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000
FXHW60 PHFO 310146 CCA
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
346 PM HST WED JUL 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE BIG ISLAND...AND POSSIBLY MAUI...WILL
SEE INCREASING WINDS AND SHOWERS ON EARLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE PASSES SOUTH OF THE STATE. DRIER AIR
WILL PUSH IN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE BIG
ISLAND...AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ELSEWHERE AROUND THE STATE. MODERATE
TRADE WINDS ARE BLOWING THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LITTLE IF ANY
PRECIPITATION PICKED UP ON RADAR. EXPECT THIS RELATIVELY QUIET
WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT FOR BIG ISLAND AND
MAUI...AND THROUGH FRIDAY FOR KAUAI AND OAHU.

A BRIEF STRENGTHENING OF THE TRADE WINDS IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE AS TROPICAL
DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE PASSES BY TO THE SOUTH. WHILE THE MAIN
ACTIVITY WITH GENEVIEVE WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF HAWAII...MOISTURE
ALONG THE FAR-NORTHERN FRINGES OF THE DEPRESSION WILL GET CAUGHT
UP IN THE TRADE WINDS IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE TRADES WILL PUSH
THIS TROPICAL MOISTURE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN END OF THE STATE.

THERE ARE MODEL DISCREPANCY BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF AS TO HOW FAR
UP THE ISLAND CHAIN THE MOISTURE WILL REACH. THE PRIMARY IMPACT
OF THIS MOISTURE WILL BE HEAVY RAIN WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST
SHOT AT REACHING THE BIG ISLAND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...AND
POSSIBLY MAUI BY LATER IN THE DAY. TRADE WINDS WILL FOCUS THE RAIN
ACROSS WINDWARD AND SOUTHEASTERN BIG ISLAND SLOPES...BUT WILL BE
DEEP ENOUGH TO BRING RAIN TO THE UPPER ELEVATIONS AND LEEWARD
SLOPES AS WELL. FOR KAUAI...OAHU...MOLOKAI AND LANAI...HAVE
ADJUSTED THE FORECAST TO TAKE HEAVY RAIN OUT FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...THOUGH ALL ISLANDS COULD SEE A SMALL UPTICK IN THE RAIN
COVERAGE. ALSO...HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE FELT ALL PARTS OF
THE STATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. GENEVIEVE WILL CARRY THE MOISTURE
WEST OF THE STATE BY SUNDAY AND ALLOW FOR THE TRADE WINDS TO BRING
DRIER AIR IN. TRADE WINDS SHOULD MAINTAIN MODERATE STRENGTH ON
SUNDAY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...WITH TYPICAL WINDWARD
AND MAUKA FOCUSED CLOUDS AND SHOWERS.

&&

.AVIATION...
MODERATE AND LOCALLY BREEZY TRADES CONTINUE OVER THE ISLANDS TODAY.
AN AIRMET FOR LOW LEVEL TURB HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS OVER AND IMT
S THRU W OF TERRAIN.

THROUGHOUT THE ISLANDS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. TRADES WILL
CARRY PASSING SHOWERS. SOME SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS...MAINLY AFFECTING WINDWARD AND MAUKA SLOPES.


&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY /SCA/ IS IN EFFECT FOR TYPICALLY WINDY
WATERS AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND THROUGH FRIDAY. THE
SCA WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED INTO NEXT WEEK.

A SMALL TO MODERATE SWELL FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND. OTHERWISE...A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTH SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. PREVAILING TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO PRODUCE SHORT PERIOD...CHOPPY SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST FRIDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...FOSTER
AVIATION...EATON









000
FXHW60 PHFO 310146 CCA
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
346 PM HST WED JUL 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE BIG ISLAND...AND POSSIBLY MAUI...WILL
SEE INCREASING WINDS AND SHOWERS ON EARLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE PASSES SOUTH OF THE STATE. DRIER AIR
WILL PUSH IN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE BIG
ISLAND...AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ELSEWHERE AROUND THE STATE. MODERATE
TRADE WINDS ARE BLOWING THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LITTLE IF ANY
PRECIPITATION PICKED UP ON RADAR. EXPECT THIS RELATIVELY QUIET
WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT FOR BIG ISLAND AND
MAUI...AND THROUGH FRIDAY FOR KAUAI AND OAHU.

A BRIEF STRENGTHENING OF THE TRADE WINDS IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE AS TROPICAL
DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE PASSES BY TO THE SOUTH. WHILE THE MAIN
ACTIVITY WITH GENEVIEVE WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF HAWAII...MOISTURE
ALONG THE FAR-NORTHERN FRINGES OF THE DEPRESSION WILL GET CAUGHT
UP IN THE TRADE WINDS IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE TRADES WILL PUSH
THIS TROPICAL MOISTURE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN END OF THE STATE.

THERE ARE MODEL DISCREPANCY BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF AS TO HOW FAR
UP THE ISLAND CHAIN THE MOISTURE WILL REACH. THE PRIMARY IMPACT
OF THIS MOISTURE WILL BE HEAVY RAIN WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST
SHOT AT REACHING THE BIG ISLAND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...AND
POSSIBLY MAUI BY LATER IN THE DAY. TRADE WINDS WILL FOCUS THE RAIN
ACROSS WINDWARD AND SOUTHEASTERN BIG ISLAND SLOPES...BUT WILL BE
DEEP ENOUGH TO BRING RAIN TO THE UPPER ELEVATIONS AND LEEWARD
SLOPES AS WELL. FOR KAUAI...OAHU...MOLOKAI AND LANAI...HAVE
ADJUSTED THE FORECAST TO TAKE HEAVY RAIN OUT FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...THOUGH ALL ISLANDS COULD SEE A SMALL UPTICK IN THE RAIN
COVERAGE. ALSO...HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE FELT ALL PARTS OF
THE STATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. GENEVIEVE WILL CARRY THE MOISTURE
WEST OF THE STATE BY SUNDAY AND ALLOW FOR THE TRADE WINDS TO BRING
DRIER AIR IN. TRADE WINDS SHOULD MAINTAIN MODERATE STRENGTH ON
SUNDAY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...WITH TYPICAL WINDWARD
AND MAUKA FOCUSED CLOUDS AND SHOWERS.

&&

.AVIATION...
MODERATE AND LOCALLY BREEZY TRADES CONTINUE OVER THE ISLANDS TODAY.
AN AIRMET FOR LOW LEVEL TURB HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS OVER AND IMT
S THRU W OF TERRAIN.

THROUGHOUT THE ISLANDS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. TRADES WILL
CARRY PASSING SHOWERS. SOME SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS...MAINLY AFFECTING WINDWARD AND MAUKA SLOPES.


&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY /SCA/ IS IN EFFECT FOR TYPICALLY WINDY
WATERS AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND THROUGH FRIDAY. THE
SCA WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED INTO NEXT WEEK.

A SMALL TO MODERATE SWELL FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND. OTHERWISE...A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTH SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. PREVAILING TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO PRODUCE SHORT PERIOD...CHOPPY SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST FRIDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...FOSTER
AVIATION...EATON










000
FXHW60 PHFO 310142
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
342 PM HST WED JUL 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE BIG ISLAND...AND POSSIBLY MAUI...WILL
SEE INCREASING WINDS AND SHOWERS ON EARLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE PASSES SOUTH OF THE STATE. DRIER AIR
WILL PUSH IN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE BIG
ISLAND...AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ELSEWHERE AROUND THE STATE. MODERATE
TRADE WINDS ARE BLOWING THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LITTLE IF ANY
PRECIPITATION PICKED UP ON RADAR. EXPECT THIS RELATIVELY QUIET
WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT FOR BIG ISLAND AND
MAUI...AND THROUGH FRIDAY FOR KAUAI AND OAHU.

A BRIEF STRENGTHENING OF THE TRADE WINDS IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE AS TROPICAL
DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE PASSES BY TO THE SOUTH. WHILE THE MAIN
ACTIVITY WITH GENEVIEVE WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF HAWAII...MOISTURE
ALONG THE FAR-NORTHERN FRINGES OF THE DEPRESSION WILL GET CAUGHT
UP IN THE TRADE WINDS IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE TRADES WILL PUSH
THIS TROPICAL MOISTURE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN END OF THE STATE.

THESE IS MODEL DISCREPANCY BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF AS TO HOW FAR
UP THE ISLAND CHAIN THE MOISTURE WILL REACH. THE PRIMARY IMPACT
OF THIS MOISTURE WILL BE HEAVY RAIN WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST
SHOT AT REACHING THE BIG ISLAND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...AND
POSSIBLY MAUI BY LATER IN THE DAY. TRADE WINDS WILL FOCUS THE RAIN
ACROSS WINDWARD AND SOUTHEASTERN BIG ISLAND SLOPES...BUT WILL BE
DEEP ENOUGH TO BRING RAIN TO THE UPPER ELEVATIONS AND LEEWARD
SLOPES AS WELL. FOR KAUAI...OAHU...MOLOKAI AND LANAI...HAVE
ADJUSTED THE FORECAST TO TAKE HEAVY RAIN OUT FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...THOUGH ALL ISLANDS COULD SEE A SMALL UPTICK IN THE RAIN
COVERAGE. ALSO...HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE FELT ALL PARTS OF
THE STATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. GENEVIEVE WILL CARRY THE MOISTURE
WEST OF THE STATE BY SUNDAY AND ALLOW FOR THE TRADE WINDS TO BRING
DRIER AIR IN. TRADE WINDS SHOULD MAINTAIN MODERATE STRENGTH ON
SUNDAY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...WITH TYPICAL WINDWARD
AND MAUKA FOCUSED CLOUDS AND SHOWERS.

&&

.AVIATION...
MODERATE AND LOCALLY BREEZY TRADES CONTINUE OVER THE ISLANDS TODAY.
AN AIRMET FOR LOW LEVEL TURB HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS OVER AND IMT
S THRU W OF TERRAIN.

THROUGHOUT THE ISLANDS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. TRADES WILL
CARRY PASSING SHOWERS. SOME SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS...MAINLY AFFECTING WINDWARD AND MAUKA SLOPES.


&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY /SCA/ IS IN EFFECT FOR TYPICALLY WINDY
WATERS AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND THROUGH FRIDAY. THE
SCA WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED INTO NEXT WEEK.

A SMALL TO MODERATE SWELL FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND. OTHERWISE...A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTH SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. PREVAILING TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO PRODUCE SHORT PERIOD...CHOPPY SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST FRIDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...FOSTER
AVIATION...EATON







000
FXHW60 PHFO 310142
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
342 PM HST WED JUL 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. THE BIG ISLAND...AND POSSIBLY MAUI...WILL
SEE INCREASING WINDS AND SHOWERS ON EARLY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE PASSES SOUTH OF THE STATE. DRIER AIR
WILL PUSH IN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS MUCH OF THE BIG
ISLAND...AND PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ELSEWHERE AROUND THE STATE. MODERATE
TRADE WINDS ARE BLOWING THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LITTLE IF ANY
PRECIPITATION PICKED UP ON RADAR. EXPECT THIS RELATIVELY QUIET
WEATHER TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT FOR BIG ISLAND AND
MAUI...AND THROUGH FRIDAY FOR KAUAI AND OAHU.

A BRIEF STRENGTHENING OF THE TRADE WINDS IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE AS TROPICAL
DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE PASSES BY TO THE SOUTH. WHILE THE MAIN
ACTIVITY WITH GENEVIEVE WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF HAWAII...MOISTURE
ALONG THE FAR-NORTHERN FRINGES OF THE DEPRESSION WILL GET CAUGHT
UP IN THE TRADE WINDS IN THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE TRADES WILL PUSH
THIS TROPICAL MOISTURE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN END OF THE STATE.

