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000
FXUS65 KVEF 041703
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
903 AM PST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS WILL COMMENCE TODAY AS A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS IN ALONG THE WEST COAST. SOME GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER AND WILL EASE
BY LATE THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL VALUES
BY FRIDAY WITH MILD AND DRY WEATHER PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...TWEAKED WIND SPEEDS ALONG THE RIVER VALLEY FOR TODAY
OTHERWISE, THE FORECAST LOOKS IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE. UPDATE OUT
SHORTLY. -SALMEN-
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST MUCH OF DAY
WITH DIRECTIONS VARYING BETWEEN 340 AND 030 AND SPEEDS IN THE 8 TO
12 KT RANGE. WINDS WILL SLIDE TO A MORE NORTHEASTERLY COMPONENT IN
THE AFTERNOON AFTER 21Z WITH SOME DECREASE IN WIND SPEED. SOUTHERLY
DRAINAGE WINDS EXPECTED TO RETURN TONIGHT.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS IN THE 10 TO 15 KT RANGE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ALTHOUGH BISHOP WINDS MAY FAVOR LIGHTER
AND MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER MAY
BE LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY ESPECIALLY NEAR KIFP AND KEED WHERE
SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 KTS AND GUSTS AROUND 30 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...200 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

A RETURN TO MUCH DRIER AND QUIETER WEATHER HAS COMMENCED AS THE
TROUGH WHICH HAS BROUGHT UNSETTLED WEATHER TO OUR REGION FOR THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS IS NOW PUSHING EASTWARD. IN ITS WAKE SOME NORTH
WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED AND WILL BE LOCALLY GUSTY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS IN THE
15 TO 25 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE RIVER BUT SHOULD STAY A
BIT SHY OF THE NEED FOR ANY WIND PRODUCTS.

TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN A BIT ON THE COOLER SIDE BUT SHOULD
MANAGE TO WARM A COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE WHAT HAS BEEN OBSERVED THE
PAST FEW DAYS. CONTINUED WARMING IS EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A STRONG RIDGE IS FORECAST TO HOLD OVER THE WEST COAST AND GREAT
BASIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND MIGRATE EASTWARD
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP A WARM DRY PATTERN OVER THE
FORECAST AREA SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPS IN LAS VEGAS ARE
EXPECTED TO  REACH AT LEAST THE MID 70S BY SUNDAY THEN HOLD THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE THE GRADUAL
BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE WILL ALLOW A MOIST ZONAL FLOW AND A POTENTIAL
PACIFIC SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST AND INTERIOR WEST AFTER
TUESDAY.

&&


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...OUTLER
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER
















000
FXUS65 KVEF 041703
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
903 AM PST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS WILL COMMENCE TODAY AS A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS IN ALONG THE WEST COAST. SOME GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER AND WILL EASE
BY LATE THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL VALUES
BY FRIDAY WITH MILD AND DRY WEATHER PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...TWEAKED WIND SPEEDS ALONG THE RIVER VALLEY FOR TODAY
OTHERWISE, THE FORECAST LOOKS IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE. UPDATE OUT
SHORTLY. -SALMEN-
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST MUCH OF DAY
WITH DIRECTIONS VARYING BETWEEN 340 AND 030 AND SPEEDS IN THE 8 TO
12 KT RANGE. WINDS WILL SLIDE TO A MORE NORTHEASTERLY COMPONENT IN
THE AFTERNOON AFTER 21Z WITH SOME DECREASE IN WIND SPEED. SOUTHERLY
DRAINAGE WINDS EXPECTED TO RETURN TONIGHT.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS IN THE 10 TO 15 KT RANGE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ALTHOUGH BISHOP WINDS MAY FAVOR LIGHTER
AND MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER MAY
BE LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY ESPECIALLY NEAR KIFP AND KEED WHERE
SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 KTS AND GUSTS AROUND 30 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...200 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

A RETURN TO MUCH DRIER AND QUIETER WEATHER HAS COMMENCED AS THE
TROUGH WHICH HAS BROUGHT UNSETTLED WEATHER TO OUR REGION FOR THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS IS NOW PUSHING EASTWARD. IN ITS WAKE SOME NORTH
WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED AND WILL BE LOCALLY GUSTY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS IN THE
15 TO 25 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE RIVER BUT SHOULD STAY A
BIT SHY OF THE NEED FOR ANY WIND PRODUCTS.

TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN A BIT ON THE COOLER SIDE BUT SHOULD
MANAGE TO WARM A COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE WHAT HAS BEEN OBSERVED THE
PAST FEW DAYS. CONTINUED WARMING IS EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A STRONG RIDGE IS FORECAST TO HOLD OVER THE WEST COAST AND GREAT
BASIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND MIGRATE EASTWARD
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP A WARM DRY PATTERN OVER THE
FORECAST AREA SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPS IN LAS VEGAS ARE
EXPECTED TO  REACH AT LEAST THE MID 70S BY SUNDAY THEN HOLD THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE THE GRADUAL
BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE WILL ALLOW A MOIST ZONAL FLOW AND A POTENTIAL
PACIFIC SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST AND INTERIOR WEST AFTER
TUESDAY.

&&


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...OUTLER
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

















000
FXUS65 KVEF 041703
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
903 AM PST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS WILL COMMENCE TODAY AS A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS IN ALONG THE WEST COAST. SOME GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER AND WILL EASE
BY LATE THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL VALUES
BY FRIDAY WITH MILD AND DRY WEATHER PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...TWEAKED WIND SPEEDS ALONG THE RIVER VALLEY FOR TODAY
OTHERWISE, THE FORECAST LOOKS IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE. UPDATE OUT
SHORTLY. -SALMEN-
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST MUCH OF DAY
WITH DIRECTIONS VARYING BETWEEN 340 AND 030 AND SPEEDS IN THE 8 TO
12 KT RANGE. WINDS WILL SLIDE TO A MORE NORTHEASTERLY COMPONENT IN
THE AFTERNOON AFTER 21Z WITH SOME DECREASE IN WIND SPEED. SOUTHERLY
DRAINAGE WINDS EXPECTED TO RETURN TONIGHT.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS IN THE 10 TO 15 KT RANGE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ALTHOUGH BISHOP WINDS MAY FAVOR LIGHTER
AND MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER MAY
BE LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY ESPECIALLY NEAR KIFP AND KEED WHERE
SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 KTS AND GUSTS AROUND 30 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE.
CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...200 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

A RETURN TO MUCH DRIER AND QUIETER WEATHER HAS COMMENCED AS THE
TROUGH WHICH HAS BROUGHT UNSETTLED WEATHER TO OUR REGION FOR THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS IS NOW PUSHING EASTWARD. IN ITS WAKE SOME NORTH
WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED AND WILL BE LOCALLY GUSTY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS IN THE
15 TO 25 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE RIVER BUT SHOULD STAY A
BIT SHY OF THE NEED FOR ANY WIND PRODUCTS.

TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN A BIT ON THE COOLER SIDE BUT SHOULD
MANAGE TO WARM A COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE WHAT HAS BEEN OBSERVED THE
PAST FEW DAYS. CONTINUED WARMING IS EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A STRONG RIDGE IS FORECAST TO HOLD OVER THE WEST COAST AND GREAT
BASIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND MIGRATE EASTWARD
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP A WARM DRY PATTERN OVER THE
FORECAST AREA SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPS IN LAS VEGAS ARE
EXPECTED TO  REACH AT LEAST THE MID 70S BY SUNDAY THEN HOLD THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE THE GRADUAL
BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE WILL ALLOW A MOIST ZONAL FLOW AND A POTENTIAL
PACIFIC SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST AND INTERIOR WEST AFTER
TUESDAY.

&&


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...OUTLER
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

















000
FXUS65 KVEF 040957
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
200 AM PST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS WILL COMMENCE TODAY AS A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS IN ALONG THE WEST COAST. SOME GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER AND WILL EASE
BY LATE THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL VALUES
BY FRIDAY WITH MILD AND DRY WEATHER PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

A RETURN TO MUCH DRIER AND QUIETER WEATHER HAS COMMENCED AS THE
TROUGH WHICH HAS BROUGHT UNSETTLED WEATHER TO OUR REGION FOR THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS IS NOW PUSHING EASTWARD. IN ITS WAKE SOME NORTH
WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED AND WILL BE LOCALLY GUSTY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS IN THE
15 TO 25 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE RIVER BUT SHOULD STAY A
BIT SHY OF THE NEED FOR ANY WIND PRODUCTS.

TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN A BIT ON THE COOLER SIDE BUT SHOULD
MANAGE TO WARM A COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE WHAT HAS BEEN OBSERVED THE
PAST FEW DAYS. CONTINUED WARMING IS EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A STRONG RIDGE IS FORECAST TO HOLD OVER THE WEST COAST AND GREAT
BASIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND MIGRATE EASTWARD
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP A WARM DRY PATTERN OVER THE
FORECAST AREA SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPS IN LAS VEGAS ARE
EXPECTED TO  REACH AT LEAST THE MID 70S BY SUNDAY THEN HOLD THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE THE GRADUAL
BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE WILL ALLOW A MOIST ZONAL FLOW AND A POTENTIAL
PACIFIC SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST AND INTERIOR WEST AFTER
TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST MUCH OF DAY
WITH DIRECTIONS VARYING BETWEEN 330 AND 030 AND SPEEDS IN THE 8 TO
12 KT RANGE. WINDS WILL SLIDE TO A MORE NORTHEASTERLY COMPONENT IN
THE AFTERNOON AFTER 21Z. SOUTHERLY DRAINAGE WINDS EXPECTED TO RETURN
TONIGHT.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS IN THE 10 TO 15 KT RANGE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ALTHOUGH BISHOP WINDS MAY FAVOR LIGHTER
AND MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER MAY
BE LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY ESPECIALLY NEAR KIFP AND KEED WHERE
SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...OUTLER
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER













000
FXUS65 KVEF 040957
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
200 AM PST WED MAR 4 2015

.SYNOPSIS...MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS WILL COMMENCE TODAY AS A HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDS IN ALONG THE WEST COAST. SOME GUSTY NORTHERLY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER AND WILL EASE
BY LATE THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL VALUES
BY FRIDAY WITH MILD AND DRY WEATHER PERSISTING THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

A RETURN TO MUCH DRIER AND QUIETER WEATHER HAS COMMENCED AS THE
TROUGH WHICH HAS BROUGHT UNSETTLED WEATHER TO OUR REGION FOR THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS IS NOW PUSHING EASTWARD. IN ITS WAKE SOME NORTH
WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED AND WILL BE LOCALLY GUSTY ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIND SPEEDS IN THE
15 TO 25 MPH RANGE ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE RIVER BUT SHOULD STAY A
BIT SHY OF THE NEED FOR ANY WIND PRODUCTS.

TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN A BIT ON THE COOLER SIDE BUT SHOULD
MANAGE TO WARM A COUPLE DEGREES ABOVE WHAT HAS BEEN OBSERVED THE
PAST FEW DAYS. CONTINUED WARMING IS EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A STRONG RIDGE IS FORECAST TO HOLD OVER THE WEST COAST AND GREAT
BASIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND THEN GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND MIGRATE EASTWARD
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL KEEP A WARM DRY PATTERN OVER THE
FORECAST AREA SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPS IN LAS VEGAS ARE
EXPECTED TO  REACH AT LEAST THE MID 70S BY SUNDAY THEN HOLD THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE LATEST MEDIUM RANGE MODELS INDICATE THE GRADUAL
BREAKDOWN OF THE RIDGE WILL ALLOW A MOIST ZONAL FLOW AND A POTENTIAL
PACIFIC SYSTEM TO MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST AND INTERIOR WEST AFTER
TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST MUCH OF DAY
WITH DIRECTIONS VARYING BETWEEN 330 AND 030 AND SPEEDS IN THE 8 TO
12 KT RANGE. WINDS WILL SLIDE TO A MORE NORTHEASTERLY COMPONENT IN
THE AFTERNOON AFTER 21Z. SOUTHERLY DRAINAGE WINDS EXPECTED TO RETURN
TONIGHT.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS IN THE 10 TO 15 KT RANGE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION ALTHOUGH BISHOP WINDS MAY FAVOR LIGHTER
AND MORE TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS. WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER MAY
BE LOCALLY STRONG AND GUSTY ESPECIALLY NEAR KIFP AND KEED WHERE
SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. CLEAR SKIES EXPECTED.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...OUTLER
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER














000
FXUS65 KVEF 040437
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
840 PM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...TONIGHT WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF AN EXTENDED DRY
PERIOD THAT IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
THEN WARM CONSIDERABLY FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...SOME LINGERING SHOWERS REMAIN ACROSS AREAS GENERALLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 15. SOME LIGHT SHOWERS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAS VEGAS VALLEY WITH AMOUNTS
BETWEEN A TRACE AND A SINGLE HUNDREDTH OF INCH FALLING OUT OF THEM.
CLEARING IS EVIDENT TO THE NORTH OF THIS ACTIVITY WHICH WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD TONIGHT.  I HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO
RETAIN ISOLATED SHOWERS LATER INTO THE NIGHT AS THE TROUGH AXIS
PUSHES THROUGH.  OTHERWISE WATCHING THE TRANSITION OF WINDS ACROSS
OUR FORECAST AREA AS NORTH WINDS PUSH IN. OVER ALL THE FORECAST IS
IN GOOD SHAPE.

-OUTLER-

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNSET
OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER WITH A NOTICEABLE DOWNTREND THIS EVENING. THE
SHOWERS THAT ROLLED THROUGH THE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON PRODUCED FROM
A TRACE TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS, A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES AND SOME SMALL HAIL.

SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH OVERNIGHT WITH DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTH THIS
AFTERNOON WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING NORTH WINDS TO MUCH OF THE
AREA FOR WEDNESDAY WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE FAVORED COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD STAY SUB-ADVISORY LEVELS BASED ON
THE LATEST MODEL FORECASTS/GUIDANCE AND NO WIND HAZARD PRODUCTS ARE
ANTICIPATED. MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WITH A FEW HIGH CLOUDS FILTERING IN FROM THE NORTH ON
FRIDAY.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, WEDNESDAY WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES REMAIN
8-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL BUT WILL THEN BEGIN TO TREND UPWARDS
THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY WHEN HIGHS WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...RIDGING OVER THE WEST COAST
WILL HOLD THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH DRY WEATHER...LIGHT WINDS...AND A
WARMING TREND. HIGH TEMPS SHOULD BE AT LEAST IN THE MID 70S FOR KLAS
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...PERHAPS EVEN WARMER IF THE GFS MOS IS RIGHT.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...FEW CLOUDS IN THE 4-6 KFT RANGE BUT BKN
CIGS IN THE 7-8 KFT RANGE WILL BE PREDOMINANT. WINDS SHOULD RETURN
TO A SOUTHWEST TO WEST DIRECTION AROUND 8-10 KTS BUT COULD BEGIN
FAVORING A MORE NORTHWEST DIRECTION BY THE END OF THE AFTERNOON. ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY COULD BRING VARIABLE WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED AT
TIMES THROUGH SUNSET. SKY CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BY MIDNIGHT.
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT THEN BECOMING PREDOMINANTLY
NORTHEAST AT 8-12 KTS ON WEDNESDAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM KDAG-KDRA-KELY.
CIGS NEAR SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 4-6 KFT. NORTH
WINDS WILL PUSH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. WINDS IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 15-25 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SALMEN
LONG TERM...MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











000
FXUS65 KVEF 040437
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
840 PM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...TONIGHT WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF AN EXTENDED DRY
PERIOD THAT IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
THEN WARM CONSIDERABLY FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...SOME LINGERING SHOWERS REMAIN ACROSS AREAS GENERALLY ALONG
AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 15. SOME LIGHT SHOWERS ARE CURRENTLY MOVING
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE LAS VEGAS VALLEY WITH AMOUNTS
BETWEEN A TRACE AND A SINGLE HUNDREDTH OF INCH FALLING OUT OF THEM.
CLEARING IS EVIDENT TO THE NORTH OF THIS ACTIVITY WHICH WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHWARD TONIGHT.  I HAVE UPDATED THE FORECAST TO
RETAIN ISOLATED SHOWERS LATER INTO THE NIGHT AS THE TROUGH AXIS
PUSHES THROUGH.  OTHERWISE WATCHING THE TRANSITION OF WINDS ACROSS
OUR FORECAST AREA AS NORTH WINDS PUSH IN. OVER ALL THE FORECAST IS
IN GOOD SHAPE.

