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000
FNUS51 KBUF 191031
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.DISCUSSION...

...HAINES INDEX NEAR 5 TODAY FOR PARTS OF THE REGION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA WILL SUPPLY ANOTHER RAIN FREE
DAY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK...WITH MIDDAY AND
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ONCE AGAIN DROPPING TO BETWEEN
20 AND 25 PERCENT. WHILE THE RH VALUES WILL BE A CONCERN...
RECENT RAINS SHOULD LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF DRY FUELS.

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM EVOLVING OVER THE MID WEST TODAY WILL PUSH
A WARM FRONT NORTHWARDS ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER SOAKING RAIN FOR THE REGION
ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS. AFTER A SIX HOUR BREAK IN THE
UNSETTLED WEATHER MONDAY AFTERNOON...A COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN
MORE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT.

NYZ001-002-010-011-192130-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           90
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       67           48           70
AM WIND (MPH)                    E 12                     SE 18
PM WIND (MPH)                    E 16         E 15         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.42         0.19
PRECIP DURATION                                  7            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING        11 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               22           75           52
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3970            0         5140
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 19         E 15         S 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               75430            0       102800
DISPERSION INDEX                   75            0          103
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-192130-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       66           46           68
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  9                      S 22
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 14        SE 18         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.38         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                                  9            3
PRECIP BEGIN                                  7 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               20           77           54
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3980           40         4490
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 17        SE 25         S 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               67660         1000       103270
DISPERSION INDEX                   68            1          103
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-192130-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100          100
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       67           44           68
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  8                     SE 20
PM WIND (MPH)                    E 12        SE 14        SE 19
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.32         0.19
PRECIP DURATION                                  5            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               21           70           49
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4420            0         3890
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 15         E 13         S 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               66300            0       120590
DISPERSION INDEX                   66            0          121
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-192130-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           80          100
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       64           38           59
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  6                     SE 20
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  7         E 11        SE 21
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.12         0.30
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            9
PRECIP BEGIN                                  1 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         5 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               20           69           52
HAINES INDEX                        5            4            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4550            0         3620
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  9        SE 14        SE 45
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               40950            0       162900
DISPERSION INDEX                   41            0          163
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$









000
FNUS51 KBUF 191031
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.DISCUSSION...

...HAINES INDEX NEAR 5 TODAY FOR PARTS OF THE REGION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA WILL SUPPLY ANOTHER RAIN FREE
DAY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK...WITH MIDDAY AND
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ONCE AGAIN DROPPING TO BETWEEN
20 AND 25 PERCENT. WHILE THE RH VALUES WILL BE A CONCERN...
RECENT RAINS SHOULD LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF DRY FUELS.

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM EVOLVING OVER THE MID WEST TODAY WILL PUSH
A WARM FRONT NORTHWARDS ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER SOAKING RAIN FOR THE REGION
ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS. AFTER A SIX HOUR BREAK IN THE
UNSETTLED WEATHER MONDAY AFTERNOON...A COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN
MORE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT.

NYZ001-002-010-011-192130-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           90
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       67           48           70
AM WIND (MPH)                    E 12                     SE 18
PM WIND (MPH)                    E 16         E 15         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.42         0.19
PRECIP DURATION                                  7            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING        11 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               22           75           52
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3970            0         5140
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 19         E 15         S 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               75430            0       102800
DISPERSION INDEX                   75            0          103
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-192130-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       66           46           68
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  9                      S 22
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 14        SE 18         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.38         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                                  9            3
PRECIP BEGIN                                  7 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               20           77           54
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3980           40         4490
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 17        SE 25         S 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               67660         1000       103270
DISPERSION INDEX                   68            1          103
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-192130-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100          100
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       67           44           68
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  8                     SE 20
PM WIND (MPH)                    E 12        SE 14        SE 19
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.32         0.19
PRECIP DURATION                                  5            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               21           70           49
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4420            0         3890
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 15         E 13         S 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               66300            0       120590
DISPERSION INDEX                   66            0          121
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-192130-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
631 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           80          100
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       64           38           59
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  6                     SE 20
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  7         E 11        SE 21
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.12         0.30
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            9
PRECIP BEGIN                                  1 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         5 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               20           69           52
HAINES INDEX                        5            4            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4550            0         3620
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  9        SE 14        SE 45
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               40950            0       162900
DISPERSION INDEX                   41            0          163
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$









