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000
FNUS71 KAKQ 211333
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 03B...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
933 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION TODAY...AND PUSHES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE BY THIS AFTERNOON
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING...THEN WEST TO
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. COOL AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY DRIER CONDITIONS AND
BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNSHINE FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDS (55-65
                    PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER 4 PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT SW WINDS...BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT AFTER 4 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5500 FT AGL BY
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............23  30  40  55  60  70  81  81  81
WEATHER COV.........                    SCH SCH SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE........                    RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................57  63  65  68  70  70  68  67  67
RH..................71  56  50  45  43  42  42  44  47
CHC OF PCPN (%)..... 0   0   0   0  10  20  20  30  40
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.2 2.1 3.1 4.0 5.0 5.2 5.2 4.7 3.4
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......2   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   8   10  12  10  9   8   7   7
VRATE KT-FT/1000....8   15  25  32  41  46  47  47  40
LVORI...............3   3   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................3   17  30  32  24  22  19  16  14
HAINES INDEX........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............85  85  85  86  86  86  87  87  87  92  92  92
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  61  58  56  55  54  53  51  51  50  50  49
RH..................54  65  72  77  77  80  83  86  86  89  89  93
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.1 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   9   10  13  14  13  13  12  10  10  12
VRATE KT-FT/1000....22  10  2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   3
LVORI...............2   2   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   6
ADI.................12  10  10  12  8   9   9   8   8   7   7   8
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............97  97  97  96  96  96  88  88  88  81  81  81
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................49  49  50  52  55  58  60  61  61  61  61  60
RH..................93  93  86  80  72  67  60  58  58  58  58  60
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30  30  30  30  30  30  20  20  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   7   8   10  10  12  14  15  15  15  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  15  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  25  25
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14  16  18  20  20  20  20  21  22  23  25  26
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   6   7   15  22  29  32  36  40  44  48  52
LVORI...............6   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................9   14  16  17  29  35  37  40  44  47  51  55
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3



FORECASTER...MCGEE
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.TA03B.01/AKQ








000
FNUS71 KAKQ 211333
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 03B...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
933 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION TODAY...AND PUSHES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE BY THIS AFTERNOON
WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS EXPECTED BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT SOUTHWEST THIS MORNING...THEN WEST TO
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. COOL AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY DRIER CONDITIONS AND
BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNSHINE FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDS (55-65
                    PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER 4 PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT SW WINDS...BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT AFTER 4 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5500 FT AGL BY
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............23  30  40  55  60  70  81  81  81
WEATHER COV.........                    SCH SCH SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE........                    RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................57  63  65  68  70  70  68  67  67
RH..................71  56  50  45  43  42  42  44  47
CHC OF PCPN (%)..... 0   0   0   0  10  20  20  30  40
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.2 2.1 3.1 4.0 5.0 5.2 5.2 4.7 3.4
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......2   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   8   10  12  10  9   8   7   7
VRATE KT-FT/1000....8   15  25  32  41  46  47  47  40
LVORI...............3   3   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................3   17  30  32  24  22  19  16  14
HAINES INDEX........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............85  85  85  86  86  86  87  87  87  92  92  92
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  61  58  56  55  54  53  51  51  50  50  49
RH..................54  65  72  77  77  80  83  86  86  89  89  93
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.1 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   9   10  13  14  13  13  12  10  10  12
VRATE KT-FT/1000....22  10  2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   3
LVORI...............2   2   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   6
ADI.................12  10  10  12  8   9   9   8   8   7   7   8
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2300 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............97  97  97  96  96  96  88  88  88  81  81  81
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................49  49  50  52  55  58  60  61  61  61  61  60
RH..................93  93  86  80  72  67  60  58  58  58  58  60
CHC OF PCPN (%).....30  30  30  30  30  30  20  20  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   7   8   10  10  12  14  15  15  15  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  15  15  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  25  25
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....14  16  18  20  20  20  20  21  22  23  25  26
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   6   7   15  22  29  32  36  40  44  48  52
LVORI...............6   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................9   14  16  17  29  35  37  40  44  47  51  55
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3



FORECASTER...MCGEE
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.TA03B.01/AKQ