THESE IS MODEL DISCREPANCY BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF AS TO HOW FAR
UP THE ISLAND CHAIN THE MOISTURE WILL REACH. THE PRIMARY IMPACT
OF THIS MOISTURE WILL BE HEAVY RAIN WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST
SHOT AT REACHING THE BIG ISLAND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...AND
POSSIBLY MAUI BY LATER IN THE DAY. TRADE WINDS WILL FOCUS THE RAIN
ACROSS WINDWARD AND SOUTHEASTERN BIG ISLAND SLOPES...BUT WILL BE
DEEP ENOUGH TO BRING RAIN TO THE UPPER ELEVATIONS AND LEEWARD
SLOPES AS WELL. FOR KAUAI...OAHU...MOLOKAI AND LANAI...HAVE
ADJUSTED THE FORECAST TO TAKE HEAVY RAIN OUT FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...THOUGH ALL ISLANDS COULD SEE A SMALL UPTICK IN THE RAIN
COVERAGE. ALSO...HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE FELT ALL PARTS OF
THE STATE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. GENEVIEVE WILL CARRY THE MOISTURE
WEST OF THE STATE BY SUNDAY AND ALLOW FOR THE TRADE WINDS TO BRING
DRIER AIR IN. TRADE WINDS SHOULD MAINTAIN MODERATE STRENGTH ON
SUNDAY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK...WITH TYPICAL WINDWARD
AND MAUKA FOCUSED CLOUDS AND SHOWERS.

&&

.AVIATION...
MODERATE AND LOCALLY BREEZY TRADES CONTINUE OVER THE ISLANDS TODAY.
AN AIRMET FOR LOW LEVEL TURB HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS OVER AND IMT
S THRU W OF TERRAIN.

THROUGHOUT THE ISLANDS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. TRADES WILL
CARRY PASSING SHOWERS. SOME SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS...MAINLY AFFECTING WINDWARD AND MAUKA SLOPES.


&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY /SCA/ IS IN EFFECT FOR TYPICALLY WINDY
WATERS AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND THROUGH FRIDAY. THE
SCA WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED INTO NEXT WEEK.

A SMALL TO MODERATE SWELL FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND. OTHERWISE...A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTH SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. PREVAILING TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO PRODUCE SHORT PERIOD...CHOPPY SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST FRIDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...FOSTER
AVIATION...EATON






000
FXHW60 PHFO 301954
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
954 AM HST WED JUL 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY. THE BIG ISLAND WILL SEE INCREASING WINDS AND SHOWERS
ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE PASSES
SOUTH OF THE STATE. DRIER AIR WILL PUSH IN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER
WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS...SUNNY SKIES LEEWARD. THE CURRENT WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING...WITH A LITTLE BIT
MORE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS EXPECTED ACROSS WINDWARD PORTIONS OF
KAUAI...OAHU AND MOLOKAI BY THE AFTERNOON. ANY RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT.

AT THE UPPER LEVELS...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A POSITIVELY-
TILTED TROUGH JUST WEST OF KAUAI THIS MORNING. SOUNDINGS SHOW A
NEARLY ABSENT INVERSION AT LIHUE WITH A STRONG ONE AT 8000 FEET AT
HILO. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL AT
AROUND 1.2 INCHES.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
THURSDAY...WITH A BRIEF STRENGTHENING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE
PASSES BY TO THE SOUTH. WHILE THE MAIN ACTIVITY WITH GENEVIEVE WILL
REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF HAWAII...MOISTURE ALONG THE FAR-NORTHERN
FRINGES OF THE DEPRESSION WILL GET CAUGHT UP IN THE TRADE WINDS IN
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE TRADES WILL PUSH THIS TROPICAL MOISTURE
TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN END OF THE STATE.

THESE IS MODEL DISCREPANCY BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF AS TO HOW FAR
UP THE ISLAND CHAIN THE MOISTURE WILL REACH...AND WILL DEPEND ON
THE PATH GENEVIEVE TAKES. THE PRIMARY IMPACT OF THIS MOISTURE
WILL BE HEAVY RAIN WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST SHOT AT REACHING
THE BIG ISLAND ON FRIDAY...BUT TOO CLOSE TO CALL FOR MAUI COUNTY
AND OAHU. KAUAI IS LIKELY TOO FAR NORTH TO BE IMPACTED BY THE
HEAVY RAIN.

TRADE WINDS SHOULD MAINTAIN MODERATE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY THROUGH
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. DRIER AIR WILL ALSO MOVE IN SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.



&&

.AVIATION...
MODERATE AND LOCALLY BREEZY TRADES CONTINUE OVER THE ISLANDS TODAY.
AN AIRMET FOR LOW LEVEL TURB HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS OVER AND IMT
S THRU W OF TERRAIN.

THROUGHOUT THE ISLANDS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. TRADES WILL
CARRY PASSING SHOWERS. SOME SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS...MAINLY AFFECTING WINDWARD AND MAUKA SLOPES.


&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY /SCA/ IS IN EFFECT FOR TYPICALLY WINDY
WATERS AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SCA WINDS WILL
LIKELY LINGER INTO THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

A SMALL TO MODERATE SWELL FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND. OTHERWISE...A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTH SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. PREVAILING TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO PRODUCE SHORT PERIOD...CHOPPY SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST FRIDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...FOSTER
AVIATION...EATON






000
FXHW60 PHFO 301954
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
954 AM HST WED JUL 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
MODERATE TRADE WINDS AND RELATIVELY QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY. THE BIG ISLAND WILL SEE INCREASING WINDS AND SHOWERS
ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE PASSES
SOUTH OF THE STATE. DRIER AIR WILL PUSH IN ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWS PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS OVER
WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS...SUNNY SKIES LEEWARD. THE CURRENT WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING...WITH A LITTLE BIT
MORE CLOUDS AND SHOWERS EXPECTED ACROSS WINDWARD PORTIONS OF
KAUAI...OAHU AND MOLOKAI BY THE AFTERNOON. ANY RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LIGHT.

AT THE UPPER LEVELS...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A POSITIVELY-
TILTED TROUGH JUST WEST OF KAUAI THIS MORNING. SOUNDINGS SHOW A
NEARLY ABSENT INVERSION AT LIHUE WITH A STRONG ONE AT 8000 FEET AT
HILO. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL AT
AROUND 1.2 INCHES.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
THURSDAY...WITH A BRIEF STRENGTHENING FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE STATE AS TROPICAL DEPRESSION GENEVIEVE
PASSES BY TO THE SOUTH. WHILE THE MAIN ACTIVITY WITH GENEVIEVE WILL
REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF HAWAII...MOISTURE ALONG THE FAR-NORTHERN
FRINGES OF THE DEPRESSION WILL GET CAUGHT UP IN THE TRADE WINDS IN
THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE TRADES WILL PUSH THIS TROPICAL MOISTURE
TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN END OF THE STATE.

THESE IS MODEL DISCREPANCY BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF AS TO HOW FAR
UP THE ISLAND CHAIN THE MOISTURE WILL REACH...AND WILL DEPEND ON
THE PATH GENEVIEVE TAKES. THE PRIMARY IMPACT OF THIS MOISTURE
WILL BE HEAVY RAIN WHICH SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST SHOT AT REACHING
THE BIG ISLAND ON FRIDAY...BUT TOO CLOSE TO CALL FOR MAUI COUNTY
AND OAHU. KAUAI IS LIKELY TOO FAR NORTH TO BE IMPACTED BY THE
HEAVY RAIN.

TRADE WINDS SHOULD MAINTAIN MODERATE STRENGTH ON SUNDAY THROUGH
THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. DRIER AIR WILL ALSO MOVE IN SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.



&&

.AVIATION...
MODERATE AND LOCALLY BREEZY TRADES CONTINUE OVER THE ISLANDS TODAY.
AN AIRMET FOR LOW LEVEL TURB HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR AREAS OVER AND IMT
S THRU W OF TERRAIN.

THROUGHOUT THE ISLANDS...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL. TRADES WILL
CARRY PASSING SHOWERS. SOME SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS...MAINLY AFFECTING WINDWARD AND MAUKA SLOPES.


&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY /SCA/ IS IN EFFECT FOR TYPICALLY WINDY
WATERS AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. SCA WINDS WILL
LIKELY LINGER INTO THE LONG TERM PORTION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

A SMALL TO MODERATE SWELL FROM THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST IS EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND. OTHERWISE...A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTH SWELLS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK. PREVAILING TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO PRODUCE SHORT PERIOD...CHOPPY SURF ALONG EAST FACING SHORES.


&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST FRIDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

DISCUSSION/MARINE...FOSTER
AVIATION...EATON





000
FXHW60 PHFO 301631 AAA
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
631 AM HST WED JUL 30 2014

.UPDATE...
INCREASED CHANCES FOR CLOUDS AND RAIN TODAY OVER OAHU AND MOLOKAI
DUE TO THE INCOMING FETCH OF CLOUDS CARRIED IN WITH THE TRADE
WINDS. ORIGINAL FORECAST HAD RAIN TARGETED OVER KAUAI...BUT WILL
LIKELY SPREAD A BIT FURTHER SOUTH GIVEN CURRENT SATELLITE LOOP. HIGHER
RAIN CHANCES WILL MAINLY AFFECT NORTH SHORES...WINDWARD AREAS AND
THE MOUNTAINS. LEEWARD SIDES COULD SEE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR
TWO...BUT SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY DRY.


&&

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTH OF THE STATE WILL KEEP TRADE WINDS BLOWING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DRY CONDITIONS INTO THURSDAY WILL YIELD TO A
VERY MOIST AIR MASS BRINGING INCREASING SHOWERS FROM THE SOUTHEAST
BY FRIDAY EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT AGAIN SLOWLY OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK AS THE MOIST AIR MASS MOVES AWAY TOWARD
THE WEST.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION.../ISSUED 400 AM HST WED JUL 30 2014/

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AROUND THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS STILL REPORTED
GENERALLY MODERATE TRADE WINDS...THOUGH AS USUAL SPEEDS WERE HIGHER
WHERE THE FLOW ACCELERATED AROUND HEADLANDS AND BETWEEN ISLANDS.
CLOUD COVER WAS LIMITED AND PRECIPITATION QUITE SPARSE OVERALL...
BUT TWO EXCEPTIONS WARRANTED MENTION. FIRST...SELECT LOWER WINDWARD
SLOPES OF THE BIG ISLAND MANAGED TO RECEIVE UPWARDS OF HALF AN INCH
OF RAIN AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND MUCH LIGHTER PRECIPITATION SINCE.
SECOND...LIGHT SHOWERS MOVED ASHORE OVER WINDWARD SHORES OF KAUAI
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE MOISTER AIR DRIFTING OVER KAUAI FROM
THE NORTHWEST SUGGESTED THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY THERE WILL REMAIN
MORE ACTIVE THROUGH THE DAY...AND THE FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED
ACCORDINGLY...THOUGH ACCUMULATION SHOULD REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE. ON
THE OTHER HAND...THE SHALLOW INVERSION ACROSS ALL THE STATE...AND
THE DRIER AIR MASS FROM OAHU TO THE BIG ISLAND...SHOULD LIMIT
CONTINUED RAINFALL THERE THROUGH THE SHORT RUN.

GUIDANCE AGREED IN PREDICTING GRADUAL CHANGE INTO THE WEEKEND. THE
MAIN TWO TRENDS WILL CONSIST OF A SIGNIFICANTLY MOISTER AIR MASS
ARRIVING FROM THE ACTIVE ITCZ FROM THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...AND A
MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN OVERHEAD FROM THE EAST THROUGH SATURDAY.
THE MOISTER AIR WILL PROVIDE MORE FUEL FOR SHOWERS...BUT THE RIDGE
ALOFT WILL PRODUCE SUBSIDENCE SUPPRESSING CLOUD DEVELOPMENT.
HOWEVER...INCREASED SUPPORT FOR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AT THE SURFACE
ALSO WILL BRING SOMEWHAT FASTER WIND SPEEDS...PROVIDING MORE
OROGRAPHIC FORCING ALONG WINDWARD SLOPES. FINALLY...IF ENOUGH OF THE
MOIST AIR MASS ARRIVES BEFORE THE RIDGE ALOFT REALLY STARTS TO
BUILD...THEN A BROAD BUT SHALLOW MID-LEVEL TROUGH LINGERING TO THE
NORTH NORTHEAST MAY HAVE A BRIEF OPPORTUNITY TO TRIGGER CONVECTION
OVER THE STATE.

