT IS FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE STRONGER SHORTWAVE DROPPING INTO
THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY. ADDITIONAL COOLING IS STILL EXPECTED
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES ROUGHLY ACROSS NORTHEAST
NEVADA AND ACROSS UTAH AND HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE CLOSE TO
NORMAL. THERE COULD STILL BE A FEW SHOWERS IN LINCOLN COUNTY
ALTHOUGH THE EURO HAS BACKED OFF ON THIS. BESIDES THE COOLER
TEMPERATURES THE BIGGEST IMPACT WILL LIKELY BE WINDS WITH THE
STRENGTH DEPENDING ON WHICH SOLUTION VERIFIES. THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR WIDESPREAD NORTHWESTERLY GUSTS 35-40 MPH THURSDAY WITH STRONG
GUSTS PERSISTING MAINLY DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ON FRIDAY.

MODELS DIFFER WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM FOR THE WEEKEND BUT THEY ALL LOOK
A BIT SLOWER BRINGING IT IN. FOR THE MOST PART IT LOOKS LIKE OUR
AREA WILL BE IN A MAINLY DRY WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH
TEMPERATURES A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. AREAS OF BREEZY
SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS ARE ALSO A GOOD POSSIBILITY.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND TRENDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH MONDAY WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS IN THE DAY AND
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 KNOTS AT NIGHT. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL
BE AROUND THROUGH MONDAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...EXPECT MAINLY TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS TO CONTINUE
AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH MONDAY UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

LOCATION        SUN 3/29         MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       86/1966          88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   63/1989          65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          81/1969          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         88/1969          91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY    99/2002         101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         95/1917          97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         86/1934          87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

HARRISON

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER














000
FXUS65 KVEF 292151
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
250 PM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHWEST WINDS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER
SYSTEM MAY BRING WIDESPREAD BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY ALONG WITH SIGNIFICANT COOLING. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WILL DROP TO NEAR NORMAL.
&&

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

A WEAK SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH THE MEAN RIDGE IS
CREATING SOME WEAK LIFT AND INSTABILITY MAINLY ALONG THE SIERRA THIS
AFTERNOON. CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT WAS NOTED ON SATELLITE AND WEB CAMS.
SOME MODELS CONTINUE TO GENERATE SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION THERE AND
I KEPT SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THIS EVENING. THIS
TROUGH WEAKENS MONDAY WHILE THE MEAN RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER THE
AREA KEEPING NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES IN THE FORECAST ALONG WITH DRY
CONDITIONS. A MODERATELY STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY WHICH WILL HELP KICK WINDS UP ACROSS MUCH
OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER WESTERN SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY AND OVER THE SIERRA LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. LOCALLY BREEZY NORTH/NORTHWEST WINDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE
AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE EXITS TO
THE EAST. THIS WILL BRING IN SOME COOLING WITH HIGH GENERALLY 5 TO
10 DEGREES COOLER THAN WHAT IS FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER WITH THE STRONGER SHORTWAVE DROPPING INTO
THE GREAT BASIN THURSDAY. ADDITIONAL COOLING IS STILL EXPECTED
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES ROUGHLY ACROSS NORTHEAST
NEVADA AND ACROSS UTAH AND HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE CLOSE TO
NORMAL. THERE COULD STILL BE A FEW SHOWERS IN LINCOLN COUNTY
ALTHOUGH THE EURO HAS BACKED OFF ON THIS. BESIDES THE COOLER
TEMPERATURES THE BIGGEST IMPACT WILL LIKELY BE WINDS WITH THE
STRENGTH DEPENDING ON WHICH SOLUTION VERIFIES. THERE IS POTENTIAL
FOR WIDESPREAD NORTHWESTERLY GUSTS 35-40 MPH THURSDAY WITH STRONG
GUSTS PERSISTING MAINLY DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ON FRIDAY.

MODELS DIFFER WITH THE NEXT SYSTEM FOR THE WEEKEND BUT THEY ALL LOOK
A BIT SLOWER BRINGING IT IN. FOR THE MOST PART IT LOOKS LIKE OUR
AREA WILL BE IN A MAINLY DRY WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WITH
TEMPERATURES A COUPLE OF DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. AREAS OF BREEZY
SOUTHWEST SURFACE WINDS ARE ALSO A GOOD POSSIBILITY.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND TRENDS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH MONDAY WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS IN THE DAY AND
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 KNOTS AT NIGHT. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL
BE AROUND THROUGH MONDAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...EXPECT MAINLY TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS TO CONTINUE
AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH MONDAY UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

LOCATION        SUN 3/29         MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       86/1966          88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   63/1989          65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          81/1969          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         88/1969          91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY    99/2002         101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         95/1917          97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         86/1934          87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

HARRISON

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER













000
FXUS65 KVEF 291550
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
850 AM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHERLY WINDS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER SYSTEM MAY BRING SIGNIFICANT COOLING TOWARD
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY DROPPING
CLOSE TO NORMAL FRIDAY.
&&

.UPDATE...SATELLITE AND MODELS SHOWED TWO SEPARATE AREAS OF HIGH
CLOUDS OVER THE CWA. ONE AREA WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH
ROUGHLY OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA THIS MORNING AND ANOTHER ASSOCIATED
WITH A CLOSED LOW OFF BAJA. THESE CLOUDS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE
THICKER THAN FORECAST SO I TWEAKED SKY COVER UPWARD A LITTLE FOR
TODAY. OTHERWISE THE FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO OTHER UPDATES
ARE ANTICIPATED. -HARRISON-
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
300 AM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

WEAK COLD FRONT DRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA EARLIER SATURDAY
EVENING HAS BASICALLY WASHED OUT WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS AND JUST A
FEW HIGH CLOUDS REMAINING. HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE
THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS A SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE CALIFORNIA
COAST. THIS SHORTWAVE IS DOES NOT HAVE A LOT OF LOW AND MID LEVEL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT...BUT THERE MAY BE ENOUGH UPPER LEVEL
ENERGY TO HELP PRODUCE SOME AFTERNOON LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE SIERRA
AND JUST A FEW FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE GREAT
BASIN. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN TODAY WITH ANOTHER
DAY OF NEAR RECORD HIGHS EXPECTED. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL BE SLOW TO
EXIT AND A FEW SHOWERS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVER THE SIERRA MONDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG WITH SOME FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ONCE
AGAIN TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN FLIRT WITH RECORD HIGHS. A STRONGER
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL HELP
PUSH ANY MOISTURE EAST...BUT ALSO INCREASE SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE REGION. RIGHT NOW MOST AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE WINDS IN THE
15-25 MPH RANGE...BUT A FEW LOCATIONS WILL SEE SOME HIGH WINDS.
HOWEVER...ANY WIND ADVISORIES ARE UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. LITTLE
CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN TUESDAY...SO RECORDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AGAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL MARK THE DEPARTURE FROM
LATE SPRING-LIKE CONDITIONS AS THE SECOND SHORTWAVE IN A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES ALOFT BEGINS TO DIG INTO THE AREA. AS THIS SHORTWAVE
PASSES THROUGH THE AREA...IT WILL YIELD AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS
AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...ESPECIALLY AS IT DEPARTS THE AREA TO THE
EAST. THE CURRENT CONCERN WITH THIS WAVE ARE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING
AND STRENGTH...WHICH WILL MAINLY IMPACT THE TIMING AND MAGNITUDE OF
WIND ON THURSDAY AS WELL AS THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS IN NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY. AT THIS TIME...KEPT THE MENTION OF A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE GRIDS THERE. OTHERWISE...THIS WILL INTRODUCE SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES AGAIN...WITH HIGHS RUNNING AT OR JUST ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. SEASONAL NORMALS FOR EARLY APRIL ARE 74
DEGREES FOR HIGHS AND 49 DEGREES FOR LOWS.

