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000
FNUS71 KAKQ 251244
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHUB SANDHILL UNITS 6 7...DCR DNH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
844 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY. THE DAY WILL START OUT
CLOUDY BUT A FEW SUNNY BREAKS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE EAST AND MAY TURN MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY THIS
AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS EVENING INTO
THURSDAY MORNING...THEN CONDITIONS DRY OUT LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT CROSSES THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BETTER CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN
                    IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 58-61.
RH..................70-75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1700-2100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............91  90  90  90  88  88  88  86  86  86
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................42  44  46  49  51  54  56  58  60  60
RH..................79  79  76  74  74  69  69  67  64  67
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  10  9   8   8   8   8   10  13  15
LVORI...............4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3
ADI.................12  11  10  9   9   11  14  19  24  29
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   2   5   8   12  16  22  26

.TONIGHT...

RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT LATE IN THE EVENING...50 PERCENT
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
RH..................69  75  78  80  80  83  86  90  90  93  96  100
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14  12  10  9   9   9   12  13  14  12  9   8
LVORI...............3   3   3   4   4   5   4   5   5   6   6   6
ADI.................6   5   5   4   4   4   7   9   9   8   6   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....18  10  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75-78.
RH..................MIN 59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 32
                    TO 33 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............91  91  91  84  84  84  73  73  73  67  67  67
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................57  59  61  62  64  66  68  70  71  73  75  73
RH..................100 96  90  90  84  81  76  73  71  66  62  66
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   7   8   10  10  12  13  14  13  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   12  15  17  18  21  25  29  32  33  33  32
LVORI...............6   5   5   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   3   3
ADI.................10  13  16  18  27  37  50  65  78  79  78  75
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   3   3   11  20  31  46  65  85  86  84  79



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...REBECCA WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.CHUBS.01/AKQ




000
FNUS71 KAKQ 251244
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHUB SANDHILL UNITS 6 7...DCR DNH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
844 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY. THE DAY WILL START OUT
CLOUDY BUT A FEW SUNNY BREAKS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE EAST AND MAY TURN MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY THIS
AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS EVENING INTO
THURSDAY MORNING...THEN CONDITIONS DRY OUT LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT CROSSES THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BETTER CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN
                    IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 58-61.
RH..................70-75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1700-2100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............91  90  90  90  88  88  88  86  86  86
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................42  44  46  49  51  54  56  58  60  60
RH..................79  79  76  74  74  69  69  67  64  67
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  10  9   8   8   8   8   10  13  15
LVORI...............4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3
ADI.................12  11  10  9   9   11  14  19  24  29
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   2   5   8   12  16  22  26

.TONIGHT...

RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT LATE IN THE EVENING...50 PERCENT
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
RH..................69  75  78  80  80  83  86  90  90  93  96  100
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14  12  10  9   9   9   12  13  14  12  9   8
LVORI...............3   3   3   4   4   5   4   5   5   6   6   6
ADI.................6   5   5   4   4   4   7   9   9   8   6   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....18  10  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75-78.
RH..................MIN 59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 32
                    TO 33 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............91  91  91  84  84  84  73  73  73  67  67  67
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................57  59  61  62  64  66  68  70  71  73  75  73
RH..................100 96  90  90  84  81  76  73  71  66  62  66
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   7   8   10  10  12  13  14  13  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   12  15  17  18  21  25  29  32  33  33  32
LVORI...............6   5   5   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   3   3
ADI.................10  13  16  18  27  37  50  65  78  79  78  75
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   3   3   11  20  31  46  65  85  86  84  79



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...REBECCA WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.CHUBS.01/AKQ





000
FNUS71 KAKQ 251244
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHUB SANDHILL UNITS 6 7...DCR DNH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
844 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY. THE DAY WILL START OUT
CLOUDY BUT A FEW SUNNY BREAKS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE EAST AND MAY TURN MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY THIS
AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS EVENING INTO
THURSDAY MORNING...THEN CONDITIONS DRY OUT LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT CROSSES THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BETTER CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN
                    IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 58-61.
RH..................70-75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1700-2100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............91  90  90  90  88  88  88  86  86  86
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................42  44  46  49  51  54  56  58  60  60
RH..................79  79  76  74  74  69  69  67  64  67
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  10  9   8   8   8   8   10  13  15
LVORI...............4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3
ADI.................12  11  10  9   9   11  14  19  24  29
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   2   5   8   12  16  22  26

.TONIGHT...

RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT LATE IN THE EVENING...50 PERCENT
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
RH..................69  75  78  80  80  83  86  90  90  93  96  100
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14  12  10  9   9   9   12  13  14  12  9   8
LVORI...............3   3   3   4   4   5   4   5   5   6   6   6
ADI.................6   5   5   4   4   4   7   9   9   8   6   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....18  10  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75-78.
RH..................MIN 59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 32
                    TO 33 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............91  91  91  84  84  84  73  73  73  67  67  67
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................57  59  61  62  64  66  68  70  71  73  75  73
RH..................100 96  90  90  84  81  76  73  71  66  62  66
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   7   8   10  10  12  13  14  13  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   12  15  17  18  21  25  29  32  33  33  32
LVORI...............6   5   5   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   3   3
ADI.................10  13  16  18  27  37  50  65  78  79  78  75
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   3   3   11  20  31  46  65  85  86  84  79



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...REBECCA WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.CHUBS.01/AKQ





000
FNUS71 KAKQ 251244
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHUB SANDHILL UNITS 6 7...DCR DNH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
844 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY. THE DAY WILL START OUT
CLOUDY BUT A FEW SUNNY BREAKS ARE POSSIBLE BY LATE THIS MORNING/EARLY
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE EAST AND MAY TURN MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY THIS
AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATER THIS EVENING INTO
THURSDAY MORNING...THEN CONDITIONS DRY OUT LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT CROSSES THE REGION
THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BETTER CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN
                    IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 58-61.
RH..................70-75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 60-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1700-2100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............91  90  90  90  88  88  88  86  86  86
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................42  44  46  49  51  54  56  58  60  60
RH..................79  79  76  74  74  69  69  67  64  67
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  10  9   8   8   8   8   10  13  15
LVORI...............4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3
ADI.................12  11  10  9   9   11  14  19  24  29
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30  30  30  30  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   2   5   8   12  16  22  26

.TONIGHT...

RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT LATE IN THE EVENING...50 PERCENT
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
RH..................69  75  78  80  80  83  86  90  90  93  96  100
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14  12  10  9   9   9   12  13  14  12  9   8
LVORI...............3   3   3   4   4   5   4   5   5   6   6   6
ADI.................6   5   5   4   4   4   7   9   9   8   6   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....18  10  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75-78.
RH..................MIN 59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 32
                    TO 33 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............91  91  91  84  84  84  73  73  73  67  67  67
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................57  59  61  62  64  66  68  70  71  73  75  73
RH..................100 96  90  90  84  81  76  73  71  66  62  66
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   7   8   10  10  12  13  14  13  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   12  15  17  18  21  25  29  32  33  33  32
LVORI...............6   5   5   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   3   3
ADI.................10  13  16  18  27  37  50  65  78  79  78  75
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   3   3   11  20  31  46  65  85  86  84  79



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...REBECCA WILSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.CHUBS.01/AKQ




000
FNUS71 KAKQ 251228
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROBBINS CHURCH RD...U.S FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
828 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0740 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY. LIGHT DRIZZLE MAY PASS
ACROSS THE BURN SITE BEFORE 1000 HOURS...OTHERWISE WEATHER WILL BE
DRY TODAY. WINDS WILL BE EAST AND MAY TURN MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY
THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING...THEN CONDITIONS DRY OUT THROUGH MOST OF THURSDAY.
A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BETTER
CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 50-53.
RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500-1900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 16
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............61  73  73  73  84  84  84  88  88  88
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................33  35  37  40  43  46  48  50  52  52
RH..................89  85  85  79  73  68  65  63  61  66
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   6   9   12  13  13  13  15  16  16
LVORI...............6   4   4   3   3   3   2   3   3   3
ADI.................4   6   10  13  14  19  24  26  27  27
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   2   3   9   15  21  22  23  21

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47-50.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  90  90  90  93  93  93  93  93  93
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51  51  51  51  50  50  50  49  49  49  49  48
RH..................71  74  77  80  83  86  86  93  93  96  96  100
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14  10  8   6   6   6   7   8   8   7   6   6
LVORI...............3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
ADI.................13  10  5   4   4   4   4   5   6   7   6   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....13  6   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   1   1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-72.
RH..................MIN 60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............92  92  92  88  88  88  84  84  84  78  78  78
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................48  50  52  54  56  59  61  63  65  67  69  67
RH..................100 100 93  90  86  80  78  75  73  68  61  65
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......9   9   10  10  10  12  13  13  14  14  13  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   10  13  16  18  21  23  23  22  18  16
LVORI...............6   6   6   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................7   9   11  14  17  20  23  31  38  40  38  35
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50  50  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   2   2   3   3   4   12  22  31  35  35  35



