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000
AXUS74 KMAF 060030
DGTMAF
NMC015-025-TXC003-033-043-103-109-115-135-165-173-227-243-301-317-
329-335-371-377-383-389-415-443-461-475-495-231315-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
600 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015 /500 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015/

...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...

SYNOPSIS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM)...ISSUED IN PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER...USDA...AND NWS ON 3 MARCH...
SHOWS DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE WORSENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST MONTH
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.  IN SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...NORTHWEST EDDY COUNTY REMAINED IN MODERATE DROUGHT.  THE
REST OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO WAS EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY OR OUT OF
DROUGHT...MOSTLY OUT OF DROUGHT.  IMPACTS OF MODERATE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS INCLUDE SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND PASTURES.  IN WEST
TEXAS...EXTREME SOUTHEAST TERRELL COUNTY HAD DEVELOPED INTO SEVERE
DROUGHT.  IMPACTS OF SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS INCLUDE LIKELY CROP
OR PASTURE LOSSES...WATER SHORTAGES...AND WATER RESTRICTIONS.
CENTRAL TERRELL...EASTERN SCURRY...MOST OF MITCHELL...AND ALL OF
GLASSCOCK COUNTIES WERE IN MODERATE DROUGHT.  THE REST OF WEST TEXAS
WAS EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY OR OUT OF DROUGHT...MOSTLY OUT OF
DROUGHT.

RAINFALL OVER THE PAST MONTH HAS GENERALLY BEEN NEAR-NORMAL TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW-NORMAL...BUT ALL LOCATIONS ARE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL
FOR ANNUAL RAINFALL.  HOWEVER...WATER SHORTAGES REMAIN...AND
MANDATORY WATER USE RESTRICTIONS REMAIN IN PLACE IN SOME LOCATIONS.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
AS OF 5 MARCH...BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT EVERYWHERE ACROSS WEST
TEXAS EXCEPT ANDREWS...BORDEN...BREWSTER...DAWSON...GAINES...
LOVING...MARTIN...PRESIDIO...REAGAN...SCURRY...AND TERRELL COUNTIES.

THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE USES THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI)
AS A SYSTEM FOR RELATING CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
POTENTIAL OR EXPECTED FIRE BEHAVIOR.  IT IS A NUMERICAL INDEX
CALCULATED DAILY.  EACH NUMBER IS AN ESTIMATE OF THE AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION...IN HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH...NEEDED TO BRING THE SOIL
BACK TO SATURATION.  THE INDEX RANGES FROM 0 TO 800...WITH 0
REPRESENTING A SATURATED SOIL AND 800 A COMPLETELY DRY SOIL.  AS OF
4 MARCH...THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX SHOWED VALUES RANGING
FROM LESS THAN 200 WEST OF THE PECOS TO NEAR 500 IN THE PERMIAN
BASIN.  THE 400 TO 600 RANGE IS TYPICAL OF LATE SUMMER AND EARLY
FALL.  IN THIS RANGE...LOWER LITTER AND DUFF LAYERS CONTRIBUTE TO
FIRE INTENSITY AND WILL BURN ACTIVELY.  NOTE THAT FIRE DANGER CAN
CHANGE QUICKLY FROM DAY TO DAY AS WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VARY.
THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE ADVISES TO WATCH OUT FOR KEY CRITICAL
WEATHER THRESHOLDS OF WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
25 PERCENT.  WHEN THESE THRESHOLDS ARE MET OR EXCEEDED...FIRE DANGER
WILL BE ELEVATED.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS CROP WEATHER REPORT ISSUED 3 MARCH BY THE
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURE PROGRAM...IN THE FAR WEST...IN THE SOUTH
PLAINS...PASTURE AND RANGELAND RATINGS VARIED WIDELY...FROM VERY
POOR TO EXCELLENT...WITH POOR BEING THE MOST COMMON RATING.  TOPSOIL
MOISTURE VARIED WIDELY TOO...FROM 90 PERCENT VERY SHORT TO 100
PERCENT FAIR...WITH ADEQUATE BEING THE MOST COMMON RATING.  SUBSOIL
MOISTURE VARIED TOO...WITH ADEQUATE BEING MOST COMMON.  PECAN
GROWERS WERE CLEANING UP ORCHARDS...AND HEDGING AND PRUNING.  COTTON
GROWERS WERE PREPARING LAND FOR PLANTING.  ALFALFA WAS COMING OUT OF
DORMANCY AND UNDER IRRIGATION.  LIMITED IRRIGATION WATER IN SOME
AREAS WAS AFFECTING PLANTING DECISIONS. WEEDS WERE ABUNDANT IN THE
PASTURES DUE TO THE FALL AND WINTER PRECIPITATION.

IN THE SOUTH PLAINS...TWO STRONG COLD FRONTS BROUGHT EXTREMELY LOW
TEMPERATURES AND SNOW THROUGHOUT THE REGION.  SNOW AMOUNTS RANGED
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGHOUT THE AREA...WITH THE MOST SNOW FALLING
IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES.  FREEZING RAIN...DRIZZLE AND FREEZING FOG
ACCOMPANIED THE SNOW.  WINTER WHEAT GENERALLY IMPROVED WITH THE
MOISTURE...BUT THERE MAY HAVE BEEN SOME FREEZE DAMAGE.
HOWEVER...PRODUCERS WERE GRATEFUL FOR THE MOISTURE BUT WERE
CONCERNED ABOUT BEING ABLE TO GET PRE-PLANT HERBICIDES APPLIED IN A
TIMELY MANNER.  EXTREMELY LOW WIND CHILLS STRESSED LIVESTOCK.
RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN MOSTLY FAIR CONDITION.  THE PREVIOUS
WEEKS MOISTURE FOLLOWED BY SOME WARM DAYS BENEFITED COOL-SEASON
GRASSES.  DURING THE COLD WEATHER...RANCHERS WERE PROVIDING EXTRA
SUPPLEMENTAL FEED TO CATTLE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

SINCE 1 JANUARY...THE FOLLOWING PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WERE REPORTED:

MIDLAND HAS RECEIVED 2.82 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS 1.35
INCHES.

CARLSBAD HAS HAD 1.19 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS AROUND
0.96 INCHES.

MARFA HAS HAD 1.75 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS AROUND 1.08
INCHES.