000
FNUS51 KBUF 190909
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
509 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA WILL SUPPLY ANOTHER RAIN FREE
DAY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK...WITH MIDDAY AND
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ONCE AGAIN DROPPING TO BETWEEN
20 AND 25 PERCENT. WHILE THE RH VALUES WILL BE A CONCERN...
SIGNIFICANT WIND GUSTS TO MORE THAN 20 MPH ARE FORECAST TO BE FEW
AND FAR BETWEEN FOR MUCH OF THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON. ALSO...
RECENT RAINS SHOULD LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF DRY FUELS.

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM EVOLVING OVER THE MID WEST TODAY WILL PUSH
A WARM FRONT NORTHWARDS ACROSS OUR REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN ANOTHER SOAKING RAIN FOR THE REGION
ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS. AFTER A SIX HOUR BREAK IN THE
UNSETTLED WEATHER MONDAY AFTERNOON...A COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN
MORE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT.

NYZ001-002-010-011-192130-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
509 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           90
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       67           48           70
AM WIND (MPH)                    E 12                     SE 18
PM WIND (MPH)                    E 16         E 15         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.42         0.19
PRECIP DURATION                                  7            4
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING        11 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               22           75           52
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3970            0         5140
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 19         E 15         S 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               75430            0       102800
DISPERSION INDEX                   75            0          103
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-192130-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
509 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100           80
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       66           46           68
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  9                      S 22
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 14        SE 18         S 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.38         0.16
PRECIP DURATION                                  9            3
PRECIP BEGIN                                  7 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               20           77           54
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3980           40         4490
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 17        SE 25         S 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               67660         1000       103270
DISPERSION INDEX                   68            1          103
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-192130-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
509 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0          100          100
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       67           44           68
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  8                     SE 20
PM WIND (MPH)                    E 12        SE 14        SE 19
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.32         0.19
PRECIP DURATION                                  5            6
PRECIP BEGIN                                 10 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               21           70           49
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4420            0         3890
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E 15         E 13         S 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               66300            0       120590
DISPERSION INDEX                   66            0          121
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-192130-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
509 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0           80          100
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         RAIN      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       64           38           59
AM WIND (MPH)                    E  6                     SE 20
PM WIND (MPH)                    E  7         E 11        SE 21
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.12         0.30
PRECIP DURATION                                  3            9
PRECIP BEGIN                                  1 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                              CONTINUING         5 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               20           69           52
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4550            0         3620
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              E  9        SE 14        SE 45
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               40950            0       162900
DISPERSION INDEX                   41            0          163
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

RSH







000
FNUS51 KBUF 180928
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
528 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A MOISTURE STARVED COLD FRONT WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY WITH MOST AREAS ONLY EXPERIENCING SOME GUSTY WINDS. THE FRONT
COULD GENERATE SOME NUISANCE SHOWERS THOUGH ACROSS THE NORTH
COUNTRY.

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE EAST OF
THE GENESEE VALLEY DURING THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON. RH WILL ALSO
DECREASE BEHIND THE FRONT AND BOTTOM OUT AROUND 35 PERCENT. WHILE
THE WIND AND RH VALUES WILL APPROACH RED FLAG CRITERIA...MOST AREAS
HAVE RECEIVED A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN THURSDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL
ALLOW FOR LINGERING MOISTURE IN FINE FUELS. THE NORTH COUNTRY
RECEIVED LESS RAIN...BUT HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE TUG HILL AND
WESTERN FOOTHILLS OF THE ADIRONDACKS JUST LOST THEIR SNOWPACK...
SO FINE FUELS ARE LIKELY NOT DRY ENOUGH IN MANY AREAS.

CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD SOUTH ACROSS THE LOWER
GREAT LAKES IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...AND THIS WILL GUARANTEE
FAIR WEATHER FOR OUR REGION THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS SUNDAY.
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND LATE MONDAY.