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.ROBBI.01/AKQ




000
FNUS71 KAKQ 251228
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROBBINS CHURCH RD...U.S FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
828 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0740 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY. LIGHT DRIZZLE MAY PASS
ACROSS THE BURN SITE BEFORE 1000 HOURS...OTHERWISE WEATHER WILL BE
DRY TODAY. WINDS WILL BE EAST AND MAY TURN MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY
THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING...THEN CONDITIONS DRY OUT THROUGH MOST OF THURSDAY.
A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BETTER
CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 50-53.
RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500-1900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 16
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............61  73  73  73  84  84  84  88  88  88
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................33  35  37  40  43  46  48  50  52  52
RH..................89  85  85  79  73  68  65  63  61  66
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   6   9   12  13  13  13  15  16  16
LVORI...............6   4   4   3   3   3   2   3   3   3
ADI.................4   6   10  13  14  19  24  26  27  27
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   2   3   9   15  21  22  23  21

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47-50.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  90  90  90  93  93  93  93  93  93
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51  51  51  51  50  50  50  49  49  49  49  48
RH..................71  74  77  80  83  86  86  93  93  96  96  100
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14  10  8   6   6   6   7   8   8   7   6   6
LVORI...............3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
ADI.................13  10  5   4   4   4   4   5   6   7   6   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....13  6   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   1   1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-72.
RH..................MIN 60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............92  92  92  88  88  88  84  84  84  78  78  78
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................48  50  52  54  56  59  61  63  65  67  69  67
RH..................100 100 93  90  86  80  78  75  73  68  61  65
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......9   9   10  10  10  12  13  13  14  14  13  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   10  13  16  18  21  23  23  22  18  16
LVORI...............6   6   6   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................7   9   11  14  17  20  23  31  38  40  38  35
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50  50  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   2   2   3   3   4   12  22  31  35  35  35



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.ROBBI.01/AKQ




000
FNUS71 KAKQ 251228
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROBBINS CHURCH RD...U.S FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
828 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0740 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY. LIGHT DRIZZLE MAY PASS
ACROSS THE BURN SITE BEFORE 1000 HOURS...OTHERWISE WEATHER WILL BE
DRY TODAY. WINDS WILL BE EAST AND MAY TURN MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY
THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING...THEN CONDITIONS DRY OUT THROUGH MOST OF THURSDAY.
A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BETTER
CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 50-53.
RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500-1900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 16
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............61  73  73  73  84  84  84  88  88  88
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................33  35  37  40  43  46  48  50  52  52
RH..................89  85  85  79  73  68  65  63  61  66
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   6   9   12  13  13  13  15  16  16
LVORI...............6   4   4   3   3   3   2   3   3   3
ADI.................4   6   10  13  14  19  24  26  27  27
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   2   3   9   15  21  22  23  21

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47-50.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  90  90  90  93  93  93  93  93  93
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51  51  51  51  50  50  50  49  49  49  49  48
RH..................71  74  77  80  83  86  86  93  93  96  96  100
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14  10  8   6   6   6   7   8   8   7   6   6
LVORI...............3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
ADI.................13  10  5   4   4   4   4   5   6   7   6   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....13  6   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   1   1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-72.
RH..................MIN 60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............92  92  92  88  88  88  84  84  84  78  78  78
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................48  50  52  54  56  59  61  63  65  67  69  67
RH..................100 100 93  90  86  80  78  75  73  68  61  65
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......9   9   10  10  10  12  13  13  14  14  13  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   10  13  16  18  21  23  23  22  18  16
LVORI...............6   6   6   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................7   9   11  14  17  20  23  31  38  40  38  35
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50  50  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   2   2   3   3   4   12  22  31  35  35  35



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.ROBBI.01/AKQ





000
FNUS71 KAKQ 251228
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROBBINS CHURCH RD...U.S FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
828 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0740 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY. LIGHT DRIZZLE MAY PASS
ACROSS THE BURN SITE BEFORE 1000 HOURS...OTHERWISE WEATHER WILL BE
DRY TODAY. WINDS WILL BE EAST AND MAY TURN MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY
THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING...THEN CONDITIONS DRY OUT THROUGH MOST OF THURSDAY.
A COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BETTER
CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 50-53.
RH..................75 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500-1900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 16
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............61  73  73  73  84  84  84  88  88  88
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................33  35  37  40  43  46  48  50  52  52
RH..................89  85  85  79  73  68  65  63  61  66
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   6   9   12  13  13  13  15  16  16
LVORI...............6   4   4   3   3   3   2   3   3   3
ADI.................4   6   10  13  14  19  24  26  27  27
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   2   3   9   15  21  22  23  21

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47-50.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  90  90  90  93  93  93  93  93  93
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51  51  51  51  50  50  50  49  49  49  49  48
RH..................71  74  77  80  83  86  86  93  93  96  96  100
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14  10  8   6   6   6   7   8   8   7   6   6
LVORI...............3   4   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
ADI.................13  10  5   4   4   4   4   5   6   7   6   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....13  6   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   1   1