THIS WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY APPEARED TO CENTER AROUND FRIDAY NIGHT.
ALTHOUGH LOCAL TOOLS RUN ON MODEL OUTPUT DID NOT PREDICT MUCH CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS...EVENTS DRIVEN PRIMARILY BY LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
WITH LITTLE SUPPORT FROM ALOFT DID NOT EXACTLY PLAY TO THE STRENGTHS
OF THOSE TOOLS. ALSO...TEMPERATURES ALOFT APPEARED TOO WARM TO FAVOR
DEEP CONVECTION. FOR NOW...THE BEST COMPROMISE APPEARED TO CONSIST
OF SHOWERS INCREASING GRADUALLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST ONTO THE BIG
ISLAND FROM THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...AND THEN LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
CREEPING NORTHWEST FROM THE BIG ISLAND TOWARD THE SMALLER ISLANDS
FROM FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY. THUNDER MAY BE AN OUTSIDE
POSSIBILITY FROM THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST
THROUGH SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND...BUT AT THIS POINT IT HAS BEEN
INTRODUCED INTO THE FORECAST ONLY OFFSHORE TO THE SOUTH OF THE BIG
ISLAND ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND...SOLUTIONS STARTED TO TREND TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY AGAIN. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH SLIGHTLY...WHILE THE
MOIST AIR MASS WILL DEPART TOWARD THE WEST...AS DRIER AIR ADVECTS IN
FROM THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MVFR CIGS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ON WINDWARD SLOPES. AIRMET TANGO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE OVER AND IMMEDIATELY DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...DUE TO MODERATE TO LOCALLY BREEZY TRADE WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINED IN EFFECT FOR TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS
AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...SO THE ADVISORY LIKELY WILL BE
EXTENDED.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS SHOULD ARRIVE DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...BUT A LARGER SOUTH SWELL MAY REACH THE STATE OVER THE
WEEKEND. TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHORT-PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF ALONG EAST-FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST FRIDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.


&&

$$

UPDATE...FOSTER
DISCUSSION/MARINE...RYSHKO
AVIATION...JACOBSON





000
FXHW60 PHFO 301327
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST WED JUL 30 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTH OF THE STATE WILL KEEP TRADE WINDS BLOWING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DRY CONDITIONS INTO THURSDAY WILL YIELD TO A
VERY MOIST AIR MASS BRINGING INCREASING SHOWERS FROM THE SOUTHEAST
BY FRIDAY EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT AGAIN SLOWLY OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK AS THE MOIST AIR MASS MOVES AWAY TOWARD
THE WEST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AROUND THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS STILL REPORTED
GENERALLY MODERATE TRADE WINDS...THOUGH AS USUAL SPEEDS WERE HIGHER
WHERE THE FLOW ACCELERATED AROUND HEADLANDS AND BETWEEN ISLANDS.
CLOUD COVER WAS LIMITED AND PRECIPITATION QUITE SPARSE OVERALL...
BUT TWO EXCEPTIONS WARRANTED MENTION. FIRST...SELECT LOWER WINDWARD
SLOPES OF THE BIG ISLAND MANAGED TO RECEIVE UPWARDS OF HALF AN INCH
OF RAIN AROUND MIDNIGHT...AND MUCH LIGHTER PRECIPITATION SINCE.
SECOND...LIGHT SHOWERS MOVED ASHORE OVER WINDWARD SHORES OF KAUAI
DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS. THE MOISTER AIR DRIFTING OVER KAUAI FROM
THE NORTHWEST SUGGESTED THAT THE SHOWER ACTIVITY THERE WILL REMAIN
MORE ACTIVE THROUGH THE DAY...AND THE FORECAST HAS BEEN ADJUSTED
ACCORDINGLY...THOUGH ACCUMULATION SHOULD REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE. ON
THE OTHER HAND...THE SHALLOW INVERSION ACROSS ALL THE STATE...AND
THE DRIER AIR MASS FROM OAHU TO THE BIG ISLAND...SHOULD LIMIT
CONTINUED RAINFALL THERE THROUGH THE SHORT RUN.

GUIDANCE AGREED IN PREDICTING GRADUAL CHANGE INTO THE WEEKEND. THE
MAIN TWO TRENDS WILL CONSIST OF A SIGNIFICANTLY MOISTER AIR MASS
ARRIVING FROM THE ACTIVE ITCZ FROM THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...AND A
MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDING IN OVERHEAD FROM THE EAST THROUGH SATURDAY.
THE MOISTER AIR WILL PROVIDE MORE FUEL FOR SHOWERS...BUT THE RIDGE
ALOFT WILL PRODUCE SUBSIDENCE SUPPRESSING CLOUD DEVELOPMENT.
HOWEVER...INCREASED SUPPORT FOR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AT THE SURFACE
ALSO WILL BRING SOMEWHAT FASTER WIND SPEEDS...PROVIDING MORE
OROGRAPHIC FORCING ALONG WINDWARD SLOPES. FINALLY...IF ENOUGH OF THE
MOIST AIR MASS ARRIVES BEFORE THE RIDGE ALOFT REALLY STARTS TO
BUILD...THEN A BROAD BUT SHALLOW MID-LEVEL TROUGH LINGERING TO THE
NORTH NORTHEAST MAY HAVE A BRIEF OPPORTUNITY TO TRIGGER CONVECTION
OVER THE STATE.

THIS WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY APPEARED TO CENTER AROUND FRIDAY NIGHT.
ALTHOUGH LOCAL TOOLS RUN ON MODEL OUTPUT DID NOT PREDICT MUCH CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS...EVENTS DRIVEN PRIMARILY BY LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
WITH LITTLE SUPPORT FROM ALOFT DID NOT EXACTLY PLAY TO THE STRENGTHS
OF THOSE TOOLS. ALSO...TEMPERATURES ALOFT APPEARED TOO WARM TO FAVOR
DEEP CONVECTION. FOR NOW...THE BEST COMPROMISE APPEARED TO CONSIST
OF SHOWERS INCREASING GRADUALLY FROM THE SOUTHEAST ONTO THE BIG
ISLAND FROM THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...AND THEN LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
CREEPING NORTHWEST FROM THE BIG ISLAND TOWARD THE SMALLER ISLANDS
FROM FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY. THUNDER MAY BE AN OUTSIDE
POSSIBILITY FROM THURSDAY INTO SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST
THROUGH SOUTH OF THE BIG ISLAND...BUT AT THIS POINT IT HAS BEEN
INTRODUCED INTO THE FORECAST ONLY OFFSHORE TO THE SOUTH OF THE BIG
ISLAND ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND...SOLUTIONS STARTED TO TREND TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY AGAIN. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH SLIGHTLY...WHILE THE
MOIST AIR MASS WILL DEPART TOWARD THE WEST...AS DRIER AIR ADVECTS IN
FROM THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MVFR CIGS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ON WINDWARD SLOPES. AIRMET TANGO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE OVER AND IMMEDIATELY DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...DUE TO MODERATE TO LOCALLY BREEZY TRADE WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINED IN EFFECT FOR TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS
AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...SO THE ADVISORY LIKELY WILL BE
EXTENDED.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS SHOULD ARRIVE DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...BUT A LARGER SOUTH SWELL MAY REACH THE STATE OVER THE
WEEKEND. TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHORT-PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF ALONG EAST-FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST FRIDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

$$

AVIATION...JACOBSON
REST...RYSHKO







000
FXHW60 PHFO 300605
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST TUE JUL 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTH OF THE STATE WILL KEEP TRADE WINDS BLOWING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DRY CONDITIONS INTO THURSDAY WILL YIELD TO A
VERY MOIST AIR MASS BRINGING INCREASING SHOWERS FROM THE SOUTHEAST
BY FRIDAY EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT AGAIN SLOWLY OVER THE
WEEKEND AS THE MOIST AIR MASS MOVES AWAY TOWARD THE WEST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AROUND THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS REPORTED
GENERALLY MODERATE TRADE WINDS...THOUGH AS USUAL SPEEDS WERE HIGHER
WHERE THE FLOW ACCELERATED AROUND HEADLANDS AND BETWEEN ISLANDS.
CLOUD COVER WAS LIMITED AND PRECIPITATION QUITE SPARSE. THE DRY AIR
MASS AND LOW INVERSION PREVAILING OVER MOST OF THE STATE LARGELY
EXPLAINED THIS DISTRIBUTION...BUT MOISTER AIR DRIFTING OVER KAUAI
FROM THE NORTHWEST FAILED TO SUPPORT MUCH RAINFALL EVEN THERE. THE
BROAD BUT SHALLOW MID-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING TOWARD KAUAI FROM THE
NORTHEAST FURTHER CONFOUNDED A SIMPLE EXPLANATION. IN ANY CASE...
NIGHTTIME LAND BREEZES LIKELY WILL HELP TO KEEP DEVELOPING SHOWERS
OFFSHORE DURING THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS.

GUIDANCE AGREED IN PREDICTING LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...AND THEN ONLY GRADUAL CHANGE INTO THE WEEKEND. THE MAIN
TWO TRENDS WILL CONSIST OF A SIGNIFICANTLY MOISTER AIR MASS ARRIVING
FROM THE ACTIVE ITCZ BY THURSDAY OR FRIDAY...AND A MID-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDING IN OVERHEAD FROM THE EAST THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE
WEEKEND. THE MOISTER AIR WILL PROVIDE MORE FUEL FOR SHOWERS...BUT
THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL PRODUCE SUBSIDENCE SUPPRESSING CLOUD
DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...INCREASED SUPPORT FOR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
AT THE SURFACE ALSO WILL BRING SOMEWHAT FASTER WIND SPEEDS...
PROVIDING MORE OROGRAPHIC FORCING ALONG WINDWARD SLOPES. FINALLY...
IF ENOUGH OF THE MOIST AIR MASS ARRIVES BEFORE THE RIDGE ALOFT
REALLY STARTS TO BUILD...THEN THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH LINGERING TO THE
NORTH NORTHEAST MAY HAVE A BRIEF OPPORTUNITY TO TRIGGER CONVECTION
OVER THE STATE.

THIS WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY APPEARED TO CENTER AROUND FRIDAY NIGHT.
ALTHOUGH LOCAL TOOLS RUN ON MODEL OUTPUT DID NOT PREDICT MUCH CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS...EVENTS DRIVEN PRIMARILY BY LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
WITH LITTLE SUPPORT FROM ALOFT DID NOT EXACTLY PLAY TO THE STRENGTHS
OF THOSE TOOLS. ALSO...TEMPERATURES ALOFT APPEARED TOO WARM TO FAVOR
DEEP CONVECTION. FOR NOW...MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CREEPING
NORTHWEST FROM THE BIG ISLAND FROM FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY
SEEMED LIKE A PRUDENT COMPROMISE...THOUGH THE CHANCE OF THUNDER WILL
HAVE TO REMAIN A CONCERN DURING THAT TIME.

BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND...SOLUTIONS STARTED TO TREND TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY AGAIN. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH SLIGHTLY...WHILE THE
MOIST AIR MASS WILL DEPART TOWARD THE WEST...ALLOWING DRIER AIR TO
ADVECT IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MVFR CIGS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ON WINDWARD SLOPES. AIRMET TANGO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE OVER AND IMMEDIATELY DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...DUE TO MODERATE TO LOCALLY BREEZY TRADE WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINED IN EFFECT FOR TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS
AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS SHOULD ARRIVE DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...BUT A LARGER SOUTH SWELL MAY REACH THE STATE OVER THE
WEEKEND. TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHORT-PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF ALONG EAST-FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST FRIDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

$$

AVIATION...JACOBSON
REST...RYSHKO






000
FXHW60 PHFO 300605
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST TUE JUL 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTH OF THE STATE WILL KEEP TRADE WINDS BLOWING
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DRY CONDITIONS INTO THURSDAY WILL YIELD TO A
VERY MOIST AIR MASS BRINGING INCREASING SHOWERS FROM THE SOUTHEAST
BY FRIDAY EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT AGAIN SLOWLY OVER THE
WEEKEND AS THE MOIST AIR MASS MOVES AWAY TOWARD THE WEST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AROUND THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS REPORTED
GENERALLY MODERATE TRADE WINDS...THOUGH AS USUAL SPEEDS WERE HIGHER
WHERE THE FLOW ACCELERATED AROUND HEADLANDS AND BETWEEN ISLANDS.
CLOUD COVER WAS LIMITED AND PRECIPITATION QUITE SPARSE. THE DRY AIR
MASS AND LOW INVERSION PREVAILING OVER MOST OF THE STATE LARGELY
EXPLAINED THIS DISTRIBUTION...BUT MOISTER AIR DRIFTING OVER KAUAI
FROM THE NORTHWEST FAILED TO SUPPORT MUCH RAINFALL EVEN THERE. THE
BROAD BUT SHALLOW MID-LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDING TOWARD KAUAI FROM THE
NORTHEAST FURTHER CONFOUNDED A SIMPLE EXPLANATION. IN ANY CASE...
NIGHTTIME LAND BREEZES LIKELY WILL HELP TO KEEP DEVELOPING SHOWERS
OFFSHORE DURING THE NEXT TWELVE HOURS.

GUIDANCE AGREED IN PREDICTING LITTLE CHANGE THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS...AND THEN ONLY GRADUAL CHANGE INTO THE WEEKEND. THE MAIN
TWO TRENDS WILL CONSIST OF A SIGNIFICANTLY MOISTER AIR MASS ARRIVING
FROM THE ACTIVE ITCZ BY THURSDAY OR FRIDAY...AND A MID-LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDING IN OVERHEAD FROM THE EAST THROUGH THE FIRST PART OF THE
WEEKEND. THE MOISTER AIR WILL PROVIDE MORE FUEL FOR SHOWERS...BUT
THE RIDGE ALOFT WILL PRODUCE SUBSIDENCE SUPPRESSING CLOUD
DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...INCREASED SUPPORT FOR THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
AT THE SURFACE ALSO WILL BRING SOMEWHAT FASTER WIND SPEEDS...
PROVIDING MORE OROGRAPHIC FORCING ALONG WINDWARD SLOPES. FINALLY...
IF ENOUGH OF THE MOIST AIR MASS ARRIVES BEFORE THE RIDGE ALOFT
REALLY STARTS TO BUILD...THEN THE MID-LEVEL TROUGH LINGERING TO THE
NORTH NORTHEAST MAY HAVE A BRIEF OPPORTUNITY TO TRIGGER CONVECTION
OVER THE STATE.

THIS WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY APPEARED TO CENTER AROUND FRIDAY NIGHT.
ALTHOUGH LOCAL TOOLS RUN ON MODEL OUTPUT DID NOT PREDICT MUCH CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS...EVENTS DRIVEN PRIMARILY BY LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
WITH LITTLE SUPPORT FROM ALOFT DID NOT EXACTLY PLAY TO THE STRENGTHS
OF THOSE TOOLS. ALSO...TEMPERATURES ALOFT APPEARED TOO WARM TO FAVOR
DEEP CONVECTION. FOR NOW...MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CREEPING
NORTHWEST FROM THE BIG ISLAND FROM FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY
SEEMED LIKE A PRUDENT COMPROMISE...THOUGH THE CHANCE OF THUNDER WILL
HAVE TO REMAIN A CONCERN DURING THAT TIME.

BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND...SOLUTIONS STARTED TO TREND TOWARD
CLIMATOLOGY AGAIN. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH SLIGHTLY...WHILE THE
MOIST AIR MASS WILL DEPART TOWARD THE WEST...ALLOWING DRIER AIR TO
ADVECT IN FROM THE NORTHEAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS
OVERNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MVFR CIGS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ON WINDWARD SLOPES. AIRMET TANGO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE OVER AND IMMEDIATELY DOWNWIND OF THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...DUE TO MODERATE TO LOCALLY BREEZY TRADE WINDS.

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINED IN EFFECT FOR TYPICALLY WINDY WATERS
AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS SHOULD ARRIVE DURING THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...BUT A LARGER SOUTH SWELL MAY REACH THE STATE OVER THE
WEEKEND. TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHORT-PERIOD CHOPPY
SURF ALONG EAST-FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST FRIDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

$$

AVIATION...JACOBSON
REST...RYSHKO







000
FXHW60 PHFO 300121
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
330 PM HST TUE JUL 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTH OF THE STATE WILL PROVIDE FOR TRADE WINDS
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AND ON INTO THE WEEKEND. SPARSE CLOUDS AND
ONLY A FEW BRIEF WINDWARD AND MAUKA SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED INTO
EARLY THURSDAY. AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS IS EXPECTED FROM EAST TO
WEST ACROSS THE STATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
DRY AND STABLE TRADE WIND WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT 36
HOURS ACROSS THE ALOHA STATE. THE TRADES ARE BEING FED BY THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN A 1023 MB HIGH FAR TO THE NORTHEAST AND A
PERSISTENT AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTH...AND THIS PATTERN
LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. THE STABLE AND SOMEWHAT DRY
AIRMASS EXTENDS UPSTREAM FOR SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES...THUS KEEPING
QUIET WEATHER ACROSS OUR AREA...AND DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE AT BAY TO
OUR SOUTH.

THE GENERAL WEATHER PATTERN WILL SHIFT EVER SO SLIGHTLY BY LATER
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS THE HIGH MOVES JUST ENOUGH TO BRING THE
TRADES TO A MORE EASTERLY TO EAST SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION.  THIS
WILL BE JUST ENOUGH TO ADVECT SOME OF THE POOL OF TROPICAL MOISTURE
TO OUR EAST SOUTHEAST OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS...BEGINNING
WITH THE BIG ISLAND THURSDAY NIGHT.  MODEL GUIDANCE HAS BEEN
HINTING THAT THERE WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE AND MODEST INSTABILITY
WILL EXIST FOR THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...MAINLY OVER
WINDWARD AREAS...AS THE TRADE WIND SHOWERS BECOME ENHANCED BY THIS
MOIST AND MORE UNSTABLE AIRMASS. AT THIS TIME THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED IN THE FORECAST...AS THE STABILITY PROFILE REMAINS UPPER
LEVELS REMAIN MORE STABLE THAN RECENT MOISTURE SURGES ACROSS THE
STATE.

MODEL GUIDANCE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE MOIST AIRMASS
SPREADING ACROSS THE SMALLER ISLANDS FROM EAST TO WEST ON FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY. BRINGING AN INCREASE IN HUMIDITY...CLOUD COVER AND
THE THREAT FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL STATEWIDE INTO THE FIRST HALF
OF THE WEEKEND.

ONCE THE MOISTURE MOVES THROUGH AND WEST OF THE AREA BY SUNDAY AND
INTO MONDAY...A DRIER WEATHER PATTERN WILL ONCE AGAIN TAKE OVER WITH
CLOUDS AND PASSING LIGHT SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS. MODERATE TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO OUR NORTH.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL PREDOMINATE OVER THE ISLAND CHAIN THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT...WITH ONLY ISOLATED AREAS OF MVFR IN WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS FROM PASSING LOW CLOUDS AND ANY ACCOMPANYING SHOWERS.

THERE ARE MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG TRADE WINDS JUST DOWNWIND FROM
THE MOUNTAINS...THUS AN AIRMET FOR TEMPO MODERATE TURBULENCE REMAINS
IN EFFECT.

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE TYPICALLY WINDIER WATERS
AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST THE REST OF THE WEEK.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WITH A LARGER SOUTH SWELL EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. TRADE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY SURF ALONG EAST
FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST FRIDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BRENCHLEY
AVIATION...KINEL








000
FXHW60 PHFO 291846
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
900 AM HST TUE JUL 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTH OF THE STATE WILL PROVIDE FOR TRADE WINDS
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AND ON INTO THE WEEKEND. CLOUDS AND A FEW
BRIEF SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS INTO
FRIDAY. AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS IS EXPECTED AS WE HEAD INTO THE
WEEKEND AS SOME TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTHEAST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MAINLY DRY AND PLEASANT WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES FAR NORTH OF THE AREA. THE AIRMASS
ACROSS THE AREA IS RATHER DRY SO ONLY BRIEF LIGHT PASSING SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED OVER WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS WITH A FEW AFTERNOON
SHOWERS ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE LEEWARD BIG ISLAND SLOPES DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A WETTER WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST IS
FORECAST TO REACH THE BIG ISLAND BY FRIDAY AND SPREAD UP THE
ISLAND CHAIN FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. AN INCREASE IN WINDWARD AND
MAUKA SHOWERS WILL BE THE LIKELY RESULT WITH THE TRADE WINDS
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW SOME SHOWERS OVER TO LEEWARD
AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS AT TIMES. THE ATMOSPHERE IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE ALL THAT UNSTABLE SO HEAVY SHOWERS ARE NOT EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

ONCE THE MOISTURE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA BY SUNDAY AND INTO
MONDAY...A DRIER WEATHER PATTERN WILL ONCE AGAIN TAKE OVER WITH
CLOUDS AND PASSING LIGHT SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS. MODERATE TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO OUR NORTH.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL PREVAIL OVER THE ALOHA STATE TODAY...WITH ONLY ISOLATED
AREAS OF MVFR IN WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS FROM PASSING LOW CLOUDS
AND ANY ACCOMPANYING SHOWERS.

THERE ARE MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG TRADE WINDS JUST DOWNWIND FROM
THE MOUNTAINS...THUS AN AIRMET FOR TEMPO MODERATE TURBULENCE HAS
BEEN POSTED.

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE TYPICALLY WINDIER WATERS
AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WITH A LARGER SOUTH SWELL EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. TRADE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY SURF ALONG EAST
FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...KINEL







000
FXHW60 PHFO 291846
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
900 AM HST TUE JUL 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTH OF THE STATE WILL PROVIDE FOR TRADE WINDS
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK AND ON INTO THE WEEKEND. CLOUDS AND A FEW
BRIEF SHOWERS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS INTO
FRIDAY. AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS IS EXPECTED AS WE HEAD INTO THE
WEEKEND AS SOME TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES INTO THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTHEAST.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MAINLY DRY AND PLEASANT WEATHER CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS AS HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES FAR NORTH OF THE AREA. THE AIRMASS
ACROSS THE AREA IS RATHER DRY SO ONLY BRIEF LIGHT PASSING SHOWERS
ARE EXPECTED OVER WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS WITH A FEW AFTERNOON
SHOWERS ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE LEEWARD BIG ISLAND SLOPES DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS.

MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A WETTER WEATHER PATTERN FOR THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND. AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST IS
FORECAST TO REACH THE BIG ISLAND BY FRIDAY AND SPREAD UP THE
ISLAND CHAIN FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. AN INCREASE IN WINDWARD AND
MAUKA SHOWERS WILL BE THE LIKELY RESULT WITH THE TRADE WINDS
SUFFICIENTLY STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW SOME SHOWERS OVER TO LEEWARD
AREAS OF THE SMALLER ISLANDS AT TIMES. THE ATMOSPHERE IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE ALL THAT UNSTABLE SO HEAVY SHOWERS ARE NOT EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

ONCE THE MOISTURE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA BY SUNDAY AND INTO
MONDAY...A DRIER WEATHER PATTERN WILL ONCE AGAIN TAKE OVER WITH
CLOUDS AND PASSING LIGHT SHOWERS AFFECTING MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA
AREAS. MODERATE TRADE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS TO OUR NORTH.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL PREVAIL OVER THE ALOHA STATE TODAY...WITH ONLY ISOLATED
AREAS OF MVFR IN WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS FROM PASSING LOW CLOUDS
AND ANY ACCOMPANYING SHOWERS.