NYZ001-002-010-011-182115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
528 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        CLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       66           36           65
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  9                      E 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 18         N  8         E 15
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               32           76           29
HAINES INDEX                        4            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4830            0         3440
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 18         N  7         E 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               86940            0        68800
DISPERSION INDEX                   87            0           69
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-182115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
528 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        CLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       69           32           64
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                      E 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 17         N  9        SE 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               35           83           27
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7450           40         3620
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 20        NE 13        SE 21
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              149000          520        76020
DISPERSION INDEX                  149            1           76
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-182115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
528 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        CLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       70           34           66
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                      E  7
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW 20         N  9         E 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               32           78           27
HAINES INDEX                        4            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6670            0         4160
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 24        NW  8        SE 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              160080            0        95680
DISPERSION INDEX                  160            0           96
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-182115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
528 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       64           28           62
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  6                      E  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 18         N 11         E  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               34           98           26
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            5
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              9090            0         5200
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 21         N 15        SE 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              190890            0        88400
DISPERSION INDEX                  191            0           88
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.
.TUESDAY...SHOWERS AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. COOLER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$

RSH







000
FNUS51 KBUF 171906
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
306 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

.DISCUSSION...

...NEAR RED FLAG CONDITIONS EXPECTED SATURDAY...

A WEAK BUBBLE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. A MOISTURE STARVED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE
SATURDAY MORNING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THIS COLD
FRONT WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35
MPH FOR A FEW HOURS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RH WILL ALSO DECREASE
BEHIND THE FRONT AND BOTTOM OUT AROUND 25 PERCENT. WIND AND RH
WILL APPROACH RED FLAG CRITERIA...HOWEVER MOST AREAS RECEIVED
AROUND A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN THURSDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR
LINGERING MOISTURE IN FINE FUELS. THE NORTH COUNTRY RECEIVED LESS
RAIN...BUT HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE TUG HILL AND WESTERN FOOTHILLS
OF THE ADIRONDACKS JUST LOST THEIR SNOWPACK...SO FINE FUELS ARE
LIKELY NOT DRY ENOUGH IN MANY AREAS.

NYZ001-002-010-011-180930-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
306 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR        CLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       40           66           35           66
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  9                      E 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  7        NW 20        NW  7         E 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               96           26           71           28
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         6580           70         4460
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 11        NW 20        NW 17         E 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 770       131600         1190        80280
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          132            1           80
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-180930-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
306 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR        CLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       40           66           32           65
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  8                      E 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  5        NW 20         N  8        SE 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               98           26           69           27
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         7870           70         4560
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 10        NW 19         N 17        SE 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 700       149530         1190       100320
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          150            1          100
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-180930-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
306 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR        CLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       41           67           34           65
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  7                      E  7
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  5        NW 21        NW  8         E 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               94           25           75           27
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         8310           70         5100
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 11        NW 25        NW 21         E 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 770       207750         1470        81600
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          208            1           82
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-180930-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
306 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       36           61           30           62
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  5                     NE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  5         W 22         N 12         E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               99           28           80           26
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         9280           70         6230
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 11        NW 32        NW 30         E  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 770       296960         2100        56070
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          297            2           56
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...BREEZY. SOUTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$

HITCHCOCK







000
FNUS51 KBUF 171906
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
306 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

.DISCUSSION...

...NEAR RED FLAG CONDITIONS EXPECTED SATURDAY...

A WEAK BUBBLE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. A MOISTURE STARVED COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE
SATURDAY MORNING. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE BEHIND THIS COLD
FRONT WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35
MPH FOR A FEW HOURS SATURDAY AFTERNOON. RH WILL ALSO DECREASE
BEHIND THE FRONT AND BOTTOM OUT AROUND 25 PERCENT. WIND AND RH
WILL APPROACH RED FLAG CRITERIA...HOWEVER MOST AREAS RECEIVED
AROUND A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN THURSDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR
LINGERING MOISTURE IN FINE FUELS. THE NORTH COUNTRY RECEIVED LESS
RAIN...BUT HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE TUG HILL AND WESTERN FOOTHILLS
OF THE ADIRONDACKS JUST LOST THEIR SNOWPACK...SO FINE FUELS ARE
LIKELY NOT DRY ENOUGH IN MANY AREAS.