FORT STOCKTON HAS HAD 2.47 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS
AROUND 1.32 INCHES.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...OR CPC...AS OF 5
MARCH...EL NINO HAS ARRIVED...AND A EL NINO ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.
THERE IS AN APPROXIMATELY 50-60 PERCENT CHANCE THAT EL NINO
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUMMER 2015.

THE CPC OUTLOOK FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY FOR WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FORECASTS ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND
NORMAL- TO BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

AS A RESULT OF THE PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK ABOVE...THE
LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK...ISSUED 19 FEBRUARY BY THE
CPC...INDICATES DROUGHT CONDITIONS LIKELY TO REMAIN UNCHANGED FROM
CURRENT CONDITIONS.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY...

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF 5 MARCH:

                  NORMAL   POOL    24-HR   MAX DEPTH  % CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR          POOL    TODAY   CHANGE    TODAY       CAPACITY
---------          ----    -----   ------    -----       --------
JB THOMAS        2258.00  2238.86   0.00     38.86         44.4
COLORADO CITY    2070.20  2047.05   0.01     32.05         21.2
CHAMPION CREEK   2083.00  2034.94   0.01     35.04          5.5
NATURAL DAM SALT 2457.00  2447.33   0.00         +         48.6
MOSS CREEK       2337.00  2326.03   0.25     34.03         56.0
BRANTLEY         3256.70  3264.46   0.01     58.46        221.0
AVALON           3177.40  3176.58   0.01      7.58         84.0
RED BLUFF        2827.40  2825.71   0.03     61.52         91.8

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/MAF/VERSION.PHP?PIL=DGTMAF&CWI=1&N=0

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:  HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:  HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/ NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

NWS AHPS:  HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

USGS:  HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:  HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:  HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARY AND WATER COMMISSION:
HTTP://WWW.IBWC.STATE.GOV

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE IBWC...THE USDA...STATE AND
REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS
AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2500 CHALLENGER DRIVE
MIDLAND TEXAS 79706
PHONE: 432.563.5006

$$

DEBERRY





























000
AXUS74 KMAF 060030
DGTMAF
NMC015-025-TXC003-033-043-103-109-115-135-165-173-227-243-301-317-
329-335-371-377-383-389-415-443-461-475-495-231315-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
600 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015 /500 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015/

...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...

SYNOPSIS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM)...ISSUED IN PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER...USDA...AND NWS ON 3 MARCH...
SHOWS DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE WORSENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST MONTH
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.  IN SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...NORTHWEST EDDY COUNTY REMAINED IN MODERATE DROUGHT.  THE
REST OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO WAS EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY OR OUT OF
DROUGHT...MOSTLY OUT OF DROUGHT.  IMPACTS OF MODERATE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS INCLUDE SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND PASTURES.  IN WEST
TEXAS...EXTREME SOUTHEAST TERRELL COUNTY HAD DEVELOPED INTO SEVERE
DROUGHT.  IMPACTS OF SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS INCLUDE LIKELY CROP
OR PASTURE LOSSES...WATER SHORTAGES...AND WATER RESTRICTIONS.
CENTRAL TERRELL...EASTERN SCURRY...MOST OF MITCHELL...AND ALL OF
GLASSCOCK COUNTIES WERE IN MODERATE DROUGHT.  THE REST OF WEST TEXAS
WAS EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY OR OUT OF DROUGHT...MOSTLY OUT OF
DROUGHT.

RAINFALL OVER THE PAST MONTH HAS GENERALLY BEEN NEAR-NORMAL TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW-NORMAL...BUT ALL LOCATIONS ARE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL
FOR ANNUAL RAINFALL.  HOWEVER...WATER SHORTAGES REMAIN...AND
MANDATORY WATER USE RESTRICTIONS REMAIN IN PLACE IN SOME LOCATIONS.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
AS OF 5 MARCH...BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT EVERYWHERE ACROSS WEST
TEXAS EXCEPT ANDREWS...BORDEN...BREWSTER...DAWSON...GAINES...
LOVING...MARTIN...PRESIDIO...REAGAN...SCURRY...AND TERRELL COUNTIES.

THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE USES THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI)
AS A SYSTEM FOR RELATING CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
POTENTIAL OR EXPECTED FIRE BEHAVIOR.  IT IS A NUMERICAL INDEX
CALCULATED DAILY.  EACH NUMBER IS AN ESTIMATE OF THE AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION...IN HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH...NEEDED TO BRING THE SOIL
BACK TO SATURATION.  THE INDEX RANGES FROM 0 TO 800...WITH 0
REPRESENTING A SATURATED SOIL AND 800 A COMPLETELY DRY SOIL.  AS OF
4 MARCH...THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX SHOWED VALUES RANGING
FROM LESS THAN 200 WEST OF THE PECOS TO NEAR 500 IN THE PERMIAN
BASIN.  THE 400 TO 600 RANGE IS TYPICAL OF LATE SUMMER AND EARLY
FALL.  IN THIS RANGE...LOWER LITTER AND DUFF LAYERS CONTRIBUTE TO
FIRE INTENSITY AND WILL BURN ACTIVELY.  NOTE THAT FIRE DANGER CAN
CHANGE QUICKLY FROM DAY TO DAY AS WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VARY.
THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE ADVISES TO WATCH OUT FOR KEY CRITICAL
WEATHER THRESHOLDS OF WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
25 PERCENT.  WHEN THESE THRESHOLDS ARE MET OR EXCEEDED...FIRE DANGER
WILL BE ELEVATED.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS CROP WEATHER REPORT ISSUED 3 MARCH BY THE
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURE PROGRAM...IN THE FAR WEST...IN THE SOUTH
PLAINS...PASTURE AND RANGELAND RATINGS VARIED WIDELY...FROM VERY
POOR TO EXCELLENT...WITH POOR BEING THE MOST COMMON RATING.  TOPSOIL
MOISTURE VARIED WIDELY TOO...FROM 90 PERCENT VERY SHORT TO 100
PERCENT FAIR...WITH ADEQUATE BEING THE MOST COMMON RATING.  SUBSOIL
MOISTURE VARIED TOO...WITH ADEQUATE BEING MOST COMMON.  PECAN
GROWERS WERE CLEANING UP ORCHARDS...AND HEDGING AND PRUNING.  COTTON
GROWERS WERE PREPARING LAND FOR PLANTING.  ALFALFA WAS COMING OUT OF
DORMANCY AND UNDER IRRIGATION.  LIMITED IRRIGATION WATER IN SOME
AREAS WAS AFFECTING PLANTING DECISIONS. WEEDS WERE ABUNDANT IN THE
PASTURES DUE TO THE FALL AND WINTER PRECIPITATION.

