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000
FXAK69 PAFG 172042
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1242 PM AKDT THU APR 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN SIMILAR THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. UPPER LEVEL LOW
OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TO THE EAST TO BE
LOCATED OVER COLD BAY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. A WEAK RIDGE WILL REMAIN
IN PLACE OVER THE YUKON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WEAK SHORT WAVE
ROTATING NORTH ALONG THE BACK SIDE OF THE RIDGE WILL MOVE INTO
SOUTHERN ALASKA FRIDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE NORTH INTO THE
INTERIOR FRIDAY EVENING. EXPECT SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
THIS EVENING AND FRIDAY ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND DECREASING CLOUDS
SATURDAY.

AREAS OF FOG AND FLURRIES AND LOW CEILINGS NOTED ACROSS THE NORTH
SLOPE. A LARGE AREA OF STRATUS SLOWLY MOVING SOUTH AND EAST WITH
BACK EDGE JUST OFF THE NORTHWEST COAST. EASTERN NORTH SLOPE LIKELY
TO REMAIN IN FOG AND STRATUS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

IN THE MID TERM AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES OUT OF THE EASTERN BERING
SEA ALASKA SUNDAY EVENING AND CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTH AND EAST TO
INTO NORTHWEST ALASKA MONDAY MORNING. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND WILL BE CENTERED OVER PABR TUESDAY
MORNING.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MIN RH VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 30S AND 40S FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 223 AND 225. NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIP IS
EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND. REMAINING SNOW PACK OVER THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE TO MELT.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.
&&

$$

CCC APR 14





000
FXAK69 PAFG 171325
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
525 AM AKDT THU APR 17 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS SIMILAR IN SOLUTIONS THROUGH 72 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OVER THE ARCTIC COAST AND NORTH WHILE A LONG WAVE TROUGH LIES TO
THE SOUTH THROUGH THE BERING SEA AND EASTWARD. THE UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN AND MOVE TO COVER ALL OF NORTHERN ALASKA BY
FRIDAY NIGHT.

NUMEROUS SHORT WAVES WILL MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE EASTERN PORTION
OF THE STATE THROUGH TODAY AND TONIGHT. A DEEPER UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE WEST COAST AND THEN CONTINUE EASTWARD
ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH THE FIRST ART OF NEXT WEEK.

GENERALLY MILDLY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVER THE
INTERIOR TODAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SHOWERS TO DEVELOP OVER MUCH
OF THE INTERIOR ALTHOUGH WHATEVER FALLS WILL BE VERY LIGHT.

WINDS ON THE WEST COAST WILL BE MARINE ADVISORY LEVEL FOR ZONE
210. HOWEVER...ZONES 208 AND 225 WILL FLIRT WITH THE CRITERIA
TODAY. SUBSTANTIAL FOG IS OUT AND ABOUT ON THE SEWARD PENINSULA
AND PARTS OF THE ARCTIC COAST BUT GOING AWAY AS THE MORNING WEARS
ON.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...MODERATELY LOW RH VALUES SHOULD CONTINUE IN FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 225 AND 223. NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION OVER THE
AREA WILL LEAVE THE AREA TO CONTINUE TO DRY OUT.


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

$$

CF APR 14





000
FXAK69 PAFG 170023
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
423 PM AKDT WED APR 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT AT 500 MB...HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA
THROUGH SATURDAY. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT WAS NORTHEAST OF BARROW
EARLIER TODAY AND HAS MOVED NORTHEAST WITH A WEAK TROUGH MOVING
OVER THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST THIS EVENING. ACROSS THE
INTERIOR...HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE STILL REMAINS BUT SEVERAL SHORTWAVE
FEATURES EMBEDDED WILL FILTER THROUGH THE EASTERN INTERIOR. THERE
WAS A WEAK IMPULSE MOVING NORTHWARD SPARKING SOME RAIN AND SHOWER
ACTIVITY ACROSS EASTERN INTERIOR OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL
MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE ALASKA RANGE ON THURSDAY ALLOWING FOR
CONTINUED POCKETS OF SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. FINALLY THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE BERING SEA NORTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL
MOVE NEAR BRISTOL BAY BY SATURDAY. THE GFS AND ECMWF THEN START TO
DEVIATE WITH THE ECMWF WEAKENING INTO A LOW TROUGH AND THEN
REDEVELOPING THE LOW OVER ST MATHEW ISLAND AREA BY SUNDAY NIGHT
WHERE AS THE GFS PLACES THE LOW OVER SEWARD PENINSULA. TENDING TO
LEAN TOWARDS THE ECMWF FOR THE EXTENDED FORECAST.