THINGS GET MUDDY AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND IN REGARDS TO THE DETAILS IN
THE FORECAST. A SLIGHT WARMUP COULD BE IN STORE FOR
SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY IF THE GFS VERIFIES. AT THIS TIME...THE GFS IS
MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE AND STRONGER THAN THE ECMWF...DIGGING THE
TROUGH INTO THE REGION BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
AHEAD OF THE NEXT SHORTWAVE WILL AID IN INCREASING SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT LOW LEVELS...THUS INCREASING WARM AIR
ADVECTION. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE WOULD ALSO PLAY A
ROLE IN PROMOTING MIXING...HELPING TO BUMP TEMPERATURES UP.
HOWEVER...THE ECMWF HAS OTHER IDEAS...THIS SOLUTION IS SLIGHTLY
WEAKER AND DOES NOT DIG THE TROUGH INTO THE AREA UNTIL LATER ON
SUNDAY. THIS WOULD KEEP FLOW MAINLY ZONAL ON SATURDAY...INHIBITING
ANY APPRECIABLE WARMING TREND. NONETHELESS...IT APPEARS THAT THIS
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS...INCREASED
CLOUDS...AND WILL KEEP SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AROUND THE AREA INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. DIFFERENCES IN THE DETAILS REGARDING THIS SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO BE WATCHED THIS WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...EXPECT DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS TO CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING BEFORE SWINGING OVER TO A PREDOMINANTLY
EAST-SOUTHEAST WIND THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SWING TO
THE SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AOB 8KT THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH SCT250 LOOKING LIKELY BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...EXPECT TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS TO CONTINUE AT ALL
TAF SITES THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS.
THE ONLY EXCEPTIONS ARE KBIH...WHERE SLIGHTLY ENHANCED SOUTHERLY
VALLEY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AND KDAG WHERE STRONGER
WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING
UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

LOCATION        SUN 3/29         MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       86/1966          88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   63/1989          65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          81/1969          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         88/1969          91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY    99/2002         101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         95/1917          97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         86/1934          87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER










000
FXUS65 KVEF 291550
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
850 AM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHERLY WINDS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER SYSTEM MAY BRING SIGNIFICANT COOLING TOWARD
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY DROPPING
CLOSE TO NORMAL FRIDAY.
&&

.UPDATE...SATELLITE AND MODELS SHOWED TWO SEPARATE AREAS OF HIGH
CLOUDS OVER THE CWA. ONE AREA WAS ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH
ROUGHLY OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA THIS MORNING AND ANOTHER ASSOCIATED
WITH A CLOSED LOW OFF BAJA. THESE CLOUDS HAVE BECOME A LITTLE
THICKER THAN FORECAST SO I TWEAKED SKY COVER UPWARD A LITTLE FOR
TODAY. OTHERWISE THE FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO OTHER UPDATES
ARE ANTICIPATED. -HARRISON-
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
300 AM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

WEAK COLD FRONT DRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA EARLIER SATURDAY
EVENING HAS BASICALLY WASHED OUT WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS AND JUST A
FEW HIGH CLOUDS REMAINING. HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE
THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS A SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE CALIFORNIA
COAST. THIS SHORTWAVE IS DOES NOT HAVE A LOT OF LOW AND MID LEVEL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT...BUT THERE MAY BE ENOUGH UPPER LEVEL
ENERGY TO HELP PRODUCE SOME AFTERNOON LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE SIERRA
AND JUST A FEW FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE GREAT
BASIN. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN TODAY WITH ANOTHER
DAY OF NEAR RECORD HIGHS EXPECTED. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL BE SLOW TO
EXIT AND A FEW SHOWERS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVER THE SIERRA MONDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG WITH SOME FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ONCE
AGAIN TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN FLIRT WITH RECORD HIGHS. A STRONGER
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL HELP
PUSH ANY MOISTURE EAST...BUT ALSO INCREASE SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE REGION. RIGHT NOW MOST AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE WINDS IN THE
15-25 MPH RANGE...BUT A FEW LOCATIONS WILL SEE SOME HIGH WINDS.
HOWEVER...ANY WIND ADVISORIES ARE UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. LITTLE
CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN TUESDAY...SO RECORDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AGAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL MARK THE DEPARTURE FROM
LATE SPRING-LIKE CONDITIONS AS THE SECOND SHORTWAVE IN A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES ALOFT BEGINS TO DIG INTO THE AREA. AS THIS SHORTWAVE
PASSES THROUGH THE AREA...IT WILL YIELD AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS
AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...ESPECIALLY AS IT DEPARTS THE AREA TO THE
EAST. THE CURRENT CONCERN WITH THIS WAVE ARE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING
AND STRENGTH...WHICH WILL MAINLY IMPACT THE TIMING AND MAGNITUDE OF
WIND ON THURSDAY AS WELL AS THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS IN NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY. AT THIS TIME...KEPT THE MENTION OF A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE GRIDS THERE. OTHERWISE...THIS WILL INTRODUCE SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES AGAIN...WITH HIGHS RUNNING AT OR JUST ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. SEASONAL NORMALS FOR EARLY APRIL ARE 74
DEGREES FOR HIGHS AND 49 DEGREES FOR LOWS.

THINGS GET MUDDY AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND IN REGARDS TO THE DETAILS IN
THE FORECAST. A SLIGHT WARMUP COULD BE IN STORE FOR
SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY IF THE GFS VERIFIES. AT THIS TIME...THE GFS IS
MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE AND STRONGER THAN THE ECMWF...DIGGING THE
TROUGH INTO THE REGION BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
AHEAD OF THE NEXT SHORTWAVE WILL AID IN INCREASING SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT LOW LEVELS...THUS INCREASING WARM AIR
ADVECTION. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE WOULD ALSO PLAY A
ROLE IN PROMOTING MIXING...HELPING TO BUMP TEMPERATURES UP.
HOWEVER...THE ECMWF HAS OTHER IDEAS...THIS SOLUTION IS SLIGHTLY
WEAKER AND DOES NOT DIG THE TROUGH INTO THE AREA UNTIL LATER ON
SUNDAY. THIS WOULD KEEP FLOW MAINLY ZONAL ON SATURDAY...INHIBITING
ANY APPRECIABLE WARMING TREND. NONETHELESS...IT APPEARS THAT THIS
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS...INCREASED
CLOUDS...AND WILL KEEP SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AROUND THE AREA INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. DIFFERENCES IN THE DETAILS REGARDING THIS SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO BE WATCHED THIS WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...EXPECT DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS TO CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING BEFORE SWINGING OVER TO A PREDOMINANTLY
EAST-SOUTHEAST WIND THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SWING TO
THE SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AOB 8KT THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH SCT250 LOOKING LIKELY BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...EXPECT TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS TO CONTINUE AT ALL
TAF SITES THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS.
THE ONLY EXCEPTIONS ARE KBIH...WHERE SLIGHTLY ENHANCED SOUTHERLY
VALLEY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AND KDAG WHERE STRONGER
WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING
UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

