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000
WGUS81 KBUF 232213
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
513 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
YORK...


  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
YORK...

  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-240413-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.141123T2212Z-141125T0800Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.141123T1910Z.141123T2200Z.141125T0200Z.UU/
513 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE
  IN VICINITY OF SOUTHGATE PLAZA IN WEST SENECA; CONSIDERABLE
  FLOODING IN THE CAZENOVIA PARK AREA OF SOUTH BUFFALO AND WEST
  SENECA.

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870

$$

NYC029-121-240413-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.141123T2212Z-141125T0622Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.141123T2043Z.141124T1200Z.141125T0022Z.NO/
513 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 7.7 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK, ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS AVENUE,
  ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH OF THE
  BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
      4282 7867 4282 7887

$$

NYC029-121-240413-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0003.141124T0951Z-141125T0932Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.141124T0951Z.141125T0000Z.141125T0332Z.UU/
513 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 9.3 FEET MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING OF BACKYARDS,
  BASEMENTS AND STREETS IN VILLAGE OF LANCASTER. SOME FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS IN ALDEN, MARILLA, AND CHEEKTOWAGA, ESPECIALLY NEAR
  BOWEN ROAD AND TRANSIT ROAD. SOME FLOODING POSSIBLE NEAR UNION ROAD
  TOO.

&&

LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
      4292 7848 4281 7846

$$

NYC029-037-240413-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0004.141124T0742Z-141126T0600Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.141124T0742Z.141124T1200Z.141126T0000Z.NO/
513 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE, HOLTZ TO
  TRANSIT ROADS IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE
  FIRE HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH ROADS
  SUBJECT TO SEWER BACKUPS.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875
      4295 7865 4293 7865

$$





000
WGUS81 KBUF 232213
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
513 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
YORK...


  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
YORK...

  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-240413-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.141123T2212Z-141125T0800Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.141123T1910Z.141123T2200Z.141125T0200Z.UU/
513 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, LOCALIZED FLOODING POSSIBLE
  IN VICINITY OF SOUTHGATE PLAZA IN WEST SENECA; CONSIDERABLE
  FLOODING IN THE CAZENOVIA PARK AREA OF SOUTH BUFFALO AND WEST
  SENECA.

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870

$$

NYC029-121-240413-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.141123T2212Z-141125T0622Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.141123T2043Z.141124T1200Z.141125T0022Z.NO/
513 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 3.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 7.7 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK, ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS AVENUE,
  ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH OF THE
  BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
      4282 7867 4282 7887

$$

NYC029-121-240413-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0003.141124T0951Z-141125T0932Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.141124T0951Z.141125T0000Z.141125T0332Z.UU/
513 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 9.3 FEET MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING OF BACKYARDS,
  BASEMENTS AND STREETS IN VILLAGE OF LANCASTER. SOME FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS IN ALDEN, MARILLA, AND CHEEKTOWAGA, ESPECIALLY NEAR
  BOWEN ROAD AND TRANSIT ROAD. SOME FLOODING POSSIBLE NEAR UNION ROAD
  TOO.

&&

LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
      4292 7848 4281 7846

$$

NYC029-037-240413-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0004.141124T0742Z-141126T0600Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.141124T0742Z.141124T1200Z.141126T0000Z.NO/
513 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 4 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE, HOLTZ TO
  TRANSIT ROADS IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE
  FIRE HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH ROADS
  SUBJECT TO SEWER BACKUPS.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875
      4295 7865 4293 7865

$$






000
WGUS81 KBUF 231948
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
248 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
248 PM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

TEMPERATURES...NOW IN THE UPPER 40S...WILL CHANGE LITTLE OR SLOWLY
RISE INTO THE LOWER 50S OVERNIGHT...AND SOAR TO NEAR 60 DEGREES ON
MONDAY.

WHILE RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A THIRD INCH OR LESS THROUGH
TONIGHT...SNOWMELT IS WELL UNDERWAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY.  THERE WILL ALSO BE A POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING.  AN
ICE JAM AS FORMED ON THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR THE SOUTHGATE
PLAZA...WHILE ANOTHER HAS FORMED IN BUFFALO CREEK UPSTREAM OF THE
BUFFALO RIVER.  THESE JAMS WILL EXACERBATE THE FLOOD THREAT.