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-72.
RH..................MIN 60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 16 TO 23 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............92  92  92  88  88  88  84  84  84  78  78  78
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................48  50  52  54  56  59  61  63  65  67  69  67
RH..................100 100 93  90  86  80  78  75  73  68  61  65
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......9   9   10  10  10  12  13  13  14  14  13  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   10  13  16  18  21  23  23  22  18  16
LVORI...............6   6   6   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................7   9   11  14  17  20  23  31  38  40  38  35
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50  50  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60  60
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   2   2   3   3   4   12  22  31  35  35  35



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.ROBBI.01/AKQ





000
FNUS71 KAKQ 251220
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR EODTC...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
820 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY. LIGHT DRIZZLE WILL BARELY
SKIRT THE BURN SITE PRIOR TO IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEATHER WILL BE DRY
TODAY. WINDS WILL BE EAST AND MAY TURN MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY THIS
AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING...THEN CONDITIONS DRY OUT THROUGH MOST OF THURSDAY. A
COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BETTER CHANCES
FOR WETTING RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THIS MORNING (85-95 PERCENT)...BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON (70-80 PERCENT). A
                    CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........41-43 AT IGNITION...MAX 52-54.
RH..................75-79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 65-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING
                    SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT PRIOR TO IGNITION THIS MORNING. 15-20
                    PERCENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500-1700 FT
                    AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............93  93  94  94  94  90  85  80  72  74  80
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC                         SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN                          RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................36  37  39  42  44  46  49  51  51  52  52
RH..................89  79  76  70  70  68  63  61  63  66  69
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   8   7   7   8   9   10  12  12  10
LVORI...............5   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3
ADI.................5   6   6   8   8   10  14  19  20  19  18
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30  30  30  15  0   0   0   0   0   20  20
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   2   2   5   10  16  17  16  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49-52.
RH..................MAX 95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...THEN 50 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............89  89  89  90  90  90  90  90  90  89  89  89
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52  53  53  53  52  52  52  51  51  52  52  53
RH..................71  74  77  80  83  86  89  93  96  96  96  96
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   7
LVORI...............3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   8   8   7   7
ADI.................6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....11  7   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73-76.
RH..................MIN 59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-2800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 31
                    TO 37 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  79  79  79  68  68  68  67  67  67
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................53  54  54  57  59  62  64  67  69  71  74  72
RH..................96  96  93  90  87  84  78  75  70  68  61  65
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  12  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  25  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   5   5   6   8   13  21  30  36  37  35  31
LVORI...............6   7   7   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................6   5   5   6   9   15  33  55  77  81  79  72
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   1   2   5   10  25  49  76  82  81  76



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.EODTC.01/AKQ




000
FNUS71 KAKQ 251220
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR EODTC...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
820 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY. LIGHT DRIZZLE WILL BARELY
SKIRT THE BURN SITE PRIOR TO IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEATHER WILL BE DRY
TODAY. WINDS WILL BE EAST AND MAY TURN MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY THIS
AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING...THEN CONDITIONS DRY OUT THROUGH MOST OF THURSDAY. A
COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BETTER CHANCES
FOR WETTING RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THIS MORNING (85-95 PERCENT)...BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON (70-80 PERCENT). A
                    CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........41-43 AT IGNITION...MAX 52-54.
RH..................75-79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 65-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING
                    SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT PRIOR TO IGNITION THIS MORNING. 15-20
                    PERCENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500-1700 FT
                    AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............93  93  94  94  94  90  85  80  72  74  80
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC                         SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN                          RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................36  37  39  42  44  46  49  51  51  52  52
RH..................89  79  76  70  70  68  63  61  63  66  69
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   8   7   7   8   9   10  12  12  10
LVORI...............5   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3
ADI.................5   6   6   8   8   10  14  19  20  19  18
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30  30  30  15  0   0   0   0   0   20  20
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   2   2   5   10  16  17  16  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49-52.
RH..................MAX 95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...THEN 50 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............89  89  89  90  90  90  90  90  90  89  89  89
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52  53  53  53  52  52  52  51  51  52  52  53
RH..................71  74  77  80  83  86  89  93  96  96  96  96
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   7
LVORI...............3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   8   8   7   7
ADI.................6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....11  7   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73-76.
RH..................MIN 59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-2800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 31
                    TO 37 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  79  79  79  68  68  68  67  67  67
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................53  54  54  57  59  62  64  67  69  71  74  72
RH..................96  96  93  90  87  84  78  75  70  68  61  65
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  12  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  25  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   5   5   6   8   13  21  30  36  37  35  31
LVORI...............6   7   7   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................6   5   5   6   9   15  33  55  77  81  79  72
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   1   2   5   10  25  49  76  82  81  76