THERE ARE MODERATE TO LOCALLY STRONG TRADE WINDS JUST DOWNWIND FROM
THE MOUNTAINS...THUS AN AIRMET FOR TEMPO MODERATE TURBULENCE HAS
BEEN POSTED.

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE TYPICALLY WINDIER WATERS
AROUND MAUI COUNTY AND THE BIG ISLAND. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS WITH A LARGER SOUTH SWELL EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND. TRADE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE SHORT PERIOD CHOPPY SURF ALONG EAST
FACING SHORES.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS/DISCUSSION/MARINE...BURKE
AVIATION...KINEL






000
FXHW60 PHFO 291357
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST TUE JUL 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE
TRADES WILL AFFECT MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A SURGE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST COULD BRING AN
INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR WEATHER CONTINUES OVER THE ISLANDS UNDER MODERATE TRADE WINDS
EARLY THIS MORNING. BOTH SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA REVEALED
NOT MUCH LOW CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION IN THE ISLAND
VICINITY...THOUGH THERE ARE SOME LOW CLOUDS SCATTERED ACROSS THE
AREA. THESE CLOUDS MAY BRING A FEW SHOWERS TO MAINLY WINDWARD AND
MOUNTAIN AREAS THROUGH THE REST OF THIS MORNING. EARLY MORNING LIHUE
AND HILO SOUNDINGS EXHIBITED LITTLE CHANGES COMPARED TO MONDAY
AFTERNOON...WHICH IS EXPECTED AS OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS
QUITE STATIC IN THE ISLAND VICINITY.

A SURFACE HIGH THAT PROVIDES THE TRADE WINDS WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEK. THE
TIGHTENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ISLANDS DUE TO LOW
PRESSURE WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL KEEP MODERATE TRADE WINDS OVER THE
STATE. WINDS MAY LOCALLY BE BREEZY. FORECAST MODELS STILL SUGGEST A
RATHER DRY AIR MASS TO PERSIST IN THE ISLAND VICINITY FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THEREFORE MINIMAL CHANGES TO THE WEATHER ARE
EXPECTED AS WELL...WITH DRIER SUMMER TIME TRADE WIND WEATHER
PREVAILING OVER THE AREA. PASSING SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE WINDS
WILL FOCUS MAINLY ACROSS WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS.

A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER IS STILL STORE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...AS A
SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
ACROSS THE ISLANDS. FORECAST MODELS NOW HINT A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MAY EDGE NEAR THE BIG ISLAND OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS SYNOPTIC
WEATHER SCENARIO MAY LEAD TO A SLIGHT LESS FAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITION FOR HEAVIER RAINFALL TO DEVELOP. ON THE OTHER HAND...THERE
WILL BE AMPLE MOISTURE PROVIDE PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLANDS.
LOOKS LIKE HUMID AND WET WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE ISLANDS TOWARDS
THE WEEKEND. THE BATCH OF MOISTURE MAY REACH THE BIG ISLAND LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE OVER
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR ALL SITES TODAY...THOUGH THE
WINDWARD SITES MAY ENCOUNTER BRIEF MVFR CEILING CONDITION DUE TO
PASSING LOW CLOUDS.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY GUSTY TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST. THEREFORE AIRMET
TANGO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LOW LEVEL TURB IN THE LEE OF THE TERRAIN.

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE TYPICALLY WINDIER COASTAL
WATERS NEAR MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND TODAY. AS THE MODERATE TRADE
WINDS PERSIST...EXPECT THIS ADVISORY TO REMAIN IN EFFECT OVER THE
AFFECTED AREAS THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL REACH THE ISLANDS THROUGH
THE WEEK. A LARGER SOUTH SWELL ARRIVING ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON MAY
BRING NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL SURF FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES BY SATURDAY.
SHORT PERIOD TRADE WIND SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST FACING
SHORES...POSSIBLY INCREASING A BIT THROUGH THE WEEK AS TRADES
STRENGTHEN.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

$$

HUI







000
FXHW60 PHFO 291357
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST TUE JUL 29 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE
TRADES WILL AFFECT MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A SURGE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST COULD BRING AN
INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR WEATHER CONTINUES OVER THE ISLANDS UNDER MODERATE TRADE WINDS
EARLY THIS MORNING. BOTH SATELLITE IMAGERY AND RADAR DATA REVEALED
NOT MUCH LOW CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION IN THE ISLAND
VICINITY...THOUGH THERE ARE SOME LOW CLOUDS SCATTERED ACROSS THE
AREA. THESE CLOUDS MAY BRING A FEW SHOWERS TO MAINLY WINDWARD AND
MOUNTAIN AREAS THROUGH THE REST OF THIS MORNING. EARLY MORNING LIHUE
AND HILO SOUNDINGS EXHIBITED LITTLE CHANGES COMPARED TO MONDAY
AFTERNOON...WHICH IS EXPECTED AS OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN REMAINS
QUITE STATIC IN THE ISLAND VICINITY.

A SURFACE HIGH THAT PROVIDES THE TRADE WINDS WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEK. THE
TIGHTENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ISLANDS DUE TO LOW
PRESSURE WELL TO OUR SOUTH WILL KEEP MODERATE TRADE WINDS OVER THE
STATE. WINDS MAY LOCALLY BE BREEZY. FORECAST MODELS STILL SUGGEST A
RATHER DRY AIR MASS TO PERSIST IN THE ISLAND VICINITY FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THEREFORE MINIMAL CHANGES TO THE WEATHER ARE
EXPECTED AS WELL...WITH DRIER SUMMER TIME TRADE WIND WEATHER
PREVAILING OVER THE AREA. PASSING SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE WINDS
WILL FOCUS MAINLY ACROSS WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS.

A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER IS STILL STORE BY THE END OF THE WEEK...AS A
SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD
ACROSS THE ISLANDS. FORECAST MODELS NOW HINT A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE MAY EDGE NEAR THE BIG ISLAND OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS SYNOPTIC
WEATHER SCENARIO MAY LEAD TO A SLIGHT LESS FAVORABLE ATMOSPHERIC
CONDITION FOR HEAVIER RAINFALL TO DEVELOP. ON THE OTHER HAND...THERE
WILL BE AMPLE MOISTURE PROVIDE PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ISLANDS.
LOOKS LIKE HUMID AND WET WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE ISLANDS TOWARDS
THE WEEKEND. THE BATCH OF MOISTURE MAY REACH THE BIG ISLAND LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE OVER
THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL FOR ALL SITES TODAY...THOUGH THE
WINDWARD SITES MAY ENCOUNTER BRIEF MVFR CEILING CONDITION DUE TO
PASSING LOW CLOUDS.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY GUSTY TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST. THEREFORE AIRMET
TANGO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LOW LEVEL TURB IN THE LEE OF THE TERRAIN.

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE TYPICALLY WINDIER COASTAL
WATERS NEAR MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND TODAY. AS THE MODERATE TRADE
WINDS PERSIST...EXPECT THIS ADVISORY TO REMAIN IN EFFECT OVER THE
AFFECTED AREAS THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL REACH THE ISLANDS THROUGH
THE WEEK. A LARGER SOUTH SWELL ARRIVING ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON MAY
BRING NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL SURF FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES BY SATURDAY.
SHORT PERIOD TRADE WIND SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST FACING
SHORES...POSSIBLY INCREASING A BIT THROUGH THE WEEK AS TRADES
STRENGTHEN.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

$$

HUI






000
FXHW60 PHFO 290649
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST MON JUL 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE
TRADES WILL AFFECT MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A SURGE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST COULD BRING AN
INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR WEATHER CONTINUES OVER THE ISLANDS UNDER MODERATE TRADE WINDS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED THERE ARE ONLY A FEW LOW CLOUDS IN THE
ISLAND VICINITY THIS EVENING...WHILE RADAR DATA ONLY HAVE A FEW
SPECKLES OF RETURNS. SATELLITE IMAGERY DID SHOW SOME MORE LOW CLOUDS
EAST OF THE ISLANDS. THESE CLOUDS...CARRIED BY THE TRADE
WINDS...WILL REACH THE ISLANDS LATER THIS EVENING INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...AND MAY PROVIDE BRIEF SHOWERS TO MAINLY WINDWARD
AND MOUNTAIN AREAS.

A SURFACE HIGH THAT PROVIDES THE TRADE WINDS WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEK. THE
TIGHTENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ISLANDS DUE TO LOW
PRESSURE WELL TO OUR SOUTH HAS RESULTED IN AN INCREASE OF THE WINDS
ACROSS THE AREA. TRADE WINDS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED A BIT EARLIER
TODAY...AND WILL FIRM UP SLIGHTLY MORE WEDNESDAY. AS FORECAST MODELS
CONTINUE TO SUGGEST A RATHER DRY AIR MASS TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...EXPECT SUMMER TRADE WIND WEATHER TO PREVAIL...WITH
PASSING SHOWERS FOCUSING MAINLY ACROSS WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS.
WINDS WILL LOCALLY BE BREEZY AT TIMES.

A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER IS STILL EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE
WEEK...AS A SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST MAY SPREAD
ACROSS THE ISLANDS. FORECAST MODELS HINT A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL BE
IN THE ISLAND VICINITY AT ABOUT THE SAME TIME...THOUGH MODEL
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FORECASTS DO NOT LOOK THAT IMPRESSIVE.
REGARDLESS...HUMID AND WET WEATHER MAY RETURN TO THE ISLANDS THIS
WEEK...AND MAY REACH THE BIG ISLAND LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...THEN
SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONVECTION ALONG THE LEE SLOPES OF MAUNA KEA AND MAUNA LOA HAVE
DISSIPATED AS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. ELSEWHERE...THERE ARE ONLY A
FEW LOW CLOUDS IN THE ISLAND VICINITY. THEREFORE VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL FOR THE SITES FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. THERE MAY SOME BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS BRINGING ISOL
MVFR CEILING CONDITION MAINLY FOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY GUSTY TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST. THEREFORE AIRMET
TANGO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LOW LEVEL TURB IN THE LEE OF THE TERRAIN.

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE TYPICALLY WINDIER COASTAL
WATERS NEAR MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND THIS EVENING. AS THE MODERATE
TRADE WINDS PREVAIL...EXPECT THIS ADVISORY TO PERSIST OVER THE
AFFECTED AREAS THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL REACH THE ISLANDS THROUGH
THE WEEK. A LARGER SOUTH SWELL ARRIVING ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON MAY
BRING NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL SURF FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES BY SATURDAY.
SHORT PERIOD TRADE WIND SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST FACING
SHORES...POSSIBLY INCREASING A BIT THROUGH THE WEEK AS TRADES
STRENGTHEN.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

$$

HUI







000
FXHW60 PHFO 290649
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST MON JUL 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE
TRADES WILL AFFECT MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A SURGE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST COULD BRING AN
INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR WEATHER CONTINUES OVER THE ISLANDS UNDER MODERATE TRADE WINDS.
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED THERE ARE ONLY A FEW LOW CLOUDS IN THE
ISLAND VICINITY THIS EVENING...WHILE RADAR DATA ONLY HAVE A FEW
SPECKLES OF RETURNS. SATELLITE IMAGERY DID SHOW SOME MORE LOW CLOUDS
EAST OF THE ISLANDS. THESE CLOUDS...CARRIED BY THE TRADE
WINDS...WILL REACH THE ISLANDS LATER THIS EVENING INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...AND MAY PROVIDE BRIEF SHOWERS TO MAINLY WINDWARD
AND MOUNTAIN AREAS.

