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000
FNUS51 KBUF 300825
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
425 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...

COOL AIR FLOWING INTO THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE LIGHT
LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY...USHERING IN CHILLY TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEKEND ALONG
WITH SOME RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION IS NOW EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIQUID...ALTHOUGH A FEW WET
SNOWFLAKES MAY MIX IN ON THE HILLS SATURDAY NIGHT. A WARMING TREND
IS THEN EXPECTED EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-302115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
425 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           30           70
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       50           36           47
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  7                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.02         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                                  1            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                  4 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           94           73
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4850         3450         4650
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 15        SW  7         S  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               72750        24150        32550
DISPERSION INDEX                   73           24           33
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-302115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
425 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       47           32           46
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  6                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9         W  5      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                               4
PRECIP BEGIN                                              11 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           94           68
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4900         2760         4750
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 15        SW  8         S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               73500        22080        47500
DISPERSION INDEX                   74           22           48
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-302115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
425 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           50
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       50           36           50
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  8                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9      LGT/VAR        SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                                               2
PRECIP BEGIN                                              12 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           89           62
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5220         3080         5010
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 17         W  5         S  8
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               88740        15400        40080
DISPERSION INDEX                   89           15           40
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-302115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
425 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       48           27           48
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  6      LGT/VAR        SE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                                               2
PRECIP BEGIN                                               9 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               61           95           62
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5260         2470         4810
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 12         W  9        SE  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               63120        22230        43290
DISPERSION INDEX                   63           22           43
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 40.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$









000
FNUS51 KBUF 290756
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
356 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

.DISCUSSION...

MUCH COOLER AIR WILL SWEEP BACK INTO THE REGION TODAY WITH A FEW
LAKE EFFECT RAIN SHOWERS EAST OF LAKE ERIE...AND THEN EAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO THIS EVENING. PROGRESSIVELY COLDER WEATHER WILL THEN
CONTINUE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH RAIN
POTENTIALLY TRANSITIONING INTO THE FIRST SNOWFLAKES OF THE SEASON BY
SATURDAY MORNING.

NYZ001-002-010-011-292115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
356 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       54           37           50
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11                      W  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 17         W 13         W  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               55           91           57
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6280         3270         5490
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 26        NW 18         W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              163280        58860        54900
DISPERSION INDEX                  163           59           55
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-292115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
356 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           50            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       53           35           49
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11                      W  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 15         W 12         W  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.12         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               58           91           57
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6020         2860         5350
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 26        NW 16        NW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              156520        45760        74900
DISPERSION INDEX                  157           46           75
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-292115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
356 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       55           37           51
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  9                      W  9
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 14         W 12        NW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     2 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         9 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               55           89           57
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6400         2980         5550
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 26         W 21         W  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              166400        62580        49950
DISPERSION INDEX                  166           63           50
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-292115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
356 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           40            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       56           35           49
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10                     NW  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 14         W 11         W  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.10         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                  2
PRECIP BEGIN                                  6 PM
PRECIP END                                    6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               59           92           59
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6100         3700         5080
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 27        NW 15        NW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              164700        55500        71120
DISPERSION INDEX                  165           56           71
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$









000
FNUS51 KBUF 280847
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
447 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...

DEEP LOW PRESSURE OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD
TO JAMES BAY TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL CIRCULATE RECORD
BREAKING WARMTH ACROSS OUR REGION TODAY...BEFORE ITS TRAILING COLD
FRONT CROSSES THE REGION ALONG WITH A ROUND OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE
THUNDERSTORMS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. PROGRESSIVELY
COLDER WEATHER WILL THEN FOLLOW FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...WITH
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CROSSING THE AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
AND POTENTIALLY BRINGING THE FIRST ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL OF THE
SEASON.

NYZ001-002-010-011-282115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
447 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       76           48           53
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 12                     SW 13
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 18        SW 13         W 20
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.13         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING        10 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               51           93           54
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5650           70         6400
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 34         W 23         W 29
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              192100         1610       185600
DISPERSION INDEX                  192            2          186
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-282115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
447 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           80           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       75           45           52
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 13                     SW 12
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 17        SW 10         W 19
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.10         0.31         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                     1            6            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING        11 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         1 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49           95           56
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5990           70         6520
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 35         W 15         W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              209650         1050       169520
DISPERSION INDEX                  210            1          170
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-282115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
447 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           80            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE        TSTMS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       77           49           56
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 11                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 14        SW 10         W 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.27         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                                  5
PRECIP BEGIN                                  6 PM
PRECIP END                                    1 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               44           93           55
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 3            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6420           70         6920
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 30        SW 20         W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              192600         1400       179920
DISPERSION INDEX                  193            1          180
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-282115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
447 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           80           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       73           49           55
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE 10                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 12         S 11         W 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.35         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2            6            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM         7 PM         5 PM
PRECIP END                      10 AM         4 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               50           90           57
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 3            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4080           70         6890
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 24         S 20         W 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               97920         1400       179140
DISPERSION INDEX                   98            1          179
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 40.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$









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