RESIDENTS NEAR CREEKS ARE URGED TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PREPARE FOR
POSSIBLE FLOODING NOW...INCLUDING MOVING ITEMS FROM BASEMENTS.
RESIDENTS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF ICE JAMS FORCE WATER
OVER RIVER BANKS AS MOVING WATER IS A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION.

SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL
LIKELY EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY
ACCUMULATING ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL
BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD DURING THIS TIME AS WELL.

IN ADDITION...VERY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS COULD BRING DOWN SOME TREES AND POWER
LINES RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. THIS WILL CAUSE SUMP
PUMPS TO FAIL.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

TMA/ZAFF








000
WGUS81 KBUF 231638
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1138 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
YORK...

  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-232238-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.141124T1048Z-141125T0800Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.141124T1048Z.141125T0000Z.141125T0200Z.UU/
1138 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 10.8 FEET MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED
  IN LOW LYING AREAS EAST OF ORCHARD PARK ROAD AND SOUTH OF RIDGE
  ROAD IN WEST SENECA. SOME INUNDATION OF CAZENOVIA PARK IN SOUTH
  BUFFALO.

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870

$$

NYC029-121-232238-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.141124T1023Z-141125T0622Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.141124T1023Z.141124T1200Z.141125T0022Z.NO/
1138 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 7.7 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK, ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS AVENUE,
  ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH OF THE
  BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
      4282 7867 4282 7887

$$

NYC029-121-232238-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0003.141124T0951Z-141125T0932Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.141124T0951Z.141125T0000Z.141125T0332Z.UU/
1138 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 9.3 FEET MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING OF BACKYARDS,
  BASEMENTS AND STREETS IN VILLAGE OF LANCASTER. SOME FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS IN ALDEN, MARILLA, AND CHEEKTOWAGA, ESPECIALLY NEAR
  BOWEN ROAD AND TRANSIT ROAD. SOME FLOODING POSSIBLE NEAR UNION ROAD
  TOO.

&&

LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
      4292 7848 4281 7846

$$

NYC029-037-232238-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0004.141124T0742Z-141126T0600Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.141124T0742Z.141124T1200Z.141126T0000Z.NO/
1138 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.7 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE, HOLTZ TO
  TRANSIT ROADS IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE
  FIRE HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH ROADS
  SUBJECT TO SEWER BACKUPS.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875
      4295 7865 4293 7865

$$






000
WGUS81 KBUF 231638
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1138 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
YORK...

  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-232238-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0001.141124T1048Z-141125T0800Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.141124T1048Z.141125T0000Z.141125T0200Z.UU/
1138 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.3 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 10.8 FEET MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED
  IN LOW LYING AREAS EAST OF ORCHARD PARK ROAD AND SOUTH OF RIDGE
  ROAD IN WEST SENECA. SOME INUNDATION OF CAZENOVIA PARK IN SOUTH
  BUFFALO.

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870

$$

NYC029-121-232238-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.141124T1023Z-141125T0622Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.141124T1023Z.141124T1200Z.141125T0022Z.NO/
1138 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.9 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 7.7 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK, ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS AVENUE,
  ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH OF THE
  BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
      4282 7867 4282 7887

$$

NYC029-121-232238-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0003.141124T0951Z-141125T0932Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.141124T0951Z.141125T0000Z.141125T0332Z.UU/
1138 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.7 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 9.3 FEET MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING OF BACKYARDS,
  BASEMENTS AND STREETS IN VILLAGE OF LANCASTER. SOME FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS IN ALDEN, MARILLA, AND CHEEKTOWAGA, ESPECIALLY NEAR
  BOWEN ROAD AND TRANSIT ROAD. SOME FLOODING POSSIBLE NEAR UNION ROAD
  TOO.

&&

LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
      4292 7848 4281 7846

$$

NYC029-037-232238-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0004.141124T0742Z-141126T0600Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.141124T0742Z.141124T1200Z.141126T0000Z.NO/
1138 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.7 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE, HOLTZ TO
  TRANSIT ROADS IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE
  FIRE HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH ROADS
  SUBJECT TO SEWER BACKUPS.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875
      4295 7865 4293 7865

$$





000
WGUS81 KBUF 231407
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
907 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
907 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

TEMPERATURES HAVE STEADILY RISEN OVERNIGHT WITH MOST READINGS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB
TODAY REACHING AROUND 50 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE REACHING
NEAR 60 DEGREES ON MONDAY.