NYZ001-002-010-011-180930-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
306 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR        CLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       40           66           35           66
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  9                      E 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SW  7        NW 20        NW  7         E 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               96           26           71           28
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         6580           70         4460
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 11        NW 20        NW 17         E 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 770       131600         1190        80280
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          132            1           80
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-180930-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
306 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR        CLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       40           66           32           65
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  8                      E 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  5        NW 20         N  8        SE 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               98           26           69           27
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         7870           70         4560
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 10        NW 19         N 17        SE 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 700       149530         1190       100320
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          150            1          100
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-180930-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
306 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR        CLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       41           67           34           65
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  7                      E  7
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  5        NW 21        NW  8         E 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               94           25           75           27
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         8310           70         5100
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 11        NW 25        NW 21         E 16
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 770       207750         1470        81600
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          208            1           82
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-180930-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
306 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                              TONIGHT          SAT    SAT NIGHT          SUN
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR        PCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       36           61           30           62
AM WIND (MPH)                                SW  5                     NE  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  5         W 22         N 12         E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               99           28           80           26
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         9280           70         6230
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 11        NW 32        NW 30         E  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                 770       296960         2100        56070
DISPERSION INDEX                    1          297            2           56
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...BREEZY. SOUTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$

HITCHCOCK







000
FNUS51 KBUF 170904
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
504 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

.DISCUSSION...

THE DISTURBANCE THAT PRODUCED SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT
WILL GIVE WAY TO A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO IMPROVING CONDITIONS DURING THE COURSE OF
TODAY WITH FAIR WEATHER TONIGHT. WHILE A ROBUST UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL GENERATE SOME CLOUDS AND SPOTTY SHOWERS OVER THE
NORTH COUNTRY ON SATURDAY...THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE A NICE ONE AS
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS OUR REGION TO SUPPORT
GENEROUS AMOUNTS OF SUN ALONG WITH SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-172115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
504 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       66           40           66
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                      W 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 10        SW  8        NW 16
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                      11 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               44           96           27
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6070            0         5460
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 12        SW  9         N 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               72840            0        98280
DISPERSION INDEX                   73            0           98
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-172115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
504 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       65           38           66
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 10         W  7        NW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                      12 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               51          100           29
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5970           30         5260
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 11         W  9         W 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               65670          270       115720
DISPERSION INDEX                   66            0          116
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-172115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
504 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       67           40           67
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  7                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  9         W  8        NW 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.06         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                      12 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               44           96           26
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6420            0         5980
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 13         W  7        NW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               83460            0       137540
DISPERSION INDEX                   83            0          138
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-172115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
504 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       MCLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       62           36           62
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  6                     SW  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9         W  6         W 16
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               46           99           35
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4670            0         7450
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 12        SW  6        NW 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               56040            0       230950
DISPERSION INDEX                   56            0          231
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$









000
FNUS51 KBUF 170904
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
504 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

.DISCUSSION...

THE DISTURBANCE THAT PRODUCED SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION OVERNIGHT
WILL GIVE WAY TO A WEAK AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS WILL LEAD TO IMPROVING CONDITIONS DURING THE COURSE OF
TODAY WITH FAIR WEATHER TONIGHT. WHILE A ROBUST UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE WILL GENERATE SOME CLOUDS AND SPOTTY SHOWERS OVER THE
NORTH COUNTRY ON SATURDAY...THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE A NICE ONE AS
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS OUR REGION TO SUPPORT
GENEROUS AMOUNTS OF SUN ALONG WITH SEASONABLY MILD TEMPERATURES.

NYZ001-002-010-011-172115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
504 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       66           40           66
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                      W 12
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 10        SW  8        NW 16
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                      11 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               44           96           27
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6070            0         5460
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 12        SW  9         N 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               72840            0        98280
DISPERSION INDEX                   73            0           98
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-172115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
504 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       65           38           66
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  8                     SW  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 10         W  7        NW 14
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                      12 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               51          100           29
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5970           30         5260
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 11         W  9         W 22
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               65670          270       115720
DISPERSION INDEX                   66            0          116
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-172115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
504 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       67           40           67
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  7                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  9         W  8        NW 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.06         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                      12 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               44           96           26
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6420            0         5980
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 13         W  7        NW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               83460            0       137540
DISPERSION INDEX                   83            0          138
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-172115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
504 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       MCLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       62           36           62
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  6                     SW  6
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9         W  6         W 16
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM
PRECIP END                       1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               46           99           35
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4670            0         7450
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 12        SW  6        NW 31
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               56040            0       230950
DISPERSION INDEX                   56            0          231
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
.SUNDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$









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