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000
FNUS51 KBUF 280824
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
424 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...

MID SUMMER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH SUNDAY...AS HIGH
PRESSURE ANCHORED OFF THE EAST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO PUMP NEAR
RECORD WARMTH AND MODERATELY HIGH HUMIDITY NORTHWARDS ACROSS OUR
REGION. THIS ENVIRONMENT WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY FAVORABLE FOR SOME
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY. IT WILL THEN
BECOME MORE COMFORTABLE IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT INTO THE MIDDLE
OF THE NEW WORK WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-282115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
424 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS         NONE        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       92           65           88
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SW  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     1                         2
PRECIP BEGIN                     1 PM                      8 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM                CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               40           93           59
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               170            0         5680
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  5         S  4        SW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 850            0        56800
DISPERSION INDEX                    1            0           57
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-282115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
424 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           30           50
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       88           63           84
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.02         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                     1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM   CONTINUING         8 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         8 PM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               40           96           66
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               550            0         5700
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  6         S  6        SW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                3300            0        51300
DISPERSION INDEX                    3            0           51
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-282115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
424 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           30           60
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       92           66           89
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.01         0.20
PRECIP DURATION                     1            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     1 PM   CONTINUING         8 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         7 PM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               37           94           61
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               400            0         6380
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  5        SE  5        SW  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                2000            0        44660
DISPERSION INDEX                    2            0           45
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-282115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
424 AM EDT SAT MAY 28 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       89           63           87
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.15
PRECIP DURATION                                               4
PRECIP BEGIN                                               8 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               40           93           62
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3
LAL                                 3            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)               390            0         4980
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE  3        SE  3        SW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                1170            0        49800
DISPERSION INDEX                    1            0           50
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$





000
FNUS51 KBUF 260923
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
523 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...

A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SET UP OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS BRINGING SUMMERTIME WARMTH. ALONG WITH
THE WARM TEMPERATURES, AN INCREASE IN HUMIDITY WILL ALSO BRING
INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY LEADING
UP TO AND INTO THE MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND.

NYZ001-002-010-011-262115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
523 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       84           64           87
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SW  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  6      LGT/VAR         W  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.14         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               48           94           50
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 5            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7290           20         8340
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 11        SW  5        SW  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               80190          100        66720
DISPERSION INDEX                   80            0           67
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-262115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
523 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           40           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       81           60           85
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  7      LGT/VAR        SW  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.15         0.08         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                     4            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING         5 PM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        10 PM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               46          100           52
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 5            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8300            0         8430
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 12         S  5        SW  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               99600            0        67440
DISPERSION INDEX                  100            0           67
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-262115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
523 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           60           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       85           63           88
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  5      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.12         0.09         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     4            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                    11 AM   CONTINUING         5 PM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        10 PM   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               40           97           47
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            4
LAL                                 5            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8100            0         8530
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 10        SW  2        SW  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               81000            0        42650
DISPERSION INDEX                   81            0           43
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-262115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
523 AM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           40            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       82           60           85
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        SW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.07         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     1 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        12 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               41           96           50
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            4
LAL                                 4            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7580            0         8050
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW  8         S  3         W  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               60640            0        56350
DISPERSION INDEX                   61            0           56
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$





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