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000
FNUS53 KJKL 201002
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
502 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD
CLOUD COVER AND PERHAPS ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS TO EASTERN KENTUCKY
EARLY TODAY. IF PRECIPITATION DOES OCCUR...IT WILL EVENTUALLY CHANGE
OVER TO RAIN BY LATE THIS MORNING BEFORE EXITING THE AREA EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON. MINIMUM HUMIDITY AND FUEL STICK MOISTURE VALUES TODAY
AND TOMORROW WILL RUN WELL ABOVE ANY CRITICAL FIRE DANGER THRESHOLDS

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-210315-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
502 AM EST SAT DEC 20 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10100 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9.
VENT RATE...........POOR (8900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN SHOWERS
LIKELY LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COLDER...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EARLY...
THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
AR







000
FNUS53 KJKL 191031
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
531 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE WEATHER
OF EASTERN KENTUCKY DRY TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT. LOW LEVEL CLOUD
COVER WILL CONTINUE TO BLANKET THE AREA EARLY...BUT WILL THIN OUT
AS THE DAY WEARS ON...GIVING WAY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES BY THIS
AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE AGAIN THIS EVENING...AS
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY SITUATED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS
BEGINS MOVING ACROSS THE TENNESSEE VALLEY. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
WILL MOVE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY FROM LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH LATE SATURDAY MORNING. MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP
TO BETWEEN 44 AND 54 PERCENT TODAY...AND TO BETWEEN 65 AND 75
PERCENT ON SATURDAY. THE INCOMING MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM WILL KEEP WILD FIRE DANGER AT A BARE
MINIMUM THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-200345-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
531 AM EST FRI DEC 19 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7.
VENT RATE...........POOR (6700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......0 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.04 INCHES.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 0 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6.
VENT RATE...........POOR (5900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SPRINKLES POSSIBLE EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF
RAIN LATE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
5 MPH LATE.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...COLDER. CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS EARLY...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE. LOWS
AROUND 30. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.CHRISTMAS DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
AR







000
FNUS53 KJKL 181112
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
612 AM EST THU DEC 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IS CURRENTLY RESULTING IN A
BAND OF MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTHERN KENTUCKY AND MUCH OF TENNESSEE.
MEANWHILE...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN PLACE HAS CREATE A LAYER OF DRY
AIR FOR WHICH ANY MOISTURE WILL HAVE TO OVERCOME TO REACH THE
SURFACE. IT IS POSSIBLE...HOWEVER...THAT SOME LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET
COULD SQUEEZE OUT OF THIS SYSTEM ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS...FOLLOWED BY SPRINKLES ONCE TEMPS RISE ABOVE
FREEZING. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE BY EARLY
AFTERNOON...THOUGH SOME LINGERING FLURRIES ARE STILL POSSIBLE INTO
THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN KY. OTHERWISE...SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE WILL KEEP A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION IN PLACE OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THIS WILL KEEP LIGHT WINDS NEAR THE SURFACE ALONG WITH CLOUDY
CONDITIONS. HOWEVER...A STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK...ALSO ACROSS
SOUTHERN KENTUCKY AND TENNESSEE TODAY...WILL KEEP VERY STRONG
WESTERLY WINDS ABOVE AROUND 6K FT AGL.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-190415-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
612 AM EST THU DEC 18 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF LIGHT SLEET IN THE MORNING...MAINLY
                    ALONG THE TENNESSEE BORDER. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12.
VENT RATE...........POOR (12400 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......20-30 PERCENT NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER.
QPF (INCHES)........0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN A
CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY...THEN A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE AT NIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...THEN
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY...THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE AT NIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$
JMW







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