LOCATION        SUN 3/29         MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       86/1966          88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   63/1989          65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          81/1969          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         88/1969          91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY    99/2002         101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         95/1917          97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         86/1934          87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











000
FXUS65 KVEF 291000
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
300 AM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHERLY WINDS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER SYSTEM MAY BRING SIGNIFICANT COOLING TOWARD
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY DROPPING
CLOSE TO NORMAL FRIDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

WEAK COLD FRONT DRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA EARLIER SATURDAY
EVENING HAS BASICALLY WASHED OUT WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS AND JUST A
FEW HIGH CLOUDS REMAINING. HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE
THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS A SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE CALIFORNIA
COAST. THIS SHORTWAVE IS DOES NOT HAVE A LOT OF LOW AND MID LEVEL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT...BUT THERE MAY BE ENOUGH UPPER LEVEL
ENERGY TO HELP PRODUCE SOME AFTERNOON LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE SIERRA
AND JUST A FEW FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE GREAT
BASIN. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN TODAY WITH ANOTHER
DAY OF NEAR RECORD HIGHS EXPECTED. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL BE SLOW TO
EXIT AND A FEW SHOWERS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVER THE SIERRA MONDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG WITH SOME FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ONCE
AGAIN TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN FLIRT WITH RECORD HIGHS. A STRONGER
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL HELP
PUSH ANY MOISTURE EAST...BUT ALSO INCREASE SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE REGION. RIGHT NOW MOST AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE WINDS IN THE
15-25 MPH RANGE...BUT A FEW LOCATIONS WILL SEE SOME HIGH WINDS.
HOWEVER...ANY WIND ADVISORIES ARE UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. LITTLE
CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN TUESDAY...SO RECORDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AGAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL MARK THE DEPARTURE FROM
LATE SPRING-LIKE CONDITIONS AS THE SECOND SHORTWAVE IN A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES ALOFT BEGINS TO DIG INTO THE AREA. AS THIS SHORTWAVE
PASSES THROUGH THE AREA...IT WILL YIELD AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS
AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...ESPECIALLY AS IT DEPARTS THE AREA TO THE
EAST. THE CURRENT CONCERN WITH THIS WAVE ARE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING
AND STRENGTH...WHICH WILL MAINLY IMPACT THE TIMING AND MAGNITUDE OF
WIND ON THURSDAY AS WELL AS THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS IN NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY. AT THIS TIME...KEPT THE MENTION OF A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE GRIDS THERE. OTHERWISE...THIS WILL INTRODUCE SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES AGAIN...WITH HIGHS RUNNING AT OR JUST ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. SEASONAL NORMALS FOR EARLY APRIL ARE 74
DEGREES FOR HIGHS AND 49 DEGREES FOR LOWS.

THINGS GET MUDDY AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND IN REGARDS TO THE DETAILS IN
THE FORECAST. A SLIGHT WARMUP COULD BE IN STORE FOR
SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY IF THE GFS VERIFIES. AT THIS TIME...THE GFS IS
MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE AND STRONGER THAN THE ECMWF...DIGGING THE
TROUGH INTO THE REGION BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
AHEAD OF THE NEXT SHORTWAVE WILL AID IN INCREASING SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT LOW LEVELS...THUS INCREASING WARM AIR
ADVECTION. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE WOULD ALSO PLAY A
ROLE IN PROMOTING MIXING...HELPING TO BUMP TEMPERATURES UP.
HOWEVER...THE ECMWF HAS OTHER IDEAS...THIS SOLUTION IS SLIGHTLY
WEAKER AND DOES NOT DIG THE TROUGH INTO THE AREA UNTIL LATER ON
SUNDAY. THIS WOULD KEEP FLOW MAINLY ZONAL ON SATURDAY...INHIBITING
ANY APPRECIABLE WARMING TREND. NONETHELESS...IT APPEARS THAT THIS
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS...INCREASED
CLOUDS...AND WILL KEEP SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AROUND THE AREA INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. DIFFERENCES IN THE DETAILS REGARDING THIS SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO BE WATCHED THIS WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...EXPECT DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS TO CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING BEFORE SWINGING OVER TO A PREDOMINANTLY
EAST-SOUTHEAST WIND THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SWING TO
THE SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AOB 8KT THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH SCT250 LOOKING LIKELY BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...EXPECT TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS TO CONTINUE AT ALL
TAF SITES THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS.
THE ONLY EXCEPTIONS ARE KBIH...WHERE SLIGHTLY ENHANCED SOUTHERLY
VALLEY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AND KDAG WHERE STRONGER
WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING
UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

LOCATION        SUN 3/29         MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       86/1966          88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   63/1989          65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          81/1969          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         88/1969          91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY    99/2002         101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         95/1917          97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         86/1934          87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 291000
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
300 AM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHERLY WINDS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER SYSTEM MAY BRING SIGNIFICANT COOLING TOWARD
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY DROPPING
CLOSE TO NORMAL FRIDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

WEAK COLD FRONT DRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA EARLIER SATURDAY
EVENING HAS BASICALLY WASHED OUT WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS AND JUST A
FEW HIGH CLOUDS REMAINING. HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE
THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS A SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE CALIFORNIA
COAST. THIS SHORTWAVE IS DOES NOT HAVE A LOT OF LOW AND MID LEVEL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT...BUT THERE MAY BE ENOUGH UPPER LEVEL
ENERGY TO HELP PRODUCE SOME AFTERNOON LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE SIERRA
AND JUST A FEW FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE GREAT
BASIN. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN TODAY WITH ANOTHER
DAY OF NEAR RECORD HIGHS EXPECTED. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL BE SLOW TO
EXIT AND A FEW SHOWERS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVER THE SIERRA MONDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG WITH SOME FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ONCE
AGAIN TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN FLIRT WITH RECORD HIGHS. A STRONGER
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL HELP
PUSH ANY MOISTURE EAST...BUT ALSO INCREASE SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE REGION. RIGHT NOW MOST AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE WINDS IN THE
15-25 MPH RANGE...BUT A FEW LOCATIONS WILL SEE SOME HIGH WINDS.
HOWEVER...ANY WIND ADVISORIES ARE UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. LITTLE
CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN TUESDAY...SO RECORDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AGAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL MARK THE DEPARTURE FROM
LATE SPRING-LIKE CONDITIONS AS THE SECOND SHORTWAVE IN A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES ALOFT BEGINS TO DIG INTO THE AREA. AS THIS SHORTWAVE
PASSES THROUGH THE AREA...IT WILL YIELD AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS
AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...ESPECIALLY AS IT DEPARTS THE AREA TO THE
EAST. THE CURRENT CONCERN WITH THIS WAVE ARE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING
AND STRENGTH...WHICH WILL MAINLY IMPACT THE TIMING AND MAGNITUDE OF
WIND ON THURSDAY AS WELL AS THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS IN NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY. AT THIS TIME...KEPT THE MENTION OF A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE GRIDS THERE. OTHERWISE...THIS WILL INTRODUCE SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES AGAIN...WITH HIGHS RUNNING AT OR JUST ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. SEASONAL NORMALS FOR EARLY APRIL ARE 74
DEGREES FOR HIGHS AND 49 DEGREES FOR LOWS.