A SURFACE HIGH THAT PROVIDES THE TRADE WINDS WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEK. THE
TIGHTENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ISLANDS DUE TO LOW
PRESSURE WELL TO OUR SOUTH HAS RESULTED IN AN INCREASE OF THE WINDS
ACROSS THE AREA. TRADE WINDS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED A BIT EARLIER
TODAY...AND WILL FIRM UP SLIGHTLY MORE WEDNESDAY. AS FORECAST MODELS
CONTINUE TO SUGGEST A RATHER DRY AIR MASS TO PERSIST FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...EXPECT SUMMER TRADE WIND WEATHER TO PREVAIL...WITH
PASSING SHOWERS FOCUSING MAINLY ACROSS WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS.
WINDS WILL LOCALLY BE BREEZY AT TIMES.

A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER IS STILL EXPECTED BY THE END OF THE
WEEK...AS A SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST MAY SPREAD
ACROSS THE ISLANDS. FORECAST MODELS HINT A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL BE
IN THE ISLAND VICINITY AT ABOUT THE SAME TIME...THOUGH MODEL
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FORECASTS DO NOT LOOK THAT IMPRESSIVE.
REGARDLESS...HUMID AND WET WEATHER MAY RETURN TO THE ISLANDS THIS
WEEK...AND MAY REACH THE BIG ISLAND LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...THEN
SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
CONVECTION ALONG THE LEE SLOPES OF MAUNA KEA AND MAUNA LOA HAVE
DISSIPATED AS EXPECTED THIS EVENING. ELSEWHERE...THERE ARE ONLY A
FEW LOW CLOUDS IN THE ISLAND VICINITY. THEREFORE VFR CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL FOR THE SITES FOR THE REST OF THE EVENING INTO EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING. THERE MAY SOME BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS BRINGING ISOL
MVFR CEILING CONDITION MAINLY FOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS.

MODERATE TO LOCALLY GUSTY TRADE WINDS WILL PERSIST. THEREFORE AIRMET
TANGO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LOW LEVEL TURB IN THE LEE OF THE TERRAIN.

&&

.MARINE...
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR THE TYPICALLY WINDIER COASTAL
WATERS NEAR MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND THIS EVENING. AS THE MODERATE
TRADE WINDS PREVAIL...EXPECT THIS ADVISORY TO PERSIST OVER THE
AFFECTED AREAS THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL REACH THE ISLANDS THROUGH
THE WEEK. A LARGER SOUTH SWELL ARRIVING ON FRIDAY AFTERNOON MAY
BRING NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL SURF FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES BY SATURDAY.
SHORT PERIOD TRADE WIND SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST FACING
SHORES...POSSIBLY INCREASING A BIT THROUGH THE WEEK AS TRADES
STRENGTHEN.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

$$

HUI






000
FXHW60 PHFO 290137
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST MON JUL 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE
TRADES WILL AFFECT MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A SURGE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST COULD BRING AN
INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NORTH OF THE
STATE...WITH A RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH
PRESSURE IS LOCATED FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE...WITH A TROUGH FAR
TO THE NORTH. 00Z SOUNDINGS SHOW INVERSIONS RANGING FROM 4KFT AT
LIHUE TO 6KFT AT HILO. THE HILO INVERSION IS ALSO WEAKER...WITH A
SECONDARY INVERSION NEAR 12KFT. PRECIPITABLE WATERS ARE ALSO
1.34-1.44 INCHES RESPECTIVELY...WHICH IS NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. EARLY AFTERNOON MIMIC TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY
SHOWS A POCKET OF MOISTURE NEAR THE BIG ISLAND...WITH DRIER AIR
ACROSS THE SMALLER ISLANDS AND WELL UPSTREAM TO THE NORTHEAST AND
EAST.

SHOWERS HAVE BEEN LIMITED THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ONLY A FEW GAGES ON
THE BIG ISLAND PICKING UP MEASURABLE RAINFALL OVER THE LAST 6
HOURS. THE AREA OF CLOUDS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE THIS
MORNING HAS THINNED OUT DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND DRIER AIR
UPSTREAM WILL BE SPREADING ACROSS THE ISLANDS TONIGHT. HAVE LOWER
POPS A BIT TONIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR THE DRIER AND MORE STABLE
CONDITIONS.

THE SURFACE HIGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FAR NORTHEAST OF THE
STATE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. WHILE THE HIGH DOES NOT
STRENGTHEN...WE ARE ALREADY STARTING TO SEE A TIGHTENING OF THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ISLANDS DUE TO LOW PRESSURE WELL TO OUR
SOUTH. OVERALL WE EXPECT A TYPICAL TRADE WIND SETUP WITH SHOWERS
FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS...AT LEAST FOR THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW INVERSION
HEIGHTS DIPPING EVEN LOWER FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AS WE HAVE
ALREADY STARTED TO SEE AT LIHUE THIS AFTERNOON. WITH NO NOTICEABLE
SOURCES OF MOISTURE IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM...THIS WILL HELP TO LIMIT
RAINFALL CHANCES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. WINDS MAY BE LOCALLY
BREEZY AT TIMES.

BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WE MAY SEE A SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE
FROM THE SOUTHEAST THAT COULD BRING AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND MUGGY
CONDITIONS. EXTENDED MODELS OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS HAVE BEEN BACK
AND FORTH WITH TIMING AND HOW FAR NORTH TO BRING THE MOISTURE...SO
IT IS DIFFICULT TO NAIL DOWN SPECIFICS AT THIS POINT. HOWEVER...THEY
SEEM TO BE CONVERGING ON A SOLUTION THAT WOULD BRING AN INCREASE IN
TROPICAL MOISTURE TO BIG ISLAND LATE THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WHICH WOULD
THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
THE ISOLATED TCU WITH TOPS BETWEEN 150 AND 180 KFT ALONG THE LEE
SLOPES OF MAUNA KEA AND MAUNA LOA SHOULD BEGIN WEAKEN WITH SUNSET.
ELSEWHERE...WEATHER OVER ISLANDS WILL REMAIN RATHER BENIGN INTO THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS MAY BRING ISOL MVFR
CONDITIONS...MAINLY FOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY GUSTY TRADE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. AIRMET TANGO IS IN EFFECT FOR LOW LEVEL TURB IN THE LEE OF
THE TERRAIN. OTHERWISE...THERE ARE NO OTHER AIRMETS.

&&

.MARINE...
AN ASCAT PASS FROM THIS MORNING SHOWED A WIDE AREA OF 25 KNOT WINDS
THROUGH THE ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL...WITH SOME 25 KNOT BARBS NEAR SOUTH
POINT AS WELL. MODELS SHOW THE GRADIENT GRADUALLY TIGHTENING OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS LOW PRESSURE PASSES FAR SOUTH OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE CURRENT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE TYPICALLY WINDIER
AREAS NEAR MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN EFFECT AT
LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL BRING BELOW TO NEAR NORMAL
SURF FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES. A LARGER SWELL FILLING IN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON SHOULD BRING NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL SURF FOR SOUTH FACING
SHORES BY SATURDAY. SHORT PERIOD TRADE WIND SWELL WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS EAST FACING SHORES...POSSIBLY INCREASING A BIT THROUGH THE
WEEK AS TRADES STRENGTHEN. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE EXPECTED
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...BRAVENDER
AVIATION...EATON






000
FXHW60 PHFO 290137
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 PM HST MON JUL 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE
TRADES WILL AFFECT MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A SURGE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST COULD BRING AN
INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NORTH OF THE
STATE...WITH A RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH
PRESSURE IS LOCATED FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE...WITH A TROUGH FAR
TO THE NORTH. 00Z SOUNDINGS SHOW INVERSIONS RANGING FROM 4KFT AT
LIHUE TO 6KFT AT HILO. THE HILO INVERSION IS ALSO WEAKER...WITH A
SECONDARY INVERSION NEAR 12KFT. PRECIPITABLE WATERS ARE ALSO
1.34-1.44 INCHES RESPECTIVELY...WHICH IS NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. EARLY AFTERNOON MIMIC TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER IMAGERY
SHOWS A POCKET OF MOISTURE NEAR THE BIG ISLAND...WITH DRIER AIR
ACROSS THE SMALLER ISLANDS AND WELL UPSTREAM TO THE NORTHEAST AND
EAST.

SHOWERS HAVE BEEN LIMITED THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ONLY A FEW GAGES ON
THE BIG ISLAND PICKING UP MEASURABLE RAINFALL OVER THE LAST 6
HOURS. THE AREA OF CLOUDS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE THIS
MORNING HAS THINNED OUT DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND DRIER AIR
UPSTREAM WILL BE SPREADING ACROSS THE ISLANDS TONIGHT. HAVE LOWER
POPS A BIT TONIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR THE DRIER AND MORE STABLE
CONDITIONS.

THE SURFACE HIGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FAR NORTHEAST OF THE
STATE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. WHILE THE HIGH DOES NOT
STRENGTHEN...WE ARE ALREADY STARTING TO SEE A TIGHTENING OF THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ISLANDS DUE TO LOW PRESSURE WELL TO OUR
SOUTH. OVERALL WE EXPECT A TYPICAL TRADE WIND SETUP WITH SHOWERS
FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS...AT LEAST FOR THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW INVERSION
HEIGHTS DIPPING EVEN LOWER FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...AS WE HAVE
ALREADY STARTED TO SEE AT LIHUE THIS AFTERNOON. WITH NO NOTICEABLE
SOURCES OF MOISTURE IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM...THIS WILL HELP TO LIMIT
RAINFALL CHANCES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. WINDS MAY BE LOCALLY
BREEZY AT TIMES.

BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WE MAY SEE A SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE
FROM THE SOUTHEAST THAT COULD BRING AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND MUGGY
CONDITIONS. EXTENDED MODELS OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS HAVE BEEN BACK
AND FORTH WITH TIMING AND HOW FAR NORTH TO BRING THE MOISTURE...SO
IT IS DIFFICULT TO NAIL DOWN SPECIFICS AT THIS POINT. HOWEVER...THEY
SEEM TO BE CONVERGING ON A SOLUTION THAT WOULD BRING AN INCREASE IN
TROPICAL MOISTURE TO BIG ISLAND LATE THURSDAY/FRIDAY...WHICH WOULD
THEN SPREAD ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE DURING THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
THE ISOLATED TCU WITH TOPS BETWEEN 150 AND 180 KFT ALONG THE LEE
SLOPES OF MAUNA KEA AND MAUNA LOA SHOULD BEGIN WEAKEN WITH SUNSET.
ELSEWHERE...WEATHER OVER ISLANDS WILL REMAIN RATHER BENIGN INTO THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. BRIEF PASSING SHOWERS MAY BRING ISOL MVFR
CONDITIONS...MAINLY FOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS. MODERATE TO
LOCALLY GUSTY TRADE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD. AIRMET TANGO IS IN EFFECT FOR LOW LEVEL TURB IN THE LEE OF
THE TERRAIN. OTHERWISE...THERE ARE NO OTHER AIRMETS.