IN THE SOUTH PLAINS...TWO STRONG COLD FRONTS BROUGHT EXTREMELY LOW
TEMPERATURES AND SNOW THROUGHOUT THE REGION.  SNOW AMOUNTS RANGED
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGHOUT THE AREA...WITH THE MOST SNOW FALLING
IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES.  FREEZING RAIN...DRIZZLE AND FREEZING FOG
ACCOMPANIED THE SNOW.  WINTER WHEAT GENERALLY IMPROVED WITH THE
MOISTURE...BUT THERE MAY HAVE BEEN SOME FREEZE DAMAGE.
HOWEVER...PRODUCERS WERE GRATEFUL FOR THE MOISTURE BUT WERE
CONCERNED ABOUT BEING ABLE TO GET PRE-PLANT HERBICIDES APPLIED IN A
TIMELY MANNER.  EXTREMELY LOW WIND CHILLS STRESSED LIVESTOCK.
RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN MOSTLY FAIR CONDITION.  THE PREVIOUS
WEEKS MOISTURE FOLLOWED BY SOME WARM DAYS BENEFITED COOL-SEASON
GRASSES.  DURING THE COLD WEATHER...RANCHERS WERE PROVIDING EXTRA
SUPPLEMENTAL FEED TO CATTLE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

SINCE 1 JANUARY...THE FOLLOWING PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WERE REPORTED:

MIDLAND HAS RECEIVED 2.82 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS 1.35
INCHES.

CARLSBAD HAS HAD 1.19 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS AROUND
0.96 INCHES.

MARFA HAS HAD 1.75 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS AROUND 1.08
INCHES.

FORT STOCKTON HAS HAD 2.47 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS
AROUND 1.32 INCHES.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...OR CPC...AS OF 5
MARCH...EL NINO HAS ARRIVED...AND A EL NINO ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.
THERE IS AN APPROXIMATELY 50-60 PERCENT CHANCE THAT EL NINO
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUMMER 2015.

THE CPC OUTLOOK FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY FOR WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FORECASTS ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND
NORMAL- TO BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

AS A RESULT OF THE PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK ABOVE...THE
LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK...ISSUED 19 FEBRUARY BY THE
CPC...INDICATES DROUGHT CONDITIONS LIKELY TO REMAIN UNCHANGED FROM
CURRENT CONDITIONS.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY...

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF 5 MARCH:

                  NORMAL   POOL    24-HR   MAX DEPTH  % CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR          POOL    TODAY   CHANGE    TODAY       CAPACITY
---------          ----    -----   ------    -----       --------
JB THOMAS        2258.00  2238.86   0.00     38.86         44.4
COLORADO CITY    2070.20  2047.05   0.01     32.05         21.2
CHAMPION CREEK   2083.00  2034.94   0.01     35.04          5.5
NATURAL DAM SALT 2457.00  2447.33   0.00         +         48.6
MOSS CREEK       2337.00  2326.03   0.25     34.03         56.0
BRANTLEY         3256.70  3264.46   0.01     58.46        221.0
AVALON           3177.40  3176.58   0.01      7.58         84.0
RED BLUFF        2827.40  2825.71   0.03     61.52         91.8

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/MAF/VERSION.PHP?PIL=DGTMAF&CWI=1&N=0

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:  HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:  HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/ NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

NWS AHPS:  HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

USGS:  HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:  HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:  HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARY AND WATER COMMISSION:
HTTP://WWW.IBWC.STATE.GOV

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE IBWC...THE USDA...STATE AND
REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS
AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2500 CHALLENGER DRIVE
MIDLAND TEXAS 79706
PHONE: 432.563.5006

$$

DEBERRY






























000
AXUS74 KMAF 060030
DGTMAF
NMC015-025-TXC003-033-043-103-109-115-135-165-173-227-243-301-317-
329-335-371-377-383-389-415-443-461-475-495-231315-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
600 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015 /500 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015/

...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...

SYNOPSIS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM)...ISSUED IN PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER...USDA...AND NWS ON 3 MARCH...
SHOWS DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE WORSENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST MONTH
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.  IN SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...NORTHWEST EDDY COUNTY REMAINED IN MODERATE DROUGHT.  THE
REST OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO WAS EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY OR OUT OF
DROUGHT...MOSTLY OUT OF DROUGHT.  IMPACTS OF MODERATE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS INCLUDE SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND PASTURES.  IN WEST
TEXAS...EXTREME SOUTHEAST TERRELL COUNTY HAD DEVELOPED INTO SEVERE
DROUGHT.  IMPACTS OF SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS INCLUDE LIKELY CROP
OR PASTURE LOSSES...WATER SHORTAGES...AND WATER RESTRICTIONS.
CENTRAL TERRELL...EASTERN SCURRY...MOST OF MITCHELL...AND ALL OF
GLASSCOCK COUNTIES WERE IN MODERATE DROUGHT.  THE REST OF WEST TEXAS
WAS EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY OR OUT OF DROUGHT...MOSTLY OUT OF
DROUGHT.

RAINFALL OVER THE PAST MONTH HAS GENERALLY BEEN NEAR-NORMAL TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW-NORMAL...BUT ALL LOCATIONS ARE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL
FOR ANNUAL RAINFALL.  HOWEVER...WATER SHORTAGES REMAIN...AND
MANDATORY WATER USE RESTRICTIONS REMAIN IN PLACE IN SOME LOCATIONS.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
AS OF 5 MARCH...BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT EVERYWHERE ACROSS WEST
TEXAS EXCEPT ANDREWS...BORDEN...BREWSTER...DAWSON...GAINES...
LOVING...MARTIN...PRESIDIO...REAGAN...SCURRY...AND TERRELL COUNTIES.

THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE USES THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI)
AS A SYSTEM FOR RELATING CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
POTENTIAL OR EXPECTED FIRE BEHAVIOR.  IT IS A NUMERICAL INDEX
CALCULATED DAILY.  EACH NUMBER IS AN ESTIMATE OF THE AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION...IN HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH...NEEDED TO BRING THE SOIL
BACK TO SATURATION.  THE INDEX RANGES FROM 0 TO 800...WITH 0
REPRESENTING A SATURATED SOIL AND 800 A COMPLETELY DRY SOIL.  AS OF
4 MARCH...THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX SHOWED VALUES RANGING
FROM LESS THAN 200 WEST OF THE PECOS TO NEAR 500 IN THE PERMIAN
BASIN.  THE 400 TO 600 RANGE IS TYPICAL OF LATE SUMMER AND EARLY
FALL.  IN THIS RANGE...LOWER LITTER AND DUFF LAYERS CONTRIBUTE TO
FIRE INTENSITY AND WILL BURN ACTIVELY.  NOTE THAT FIRE DANGER CAN
CHANGE QUICKLY FROM DAY TO DAY AS WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VARY.
THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE ADVISES TO WATCH OUT FOR KEY CRITICAL
WEATHER THRESHOLDS OF WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
25 PERCENT.  WHEN THESE THRESHOLDS ARE MET OR EXCEEDED...FIRE DANGER
WILL BE ELEVATED.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS CROP WEATHER REPORT ISSUED 3 MARCH BY THE
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURE PROGRAM...IN THE FAR WEST...IN THE SOUTH
PLAINS...PASTURE AND RANGELAND RATINGS VARIED WIDELY...FROM VERY
POOR TO EXCELLENT...WITH POOR BEING THE MOST COMMON RATING.  TOPSOIL
MOISTURE VARIED WIDELY TOO...FROM 90 PERCENT VERY SHORT TO 100
PERCENT FAIR...WITH ADEQUATE BEING THE MOST COMMON RATING.  SUBSOIL
MOISTURE VARIED TOO...WITH ADEQUATE BEING MOST COMMON.  PECAN
GROWERS WERE CLEANING UP ORCHARDS...AND HEDGING AND PRUNING.  COTTON
GROWERS WERE PREPARING LAND FOR PLANTING.  ALFALFA WAS COMING OUT OF
DORMANCY AND UNDER IRRIGATION.  LIMITED IRRIGATION WATER IN SOME
AREAS WAS AFFECTING PLANTING DECISIONS. WEEDS WERE ABUNDANT IN THE
PASTURES DUE TO THE FALL AND WINTER PRECIPITATION.

IN THE SOUTH PLAINS...TWO STRONG COLD FRONTS BROUGHT EXTREMELY LOW
TEMPERATURES AND SNOW THROUGHOUT THE REGION.  SNOW AMOUNTS RANGED
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGHOUT THE AREA...WITH THE MOST SNOW FALLING
IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES.  FREEZING RAIN...DRIZZLE AND FREEZING FOG
ACCOMPANIED THE SNOW.  WINTER WHEAT GENERALLY IMPROVED WITH THE
MOISTURE...BUT THERE MAY HAVE BEEN SOME FREEZE DAMAGE.
HOWEVER...PRODUCERS WERE GRATEFUL FOR THE MOISTURE BUT WERE
CONCERNED ABOUT BEING ABLE TO GET PRE-PLANT HERBICIDES APPLIED IN A
TIMELY MANNER.  EXTREMELY LOW WIND CHILLS STRESSED LIVESTOCK.
RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN MOSTLY FAIR CONDITION.  THE PREVIOUS
WEEKS MOISTURE FOLLOWED BY SOME WARM DAYS BENEFITED COOL-SEASON
GRASSES.  DURING THE COLD WEATHER...RANCHERS WERE PROVIDING EXTRA
SUPPLEMENTAL FEED TO CATTLE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

SINCE 1 JANUARY...THE FOLLOWING PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WERE REPORTED:

MIDLAND HAS RECEIVED 2.82 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS 1.35
INCHES.

CARLSBAD HAS HAD 1.19 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS AROUND
0.96 INCHES.

MARFA HAS HAD 1.75 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS AROUND 1.08
INCHES.

FORT STOCKTON HAS HAD 2.47 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS
AROUND 1.32 INCHES.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...OR CPC...AS OF 5
MARCH...EL NINO HAS ARRIVED...AND A EL NINO ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.
THERE IS AN APPROXIMATELY 50-60 PERCENT CHANCE THAT EL NINO
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUMMER 2015.

THE CPC OUTLOOK FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY FOR WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FORECASTS ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND
NORMAL- TO BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

AS A RESULT OF THE PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK ABOVE...THE
LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK...ISSUED 19 FEBRUARY BY THE
CPC...INDICATES DROUGHT CONDITIONS LIKELY TO REMAIN UNCHANGED FROM
CURRENT CONDITIONS.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY...

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF 5 MARCH:

                  NORMAL   POOL    24-HR   MAX DEPTH  % CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR          POOL    TODAY   CHANGE    TODAY       CAPACITY
---------          ----    -----   ------    -----       --------
JB THOMAS        2258.00  2238.86   0.00     38.86         44.4
COLORADO CITY    2070.20  2047.05   0.01     32.05         21.2
CHAMPION CREEK   2083.00  2034.94   0.01     35.04          5.5
NATURAL DAM SALT 2457.00  2447.33   0.00         +         48.6
MOSS CREEK       2337.00  2326.03   0.25     34.03         56.0
BRANTLEY         3256.70  3264.46   0.01     58.46        221.0
AVALON           3177.40  3176.58   0.01      7.58         84.0
RED BLUFF        2827.40  2825.71   0.03     61.52         91.8

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/MAF/VERSION.PHP?PIL=DGTMAF&CWI=1&N=0

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:  HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:  HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/ NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

NWS AHPS:  HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

USGS:  HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:  HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:  HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARY AND WATER COMMISSION:
HTTP://WWW.IBWC.STATE.GOV

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE IBWC...THE USDA...STATE AND
REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS
AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2500 CHALLENGER DRIVE
MIDLAND TEXAS 79706
PHONE: 432.563.5006

$$

DEBERRY





























000
AXUS74 KMAF 060030
DGTMAF
NMC015-025-TXC003-033-043-103-109-115-135-165-173-227-243-301-317-
329-335-371-377-383-389-415-443-461-475-495-231315-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
600 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015 /500 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015/

...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...

