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000
FXZS60 NSTU 270100
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
200 PM SST WED NOV 26 2014

.SHORT TERM...
.TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CLOUDS AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER TUTUILA...UPOLU AND UP TO 80 NM NORTH OF
PAGO PAGO AND APIA. AN INFAMOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM YESTERDAY WILL
HOVER OVER THE SAMOAN ISLANDS THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WEATHER
FEATURE WILL ENHANCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS TO MOVE ACROSS
THE FCST ZONES THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT...ANTICIPATE
WET WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH BREAKS IN SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.

.LONG TERM...
.SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A WEAK SURFACE TROUGH TO THE EAST OF
MANUA WILL PROVIDE HUMID WEATHER CONDITIONS DURING THE WEEKEND. A
DEVELOPING HIGH PRESSURE WELL SOUTHWEST OF THE REGION WILL
EVENTUALLY MIGRATE EASTWARD WHILE THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE HIGH
PRESSURE AREA WILL BUILD NORTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE SAMOAN ISLANDS
STARTING TUESDAY. AS A RESULT...ANTICIPATE VARIABLE WINDS UP TO 10 KT
TO TURN EAST TUESDAY WITH MINIMAL SHOWERS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.MARINE...COMBINED SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FEET WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NONE.

&&

$$

BAQUI








000
FXZS60 NSTU 260122
AFDPPG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR AMERICAN SAMOA AND INDEPENDENT SAMOA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PAGO PAGO AS
222 PM SST TUE NOV 25 2014

.SHORT TERM...
.TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...A MONSOONAL TROUGH WILL ENHANCE
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
THE AREA THROUGH THURSDAY. THE LATEST RAOB DATA SHOWS NORTHWEST
WINDS ALOFT UP TO 18 KT NEAR 850MB. CLOUDS ALONG THE MONSOON
TROUGH AXIS WILL DAMPEN THE FCST ZONES. THEREFORE...ANTICIPATE
SCATTERED TO OVERCAST CLOUD COVERAGE AND HIGHER GUSTS DURING LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

.LONG TERM...
.FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...CLOUD REMNANTS FROM THE MONSOON TROUGH
WILL LINGER OVER THE SAMOAN ISLANDS THIS FRIDAY. THUS...DRIER
WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS THE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE
SOUTHEAST SWEEPS EASTERLY WINDS STARTING SUNDAY. IF MODELS ARE
CORRECT...SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS FROM THE MONSOON TROUGH WILL
DISSIPATE SATURDAY MORNING THUS ALLOWING ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS TO
MOVE ACROSS THE FCST ZONES DURING NEXT WEEK. FOR NOW...WILL KEEP
THE PREV FCST THE SAME. WILL PROVIDE UPDATES AS NEW MODELS BECOME
AVAILABLE. THEREFORE...EXPECT MINIMAL SHOWERS AND VARIABLE WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH.

&&

.MARINE...COMBINED SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FEET WILL DECLINE TO 3 TO 5 FEET
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

&&

.PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
.NONE.

&&

$$

BAQUI









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