&&

.MARINE...
AN ASCAT PASS FROM THIS MORNING SHOWED A WIDE AREA OF 25 KNOT WINDS
THROUGH THE ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL...WITH SOME 25 KNOT BARBS NEAR SOUTH
POINT AS WELL. MODELS SHOW THE GRADIENT GRADUALLY TIGHTENING OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS LOW PRESSURE PASSES FAR SOUTH OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE CURRENT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE TYPICALLY WINDIER
AREAS NEAR MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN EFFECT AT
LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS WILL BRING BELOW TO NEAR NORMAL
SURF FOR SOUTH FACING SHORES. A LARGER SWELL FILLING IN FRIDAY
AFTERNOON SHOULD BRING NEAR TO ABOVE NORMAL SURF FOR SOUTH FACING
SHORES BY SATURDAY. SHORT PERIOD TRADE WIND SWELL WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS EAST FACING SHORES...POSSIBLY INCREASING A BIT THROUGH THE
WEEK AS TRADES STRENGTHEN. NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE EXPECTED
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO CHANNEL-ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD WATERS-BIG
ISLAND SOUTHEAST WATERS.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...BRAVENDER
AVIATION...EATON







000
FXHW60 PHFO 282000
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1000 AM HST MON JUL 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE
TRADES WILL AFFECT MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A SURGE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST COULD BRING AN
INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NORTH OF THE
STATE...WITH A RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH
PRESSURE IS LOCATED FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE...WITH A TROUGH FAR
TO THE NORTH. 12Z SOUNDINGS FROM LIHUE AND HILO SHOW INVERSIONS OF
5-6KFT AND PRECIPITABLE WATERS OF 1.3-1.4 INCHES...WHICH IS NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. EARLY MORNING MIMIC TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY SHOWS DRIER AIR OVER 100 MILES EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND
EXTENDING WELL TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ON THE LOW SIDE OVERNIGHT. A FEW
LOCATIONS ON WINDWARD BIG ISLAND RECEIVED UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH
OF RAIN IN THE LAST 12 HOURS...BUT MOST LOCATIONS THAT SAW RAIN ONLY
RECEIVED A FEW HUNDREDTHS. ONE MORE POCKET OF MOISTURE IS LOCATED
EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI THAT WILL KEEP SHOWERS GOING INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON...AT LEAST ACROSS THE EASTERN ISLANDS. HOWEVER DRIER
LOW-LEVEL AIR WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING...LEADING TO DRIER CONDITIONS LATER IN THE DAY.

THE SURFACE HIGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FAR NORTHEAST OF THE
STATE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. WHILE THE HIGH DOES NOT
STRENGTHEN...WE ARE ALREADY STARTING TO SEE A TIGHTENING OF THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ISLANDS DUE TO LOW PRESSURE WELL TO OUR
SOUTH. OVERALL WE EXPECT A TYPICAL TRADE WIND SETUP WITH SHOWERS
FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS...AT LEAST FOR THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW INVERSION
HEIGHTS DIPPING EVEN LOWER FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. WITH NO
NOTICEABLE SOURCES OF MOISTURE IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM...THIS WILL HELP
TO LIMIT RAINFALL CHANCES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. WINDS MAY BE
LOCALLY BREEZY AT TIMES.

BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WE MAY SEE A SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE
FROM THE SOUTHEAST THAT COULD BRING AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND MUGGY
CONDITIONS. EXTENDED MODELS OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS HAVE BEEN BACK
AND FORTH WITH TIMING AND HOW FAR NORTH TO BRING THE MOISTURE...SO
IT IS DIFFICULT TO NAIL DOWN SPECIFICS AT THIS POINT. HOWEVER...THEY
SEEM TO BE CONVERGING ON A SOLUTION THAT WOULD BRING AN INCREASE IN
TROPICAL MOISTURE TO BIG ISLAND LATE THURSDAY/FRIDAY...AND SPREAD
ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
MORNING SHOWERS LINGER OVER WINDWARD BIG ISLAND...BRINGING TEMPO
MVFR CIGS AND ISOL MVFR VIS TO PHTO. VFR SHOULD BEGIN TO PREVAIL BY
THIS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON FOR WINDWARD BIG ISLAND. ALL OTHER
TERMINALS CONTINUE WITH PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS. PASSING SHOWERS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TRADE WIND FLOW MAY BRING ISOL MVFR CIGS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY...MAINLY FOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS.

EARLY MORNING SOUNDINGS FROM BOTH SITES SHOW AN INVERSION BETWEEN
5.5-6.5 KFT. WITH THE MODERATE TRADES EXPECTED TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY
AND THE INVERSION...AN AIRMET FOR TURB IN THE LEE OF THE TERRAIN MAY
BE NECESSARY LATER TODAY. OTHERWISE...NO OTHER AIRMETS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
AN ASCAT PASS LAST NIGHT SHOWED A WIDE AREA OF 25 KNOT WINDS THROUGH
THE ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL. MODELS SHOW THE GRADIENT CONTINUING TO
TIGHTEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS LOW PRESSURE PASSES FAR SOUTH
OF THE AREA. THEREFORE THE CURRENT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE
TYPICALLY WINDIER AREAS NEAR MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND WILL LIKELY
REMAIN IN EFFECT AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS MAY BRING MINOR BUMPS ON SOUTH
FACING SHORES...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE ON THURSDAY NIGHT. SHORT
PERIOD TRADE WIND SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST FACING SHORES...
POSSIBLY INCREASING A BIT IN THE COMING DAYS AS TRADES STRENGTHEN.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO AND ALENUIHAHA CHANNELS-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD AND SOUTHEAST
WATERS.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...BRAVENDER
AVIATION...EATON






000
FXHW60 PHFO 282000
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
1000 AM HST MON JUL 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE TO
LOCALLY FRESH TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE
TRADES WILL AFFECT MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A SURGE IN MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST COULD BRING AN
INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND MORE HUMID CONDITIONS LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NORTH OF THE
STATE...WITH A RIDGE TO THE SOUTHEAST. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH
PRESSURE IS LOCATED FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE...WITH A TROUGH FAR
TO THE NORTH. 12Z SOUNDINGS FROM LIHUE AND HILO SHOW INVERSIONS OF
5-6KFT AND PRECIPITABLE WATERS OF 1.3-1.4 INCHES...WHICH IS NORMAL
FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. EARLY MORNING MIMIC TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER
IMAGERY SHOWS DRIER AIR OVER 100 MILES EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND
EXTENDING WELL TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ON THE LOW SIDE OVERNIGHT. A FEW
LOCATIONS ON WINDWARD BIG ISLAND RECEIVED UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH
OF RAIN IN THE LAST 12 HOURS...BUT MOST LOCATIONS THAT SAW RAIN ONLY
RECEIVED A FEW HUNDREDTHS. ONE MORE POCKET OF MOISTURE IS LOCATED
EAST OF THE BIG ISLAND AND MAUI THAT WILL KEEP SHOWERS GOING INTO
EARLY AFTERNOON...AT LEAST ACROSS THE EASTERN ISLANDS. HOWEVER DRIER
LOW-LEVEL AIR WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE
AFTERNOON/EVENING...LEADING TO DRIER CONDITIONS LATER IN THE DAY.

THE SURFACE HIGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FAR NORTHEAST OF THE
STATE THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK. WHILE THE HIGH DOES NOT
STRENGTHEN...WE ARE ALREADY STARTING TO SEE A TIGHTENING OF THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE ISLANDS DUE TO LOW PRESSURE WELL TO OUR
SOUTH. OVERALL WE EXPECT A TYPICAL TRADE WIND SETUP WITH SHOWERS
FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS...AT LEAST FOR THE
FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. GFS FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW INVERSION
HEIGHTS DIPPING EVEN LOWER FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. WITH NO
NOTICEABLE SOURCES OF MOISTURE IMMEDIATELY UPSTREAM...THIS WILL HELP
TO LIMIT RAINFALL CHANCES FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. WINDS MAY BE
LOCALLY BREEZY AT TIMES.

BY THE END OF THE WEEK...WE MAY SEE A SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE
FROM THE SOUTHEAST THAT COULD BRING AN INCREASE IN SHOWERS AND MUGGY
CONDITIONS. EXTENDED MODELS OVER THE LAST FEW DAYS HAVE BEEN BACK
AND FORTH WITH TIMING AND HOW FAR NORTH TO BRING THE MOISTURE...SO
IT IS DIFFICULT TO NAIL DOWN SPECIFICS AT THIS POINT. HOWEVER...THEY
SEEM TO BE CONVERGING ON A SOLUTION THAT WOULD BRING AN INCREASE IN
TROPICAL MOISTURE TO BIG ISLAND LATE THURSDAY/FRIDAY...AND SPREAD
ACROSS THE REST OF THE STATE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...
MORNING SHOWERS LINGER OVER WINDWARD BIG ISLAND...BRINGING TEMPO
MVFR CIGS AND ISOL MVFR VIS TO PHTO. VFR SHOULD BEGIN TO PREVAIL BY
THIS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON FOR WINDWARD BIG ISLAND. ALL OTHER
TERMINALS CONTINUE WITH PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS. PASSING SHOWERS
EMBEDDED WITHIN THE TRADE WIND FLOW MAY BRING ISOL MVFR CIGS
THROUGHOUT THE DAY...MAINLY FOR WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS.

EARLY MORNING SOUNDINGS FROM BOTH SITES SHOW AN INVERSION BETWEEN
5.5-6.5 KFT. WITH THE MODERATE TRADES EXPECTED TO INCREASE SLIGHTLY
AND THE INVERSION...AN AIRMET FOR TURB IN THE LEE OF THE TERRAIN MAY
BE NECESSARY LATER TODAY. OTHERWISE...NO OTHER AIRMETS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
AN ASCAT PASS LAST NIGHT SHOWED A WIDE AREA OF 25 KNOT WINDS THROUGH
THE ALENUIHAHA CHANNEL. MODELS SHOW THE GRADIENT CONTINUING TO
TIGHTEN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS AS LOW PRESSURE PASSES FAR SOUTH
OF THE AREA. THEREFORE THE CURRENT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE
TYPICALLY WINDIER AREAS NEAR MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND WILL LIKELY
REMAIN IN EFFECT AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS MAY BRING MINOR BUMPS ON SOUTH
FACING SHORES...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE ON THURSDAY NIGHT. SHORT
PERIOD TRADE WIND SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST FACING SHORES...
POSSIBLY INCREASING A BIT IN THE COMING DAYS AS TRADES STRENGTHEN.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO AND ALENUIHAHA CHANNELS-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD AND SOUTHEAST
WATERS.

&&

$$

PUBLIC/MARINE...BRAVENDER
AVIATION...EATON







000
FXHW60 PHFO 281351
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST MON JUL 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE
TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE TRADES WILL
AFFECT MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
SOMEWHAT IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RATHER FAIR WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE STATE EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH ONLY A FEW PASSING SHOWERS AFFECTING WINDWARD AND
MOUNTAIN AREAS AT TIMES. THE USUAL SLIGHT INCREASE IN CLOUD COVERAGE
OVERNIGHT DID NOT REALLY MATERIALIZE...AND THIS IS IN LIEU OF THE
SOMEWHAT TYPICAL EARLY MORNING LIHUE AND HILO SOUNDING PROFILES...
IN TERM OF PW VALUES. THE LIHUE SOUNDING REVEALED A SLIGHTLY LESS
UNSTABLE AIR MASS WHILE THE HILO SOUNDING TRENDED THE OTHER WAY.
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS JUST EAST OF
THE ISLANDS EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING FROM THE
SOUTH COVERING THE BIG ISLAND AT TIMES. THE INCOMING LOW CLOUDS MAY
BRING A LITTLE MORE SHOWERS TO THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING...MAINLY
TO WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN
NEAR THE ISLANDS...AND WILL PROBABLY KEEP ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS A
LITTLE UNSTABLE. STILL EXPECT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO BE LIMITED IN
THE ISLAND VICINITY TODAY AS INDICATED BY FORECAST MODELS. THIS
WILL LEAD TO LESS SHOWERS...IN TERMS OF AREAL COVERAGE.

A SURFACE HIGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FAR NORTHEAST OF THE
STATE THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK AND WILL PROVIDE TRADE WINDS TO THE
STATE. WHILE LITTLE CHANGES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS HIGH...THE
ISLANDS WILL SEE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS AT TIMES AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS SOMEWHAT ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE LOW
PRESSURE FAR SOUTH OF THE AREA. FORECAST MODELS INDICATE A DRIER
AIR MASS WILL PERSIST IN THE ISLAND VICINITY THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THEREFORE...TYPICAL SUMMER TRADE WIND WEATHER
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WITH
PASSING SHOWERS FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS.
WINDS MAY BE LOCALLY BREEZY AT TIMES.

LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE CLOSER IN TERM OF THE PENDING POSSIBLE
SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST WEATHER SCENARIO.
LOOKS LIKE THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE MAY REACH THE BIG ISLAND LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...THEN SPREAD TO THE REST OF THE ISLAND CHAIN
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE ISLANDS WILL EXPERIENCE ANOTHER BOUT OF
MUGGY CONDITIONS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS. PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MVFR CIGS WILL MAINLY AFFECT
WINDWARD SLOPES. TRADE WINDS MAY INCREASE A BIT LATER TODAY...
AND AIRMET TANGO FOR LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE OVER AND DOWNWIND OF
TERRAIN ON THE SMALLER ISLANDS COULD BECOME NECESSARY.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL BE NEAR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FOR THE TYPICALLY
WINDIER COASTAL WATERS AROUND MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND AT LEAST
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THEREFORE...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE AREAS AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS MAY BRING MINOR BUMPS ON SOUTH
FACING SHORES...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE ON THURSDAY NIGHT. SHORT
PERIOD TRADE WIND SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST FACING SHORES...
POSSIBLY INCREASING A BIT IN THE COMING DAYS AS TRADES STRENGTHEN.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO AND ALENUIHAHA CHANNELS-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD AND SOUTHEAST
WATERS.

&&

$$

AVIATION...JACOBSON
REST...HUI






000
FXHW60 PHFO 281351
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
400 AM HST MON JUL 28 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE
TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE TRADES WILL
AFFECT MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS. WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN
SOMEWHAT IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RATHER FAIR WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE STATE EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH ONLY A FEW PASSING SHOWERS AFFECTING WINDWARD AND
MOUNTAIN AREAS AT TIMES. THE USUAL SLIGHT INCREASE IN CLOUD COVERAGE
OVERNIGHT DID NOT REALLY MATERIALIZE...AND THIS IS IN LIEU OF THE
SOMEWHAT TYPICAL EARLY MORNING LIHUE AND HILO SOUNDING PROFILES...
IN TERM OF PW VALUES. THE LIHUE SOUNDING REVEALED A SLIGHTLY LESS
UNSTABLE AIR MASS WHILE THE HILO SOUNDING TRENDED THE OTHER WAY.
LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED AREAS OF LOW CLOUDS JUST EAST OF
THE ISLANDS EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING FROM THE
SOUTH COVERING THE BIG ISLAND AT TIMES. THE INCOMING LOW CLOUDS MAY
BRING A LITTLE MORE SHOWERS TO THE AREA LATER THIS MORNING...MAINLY
TO WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN
NEAR THE ISLANDS...AND WILL PROBABLY KEEP ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS A
LITTLE UNSTABLE. STILL EXPECT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO BE LIMITED IN
THE ISLAND VICINITY TODAY AS INDICATED BY FORECAST MODELS. THIS
WILL LEAD TO LESS SHOWERS...IN TERMS OF AREAL COVERAGE.

A SURFACE HIGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FAR NORTHEAST OF THE
STATE THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK AND WILL PROVIDE TRADE WINDS TO THE
STATE. WHILE LITTLE CHANGES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS HIGH...THE
ISLANDS WILL SEE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS AT TIMES AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS SOMEWHAT ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO THE LOW
PRESSURE FAR SOUTH OF THE AREA. FORECAST MODELS INDICATE A DRIER
AIR MASS WILL PERSIST IN THE ISLAND VICINITY THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. THEREFORE...TYPICAL SUMMER TRADE WIND WEATHER
WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...WITH
PASSING SHOWERS FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS.
WINDS MAY BE LOCALLY BREEZY AT TIMES.

LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE CLOSER IN TERM OF THE PENDING POSSIBLE
SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHEAST WEATHER SCENARIO.
LOOKS LIKE THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE MAY REACH THE BIG ISLAND LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...THEN SPREAD TO THE REST OF THE ISLAND CHAIN
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE ISLANDS WILL EXPERIENCE ANOTHER BOUT OF
MUGGY CONDITIONS...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS. PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MVFR CIGS WILL MAINLY AFFECT
WINDWARD SLOPES. TRADE WINDS MAY INCREASE A BIT LATER TODAY...
AND AIRMET TANGO FOR LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE OVER AND DOWNWIND OF
TERRAIN ON THE SMALLER ISLANDS COULD BECOME NECESSARY.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL BE NEAR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FOR THE TYPICALLY
WINDIER COASTAL WATERS AROUND MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND AT LEAST
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THEREFORE...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE AREAS AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS MAY BRING MINOR BUMPS ON SOUTH
FACING SHORES...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE ON THURSDAY NIGHT. SHORT
PERIOD TRADE WIND SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST FACING SHORES...
POSSIBLY INCREASING A BIT IN THE COMING DAYS AS TRADES STRENGTHEN.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO AND ALENUIHAHA CHANNELS-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD AND SOUTHEAST
WATERS.

&&

$$

AVIATION...JACOBSON
REST...HUI







000
FXHW60 PHFO 280630
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST SUN JUL 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE
TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE TRADES WILL
AFFECT MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS. WINDS MAY STRENGTHEN
SOMEWHAT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RATHER FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE STATE THIS EVENING...WITH
ONLY A FEW PASSING SHOWERS AFFECTING WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS AT
TIMES. DRIER AIR MASS DID INDEED SPREAD ACROSS THE ISLANDS...AS
INDICATED BY MUCH LESS CLOUD COVERAGE AS WELL AS LOWER DEW POINT
VALUES REPORTED BY OBSERVATIONS AROUND THE STATE. AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEAR THE ISLANDS...AND WILL PROBABLY KEEP
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS A LITTLE UNSTABLE. BUT THEN WITH LIMITED
MOISTURE IN THE ISLAND VICINITY...SHOWERS WILL BE LIMITED IN TERMS
OF AREAL COVERAGE. ON THE OTHER HAND...CAN EXPECT THE USUAL SLIGHT
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVERAGE AS WELL AS SHOWERS LATER THIS EVENING
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...AND MUCH OF THESE WILL AFFECT MAINLY
WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS.

A SURFACE HIGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FAR NORTHEAST OF THE
STATE THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK AND WILL PROVIDE TRADE WINDS TO THE
STATE. WHILE LITTLE CHANGES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS HIGH...THE
ISLANDS WILL SEE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS AT TIMES AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS SOMEWHAT ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO LOW
PRESSURE FAR SOUTH OF THE AREA. IN ALL...TRADE WIND WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL WITH PASSING SHOWERS FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS WINDWARD AND
MAUKA AREAS...AT LEAST THROUGH FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. WINDS MAY BE
LOCALLY BREEZY AT TIMES.

THERE ARE STILL DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS ON THE FORECAST
FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK...AS TO THE TIMING AS WELL AS THE
EXTEND OF FAR NORTH THE SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE
SOUTHEAST WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE ISLANDS. THE STATE MAY YET TO
EXPERIENCE THE RETURN OF MUGGY CONDITIONS AS WELL AS THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAIN. FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN HIGH.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS. PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MVFR CIGS WILL MAINLY AFFECT
WINDWARD SLOPES. TRADE WINDS MAY INCREASE A BIT ON MONDAY...AND
AIRMET TANGO FOR LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE COULD BECOME NECESSARY AT
THAT TIME.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL BE NEAR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FOR THE TYPICALLY
WINDIER COASTAL WATERS AROUND MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND AT LEAST
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THEREFORE...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE AREAS.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS MAY BRING MINOR BUMPS ON SOUTH
FACING SHORES...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE ON THURSDAY NIGHT. SHORT
PERIOD TRADE WIND SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST FACING SHORES...
POSSIBLY INCREASING A BIT IN THE COMING DAYS AS TRADES STRENGTHEN.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO AND ALENUIHAHA CHANNELS-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD AND SOUTHEAST
WATERS.

&&

$$

AVIATION...JACOBSON
REST...HUI






000
FXHW60 PHFO 280630
AFDHFO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
830 PM HST SUN JUL 27 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE FAR NORTHEAST OF THE STATE WILL MAINTAIN MODERATE
TRADE WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SHOWERS CARRIED BY THE TRADES WILL
AFFECT MAINLY WINDWARD AND MAUKA AREAS. WINDS MAY STRENGTHEN
SOMEWHAT OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
RATHER FAIR WEATHER PREVAILS ACROSS THE STATE THIS EVENING...WITH
ONLY A FEW PASSING SHOWERS AFFECTING WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS AT
TIMES. DRIER AIR MASS DID INDEED SPREAD ACROSS THE ISLANDS...AS
INDICATED BY MUCH LESS CLOUD COVERAGE AS WELL AS LOWER DEW POINT
VALUES REPORTED BY OBSERVATIONS AROUND THE STATE. AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH WILL REMAIN NEAR THE ISLANDS...AND WILL PROBABLY KEEP
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS A LITTLE UNSTABLE. BUT THEN WITH LIMITED
MOISTURE IN THE ISLAND VICINITY...SHOWERS WILL BE LIMITED IN TERMS
OF AREAL COVERAGE. ON THE OTHER HAND...CAN EXPECT THE USUAL SLIGHT
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVERAGE AS WELL AS SHOWERS LATER THIS EVENING
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...AND MUCH OF THESE WILL AFFECT MAINLY
WINDWARD AND MOUNTAIN AREAS.

A SURFACE HIGH WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY FAR NORTHEAST OF THE
STATE THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK AND WILL PROVIDE TRADE WINDS TO THE
STATE. WHILE LITTLE CHANGES ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS HIGH...THE
ISLANDS WILL SEE A SLIGHT INCREASE IN WINDS AT TIMES AS THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS SOMEWHAT ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO LOW
PRESSURE FAR SOUTH OF THE AREA. IN ALL...TRADE WIND WEATHER WILL
PREVAIL WITH PASSING SHOWERS FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS WINDWARD AND
MAUKA AREAS...AT LEAST THROUGH FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. WINDS MAY BE
LOCALLY BREEZY AT TIMES.

THERE ARE STILL DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS ON THE FORECAST
FOR THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK...AS TO THE TIMING AS WELL AS THE
EXTEND OF FAR NORTH THE SURGE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE
SOUTHEAST WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE ISLANDS. THE STATE MAY YET TO
EXPERIENCE THE RETURN OF MUGGY CONDITIONS AS WELL AS THE POTENTIAL
FOR HEAVY RAIN. FORECAST UNCERTAINTIES REMAIN HIGH.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY ACROSS THE HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS. PASSING SHOWERS AND ISOLATED MVFR CIGS WILL MAINLY AFFECT
WINDWARD SLOPES. TRADE WINDS MAY INCREASE A BIT ON MONDAY...AND
AIRMET TANGO FOR LOW LEVEL TURBULENCE COULD BECOME NECESSARY AT
THAT TIME.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL BE NEAR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FOR THE TYPICALLY
WINDIER COASTAL WATERS AROUND MAUI AND THE BIG ISLAND AT LEAST
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THEREFORE...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THOSE AREAS.

A SERIES OF SMALL SOUTHERLY SWELLS MAY BRING MINOR BUMPS ON SOUTH
FACING SHORES...WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE ON THURSDAY NIGHT. SHORT
PERIOD TRADE WIND SWELL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST FACING SHORES...
POSSIBLY INCREASING A BIT IN THE COMING DAYS AS TRADES STRENGTHEN.
NO OTHER SIGNIFICANT SWELLS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.

&&

.HFO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM HST WEDNESDAY FOR MAALAEA BAY-
PAILOLO AND ALENUIHAHA CHANNELS-BIG ISLAND LEEWARD AND SOUTHEAST
WATERS.

&&

$$

AVIATION...JACOBSON
REST...HUI







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