000
FNUS71 KAKQ 211110
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILNA 6 7...USFWS-FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
710 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION TODAY...AND PUSHES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL INTENSIFY WHILE SLOWLY TRACKING NORTHEAST
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. COOL AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY DRIER CONDITIONS AND BREEZY
NORTHWEST WINDS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (40-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3600 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............72  72  47  47  47  60  60  60  79  79  79
WEATHER COV.........                    SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE........                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54  55  59  64  66  69  70  71  70  69  68
RH..................74  74  66  58  56  49  45  42  44  47  49
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  40  40
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.8
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   3   6   8   9   9   9   8   8   8   8
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   5   13  23  25  26  25  22  20  18
LVORI...............4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................2   2   3   17  28  30  22  21  19  18  17
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............84  84  84  86  86  86  87  87  87  91  91  91
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................66  63  59  57  56  55  54  53  52  51  51  51
RH..................52  60  69  75  77  80  80  83  86  89  86  86
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50  50  50
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   9   9   8   7   6   6   7   7   8   9   10
VRATE KT-FT/1000....14  9   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
LVORI...............2   2   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   6   5   5
ADI.................15  12  10  9   5   4   4   4   5   5   6   7
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 24 TO
                    26 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............98  98  98  98  98  98  90  90  90  82  82  82
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50  50  51  53  56  59  60  61  61  61  61  60
RH..................89  89  86  80  72  67  62  60  60  60  58  60
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   7   9   10  12  13  15  16  16  16  16
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  15  15  15  15  20  25  25  30  30  30  30
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  15  17  18  18  18  18  18  20  22  24  26
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   6   8   14  20  26  28  29  32  36  41  46
LVORI...............5   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................8   14  15  16  27  32  33  34  36  40  46  50
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3



FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...KYLE KRZYWICKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.WILNA.01/AKQ







000
FNUS71 KAKQ 211110
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILNA 6 7...USFWS-FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
710 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION TODAY...AND PUSHES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL INTENSIFY WHILE SLOWLY TRACKING NORTHEAST
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. COOL AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY DRIER CONDITIONS AND BREEZY
NORTHWEST WINDS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (40-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3600 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............72  72  47  47  47  60  60  60  79  79  79
WEATHER COV.........                    SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE........                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54  55  59  64  66  69  70  71  70  69  68
RH..................74  74  66  58  56  49  45  42  44  47  49
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  40  40
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.8
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   3   6   8   9   9   9   8   8   8   8
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   5   13  23  25  26  25  22  20  18
LVORI...............4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................2   2   3   17  28  30  22  21  19  18  17
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............84  84  84  86  86  86  87  87  87  91  91  91
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................66  63  59  57  56  55  54  53  52  51  51  51
RH..................52  60  69  75  77  80  80  83  86  89  86  86
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50  50  50
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   9   9   8   7   6   6   7   7   8   9   10
VRATE KT-FT/1000....14  9   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
LVORI...............2   2   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   6   5   5
ADI.................15  12  10  9   5   4   4   4   5   5   6   7
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 24 TO
                    26 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............98  98  98  98  98  98  90  90  90  82  82  82
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50  50  51  53  56  59  60  61  61  61  61  60
RH..................89  89  86  80  72  67  62  60  60  60  58  60
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   7   9   10  12  13  15  16  16  16  16
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  15  15  15  15  20  25  25  30  30  30  30
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  15  17  18  18  18  18  18  20  22  24  26
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   6   8   14  20  26  28  29  32  36  41  46
LVORI...............5   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................8   14  15  16  27  32  33  34  36  40  46  50
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3



FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...KYLE KRZYWICKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.WILNA.01/AKQ







000
FNUS71 KAKQ 211110
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILNA 6 7...USFWS-FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
710 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION TODAY...AND PUSHES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL INTENSIFY WHILE SLOWLY TRACKING NORTHEAST
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. COOL AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY DRIER CONDITIONS AND BREEZY
NORTHWEST WINDS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (40-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3600 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............72  72  47  47  47  60  60  60  79  79  79
WEATHER COV.........                    SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE........                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54  55  59  64  66  69  70  71  70  69  68
RH..................74  74  66  58  56  49  45  42  44  47  49
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  40  40
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.8
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   3   6   8   9   9   9   8   8   8   8
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   5   13  23  25  26  25  22  20  18
LVORI...............4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................2   2   3   17  28  30  22  21  19  18  17
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............84  84  84  86  86  86  87  87  87  91  91  91
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................66  63  59  57  56  55  54  53  52  51  51  51
RH..................52  60  69  75  77  80  80  83  86  89  86  86
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50  50  50
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   9   9   8   7   6   6   7   7   8   9   10
VRATE KT-FT/1000....14  9   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
LVORI...............2   2   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   6   5   5
ADI.................15  12  10  9   5   4   4   4   5   5   6   7
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 24 TO
                    26 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............98  98  98  98  98  98  90  90  90  82  82  82
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50  50  51  53  56  59  60  61  61  61  61  60
RH..................89  89  86  80  72  67  62  60  60  60  58  60
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   7   9   10  12  13  15  16  16  16  16
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  15  15  15  15  20  25  25  30  30  30  30
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  15  17  18  18  18  18  18  20  22  24  26
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   6   8   14  20  26  28  29  32  36  41  46
LVORI...............5   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................8   14  15  16  27  32  33  34  36  40  46  50
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3



FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...KYLE KRZYWICKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.WILNA.01/AKQ