-OUTLER-

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNSET
OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER WITH A NOTICEABLE DOWNTREND THIS EVENING. THE
SHOWERS THAT ROLLED THROUGH THE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON PRODUCED FROM
A TRACE TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS, A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES AND SOME SMALL HAIL.

SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH OVERNIGHT WITH DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTH THIS
AFTERNOON WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING NORTH WINDS TO MUCH OF THE
AREA FOR WEDNESDAY WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE FAVORED COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD STAY SUB-ADVISORY LEVELS BASED ON
THE LATEST MODEL FORECASTS/GUIDANCE AND NO WIND HAZARD PRODUCTS ARE
ANTICIPATED. MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WITH A FEW HIGH CLOUDS FILTERING IN FROM THE NORTH ON
FRIDAY.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, WEDNESDAY WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES REMAIN
8-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL BUT WILL THEN BEGIN TO TREND UPWARDS
THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY WHEN HIGHS WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...RIDGING OVER THE WEST COAST
WILL HOLD THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH DRY WEATHER...LIGHT WINDS...AND A
WARMING TREND. HIGH TEMPS SHOULD BE AT LEAST IN THE MID 70S FOR KLAS
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...PERHAPS EVEN WARMER IF THE GFS MOS IS RIGHT.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...FEW CLOUDS IN THE 4-6 KFT RANGE BUT BKN
CIGS IN THE 7-8 KFT RANGE WILL BE PREDOMINANT. WINDS SHOULD RETURN
TO A SOUTHWEST TO WEST DIRECTION AROUND 8-10 KTS BUT COULD BEGIN
FAVORING A MORE NORTHWEST DIRECTION BY THE END OF THE AFTERNOON. ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY COULD BRING VARIABLE WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED AT
TIMES THROUGH SUNSET. SKY CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BY MIDNIGHT.
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT THEN BECOMING PREDOMINANTLY
NORTHEAST AT 8-12 KTS ON WEDNESDAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM KDAG-KDRA-KELY.
CIGS NEAR SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 4-6 KFT. NORTH
WINDS WILL PUSH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. WINDS IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 15-25 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SALMEN
LONG TERM...MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER










000
FXUS65 KVEF 032243
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
344 PM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...TONIGHT WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF AN EXTENDED DRY
PERIOD THAT IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
THEN WARM CONSIDERABLY FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNSET
OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER WITH A NOTICEABLE DOWNTREND THIS EVENING. THE
SHOWERS THAT ROLLED THROUGH THE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON PRODUCED FROM
A TRACE TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS, A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES AND SOME SMALL HAIL.

SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH OVERNIGHT WITH DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTH THIS
AFTERNOON WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING NORTH WINDS TO MUCH OF THE
AREA FOR WEDNESDAY WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE FAVORED COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD STAY SUB-ADVISORY LEVELS BASED ON
THE LATEST MODEL FORECASTS/GUIDANCE AND NO WIND HAZARD PRODUCTS ARE
ANTICIPATED. MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WITH A FEW HIGH CLOUDS FILTERING IN FROM THE NORTH ON
FRIDAY.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, WEDNESDAY WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES REMAIN
8-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL BUT WILL THEN BEGIN TO TREND UPWARDS
THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY WHEN HIGHS WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...RIDGING OVER THE WEST COAST
WILL HOLD THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH DRY WEATHER...LIGHT WINDS...AND A
WARMING TREND. HIGH TEMPS SHOULD BE AT LEAST IN THE MID 70S FOR KLAS
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...PERHAPS EVEN WARMER IF THE GFS MOS IS RIGHT.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...FEW CLOUDS IN THE 4-6 KFT RANGE BUT BKN
CIGS IN THE 7-8 KFT RANGE WILL BE PREDOMINANT. WINDS SHOULD RETURN
TO A SOUTHWEST TO WEST DIRECTION AROUND 8-10 KTS BUT COULD BEGIN
FAVORING A MORE NORTHWEST DIRECTION BY THE END OF THE AFTERNOON. ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY COULD BRING VARIABLE WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED AT
TIMES THROUGH SUNSET. SKY CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BY MIDNIGHT.
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT THEN BECOMING PREDOMINANTLY
NORTHEAST AT 8-12 KTS ON WEDNESDAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM KDAG-KDRA-KELY.
CIGS NEAR SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 4-6 KFT. NORTH
WINDS WILL PUSH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. WINDS IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 15-25 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SALMEN
LONG TERM...MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 032243
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
344 PM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...TONIGHT WILL MARK THE BEGINNING OF AN EXTENDED DRY
PERIOD THAT IS EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
THEN WARM CONSIDERABLY FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNSET
OR SHORTLY THEREAFTER WITH A NOTICEABLE DOWNTREND THIS EVENING. THE
SHOWERS THAT ROLLED THROUGH THE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON PRODUCED FROM
A TRACE TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS, A FEW
LIGHTNING STRIKES AND SOME SMALL HAIL.

SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM NORTH TO SOUTH OVERNIGHT WITH DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE NORTH THIS
AFTERNOON WILL PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL BRING NORTH WINDS TO MUCH OF THE
AREA FOR WEDNESDAY WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS IN THE FAVORED COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD STAY SUB-ADVISORY LEVELS BASED ON
THE LATEST MODEL FORECASTS/GUIDANCE AND NO WIND HAZARD PRODUCTS ARE
ANTICIPATED. MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY WITH A FEW HIGH CLOUDS FILTERING IN FROM THE NORTH ON
FRIDAY.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, WEDNESDAY WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES REMAIN
8-10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL BUT WILL THEN BEGIN TO TREND UPWARDS
THURSDAY AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY WHEN HIGHS WILL WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...RIDGING OVER THE WEST COAST
WILL HOLD THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH DRY WEATHER...LIGHT WINDS...AND A
WARMING TREND. HIGH TEMPS SHOULD BE AT LEAST IN THE MID 70S FOR KLAS
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK...PERHAPS EVEN WARMER IF THE GFS MOS IS RIGHT.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...FEW CLOUDS IN THE 4-6 KFT RANGE BUT BKN
CIGS IN THE 7-8 KFT RANGE WILL BE PREDOMINANT. WINDS SHOULD RETURN
TO A SOUTHWEST TO WEST DIRECTION AROUND 8-10 KTS BUT COULD BEGIN
FAVORING A MORE NORTHWEST DIRECTION BY THE END OF THE AFTERNOON. ANY
SHOWER ACTIVITY COULD BRING VARIABLE WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED AT
TIMES THROUGH SUNSET. SKY CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BY MIDNIGHT.
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT THEN BECOMING PREDOMINANTLY
NORTHEAST AT 8-12 KTS ON WEDNESDAY.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ESPECIALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM KDAG-KDRA-KELY.
CIGS NEAR SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 4-6 KFT. NORTH
WINDS WILL PUSH FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. WINDS IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 15-25 KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SALMEN
LONG TERM...MORGAN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 031657 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
857 AM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COOL CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST TODAY AS A TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION.
DRIER CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY
BEFORE A MARKED WARMING TREND COMMENCES FRIDAY.  OVER THE WEEKEND
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL THANKS TO HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING ACROSS THE WEST COAST...AND STAYING PUT THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...INCREASING CLOUDS AND CHANCES FOR PRECIP TODAY AS A SYSTEM
MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. MORNING MODELS CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT
LINCOLN AND NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES AS THE MOST FAVORABLE AREAS FOR
SHOWER ACTIVITY PRODUCING LIGHT RAIN/SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. WILL BE ON
THE LOOKOUT FOR DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING BRIEF MODERATE RAIN, GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. FORECAST
IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO UPDATES CURRENTLY NEEDED. -SALMEN-

&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS THROUGH 19Z WHEN
THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO DESTABILIZE AND ISOLATED VICINITY SHOWERS
BREAK OUT. CIGS IN THE 5-6KFT RANGE WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
ACTIVITY IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE AIRFIELD BUT BKN CIGS IN
THE 7-8KFT RANGE WILL BE PREDOMINANT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 9
TO 12 KTS FAVORED IN THE AFTERNOON BUT DIRECTION AND SPEED MAY BE
VARIABLE AT TIMES DUE TO SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE AREA. IMPROVING
CONDITIONS EXPECTED AFTER 00Z WITH A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS
EXPECTED AFTER 3Z.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE TODAY ESPECIALLY EAST OF A
LINE FROM KDAG-KDRA-KELY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
STRONG UPDRAFTS AND GUSTY SURFACE WINDS. CIGS NEAR SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL RANGE FROM 4-6KFT. A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH WINDS OF 15-25KTS POSSIBLE DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...145 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED THIS MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME LIGHT RETURNS SHOWING UP ON
RADAR ACROSS NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY.  I EXPECT THAT WITH RETURN OF
DAYTIME HEATING AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING THINGS WILL QUICKLY LIVEN
UP AGAIN AS THE TROUGH AXIS REMAINS OVERHEAD AND AN ADDITIONAL
SHORTWAVE PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. WITH THE TROUGH AXIS
PASSING DIRECTLY OVERHEAD AND 500MB TEMPERATURES IN THE -25C TO -28C
RANGE...THERE WILL ONCE AGAIN BE MARGINAL INSTABILITY PRESENT TO
SUPPORT A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES AND PERHAPS A STRONGER UPDRAFT OR
TWO MAY PRODUCE SOME SMALL HAIL.

THE SHORTWAVE DRIVING THIS ACTIVITY ALONG WITH THE ENTIRE TROUGH
AXIS WHICH STRETCHES ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO THE BAJA WILL BEGIN TO
SHIFT EASTWARD BY LATE AFTERNOON. DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL
INVADE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES BECOMING LIMITED TO MOHAVE COUNTY BY LATE IN THE EVENING
WHERE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY
OVERNIGHT PERIOD.  AS THE TROUGH EXITS...A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL FOLLOW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE STORM SYSTEM.
THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY
SUBSIDING BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE ALONG
THE WEST COAST THURSDAY THAT WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE INLAND OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK PROVIDING DRY AND MILD WEATHER FOR OUR
FORECAST AREA. A WEAK UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR THE BASE
OF THE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN BAJA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/SATURDAY
WHICH WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF NORTH BREEZES...ESPECIALLY DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY NEAR LAUGHLIN AND BULLHEAD CITY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN A NOTICEABLE WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO
THE 70S ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...OUTLER
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER
















000
FXUS65 KVEF 031657 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
857 AM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COOL CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST TODAY AS A TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION.
DRIER CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY
BEFORE A MARKED WARMING TREND COMMENCES FRIDAY.  OVER THE WEEKEND
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL THANKS TO HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING ACROSS THE WEST COAST...AND STAYING PUT THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...INCREASING CLOUDS AND CHANCES FOR PRECIP TODAY AS A SYSTEM
MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. MORNING MODELS CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT
LINCOLN AND NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES AS THE MOST FAVORABLE AREAS FOR
SHOWER ACTIVITY PRODUCING LIGHT RAIN/SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. WILL BE ON
THE LOOKOUT FOR DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING BRIEF MODERATE RAIN, GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. FORECAST
IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO UPDATES CURRENTLY NEEDED. -SALMEN-

&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS THROUGH 19Z WHEN
THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO DESTABILIZE AND ISOLATED VICINITY SHOWERS
BREAK OUT. CIGS IN THE 5-6KFT RANGE WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
ACTIVITY IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE AIRFIELD BUT BKN CIGS IN
THE 7-8KFT RANGE WILL BE PREDOMINANT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 9
TO 12 KTS FAVORED IN THE AFTERNOON BUT DIRECTION AND SPEED MAY BE
VARIABLE AT TIMES DUE TO SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE AREA. IMPROVING
CONDITIONS EXPECTED AFTER 00Z WITH A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS
EXPECTED AFTER 3Z.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE TODAY ESPECIALLY EAST OF A
LINE FROM KDAG-KDRA-KELY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
STRONG UPDRAFTS AND GUSTY SURFACE WINDS. CIGS NEAR SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL RANGE FROM 4-6KFT. A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH WINDS OF 15-25KTS POSSIBLE DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...145 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED THIS MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME LIGHT RETURNS SHOWING UP ON
RADAR ACROSS NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY.  I EXPECT THAT WITH RETURN OF
DAYTIME HEATING AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING THINGS WILL QUICKLY LIVEN
UP AGAIN AS THE TROUGH AXIS REMAINS OVERHEAD AND AN ADDITIONAL
SHORTWAVE PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. WITH THE TROUGH AXIS
PASSING DIRECTLY OVERHEAD AND 500MB TEMPERATURES IN THE -25C TO -28C
RANGE...THERE WILL ONCE AGAIN BE MARGINAL INSTABILITY PRESENT TO
SUPPORT A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES AND PERHAPS A STRONGER UPDRAFT OR
TWO MAY PRODUCE SOME SMALL HAIL.

THE SHORTWAVE DRIVING THIS ACTIVITY ALONG WITH THE ENTIRE TROUGH
AXIS WHICH STRETCHES ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO THE BAJA WILL BEGIN TO
SHIFT EASTWARD BY LATE AFTERNOON. DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL
INVADE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES BECOMING LIMITED TO MOHAVE COUNTY BY LATE IN THE EVENING
WHERE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY
OVERNIGHT PERIOD.  AS THE TROUGH EXITS...A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL FOLLOW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE STORM SYSTEM.
THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY
SUBSIDING BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE ALONG
THE WEST COAST THURSDAY THAT WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE INLAND OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK PROVIDING DRY AND MILD WEATHER FOR OUR
FORECAST AREA. A WEAK UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR THE BASE
OF THE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN BAJA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/SATURDAY
WHICH WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF NORTH BREEZES...ESPECIALLY DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY NEAR LAUGHLIN AND BULLHEAD CITY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN A NOTICEABLE WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO
THE 70S ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...OUTLER
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

















000
FXUS65 KVEF 031657 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
857 AM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COOL CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST TODAY AS A TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION.
DRIER CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY
BEFORE A MARKED WARMING TREND COMMENCES FRIDAY.  OVER THE WEEKEND
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL THANKS TO HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING ACROSS THE WEST COAST...AND STAYING PUT THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...INCREASING CLOUDS AND CHANCES FOR PRECIP TODAY AS A SYSTEM
MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. MORNING MODELS CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT
LINCOLN AND NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES AS THE MOST FAVORABLE AREAS FOR
SHOWER ACTIVITY PRODUCING LIGHT RAIN/SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. WILL BE ON
THE LOOKOUT FOR DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING BRIEF MODERATE RAIN, GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. FORECAST
IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO UPDATES CURRENTLY NEEDED. -SALMEN-

&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS THROUGH 19Z WHEN
THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO DESTABILIZE AND ISOLATED VICINITY SHOWERS
BREAK OUT. CIGS IN THE 5-6KFT RANGE WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
ACTIVITY IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE AIRFIELD BUT BKN CIGS IN
THE 7-8KFT RANGE WILL BE PREDOMINANT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 9
TO 12 KTS FAVORED IN THE AFTERNOON BUT DIRECTION AND SPEED MAY BE
VARIABLE AT TIMES DUE TO SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE AREA. IMPROVING
CONDITIONS EXPECTED AFTER 00Z WITH A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS
EXPECTED AFTER 3Z.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE TODAY ESPECIALLY EAST OF A
LINE FROM KDAG-KDRA-KELY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
STRONG UPDRAFTS AND GUSTY SURFACE WINDS. CIGS NEAR SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL RANGE FROM 4-6KFT. A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH WINDS OF 15-25KTS POSSIBLE DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...145 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED THIS MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME LIGHT RETURNS SHOWING UP ON
RADAR ACROSS NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY.  I EXPECT THAT WITH RETURN OF
DAYTIME HEATING AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING THINGS WILL QUICKLY LIVEN
UP AGAIN AS THE TROUGH AXIS REMAINS OVERHEAD AND AN ADDITIONAL
SHORTWAVE PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. WITH THE TROUGH AXIS
PASSING DIRECTLY OVERHEAD AND 500MB TEMPERATURES IN THE -25C TO -28C
RANGE...THERE WILL ONCE AGAIN BE MARGINAL INSTABILITY PRESENT TO
SUPPORT A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES AND PERHAPS A STRONGER UPDRAFT OR
TWO MAY PRODUCE SOME SMALL HAIL.