SYNOPSIS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM)...ISSUED IN PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER...USDA...AND NWS ON 3 MARCH...
SHOWS DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE WORSENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST MONTH
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.  IN SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...NORTHWEST EDDY COUNTY REMAINED IN MODERATE DROUGHT.  THE
REST OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO WAS EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY OR OUT OF
DROUGHT...MOSTLY OUT OF DROUGHT.  IMPACTS OF MODERATE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS INCLUDE SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND PASTURES.  IN WEST
TEXAS...EXTREME SOUTHEAST TERRELL COUNTY HAD DEVELOPED INTO SEVERE
DROUGHT.  IMPACTS OF SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS INCLUDE LIKELY CROP
OR PASTURE LOSSES...WATER SHORTAGES...AND WATER RESTRICTIONS.
CENTRAL TERRELL...EASTERN SCURRY...MOST OF MITCHELL...AND ALL OF
GLASSCOCK COUNTIES WERE IN MODERATE DROUGHT.  THE REST OF WEST TEXAS
WAS EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY OR OUT OF DROUGHT...MOSTLY OUT OF
DROUGHT.

RAINFALL OVER THE PAST MONTH HAS GENERALLY BEEN NEAR-NORMAL TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW-NORMAL...BUT ALL LOCATIONS ARE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL
FOR ANNUAL RAINFALL.  HOWEVER...WATER SHORTAGES REMAIN...AND
MANDATORY WATER USE RESTRICTIONS REMAIN IN PLACE IN SOME LOCATIONS.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
AS OF 5 MARCH...BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT EVERYWHERE ACROSS WEST
TEXAS EXCEPT ANDREWS...BORDEN...BREWSTER...DAWSON...GAINES...
LOVING...MARTIN...PRESIDIO...REAGAN...SCURRY...AND TERRELL COUNTIES.

THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE USES THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI)
AS A SYSTEM FOR RELATING CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
POTENTIAL OR EXPECTED FIRE BEHAVIOR.  IT IS A NUMERICAL INDEX
CALCULATED DAILY.  EACH NUMBER IS AN ESTIMATE OF THE AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION...IN HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH...NEEDED TO BRING THE SOIL
BACK TO SATURATION.  THE INDEX RANGES FROM 0 TO 800...WITH 0
REPRESENTING A SATURATED SOIL AND 800 A COMPLETELY DRY SOIL.  AS OF
4 MARCH...THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX SHOWED VALUES RANGING
FROM LESS THAN 200 WEST OF THE PECOS TO NEAR 500 IN THE PERMIAN
BASIN.  THE 400 TO 600 RANGE IS TYPICAL OF LATE SUMMER AND EARLY
FALL.  IN THIS RANGE...LOWER LITTER AND DUFF LAYERS CONTRIBUTE TO
FIRE INTENSITY AND WILL BURN ACTIVELY.  NOTE THAT FIRE DANGER CAN
CHANGE QUICKLY FROM DAY TO DAY AS WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VARY.
THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE ADVISES TO WATCH OUT FOR KEY CRITICAL
WEATHER THRESHOLDS OF WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
25 PERCENT.  WHEN THESE THRESHOLDS ARE MET OR EXCEEDED...FIRE DANGER
WILL BE ELEVATED.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS CROP WEATHER REPORT ISSUED 3 MARCH BY THE
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURE PROGRAM...IN THE FAR WEST...IN THE SOUTH
PLAINS...PASTURE AND RANGELAND RATINGS VARIED WIDELY...FROM VERY
POOR TO EXCELLENT...WITH POOR BEING THE MOST COMMON RATING.  TOPSOIL
MOISTURE VARIED WIDELY TOO...FROM 90 PERCENT VERY SHORT TO 100
PERCENT FAIR...WITH ADEQUATE BEING THE MOST COMMON RATING.  SUBSOIL
MOISTURE VARIED TOO...WITH ADEQUATE BEING MOST COMMON.  PECAN
GROWERS WERE CLEANING UP ORCHARDS...AND HEDGING AND PRUNING.  COTTON
GROWERS WERE PREPARING LAND FOR PLANTING.  ALFALFA WAS COMING OUT OF
DORMANCY AND UNDER IRRIGATION.  LIMITED IRRIGATION WATER IN SOME
AREAS WAS AFFECTING PLANTING DECISIONS. WEEDS WERE ABUNDANT IN THE
PASTURES DUE TO THE FALL AND WINTER PRECIPITATION.

IN THE SOUTH PLAINS...TWO STRONG COLD FRONTS BROUGHT EXTREMELY LOW
TEMPERATURES AND SNOW THROUGHOUT THE REGION.  SNOW AMOUNTS RANGED
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGHOUT THE AREA...WITH THE MOST SNOW FALLING
IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES.  FREEZING RAIN...DRIZZLE AND FREEZING FOG
ACCOMPANIED THE SNOW.  WINTER WHEAT GENERALLY IMPROVED WITH THE
MOISTURE...BUT THERE MAY HAVE BEEN SOME FREEZE DAMAGE.
HOWEVER...PRODUCERS WERE GRATEFUL FOR THE MOISTURE BUT WERE
CONCERNED ABOUT BEING ABLE TO GET PRE-PLANT HERBICIDES APPLIED IN A
TIMELY MANNER.  EXTREMELY LOW WIND CHILLS STRESSED LIVESTOCK.
RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN MOSTLY FAIR CONDITION.  THE PREVIOUS
WEEKS MOISTURE FOLLOWED BY SOME WARM DAYS BENEFITED COOL-SEASON
GRASSES.  DURING THE COLD WEATHER...RANCHERS WERE PROVIDING EXTRA
SUPPLEMENTAL FEED TO CATTLE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

SINCE 1 JANUARY...THE FOLLOWING PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WERE REPORTED:

MIDLAND HAS RECEIVED 2.82 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS 1.35
INCHES.

CARLSBAD HAS HAD 1.19 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS AROUND
0.96 INCHES.

MARFA HAS HAD 1.75 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS AROUND 1.08
INCHES.

FORT STOCKTON HAS HAD 2.47 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS
AROUND 1.32 INCHES.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...OR CPC...AS OF 5
MARCH...EL NINO HAS ARRIVED...AND A EL NINO ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.
THERE IS AN APPROXIMATELY 50-60 PERCENT CHANCE THAT EL NINO
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUMMER 2015.

THE CPC OUTLOOK FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY FOR WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FORECASTS ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND
NORMAL- TO BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

AS A RESULT OF THE PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK ABOVE...THE
LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK...ISSUED 19 FEBRUARY BY THE
CPC...INDICATES DROUGHT CONDITIONS LIKELY TO REMAIN UNCHANGED FROM
CURRENT CONDITIONS.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY...