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.EODTC.01/AKQ





000
FNUS71 KAKQ 251220
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR EODTC...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
820 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY. LIGHT DRIZZLE WILL BARELY
SKIRT THE BURN SITE PRIOR TO IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEATHER WILL BE DRY
TODAY. WINDS WILL BE EAST AND MAY TURN MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY THIS
AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING...THEN CONDITIONS DRY OUT THROUGH MOST OF THURSDAY. A
COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BETTER CHANCES
FOR WETTING RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THIS MORNING (85-95 PERCENT)...BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON (70-80 PERCENT). A
                    CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........41-43 AT IGNITION...MAX 52-54.
RH..................75-79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 65-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING
                    SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT PRIOR TO IGNITION THIS MORNING. 15-20
                    PERCENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500-1700 FT
                    AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............93  93  94  94  94  90  85  80  72  74  80
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC                         SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN                          RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................36  37  39  42  44  46  49  51  51  52  52
RH..................89  79  76  70  70  68  63  61  63  66  69
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   8   7   7   8   9   10  12  12  10
LVORI...............5   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3
ADI.................5   6   6   8   8   10  14  19  20  19  18
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30  30  30  15  0   0   0   0   0   20  20
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   2   2   5   10  16  17  16  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49-52.
RH..................MAX 95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...THEN 50 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............89  89  89  90  90  90  90  90  90  89  89  89
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52  53  53  53  52  52  52  51  51  52  52  53
RH..................71  74  77  80  83  86  89  93  96  96  96  96
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   7
LVORI...............3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   8   8   7   7
ADI.................6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....11  7   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73-76.
RH..................MIN 59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-2800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 31
                    TO 37 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  79  79  79  68  68  68  67  67  67
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................53  54  54  57  59  62  64  67  69  71  74  72
RH..................96  96  93  90  87  84  78  75  70  68  61  65
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  12  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  25  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   5   5   6   8   13  21  30  36  37  35  31
LVORI...............6   7   7   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................6   5   5   6   9   15  33  55  77  81  79  72
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   1   2   5   10  25  49  76  82  81  76



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.EODTC.01/AKQ





000
FNUS71 KAKQ 251220
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR EODTC...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
820 AM EDT WED MAR 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA TODAY. LIGHT DRIZZLE WILL BARELY
SKIRT THE BURN SITE PRIOR TO IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEATHER WILL BE DRY
TODAY. WINDS WILL BE EAST AND MAY TURN MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY THIS
AFTERNOON. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO
THIS EVENING...THEN CONDITIONS DRY OUT THROUGH MOST OF THURSDAY. A
COLD FRONT CROSSES THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT...BRINGING BETTER CHANCES
FOR WETTING RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THIS MORNING (85-95 PERCENT)...BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON (70-80 PERCENT). A
                    CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........41-43 AT IGNITION...MAX 52-54.
RH..................75-79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 65-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING
                    SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT PRIOR TO IGNITION THIS MORNING. 15-20
                    PERCENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500-1700 FT
                    AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............93  93  94  94  94  90  85  80  72  74  80
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC                         SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN                          RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................36  37  39  42  44  46  49  51  51  52  52
RH..................89  79  76  70  70  68  63  61  63  66  69
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   8   7   7   8   9   10  12  12  10
LVORI...............5   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3
ADI.................5   6   6   8   8   10  14  19  20  19  18
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30  30  30  15  0   0   0   0   0   20  20
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   2   2   5   10  16  17  16  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49-52.
RH..................MAX 95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE EVENING...THEN 50 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............89  89  89  90  90  90  90  90  90  89  89  89
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52  53  53  53  52  52  52  51  51  52  52  53
RH..................71  74  77  80  83  86  89  93  96  96  96  96
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   7   7
LVORI...............3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   8   8   7   7
ADI.................6   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....11  7   4   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73-76.
RH..................MIN 59-64 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-2800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 31
                    TO 37 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  79  79  79  68  68  68  67  67  67
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................53  54  54  57  59  62  64  67  69  71  74  72
RH..................96  96  93  90  87  84  78  75  70  68  61  65
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  12  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  25  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   5   5   6   8   13  21  30  36  37  35  31
LVORI...............6   7   7   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................6   5   5   6   9   15  33  55  77  81  79  72
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   1   2   5   10  25  49  76  82  81  76