THE SHORTWAVE DRIVING THIS ACTIVITY ALONG WITH THE ENTIRE TROUGH
AXIS WHICH STRETCHES ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO THE BAJA WILL BEGIN TO
SHIFT EASTWARD BY LATE AFTERNOON. DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL
INVADE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES BECOMING LIMITED TO MOHAVE COUNTY BY LATE IN THE EVENING
WHERE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY
OVERNIGHT PERIOD.  AS THE TROUGH EXITS...A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL FOLLOW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE STORM SYSTEM.
THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY
SUBSIDING BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE ALONG
THE WEST COAST THURSDAY THAT WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE INLAND OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK PROVIDING DRY AND MILD WEATHER FOR OUR
FORECAST AREA. A WEAK UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR THE BASE
OF THE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN BAJA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/SATURDAY
WHICH WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF NORTH BREEZES...ESPECIALLY DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY NEAR LAUGHLIN AND BULLHEAD CITY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN A NOTICEABLE WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO
THE 70S ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...OUTLER
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER
















000
FXUS65 KVEF 031657 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
857 AM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COOL CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST TODAY AS A TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION.
DRIER CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY
BEFORE A MARKED WARMING TREND COMMENCES FRIDAY.  OVER THE WEEKEND
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL THANKS TO HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING ACROSS THE WEST COAST...AND STAYING PUT THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.UPDATE...INCREASING CLOUDS AND CHANCES FOR PRECIP TODAY AS A SYSTEM
MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. MORNING MODELS CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT
LINCOLN AND NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTIES AS THE MOST FAVORABLE AREAS FOR
SHOWER ACTIVITY PRODUCING LIGHT RAIN/SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. WILL BE ON
THE LOOKOUT FOR DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS WHICH WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING BRIEF MODERATE RAIN, GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL. FORECAST
IN GOOD SHAPE AND NO UPDATES CURRENTLY NEEDED. -SALMEN-

&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MOSTLY CLEAR CONDITIONS THROUGH 19Z WHEN
THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO DESTABILIZE AND ISOLATED VICINITY SHOWERS
BREAK OUT. CIGS IN THE 5-6KFT RANGE WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
ACTIVITY IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE AIRFIELD BUT BKN CIGS IN
THE 7-8KFT RANGE WILL BE PREDOMINANT. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 9
TO 12 KTS FAVORED IN THE AFTERNOON BUT DIRECTION AND SPEED MAY BE
VARIABLE AT TIMES DUE TO SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE AREA. IMPROVING
CONDITIONS EXPECTED AFTER 00Z WITH A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS
EXPECTED AFTER 3Z.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE TODAY ESPECIALLY EAST OF A
LINE FROM KDAG-KDRA-KELY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
STRONG UPDRAFTS AND GUSTY SURFACE WINDS. CIGS NEAR SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL RANGE FROM 4-6KFT. A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH WINDS OF 15-25KTS POSSIBLE DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.

&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...145 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED THIS MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME LIGHT RETURNS SHOWING UP ON
RADAR ACROSS NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY.  I EXPECT THAT WITH RETURN OF
DAYTIME HEATING AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING THINGS WILL QUICKLY LIVEN
UP AGAIN AS THE TROUGH AXIS REMAINS OVERHEAD AND AN ADDITIONAL
SHORTWAVE PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. WITH THE TROUGH AXIS
PASSING DIRECTLY OVERHEAD AND 500MB TEMPERATURES IN THE -25C TO -28C
RANGE...THERE WILL ONCE AGAIN BE MARGINAL INSTABILITY PRESENT TO
SUPPORT A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES AND PERHAPS A STRONGER UPDRAFT OR
TWO MAY PRODUCE SOME SMALL HAIL.

THE SHORTWAVE DRIVING THIS ACTIVITY ALONG WITH THE ENTIRE TROUGH
AXIS WHICH STRETCHES ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO THE BAJA WILL BEGIN TO
SHIFT EASTWARD BY LATE AFTERNOON. DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL
INVADE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES BECOMING LIMITED TO MOHAVE COUNTY BY LATE IN THE EVENING
WHERE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY
OVERNIGHT PERIOD.  AS THE TROUGH EXITS...A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL FOLLOW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE STORM SYSTEM.
THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY
SUBSIDING BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE ALONG
THE WEST COAST THURSDAY THAT WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE INLAND OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK PROVIDING DRY AND MILD WEATHER FOR OUR
FORECAST AREA. A WEAK UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR THE BASE
OF THE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN BAJA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/SATURDAY
WHICH WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF NORTH BREEZES...ESPECIALLY DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY NEAR LAUGHLIN AND BULLHEAD CITY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN A NOTICEABLE WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO
THE 70S ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...OUTLER
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

















000
FXUS65 KVEF 030945
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
145 AM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COOL CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST TODAY AS A TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION.
DRIER CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY
BEFORE A MARKED WARMING TREND COMMENCES FRIDAY.  OVER THE WEEKEND
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL THANKS TO HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING ACROSS THE WEST COAST...AND STAYING PUT THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED THIS MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME LIGHT RETURNS SHOWING UP ON
RADAR ACROSS NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY.  I EXPECT THAT WITH RETURN OF
DAYTIME HEATING AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING THINGS WILL QUICKLY LIVEN
UP AGAIN AS THE TROUGH AXIS REMAINS OVERHEAD AND AN ADDITIONAL
SHORTWAVE PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. WITH THE TROUGH AXIS
PASSING DIRECTLY OVERHEAD AND 500MB TEMPERATURES IN THE -25C TO -28C
RANGE...THERE WILL ONCE AGAIN BE MARGINAL INSTABILITY PRESENT TO
SUPPORT A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES AND PERHAPS A STRONGER UPDRAFT OR
TWO MAY PRODUCE SOME SMALL HAIL.

THE SHORTWAVE DRIVING THIS ACTIVITY ALONG WITH THE ENTIRE TROUGH
AXIS WHICH STRETCHES ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO THE BAJA WILL BEGIN TO
SHIFT EASTWARD BY LATE AFTERNOON. DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL
INVADE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES BECOMING LIMITED TO MOHAVE COUNTY BY LATE IN THE EVENING
WHERE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY
OVERNIGHT PERIOD.  AS THE TROUGH EXITS...A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL FOLLOW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE STORM SYSTEM.
THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY
SUBSIDING BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE ALONG
THE WEST COAST THURSDAY THAT WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE INLAND OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK PROVIDING DRY AND MILD WEATHER FOR OUR
FORECAST AREA. A WEAK UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR THE BASE
OF THE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN BAJA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/SATURDAY
WHICH WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF NORTH BREEZES...ESPECIALLY DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY NEAR LAUGHLIN AND BULLHEAD CITY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN A NOTICEABLE WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO
THE 70S ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...SKIES HAVE CLEARED OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT
AND SOMEWHAT VARIABLE WINDS. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 19Z
BEFORE THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO DESTABILIZE AGAIN WITH ISOLATED
SHOWERS BREAKING OUT IN THE VICINITY. CIGS IN THE 5-6KFT RANGE WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY ACTIVITY IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE
AIRFIELD BUT BKN CIGS IN THE 7-8KFT RANGE WILL BE PREDOMINANT. WEST
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 9 TO 12 KTS FAVORED IN THE AFTERNOON BUT
DIRECTION AND SPEED MAY BE VARIABLE AT TIMES DUE TO SHOWER ACTIVITY
IN THE AREA. IMPROVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED AFTER 00Z WITH A PUSH OF
NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED AFTER 3Z.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AGAIN POSSIBLE TODAY ESPECIALLY EAST
OF A LINE FROM KDAG-KDRA-KELY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH
STRONG UPDRAFTS AND GUSTY SURFACE WINDS. CIGS NEAR SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL RANGE FROM 4-6KFT. A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH WINDS OF 15-25KTS POSSIBLE DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...OUTLER
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER














000
FXUS65 KVEF 030945
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
145 AM PST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COOL CONDITIONS WITH SCATTERED RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
SHOWERS WILL PERSIST TODAY AS A TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION.
DRIER CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY WARMER WEATHER IS EXPECTED THURSDAY
BEFORE A MARKED WARMING TREND COMMENCES FRIDAY.  OVER THE WEEKEND
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE NORMAL THANKS TO HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING ACROSS THE WEST COAST...AND STAYING PUT THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DIMINISHED THIS MORNING ACROSS MOST OF THE
FORECAST AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SOME LIGHT RETURNS SHOWING UP ON
RADAR ACROSS NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY.  I EXPECT THAT WITH RETURN OF
DAYTIME HEATING AFTER SUNRISE THIS MORNING THINGS WILL QUICKLY LIVEN
UP AGAIN AS THE TROUGH AXIS REMAINS OVERHEAD AND AN ADDITIONAL
SHORTWAVE PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. WITH THE TROUGH AXIS
PASSING DIRECTLY OVERHEAD AND 500MB TEMPERATURES IN THE -25C TO -28C
RANGE...THERE WILL ONCE AGAIN BE MARGINAL INSTABILITY PRESENT TO
SUPPORT A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES AND PERHAPS A STRONGER UPDRAFT OR
TWO MAY PRODUCE SOME SMALL HAIL.

THE SHORTWAVE DRIVING THIS ACTIVITY ALONG WITH THE ENTIRE TROUGH
AXIS WHICH STRETCHES ALL THE WAY DOWN INTO THE BAJA WILL BEGIN TO
SHIFT EASTWARD BY LATE AFTERNOON. DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR WILL
INVADE FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST WITH SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES BECOMING LIMITED TO MOHAVE COUNTY BY LATE IN THE EVENING
WHERE A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE EARLY
OVERNIGHT PERIOD.  AS THE TROUGH EXITS...A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS
WILL FOLLOW AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE STORM SYSTEM.
THESE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST DOWN THE COLORADO RIVER LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY
SUBSIDING BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE ALONG
THE WEST COAST THURSDAY THAT WILL SLOWLY MIGRATE INLAND OVER THE
WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK PROVIDING DRY AND MILD WEATHER FOR OUR
FORECAST AREA. A WEAK UPPER LOW IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NEAR THE BASE
OF THE RIDGE OVER NORTHERN BAJA THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/SATURDAY
WHICH WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF NORTH BREEZES...ESPECIALLY DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY NEAR LAUGHLIN AND BULLHEAD CITY. TEMPERATURES
WILL BEGIN A NOTICEABLE WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS CLIMBING BACK INTO
THE 70S ACROSS THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...SKIES HAVE CLEARED OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT
AND SOMEWHAT VARIABLE WINDS. THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 19Z
BEFORE THE ATMOSPHERE BEGINS TO DESTABILIZE AGAIN WITH ISOLATED
SHOWERS BREAKING OUT IN THE VICINITY. CIGS IN THE 5-6KFT RANGE WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY ACTIVITY IN THE IMMEDIATE VICINITY OF THE
AIRFIELD BUT BKN CIGS IN THE 7-8KFT RANGE WILL BE PREDOMINANT. WEST
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 9 TO 12 KTS FAVORED IN THE AFTERNOON BUT
DIRECTION AND SPEED MAY BE VARIABLE AT TIMES DUE TO SHOWER ACTIVITY
IN THE AREA. IMPROVING CONDITIONS EXPECTED AFTER 00Z WITH A PUSH OF
NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED AFTER 3Z.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AGAIN POSSIBLE TODAY ESPECIALLY EAST
OF A LINE FROM KDAG-KDRA-KELY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH
STRONG UPDRAFTS AND GUSTY SURFACE WINDS. CIGS NEAR SHOWER ACTIVITY
WILL RANGE FROM 4-6KFT. A PUSH OF NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH WINDS OF 15-25KTS POSSIBLE DOWN THE
COLORADO RIVER VALLEY.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...OUTLER
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER













000
FXUS65 KVEF 030502
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
900 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COOL CONDITIONS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY THEN DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL
SETTLE OVER THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND. GUSTY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY.
&&

.UPDATE...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOPED THIS
AFTERNOON HAVE LARGELY WINDED DOWN THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS REMAIN NAMELY NEAR COLORADO
CITY WHERE REPORTS OF UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN THIS
EVENING AND MADE FOR SOME SLICK ROADWAYS IN THAT AREA. ANOTHER BATCH
OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IS CURRENTLY MOVING EASTWARD NEAR DOLAN
SPRINGS TO NEAR THE GRAND CANYON SKYWALK.

THINGS WILL CONTINUE TO WIND DOWN THIS EVENING BUT SOME RENEWED
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER CHANCES RETURN TOMORROW MAINLY FOR THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE THE COMBINATION OF
INSTABILITY AND RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL BE GREATEST. MADE SOME MINOR
TWEAKS TO THE SKY COVER THIS EVENING BUT OTHERWISE THINGS ARE IN
GOOD SHAPE.

-OUTLER-

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THE STEADY RAIN FROM LAST NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING HAS MOSTLY
MOVED EAST AND CONVECTIVE SHOWER ACTIVITY INCLUDING ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. VISIBLE SATELLITE, RADAR AND LIGHTNING
DATA SHOWS MOST OF THE CURRENT TSTORM ACTION IN CENTRAL NYE AND
LINCOLN COUNTIES. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORM CELLS THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. AS FOR
SNOW, CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
4 PM PST...5 PM MST WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTIVE SNOW BURSTS
PRODUCING A FEW INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

AS THE FIRST OF TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WEAKEN AND LIFTS OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST TODAY, A SECOND SYSTEM OFF THE WEST COAST NEAR MONTEREY CA
WILL SINK DIRECTLY SOUTH TO ABOUT 175 MILES WEST OF SAN DIEGO BY
DAYBREAK TUESDAY. THE LOW ITSELF SWINGS INLAND OVER BAJA DURING THE
DAY TUESDAY AND WON`T HAVE ANY DIRECT IMPACT ON THE WEATHER IN OUR
AREA. HOWEVER, SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN WILL
BRING A FEW SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS LINCOLN AND
MOHAVE COUNTIES ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE FURTHER WEST
IN PORTIONS OF NYE AND CLARK COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
BOTH SYSTEMS MOVE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY.

