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000
FNUS51 KBUF 230829
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
429 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE WILL SLOWLY LIFT OUT INTO
THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TODAY AND FRIDAY. THIS FEATURE SHOULD BRING A
FEW SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY AND EASTERN FINGER
LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH GENERALLY DRY WEATHER OTHERWISE
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. ANOTHER
FASTER MOVING SYSTEM WILL THEN PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR REGION
THIS WEEKEND ALONG WITH ANOTHER CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS...BEFORE
SUNSHINE AND WARMER WEATHER RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-232115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
429 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       MCLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       57           40           57
AM WIND (MPH)                    N 10                      W  7
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 11        NW  8         W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               53           92           53
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2850           70         3400
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 18        NW 16         W 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               51300         1120        47600
DISPERSION INDEX                   51            1           48
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-232115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
429 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       55           38           57
AM WIND (MPH)                    N 11                      W  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 14        NW  8         W 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               54           93           47
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3910           70         3670
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 21        NW 18         W 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               82110         1260        58720
DISPERSION INDEX                   82            1           59
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-232115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
429 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       55           42           58
AM WIND (MPH)                    N 13                      W  9
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 15        NW 10        NW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               56           88           49
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3650           70         3820
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 24         N 21        NW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               87600         1470        64940
DISPERSION INDEX                   88            1           65
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-232115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
429 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           50            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       52           39           55
AM WIND (MPH)                    N 13                      N  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 15         N 11        NW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     9 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         5 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           94           58
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2800           70         3280
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 23         N 22        NW 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               64400         1540        36080
DISPERSION INDEX                   64            2           36
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 60.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$









000
FNUS51 KBUF 220843
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
443 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE OFF OF THE DELMARVA COASTLINE WILL SLOWLY LIFT
NORTHEASTWARD TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP COOL AND CLOUDY CONDITIONS ACROSS OUR AREA
THROUGH FRIDAY ALONG WITH PERIODIC OPPORTUNITIES FOR RAIN...THE
BEST CHANCES FOR WHICH WILL BE FROM THE FINGER LAKES EASTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY. ANOTHER FASTER MOVING SYSTEM WILL THEN
PUSH A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR REGION THIS WEEKEND ALONG WITH ANOTHER
CHANCE FOR SOME SHOWERS...BEFORE SUNSHINE AND WARMER WEATHER
RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-222115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
443 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           30           40
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       52           41           55
AM WIND (MPH)                    N 12                      N 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 13         N  9        NW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.01         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     2            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM         4 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                      12 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           89           60
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2650           70         3090
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 16         N 17         N 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               42400         1190        46350
DISPERSION INDEX                   42            1           46
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-222115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
443 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           40           40
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       48           39           52
AM WIND (MPH)                    N 10                      N 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 12         N  9        NW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.03         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM        11 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               71           92           64
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2850           70         3070
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 18         N 16        NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               51300         1120        61400
DISPERSION INDEX                   51            1           61
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-222115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
443 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           40           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       51           42           53
AM WIND (MPH)                    N 11                      N 14
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 14         N 12        NW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.05         0.11
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2            8
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               66           88           65
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3020           70         3380
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 23         N 22        NW 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               69460         1540        74360
DISPERSION INDEX                   69            2           74
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-222115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
443 AM EDT WED OCT 22 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           60           80
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       51           39           51
AM WIND (MPH)                   NE 10                      N 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 14         N 12         N 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.08         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                     2            5           10
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               64           93           72
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3300           70         3080
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 20        NE 23         N 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               66000         1610        70840
DISPERSION INDEX                   66            2           71
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$









000
FNUS51 KBUF 210946
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY CROSS WESTERN NEW YORK TODAY WHILE
PRODUCING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. THE LOW WILL THEN TRANSFER TO JUST OFF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST BY WEDNESDAY AND SHIFT NORTH ALONG THE EAST
COAST THROUGH THE WEEK WHILE CONTINUING PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE
THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK BEFORE WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER DEVELOPS
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

NYZ001-002-010-011-212130-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           80           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      LT RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       51           39           53
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  7                      N 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 12         N 14         N 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.25         0.10         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     8            9            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               75          100           65
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3410         1410         3830
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 10        NE 16         N 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               34100        22560        57450
DISPERSION INDEX                   34           23           57
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-212130-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           90           70
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      LT RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       50           37           47
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  6                      N 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  9         N 11         N 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.24         0.09         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                     9           10            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               78          100           76
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4570         1110         2990
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW  9         N 17         N 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               41130        18870        47840
DISPERSION INDEX                   41           19           48
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-212130-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      LT RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       53           41           51
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      N 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    N  9         N 15         N 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.31         0.12         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                     8            9            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               79          100           72
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4390          800         3860
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  8        NE 18         N 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               35120        14400        77200
DISPERSION INDEX                   35           14           77
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-212130-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           70           50
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       54           36           51
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  5                     NE 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  8        NE 10         N 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.34         0.10         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     9            6            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               80          100           72
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5750          660         3990
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 10        NE 13        NE 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               57500         8580        67830
DISPERSION INDEX                   58            9           68
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND AREAS OF
DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

SMITH







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