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150325.EODTC.01/AKQ




000
FNUS71 KAKQ 241154
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHORTERS WHARF RD WEST...U.S FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
754 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THEN SLIDES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY INTACT TODAY
DUE TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE WELL NORTH OF
THE BURN SITE. LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
WITH AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL WARM TEMPERATURES BUT KEEP DEWPOINTS ELEVATED AS WELL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 44.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500-2900 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............92  92  92  92  92  90  90  90  83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................34  33  35  36  38  40  41  43  42  42  41
RH..................66  69  64  64  59  55  55  51  55  55  59
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT WIND SPD......7   8   7   7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   NE  NE  E   N   N   SE  NW  NW  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   12  7   6   8   5   6   3   6   6   2
LVORI...............3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
ADI.................9   9   9   10  17  10  13  8   13  14  5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....7   3   6   9   17  10  14  9   14  15  6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST 3 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............74  74  74  63  63  63  52  52  52  56  56  56
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  40  39  38  38  37  36  36  35  35  35  36
RH..................62  64  67  70  70  72  75  75  78  78  82  79
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.3 1.7 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   E   N   E   E   E   SE  E   SE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   7   3   3   6   3   5   3   5   3   3
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   4
ADI.................2   2   3   2   2   3   2   3   2   3   2   2
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....9   7   7   3   3   4   2   2   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 12 TO 13
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............67  67  67  76  76  76  83  83  83  83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................36  36  36  38  40  43  45  47  49  49  49  50
RH..................79  82  82  79  76  73  70  68  66  68  71  71
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   10  12  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  12
LVORI...............4   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................3   3   11  12  13  17  18  19  20  19  17  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   2   5   9   12  13  14  15  14  12  11



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150324.SHORT.01/AKQ




000
FNUS71 KAKQ 241154
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHORTERS WHARF RD WEST...U.S FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
754 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THEN SLIDES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY INTACT TODAY
DUE TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE WELL NORTH OF
THE BURN SITE. LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
WITH AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL WARM TEMPERATURES BUT KEEP DEWPOINTS ELEVATED AS WELL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 44.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500-2900 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............92  92  92  92  92  90  90  90  83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................34  33  35  36  38  40  41  43  42  42  41
RH..................66  69  64  64  59  55  55  51  55  55  59
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT WIND SPD......7   8   7   7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   NE  NE  E   N   N   SE  NW  NW  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   12  7   6   8   5   6   3   6   6   2
LVORI...............3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
ADI.................9   9   9   10  17  10  13  8   13  14  5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....7   3   6   9   17  10  14  9   14  15  6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST 3 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............74  74  74  63  63  63  52  52  52  56  56  56
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  40  39  38  38  37  36  36  35  35  35  36
RH..................62  64  67  70  70  72  75  75  78  78  82  79
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.3 1.7 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   E   N   E   E   E   SE  E   SE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   7   3   3   6   3   5   3   5   3   3
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   4
ADI.................2   2   3   2   2   3   2   3   2   3   2   2
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....9   7   7   3   3   4   2   2   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 12 TO 13
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............67  67  67  76  76  76  83  83  83  83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................36  36  36  38  40  43  45  47  49  49  49  50
RH..................79  82  82  79  76  73  70  68  66  68  71  71
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   10  12  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  12
LVORI...............4   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................3   3   11  12  13  17  18  19  20  19  17  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   2   5   9   12  13  14  15  14  12  11



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150324.SHORT.01/AKQ





000
FNUS71 KAKQ 241154
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHORTERS WHARF RD WEST...U.S FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
754 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THEN SLIDES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY INTACT TODAY
DUE TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE WELL NORTH OF
THE BURN SITE. LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
WITH AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL WARM TEMPERATURES BUT KEEP DEWPOINTS ELEVATED AS WELL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 44.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500-2900 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............92  92  92  92  92  90  90  90  83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................34  33  35  36  38  40  41  43  42  42  41
RH..................66  69  64  64  59  55  55  51  55  55  59
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT WIND SPD......7   8   7   7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   NE  NE  E   N   N   SE  NW  NW  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   12  7   6   8   5   6   3   6   6   2
LVORI...............3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
ADI.................9   9   9   10  17  10  13  8   13  14  5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....7   3   6   9   17  10  14  9   14  15  6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST 3 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............74  74  74  63  63  63  52  52  52  56  56  56
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  40  39  38  38  37  36  36  35  35  35  36
RH..................62  64  67  70  70  72  75  75  78  78  82  79
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.3 1.7 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   E   N   E   E   E   SE  E   SE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   7   3   3   6   3   5   3   5   3   3
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   4
ADI.................2   2   3   2   2   3   2   3   2   3   2   2
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....9   7   7   3   3   4   2   2   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 12 TO 13
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............67  67  67  76  76  76  83  83  83  83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................36  36  36  38  40  43  45  47  49  49  49  50
RH..................79  82  82  79  76  73  70  68  66  68  71  71
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   10  12  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  12
LVORI...............4   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................3   3   11  12  13  17  18  19  20  19  17  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   2   5   9   12  13  14  15  14  12  11