A SECOND CONCERN SURFACES WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT PASSES ACROSS
THE AREA. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT AND COULD
BECOME STRONG ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. RIGHT
NOW, IT LOOKS LIKE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE JUST SHY OF LAKE WIND
ADVISORY LEVELS.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL FEATURE A STRONG RIDGE ALOFT
BUILDING ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. WHILE THE TROUGH PASSAGE
WILL NOT BRING ANY PRECIPITATION TO OUR AREA...IT WILL INCREASE
NORTHERLY WINDS...MAINLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER THURSDAY AND AGAIN
FRIDAY. THERE IS DISAGREEMENT JUST HOW FAR EAST THAT RIDGE OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WILL PUSH. SOME GUIDANCE KEEPS THE RIDGE AXIS TO OUR
WEST...WHERE WE STAY IN MORE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW. EITHER WAY...WE
WILL BE IN A DRY AND WARM PATTERN RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S UNDER SUNNY SKIES FOR
MUCH OF THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION THIS WEEKEND. SO...THE WEATHER
LOOKS GREAT FOR ANY WEEKEND OUTDOOR PLANS BUT PREPARE FOR THE
STRENGTH OF THE MARCH SUN.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CIGS CONTINUE TO LIFT AS DRIER AIR HAS
STARTED WORKING INTO THE AREA. BKN CLOUDS AROUND 7K FEET EXPECTED
THROUGH THE NIGHT THEN SCATTERING OUT BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY MORNING.
SHOWER ACTIVITY COULD MOVE INTO THE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO DEVELOPING NEAR OR IN THE VALLEY.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE MOISTURE TO THE AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE AND CIGS AROUND 7K
FEET EXPECTED. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 25KTS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THEN DECREASE TO UNDER 10KTS THIS
EVENING.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON...GENERALLY SHIFT TO THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. BRIEF VSBY RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
OVER THE MOJAVE DESERT DECREASING OVERNIGHT. NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN AREAS ON TUESDAY PUSHING SOUTH INTO WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SALMEN
LONG TERM...PADDOCK

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











000
FXUS65 KVEF 030502
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
900 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COOL CONDITIONS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY THEN DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL
SETTLE OVER THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND. GUSTY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY.
&&

.UPDATE...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOPED THIS
AFTERNOON HAVE LARGELY WINDED DOWN THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS REMAIN NAMELY NEAR COLORADO
CITY WHERE REPORTS OF UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN THIS
EVENING AND MADE FOR SOME SLICK ROADWAYS IN THAT AREA. ANOTHER BATCH
OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IS CURRENTLY MOVING EASTWARD NEAR DOLAN
SPRINGS TO NEAR THE GRAND CANYON SKYWALK.

THINGS WILL CONTINUE TO WIND DOWN THIS EVENING BUT SOME RENEWED
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER CHANCES RETURN TOMORROW MAINLY FOR THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE THE COMBINATION OF
INSTABILITY AND RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL BE GREATEST. MADE SOME MINOR
TWEAKS TO THE SKY COVER THIS EVENING BUT OTHERWISE THINGS ARE IN
GOOD SHAPE.

-OUTLER-

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THE STEADY RAIN FROM LAST NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING HAS MOSTLY
MOVED EAST AND CONVECTIVE SHOWER ACTIVITY INCLUDING ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. VISIBLE SATELLITE, RADAR AND LIGHTNING
DATA SHOWS MOST OF THE CURRENT TSTORM ACTION IN CENTRAL NYE AND
LINCOLN COUNTIES. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORM CELLS THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. AS FOR
SNOW, CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
4 PM PST...5 PM MST WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTIVE SNOW BURSTS
PRODUCING A FEW INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

AS THE FIRST OF TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WEAKEN AND LIFTS OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST TODAY, A SECOND SYSTEM OFF THE WEST COAST NEAR MONTEREY CA
WILL SINK DIRECTLY SOUTH TO ABOUT 175 MILES WEST OF SAN DIEGO BY
DAYBREAK TUESDAY. THE LOW ITSELF SWINGS INLAND OVER BAJA DURING THE
DAY TUESDAY AND WON`T HAVE ANY DIRECT IMPACT ON THE WEATHER IN OUR
AREA. HOWEVER, SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN WILL
BRING A FEW SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS LINCOLN AND
MOHAVE COUNTIES ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE FURTHER WEST
IN PORTIONS OF NYE AND CLARK COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
BOTH SYSTEMS MOVE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY.

A SECOND CONCERN SURFACES WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT PASSES ACROSS
THE AREA. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT AND COULD
BECOME STRONG ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. RIGHT
NOW, IT LOOKS LIKE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE JUST SHY OF LAKE WIND
ADVISORY LEVELS.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL FEATURE A STRONG RIDGE ALOFT
BUILDING ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. WHILE THE TROUGH PASSAGE
WILL NOT BRING ANY PRECIPITATION TO OUR AREA...IT WILL INCREASE
NORTHERLY WINDS...MAINLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER THURSDAY AND AGAIN
FRIDAY. THERE IS DISAGREEMENT JUST HOW FAR EAST THAT RIDGE OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WILL PUSH. SOME GUIDANCE KEEPS THE RIDGE AXIS TO OUR
WEST...WHERE WE STAY IN MORE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW. EITHER WAY...WE
WILL BE IN A DRY AND WARM PATTERN RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S UNDER SUNNY SKIES FOR
MUCH OF THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION THIS WEEKEND. SO...THE WEATHER
LOOKS GREAT FOR ANY WEEKEND OUTDOOR PLANS BUT PREPARE FOR THE
STRENGTH OF THE MARCH SUN.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CIGS CONTINUE TO LIFT AS DRIER AIR HAS
STARTED WORKING INTO THE AREA. BKN CLOUDS AROUND 7K FEET EXPECTED
THROUGH THE NIGHT THEN SCATTERING OUT BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY MORNING.
SHOWER ACTIVITY COULD MOVE INTO THE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO DEVELOPING NEAR OR IN THE VALLEY.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE MOISTURE TO THE AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE AND CIGS AROUND 7K
FEET EXPECTED. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 25KTS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THEN DECREASE TO UNDER 10KTS THIS
EVENING.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON...GENERALLY SHIFT TO THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. BRIEF VSBY RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
OVER THE MOJAVE DESERT DECREASING OVERNIGHT. NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN AREAS ON TUESDAY PUSHING SOUTH INTO WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SALMEN
LONG TERM...PADDOCK

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER










000
FXUS65 KVEF 030502
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
900 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COOL CONDITIONS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY THEN DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL
SETTLE OVER THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND. GUSTY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY.
&&

.UPDATE...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOPED THIS
AFTERNOON HAVE LARGELY WINDED DOWN THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS REMAIN NAMELY NEAR COLORADO
CITY WHERE REPORTS OF UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN THIS
EVENING AND MADE FOR SOME SLICK ROADWAYS IN THAT AREA. ANOTHER BATCH
OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IS CURRENTLY MOVING EASTWARD NEAR DOLAN
SPRINGS TO NEAR THE GRAND CANYON SKYWALK.

THINGS WILL CONTINUE TO WIND DOWN THIS EVENING BUT SOME RENEWED
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER CHANCES RETURN TOMORROW MAINLY FOR THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE THE COMBINATION OF
INSTABILITY AND RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL BE GREATEST. MADE SOME MINOR
TWEAKS TO THE SKY COVER THIS EVENING BUT OTHERWISE THINGS ARE IN
GOOD SHAPE.

-OUTLER-

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THE STEADY RAIN FROM LAST NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING HAS MOSTLY
MOVED EAST AND CONVECTIVE SHOWER ACTIVITY INCLUDING ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. VISIBLE SATELLITE, RADAR AND LIGHTNING
DATA SHOWS MOST OF THE CURRENT TSTORM ACTION IN CENTRAL NYE AND
LINCOLN COUNTIES. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORM CELLS THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. AS FOR
SNOW, CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
4 PM PST...5 PM MST WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTIVE SNOW BURSTS
PRODUCING A FEW INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

AS THE FIRST OF TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WEAKEN AND LIFTS OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST TODAY, A SECOND SYSTEM OFF THE WEST COAST NEAR MONTEREY CA
WILL SINK DIRECTLY SOUTH TO ABOUT 175 MILES WEST OF SAN DIEGO BY
DAYBREAK TUESDAY. THE LOW ITSELF SWINGS INLAND OVER BAJA DURING THE
DAY TUESDAY AND WON`T HAVE ANY DIRECT IMPACT ON THE WEATHER IN OUR
AREA. HOWEVER, SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN WILL
BRING A FEW SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS LINCOLN AND
MOHAVE COUNTIES ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE FURTHER WEST
IN PORTIONS OF NYE AND CLARK COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
BOTH SYSTEMS MOVE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY.

A SECOND CONCERN SURFACES WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT PASSES ACROSS
THE AREA. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT AND COULD
BECOME STRONG ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. RIGHT
NOW, IT LOOKS LIKE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE JUST SHY OF LAKE WIND
ADVISORY LEVELS.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL FEATURE A STRONG RIDGE ALOFT
BUILDING ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. WHILE THE TROUGH PASSAGE
WILL NOT BRING ANY PRECIPITATION TO OUR AREA...IT WILL INCREASE
NORTHERLY WINDS...MAINLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER THURSDAY AND AGAIN
FRIDAY. THERE IS DISAGREEMENT JUST HOW FAR EAST THAT RIDGE OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WILL PUSH. SOME GUIDANCE KEEPS THE RIDGE AXIS TO OUR
WEST...WHERE WE STAY IN MORE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW. EITHER WAY...WE
WILL BE IN A DRY AND WARM PATTERN RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S UNDER SUNNY SKIES FOR
MUCH OF THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION THIS WEEKEND. SO...THE WEATHER
LOOKS GREAT FOR ANY WEEKEND OUTDOOR PLANS BUT PREPARE FOR THE
STRENGTH OF THE MARCH SUN.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CIGS CONTINUE TO LIFT AS DRIER AIR HAS
STARTED WORKING INTO THE AREA. BKN CLOUDS AROUND 7K FEET EXPECTED
THROUGH THE NIGHT THEN SCATTERING OUT BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY MORNING.
SHOWER ACTIVITY COULD MOVE INTO THE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO DEVELOPING NEAR OR IN THE VALLEY.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE MOISTURE TO THE AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE AND CIGS AROUND 7K
FEET EXPECTED. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 25KTS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THEN DECREASE TO UNDER 10KTS THIS
EVENING.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON...GENERALLY SHIFT TO THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. BRIEF VSBY RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
OVER THE MOJAVE DESERT DECREASING OVERNIGHT. NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN AREAS ON TUESDAY PUSHING SOUTH INTO WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SALMEN
LONG TERM...PADDOCK

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











000
FXUS65 KVEF 030502
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
900 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COOL CONDITIONS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY THEN DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL
SETTLE OVER THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND. GUSTY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY.
&&

.UPDATE...SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WHICH DEVELOPED THIS
AFTERNOON HAVE LARGELY WINDED DOWN THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF
DAYTIME HEATING. A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS REMAIN NAMELY NEAR COLORADO
CITY WHERE REPORTS OF UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW HAVE FALLEN THIS
EVENING AND MADE FOR SOME SLICK ROADWAYS IN THAT AREA. ANOTHER BATCH
OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW IS CURRENTLY MOVING EASTWARD NEAR DOLAN
SPRINGS TO NEAR THE GRAND CANYON SKYWALK.

THINGS WILL CONTINUE TO WIND DOWN THIS EVENING BUT SOME RENEWED
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWER CHANCES RETURN TOMORROW MAINLY FOR THE
EASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA WHERE THE COMBINATION OF
INSTABILITY AND RESIDUAL MOISTURE WILL BE GREATEST. MADE SOME MINOR
TWEAKS TO THE SKY COVER THIS EVENING BUT OTHERWISE THINGS ARE IN
GOOD SHAPE.

-OUTLER-

&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THE STEADY RAIN FROM LAST NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING HAS MOSTLY
MOVED EAST AND CONVECTIVE SHOWER ACTIVITY INCLUDING ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. VISIBLE SATELLITE, RADAR AND LIGHTNING
DATA SHOWS MOST OF THE CURRENT TSTORM ACTION IN CENTRAL NYE AND
LINCOLN COUNTIES. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORM CELLS THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. AS FOR
SNOW, CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
4 PM PST...5 PM MST WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTIVE SNOW BURSTS
PRODUCING A FEW INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

AS THE FIRST OF TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WEAKEN AND LIFTS OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST TODAY, A SECOND SYSTEM OFF THE WEST COAST NEAR MONTEREY CA
WILL SINK DIRECTLY SOUTH TO ABOUT 175 MILES WEST OF SAN DIEGO BY
DAYBREAK TUESDAY. THE LOW ITSELF SWINGS INLAND OVER BAJA DURING THE
DAY TUESDAY AND WON`T HAVE ANY DIRECT IMPACT ON THE WEATHER IN OUR
AREA. HOWEVER, SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN WILL
BRING A FEW SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS LINCOLN AND
MOHAVE COUNTIES ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE FURTHER WEST
IN PORTIONS OF NYE AND CLARK COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
BOTH SYSTEMS MOVE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY.

A SECOND CONCERN SURFACES WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT PASSES ACROSS
THE AREA. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT AND COULD
BECOME STRONG ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. RIGHT
NOW, IT LOOKS LIKE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE JUST SHY OF LAKE WIND
ADVISORY LEVELS.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL FEATURE A STRONG RIDGE ALOFT
BUILDING ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. WHILE THE TROUGH PASSAGE
WILL NOT BRING ANY PRECIPITATION TO OUR AREA...IT WILL INCREASE
NORTHERLY WINDS...MAINLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER THURSDAY AND AGAIN
FRIDAY. THERE IS DISAGREEMENT JUST HOW FAR EAST THAT RIDGE OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WILL PUSH. SOME GUIDANCE KEEPS THE RIDGE AXIS TO OUR
WEST...WHERE WE STAY IN MORE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW. EITHER WAY...WE
WILL BE IN A DRY AND WARM PATTERN RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S UNDER SUNNY SKIES FOR
MUCH OF THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION THIS WEEKEND. SO...THE WEATHER
LOOKS GREAT FOR ANY WEEKEND OUTDOOR PLANS BUT PREPARE FOR THE
STRENGTH OF THE MARCH SUN.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CIGS CONTINUE TO LIFT AS DRIER AIR HAS
STARTED WORKING INTO THE AREA. BKN CLOUDS AROUND 7K FEET EXPECTED
THROUGH THE NIGHT THEN SCATTERING OUT BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY MORNING.
SHOWER ACTIVITY COULD MOVE INTO THE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO DEVELOPING NEAR OR IN THE VALLEY.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE MOISTURE TO THE AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE AND CIGS AROUND 7K
FEET EXPECTED. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 25KTS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THEN DECREASE TO UNDER 10KTS THIS
EVENING.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON...GENERALLY SHIFT TO THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. BRIEF VSBY RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
OVER THE MOJAVE DESERT DECREASING OVERNIGHT. NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN AREAS ON TUESDAY PUSHING SOUTH INTO WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SALMEN
LONG TERM...PADDOCK

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER










000
FXUS65 KVEF 022208
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
208 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COOL CONDITIONS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY THEN DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL
SETTLE OVER THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND. GUSTY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THE STEADY RAIN FROM LAST NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING HAS MOSTLY
MOVED EAST AND CONVECTIVE SHOWER ACTIVITY INCLUDING ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. VISIBLE SATELLITE, RADAR AND LIGHTNING
DATA SHOWS MOST OF THE CURRENT TSTORM ACTION IN CENTRAL NYE AND
LINCOLN COUNTIES. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORM CELLS THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. AS FOR
SNOW, CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
4 PM PST...5 PM MST WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTIVE SNOW BURSTS
PRODUCING A FEW INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

AS THE FIRST OF TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WEAKEN AND LIFTS OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST TODAY, A SECOND SYSTEM OFF THE WEST COAST NEAR MONTEREY CA
WILL SINK DIRECTLY SOUTH TO ABOUT 175 MILES WEST OF SAN DIEGO BY
DAYBREAK TUESDAY. THE LOW ITSELF SWINGS INLAND OVER BAJA DURING THE
DAY TUESDAY AND WON`T HAVE ANY DIRECT IMPACT ON THE WEATHER IN OUR
AREA. HOWEVER, SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN WILL
BRING A FEW SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS LINCOLN AND
MOHAVE COUNTIES ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE FURTHER WEST
IN PORTIONS OF NYE AND CLARK COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
BOTH SYSTEMS MOVE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY.