AT THE SURFACE...
A 994 MB LOW IN THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA WILL MEANDER SLOWLY AROUND
DUTCH HARBOR THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING THEN REDEVELOP TO 992 MB
LOW OVER BRISTOL BAY BY FRIDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA WITH A 1020MB HIGH OVER WRANGEL ISLAND THIS
EVENING AND SLOWLY MOVING EAST. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN WEAKEN
AS IT MOVES EAST TO 1013 MB BY FRI MORNING WITH LOCATION OVER THE
ARCTIC OCEAN WELL NORTH OF BARROW AND THEN CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
TO BE LOCATED WELL NORTH OF BARTER ISLAND BY SATURDAY MORNING. IN
THE INTERIOR THERE IS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH EXTENDING ACROSS
EASTERN INTERIOR. THE REMNANT OF THE RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WITH
FREEZING DRIZZLE ACROSS CENTRAL INTERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO

NORTH SLOPE...DENSE FOG ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS MORNING HAS
IMPROVED BRIEFLY FOR SOME LOCATIONS. HOWEVER...SEVERAL LOCATIONS
ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST HAVE DEVELOPED DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITIES
OF A QUARTER MILE OR LESS. AS TYPICAL WITH THE FOG ALONG THE NORTH
SLOPE IT WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER UP AND DOWN WITH THE
VISIBILITIES THROUGH THE MORNING. GIVEN SEVERAL SITES WITH DENSE
FOG...HAVE A DENSE FOG HEADLINE THROUGH THE MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK WITH
FOG AND FLURRIES EXPECTED.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...MAIN FEATURES IMPACTING THE
WESTERN INTERIOR WITH SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT AND DIMINISH THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE MAY BE A POTENTIAL
FOR LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE OVERNIGHT. THIS AREA IS EXTENDING FROM
GALENA TO RUBY AND NORTHEAST TOWARDS BETTLES IN THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR. THERE IS ALSO SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING
OVER THE BERING STRAIT.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...LATEST VIIRS IR SATELLITE IMAGERY
AT 330 PM AKDT SHOWS THE MORE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WITH THE
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE ALAKSAN RANGE AND EASTERN
INTERIOR. ALSO SEEN IS THE REMNANT OF THE LINE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS THAT EXTENDED FROM GALENA TOWARDS BETTLES. THIS WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND ALSO HAVE SOME LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE LATER
IN THE EVENING...PARTICULARLY THAT DEVELOPS ACROSS THE RAY AND
WHITE MOUNTAINS TOWARDS BETTLES. SHOWER ACTIVITY

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE STILL OVER THE AREA FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 223 AND 225...EXPECT CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. ALTHOUGH EXPECT A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER ON
THURSDAY WITH THE WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE RIDGE. ALSO
EXPECT MIN RH VALUES TO RANGE IN THE 30S TO 40S. EXPECT LIGHT
WINDS TO CONTINUE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

$$

MAK APR 14





000
FXAK69 PAFG 161329
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
529 AM AKDT WED APR 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS FAIRLY SIMILAR THROUGH ABOUT 60 HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME
FRAME THE MODELS SEEM TO DIVERGE A LITTLE AT 72 HOURS AND THEN
THEY RAPIDLY FALL APART.

THE CURRENT RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE STATE WILL
CONTINUED TO BE ATTACKED BY A NUMBER OF SHORT WAVES AS THEY CONTINUE
TO MOVE OVER THE STATE. INSTABILITY BEGINS TO DEVELOP OVER MANY
LOCATIONS. THIS INSTABILITY MAY BE ENOUGH TO SPARK A SHOWER OR TWO
OVER THE INTERIOR OF NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGH THU.

EXTENSIVE FOG OVER THE ARCTIC COAST IS FADING IN AND OUT BUT
SHOULD BE MOSTLY OUT OF THE AREA BY AROUND NOON.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE REMAINING
WEEK. WINDS WILL BE NEAR ADVISORY LEVEL OVER A FEW OF THE WEST
COAST MARINE ZONES AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN THROUGH THU.



&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL INTO THE 30 PERCENT AREA FOR ZONE
223 BUT SHOULD BE MOSTLY ABOVE 40 PERCENT FOR ZONE 225 FOR TODAY.


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

$$

CF APR 14





000
FXAK69 PAFG 152320
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
320 PM AKDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
ALOFT AT 500 MB...A CLOSED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER POINT LAY
CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG THE CHUKCHI SEA COAST AND IS
EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY NORTHEAST OF BARROW BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE THEN CLOSES OFF OVER THE CHUKCHI
SEA JUST WEST OF POINT HOPE AND MEANDERS AROUND THE AREA THROUGH
FRIDAY. THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS THEN BEGIN TO DIVERGE IN HOW
THIS HIGH PRESSURE IS HANDLED BEYOND FRIDAY WITH GFS KEEPING IT
IN PLACE AND ECMWF BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND
NORTH SLOPE. OVERALL LEANING TOWARDS THE ECMWF HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
IN THE EXTENDED.