THINGS GET MUDDY AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND IN REGARDS TO THE DETAILS IN
THE FORECAST. A SLIGHT WARMUP COULD BE IN STORE FOR
SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY IF THE GFS VERIFIES. AT THIS TIME...THE GFS IS
MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE AND STRONGER THAN THE ECMWF...DIGGING THE
TROUGH INTO THE REGION BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
AHEAD OF THE NEXT SHORTWAVE WILL AID IN INCREASING SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT LOW LEVELS...THUS INCREASING WARM AIR
ADVECTION. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE WOULD ALSO PLAY A
ROLE IN PROMOTING MIXING...HELPING TO BUMP TEMPERATURES UP.
HOWEVER...THE ECMWF HAS OTHER IDEAS...THIS SOLUTION IS SLIGHTLY
WEAKER AND DOES NOT DIG THE TROUGH INTO THE AREA UNTIL LATER ON
SUNDAY. THIS WOULD KEEP FLOW MAINLY ZONAL ON SATURDAY...INHIBITING
ANY APPRECIABLE WARMING TREND. NONETHELESS...IT APPEARS THAT THIS
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS...INCREASED
CLOUDS...AND WILL KEEP SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AROUND THE AREA INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. DIFFERENCES IN THE DETAILS REGARDING THIS SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO BE WATCHED THIS WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...EXPECT DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS TO CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING BEFORE SWINGING OVER TO A PREDOMINANTLY
EAST-SOUTHEAST WIND THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SWING TO
THE SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AOB 8KT THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH SCT250 LOOKING LIKELY BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...EXPECT TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS TO CONTINUE AT ALL
TAF SITES THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS.
THE ONLY EXCEPTIONS ARE KBIH...WHERE SLIGHTLY ENHANCED SOUTHERLY
VALLEY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AND KDAG WHERE STRONGER
WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING
UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

LOCATION        SUN 3/29         MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       86/1966          88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   63/1989          65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          81/1969          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         88/1969          91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY    99/2002         101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         95/1917          97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         86/1934          87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 291000
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
300 AM PDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHERLY WINDS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER SYSTEM MAY BRING SIGNIFICANT COOLING TOWARD
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY DROPPING
CLOSE TO NORMAL FRIDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

WEAK COLD FRONT DRAPPED ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA EARLIER SATURDAY
EVENING HAS BASICALLY WASHED OUT WITH MUCH LIGHTER WINDS AND JUST A
FEW HIGH CLOUDS REMAINING. HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE LATE
THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS A SHORTWAVE APPROACHES THE CALIFORNIA
COAST. THIS SHORTWAVE IS DOES NOT HAVE A LOT OF LOW AND MID LEVEL
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT...BUT THERE MAY BE ENOUGH UPPER LEVEL
ENERGY TO HELP PRODUCE SOME AFTERNOON LIGHT SHOWERS OVER THE SIERRA
AND JUST A FEW FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE GREAT
BASIN. LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN TODAY WITH ANOTHER
DAY OF NEAR RECORD HIGHS EXPECTED. THIS SHORTWAVE WILL BE SLOW TO
EXIT AND A FEW SHOWERS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE OVER THE SIERRA MONDAY
AFTERNOON ALONG WITH SOME FLAT CUMULUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. ONCE
AGAIN TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN FLIRT WITH RECORD HIGHS. A STRONGER
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL HELP
PUSH ANY MOISTURE EAST...BUT ALSO INCREASE SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS
THE REGION. RIGHT NOW MOST AREAS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE WINDS IN THE
15-25 MPH RANGE...BUT A FEW LOCATIONS WILL SEE SOME HIGH WINDS.
HOWEVER...ANY WIND ADVISORIES ARE UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. LITTLE
CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEEN TUESDAY...SO RECORDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE AGAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL MARK THE DEPARTURE FROM
LATE SPRING-LIKE CONDITIONS AS THE SECOND SHORTWAVE IN A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES ALOFT BEGINS TO DIG INTO THE AREA. AS THIS SHORTWAVE
PASSES THROUGH THE AREA...IT WILL YIELD AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS
AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS...ESPECIALLY AS IT DEPARTS THE AREA TO THE
EAST. THE CURRENT CONCERN WITH THIS WAVE ARE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING
AND STRENGTH...WHICH WILL MAINLY IMPACT THE TIMING AND MAGNITUDE OF
WIND ON THURSDAY AS WELL AS THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS IN NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY. AT THIS TIME...KEPT THE MENTION OF A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS IN THE GRIDS THERE. OTHERWISE...THIS WILL INTRODUCE SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES AGAIN...WITH HIGHS RUNNING AT OR JUST ABOVE AVERAGE
THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. SEASONAL NORMALS FOR EARLY APRIL ARE 74
DEGREES FOR HIGHS AND 49 DEGREES FOR LOWS.

THINGS GET MUDDY AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND IN REGARDS TO THE DETAILS IN
THE FORECAST. A SLIGHT WARMUP COULD BE IN STORE FOR
SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY IF THE GFS VERIFIES. AT THIS TIME...THE GFS IS
MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE AND STRONGER THAN THE ECMWF...DIGGING THE
TROUGH INTO THE REGION BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
AHEAD OF THE NEXT SHORTWAVE WILL AID IN INCREASING SOUTHERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT LOW LEVELS...THUS INCREASING WARM AIR
ADVECTION. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AT THE SURFACE WOULD ALSO PLAY A
ROLE IN PROMOTING MIXING...HELPING TO BUMP TEMPERATURES UP.
HOWEVER...THE ECMWF HAS OTHER IDEAS...THIS SOLUTION IS SLIGHTLY
WEAKER AND DOES NOT DIG THE TROUGH INTO THE AREA UNTIL LATER ON
SUNDAY. THIS WOULD KEEP FLOW MAINLY ZONAL ON SATURDAY...INHIBITING
ANY APPRECIABLE WARMING TREND. NONETHELESS...IT APPEARS THAT THIS
SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS...INCREASED
CLOUDS...AND WILL KEEP SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AROUND THE AREA INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK. DIFFERENCES IN THE DETAILS REGARDING THIS SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO BE WATCHED THIS WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...EXPECT DIURNALLY DRIVEN WINDS TO CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING BEFORE SWINGING OVER TO A PREDOMINANTLY
EAST-SOUTHEAST WIND THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SWING TO
THE SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHWEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING
WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AOB 8KT THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGH CLOUDS WILL
INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH SCT250 LOOKING LIKELY BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...EXPECT TYPICAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS TO CONTINUE AT ALL
TAF SITES THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD UNDER VARIABLE HIGH CLOUDS.
THE ONLY EXCEPTIONS ARE KBIH...WHERE SLIGHTLY ENHANCED SOUTHERLY
VALLEY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...AND KDAG WHERE STRONGER
WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN RESPONSE TO A PASSING
UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.