A SECOND CONCERN SURFACES WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT PASSES ACROSS
THE AREA. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT AND COULD
BECOME STRONG ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. RIGHT
NOW, IT LOOKS LIKE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE JUST SHY OF LAKE WIND
ADVISORY LEVELS.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL FEATURE A STRONG RIDGE ALOFT
BUILDING ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. WHILE THE TROUGH PASSAGE
WILL NOT BRING ANY PRECIPITATION TO OUR AREA...IT WILL INCREASE
NORTHERLY WINDS...MAINLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER THURSDAY AND AGAIN
FRIDAY. THERE IS DISAGREEMENT JUST HOW FAR EAST THAT RIDGE OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WILL PUSH. SOME GUIDANCE KEEPS THE RIDGE AXIS TO OUR
WEST...WHERE WE STAY IN MORE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW. EITHER WAY...WE
WILL BE IN A DRY AND WARM PATTERN RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S UNDER SUNNY SKIES FOR
MUCH OF THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION THIS WEEKEND. SO...THE WEATHER
LOOKS GREAT FOR ANY WEEKEND OUTDOOR PLANS BUT PREPARE FOR THE
STRENGTH OF THE MARCH SUN.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CIGS CONTINUE TO LIFT AS DRIER AIR HAS
STARTED WORKING INTO THE AREA. BKN CLOUDS AROUND 7K FEET EXPECTED
THROUGH THE NIGHT THEN SCATTERING OUT BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY MORNING.
SHOWER ACTIVITY COULD MOVE INTO THE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO DEVELOPING NEAR OR IN THE VALLEY.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE MOISTURE TO THE AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE AND CIGS AROUND 7K
FEET EXPECTED. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 25KTS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THEN DECREASE TO UNDER 10KTS THIS
EVENING.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON...GENERALLY SHIFT TO THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. BRIEF VSBY RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
OVER THE MOJAVE DESERT DECREASING OVERNIGHT. NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN AREAS ON TUESDAY PUSHING SOUTH INTO WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SALMEN
LONG TERM...PADDOCK

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 022208
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
208 PM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...COOL CONDITIONS AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY THEN DRY AND MILD WEATHER WILL
SETTLE OVER THE REGION LATE IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND. GUSTY
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

THE STEADY RAIN FROM LAST NIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING HAS MOSTLY
MOVED EAST AND CONVECTIVE SHOWER ACTIVITY INCLUDING ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE REST OF THE
AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING. VISIBLE SATELLITE, RADAR AND LIGHTNING
DATA SHOWS MOST OF THE CURRENT TSTORM ACTION IN CENTRAL NYE AND
LINCOLN COUNTIES. THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORM CELLS THIS AFTERNOON
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL. AS FOR
SNOW, CURRENT WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
4 PM PST...5 PM MST WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTIVE SNOW BURSTS
PRODUCING A FEW INCHES OF ACCUMULATION.

AS THE FIRST OF TWO LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WEAKEN AND LIFTS OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST TODAY, A SECOND SYSTEM OFF THE WEST COAST NEAR MONTEREY CA
WILL SINK DIRECTLY SOUTH TO ABOUT 175 MILES WEST OF SAN DIEGO BY
DAYBREAK TUESDAY. THE LOW ITSELF SWINGS INLAND OVER BAJA DURING THE
DAY TUESDAY AND WON`T HAVE ANY DIRECT IMPACT ON THE WEATHER IN OUR
AREA. HOWEVER, SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN WILL
BRING A FEW SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...MAINLY ACROSS LINCOLN AND
MOHAVE COUNTIES ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE FURTHER WEST
IN PORTIONS OF NYE AND CLARK COUNTIES THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
BOTH SYSTEMS MOVE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT WITH DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
WEDNESDAY.

A SECOND CONCERN SURFACES WEDNESDAY AS A COLD FRONT PASSES ACROSS
THE AREA. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL DEVELOP BEHIND THE FRONT AND COULD
BECOME STRONG ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. RIGHT
NOW, IT LOOKS LIKE WIND SPEEDS WILL BE JUST SHY OF LAKE WIND
ADVISORY LEVELS.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD WILL FEATURE A STRONG RIDGE ALOFT
BUILDING ACROSS THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH
MOVING EAST ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. WHILE THE TROUGH PASSAGE
WILL NOT BRING ANY PRECIPITATION TO OUR AREA...IT WILL INCREASE
NORTHERLY WINDS...MAINLY ALONG THE COLORADO RIVER THURSDAY AND AGAIN
FRIDAY. THERE IS DISAGREEMENT JUST HOW FAR EAST THAT RIDGE OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC WILL PUSH. SOME GUIDANCE KEEPS THE RIDGE AXIS TO OUR
WEST...WHERE WE STAY IN MORE OF A NORTHWEST FLOW. EITHER WAY...WE
WILL BE IN A DRY AND WARM PATTERN RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH
TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S UNDER SUNNY SKIES FOR
MUCH OF THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION THIS WEEKEND. SO...THE WEATHER
LOOKS GREAT FOR ANY WEEKEND OUTDOOR PLANS BUT PREPARE FOR THE
STRENGTH OF THE MARCH SUN.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CIGS CONTINUE TO LIFT AS DRIER AIR HAS
STARTED WORKING INTO THE AREA. BKN CLOUDS AROUND 7K FEET EXPECTED
THROUGH THE NIGHT THEN SCATTERING OUT BY DAYBREAK TUESDAY MORNING.
SHOWER ACTIVITY COULD MOVE INTO THE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WITH AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO DEVELOPING NEAR OR IN THE VALLEY.
ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE MOISTURE TO THE AREA TUESDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS POSSIBLE AND CIGS AROUND 7K
FEET EXPECTED. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-20KTS WITH GUSTS AROUND 25KTS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THEN DECREASE TO UNDER 10KTS THIS
EVENING.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON...GENERALLY SHIFT TO THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE
AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. BRIEF VSBY RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
OVER THE MOJAVE DESERT DECREASING OVERNIGHT. NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN AREAS ON TUESDAY PUSHING SOUTH INTO WEDNESDAY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...SALMEN
LONG TERM...PADDOCK

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 021718 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
918 AM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...STEADY PRECIPITATION ACROSS CLARK, LINCOLN AND MOHAVE
COUNTIES WILL TAPER TO SHOWERS BY THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA. SNOW LEVELS WILL MAINLY BE AROUND 5000 FEET.
ALTHOUGH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL LINGER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA, DRIER AIR WILL WORK
INTO THE WESTERN HALF ENDING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS THERE. LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MAINLY IN THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY. OTHERWISE EXPECT DRIER AND MILDER WEATHER FOR THE END
OF THE WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...UPPER LOW EVIDENT ON SATELLITE OVER SO CAL THIS MORNING.
IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE FEED CONTINUING UP THROUGH MOHAVE COUNTY AND THE
EASTERN PORTIONS OF CLARK AND LINCOLN COUNTIES. ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MOHAVE COUNTY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 5000 FEET
BASED ON WEB CAM IMAGES OF THE HUALAPAI MTNS AND I-40 AT FORT ROCK.
WEST OF THE MOISTURE PLUME, LOW CLOUDS COVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN AREA INTO INYO COUNTY. CLOUDS WERE MORE SCATTERED ACROSS
THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT. AS THE LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD POOL
LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY, CONVECTIVE SHOWER AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN CWA.
ACROSS THE WESTERN AREAS, MORE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
FORECAST. FORECAST UPDATES ARE OUT. -SALMEN-
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...347 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A WELL DEFINED SWIRL CAN BE SEEN ON WATER VALOR IMAGERY THIS MORNING
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF POINT CONCEPTION SHOWING WHERE THE MID/UPPER
LEVEL LOW IMPACTING OUR AREA IS PRESENTLY AT. THE MAIN MOISTURE
PLUME AHEAD OF THIS LOW WHICH WAS FED NORTHEAST BY THE JET IS
STARTING TO SHIFT EAST. FOR CLARK COUNTY, THE STEADIER PRECIPITATION
SHOULD START TO SHUT-OFF BY LATER THIS MORNING. FOR THE LAS VEGAS
VALLEY SPECIFICALLY, STEADIER RAIN WILL LIKELY BE DONE BY DAYBREAK
OR NOT TOO LONG THEREAFTER. HOWEVER, ROADS WILL BE SLICK FOR THE
MORNING COMMUTE SO DRIVE CAREFULLY. STEADIER PRECIPITATION WILL
LINGER LONGER IN LINCOLN AND MOHAVE COUNTIES WHICH WILL TAKE UNTIL
VERY LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON TO SEE AN END.

SNOW LEVELS WERE AROUND 4500-5000 FEET THIS MORNING ON AVERAGE.
LINCOLN COUNTY COULD SEE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW FROM THE
STEADIER PRECIPITATION TODAY AND THIS WILL JUSTIFY KEEPING THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY GOING. ACROSS THE SPRING MOUNTAINS AND SHEEP
RANGE, THE BULK OF THE STEADIER SNOW IS DONE, HOWEVER, ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON ARE STILL POSSIBLE AND COULD DROP A FEW MORE
INCHES SO WILL KEEP THE ADVISORY GOING OUT OF CONCERN OF SLICK ROADS
FROM OLD SNOW AND ANY NEW SNOW.

THE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO EJECT NORTHEAST TODAY TOWARD
SOUTHERN NEVADA AND TRANSITION TO AN OPEN WAVE. ALTHOUGH THE AREA
WILL BE IN THE EXIT REGION OF THE THE JET, A NICE PV MAX CROSSES THE
AREA LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE LIFT FROM THIS
FEATURE AND LINGERING LOW AND MID-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD SET OFF SOME
SHOWERS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE AREA. IN
ADDITION, ENOUGH CAPE AND INSTABILITY AREN NOTED NORTHEAST OF THIS
FEATURE ACROSS LINCOLN, NORTHERN CLARK AND NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY
THAT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. LOW FREEZING LEVELS
WILL MAKE SMALL HAIL OR GRAUPEL POSSIBLE IN ANY STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS.

ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE AREA, DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
IN LATER THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD AID IN
INCREASING WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST. GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY DESERTS, CLARK AND MOHAVE
COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS MAY HELP TO SCOUR OUT SOME
OF THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND RAISE CLOUD BASES.

MODELS DO NOT SHOW THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE GOING AWAY FOR TONIGHT
ENTIRELY. SO, WHILE CONFIDENCE IS LOW WE WILL NEED TO WATCH OUT FOR
FOG. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE SHOWERS END THIS EVENING, ESPECIALLY IN
THE WEST WHERE DRIER AIR WORKS IN.

TEMPS TODAY ARE TRICKY AS THE COLDER WRF AND ECMWF SOUNDINGS
STRUGGLE TO BRING LAS VEGAS ABOVE 50 FOR A HIGH. I WENT WITH A BLEND
OF THE LOWER END STAT GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS TODAY AS I THINK THOSE
COLDER SOUNDINGS ARE TOO LOW.

ON THE HEELS OF THIS FIRST SYSTEM ANOTHER MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR
THE REDWOOD COAST OF NORCAL WILL DROP SOUTH TODAY AND DROP DOWN THE
COAST TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. THIS WILL PULL A POSITIVELY TILTED
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS THROUGH OUR AREA ON TUESDAY FINALLY
SWEEPING EVERYTHING ON OUT. AS THE TROUGH AXIS PASS THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON WE CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW
SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS LINCOLN, MOHAVE AND CLARK COUNTIES. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE TROUGH AXIS. HIGHS TOMORROW
SHOULD BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE TODAY BUT STILL ABOUT 6-8 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A DRY AND WARMING
PATTERN DOMINATED BY A BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN STATES THE
LATTER PART OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. NORTH WINDS AND
TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH THE EXITING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORECAST TO
BE OVER NORTHERN BAJA AND QUICKLY PULLING TO THE EAST. A DISTURBANCE
SLIDING DOWN THE LEADING EDGE OF THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BRUSH
SOUTHERN NEVADA AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA EARLY THURSDAY WHICH MAY
ENHANCE NORTH BREEZES SOMEWHAT. THEN THE WARMING TREND WILL KICK IN
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH THE GFS/GEM MODELS DEPICTING A STRONG
HIGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE ECMWF IS LESS AMPLIFIED WITH THE
RIDGE BUT STILL KEEPS A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE FORECAST
AREA WITH A RIDGE AXIS HOLDING ALONG THE WEST COAST. HIGH TEMPS
SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S FOR MUCH OF THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION
FOR THE WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MOST OF THE STEADY LIGHT RAIN SHOULD BE
DONE WITH BY LATER THIS MORNING. WHILE A STRAY SHRA CANNOT BE RULED
OUT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AT THE AIRPORT COMPLEX, CONFIDENCE IS NOT
HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE THIS IN THE TAF AND THUS THE TAF WILL BE KEPT
DRY AT THIS TIME. WINDS THIS MORNING WILL MAINLY BE 6 KTS OR LESS
AND TREND TOWARD TYPICAL DIURNAL DIRECTIONS. THE MAIN ISSUE TODAY
WILL BE HOW LONG CIGS REMAIN DOWN. DRIER AIR SHOULD START TO WORK IN
AROUND 21Z TODAY RESULTING IN GUSTIER SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO
25 KTS. THIS SHOULD HELP BASES TO RISE ABOVE 5K FEET BUT BASES WILL
PROBABLY NOT GET MUCH HIGHER THAN 7K-9K FEET. THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL TONIGHT THAT THE CLOUD DECK COULD FILL IN A BIT MORE IF
THE LOWER-LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT SCOURED OUT OF THE LAS VEGAS VALLEY.
HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS LOW-MODERATE AT BEST AT THIS TIME.
EITHER WAY SOME MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD DECREASE AROUND 02Z TUESDAY TO 6-10 KTS FROM THE
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...STEADIER PRECIPITATION SHOULD END ACROSS CLARK COUNTY
BY 18Z TODAY AND ACROSS MOHAVE AND LINCOLN COUNTIES BETWEEN 18Z AND
22Z. SNOW LEVELS ACROSS THE AREA WILL MAINLY BE 5K-6K FEET. MOST
AREAS OTHERWISE WILL SEE A FEW SHOWERS AROUND ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
KIYK-KLAS-KIGM LINE. WINDS WILL START TO PICK UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 21Z TODAY AND LAST THROUGH 02Z TUESDAY FROM KDAG-KLAS-KIGM
AND POINTS SOUTH WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS EXPECTED. CIGS WILL MAINLY
BE 3K-6K FEET THIS MORNING THEN RISE TO 5K-9K FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON
WHERE PRECIPITATION ENDS. CIGS COULD POTENTIALLY LOWER ANOTHER 1K-2K
FEET TONIGHT ESPECIALLY WHERE THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS SLOW TO
LEAVE. ANY AREAS THAT CLEAR OUT ENOUGH COULD ALSO SEE PATCHY FG/BR
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT ESPECIALLY NEAR TALLER RANGES.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...STACHELSKI
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