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150324.SHORT.01/AKQ





000
FNUS71 KAKQ 241154
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR SHORTERS WHARF RD WEST...U.S FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
754 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THEN SLIDES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY INTACT TODAY
DUE TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE WELL NORTH OF
THE BURN SITE. LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
WITH AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL WARM TEMPERATURES BUT KEEP DEWPOINTS ELEVATED AS WELL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 44.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500-2900 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............92  92  92  92  92  90  90  90  83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................34  33  35  36  38  40  41  43  42  42  41
RH..................66  69  64  64  59  55  55  51  55  55  59
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT WIND SPD......7   8   7   7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   NE  NE  E   N   N   SE  NW  NW  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   12  7   6   8   5   6   3   6   6   2
LVORI...............3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
ADI.................9   9   9   10  17  10  13  8   13  14  5
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....7   3   6   9   17  10  14  9   14  15  6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST 3 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............74  74  74  63  63  63  52  52  52  56  56  56
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  40  39  38  38  37  36  36  35  35  35  36
RH..................62  64  67  70  70  72  75  75  78  78  82  79
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.3 1.7 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   E   N   E   E   E   SE  E   SE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   7   3   3   6   3   5   3   5   3   3
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5   4
ADI.................2   2   3   2   2   3   2   3   2   3   2   2
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....9   7   7   3   3   4   2   2   1   1   1   1

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 12 TO 13
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............67  67  67  76  76  76  83  83  83  83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................36  36  36  38  40  43  45  47  49  49  49  50
RH..................79  82  82  79  76  73  70  68  66  68  71  71
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   10  12  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  12
LVORI...............4   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI.................3   3   11  12  13  17  18  19  20  19  17  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   2   5   9   12  13  14  15  14  12  11



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...ART CANTERBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150324.SHORT.01/AKQ




000
FNUS71 KAKQ 241152
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANIELS...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
752 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THEN SLIDES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY INTACT TODAY
DUE TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE WELL NORTH OF
THE BURN SITE. LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
WITH AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL WARM TEMPERATURES BUT KEEP DEWPOINTS ELEVATED AS WELL.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-3000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............89  89  89  89  89  88  88  88  80  80  80
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35  34  36  38  40  42  44  46  45  44  44
RH..................72  78  72  67  62  57  53  49  51  55  55
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                        5   5   10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.7 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   NE  E   E   SE  E   SE  SE  E   NE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   8   7   6   8   3   2   6   1   1   6
LVORI...............3   4   3   3   2   3   2   2   2   3   2
ADI.................7   6   8   10  17  8   5   14  3   3   14
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....5   2   6   8   17  8   6   15  3   3   15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............69  69  69  66  66  66  67  67  67  75  75  75
WEATHER COV.........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........                        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43  42  41  40  39  39  38  37  36  36  36  37
RH..................57  62  65  67  70  70  70  72  75  79  79  79
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E   SE  SE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   5   9   6   7   9   7   6   6   6   6   8
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
ADI.................2   3   4   3   3   4   3   3   3   3   3   4
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....7   7   9   5   5   5   3   2   1   1   1   2

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  88  88  88  83  83  83  81  81  81
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................37  37  37  39  42  44  46  49  51  51  52  52
RH..................79  82  82  79  73  73  71  66  63  66  69  71
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   3   3   6   7   8   9   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   6   8   9   9   10  10  12  12  13  13  13
LVORI...............4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   2   3   3   3
ADI.................4   6   9   10  10  13  14  15  16  17  19  20
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   2   4   6   9   10  11  12  13  14  15



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150324.DANIE.01/AKQ





000
FNUS71 KAKQ 241152
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANIELS...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
752 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THEN SLIDES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY INTACT TODAY
DUE TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE WELL NORTH OF
THE BURN SITE. LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
WITH AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL WARM TEMPERATURES BUT KEEP DEWPOINTS ELEVATED AS WELL.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-3000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............89  89  89  89  89  88  88  88  80  80  80
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35  34  36  38  40  42  44  46  45  44  44
RH..................72  78  72  67  62  57  53  49  51  55  55
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                        5   5   10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.7 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   NE  E   E   SE  E   SE  SE  E   NE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   8   7   6   8   3   2   6   1   1   6
LVORI...............3   4   3   3   2   3   2   2   2   3   2
ADI.................7   6   8   10  17  8   5   14  3   3   14
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....5   2   6   8   17  8   6   15  3   3   15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............69  69  69  66  66  66  67  67  67  75  75  75
WEATHER COV.........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........                        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43  42  41  40  39  39  38  37  36  36  36  37
RH..................57  62  65  67  70  70  70  72  75  79  79  79
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E   SE  SE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   5   9   6   7   9   7   6   6   6   6   8
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
ADI.................2   3   4   3   3   4   3   3   3   3   3   4
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....7   7   9   5   5   5   3   2   1   1   1   2

