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000
FNUS51 KBUF 310857
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
457 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A SLOW MOVING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE OCCASIONAL SHOWERS
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION THIS MORNING
BEFORE SLOWLY TAPERING OFF FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST THIS
AFTERNOON. IT WILL REMAIN MUGGY ALTHOUGH EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES LOWER THAN YESTERDAY. A FEW SPOTTY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON LABOR DAY...BUT THE MAJORITY OF THE
DAY SHOULD BE RAIN FREE WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK TO A LITTLE
ABOVE AVERAGE.

NYZ001-002-010-011-312115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
457 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       78           65           82
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 13                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 15        SW 10        SW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.16         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     6
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       5 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               70           99           61
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2660           70         3600
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 23        SW 22        SW 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               61180         1540        39600
DISPERSION INDEX                   61            2           40
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-312115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
457 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           30           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       76           63           80
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11        SW  6        SW  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.40         0.04         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     9            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING        11 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         3 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               76          100           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3510           70         4980
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 14        SW 12        SW 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               49140          840        54780
DISPERSION INDEX                   49            1           55
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-312115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
457 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS         NONE        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       79           65           81
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 11                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11        SW  7      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.32         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                     8                         1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM                     11 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM                CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               71           99           64
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3780           70         5010
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17        SW 15        SW  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               64260         1050        25050
DISPERSION INDEX                   64            1           25
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-312115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
457 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       79           62           81
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 10                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10        SW  6        SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.28         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     8            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         3 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               70          100           60
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4280           70         4810
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 15        SW 14        SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               64200          980        43290
DISPERSION INDEX                   64            1           43
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$










000
FNUS51 KBUF 300844
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST TODAY AND PROVIDE
ANOTHER MAINLY DRY DAY WITH JUST A SMALL CHANCE OF A SPOTTY SHOWER
LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS WESTERN NY. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
THEN CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF SUNDAY WITH
A BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MONDAY WILL
BE DRY THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE TIME...ALTHOUGH A FEW WIDELY
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH A WARM AND
HUMID AIRMASS STILL IN PLACE.

NYZ001-002-010-011-302115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           70           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       88           70           80
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 10                     SW 15
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 13         S 11        SW 17
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.21         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                                  5            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         2 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               47           92           67
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 3            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5370           70         3480
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 19         S 19        SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              102030         1330        87000
DISPERSION INDEX                  102            1           87
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-302115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           70           70
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       85           65           78
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 12                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 13         S 12         W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.17         0.33
PRECIP DURATION                     1            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               53           98           67
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5640           70         4620
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17         S 21         W 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               95880         1470        83160
DISPERSION INDEX                   96            1           83
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-302115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           70           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       86           67           80
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 12                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 13         S 13        SW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.16         0.23
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            5
PRECIP BEGIN                                  1 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49           97           63
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6210           70         4130
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 18         S 21        SW 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              111780         1470        86730
DISPERSION INDEX                  112            1           87
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-302115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
444 AM EDT SAT AUG 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           70           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       82           63           78
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 11                      S 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 14         S 13        SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.13         0.24
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            8
PRECIP BEGIN                                 11 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49          100           69
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            3
LAL                                 1            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3750           70         4120
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 20         S 21        SW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               75000         1470        82400
DISPERSION INDEX                   75            1           82
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$









000
FNUS51 KBUF 290921
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
521 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN DRY WEATHER AND NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
RETURN LATER SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A COMPLEX FRONTAL
SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA...WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO ABOVE
NORMAL.

NYZ001-002-010-011-292115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
521 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       77           60           88
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      S  8
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR         E  6         S 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               41           84           44
HAINES INDEX                        4            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5570            0         5920
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  4         E  5        SW 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               22280            0        88800
DISPERSION INDEX                   22            0           89
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-292115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
521 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE        TSTMS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       74           57           85
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      S 10
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR        SE  5         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                                               1
PRECIP BEGIN                                               3 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               39           86           52
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5240            0         5450
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  6        SE  4        SW 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               31440            0        81750
DISPERSION INDEX                   31            0           82
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-292115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
521 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       74           59           86
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      S 10
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR        SE  5         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               45           89           48
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5360            0         5170
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  3         E  5         S 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               16080            0        77550
DISPERSION INDEX                   16            0           78
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-292115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
521 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       74           56           82
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      S  9
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               45           89           48
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5610            0         4150
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  3         S  4         S 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               16830            0        62250
DISPERSION INDEX                   17            0           62
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$









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