000
FXUS65 KVEF 021718 AAA
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
918 AM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...STEADY PRECIPITATION ACROSS CLARK, LINCOLN AND MOHAVE
COUNTIES WILL TAPER TO SHOWERS BY THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA. SNOW LEVELS WILL MAINLY BE AROUND 5000 FEET.
ALTHOUGH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL LINGER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA, DRIER AIR WILL WORK
INTO THE WESTERN HALF ENDING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS THERE. LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MAINLY IN THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY. OTHERWISE EXPECT DRIER AND MILDER WEATHER FOR THE END
OF THE WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...UPPER LOW EVIDENT ON SATELLITE OVER SO CAL THIS MORNING.
IMPRESSIVE MOISTURE FEED CONTINUING UP THROUGH MOHAVE COUNTY AND THE
EASTERN PORTIONS OF CLARK AND LINCOLN COUNTIES. ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MOHAVE COUNTY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 5000 FEET
BASED ON WEB CAM IMAGES OF THE HUALAPAI MTNS AND I-40 AT FORT ROCK.
WEST OF THE MOISTURE PLUME, LOW CLOUDS COVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN AREA INTO INYO COUNTY. CLOUDS WERE MORE SCATTERED ACROSS
THE WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT. AS THE LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD POOL
LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST TODAY, CONVECTIVE SHOWER AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN CWA.
ACROSS THE WESTERN AREAS, MORE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE
FORECAST. FORECAST UPDATES ARE OUT. -SALMEN-
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...347 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A WELL DEFINED SWIRL CAN BE SEEN ON WATER VALOR IMAGERY THIS MORNING
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF POINT CONCEPTION SHOWING WHERE THE MID/UPPER
LEVEL LOW IMPACTING OUR AREA IS PRESENTLY AT. THE MAIN MOISTURE
PLUME AHEAD OF THIS LOW WHICH WAS FED NORTHEAST BY THE JET IS
STARTING TO SHIFT EAST. FOR CLARK COUNTY, THE STEADIER PRECIPITATION
SHOULD START TO SHUT-OFF BY LATER THIS MORNING. FOR THE LAS VEGAS
VALLEY SPECIFICALLY, STEADIER RAIN WILL LIKELY BE DONE BY DAYBREAK
OR NOT TOO LONG THEREAFTER. HOWEVER, ROADS WILL BE SLICK FOR THE
MORNING COMMUTE SO DRIVE CAREFULLY. STEADIER PRECIPITATION WILL
LINGER LONGER IN LINCOLN AND MOHAVE COUNTIES WHICH WILL TAKE UNTIL
VERY LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON TO SEE AN END.

SNOW LEVELS WERE AROUND 4500-5000 FEET THIS MORNING ON AVERAGE.
LINCOLN COUNTY COULD SEE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW FROM THE
STEADIER PRECIPITATION TODAY AND THIS WILL JUSTIFY KEEPING THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY GOING. ACROSS THE SPRING MOUNTAINS AND SHEEP
RANGE, THE BULK OF THE STEADIER SNOW IS DONE, HOWEVER, ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON ARE STILL POSSIBLE AND COULD DROP A FEW MORE
INCHES SO WILL KEEP THE ADVISORY GOING OUT OF CONCERN OF SLICK ROADS
FROM OLD SNOW AND ANY NEW SNOW.

THE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO EJECT NORTHEAST TODAY TOWARD
SOUTHERN NEVADA AND TRANSITION TO AN OPEN WAVE. ALTHOUGH THE AREA
WILL BE IN THE EXIT REGION OF THE THE JET, A NICE PV MAX CROSSES THE
AREA LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE LIFT FROM THIS
FEATURE AND LINGERING LOW AND MID-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD SET OFF SOME
SHOWERS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE AREA. IN
ADDITION, ENOUGH CAPE AND INSTABILITY AREN NOTED NORTHEAST OF THIS
FEATURE ACROSS LINCOLN, NORTHERN CLARK AND NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY
THAT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. LOW FREEZING LEVELS
WILL MAKE SMALL HAIL OR GRAUPEL POSSIBLE IN ANY STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS.

ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE AREA, DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
IN LATER THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD AID IN
INCREASING WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST. GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY DESERTS, CLARK AND MOHAVE
COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS MAY HELP TO SCOUR OUT SOME
OF THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND RAISE CLOUD BASES.

MODELS DO NOT SHOW THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE GOING AWAY FOR TONIGHT
ENTIRELY. SO, WHILE CONFIDENCE IS LOW WE WILL NEED TO WATCH OUT FOR
FOG. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE SHOWERS END THIS EVENING, ESPECIALLY IN
THE WEST WHERE DRIER AIR WORKS IN.

TEMPS TODAY ARE TRICKY AS THE COLDER WRF AND ECMWF SOUNDINGS
STRUGGLE TO BRING LAS VEGAS ABOVE 50 FOR A HIGH. I WENT WITH A BLEND
OF THE LOWER END STAT GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS TODAY AS I THINK THOSE
COLDER SOUNDINGS ARE TOO LOW.

ON THE HEELS OF THIS FIRST SYSTEM ANOTHER MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR
THE REDWOOD COAST OF NORCAL WILL DROP SOUTH TODAY AND DROP DOWN THE
COAST TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. THIS WILL PULL A POSITIVELY TILTED
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS THROUGH OUR AREA ON TUESDAY FINALLY
SWEEPING EVERYTHING ON OUT. AS THE TROUGH AXIS PASS THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON WE CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW
SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS LINCOLN, MOHAVE AND CLARK COUNTIES. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE TROUGH AXIS. HIGHS TOMORROW
SHOULD BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE TODAY BUT STILL ABOUT 6-8 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A DRY AND WARMING
PATTERN DOMINATED BY A BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN STATES THE
LATTER PART OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. NORTH WINDS AND
TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH THE EXITING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORECAST TO
BE OVER NORTHERN BAJA AND QUICKLY PULLING TO THE EAST. A DISTURBANCE
SLIDING DOWN THE LEADING EDGE OF THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BRUSH
SOUTHERN NEVADA AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA EARLY THURSDAY WHICH MAY
ENHANCE NORTH BREEZES SOMEWHAT. THEN THE WARMING TREND WILL KICK IN
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH THE GFS/GEM MODELS DEPICTING A STRONG
HIGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE ECMWF IS LESS AMPLIFIED WITH THE
RIDGE BUT STILL KEEPS A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE FORECAST
AREA WITH A RIDGE AXIS HOLDING ALONG THE WEST COAST. HIGH TEMPS
SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S FOR MUCH OF THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION
FOR THE WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MOST OF THE STEADY LIGHT RAIN SHOULD BE
DONE WITH BY LATER THIS MORNING. WHILE A STRAY SHRA CANNOT BE RULED
OUT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AT THE AIRPORT COMPLEX, CONFIDENCE IS NOT
HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE THIS IN THE TAF AND THUS THE TAF WILL BE KEPT
DRY AT THIS TIME. WINDS THIS MORNING WILL MAINLY BE 6 KTS OR LESS
AND TREND TOWARD TYPICAL DIURNAL DIRECTIONS. THE MAIN ISSUE TODAY
WILL BE HOW LONG CIGS REMAIN DOWN. DRIER AIR SHOULD START TO WORK IN
AROUND 21Z TODAY RESULTING IN GUSTIER SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO
25 KTS. THIS SHOULD HELP BASES TO RISE ABOVE 5K FEET BUT BASES WILL
PROBABLY NOT GET MUCH HIGHER THAN 7K-9K FEET. THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL TONIGHT THAT THE CLOUD DECK COULD FILL IN A BIT MORE IF
THE LOWER-LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT SCOURED OUT OF THE LAS VEGAS VALLEY.
HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS LOW-MODERATE AT BEST AT THIS TIME.
EITHER WAY SOME MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD DECREASE AROUND 02Z TUESDAY TO 6-10 KTS FROM THE
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...STEADIER PRECIPITATION SHOULD END ACROSS CLARK COUNTY
BY 18Z TODAY AND ACROSS MOHAVE AND LINCOLN COUNTIES BETWEEN 18Z AND
22Z. SNOW LEVELS ACROSS THE AREA WILL MAINLY BE 5K-6K FEET. MOST
AREAS OTHERWISE WILL SEE A FEW SHOWERS AROUND ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
KIYK-KLAS-KIGM LINE. WINDS WILL START TO PICK UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 21Z TODAY AND LAST THROUGH 02Z TUESDAY FROM KDAG-KLAS-KIGM
AND POINTS SOUTH WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS EXPECTED. CIGS WILL MAINLY
BE 3K-6K FEET THIS MORNING THEN RISE TO 5K-9K FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON
WHERE PRECIPITATION ENDS. CIGS COULD POTENTIALLY LOWER ANOTHER 1K-2K
FEET TONIGHT ESPECIALLY WHERE THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS SLOW TO
LEAVE. ANY AREAS THAT CLEAR OUT ENOUGH COULD ALSO SEE PATCHY FG/BR
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT ESPECIALLY NEAR TALLER RANGES.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...STACHELSKI
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER










000
FXUS65 KVEF 021147
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
347 AM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...STEADY PRECIPITATION ACROSS CLARK, LINCOLN AND MOHAVE
COUNTIES WILL TAPER TO SHOWERS BY THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA. SNOW LEVELS WILL MAINLY BE AROUND 5000 FEET.
ALTHOUGH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL LINGER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA, DRIER AIR WILL WORK
INTO THE WESTERN HALF ENDING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS THERE. LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MAINLY IN THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY. OTHERWISE EXPECT DRIER AND MILDER WEATHER FOR THE END
OF THE WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A WELL DEFINED SWIRL CAN BE SEEN ON WATER VALOR IMAGERY THIS MORNING
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF POINT CONCEPTION SHOWING WHERE THE MID/UPPER
LEVEL LOW IMPACTING OUR AREA IS PRESENTLY AT. THE MAIN MOISTURE
PLUME AHEAD OF THIS LOW WHICH WAS FED NORTHEAST BY THE JET IS
STARTING TO SHIFT EAST. FOR CLARK COUNTY, THE STEADIER PRECIPITATION
SHOULD START TO SHUT-OFF BY LATER THIS MORNING. FOR THE LAS VEGAS
VALLEY SPECIFICALLY, STEADIER RAIN WILL LIKELY BE DONE BY DAYBREAK
OR NOT TOO LONG THEREAFTER. HOWEVER, ROADS WILL BE SLICK FOR THE
MORNING COMMUTE SO DRIVE CAREFULLY. STEADIER PRECIPITATION WILL
LINGER LONGER IN LINCOLN AND MOHAVE COUNTIES WHICH WILL TAKE UNTIL
VERY LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON TO SEE AN END.

SNOW LEVELS WERE AROUND 4500-5000 FEET THIS MORNING ON AVERAGE.
LINCOLN COUNTY COULD SEE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW FROM THE
STEADIER PRECIPITATION TODAY AND THIS WILL JUSTIFY KEEPING THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY GOING. ACROSS THE SPRING MOUNTAINS AND SHEEP
RANGE, THE BULK OF THE STEADIER SNOW IS DONE, HOWEVER, ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON ARE STILL POSSIBLE AND COULD DROP A FEW MORE
INCHES SO WILL KEEP THE ADVISORY GOING OUT OF CONCERN OF SLICK ROADS
FROM OLD SNOW AND ANY NEW SNOW.

THE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO EJECT NORTHEAST TODAY TOWARD
SOUTHERN NEVADA AND TRANSITION TO AN OPEN WAVE. ALTHOUGH THE AREA
WILL BE IN THE EXIT REGION OF THE THE JET, A NICE PV MAX CROSSES THE
AREA LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE LIFT FROM THIS
FEATURE AND LINGERING LOW AND MID-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD SET OFF SOME
SHOWERS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE AREA. IN
ADDITION, ENOUGH CAPE AND INSTABILITY AREN NOTED NORTHEAST OF THIS
FEATURE ACROSS LINCOLN, NORTHERN CLARK AND NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY
THAT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. LOW FREEZING LEVELS
WILL MAKE SMALL HAIL OR GRAUPEL POSSIBLE IN ANY STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS.

ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE AREA, DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
IN LATER THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD AID IN
INCREASING WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST. GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY DESERTS, CLARK AND MOHAVE
COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS MAY HELP TO SCOUR OUT SOME
OF THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND RAISE CLOUD BASES.

MODELS DO NOT SHOW THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE GOING AWAY FOR TONIGHT
ENTIRELY. SO, WHILE CONFIDENCE IS LOW WE WILL NEED TO WATCH OUT FOR
FOG. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE SHOWERS END THIS EVENING, ESPECIALLY IN
THE WEST WHERE DRIER AIR WORKS IN.

TEMPS TODAY ARE TRICKY AS THE COLDER WRF AND ECMWF SOUNDINGS
STRUGGLE TO BRING LAS VEGAS ABOVE 50 FOR A HIGH. I WENT WITH A BLEND
OF THE LOWER END STAT GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS TODAY AS I THINK THOSE
COLDER SOUNDINGS ARE TOO LOW.