WHILE RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A THIRD INCH OR LESS THROUGH
TONIGHT...SNOWMELT IS WELL UNDERWAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY. IT IS THIS SNOWMELT THAT WILL ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE FLOODING
CONCERNS...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF SNOWMELT OCCURRING TONIGHT
AND MONDAY.

CORE SAMPLES OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND
INDICATED THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER WAS LOCKED IN
PLACE...BUT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB...THIS WATER WILL BE
RELEASED...AND IN SOME CASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY.

SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL
LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF
WATER POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL
BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD DURING THIS TIME AS WELL.

THE THREAT FOR STRUCTURAL FAILURE WILL INCREASE THROUGH MONDAY.

AREA TRIBUTARIES...PARTICULARLY BUFFALO CREEK...CAZENOVIA CREEK...
CAYUGA CREEK AND ELLICOTT CREEK...WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER TO
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST
MINOR FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

IN ADDITION...VERY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS COULD BRING DOWN SOME TREES AND POWER
LINES RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. THIS WILL CAUSE SUMP
PUMPS TO FAIL.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

TMA







000
WGUS81 KBUF 231407
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
907 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
907 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

TEMPERATURES HAVE STEADILY RISEN OVERNIGHT WITH MOST READINGS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB
TODAY REACHING AROUND 50 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON...BEFORE REACHING
NEAR 60 DEGREES ON MONDAY.

WHILE RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A THIRD INCH OR LESS THROUGH
TONIGHT...SNOWMELT IS WELL UNDERWAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY. IT IS THIS SNOWMELT THAT WILL ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE FLOODING
CONCERNS...WITH THE GREATEST AMOUNT OF SNOWMELT OCCURRING TONIGHT
AND MONDAY.

CORE SAMPLES OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND
INDICATED THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER WAS LOCKED IN
PLACE...BUT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB...THIS WATER WILL BE
RELEASED...AND IN SOME CASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY.

SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL
LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF
WATER POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL
BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD DURING THIS TIME AS WELL.

THE THREAT FOR STRUCTURAL FAILURE WILL INCREASE THROUGH MONDAY.

AREA TRIBUTARIES...PARTICULARLY BUFFALO CREEK...CAZENOVIA CREEK...
CAYUGA CREEK AND ELLICOTT CREEK...WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER TO
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST
MINOR FLOOD STAGE LATER TONIGHT AND MONDAY.

IN ADDITION...VERY STRONG WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT. THESE WINDS COULD BRING DOWN SOME TREES AND POWER
LINES RESULTING IN SCATTERED POWER OUTAGES. THIS WILL CAUSE SUMP
PUMPS TO FAIL.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE ELEVATED LEVELS ON
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND PONDING OF WATER IN URBAN AREAS...
HIGHWAYS...STREETS AND UNDERPASSES AS WELL AS OTHER POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS AND LOW LYING SPOTS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

TMA






000
WGUS81 KBUF 231139
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
639 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
YORK...

  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-231739-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0001.141124T0818Z-141125T0749Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.141124T0818Z.141124T1200Z.141125T0149Z.UU/
639 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 10.8 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED
  IN LOW LYING AREAS EAST OF ORCHARD PARK ROAD AND SOUTH OF RIDGE
  ROAD IN WEST SENECA. SOME INUNDATION OF CAZENOVIA PARK IN SOUTH
  BUFFALO.

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870

$$

NYC029-121-231739-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.141124T0928Z-141125T0712Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.141124T0928Z.141124T1200Z.141125T0112Z.NO/
639 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.8 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 7.8 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK, ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS AVENUE,
  ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH OF THE
  BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
      4282 7867 4282 7887

$$

NYC029-121-231739-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0003.141124T0705Z-141125T0736Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.141124T0705Z.141124T1800Z.141125T0136Z.UU/
639 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.4 FEET EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING OF BACKYARDS,
  BASEMENTS AND STREETS IN VILLAGE OF LANCASTER. SOME FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS IN ALDEN, MARILLA, AND CHEEKTOWAGA, ESPECIALLY NEAR
  BOWEN ROAD AND TRANSIT ROAD. SOME FLOODING POSSIBLE NEAR UNION ROAD
  TOO.