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  88  88  88  83  83  83  81  81  81
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................37  37  37  39  42  44  46  49  51  51  52  52
RH..................79  82  82  79  73  73  71  66  63  66  69  71
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   3   3   6   7   8   9   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   6   8   9   9   10  10  12  12  13  13  13
LVORI...............4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   2   3   3   3
ADI.................4   6   9   10  10  13  14  15  16  17  19  20
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   2   4   6   9   10  11  12  13  14  15



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150324.DANIE.01/AKQ




000
FNUS71 KAKQ 241152
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANIELS...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
752 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THEN SLIDES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY INTACT TODAY
DUE TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE WELL NORTH OF
THE BURN SITE. LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
WITH AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL WARM TEMPERATURES BUT KEEP DEWPOINTS ELEVATED AS WELL.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-3000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............89  89  89  89  89  88  88  88  80  80  80
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35  34  36  38  40  42  44  46  45  44  44
RH..................72  78  72  67  62  57  53  49  51  55  55
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                        5   5   10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.7 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   NE  E   E   SE  E   SE  SE  E   NE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   8   7   6   8   3   2   6   1   1   6
LVORI...............3   4   3   3   2   3   2   2   2   3   2
ADI.................7   6   8   10  17  8   5   14  3   3   14
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....5   2   6   8   17  8   6   15  3   3   15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............69  69  69  66  66  66  67  67  67  75  75  75
WEATHER COV.........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........                        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43  42  41  40  39  39  38  37  36  36  36  37
RH..................57  62  65  67  70  70  70  72  75  79  79  79
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E   SE  SE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   5   9   6   7   9   7   6   6   6   6   8
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
ADI.................2   3   4   3   3   4   3   3   3   3   3   4
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....7   7   9   5   5   5   3   2   1   1   1   2

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  88  88  88  83  83  83  81  81  81
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................37  37  37  39  42  44  46  49  51  51  52  52
RH..................79  82  82  79  73  73  71  66  63  66  69  71
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   3   3   6   7   8   9   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   6   8   9   9   10  10  12  12  13  13  13
LVORI...............4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   2   3   3   3
ADI.................4   6   9   10  10  13  14  15  16  17  19  20
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   2   4   6   9   10  11  12  13  14  15



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150324.DANIE.01/AKQ





000
FNUS71 KAKQ 241152
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANIELS...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
752 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE RESIDES OVER THE AREA TODAY AND THEN SLIDES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. MID LEVEL CLOUDINESS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY INTACT TODAY
DUE TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A PASSING SHORTWAVE WELL NORTH OF
THE BURN SITE. LOW PRESSURE TRACKS TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT
WITH AN ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT LIFTING NORTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL WARM TEMPERATURES BUT KEEP DEWPOINTS ELEVATED AS WELL.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-3000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............89  89  89  89  89  88  88  88  80  80  80
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35  34  36  38  40  42  44  46  45  44  44
RH..................72  78  72  67  62  57  53  49  51  55  55
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                        5   5   10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.7 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   NE  E   E   SE  E   SE  SE  E   NE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   8   7   6   8   3   2   6   1   1   6
LVORI...............3   4   3   3   2   3   2   2   2   3   2
ADI.................7   6   8   10  17  8   5   14  3   3   14
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....5   2   6   8   17  8   6   15  3   3   15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............69  69  69  66  66  66  67  67  67  75  75  75
WEATHER COV.........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........                        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43  42  41  40  39  39  38  37  36  36  36  37
RH..................57  62  65  67  70  70  70  72  75  79  79  79
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.4 1.7 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  E   SE  SE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   5   9   6   7   9   7   6   6   6   6   8
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
ADI.................2   3   4   3   3   4   3   3   3   3   3   4
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  30  30  30
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/1000....7   7   9   5   5   5   3   2   1   1   1   2

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............88  88  88  88  88  88  83  83  83  81  81  81
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................37  37  37  39  42  44  46  49  51  51  52  52
RH..................79  82  82  79  73  73  71  66  63  66  69  71
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   3   3   6   7   8   9   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  15  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   6   8   9   9   10  10  12  12  13  13  13
LVORI...............4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   2   3   3   3
ADI.................4   6   9   10  10  13  14  15  16  17  19  20
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   2   4   6   9   10  11  12  13  14  15



FORECASTER...DEROSA
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150324.DANIE.01/AKQ




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