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000
FNUS51 KBUF 210946
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY CROSS WESTERN NEW YORK TODAY WHILE
PRODUCING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS. THE LOW WILL THEN TRANSFER TO JUST OFF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST BY WEDNESDAY AND SHIFT NORTH ALONG THE EAST
COAST THROUGH THE WEEK WHILE CONTINUING PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE
THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK BEFORE WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER DEVELOPS
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.

NYZ001-002-010-011-212130-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           80           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      LT RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       51           39           53
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  7                      N 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    N 12         N 14         N 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.25         0.10         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     8            9            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               75          100           65
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3410         1410         3830
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N 10        NE 16         N 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               34100        22560        57450
DISPERSION INDEX                   34           23           57
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-212130-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     90           90           70
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      LT RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       50           37           47
AM WIND (MPH)                    W  6                      N 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  9         N 11         N 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.24         0.09         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                     9           10            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               78          100           76
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4570         1110         2990
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW  9         N 17         N 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               41130        18870        47840
DISPERSION INDEX                   41           19           48
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-212130-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           60
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      LT RAIN
MAX/MIN TEMP                       53           41           51
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      N 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    N  9         N 15         N 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.31         0.12         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                     8            9            5
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               79          100           72
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4390          800         3860
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  8        NE 18         N 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               35120        14400        77200
DISPERSION INDEX                   35           14           77
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-212130-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
546 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           70           50
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       54           36           51
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  5                     NE 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  8        NE 10         N 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.34         0.10         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     9            6            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               80          100           72
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5750          660         3990
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 10        NE 13        NE 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               57500         8580        67830
DISPERSION INDEX                   58            9           68
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND AREAS OF
DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

SMITH







000
FNUS51 KBUF 200914
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
514 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE RIDGED OVER NEW YORK THIS MORNING WILL SLIDE OFF TO
THE EAST TODAY. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND LOWER TODAY
AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WITH
SHOWERS LATER TODAY. COOL TEMPERATURES AND SHOWERY WEATHER WILL
PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK AS THIS SYSTEM SLOWLY
CROSSES THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-202115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           90           90
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       56           46           53
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 10                      W  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 13         S 13         N 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.24         0.20
PRECIP DURATION                     1           11           12
PRECIP BEGIN                     4 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49           97           76
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4870          870         3280
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 18        SW 10         N 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               87660         8700        45920
DISPERSION INDEX                   88            9           46
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-202115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           90           90
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       55           43           52
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW 11                      W  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 12         S 10        NW  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.27         0.22
PRECIP DURATION                     1           11           12
PRECIP BEGIN                     5 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               51           98           73
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4950          190         5180
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17         S 14         N  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               84150         2660        46620
DISPERSION INDEX                   84            3           47
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-202115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           90           90
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       58           46           56
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  9                      S  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW 10         S  9         N  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.22         0.18
PRECIP DURATION                                  8           12
PRECIP BEGIN                                  6 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               43           96           71
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6250            0         4930
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 15         S 12         N  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               93750            0        34510
DISPERSION INDEX                   94            0           35
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-202115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
514 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           90           90
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       55           41           55
AM WIND (MPH)                    S  6                      E  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    S  7         S  7        NE  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.12         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                                  6           12
PRECIP BEGIN                                  7 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               50           96           67
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6340           10         3770
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 12         S 12         E 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               76080          120        37700
DISPERSION INDEX                   76            0           38
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...LIGHT RAIN AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN. HIGHS AROUND 50.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$









000
FNUS51 KBUF 190942
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
542 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A NORTHWEST FLOW OF COLD AIR WILL KEEP CLOUDY SKIES WITH PATCHY
DRIZZLE IN PLACE THIS MORNING WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN RIDGE
ACROSS NEW YORK LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS WILL KEEP BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN PLACE WITH SOME CLEARING DEVELOPING INTO
THIS EVENING. CLOUDS WILL THEN INCREASE AGAIN LATE TONIGHT AHEAD
OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. COOL TEMPERATURES AND SHOWERY WEATHER
WILL PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE COMING WEEK AS THIS SYSTEM SLOWLY
CROSSES THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-192115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
542 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY       CLOUDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     20            0           80
PRECIP TYPE                   DRIZZLE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       48           35           56
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 12                      S  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 14         W  8         S 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.10
PRECIP DURATION                                               4
PRECIP BEGIN                                               8 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               49           92           59
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5120            0         4200
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 17         W 10        SW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               87040            0        75600
DISPERSION INDEX                   87            0           76
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-192115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
542 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     20            0           60
PRECIP TYPE                   DRIZZLE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       45           32           55
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 11                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 13         W 10        SW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                               3
PRECIP BEGIN                                              12 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               52           95           54
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4860          150         4570
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 15         W 13        SW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               72900         1950        77690
DISPERSION INDEX                   73            2           78
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-192115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
542 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     20            0           40
PRECIP TYPE                   DRIZZLE         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       47           35           56
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 14                      S  9
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 15         W  9         S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                                               1
PRECIP BEGIN                                               3 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               47           88           51
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6020            0         5810
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 18         W  9        SW 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              108360            0        81340
DISPERSION INDEX                  108            0           81
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-192115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
542 AM EDT SUN OCT 19 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30            0           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       45           28           55
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW 11                      S  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 11         W  5         S  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     1                         1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM                      4 PM
PRECIP END                       5 PM                CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               51           92           53
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6060            0         5630
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 17         W 10        SW 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              103020            0        61930
DISPERSION INDEX                  103            0           62
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

SMITH







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