&&

LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
      4292 7848 4281 7846

$$

NYC029-037-231739-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0004.141124T0531Z-000000T0000Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.141124T0531Z.141124T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
639 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.7 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT AND
  CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE, HOLTZ TO
  TRANSIT ROADS IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE
  FIRE HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH ROADS
  SUBJECT TO SEWER BACKUPS.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875
      4295 7865 4293 7865

$$





000
WGUS81 KBUF 231139
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
639 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
YORK...

  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-231739-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0001.141124T0818Z-141125T0749Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.141124T0818Z.141124T1200Z.141125T0149Z.UU/
639 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.1 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 10.8 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED
  IN LOW LYING AREAS EAST OF ORCHARD PARK ROAD AND SOUTH OF RIDGE
  ROAD IN WEST SENECA. SOME INUNDATION OF CAZENOVIA PARK IN SOUTH
  BUFFALO.

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870

$$

NYC029-121-231739-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.141124T0928Z-141125T0712Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.141124T0928Z.141124T1200Z.141125T0112Z.NO/
639 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.8 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 7.8 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK, ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS AVENUE,
  ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH OF THE
  BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
      4282 7867 4282 7887

$$

NYC029-121-231739-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0003.141124T0705Z-141125T0736Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.141124T0705Z.141124T1800Z.141125T0136Z.UU/
639 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.5 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.4 FEET EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING OF BACKYARDS,
  BASEMENTS AND STREETS IN VILLAGE OF LANCASTER. SOME FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS IN ALDEN, MARILLA, AND CHEEKTOWAGA, ESPECIALLY NEAR
  BOWEN ROAD AND TRANSIT ROAD. SOME FLOODING POSSIBLE NEAR UNION ROAD
  TOO.

&&

LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
      4292 7848 4281 7846

$$

NYC029-037-231739-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0004.141124T0531Z-000000T0000Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.141124T0531Z.141124T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
639 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.7 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT AND
  CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE, HOLTZ TO
  TRANSIT ROADS IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE
  FIRE HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH ROADS
  SUBJECT TO SEWER BACKUPS.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875
      4295 7865 4293 7865

$$






000
WGUS81 KBUF 230634
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
134 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW
YORK...

  CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
  BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
  CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
  ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON`T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


&&

NYC029-231234-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0001.141124T0818Z-141125T0749Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.141124T0818Z.141124T1200Z.141125T0149Z.UU/
134 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAZENOVIA CREEK NEAR EBENEZER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 1 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.0 FEET AND RISING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 10.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 10.8 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED
  IN LOW LYING AREAS EAST OF ORCHARD PARK ROAD AND SOUTH OF RIDGE
  ROAD IN WEST SENECA. SOME INUNDATION OF CAZENOVIA PARK IN SOUTH
  BUFFALO.

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870

$$

NYC029-121-231234-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0002.141124T0928Z-141125T0712Z/
/GDVN6.1.ER.141124T0928Z.141124T1200Z.141125T0112Z.NO/
134 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BUFFALO CREEK NEAR GARDENVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 1 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.7 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 7.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  MONDAY MORNING AND CREST NEAR 7.8 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING IS LIKELY ALONG LOW
  LYING AREAS NEAR THE BUFFALO CREEK, ESPECIALLY NEAR COLLINS AVENUE,
  ELMA TOWN PARK, AND IN SOME SECTIONS OF ELMA VILLAGE NORTH OF THE
  BOWEN ROAD BRIDGE.