AT THE SURFACE...A 988 MB LOW IN THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA WILL
MOVE SOUTHEAST TO BE LOCATED 150 NM NORTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR BUT
WEAKEN TO 994 MB BY AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
AND THEN REDEVELOP OVER THE BRISTOL BAY AREA AND MOVE TOWARDS
KUSKOKWIM BAY BY SATURDAY. ALONG THE CHUKCHI SEA AND ARCTIC
COAST...A 1007 MB LOW 110 NM NORTHWEST OF POINT LAY WILL MOVE
NORTH OF BARROW AS A 1010 MB BY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND MOVE TO 74N
150W BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND
THE EXITING LOW WITH A 1022 MB HIGH FORECASTED TO BE LOCATED OVER
WRANGLE ISLAND BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS HIGH PRESSURE WILL
WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EASTWARD AND FORECASTED TO BE 1013 MB AT 74N
AND 150W. OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR.

NORTH SLOPE...SNOW SHOWERS CONTINUE ACROSS CHUKCHI COASTLINE FROM
CAPE LISBURNE TOWARD WAINWRIGHT WITH VISIBILITIES OF 1 TO 2 MILES.
THIS WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE ACROSS THE CHUKCHI SEA COAST AS THE LOW
MOVES NORTH TOWARDS BARROW TONIGHT WITH SNOW INCREASING OVER
BARROW OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...MOST OF THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL MOVE
NORTH OF THE AREA WITH MAINLY FLURRIES FOR AREAS FROM BARROW WEST.

WEST COAST AND WESTERN INTERIOR...RECENTLY ENDED THE DENSE FOG
ACROSS NOME AREA AND ST LAWRENCE ISLAND MID AFTERNOON AS
VISIBILITIES IMPROVED. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS NEAR SAVOONGA HAVE
DETERIORATED ONCE AGAIN DOWN TO A QUARTER MILE VISIBILITY AT 230
PM AKDT. ALONG THE CHUKCHI SEA COAST EXPECT AREAS OF FOG AND
FLURRIES TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
OVER THE CHUKCHI SEA AND IMPACT MUCH OF WESTERN COAST. LATEST IR
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE DISTURBANCE IMPACTING THE EASTERN
INTERIOR WILL PUSH ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN INTERIOR
OVERNIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY EXTENDING FROM KALTAG THROUGH GALENA...TO
HUGHES. THIS WILL BRING SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS TO THE WESTERN AND
CENTRAL INTERIOR. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE
MORNING FOR AREAS FROM GALENA SOUTH BUT THE TRANSITION FROM
OVERNIGHT SNOW TO RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.

CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR...AS THIS DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN
THE RIDGE MOVED UP FROM THE ALASKA RANGE TODAY MUCH OF THE SHOWERY
PRECIPITATION WAS CONTAINED IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS AS SEEN FROM
ISABEL WEB CAMERAS AND QUICKLY CLEARED OUT FROM TOK TO MENTASTA
PASS AND SOUTHWARD. IT APPEARED THAT MODELS OVER EXAGGERATED
EXPECTED PRECIPITATION WITH THE MID LEVEL CLOUD COVER. AS IT MOVES
ACROSS THE GREATER FAIRBANKS THIS EVENING WE TAPERED BACK ON THE
INITIAL SCATTERED TO SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION...EXPECTING
MAINLY SPRINKLE OR FLURRIES. LATEST RADAR REFLECTIVITY AT 300 PM
AKDT SHOWS A SHARPER BAND DEVELOPING TO THE NORTHEAST OVER THE
WHITE MOUNTAINS. BETTER CHANCES OF EVENING RAIN SHOWERS
TRANSITIONING INTO SNOW SHOWERS AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST OF
FAIRBANKS. AGAIN EXPECT THIS BAND OF INITIALLY RAIN SHOWERS
TRANSITIONING TO SNOW SHOWERS TO DEVELOP AND PUSH TOWARDS THE LINE
AS MENTIONED TOWARDS GALENA TO HUGHES OVERNIGHT.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE IN THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR
AREAS. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S. MIN RH
VALUES IN THE AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE.
AREAS OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION HAVE DEVELOPED MAINLY OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT GAP WINDS
ARE EXPECTED IN THE ALASKA RANGE PASSES THROUGH FRI AS A WEAK
SURFACE PRESSURE PATTERN PERSISTS. HOWEVER...THERE WILL BE WEAK
SOUTHERLY FLOW ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY THROUGH THE ALASKA RANGE
PASSES.