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF 5 MARCH:

                  NORMAL   POOL    24-HR   MAX DEPTH  % CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR          POOL    TODAY   CHANGE    TODAY       CAPACITY
---------          ----    -----   ------    -----       --------
JB THOMAS        2258.00  2238.86   0.00     38.86         44.4
COLORADO CITY    2070.20  2047.05   0.01     32.05         21.2
CHAMPION CREEK   2083.00  2034.94   0.01     35.04          5.5
NATURAL DAM SALT 2457.00  2447.33   0.00         +         48.6
MOSS CREEK       2337.00  2326.03   0.25     34.03         56.0
BRANTLEY         3256.70  3264.46   0.01     58.46        221.0
AVALON           3177.40  3176.58   0.01      7.58         84.0
RED BLUFF        2827.40  2825.71   0.03     61.52         91.8

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/MAF/VERSION.PHP?PIL=DGTMAF&CWI=1&N=0

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:  HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:  HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/ NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

NWS AHPS:  HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

USGS:  HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:  HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:  HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARY AND WATER COMMISSION:
HTTP://WWW.IBWC.STATE.GOV

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE IBWC...THE USDA...STATE AND
REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS
AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2500 CHALLENGER DRIVE
MIDLAND TEXAS 79706
PHONE: 432.563.5006

$$

DEBERRY






























000
AXUS74 KMAF 052327
DGTMAF
NMC015-025-TXC003-033-043-103-109-115-135-165-173-227-243-301-317-
329-335-371-377-383-389-415-443-461-475-495-231315-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
600 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015 /500 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015/

...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...

SYNOPSIS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM)...ISSUED IN PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER...USDA...AND NWS ON 3 MARCH...
SHOWS DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE WORSENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST MONTH
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.  IN SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...NORTHWEST EDDY COUNTY REMAINED IN MODERATE DROUGHT.  THE
REST OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO WAS EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY OR OUT OF
DROUGHT...MOSTLY OUT OF DROUGHT.  IMPACTS OF MODERATE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS INCLUDE SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND PASTURES.  IN WEST
TEXAS...EXTREME SOUTHEAST TERRELL COUNTY HAD DEVELOPED INTO SEVERE
DROUGHT.  CENTRAL TERRELL...EASTERN SCURRY...MOST OF MITCHELL...AND
ALL OF GLASSCOCK COUNTIES WERE IN MODERATE DROUGHT.  THE REST OF
WEST TEXAS WAS EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY OR OUT OF DROUGHT...MOSTLY OUT
OF DROUGHT.

RAINFALL OVER THE PAST MONTH HAS GENERALLY BEEN NEAR-NORMAL TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW-NORMAL...BUT ALL LOCATIONS ARE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL
FOR ANNUAL RAINFALL.  HOWEVER...WATER SHORTAGES REMAIN...AND
MANDATORY WATER USE RESTRICTIONS REMAIN IN PLACE IN SOME LOCATIONS.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
AS OF 5 MARCH...BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT EVERYWHERE ACROSS WEST
TEXAS EXCEPT ANDREWS...BORDEN...BREWSTER...DAWSON...GAINES...
LOVING...MARTIN...PRESIDIO...REAGAN...SCURRY...AND TERRELL COUNTIES.

THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE USES THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI)
AS A SYSTEM FOR RELATING CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
POTENTIAL OR EXPECTED FIRE BEHAVIOR.  IT IS A NUMERICAL INDEX
CALCULATED DAILY.  EACH NUMBER IS AN ESTIMATE OF THE AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION...IN HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH...NEEDED TO BRING THE SOIL
BACK TO SATURATION.  THE INDEX RANGES FROM 0 TO 800...WITH 0
REPRESENTING A SATURATED SOIL AND 800 A COMPLETELY DRY SOIL.  AS OF
4 MARCH...THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX SHOWED VALUES RANGING
FROM LESS THAN 200 WEST OF THE PECOS TO NEAR 500 IN THE PERMIAN
BASIN.  THE 400 TO 600 RANGE IS TYPICAL OF LATE SUMMER AND EARLY
FALL.  IN THIS RANGE...LOWER LITTER AND DUFF LAYERS CONTRIBUTE TO
FIRE INTENSITY AND WILL BURN ACTIVELY.  NOTE THAT FIRE DANGER CAN
CHANGE QUICKLY FROM DAY TO DAY AS WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VARY.
THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE ADVISES TO WATCH OUT FOR KEY CRITICAL
WEATHER THRESHOLDS OF WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
25 PERCENT.  WHEN THESE THRESHOLDS ARE MET OR EXCEEDED...FIRE DANGER
WILL BE ELEVATED.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS CROP WEATHER REPORT ISSUED 3 MARCH BY THE
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURE PROGRAM...IN THE FAR WEST...IN THE SOUTH
PLAINS...PASTURE AND RANGELAND RATINGS VARIED WIDELY...FROM VERY
POOR TO EXCELLENT...WITH POOR BEING THE MOST COMMON RATING.  TOPSOIL
MOISTURE VARIED WIDELY TOO...FROM 90 PERCENT VERY SHORT TO 100
PERCENT FAIR...WITH ADEQUATE BEING THE MOST COMMON RATING.  SUBSOIL
MOISTURE VARIED TOO...WITH ADEQUATE BEING MOST COMMON.  PECAN
GROWERS WERE CLEANING UP ORCHARDS...AND HEDGING AND PRUNING.  COTTON
GROWERS WERE PREPARING LAND FOR PLANTING.  ALFALFA WAS COMING OUT OF
DORMANCY AND UNDER IRRIGATION.  LIMITED IRRIGATION WATER IN SOME
AREAS WAS AFFECTING PLANTING DECISIONS. WEEDS WERE ABUNDANT IN THE
PASTURES DUE TO THE FALL AND WINTER PRECIPITATION.