ON THE HEELS OF THIS FIRST SYSTEM ANOTHER MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR
THE REDWOOD COAST OF NORCAL WILL DROP SOUTH TODAY AND DROP DOWN THE
COAST TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. THIS WILL PULL A POSITIVELY TILTED
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS THROUGH OUR AREA ON TUESDAY FINALLY
SWEEPING EVERYTHING ON OUT. AS THE TROUGH AXIS PASS THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON WE CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW
SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS LINCOLN, MOHAVE AND CLARK COUNTIES. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE TROUGH AXIS. HIGHS TOMORROW
SHOULD BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE TODAY BUT STILL ABOUT 6-8 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A DRY AND WARMING
PATTERN DOMINATED BY A BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN STATES THE
LATTER PART OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. NORTH WINDS AND
TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH THE EXITING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORECAST TO
BE OVER NORTHERN BAJA AND QUICKLY PULLING TO THE EAST. A DISTURBANCE
SLIDING DOWN THE LEADING EDGE OF THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BRUSH
SOUTHERN NEVADA AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA EARLY THURSDAY WHICH MAY
ENHANCE NORTH BREEZES SOMEWHAT. THEN THE WARMING TREND WILL KICK IN
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH THE GFS/GEM MODELS DEPICTING A STRONG
HIGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE ECMWF IS LESS AMPLIFIED WITH THE
RIDGE BUT STILL KEEPS A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE FORECAST
AREA WITH A RIDGE AXIS HOLDING ALONG THE WEST COAST. HIGH TEMPS
SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S FOR MUCH OF THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION
FOR THE WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MOST OF THE STEADY LIGHT RAIN SHOULD BE
DONE WITH BY LATER THIS MORNING. WHILE A STRAY SHRA CANNOT BE RULED
OUT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AT THE AIRPORT COMPLEX, CONFIDENCE IS NOT
HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE THIS IN THE TAF AND THUS THE TAF WILL BE KEPT
DRY AT THIS TIME. WINDS THIS MORNING WILL MAINLY BE 6 KTS OR LESS
AND TREND TOWARD TYPICAL DIURNAL DIRECTIONS. THE MAIN ISSUE TODAY
WILL BE HOW LONG CIGS REMAIN DOWN. DRIER AIR SHOULD START TO WORK IN
AROUND 21Z TODAY RESULTING IN GUSTIER SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO
25 KTS. THIS SHOULD HELP BASES TO RISE ABOVE 5K FEET BUT BASES WILL
PROBABLY NOT GET MUCH HIGHER THAN 7K-9K FEET. THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL TONIGHT THAT THE CLOUD DECK COULD FILL IN A BIT MORE IF
THE LOWER-LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT SCOURED OUT OF THE LAS VEGAS VALLEY.
HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS LOW-MODERATE AT BEST AT THIS TIME.
EITHER WAY SOME MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD DECREASE AROUND 02Z TUESDAY TO 6-10 KTS FROM THE
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...STEADIER PRECIPITATION SHOULD END ACROSS CLARK COUNTY
BY 18Z TODAY AND ACROSS MOHAVE AND LINCOLN COUNTIES BETWEEN 18Z AND
22Z. SNOW LEVELS ACROSS THE AREA WILL MAINLY BE 5K-6K FEET. MOST
AREAS OTHERWISE WILL SEE A FEW SHOWERS AROUND ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
KIYK-KLAS-KIGM LINE. WINDS WILL START TO PICK UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 21Z TODAY AND LAST THROUGH 02Z TUESDAY FROM KDAG-KLAS-KIGM
AND POINTS SOUTH WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS EXPECTED. CIGS WILL MAINLY
BE 3K-6K FEET THIS MORNING THEN RISE TO 5K-9K FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON
WHERE PRECIPITATION ENDS. CIGS COULD POTENTIALLY LOWER ANOTHER 1K-2K
FEET TONIGHT ESPECIALLY WHERE THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS SLOW TO
LEAVE. ANY AREAS THAT CLEAR OUT ENOUGH COULD ALSO SEE PATCHY FG/BR
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT ESPECIALLY NEAR TALLER RANGES.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...STACHELSKI
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER







000
FXUS65 KVEF 021147
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
347 AM PST MON MAR 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...STEADY PRECIPITATION ACROSS CLARK, LINCOLN AND MOHAVE
COUNTIES WILL TAPER TO SHOWERS BY THIS AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA. SNOW LEVELS WILL MAINLY BE AROUND 5000 FEET.
ALTHOUGH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL LINGER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA, DRIER AIR WILL WORK
INTO THE WESTERN HALF ENDING THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS THERE. LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MAINLY IN THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY. OTHERWISE EXPECT DRIER AND MILDER WEATHER FOR THE END
OF THE WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

A WELL DEFINED SWIRL CAN BE SEEN ON WATER VALOR IMAGERY THIS MORNING
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF POINT CONCEPTION SHOWING WHERE THE MID/UPPER
LEVEL LOW IMPACTING OUR AREA IS PRESENTLY AT. THE MAIN MOISTURE
PLUME AHEAD OF THIS LOW WHICH WAS FED NORTHEAST BY THE JET IS
STARTING TO SHIFT EAST. FOR CLARK COUNTY, THE STEADIER PRECIPITATION
SHOULD START TO SHUT-OFF BY LATER THIS MORNING. FOR THE LAS VEGAS
VALLEY SPECIFICALLY, STEADIER RAIN WILL LIKELY BE DONE BY DAYBREAK
OR NOT TOO LONG THEREAFTER. HOWEVER, ROADS WILL BE SLICK FOR THE
MORNING COMMUTE SO DRIVE CAREFULLY. STEADIER PRECIPITATION WILL
LINGER LONGER IN LINCOLN AND MOHAVE COUNTIES WHICH WILL TAKE UNTIL
VERY LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON TO SEE AN END.

SNOW LEVELS WERE AROUND 4500-5000 FEET THIS MORNING ON AVERAGE.
LINCOLN COUNTY COULD SEE ANOTHER 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW FROM THE
STEADIER PRECIPITATION TODAY AND THIS WILL JUSTIFY KEEPING THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY GOING. ACROSS THE SPRING MOUNTAINS AND SHEEP
RANGE, THE BULK OF THE STEADIER SNOW IS DONE, HOWEVER, ADDITIONAL
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON ARE STILL POSSIBLE AND COULD DROP A FEW MORE
INCHES SO WILL KEEP THE ADVISORY GOING OUT OF CONCERN OF SLICK ROADS
FROM OLD SNOW AND ANY NEW SNOW.

THE MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW IS FORECAST TO EJECT NORTHEAST TODAY TOWARD
SOUTHERN NEVADA AND TRANSITION TO AN OPEN WAVE. ALTHOUGH THE AREA
WILL BE IN THE EXIT REGION OF THE THE JET, A NICE PV MAX CROSSES THE
AREA LATE THIS MORNING AND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE LIFT FROM THIS
FEATURE AND LINGERING LOW AND MID-LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD SET OFF SOME
SHOWERS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE AREA. IN
ADDITION, ENOUGH CAPE AND INSTABILITY AREN NOTED NORTHEAST OF THIS
FEATURE ACROSS LINCOLN, NORTHERN CLARK AND NORTHERN MOHAVE COUNTY
THAT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT. LOW FREEZING LEVELS
WILL MAKE SMALL HAIL OR GRAUPEL POSSIBLE IN ANY STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS.

ACROSS THE SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE AREA, DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
IN LATER THIS MORNING INTO THIS AFTERNOON WHICH SHOULD AID IN
INCREASING WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST. GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY DESERTS, CLARK AND MOHAVE
COUNTIES THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS MAY HELP TO SCOUR OUT SOME
OF THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND RAISE CLOUD BASES.

MODELS DO NOT SHOW THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE GOING AWAY FOR TONIGHT
ENTIRELY. SO, WHILE CONFIDENCE IS LOW WE WILL NEED TO WATCH OUT FOR
FOG. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE SHOWERS END THIS EVENING, ESPECIALLY IN
THE WEST WHERE DRIER AIR WORKS IN.

TEMPS TODAY ARE TRICKY AS THE COLDER WRF AND ECMWF SOUNDINGS
STRUGGLE TO BRING LAS VEGAS ABOVE 50 FOR A HIGH. I WENT WITH A BLEND
OF THE LOWER END STAT GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS TODAY AS I THINK THOSE
COLDER SOUNDINGS ARE TOO LOW.

ON THE HEELS OF THIS FIRST SYSTEM ANOTHER MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW NEAR
THE REDWOOD COAST OF NORCAL WILL DROP SOUTH TODAY AND DROP DOWN THE
COAST TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. THIS WILL PULL A POSITIVELY TILTED
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS THROUGH OUR AREA ON TUESDAY FINALLY
SWEEPING EVERYTHING ON OUT. AS THE TROUGH AXIS PASS THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON WE CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW
SHOWERS MAINLY ACROSS LINCOLN, MOHAVE AND CLARK COUNTIES. GUSTY
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE TROUGH AXIS. HIGHS TOMORROW
SHOULD BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE TODAY BUT STILL ABOUT 6-8 DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A DRY AND WARMING
PATTERN DOMINATED BY A BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN STATES THE
LATTER PART OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. NORTH WINDS AND
TEMPERATURES SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH THE EXITING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORECAST TO
BE OVER NORTHERN BAJA AND QUICKLY PULLING TO THE EAST. A DISTURBANCE
SLIDING DOWN THE LEADING EDGE OF THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO BRUSH
SOUTHERN NEVADA AND NORTHWEST ARIZONA EARLY THURSDAY WHICH MAY
ENHANCE NORTH BREEZES SOMEWHAT. THEN THE WARMING TREND WILL KICK IN
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WITH THE GFS/GEM MODELS DEPICTING A STRONG
HIGH OVER THE GREAT BASIN. THE ECMWF IS LESS AMPLIFIED WITH THE
RIDGE BUT STILL KEEPS A DRY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE FORECAST
AREA WITH A RIDGE AXIS HOLDING ALONG THE WEST COAST. HIGH TEMPS
SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 70S FOR MUCH OF THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION
FOR THE WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...MOST OF THE STEADY LIGHT RAIN SHOULD BE
DONE WITH BY LATER THIS MORNING. WHILE A STRAY SHRA CANNOT BE RULED
OUT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AT THE AIRPORT COMPLEX, CONFIDENCE IS NOT
HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE THIS IN THE TAF AND THUS THE TAF WILL BE KEPT
DRY AT THIS TIME. WINDS THIS MORNING WILL MAINLY BE 6 KTS OR LESS
AND TREND TOWARD TYPICAL DIURNAL DIRECTIONS. THE MAIN ISSUE TODAY
WILL BE HOW LONG CIGS REMAIN DOWN. DRIER AIR SHOULD START TO WORK IN
AROUND 21Z TODAY RESULTING IN GUSTIER SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO
25 KTS. THIS SHOULD HELP BASES TO RISE ABOVE 5K FEET BUT BASES WILL
PROBABLY NOT GET MUCH HIGHER THAN 7K-9K FEET. THERE IS SOME
POTENTIAL TONIGHT THAT THE CLOUD DECK COULD FILL IN A BIT MORE IF
THE LOWER-LEVEL MOISTURE IS NOT SCOURED OUT OF THE LAS VEGAS VALLEY.
HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS LOW-MODERATE AT BEST AT THIS TIME.
EITHER WAY SOME MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.
WINDS SHOULD DECREASE AROUND 02Z TUESDAY TO 6-10 KTS FROM THE
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...STEADIER PRECIPITATION SHOULD END ACROSS CLARK COUNTY
BY 18Z TODAY AND ACROSS MOHAVE AND LINCOLN COUNTIES BETWEEN 18Z AND
22Z. SNOW LEVELS ACROSS THE AREA WILL MAINLY BE 5K-6K FEET. MOST
AREAS OTHERWISE WILL SEE A FEW SHOWERS AROUND ESPECIALLY NORTH OF
KIYK-KLAS-KIGM LINE. WINDS WILL START TO PICK UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 21Z TODAY AND LAST THROUGH 02Z TUESDAY FROM KDAG-KLAS-KIGM
AND POINTS SOUTH WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 KTS EXPECTED. CIGS WILL MAINLY
BE 3K-6K FEET THIS MORNING THEN RISE TO 5K-9K FEET BY THIS AFTERNOON
WHERE PRECIPITATION ENDS. CIGS COULD POTENTIALLY LOWER ANOTHER 1K-2K
FEET TONIGHT ESPECIALLY WHERE THE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE IS SLOW TO
LEAVE. ANY AREAS THAT CLEAR OUT ENOUGH COULD ALSO SEE PATCHY FG/BR
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
TONIGHT ESPECIALLY NEAR TALLER RANGES.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES
TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...STACHELSKI
LONG TERM...ADAIR

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER








000
FXUS65 KVEF 020333
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
730 PM PST SUN MAR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...STEADY PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEAST
ACROSS SAN BERNARDINO, MOHAVE, CLARK AND LINCOLN COUNTIES TONIGHT.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER TO SHOWERS LATE MONDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE AREA TUESDAY. GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. OTHERWISE DRY AND WARMING
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING
WITH WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN AS EXPECTED MAINLY ALONG AND
EAST OF INTERSTATE 15. SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THAT
LINE. SNOW...STARTING TO STICK TO THE ROAD...WAS REPORTED EARLY THIS
EVENING AT MOUNTAIN SPRINGS SUMMIT BETWEEN LAS VEGAS AND PAHRUMP
WHICH FITS PRETTY WELL WITH THE FORECAST SNOW LEVELS. THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN IN MOHAVE COUNTY AS EXPECTED WITH SOME
LOCATIONS GETTING AROUND A HALF INCH. AMOUNTS IN THE LAS VEGAS
VALLEY WERE MAINLY EIGHT TO TWELVE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH AS FAR WITH
SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR WEST SUMMERLIN. OVERALL THE FORECAST
LOOKS TO BE IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE FOR TONIGHT AND NO UPDATES ARE
PLANNED.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CIGS GENERALLY 4-5 KFT THROUGH THE
EVENING DROPPING 3-4 KFT OVERNIGHT. LIGHT STEADY RAIN MOST OF
TONIGHT WITH PERIODS OF HEAVIER RAIN POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITY TO
4 MILES. RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO HIT AND MISS SHOWERS
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH CEILINGS 5 KFT AND POSSIBLY RISING TO 7 KFT
LATER IN THE DAY. WINDS WILL MAINTAIN AN EASTERLY COMPONENT THROUGH
THE EVENING THEN WILL EITHER BECOME LIGHT OR TREND TOWARD TYPICAL
DIURNAL DIRECTION. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 8-16 KTS AFTER 15Z
MONDAY WITH GUSTS TO 25 KTS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...WINDS GENERALLY 10 KTS OR LESS WITH FAVORING TYPICAL
DIURNAL DIRECTIONAL TRENDS THROUGH TONIGHT. LOW CIGS 4-6K FEET
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH PERIODS OF STEADY RAIN AT TIMES GENERALLY EAST
OF A KDAG-KELY LINE WITH SNOW LEVELS BETWEEN 5500 AND 6500 FEET.
ISO-SCT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WEST OF THIS LINE. CIGS BELOW 4K FEET
AND REDUCED VSBY TO MVFR OR LOWER AT TIMES POSSIBLE. MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE LIKELY. IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY LATER MONDAY.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...230 PM PST SUN MAR 1 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SINKING SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION
WHICH IS ALLOWING A PLUME OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE SURGE NORTHWARD
INTO THE SOUTHWEST CONUS. STEADY PRECIPITATION IS SPREADING
NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...WESTERN ARIZONA...AND FAR
SOUTHERN NEVADA. EXPECT THE INTENSITY TO INCREASE A BIT LATER THIS
EVENING...OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING AS STRONGER FORCING
PUSHES INTO THE AREA. FARTHER WEST..EXPECT SHOWERY ACTIVITY. LATE
TONIGHT ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL DIVE SOUTH ALONG THE WEST
COAST...ACTING TO PUSH THIS SYSTEM EAST. WE SHOULD START TO SEE THE
STEADY PRECIPITATION EDGING EAST MONDAY MORNING...YET THERE REMAINS
ENOUGH MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL FORCING TO KEEP SHOWER CHANCES GOING
LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO ENOUGH
INSTABILITY TO WARRANT ISOLATED THUNDER CHANCES. BY MONDAY NIGHT
PRECIP CHANCES DECREASE.

SNOW LEVELS AS OF THIS WRITING ARE AROUND 4500-5000 FEET IN THE
WEST...5000-5500 AROUND CLARK COUNTY...AND 6500+ IN OUR EAST. AS THE
MOISTURE SURGE FROM A WARM SOURCE REGION CONTINUES...SNOW LEVELS
WILL INCREASE A LITTLE MORE OVERNIGHT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS MOHAVE
COUNTY. WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT SNOW AMOUNTS FROM NOW THROUGH MONDAY
OF 3-6 INCHES ABOVE 5000 FEET (LOCALLY HIGHER POSSIBLE) IN LINCOLN
COUNTY AS WELL AS THE SHEEP RANGE AND SPRING MOUNTAINS. WILL
CONTINUE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THOSE AREAS. THE SIERRA AND
WHITE MOUNTAINS WILL ALSO SEE SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. WILL KEEP AN
EYE ON SNOW LEVELS AND ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS...BUT NOT ANTICIPATING
ANY HEADLINE PRODUCTS FOR THAT AREA AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE STEADY
PLUME OF MOISTURE BEING WELL EAST. HIGHEST LIQUID TOTALS WILL BE
ACROSS MOHAVE COUNTY...WHERE SOME MINOR/NUISANCE FLOODING IN URBAN
AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALSO EXPECT RUNNING WATER
IN NORMALLY DRY WASHES. BE ESPECIALLY ALERT IF DRIVING TONIGHT AS
PONDING WATER ON ROADWAYS COULD BE HARDER TO SEE.

