000
FNUS53 KDTX 230750
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK EAST
THROUGH THE ST. LAWRENCE SEAWAY TODAY. THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS LOW WILL PUSH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES TODAY...ALLOWING
HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA ON FRIDAY. THIS HIGH WILL
SETTLE OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE WEEKEND...CONTINUEING
THE STRETCH OF DRY WEATHER. COOLER TEMPERATURES FROM THE MID 50S TO
THE MID 60S AND MIN RH VALUES OF 70 TO 80 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT ON TODAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING QUIET WEATHER TO
THE AREA ON FRIDAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 60 AND MIN RH
VALUES FALLING TO 30 TO 40 PERCENT. TEMPERATURES WARM SLIGHTLY ON
FRIDAY TO THE LOW TO MID 60S AS MIN RH VALUES SETTLE AROUND 40
PERCENT.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-232100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
345 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS
UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY. POP...90
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-76 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......74 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 15 TO
20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4250-4750 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH
20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1110).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS UNTIL 10 PM. PATCHY FROST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......730-930 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-43 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......39 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 10
MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (790).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-232100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
345 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS
LIKELY UNTIL 8 AM...THEN SHOWERS. POP...90
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-81 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......75 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 15 TO
20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1680-2180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE
MORNING...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH BY
AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM. PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......640-840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10
MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3750-4250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15
MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (850).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-232100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
345 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 8 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY
UNTIL 7 PM...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-77 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......71 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 20
TO 25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST IN
THE MORNING...THEN...BECOMING NORTH IN THE
AFTERNOON...INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (660).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT). A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM. PATCHY FROST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......23 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......980-1180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 10 TO 15
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......38 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4070-4570 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1010).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
$$
KURIMSKI
000
FNUS53 KDTX 221944
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
341 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY TRACK EAST
TOWARDS THE ST. LAWRENCE SEAWAY TONIGHT. THIS LOW WILL BRING SEVERAL
ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THURSDAY. THE COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL PUSH THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES
THURSDAY...ALLOWING HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE AREA ON
FRIDAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES FROM THE MID 50S TO THE MID 60S AND MIN
RH VALUES OF 50 TO 60 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING QUIET WEATHER TO THE AREA ON
FRIDAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 60 AND MIN RH VALUES FALLING
TO 35 TO 45 PERCENT.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-231400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
341 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......610-810 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS
LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5010-5510 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1050).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......770-970 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5320-5820 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 10
MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (760).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-231400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
341 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS
LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......22 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3390-3890 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1080).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-92 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......720-920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10
MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4120-4620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 15
MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-231400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
341 PM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS
WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......740-940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM. SHOWERS
LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......22 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 20
MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1830-2330 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 25
MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 11 PM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......920-1120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4340-4840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1040).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
$$
MM
000
FNUS53 KDTX 220746
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
345 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY TRACK EAST THROUGH CENTRAL
MICHIGAN TODAY...THEN HEAD TOWARDS THE ST. LAWRENCE SEAWAY TONIGHT.
THIS LOW WILL BRING SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH TONIGHT. THE COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES THURSDAY...ALLOWING HIGH PRESSURE TO
BUILD IN ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES
WILL RANGE FROM 60 TO 70 PERCENT WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES RANGING FROM
THE MID 70S ACROSS THE NORTH...WITH LOW 80S EXPECTED FAR SOUTH.
COOLER TEMPERATURES FROM THE MID 50S TO THE MID 60S AND MIN RH VALUES
OF 50 TO 60 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING QUIET WEATHER TO THE AREA ON FRIDAY...WITH
HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 60 AND MIN RH VALUES FALLING TO 35 TO 45
PERCENT.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-222100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
345 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-73 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6230-6730 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (870).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.76-1.00 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
UNTIL MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......220-420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS
LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-59 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1810-2310 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO 30
MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (830).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-222100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
345 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5980-6480 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.76-1.00 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
UNTIL MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. RAIN
SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS
LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1420-1920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 30
MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (570).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-222100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
345 AM EDT WED MAY 22 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL
NOON...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 15
TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6190-6690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1730).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.76-1.00 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS
WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......510-710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM. SHOWERS
LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3380-3880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH IN THE
AFTERNOON...THEN...INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH
LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (560).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.
$$
KURIMSKI
000
FNUS53 KDTX 211940
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
336 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL BRING
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING IN WARM AND MOIST AIR TO THE
AREA. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 50 TO 60 PERCENT WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES GETTING INTO THE 80S TODAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE
70S AND HIGHER MIN RH VALUES OF 60 TO 70 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED ON
WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. AN EVEN
COOLER AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE WEEK AS THE LOW DEPARTS AND
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH. HIGHS LATE THIS WEEK WILL BE
AROUND 60 DEGREES WITH MIN RH VALUES OF 50 TO 60 PERCENT.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-221400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
336 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...60
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5
MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS WITH
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-76 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4960-5460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (970).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1380-1580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING
SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS
LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-61 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3380-3880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
25 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-221400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
336 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...60
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS
WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5790-6290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 15 TO
20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1120).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......780-980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...DECREASING TO AROUND 5
MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS
LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1410-1910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH
25 TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-221400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
336 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...60
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4750-5250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
AROUND 30 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1400).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 4 PM. SHOWERS
LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5150-5650 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE
AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (880).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
$$
MR
000
FNUS53 KDTX 210746
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
344 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING IN WARM AND MOIST AIR TO THE AREA. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL RANGE
FROM 50 TO 60 PERCENT WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES GETTING INTO THE 80S
TODAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S AND HIGHER MIN RH VALUES OF 60
TO 70 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES. AN EVEN COOLER AIRMASS WILL ARRIVE LATE IN THE
WEEK AS THE LOW DEPARTS AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE NORTH.
HIGHS LATE THIS WEEK WILL BE AROUND 60 DEGREES WITH MIN RH VALUES OF
50 TO 60 PERCENT.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-212100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
344 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 PM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 8 AM...THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15
MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8560-9060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
AROUND 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2030).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 10 AM...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........68-74 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5780-6280 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH IN THE
AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (940).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-212100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
344 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-68 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5940-6440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......460-660 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 9 AM...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-77 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST
LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (780).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-212100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
344 AM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 8 AM...THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-61 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
MPH BY AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5780-6280 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1360).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 9 PM...THEN CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......640-840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1170).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
$$
KURIMSKI
000
FNUS53 KDTX 201956
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
353 PM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
.DISCUSSION...
A LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE TO BRING IN WARM AND MOIST AIR TO THE AREA. MINIMUM RH
VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 50 TO 60 PERCENT WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
GETTING INTO THE 80S THROUGH TUESDAY. COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S
AND HIGHER MIN RH VALUES OF 60 TO 70 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED ON
WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-211400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
353 PM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......360-560 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7110-7610 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1560).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......420-620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10020-10520 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1330).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
$$
MIZ049-054-055-062-211400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
353 PM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1 AM...THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6450-6950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1230).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 5
MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-74 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5
MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9510-10010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1250).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
$$
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-211400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
353 PM EDT MON MAY 20 2013
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...70
PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8310-8810 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2430).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. POP...80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8960-9460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1920).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
$$
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
$$
MR
|