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

$$

MAK APR 14





000
FXAK69 PAFG 151632 AAA
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
832 AM AKDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT 60 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OVER EASTERN PORTION OF THE STATE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
WHILE TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST WILL EXPAND EAST AND UNDERCUT THE
RIDGE AND PUSH THE RIDGE NORTHWARD OVER THE ARCTIC COAST BY THU
AFTERNOON.

UPPER LEVEL VORT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ARCTIC COAST THROUGH WED
EVENING. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL NORTHWARD EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER
RIDGE. THIS IS ADVERTISED TO MOVE SOME PRECIPITATION OF SOME FORM
OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
EVENING. VARIOUS TYPES OF PRECIPITATION WILL FALL OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE STATE WITH SOME AREAS OF SNOW AND OTHERS WITH RAIN
AND SOME SMALLER AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR PRETTY MUCH
EVERYWHERE SOUTH OF THE BROOKS RANGE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

AS THE CURRENT LOW NEAR THE BERING STRAIT MOVES NORTH AND WEAKENS
THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA NORTH OF THE BERING
STRAIT TODAY AND CERTAINLY BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE IN SOUTHERN
INTERIOR AREAS...WITH HIGHS TYPICALLY IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S.
MIN RH IN THE AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE.
AREAS OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY. NO SIGNIFICANT GAP WINDS EXPECTED IN THE
ALASKA RANGE PASSES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRI AS A WEAK SURFACE
PRESSURE PATTERN PERSISTS.


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220.
&&

$$

CF/LTH APR 14





000
FXAK69 PAFG 151343
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
543 AM AKDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT 60 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OVER EASTERN PORTION OF THE STATE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
WHILE TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST WILL EXPAND EAST AND UNDERCUT THE
RIDGE AND PUSH THE RIDGE NORTHWARD OVER THE ARCTIC COAST BY THU
AFTERNOON.

UPPER LEVEL VORT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ARCTIC COAST THROUGH WED
EVENING. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL NORTHWARD EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER
RIDGE. THIS IS ADVERTISED TO MOVE SOME PRECIPITATION OF SOME FORM
OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
EVENING. VARIOUS TYPES OF PRECIPITATION WILL FALL OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE STATE WITH SOME AREAS OF SNOW AND OTERS WITH RAIN
AND SOME SMALLER AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR PRETTY MUCH
EVERYWHERE SOUTH OF THE BROOKS RANGE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

AS THE CURRENT LOW NEAR THE BERING STRAIT MOVES NORTH AND WEAKENS
THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA NORTH OF THE BERING
STRAIT TODAY AND CERTAINLY BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL. THERE IS NOT MUCH
SNOW COVER IF ANY IN ZONES 223, 225, AND 226. BUT THE WINDS AT
LEAST ARE NOT STRONG.


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220.
&&

$$

CF APR 14





000
FXAK69 PAFG 151343 CCA
AFDAFG

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
543 AM AKDT TUE APR 15 2014

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT 60 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OVER EASTERN PORTION OF THE STATE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST
WHILE TROUGH OVER THE WEST COAST WILL EXPAND EAST AND UNDERCUT THE
RIDGE AND PUSH THE RIDGE NORTHWARD OVER THE ARCTIC COAST BY THU
AFTERNOON.

UPPER LEVEL VORT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ARCTIC COAST THROUGH WED
EVENING. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE WILL NORTHWARD EMBEDDED IN THE UPPER
RIDGE. THIS IS ADVERTISED TO MOVE SOME PRECIPITATION OF SOME FORM
OVER THE EASTERN INTERIOR BEGINNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
EVENING. VARIOUS TYPES OF PRECIPITATION WILL FALL OVER THE CENTRAL
PORTION OF THE STATE WITH SOME AREAS OF SNOW AND OTHERS WITH RAIN
AND SOME SMALLER AREAS OF FREEZING RAIN.

TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR PRETTY MUCH
EVERYWHERE SOUTH OF THE BROOKS RANGE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

AS THE CURRENT LOW NEAR THE BERING STRAIT MOVES NORTH AND WEAKENS
THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA NORTH OF THE BERING
STRAIT TODAY AND CERTAINLY BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.


&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL. THERE IS NOT MUCH
SNOW COVER IF ANY IN ZONES 223, 225, AND 226. BUT THE WINDS AT
LEAST ARE NOT STRONG.


&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220.
&&

$$

CF APR 14





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