IN THE SOUTH PLAINS...TWO STRONG COLD FRONTS BROUGHT EXTREMELY LOW
TEMPERATURES AND SNOW THROUGHOUT THE REGION.  SNOW AMOUNTS RANGED
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGHOUT THE AREA...WITH THE MOST SNOW FALLING
IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES.  FREEZING RAIN...DRIZZLE AND FREEZING FOG
ACCOMPANIED THE SNOW.  WINTER WHEAT GENERALLY IMPROVED WITH THE
MOISTURE...BUT THERE MAY HAVE BEEN SOME FREEZE DAMAGE.
HOWEVER...PRODUCERS WERE GRATEFUL FOR THE MOISTURE BUT WERE
CONCERNED ABOUT BEING ABLE TO GET PRE-PLANT HERBICIDES APPLIED IN A
TIMELY MANNER.  EXTREMELY LOW WIND CHILLS STRESSED LIVESTOCK.
RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN MOSTLY FAIR CONDITION.  THE PREVIOUS
WEEKS MOISTURE FOLLOWED BY SOME WARM DAYS BENEFITED COOL-SEASON
GRASSES.  DURING THE COLD WEATHER...RANCHERS WERE PROVIDING EXTRA
SUPPLEMENTAL FEED TO CATTLE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

SINCE 1 JANUARY...THE FOLLOWING PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WERE REPORTED:

MIDLAND HAS RECEIVED 2.82 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS 1.35
INCHES.

CARLSBAD HAS HAD 1.19 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS AROUND
0.96 INCHES.

MARFA HAS HAD 1.75 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS AROUND 1.08
INCHES.

FORT STOCKTON HAS HAD 2.47 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS
AROUND 1.32 INCHES.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...OR CPC...AS OF 5
MARCH...EL NINO HAS ARRIVED...AND A EL NINO ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.
THERE IS AN APPROXIMATELY 50-60 PERCENT CHANCE THAT EL NINO
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUMMER 2015.

THE CPC OUTLOOK FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY FOR WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FORECASTS ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND
NORMAL- TO BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

AS A RESULT OF THE PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK ABOVE...THE
LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK...ISSUED 19 FEBRUARY BY THE
CPC...INDICATES DROUGHT CONDITIONS LIKELY TO REMAIN UNCHANGED FROM
CURRENT CONDITIONS.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY...

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF 5 MARCH:

                  NORMAL   POOL    24-HR   MAX DEPTH  % CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR          POOL    TODAY   CHANGE    TODAY       CAPACITY
---------          ----    -----   ------    -----       --------
JB THOMAS        2258.00  2238.86   0.00     38.86         44.4
COLORADO CITY    2070.20  2047.05   0.01     32.05         21.2
CHAMPION CREEK   2083.00  2034.94   0.01     35.04          5.5
NATURAL DAM SALT 2457.00  2447.33   0.00         +         48.6
MOSS CREEK       2337.00  2326.03   0.25     34.03         56.0
BRANTLEY         3256.70  3264.46   0.01     58.46        221.0
AVALON           3177.40  3176.58   0.01      7.58         84.0
RED BLUFF        2827.40  2825.71   0.03     61.52         91.8

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/MAF/VERSION.PHP?PIL=DGTMAF&CWI=1&N=0

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:  HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:  HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/ NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

NWS AHPS:  HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

USGS:  HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:  HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:  HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARY AND WATER COMMISSION:
HTTP://WWW.IBWC.STATE.GOV

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE IBWC...THE USDA...STATE AND
REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS
AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2500 CHALLENGER DRIVE
MIDLAND TEXAS 79706
PHONE: 432.563.5006

$$

DEBERRY


























000
AXUS74 KMAF 052327
DGTMAF
NMC015-025-TXC003-033-043-103-109-115-135-165-173-227-243-301-317-
329-335-371-377-383-389-415-443-461-475-495-231315-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
600 PM CST THU MAR 5 2015 /500 PM MST THU MAR 5 2015/

...DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...

SYNOPSIS...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR (USDM)...ISSUED IN PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN THE
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER...USDA...AND NWS ON 3 MARCH...
SHOWS DROUGHT CONDITIONS HAVE WORSENED SLIGHTLY OVER THE PAST MONTH
ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.  IN SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...NORTHWEST EDDY COUNTY REMAINED IN MODERATE DROUGHT.  THE
REST OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO WAS EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY OR OUT OF
DROUGHT...MOSTLY OUT OF DROUGHT.  IMPACTS OF MODERATE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS INCLUDE SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND PASTURES.  IN WEST
TEXAS...EXTREME SOUTHEAST TERRELL COUNTY HAD DEVELOPED INTO SEVERE
DROUGHT.  CENTRAL TERRELL...EASTERN SCURRY...MOST OF MITCHELL...AND
ALL OF GLASSCOCK COUNTIES WERE IN MODERATE DROUGHT.  THE REST OF
WEST TEXAS WAS EITHER ABNORMALLY DRY OR OUT OF DROUGHT...MOSTLY OUT
OF DROUGHT.

RAINFALL OVER THE PAST MONTH HAS GENERALLY BEEN NEAR-NORMAL TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW-NORMAL...BUT ALL LOCATIONS ARE AT OR ABOVE NORMAL
FOR ANNUAL RAINFALL.  HOWEVER...WATER SHORTAGES REMAIN...AND
MANDATORY WATER USE RESTRICTIONS REMAIN IN PLACE IN SOME LOCATIONS.

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS.
AS OF 5 MARCH...BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT EVERYWHERE ACROSS WEST
TEXAS EXCEPT ANDREWS...BORDEN...BREWSTER...DAWSON...GAINES...
LOVING...MARTIN...PRESIDIO...REAGAN...SCURRY...AND TERRELL COUNTIES.

THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE USES THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX (KBDI)
AS A SYSTEM FOR RELATING CURRENT AND RECENT WEATHER CONDITIONS TO
POTENTIAL OR EXPECTED FIRE BEHAVIOR.  IT IS A NUMERICAL INDEX
CALCULATED DAILY.  EACH NUMBER IS AN ESTIMATE OF THE AMOUNT OF
PRECIPITATION...IN HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH...NEEDED TO BRING THE SOIL
BACK TO SATURATION.  THE INDEX RANGES FROM 0 TO 800...WITH 0
REPRESENTING A SATURATED SOIL AND 800 A COMPLETELY DRY SOIL.  AS OF
4 MARCH...THE KEETCH-BYRAM DROUGHT INDEX SHOWED VALUES RANGING
FROM LESS THAN 200 WEST OF THE PECOS TO NEAR 500 IN THE PERMIAN
BASIN.  THE 400 TO 600 RANGE IS TYPICAL OF LATE SUMMER AND EARLY
FALL.  IN THIS RANGE...LOWER LITTER AND DUFF LAYERS CONTRIBUTE TO
FIRE INTENSITY AND WILL BURN ACTIVELY.  NOTE THAT FIRE DANGER CAN
CHANGE QUICKLY FROM DAY TO DAY AS WINDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY VARY.
THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE ADVISES TO WATCH OUT FOR KEY CRITICAL
WEATHER THRESHOLDS OF WINDS ABOVE 15 MPH AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY BELOW
25 PERCENT.  WHEN THESE THRESHOLDS ARE MET OR EXCEEDED...FIRE DANGER
WILL BE ELEVATED.

