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000
FNUS51 KBUF 281002
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
502 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

.DISCUSSION...

IT WILL BE COLD ACROSS THE REGION THIS BLACK FRIDAY WITH SOME LAKE
EFFECT SNOWS FOUND EAST OF BOTH LAKES. THE COLD WEATHER WILL GIVE
WAY TO FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT WARMING DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND THOUGH...AS HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB AN AVERAGE
OF 25 DEGREES BETWEEN TODAY AND SUNDAY. THE MODERATING TEMPERATURES
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY SOME SPOTTY MIXED PRECIPITATION SATURDAY THEN
SOME SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS FOR SUNDAY. COLD WEATHER WILL RETURN FOR
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-282115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
502 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           30           40
PRECIP TYPE                  FLURRIES SNOW SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       29           20           40
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 13                      S  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 11        SW  5         S  9
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.01         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     4            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         3 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               55           93           61
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6030          520         3210
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 18         W  9        SW 24
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              108540         4680        77040
DISPERSION INDEX                  109            5           77
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-282115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
502 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           30           30
PRECIP TYPE              SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       25           19           39
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 11                      S 10
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 10        SW  6         S 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.06         0.01         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     6            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         1 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               58           87           59
HAINES INDEX                        4            2            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6310         1040         2710
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 19        SW 17        SW 27
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              119890        17680        73170
DISPERSION INDEX                  120           18           73
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-282115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
502 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           30           30
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       30           20           39
AM WIND (MPH)                    W 14                      S  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 11        SW  5         S 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.00         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     8            1            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM         5 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                       5 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               55           88           58
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6900          460         2820
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 19         W 11         S 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              131100         5060        64860
DISPERSION INDEX                  131            5           65
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-282115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
502 AM EST FRI NOV 28 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          SAT
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           50           40
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       29           16           34
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  8                     SE  8
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9         W  5        SE 11
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.15         0.07         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                    11            5            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING         9 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           94           56
HAINES INDEX                        4            3            2
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6960         1580         3750
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 14        SW 11         S 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               97440        17380        41250
DISPERSION INDEX                   97           17           41
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$

RSH







000
FNUS51 KBUF 270930
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
430 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

.DISCUSSION...

WHILE IT WILL NOT BE QUITE AS COLD AS LAST THANKSGIVING WHEN
TEMPERATURES DID NOT MAKE IT OUT OF THE 20S...TODAY WILL BE ON THE
COLD SIDE OF NORMAL WITH THE MERCURY REACHING CLOSE TO FREEZING. THE
COLD WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH BLACK FRIDAY...ALONG WITH SOME
SNOW SHOWERS THAT WILL ACCUMULATE A FEW INCHES SOUTHEAST OF BOTH
LAKES. IT WILL BECOME NOTICEABLY MILDER DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE
HOLIDAY WEEKEND WHEN THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME SPOTTY LIGHT
RAIN AND WET SNOW SHOWERS.

NYZ001-002-010-011-272100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
430 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           40            0
PRECIP TYPE                  FLURRIES SNOW SHOWERS         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       33           24           31
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      W 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  7         W  5         W 12
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.01         0.09         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     5            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               59           85           51
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5310          830         5030
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 10         W  7        NW 18
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               53100         5810        90540
DISPERSION INDEX                   53            6           91
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-272100-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
430 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           70           50
PRECIP TYPE                  FLURRIES         SNOW SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       31           20           28
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      W 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  8         W  7         W 10
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.03         0.25         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     4            9            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         5 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               63           93           55
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5820          680         5760
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 12         W 18        NW 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               69840        12240       115200
DISPERSION INDEX                   70           12          115
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-272100-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
430 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           40           50
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       34           23           32
AM WIND (MPH)                   NW  6                      W 11
PM WIND (MPH)                   NW  6      LGT/VAR         W 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.07         0.13         0.09
PRECIP DURATION                     6            5            3
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING        12 PM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           82           49
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              5140          570         7650
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW 10         W  8        NW 17
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               51400         4560       130050
DISPERSION INDEX                   51            5          130
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-272100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
430 AM EST THU NOV 27 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          FRI
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     30           40           40
PRECIP TYPE                  FLURRIES SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       33           20           31
AM WIND (MPH)                    N  5                     NW  6
PM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR         W  8
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.02         0.10         0.08
PRECIP DURATION                     5            6            4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING         9 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               59           89           52
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              4840         1480         6400
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NW  7        NW 13         W 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               33880        19240        96000
DISPERSION INDEX                   34           19           96
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND MONDAY...NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$

RSH







000
FNUS51 KBUF 260833
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
333 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A NOR`EASTER WILL LIFT ALONG THE ATLANTIC COASTLINE THROUGH
TONIGHT WHILE BRINGING SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE FINGER LAKES AND
NORTH COUNTRY. FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF THIS SYSTEM...BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND THE CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS WILL RETURN FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-262115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
333 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40           30           30
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS     FLURRIES
MAX/MIN TEMP                       37           24           33
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  9        NE  7         W  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.05         0.02         0.02
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2            4
PRECIP BEGIN                    11 AM   CONTINUING         7 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         3 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           93           60
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3750           70         3170
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE 13        NE 14         W 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               48750          980        31700
DISPERSION INDEX                   49            1           32
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-262115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
333 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           40           50
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       35           22           32
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  6         N  5         W  7
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.06         0.04
PRECIP DURATION                     2            4            4
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING         7 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         5 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               64           96           63
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3430           70         4160
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE 11        NE 11        NW 11
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               37730          770        45760
DISPERSION INDEX                   38            1           46
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-262115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
333 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     60           50           30
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW SNOW SHOWERS     FLURRIES
MAX/MIN TEMP                       37           25           33
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     NW  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  8         N  8        NW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.09         0.08         0.01
PRECIP DURATION                     3            5            5
PRECIP BEGIN                    10 AM   CONTINUING         7 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           92           63
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3760           70         3520
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE 13         N 14        NW 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               48880          980        35200
DISPERSION INDEX                   49            1           35
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-262115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
333 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          THU
CLOUD COVER                    CLOUDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70           60            0
PRECIP TYPE                      SNOW         SNOW         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       35           20           32
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      N  5
PM WIND (MPH)                   NE  7         N  9      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.10         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     3            7
PRECIP BEGIN                    11 AM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         6 AM
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               60           93           62
HAINES INDEX                        2            2            3
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3500           70         3220
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             NE  7         N 15        NW  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               24500         1050        22540
DISPERSION INDEX                   25            1           23
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 30S.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND SUNDAY...SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$









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