&&

LAT...LON 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
      4282 7867 4282 7887

$$

NYC029-121-231234-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0003.141124T0705Z-141125T0736Z/
/LCSN6.1.ER.141124T0705Z.141124T1800Z.141125T0136Z.UU/
134 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE CAYUGA CREEK NEAR LANCASTER
* FROM LATE TONIGHT TO LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 12 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 4.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE
  TONIGHT AND CREST NEAR 9.4 FEET EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, FLOODING OF BACKYARDS,
  BASEMENTS AND STREETS IN VILLAGE OF LANCASTER. SOME FLOODING OF LOW
  LYING AREAS IN ALDEN, MARILLA, AND CHEEKTOWAGA, ESPECIALLY NEAR
  BOWEN ROAD AND TRANSIT ROAD. SOME FLOODING POSSIBLE NEAR UNION ROAD
  TOO.

&&

LAT...LON 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
      4292 7848 4281 7846

$$

NYC029-037-231234-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0004.141124T0531Z-000000T0000Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.141124T0531Z.141124T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
134 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 1 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 2.5 FEET AND STEADY.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT AND
  CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD, EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE, HOLTZ TO
  TRANSIT ROADS IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE
  FIRE HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH ROADS
  SUBJECT TO SEWER BACKUPS.

&&

LAT...LON 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875
      4295 7865 4293 7865

$$





000
WGUS81 KBUF 230624
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
124 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
124 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

AT 120 AM EST TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING
WITH READINGS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MID 40S THROUGH THE
REST OF TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL STEADILY CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 50S ON SUNDAY...
BEFORE REACHING 60 ON MONDAY. WHILE RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A
QUARTER INCH OR LESS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT HAS
BEGUN AND WILL NOW CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. IT
IS THIS SNOWMELT THAT WILL ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE FLOODING CONCERNS.

CORE SAMPLES OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND
INDICATED THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER WAS LOCKED IN
PLACE...BUT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB...THIS WATER WILL BE
RELEASED...AND IN SOME CASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY. SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS
ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO
EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING
ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD
DURING THIS TIME AS WELL.

AREA TRIBUTARIES...PARTICULARLY BUFFALO CREEK...CAZENOVIA CREEK...
CAYUGA CREEK AND ELLICOTT CREEK...WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER TO
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST
MINOR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

WOOD








000
WGUS81 KBUF 230624
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
124 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
124 AM EST SUN NOV 23 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

AT 120 AM EST TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO REMAIN WELL ABOVE FREEZING
WITH READINGS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE LOW TO MID 40S THROUGH THE
REST OF TONIGHT.

TEMPERATURES WILL STEADILY CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 50S ON SUNDAY...
BEFORE REACHING 60 ON MONDAY. WHILE RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A
QUARTER INCH OR LESS THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT HAS
BEGUN AND WILL NOW CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. IT
IS THIS SNOWMELT THAT WILL ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE FLOODING CONCERNS.

CORE SAMPLES OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND
INDICATED THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER WAS LOCKED IN
PLACE...BUT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB...THIS WATER WILL BE
RELEASED...AND IN SOME CASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY. SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS
ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO
EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING
ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD
DURING THIS TIME AS WELL.

AREA TRIBUTARIES...PARTICULARLY BUFFALO CREEK...CAZENOVIA CREEK...
CAYUGA CREEK AND ELLICOTT CREEK...WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER TO
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST
MINOR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

WOOD







000
WGUS81 KBUF 230321
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1021 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
1021 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

AT 1020 PM EST...TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WERE WELL ABOVE
FREEZING AND WILL REMAIN THERE THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
STEADILY CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 50S ON SUNDAY...BEFORE REACHING 60 ON
MONDAY. WHILE RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A QUARTER INCH OR LESS
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT HAS BEGUN AND WILL NOW
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. IT IS THIS SNOWMELT
THAT WILL ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE FLOODING CONCERNS.

CORE SAMPLES OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND
INDICATED THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER WAS LOCKED IN
PLACE...BUT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB...THIS WATER WILL BE
RELEASED...AND IN SOME CASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY. SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS
ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO
EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING
ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD
DURING THIS TIME AS WELL.