LOCATION        SUN 3/29         MON 3/30         TUE 3/31
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       86/1966          88/2004          91/1966
MT CHARLESTON   63/1989          65/2004          69/1989
BISHOP          81/1969          84/1966          87/1966
BARSTOW         88/1969          91/1969          91/2011
DEATH VALLEY    99/2002         101/2002         103/2011
NEEDLES         95/1917          97/2004          95/2011
KINGMAN         86/1934          87/2002          88/1934
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GORELOW
LONG TERM/AVIATION...PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 290455 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
951 PM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHERLY WINDS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER SYSTEM MAY BRING SIGNIFICANT COOLING TOWARD
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY DROPPING
CLOSE TO NORMAL FRIDAY.
&&

.UPDATE...WEAK AREA OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG A COLD FRONT
LOCATED ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA HAS HELPED ENHANCE SOME MID LEVEL
CLOUDS THIS EVENING. LOCAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THESE CLOUDS WILL
MOVE A BIT FURTHER SOUTH AFFECTING PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NYE AND
LINCOLN COUNTIES. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND INCREASED CLOUDS FOR THOSE
AREAS THIS EVENING. THERE WAS ALSO ENOUGH OF A SURFACE GRADIENT
BEHIND THIS FRONT TO BRING SOME GUSTY WINDS TO THE NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE OWENS VALLEY WHERE GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH WERE OCCURRING. MADE A
FEW CHANGES THERE ALSO. EVERYTHING ELSE IN GOOD SHAPE.
&&

PREV DISCUSSION
307 PM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THE MODELS ARE IN PRETTY
DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH THIS PERIOD. A
MEAN RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY LEADING TO
RECORD OR NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE RIDING OVER THE RIDGE MAY BRING JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO OUR NORTHERN AREAS SUNDAY FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE SIERRA IN NORTHWEST INYO COUNTY AND TO
THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY. THE RIDGE WILL GET
PUSHED EAST TUESDAY AS A SLIGHTLY STRONGER SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO
NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS DRY BUT WILL KICK UP BREEZY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS. WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE TRENDS FOR
WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY WHERE WE MAY END UP NEEDING A WIND
ADVISORY. ANOTHER...DEEPER SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
NORTHERN NEVADA LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA AND THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS. GIVEN THAT THIS SYSTEM IS
DEEPER/STRONGER IT WILL PRODUCE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY THURSDAY WHILE GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS USHER IN COOLER
TEMPERATURES. THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL CARRY INTO FRIDAY
BEHIND THE EXITING SHORTWAVE. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
WILL FINALLY DROP TO NEAR NORMAL. YET ANOTHER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST OR NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY ALTHOUGH
THE MODELS VARY WITH THE TIMING. FOR NOW IT LOOKS DRY AND
POTENTIALLY BREEZY WITH A BIT OF A WARMUP.

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY. SOUTH WINDS 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS
THROUGH EARLY EVENING THEN TYPICAL DRAINAGE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 5-10
KTS. WINDS MOST OF SUNDAY WILL BE MAINLY EASTERLY 8 KTS OR LESS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A FEW
CUMULUS CLOUDS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING FROM AROUND BIH EAST TO
NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY. WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING MAINLY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH DECREASING AFTER SUNSET...THEN PICKING
BACK UP AGAIN BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. RECORDS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE ON
SATURDAY.

LOCATION        SAT 3/28          SUN 3/29         MON 3/30
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       89/1986           86/1966          88/2004
MT CHARLESTON   67/1989           63/1989          65/2004
BISHOP          81/1986           81/1969          84/1966
BARSTOW         90/1986           88/1969          91/1969
DEATH VALLEY   102/1986           99/2002         101/2002
NEEDLES         97/1986           95/1917          97/2004
KINGMAN         82/1921           86/1934          87/2002
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

GORELOW/HARRISON

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

















000
FXUS65 KVEF 290455 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
951 PM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHERLY WINDS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER SYSTEM MAY BRING SIGNIFICANT COOLING TOWARD
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY DROPPING
CLOSE TO NORMAL FRIDAY.
&&

.UPDATE...WEAK AREA OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG A COLD FRONT
LOCATED ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA HAS HELPED ENHANCE SOME MID LEVEL
CLOUDS THIS EVENING. LOCAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THESE CLOUDS WILL
MOVE A BIT FURTHER SOUTH AFFECTING PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NYE AND
LINCOLN COUNTIES. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND INCREASED CLOUDS FOR THOSE
AREAS THIS EVENING. THERE WAS ALSO ENOUGH OF A SURFACE GRADIENT
BEHIND THIS FRONT TO BRING SOME GUSTY WINDS TO THE NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE OWENS VALLEY WHERE GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH WERE OCCURRING. MADE A
FEW CHANGES THERE ALSO. EVERYTHING ELSE IN GOOD SHAPE.
&&

PREV DISCUSSION
307 PM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THE MODELS ARE IN PRETTY
DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH THIS PERIOD. A
MEAN RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY LEADING TO
RECORD OR NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE RIDING OVER THE RIDGE MAY BRING JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO OUR NORTHERN AREAS SUNDAY FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE SIERRA IN NORTHWEST INYO COUNTY AND TO
THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY. THE RIDGE WILL GET
PUSHED EAST TUESDAY AS A SLIGHTLY STRONGER SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO
NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS DRY BUT WILL KICK UP BREEZY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS. WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE TRENDS FOR
WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY WHERE WE MAY END UP NEEDING A WIND
ADVISORY. ANOTHER...DEEPER SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
NORTHERN NEVADA LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA AND THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS. GIVEN THAT THIS SYSTEM IS
DEEPER/STRONGER IT WILL PRODUCE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY THURSDAY WHILE GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS USHER IN COOLER
TEMPERATURES. THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL CARRY INTO FRIDAY
BEHIND THE EXITING SHORTWAVE. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
WILL FINALLY DROP TO NEAR NORMAL. YET ANOTHER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST OR NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY ALTHOUGH
THE MODELS VARY WITH THE TIMING. FOR NOW IT LOOKS DRY AND
POTENTIALLY BREEZY WITH A BIT OF A WARMUP.

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY. SOUTH WINDS 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS
THROUGH EARLY EVENING THEN TYPICAL DRAINAGE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 5-10
KTS. WINDS MOST OF SUNDAY WILL BE MAINLY EASTERLY 8 KTS OR LESS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A FEW
CUMULUS CLOUDS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING FROM AROUND BIH EAST TO
NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY. WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING MAINLY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH DECREASING AFTER SUNSET...THEN PICKING
BACK UP AGAIN BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. RECORDS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE ON
SATURDAY.

