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000
FNUS53 KAPX 300857
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
457 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

...COLD FRONT ON THE WAY...

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE INCHING THROUGH THE WESTERN LAKES TONIGHT WILL BUILD
ACROSS MICHIGAN EARLY TODAY...BUT WITH SHOWERS INCREASING THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES. THAT FRONT WILL
ARRIVE HERE EARLY FRIDAY...BRINGING A PERIOD OF RAIN CHANGING TO
SNOW AS WELL AS WINDY AND MUCH COLDER WEATHER. PRECIPITATION
CHANCES WILL DWINDLE FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH CHILLY AND DRY CONDITIONS
ANTICIPATED FOR THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-302030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
457 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (470).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS. SNOW
                    SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 3 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 30 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (330).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.13-0.22 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS OR
                    RAIN UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SNOW
                    AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    45 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1690).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.24 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-302030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
457 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (270).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.20 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400. SNOW AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    45 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1560).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 27 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 39 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.33 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-302030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
457 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (740).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS. SNOW
                    SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (450).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.20 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS OR
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. SNOW AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    55 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.24 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-302030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
457 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (720).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS. SNOW
                    SHOWERS OR SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 80-85 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (450).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.17 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS OR RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SNOW AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    45 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1940).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 30 TO 39 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.23 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-302030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
457 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (720).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (230).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.14 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS OR SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400. SNOW AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1480).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 21 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 36 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.14-0.24 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 50.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AM







000
FNUS53 KAPX 291049
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
649 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

...WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING INTO QUEBEC TODAY WILL DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION...DELIVERING ANOTHER ROUND OF COOLER TEMPERATURES
ALONG WITH PERIODIC LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS. THOSE WILL END TONIGHT
INTO EARLY THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY ARRIVES. A STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL QUICKLY DROP THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY...USHERING IN VERY WINDY AND COLD CONDITIONS FOR HALLOWEEN...
AS WELL AS A PERIOD OF RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW FOR MANY AREAS.

BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN WELL OUT OF CRITICAL RANGES.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-292030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
649 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (310).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-292030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
649 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 10 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (240).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-292030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
649 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1010).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-292030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
649 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (970).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (110).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-292030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
649 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (950).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (170).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (390).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AM







000
FNUS53 KAPX 291049
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
649 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

...WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE LIFTING INTO QUEBEC TODAY WILL DRAG A WEAK COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION...DELIVERING ANOTHER ROUND OF COOLER TEMPERATURES
ALONG WITH PERIODIC LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS. THOSE WILL END TONIGHT
INTO EARLY THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY ARRIVES. A STRONG COLD
FRONT WILL QUICKLY DROP THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
FRIDAY...USHERING IN VERY WINDY AND COLD CONDITIONS FOR HALLOWEEN...
AS WELL AS A PERIOD OF RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW FOR MANY AREAS.

BRISK WESTERLY WINDS WILL PERSIST INTO THURSDAY MORNING.
TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN WELL OUT OF CRITICAL RANGES.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-292030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
649 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (310).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-292030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
649 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 10 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (240).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-292030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
649 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1010).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-292030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
649 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1200...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (970).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (110).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-292030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
649 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (950).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (170).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (390).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AM







000
FNUS53 KAPX 282007
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
407 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

...GUSTY WINDS CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT THEN SNOW POSSIBLE FRIDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. AFTER THE FRONT PASSES WEDNESDAY
MORNING...EXPECT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH ALONG WITH
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS
THE AREA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF A
MINOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN. GUSTY NORTH WINDS TO 30 MPH WILL ACCOMPANY THIS
SYSTEM.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-290830-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
407 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400 UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2390).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 33 TO 36 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1000...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (3000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35...EXCEPT 38-43 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (3000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-290830-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
407 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200 UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1740).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1100. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1100 UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (3000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2860).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (3000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-290830-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
407 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200 UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY UNTIL
                    1100...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (3000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2530).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (3000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-290830-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
407 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (730).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (3000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1900.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1780).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST UP TO 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (3000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-290830-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
407 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0400 UNTIL 0500...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (890).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (3000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2740).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (3000).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.FRIDAY...SNOW LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

KLUBER







000
FNUS53 KAPX 281113
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
713 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

...GUSTY WINDS TODAY...

.DISCUSSION...
STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK INTO EASTERN ONTARIO TODAY...
SWINGING A COLD FRONT THROUGH NORTHERN MICHIGAN THIS MORNING AND
DELIVERING A RETURN TO COOLER CONDITIONS INTO MIDWEEK. WINDS WILL BE
QUITE GUSTY TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH MORNING SHOWERS TODAY GIVING
WAY TO LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-282030-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
713 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 4 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1520).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0100 UNTIL 0500...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 1400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-282030-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
713 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65...EXCEPT 49-54 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 26 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1440).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.19 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1010).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1230).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-282030-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
713 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1660).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0100 UNTIL 0500...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1070).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1010).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-282030-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
713 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62...EXCEPT 50-55 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER...EXCEPT 11 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1610).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0100 UNTIL 0500...THEN SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1040).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (970).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-282030-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
713 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800...THEN SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.14 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (960).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (960).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AM







000
FNUS53 KAPX 271940
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
340 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014

...WAVES OF SHOWERS CONTINUE...

.DISCUSSION...
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT
A WARM FRONT INTO MICHIGAN THIS AFTERNOON...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT
TUESDAY. THESE FEATURES WILL PROVIDE SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS. BREEZY AND MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS WILL MAKE A
RETURN INTO MIDWEEK...ALONG WITH SEVERAL ROUNDS OF LAKE EFFECT RAIN
SHOWERS.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-280815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
340 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400 UNTIL 0300. RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2400. OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.34 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1720).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH INCREASING TO WEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07-0.19 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (940).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-280815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
340 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......22 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.33 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 33 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.18 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1270).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-280815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
340 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400 UNTIL 0300. RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2400. OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......25 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 19 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
                    COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.10-0.16 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1760).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.08 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (870).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 33 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1110).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-280815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
340 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400 UNTIL 0300. RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2400. OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......24 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.10 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES COOLER NEAR THE
                    COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1690).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (860).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1050).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-280815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
340 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400 UNTIL 0300. RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2400. OCCASIONAL THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 0300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......23 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.16 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1570).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (610).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 24 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1070).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MG







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