WHILE THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE DIMINISHING MONDAY...WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE INCREASING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE MOJAVE DESERT, WHERE GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. BY
TUESDAY...THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT KICKS THIS UPPER LOW EAST WILL
BE MOVING OVERHEAD. GIVEN THIS FORCING AND LINGERING LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE...THERE REMAINS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS MAINLY IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN EAST AND NORTH OF LAS VEGAS. ANY PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS
SHOULD BE FAIRLY LIGHT. AS THE TROUGH AND SURFACE FRONT TRACK ACROSS
THE AREA TUESDAY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE. SO FAR...THE
STRONGEST WINDS APPEAR TO BE ACROSS ESMERALDA AND NYE COUNTIES
PERHAPS GETTING INTO LINCOLN COUNTY. AS FOR TEMPERATURES...EXPECT
HIGHS TO BE ABOUT 6-12 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ONE LAST PIECE OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY DIVES SOUTH ALONG THE WEST
COAST ON WEDNESDAY AND FORMS A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
NORTHERN BAJA THURSDAY. IT WILL HELP MAINTAIN COOLER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES STILL 8-10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT
SLICES THROUGH THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY BRINGING GUSTY NORTH WINDS
TO MUCH OF THE AREA WITH ENHANCED NORTH WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY.

A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED BEGINNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHWEST.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE 3-5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY
BUT QUICKLY WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. LAS VEGAS SHOULD
WARM BACK INTO THE 70S UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR AND LIGHT WIND CONDITIONS
FOR THE FIRST FULL WEEKEND OF MARCH.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...HARRISON
SHORT TERM...PADDOCK
LONG TERM...SALMEN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER











000
FXUS65 KVEF 020333
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
730 PM PST SUN MAR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...STEADY PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEAST
ACROSS SAN BERNARDINO, MOHAVE, CLARK AND LINCOLN COUNTIES TONIGHT.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER TO SHOWERS LATE MONDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE AREA TUESDAY. GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. OTHERWISE DRY AND WARMING
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.UPDATE...EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER OVER THE FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING
WITH WIDESPREAD LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN AS EXPECTED MAINLY ALONG AND
EAST OF INTERSTATE 15. SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THE NORTHWEST OF THAT
LINE. SNOW...STARTING TO STICK TO THE ROAD...WAS REPORTED EARLY THIS
EVENING AT MOUNTAIN SPRINGS SUMMIT BETWEEN LAS VEGAS AND PAHRUMP
WHICH FITS PRETTY WELL WITH THE FORECAST SNOW LEVELS. THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN IN MOHAVE COUNTY AS EXPECTED WITH SOME
LOCATIONS GETTING AROUND A HALF INCH. AMOUNTS IN THE LAS VEGAS
VALLEY WERE MAINLY EIGHT TO TWELVE HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH AS FAR WITH
SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS NEAR WEST SUMMERLIN. OVERALL THE FORECAST
LOOKS TO BE IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE FOR TONIGHT AND NO UPDATES ARE
PLANNED.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CIGS GENERALLY 4-5 KFT THROUGH THE
EVENING DROPPING 3-4 KFT OVERNIGHT. LIGHT STEADY RAIN MOST OF
TONIGHT WITH PERIODS OF HEAVIER RAIN POSSIBLY LOWERING VISIBILITY TO
4 MILES. RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF TO HIT AND MISS SHOWERS
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH CEILINGS 5 KFT AND POSSIBLY RISING TO 7 KFT
LATER IN THE DAY. WINDS WILL MAINTAIN AN EASTERLY COMPONENT THROUGH
THE EVENING THEN WILL EITHER BECOME LIGHT OR TREND TOWARD TYPICAL
DIURNAL DIRECTION. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 8-16 KTS AFTER 15Z
MONDAY WITH GUSTS TO 25 KTS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...WINDS GENERALLY 10 KTS OR LESS WITH FAVORING TYPICAL
DIURNAL DIRECTIONAL TRENDS THROUGH TONIGHT. LOW CIGS 4-6K FEET
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH PERIODS OF STEADY RAIN AT TIMES GENERALLY EAST
OF A KDAG-KELY LINE WITH SNOW LEVELS BETWEEN 5500 AND 6500 FEET.
ISO-SCT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WEST OF THIS LINE. CIGS BELOW 4K FEET
AND REDUCED VSBY TO MVFR OR LOWER AT TIMES POSSIBLE. MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE LIKELY. IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY LATER MONDAY.
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...230 PM PST SUN MAR 1 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SINKING SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION
WHICH IS ALLOWING A PLUME OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE SURGE NORTHWARD
INTO THE SOUTHWEST CONUS. STEADY PRECIPITATION IS SPREADING
NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...WESTERN ARIZONA...AND FAR
SOUTHERN NEVADA. EXPECT THE INTENSITY TO INCREASE A BIT LATER THIS
EVENING...OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING AS STRONGER FORCING
PUSHES INTO THE AREA. FARTHER WEST..EXPECT SHOWERY ACTIVITY. LATE
TONIGHT ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL DIVE SOUTH ALONG THE WEST
COAST...ACTING TO PUSH THIS SYSTEM EAST. WE SHOULD START TO SEE THE
STEADY PRECIPITATION EDGING EAST MONDAY MORNING...YET THERE REMAINS
ENOUGH MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL FORCING TO KEEP SHOWER CHANCES GOING
LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO ENOUGH
INSTABILITY TO WARRANT ISOLATED THUNDER CHANCES. BY MONDAY NIGHT
PRECIP CHANCES DECREASE.

SNOW LEVELS AS OF THIS WRITING ARE AROUND 4500-5000 FEET IN THE
WEST...5000-5500 AROUND CLARK COUNTY...AND 6500+ IN OUR EAST. AS THE
MOISTURE SURGE FROM A WARM SOURCE REGION CONTINUES...SNOW LEVELS
WILL INCREASE A LITTLE MORE OVERNIGHT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS MOHAVE
COUNTY. WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT SNOW AMOUNTS FROM NOW THROUGH MONDAY
OF 3-6 INCHES ABOVE 5000 FEET (LOCALLY HIGHER POSSIBLE) IN LINCOLN
COUNTY AS WELL AS THE SHEEP RANGE AND SPRING MOUNTAINS. WILL
CONTINUE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THOSE AREAS. THE SIERRA AND
WHITE MOUNTAINS WILL ALSO SEE SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. WILL KEEP AN
EYE ON SNOW LEVELS AND ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS...BUT NOT ANTICIPATING
ANY HEADLINE PRODUCTS FOR THAT AREA AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE STEADY
PLUME OF MOISTURE BEING WELL EAST. HIGHEST LIQUID TOTALS WILL BE
ACROSS MOHAVE COUNTY...WHERE SOME MINOR/NUISANCE FLOODING IN URBAN
AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALSO EXPECT RUNNING WATER
IN NORMALLY DRY WASHES. BE ESPECIALLY ALERT IF DRIVING TONIGHT AS
PONDING WATER ON ROADWAYS COULD BE HARDER TO SEE.

WHILE THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE DIMINISHING MONDAY...WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE INCREASING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE MOJAVE DESERT, WHERE GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. BY
TUESDAY...THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT KICKS THIS UPPER LOW EAST WILL
BE MOVING OVERHEAD. GIVEN THIS FORCING AND LINGERING LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE...THERE REMAINS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS MAINLY IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN EAST AND NORTH OF LAS VEGAS. ANY PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS
SHOULD BE FAIRLY LIGHT. AS THE TROUGH AND SURFACE FRONT TRACK ACROSS
THE AREA TUESDAY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE. SO FAR...THE
STRONGEST WINDS APPEAR TO BE ACROSS ESMERALDA AND NYE COUNTIES
PERHAPS GETTING INTO LINCOLN COUNTY. AS FOR TEMPERATURES...EXPECT
HIGHS TO BE ABOUT 6-12 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ONE LAST PIECE OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY DIVES SOUTH ALONG THE WEST
COAST ON WEDNESDAY AND FORMS A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
NORTHERN BAJA THURSDAY. IT WILL HELP MAINTAIN COOLER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES STILL 8-10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT
SLICES THROUGH THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY BRINGING GUSTY NORTH WINDS
TO MUCH OF THE AREA WITH ENHANCED NORTH WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY.

A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED BEGINNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHWEST.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE 3-5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY
BUT QUICKLY WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. LAS VEGAS SHOULD
WARM BACK INTO THE 70S UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR AND LIGHT WIND CONDITIONS
FOR THE FIRST FULL WEEKEND OF MARCH.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...HARRISON
SHORT TERM...PADDOCK
LONG TERM...SALMEN

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER












000
FXUS65 KVEF 012231
AFDVEF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
230 PM PST SUN MAR 1 2015

.SYNOPSIS...STEADY PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEAST
ACROSS SAN BERNARDINO, MOHAVE, CLARK AND LINCOLN COUNTIES TONIGHT.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER TO SHOWERS LATE MONDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE AREA TUESDAY. GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
ESPECIALLY IN THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. OTHERWISE DRY AND WARMING
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE MID AND UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SINKING SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION
WHICH IS ALLOWING A PLUME OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE SURGE NORTHWARD
INTO THE SOUTHWEST CONUS. STEADY PRECIPITATION IS SPREADING
NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...WESTERN ARIZONA...AND FAR
SOUTHERN NEVADA. EXPECT THE INTENSITY TO INCREASE A BIT LATER THIS
EVENING...OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING AS STRONGER FORCING
PUSHES INTO THE AREA. FARTHER WEST..EXPECT SHOWERY ACTIVITY. LATE
TONIGHT ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL DIVE SOUTH ALONG THE WEST
COAST...ACTING TO PUSH THIS SYSTEM EAST. WE SHOULD START TO SEE THE
STEADY PRECIPITATION EDGING EAST MONDAY MORNING...YET THERE REMAINS
ENOUGH MOISTURE AND UPPER LEVEL FORCING TO KEEP SHOWER CHANCES GOING
LATE MONDAY MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS ALSO ENOUGH
INSTABILITY TO WARRANT ISOLATED THUNDER CHANCES. BY MONDAY NIGHT
PRECIP CHANCES DECREASE.

SNOW LEVELS AS OF THIS WRITING ARE AROUND 4500-5000 FEET IN THE
WEST...5000-5500 AROUND CLARK COUNTY...AND 6500+ IN OUR EAST. AS THE
MOISTURE SURGE FROM A WARM SOURCE REGION CONTINUES...SNOW LEVELS
WILL INCREASE A LITTLE MORE OVERNIGHT...PARTICULARLY ACROSS MOHAVE
COUNTY. WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT SNOW AMOUNTS FROM NOW THROUGH MONDAY
OF 3-6 INCHES ABOVE 5000 FEET (LOCALLY HIGHER POSSIBLE) IN LINCOLN
COUNTY AS WELL AS THE SHEEP RANGE AND SPRING MOUNTAINS. WILL
CONTINUE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THOSE AREAS. THE SIERRA AND
WHITE MOUNTAINS WILL ALSO SEE SOME SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. WILL KEEP AN
EYE ON SNOW LEVELS AND ACCUMULATION AMOUNTS...BUT NOT ANTICIPATING
ANY HEADLINE PRODUCTS FOR THAT AREA AT THIS TIME DUE TO THE STEADY
PLUME OF MOISTURE BEING WELL EAST. HIGHEST LIQUID TOTALS WILL BE
ACROSS MOHAVE COUNTY...WHERE SOME MINOR/NUISANCE FLOODING IN URBAN
AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ALSO EXPECT RUNNING WATER
IN NORMALLY DRY WASHES. BE ESPECIALLY ALERT IF DRIVING TONIGHT AS
PONDING WATER ON ROADWAYS COULD BE HARDER TO SEE.

WHILE THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE DIMINISHING MONDAY...WEST TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE INCREASING. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE MOJAVE DESERT, WHERE GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. BY
TUESDAY...THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT KICKS THIS UPPER LOW EAST WILL
BE MOVING OVERHEAD. GIVEN THIS FORCING AND LINGERING LOW-LEVEL
MOISTURE...THERE REMAINS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS MAINLY IN THE HIGHER
TERRAIN EAST AND NORTH OF LAS VEGAS. ANY PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS
SHOULD BE FAIRLY LIGHT. AS THE TROUGH AND SURFACE FRONT TRACK ACROSS
THE AREA TUESDAY...NORTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE. SO FAR...THE
STRONGEST WINDS APPEAR TO BE ACROSS ESMERALDA AND NYE COUNTIES
PERHAPS GETTING INTO LINCOLN COUNTY. AS FOR TEMPERATURES...EXPECT
HIGHS TO BE ABOUT 6-12 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

ONE LAST PIECE OF UPPER LEVEL ENERGY DIVES SOUTH ALONG THE WEST
COAST ON WEDNESDAY AND FORMS A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
NORTHERN BAJA THURSDAY. IT WILL HELP MAINTAIN COOLER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES STILL 8-10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE STRENGTHENS BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT
SLICES THROUGH THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY BRINGING GUSTY NORTH WINDS
TO MUCH OF THE AREA WITH ENHANCED NORTH WINDS ALONG THE COLORADO
RIVER VALLEY.

A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED BEGINNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE SOUTHWEST.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE 3-5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY
BUT QUICKLY WARM TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. LAS VEGAS SHOULD
WARM BACK INTO THE 70S UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR AND LIGHT WIND CONDITIONS
FOR THE FIRST FULL WEEKEND OF MARCH.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...CIGS GENERALLY 5-7K FEET THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL BEGIN TO SETTLE INTO
THE VALLEY BY 22Z WITH PERIODS OF STEADY RAIN POSSIBLE AT TIMES
THROUGH THE NIGHT. CIGS COULD FALL BLW 5K FEET AND VISIBILITY
REDUCED IN MORE MODERATE SHOWERS. RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED TO TAPER
OFF TO HIT AND MISS SHOWERS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL MAINTAIN
AN EASTERLY COMPONENT THROUGH THE EVENING THEN WILL EITHER BECOME
LIGHT OR TREND TOWARD TYPICAL DIURNAL DIRECTION. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST
WINDS OF 8-16 KTS AFTER 15Z MONDAY WITH GUSTS TO 25 KTS.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...WINDS GENERALLY 10 KTS OR LESS WITH FAVORING TYPICAL
DIURNAL DIRECTIONAL TRENDS THROUGH TONIGHT. LOW CIGS 5-8K FEET
THROUGH TONIGHT WITH PERIODS OF STEADY RAIN AT TIMES GENERALLY EAST
OF A KDAG-KELY LINE WITH SNOW LEVELS BETWEEN 5500 AND 6500 FEET.
ISO-SCT SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED WEST OF THIS LINE. CIGS BELOW 5K FEET
AND REDUCED VSBY TO MVFR OR LOWER AT TIMES POSSIBLE. MOUNTAIN
OBSCURATIONS ARE LIKELY. IMPROVING CONDITIONS BY LATER MONDAY.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT
ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES
TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...PADDOCK
LONG TERM/AVIATION...SALMEN

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