LOCATION        SAT 3/28          SUN 3/29         MON 3/30
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       89/1986           86/1966          88/2004
MT CHARLESTON   67/1989           63/1989          65/2004
BISHOP          81/1986           81/1969          84/1966
BARSTOW         90/1986           88/1969          91/1969
DEATH VALLEY   102/1986           99/2002         101/2002
NEEDLES         97/1986           95/1917          97/2004
KINGMAN         82/1921           86/1934          87/2002
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

GORELOW/HARRISON

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER


















000
FXUS65 KVEF 290455 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
951 PM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHERLY WINDS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER SYSTEM MAY BRING SIGNIFICANT COOLING TOWARD
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY DROPPING
CLOSE TO NORMAL FRIDAY.
&&

.UPDATE...WEAK AREA OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE ALONG A COLD FRONT
LOCATED ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA HAS HELPED ENHANCE SOME MID LEVEL
CLOUDS THIS EVENING. LOCAL MODELS INDICATE THAT THESE CLOUDS WILL
MOVE A BIT FURTHER SOUTH AFFECTING PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NYE AND
LINCOLN COUNTIES. HAVE GONE AHEAD AND INCREASED CLOUDS FOR THOSE
AREAS THIS EVENING. THERE WAS ALSO ENOUGH OF A SURFACE GRADIENT
BEHIND THIS FRONT TO BRING SOME GUSTY WINDS TO THE NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE OWENS VALLEY WHERE GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH WERE OCCURRING. MADE A
FEW CHANGES THERE ALSO. EVERYTHING ELSE IN GOOD SHAPE.
&&

PREV DISCUSSION
307 PM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THE MODELS ARE IN PRETTY
DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH THIS PERIOD. A
MEAN RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY LEADING TO
RECORD OR NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE RIDING OVER THE RIDGE MAY BRING JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO OUR NORTHERN AREAS SUNDAY FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE SIERRA IN NORTHWEST INYO COUNTY AND TO
THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY. THE RIDGE WILL GET
PUSHED EAST TUESDAY AS A SLIGHTLY STRONGER SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO
NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS DRY BUT WILL KICK UP BREEZY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS. WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE TRENDS FOR
WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY WHERE WE MAY END UP NEEDING A WIND
ADVISORY. ANOTHER...DEEPER SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
NORTHERN NEVADA LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER
ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA AND THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS. GIVEN THAT THIS SYSTEM IS
DEEPER/STRONGER IT WILL PRODUCE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN
LINCOLN COUNTY THURSDAY WHILE GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS USHER IN COOLER
TEMPERATURES. THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL CARRY INTO FRIDAY
BEHIND THE EXITING SHORTWAVE. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
WILL FINALLY DROP TO NEAR NORMAL. YET ANOTHER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO
APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE WEST OR NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY ALTHOUGH
THE MODELS VARY WITH THE TIMING. FOR NOW IT LOOKS DRY AND
POTENTIALLY BREEZY WITH A BIT OF A WARMUP.

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY. SOUTH WINDS 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS
THROUGH EARLY EVENING THEN TYPICAL DRAINAGE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 5-10
KTS. WINDS MOST OF SUNDAY WILL BE MAINLY EASTERLY 8 KTS OR LESS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A FEW
CUMULUS CLOUDS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING FROM AROUND BIH EAST TO
NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY. WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING MAINLY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH DECREASING AFTER SUNSET...THEN PICKING
BACK UP AGAIN BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. RECORDS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE ON
SATURDAY.

LOCATION        SAT 3/28          SUN 3/29         MON 3/30
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       89/1986           86/1966          88/2004
MT CHARLESTON   67/1989           63/1989          65/2004
BISHOP          81/1986           81/1969          84/1966
BARSTOW         90/1986           88/1969          91/1969
DEATH VALLEY   102/1986           99/2002         101/2002
NEEDLES         97/1986           95/1917          97/2004
KINGMAN         82/1921           86/1934          87/2002
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

GORELOW/HARRISON

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

















000
FXUS65 KVEF 282207
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
307 PM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...DRY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WEAK DISTURBANCES PASSING BY TO THE
NORTH WILL KICK UP SOUTHERLY WINDS AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. A STRONGER SYSTEM MAY BRING SIGNIFICANT COOLING TOWARD
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY DROPPING
CLOSE TO NORMAL FRIDAY.
&&

.DISCUSSION...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THE MODELS ARE IN PRETTY
DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE OVERALL PATTERN THROUGH THIS PERIOD. A
MEAN RIDGE WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY LEADING TO
RECORD OR NEAR RECORD TEMPERATURES AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS. A
WEAK DISTURBANCE RIDING OVER THE RIDGE MAY BRING JUST ENOUGH
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY TO OUR NORTHERN AREAS SUNDAY FOR A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER THE SIERRA IN NORTHWEST INYO COUNTY AND TO
THE HIGHER TERRAIN IN NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY. THE RIDGE WILL GET
PUSHED EAST TUESDAY AS A SLIGHTLY STRONGER SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO
NORTHERN NEVADA. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS DRY BUT WILL KICK UP BREEZY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST WINDS. WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THE TRENDS FOR
WESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY WHERE WE MAY END UP NEEDING A WIND
ADVISORY. ANOTHER...DEEPER SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO
NORTHERN NEVADA LATE WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER ROUND
OF GUSTY WINDS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA AND THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS. GIVEN THAT THIS SYSTEM IS DEEPER/STRONGER IT
WILL PRODUCE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVER NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY
THURSDAY WHILE GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS USHER IN COOLER TEMPERATURES.
THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL CARRY INTO FRIDAY BEHIND THE EXITING
SHORTWAVE. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL FINALLY DROP
TO NEAR NORMAL. YET ANOTHER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO APPROACH THE AREA
FROM THE WEST OR NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY ALTHOUGH THE MODELS VARY WITH
THE TIMING. FOR NOW IT LOOKS DRY AND POTENTIALLY BREEZY WITH A BIT
OF A WARMUP.

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NO SIGNIFICANT CLOUD COVER EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY. SOUTH WINDS 10-15 KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS
THROUGH EARLY EVENING THEN TYPICAL DRAINAGE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 5-10
KTS. WINDS MOST OF SUNDAY WILL BE MAINLY EASTERLY 8 KTS OR LESS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SOME INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS TONIGHT AND SUNDAY. A FEW
CUMULUS CLOUDS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING FROM AROUND BIH EAST TO
NORTHERN LINCOLN COUNTY. WINDS THROUGH THIS EVENING MAINLY
SOUTH/SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH DECREASING AFTER SUNSET...THEN PICKING
BACK UP AGAIN BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. RECORDS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE ON
SATURDAY.