AREA TRIBUTARIES...PARTICULARLY BUFFALO CREEK...CAZENOVIA CREEK...
CAYUGA CREEK AND ELLICOTT CREEK...WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER TO
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST
MINOR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

RSH








000
WGUS81 KBUF 230321
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1021 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
1021 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

AT 1020 PM EST...TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WERE WELL ABOVE
FREEZING AND WILL REMAIN THERE THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL
STEADILY CLIMB INTO THE LOWER 50S ON SUNDAY...BEFORE REACHING 60 ON
MONDAY. WHILE RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A QUARTER INCH OR LESS
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT HAS BEGUN AND WILL NOW
CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. IT IS THIS SNOWMELT
THAT WILL ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE FLOODING CONCERNS.

CORE SAMPLES OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND
INDICATED THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER WAS LOCKED IN
PLACE...BUT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB...THIS WATER WILL BE
RELEASED...AND IN SOME CASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY. SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS
ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO
EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING
ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD
DURING THIS TIME AS WELL.

AREA TRIBUTARIES...PARTICULARLY BUFFALO CREEK...CAZENOVIA CREEK...
CAYUGA CREEK AND ELLICOTT CREEK...WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER TO
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST
MINOR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

RSH







000
WGUS81 KBUF 230305
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1005 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
1005 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

AT 1001 PM EST...TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WERE WELL ABOVE
WILL REMAIN THERE THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL STEADILY CLIMB
INTO THE LOWER 50S ON SUNDAY...BEFORE REACHING 60 ON MONDAY. WHILE
RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A QUARTER INCH OR LESS THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT...SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT HAS BEGUN AND WILL NOW CONTINUE THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. IT IS THIS SNOWMELT THAT WILL
ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE FLOODING CONCERNS.

CORE SAMPLES OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND
INDICATED THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER WAS LOCKED IN
PLACE...BUT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB...THIS WATER WILL BE
RELEASED...AND IN SOME CASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY. SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS
ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO
EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING
ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD
DURING THIS TIME AS WELL.

AREA TRIBUTARIES...PARTICULARLY BUFFALO CREEK...CAZENOVIA CREEK...
CAYUGA CREEK AND ELLICOTT CREEK...WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER TO
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST
MINOR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

RSH







000
WGUS81 KBUF 230305
FLSBUF

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1005 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

NYC009-013-029-037-121-242115-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-141124T2115Z/
/00000.0.RS.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CATTARAUGUS NY-GENESEE NY-WYOMING NY-CHAUTAUQUA NY-ERIE NY-
1005 PM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EST MONDAY FOR
ERIE...NORTHERN CHAUTAUQUA...WYOMING...SOUTHERN GENESEE AND
NORTHWESTERN CATTARAUGUS COUNTIES...

AT 1001 PM EST...TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE WARNED AREA WERE WELL ABOVE
WILL REMAIN THERE THROUGH MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL STEADILY CLIMB
INTO THE LOWER 50S ON SUNDAY...BEFORE REACHING 60 ON MONDAY. WHILE
RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE A QUARTER INCH OR LESS THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT...SIGNIFICANT SNOWMELT HAS BEGUN AND WILL NOW CONTINUE THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. IT IS THIS SNOWMELT THAT WILL
ULTIMATELY CAUSE THE FLOODING CONCERNS.

CORE SAMPLES OF THE DEEP SNOWPACK AT THE START OF THE WEEKEND
INDICATED THAT AS MUCH AS 5 TO 6 INCHES OF WATER WAS LOCKED IN
PLACE...BUT AS TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO CLIMB...THIS WATER WILL BE
RELEASED...AND IN SOME CASES FAIRLY RAPIDLY. SINCE MANY STORM DRAINS
ARE SNOW CLOGGED...MANY URBAN AREAS WILL LIKELY BE THE FIRST TO
EXPERIENCE FLOODING WITH SEVERAL FEET OF WATER POSSIBLY ACCUMULATING
ON SOME STRETCHES OF ROAD. RESIDENTIAL BASEMENTS WILL START TO FLOOD
DURING THIS TIME AS WELL.

AREA TRIBUTARIES...PARTICULARLY BUFFALO CREEK...CAZENOVIA CREEK...
CAYUGA CREEK AND ELLICOTT CREEK...WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER TO
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT RISES WITH THE POTENTIAL TO REACH AT LEAST
MINOR FLOOD STAGE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968

$$

RSH








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