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

ACCORDING TO THE TEXAS CROP WEATHER REPORT ISSUED 3 MARCH BY THE
TEXAS A&M AGRICULTURE PROGRAM...IN THE FAR WEST...IN THE SOUTH
PLAINS...PASTURE AND RANGELAND RATINGS VARIED WIDELY...FROM VERY
POOR TO EXCELLENT...WITH POOR BEING THE MOST COMMON RATING.  TOPSOIL
MOISTURE VARIED WIDELY TOO...FROM 90 PERCENT VERY SHORT TO 100
PERCENT FAIR...WITH ADEQUATE BEING THE MOST COMMON RATING.  SUBSOIL
MOISTURE VARIED TOO...WITH ADEQUATE BEING MOST COMMON.  PECAN
GROWERS WERE CLEANING UP ORCHARDS...AND HEDGING AND PRUNING.  COTTON
GROWERS WERE PREPARING LAND FOR PLANTING.  ALFALFA WAS COMING OUT OF
DORMANCY AND UNDER IRRIGATION.  LIMITED IRRIGATION WATER IN SOME
AREAS WAS AFFECTING PLANTING DECISIONS. WEEDS WERE ABUNDANT IN THE
PASTURES DUE TO THE FALL AND WINTER PRECIPITATION.

IN THE SOUTH PLAINS...TWO STRONG COLD FRONTS BROUGHT EXTREMELY LOW
TEMPERATURES AND SNOW THROUGHOUT THE REGION.  SNOW AMOUNTS RANGED
FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES THROUGHOUT THE AREA...WITH THE MOST SNOW FALLING
IN THE EASTERN COUNTIES.  FREEZING RAIN...DRIZZLE AND FREEZING FOG
ACCOMPANIED THE SNOW.  WINTER WHEAT GENERALLY IMPROVED WITH THE
MOISTURE...BUT THERE MAY HAVE BEEN SOME FREEZE DAMAGE.
HOWEVER...PRODUCERS WERE GRATEFUL FOR THE MOISTURE BUT WERE
CONCERNED ABOUT BEING ABLE TO GET PRE-PLANT HERBICIDES APPLIED IN A
TIMELY MANNER.  EXTREMELY LOW WIND CHILLS STRESSED LIVESTOCK.
RANGELAND AND PASTURES WERE IN MOSTLY FAIR CONDITION.  THE PREVIOUS
WEEKS MOISTURE FOLLOWED BY SOME WARM DAYS BENEFITED COOL-SEASON
GRASSES.  DURING THE COLD WEATHER...RANCHERS WERE PROVIDING EXTRA
SUPPLEMENTAL FEED TO CATTLE.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

SINCE 1 JANUARY...THE FOLLOWING PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WERE REPORTED:

MIDLAND HAS RECEIVED 2.82 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS 1.35
INCHES.

CARLSBAD HAS HAD 1.19 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS AROUND
0.96 INCHES.

MARFA HAS HAD 1.75 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS AROUND 1.08
INCHES.

FORT STOCKTON HAS HAD 2.47 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION.  NORMAL IS
AROUND 1.32 INCHES.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

ACCORDING TO THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER...OR CPC...AS OF 5
MARCH...EL NINO HAS ARRIVED...AND A EL NINO ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.
THERE IS AN APPROXIMATELY 50-60 PERCENT CHANCE THAT EL NINO
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUMMER 2015.

THE CPC OUTLOOK FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY FOR WEST TEXAS AND
SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FORECASTS ABOVE-NORMAL PRECIPITATION AND
NORMAL- TO BELOW-NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

AS A RESULT OF THE PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK ABOVE...THE
LATEST U.S. SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK...ISSUED 19 FEBRUARY BY THE
CPC...INDICATES DROUGHT CONDITIONS LIKELY TO REMAIN UNCHANGED FROM
CURRENT CONDITIONS.

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY...

RESERVOIR CONDITIONS AS OF 5 MARCH:

                  NORMAL   POOL    24-HR   MAX DEPTH  % CONSERVATION
RESERVOIR          POOL    TODAY   CHANGE    TODAY       CAPACITY
---------          ----    -----   ------    -----       --------
JB THOMAS        2258.00  2238.86   0.00     38.86         44.4
COLORADO CITY    2070.20  2047.05   0.01     32.05         21.2
CHAMPION CREEK   2083.00  2034.94   0.01     35.04          5.5
NATURAL DAM SALT 2457.00  2447.33   0.00         +         48.6
MOSS CREEK       2337.00  2326.03   0.25     34.03         56.0
BRANTLEY         3256.70  3264.46   0.01     58.46        221.0
AVALON           3177.40  3176.58   0.01      7.58         84.0
RED BLUFF        2827.40  2825.71   0.03     61.52         91.8

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED AS NECESSARY IN RESPONSE TO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND
AT THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

OUR LOCAL DROUGHT WEB PAGE:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/MAF/VERSION.PHP?PIL=DGTMAF&CWI=1&N=0

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:  HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.UNL.EDU/DM/MONITOR.HTML

NOAA DROUGHT PAGE:  HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.NOAA.GOV/

OFFICE OF THE TEXAS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:
HTTP://WWW.MET.TAMU.EDU/OSC/ NWS...HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

NWS AHPS:  HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/

USGS:  HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV/

USACE:  HTTP://WWW.MVR.USACE.ARMY.MIL/

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER /CPC/:  HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/

INTERNATIONAL BOUNDARY AND WATER COMMISSION:
HTTP://WWW.IBWC.STATE.GOV

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE IBWC...THE USDA...STATE AND
REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED FROM NWS
AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE EXTENSION
SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2500 CHALLENGER DRIVE
MIDLAND TEXAS 79706
PHONE: 432.563.5006

$$

DEBERRY



























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