LOCATION        SAT 3/28          SUN 3/29         MON 3/30
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       89/1986           86/1966          88/2004
MT CHARLESTON   67/1989           63/1989          65/2004
BISHOP          81/1986           81/1969          84/1966
BARSTOW         90/1986           88/1969          91/1969
DEATH VALLEY   102/1986           99/2002         101/2002
NEEDLES         97/1986           95/1917          97/2004
KINGMAN         82/1921           86/1934          87/2002
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

HARRISON

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER














000
FXUS65 KVEF 281651
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
950 AM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL RESULT IN SUNNY AND WARM DAYS
WITH NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. ON
SUNDAY A WEAK SYSTEM WILL PASS BY THE AREA RESULTING IN SOME CLOUDS
AND POSSIBLY A STRAY SHOWER IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA. OTHERWISE WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...A WEAK SHORTWAVE CONTINUES TO ZIP ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST WELL TO OUR NORTH. HOWEVER...THIS FEATURE WILL AID IN
GENERATING SOME SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE CWA BUT
NOTHING TOO STRONG. IN ADDITION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER
NORTHERN NEVADA CREATING A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AREA WITH WEAK
INSTABILITY ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHERN BORDER OF OUR CWA.
SO WE COULD SEE SOME CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON BUT NO
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DESPITE WHAT SOME HI-RES
MODELS ARE SUGGESTING. STILL LOOKING AT NEAR RECORD HIGHS TODAY. THE
FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED. -HARRISON-
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
245 AM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS A WEAK
SHORTWAVE PASSES THROUGH ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A FEW MORE HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA...BUT OVERALL
LITTLE CHANGES WILL BE NOTED AS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE
NORMAL /POSSIBLY NEAR RECORD LEVELS/ AND WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT...ALTHOUGH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SEEN
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OWENS VALLEY. A SECOND WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL
MOVE INTO CALIFORNIA SUNDAY RESULTING IN A FEW MORE HIGH CLOUDS AND
POSSIBLY A STRAY SHOWER OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN
SIERRA. TEMPERATURES MAY COOL A DEGREE OR TWO...BUT ARE STILL
EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLOSE TO RECORD HIGHS FOR THE DAY. RIDGING IS
EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN FLIRTING
WITH RECORD HIGHS.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

CONTINUED ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE STORY THROUGH THE
END OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD DESPITE CHANGES IN THE OVERALL PATTERN
DURING THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. A SERIES OF STRONG
SHORTWAVES WILL IMPACT THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST REGION BEGINNING AS
EARLY AS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...CAUSING THE HIGH PRESSURE
RESPONSIBLE FOR OUR NEAR RECORD TO RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER THE
WEEKEND TO SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST. THE RESULT WILL BE A PERIODIC
INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS FROM MID-WEEK ONWARD AND WINDY CONDITIONS
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...AS WELL AS THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY.
CURRENTLY...THE WINDIEST DAY OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO BE
TUESDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE WESTERN ZONES OF SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGHOUT
THE WEEK...BUT WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LOOK FOR WINDS TO REMAIN AOB 8KTS THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD WITH DIRECTIONS GENERALLY FAVORING DIURNAL TRENDS.
SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA... LOOK FOR WINDS TO REMAIN GENERALLY BELOW 10 KTS...WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF KDAG TOMORROW EVENING...WITH WIND DIRECTIONS
FAVORING DIURNAL TRENDS. SKIES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN CLEAR AT ALL
TAF SITES.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. RECORDS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE ON
SATURDAY.

LOCATION        SAT 3/28          SUN 3/29         MON 3/30
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       89/1986           86/1966          88/2004
MT CHARLESTON   67/1989           63/1989          65/2004
BISHOP          81/1986           81/1969          84/1966
BARSTOW         90/1986           88/1969          91/1969
DEATH VALLEY   102/1986           99/2002         101/2002
NEEDLES         97/1986           95/1917          97/2004
KINGMAN         82/1921           86/1934          87/2002
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

GORELOW/PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











000
FXUS65 KVEF 281651
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
950 AM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL RESULT IN SUNNY AND WARM DAYS
WITH NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. ON
SUNDAY A WEAK SYSTEM WILL PASS BY THE AREA RESULTING IN SOME CLOUDS
AND POSSIBLY A STRAY SHOWER IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA. OTHERWISE WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...A WEAK SHORTWAVE CONTINUES TO ZIP ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST WELL TO OUR NORTH. HOWEVER...THIS FEATURE WILL AID IN
GENERATING SOME SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE CWA BUT
NOTHING TOO STRONG. IN ADDITION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER
NORTHERN NEVADA CREATING A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AREA WITH WEAK
INSTABILITY ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHERN BORDER OF OUR CWA.
SO WE COULD SEE SOME CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON BUT NO
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DESPITE WHAT SOME HI-RES
MODELS ARE SUGGESTING. STILL LOOKING AT NEAR RECORD HIGHS TODAY. THE
FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED. -HARRISON-
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
245 AM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS A WEAK
SHORTWAVE PASSES THROUGH ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A FEW MORE HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA...BUT OVERALL
LITTLE CHANGES WILL BE NOTED AS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE
NORMAL /POSSIBLY NEAR RECORD LEVELS/ AND WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT...ALTHOUGH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SEEN
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OWENS VALLEY. A SECOND WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL
MOVE INTO CALIFORNIA SUNDAY RESULTING IN A FEW MORE HIGH CLOUDS AND
POSSIBLY A STRAY SHOWER OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN
SIERRA. TEMPERATURES MAY COOL A DEGREE OR TWO...BUT ARE STILL
EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLOSE TO RECORD HIGHS FOR THE DAY. RIDGING IS
EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN FLIRTING
WITH RECORD HIGHS.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

CONTINUED ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE STORY THROUGH THE
END OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD DESPITE CHANGES IN THE OVERALL PATTERN
DURING THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. A SERIES OF STRONG
SHORTWAVES WILL IMPACT THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST REGION BEGINNING AS
EARLY AS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...CAUSING THE HIGH PRESSURE
RESPONSIBLE FOR OUR NEAR RECORD TO RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER THE
WEEKEND TO SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST. THE RESULT WILL BE A PERIODIC
INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS FROM MID-WEEK ONWARD AND WINDY CONDITIONS
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...AS WELL AS THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY.
CURRENTLY...THE WINDIEST DAY OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO BE
TUESDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE WESTERN ZONES OF SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGHOUT
THE WEEK...BUT WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LOOK FOR WINDS TO REMAIN AOB 8KTS THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD WITH DIRECTIONS GENERALLY FAVORING DIURNAL TRENDS.
SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA... LOOK FOR WINDS TO REMAIN GENERALLY BELOW 10 KTS...WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF KDAG TOMORROW EVENING...WITH WIND DIRECTIONS
FAVORING DIURNAL TRENDS. SKIES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN CLEAR AT ALL
TAF SITES.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. RECORDS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE ON
SATURDAY.

