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000
FNUS51 KBUF 040757
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
357 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

.DISCUSSION...

A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL
GRADUALLY SETTLE ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK WEEK.
AS A RESULT...WE CAN EXPECT SOMEWHAT UNSETTLED WEATHER OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS...THOUGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN FAIRLY CLOSE TO NORMAL
LEVELS FOR EARLY MAY.

NYZ001-002-010-011-042115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
357 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           30           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       63           45           64
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     NE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  8        NE  5        NE 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.03         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     1            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     3 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               44           94           50
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 3            3            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7060           70         5710
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  8         E 13        NE 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               56480          910       114200
DISPERSION INDEX                   56            1          114
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-042115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
357 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           50           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       62           43           61
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     NE  5
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR         E  5         N 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.06         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                     4            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    11 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               44           97           56
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            3
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8850           70         5750
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  5         E  8        NE 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               44250          560       103500
DISPERSION INDEX                   44            1          104
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-042115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
357 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           40           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       64           45           63
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     NE  5
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  5         E  5         N 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.04         0.04         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     3            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    12 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               51           95           52
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 4            3            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7860           70         5770
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 10         E 11        NE 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               78600          770       103860
DISPERSION INDEX                   79            1          104
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-042115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
357 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           40           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       61           43           65
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     NE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR        NE  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.10         0.07         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     4            4            2
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING        11 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               54           98           47
HAINES INDEX                        3            2            3
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6250           70         7580
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S  7        SE 12        NE 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               43750          840       106120
DISPERSION INDEX                   44            1          106
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$





000
FNUS51 KBUF 030922
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
522 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...

A NARROW WEDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LIE ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT
LAKES TODAY PROVIDING THE REGION WITH MAINLY DRY AND SUNNY WEATHER
AFTER MORNING FOG DISSIPATES. GENERAL WINDS WILL BE LIGHT LEADING
TO LIGHT LAKE BREEZE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. A RETURN TO
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL ARRIVE WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK AS A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SETTLES ACROSS THE REGION.

NYZ001-002-010-011-032115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
522 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           40
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       61           41           66
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                                               2
PRECIP BEGIN                                              12 PM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               49           90           42
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6810            0         8570
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE  4         S  5         S  4
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               27240            0        34280
DISPERSION INDEX                   27            0           34
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-032115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
522 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           60
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       58           40           63
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                                               4
PRECIP BEGIN                                               9 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               53           94           43
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6200            0         9100
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  3        NW  4         S  3
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               18600            0        27300
DISPERSION INDEX                   19            0           27
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-032115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
522 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           50
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       60           42           66
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.06
PRECIP DURATION                                               2
PRECIP BEGIN                                               8 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               50           91           44
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4830            0         8750
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  3        SW  2        SE  2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               14490            0        17500
DISPERSION INDEX                   14            0           18
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-032115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
522 AM EDT TUE MAY 3 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0           50
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE      SHOWERS
MIN/MAX TEMP                       61           42           65
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                                               2
PRECIP BEGIN                                               7 AM
PRECIP END                                           CONTINUING
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               46           92           48
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6000            0         8260
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  3        NW  4        SW  3
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               18000            0        24780
DISPERSION INDEX                   18            0           25
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

SMITH





000
FNUS51 KBUF 020900
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
500 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...

A ROUND OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SHIFT ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK TODAY AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES
ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES. SHOWERS SHOULD DIMINISH LATE MORNING
INTO THIS AFTERNOON AS THE LOW MOVES AWAY FROM THE REGION. AFTER A
DRY DAY ON TUESDAY...COOL AND UNSETTLED WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO
PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK AS A DEEP UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH SETTLES OVER THE REGION.

NYZ001-002-010-011-022115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
500 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       54           39           61
AM WIND (MPH)                   NE  7                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    N  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.32         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                      11 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               68           90           47
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3
LAL                                 3            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3390           90         6810
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  7        SW  3         N  3
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               23730          270        20430
DISPERSION INDEX                   24            0           20
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-022115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
500 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100            0            0
PRECIP TYPE             SHOWERS/TSTMS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       53           39           59
AM WIND (MPH)                   NE  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    N  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.27         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                      10 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               73           92           51
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            3
LAL                                 5            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3540          220         5750
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  9        NE  4         N  4
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               31860          880        23000
DISPERSION INDEX                   32            1           23
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-022115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
500 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       52           40           61
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    N  6      LGT/VAR         N  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.35         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     4
PRECIP BEGIN                     7 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               73           93           47
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3
LAL                                 3            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              2580          120         5730
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              N  8        NW  4         N  5
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               20640          480        28650
DISPERSION INDEX                   21            0           29
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-022115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
500 AM EDT MON MAY 2 2016

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       52           38           61
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.31         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     5
PRECIP BEGIN                     9 AM
PRECIP END                       6 PM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               78           94           46
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3
LAL                                 3            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4150          140         6670
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE  4         N  5        NW  4
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               16600          700        26680
DISPERSION INDEX                   17            1           27
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND
60.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$

SMITH





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