LOCATION        SAT 3/28          SUN 3/29         MON 3/30
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       89/1986           86/1966          88/2004
MT CHARLESTON   67/1989           63/1989          65/2004
BISHOP          81/1986           81/1969          84/1966
BARSTOW         90/1986           88/1969          91/1969
DEATH VALLEY   102/1986           99/2002         101/2002
NEEDLES         97/1986           95/1917          97/2004
KINGMAN         82/1921           86/1934          87/2002
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

GORELOW/PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER










000
FXUS65 KVEF 281651
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
950 AM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL RESULT IN SUNNY AND WARM DAYS
WITH NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. ON
SUNDAY A WEAK SYSTEM WILL PASS BY THE AREA RESULTING IN SOME CLOUDS
AND POSSIBLY A STRAY SHOWER IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA. OTHERWISE WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...A WEAK SHORTWAVE CONTINUES TO ZIP ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST WELL TO OUR NORTH. HOWEVER...THIS FEATURE WILL AID IN
GENERATING SOME SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE CWA BUT
NOTHING TOO STRONG. IN ADDITION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER
NORTHERN NEVADA CREATING A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AREA WITH WEAK
INSTABILITY ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHERN BORDER OF OUR CWA.
SO WE COULD SEE SOME CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON BUT NO
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DESPITE WHAT SOME HI-RES
MODELS ARE SUGGESTING. STILL LOOKING AT NEAR RECORD HIGHS TODAY. THE
FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED. -HARRISON-
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
245 AM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS A WEAK
SHORTWAVE PASSES THROUGH ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A FEW MORE HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA...BUT OVERALL
LITTLE CHANGES WILL BE NOTED AS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE
NORMAL /POSSIBLY NEAR RECORD LEVELS/ AND WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT...ALTHOUGH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SEEN
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OWENS VALLEY. A SECOND WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL
MOVE INTO CALIFORNIA SUNDAY RESULTING IN A FEW MORE HIGH CLOUDS AND
POSSIBLY A STRAY SHOWER OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN
SIERRA. TEMPERATURES MAY COOL A DEGREE OR TWO...BUT ARE STILL
EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLOSE TO RECORD HIGHS FOR THE DAY. RIDGING IS
EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN FLIRTING
WITH RECORD HIGHS.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

CONTINUED ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE STORY THROUGH THE
END OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD DESPITE CHANGES IN THE OVERALL PATTERN
DURING THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. A SERIES OF STRONG
SHORTWAVES WILL IMPACT THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST REGION BEGINNING AS
EARLY AS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...CAUSING THE HIGH PRESSURE
RESPONSIBLE FOR OUR NEAR RECORD TO RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER THE
WEEKEND TO SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST. THE RESULT WILL BE A PERIODIC
INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS FROM MID-WEEK ONWARD AND WINDY CONDITIONS
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...AS WELL AS THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY.
CURRENTLY...THE WINDIEST DAY OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO BE
TUESDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE WESTERN ZONES OF SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGHOUT
THE WEEK...BUT WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LOOK FOR WINDS TO REMAIN AOB 8KTS THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD WITH DIRECTIONS GENERALLY FAVORING DIURNAL TRENDS.
SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA... LOOK FOR WINDS TO REMAIN GENERALLY BELOW 10 KTS...WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF KDAG TOMORROW EVENING...WITH WIND DIRECTIONS
FAVORING DIURNAL TRENDS. SKIES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN CLEAR AT ALL
TAF SITES.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. RECORDS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE ON
SATURDAY.

LOCATION        SAT 3/28          SUN 3/29         MON 3/30
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       89/1986           86/1966          88/2004
MT CHARLESTON   67/1989           63/1989          65/2004
BISHOP          81/1986           81/1969          84/1966
BARSTOW         90/1986           88/1969          91/1969
DEATH VALLEY   102/1986           99/2002         101/2002
NEEDLES         97/1986           95/1917          97/2004
KINGMAN         82/1921           86/1934          87/2002
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

GORELOW/PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER










000
FXUS65 KVEF 281651
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
950 AM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL RESULT IN SUNNY AND WARM DAYS
WITH NEAR RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. ON
SUNDAY A WEAK SYSTEM WILL PASS BY THE AREA RESULTING IN SOME CLOUDS
AND POSSIBLY A STRAY SHOWER IN THE SOUTHERN SIERRA. OTHERWISE WARM
AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...A WEAK SHORTWAVE CONTINUES TO ZIP ACROSS THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST WELL TO OUR NORTH. HOWEVER...THIS FEATURE WILL AID IN
GENERATING SOME SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE CWA BUT
NOTHING TOO STRONG. IN ADDITION...NORTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER
NORTHERN NEVADA CREATING A LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AREA WITH WEAK
INSTABILITY ALONG OR JUST NORTH OF THE NORTHERN BORDER OF OUR CWA.
SO WE COULD SEE SOME CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON BUT NO
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED DESPITE WHAT SOME HI-RES
MODELS ARE SUGGESTING. STILL LOOKING AT NEAR RECORD HIGHS TODAY. THE
FORECAST IS IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO UPDATES ARE PLANNED. -HARRISON-
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
245 AM PDT SAT MAR 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS A WEAK
SHORTWAVE PASSES THROUGH ACROSS THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS WILL
RESULT IN A FEW MORE HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA...BUT OVERALL
LITTLE CHANGES WILL BE NOTED AS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE
NORMAL /POSSIBLY NEAR RECORD LEVELS/ AND WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT...ALTHOUGH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL SEEN
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OWENS VALLEY. A SECOND WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL
MOVE INTO CALIFORNIA SUNDAY RESULTING IN A FEW MORE HIGH CLOUDS AND
POSSIBLY A STRAY SHOWER OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SOUTHERN
SIERRA. TEMPERATURES MAY COOL A DEGREE OR TWO...BUT ARE STILL
EXPECTED TO REMAIN CLOSE TO RECORD HIGHS FOR THE DAY. RIDGING IS
EXPECTED TO RETURN FOR MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN FLIRTING
WITH RECORD HIGHS.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

CONTINUED ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE STORY THROUGH THE
END OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD DESPITE CHANGES IN THE OVERALL PATTERN
DURING THE MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF THE WEEK. A SERIES OF STRONG
SHORTWAVES WILL IMPACT THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST REGION BEGINNING AS
EARLY AS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...CAUSING THE HIGH PRESSURE
RESPONSIBLE FOR OUR NEAR RECORD TO RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER THE
WEEKEND TO SLIDE OFF TO THE EAST. THE RESULT WILL BE A PERIODIC
INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS FROM MID-WEEK ONWARD AND WINDY CONDITIONS
TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...AS WELL AS THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY.
CURRENTLY...THE WINDIEST DAY OF THE PERIOD LOOKS TO BE
TUESDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE WESTERN ZONES OF SAN
BERNARDINO COUNTY. TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THROUGHOUT
THE WEEK...BUT WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...LOOK FOR WINDS TO REMAIN AOB 8KTS THROUGH
THE TAF PERIOD WITH DIRECTIONS GENERALLY FAVORING DIURNAL TRENDS.
SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA... LOOK FOR WINDS TO REMAIN GENERALLY BELOW 10 KTS...WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF KDAG TOMORROW EVENING...WITH WIND DIRECTIONS
FAVORING DIURNAL TRENDS. SKIES WILL GENERALLY REMAIN CLEAR AT ALL
TAF SITES.
&&

.CLIMATE...LISTED BELOW ARE THE RECORD HIGHS FOR SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY. RECORDS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE ON
SATURDAY.

LOCATION        SAT 3/28          SUN 3/29         MON 3/30
------------------------------------------------------------------
LAS VEGAS       89/1986           86/1966          88/2004
MT CHARLESTON   67/1989           63/1989          65/2004
BISHOP          81/1986           81/1969          84/1966
BARSTOW         90/1986           88/1969          91/1969
DEATH VALLEY   102/1986           99/2002         101/2002
NEEDLES         97/1986           95/1917          97/2004
KINGMAN         82/1921           86/1934          87/2002
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

GORELOW/PULLIN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











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