000
FNUS71 KAKQ 211110
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILNA 6 7...USFWS-FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
710 AM EDT TUE OCT 21 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION TODAY...AND PUSHES OFF THE
COAST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL INTENSIFY WHILE SLOWLY TRACKING NORTHEAST
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THROUGH FRIDAY. COOL AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS
WILL PREVAIL ON WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY DRIER CONDITIONS AND BREEZY
NORTHWEST WINDS THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY SUNNY (40-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3600 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............72  72  47  47  47  60  60  60  79  79  79
WEATHER COV.........                    SCH SCH SCH SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE........                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54  55  59  64  66  69  70  71  70  69  68
RH..................74  74  66  58  56  49  45  42  44  47  49
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  40  40
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.8
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   3   6   8   9   9   9   8   8   8   8
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   5   13  23  25  26  25  22  20  18
LVORI...............4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................2   2   3   17  28  30  22  21  19  18  17
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 8 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............84  84  84  86  86  86  87  87  87  91  91  91
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................66  63  59  57  56  55  54  53  52  51  51  51
RH..................52  60  69  75  77  80  80  83  86  89  86  86
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  50  50  50  50  50  50
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.9 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   9   9   8   7   6   6   7   7   8   9   10
VRATE KT-FT/1000....14  9   2   2   2   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
LVORI...............2   2   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   6   5   5
ADI.................15  12  10  9   5   4   4   4   5   5   6   7
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 30 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 24 TO
                    26 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............98  98  98  98  98  98  90  90  90  82  82  82
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50  50  51  53  56  59  60  61  61  61  61  60
RH..................89  89  86  80  72  67  62  60  60  60  58  60
CHC OF PCPN (%).....40  40  40  40  40  40  30  30  30  30  30  30
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   7   9   10  12  13  15  16  16  16  16
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  15  15  15  15  20  25  25  30  30  30  30
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  15  17  18  18  18  18  18  20  22  24  26
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   6   8   14  20  26  28  29  32  36  41  46
LVORI...............5   5   4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................8   14  15  16  27  32  33  34  36  40  46  50
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3



FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...KYLE KRZYWICKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.WILNA.01/AKQ








000
FNUS71 KAKQ 201037
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILNA...USFWS-FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
637 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS AGAIN TODAY WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE
BURN SITE. HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OFFSHORE WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
TODAY AT 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP
INTO THE MID 30S TODAY WITH GREAT OVERNIGHT RECOVERY TONIGHT. LOW
PRESSURE AND AN ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 17
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............30  30  30  30  30  30  31  31  31  36  36  36
WEATHER COV.........PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE........FST FST FST
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35  37  38  45  53  59  62  64  67  67  67  67
RH..................95  92  89  82  64  49  44  40  36  37  37  39
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......0   1   2   3   5   7   8   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....            5   10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....1   1   2   7   12  16  17  17  17  17  17  17
VRATE KT-FT/1000....0   0   1   5   16  30  37  42  46  46  46  47
LVORI...............10  9   7   4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................0   0   1   3   23  42  50  54  42  42  42  42
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............39  39  39  55  55  55  80  80  80  83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  59  58  56  55  55  54  54  53  53  52  52
RH..................45  55  59  64  69  69  74  74  80  80  86  86
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.2 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   5   6   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....18  21  21  18  14  10  9   9   9   8   8   7
VRATE KT-FT/1000....36  22  5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...............1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   6
ADI.................49  32  16  14  9   7   6   6   6   6   5   3
HAINES INDEX........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3300 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............76  76  76  70  70  70  66  66  66  67  67  67
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52  52  53  56  61  65  67  68  68  68  68  67
RH..................86  89  86  77  67  58  52  51  49  49  49  50
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  50  50  50  50
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   6   6   7   8   10  12  13  14  14  13  13
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   1   4   9   15  23  31  39  39  37  36
LVORI...............6   6   6   4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI.................3   2   2   3   12  18  24  30  34  34  33  32
HAINES INDEX........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4



FORECASTER...MINNICK
REQUESTED BY...KYLE KRZYWICKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.WILNA.01/AKQ







000
FNUS71 KAKQ 201037
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILNA...USFWS-FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
637 AM EDT MON OCT 20 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS AGAIN TODAY WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES OVER THE
BURN SITE. HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES OFFSHORE WITH WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
TODAY AT 5 TO 10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP
INTO THE MID 30S TODAY WITH GREAT OVERNIGHT RECOVERY TONIGHT. LOW
PRESSURE AND AN ATTENDANT COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 7 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 17
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............30  30  30  30  30  30  31  31  31  36  36  36
WEATHER COV.........PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE........FST FST FST
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35  37  38  45  53  59  62  64  67  67  67  67
RH..................95  92  89  82  64  49  44  40  36  37  37  39
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......0   1   2   3   5   7   8   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....            5   10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....1   1   2   7   12  16  17  17  17  17  17  17
VRATE KT-FT/1000....0   0   1   5   16  30  37  42  46  46  46  47
LVORI...............10  9   7   4   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................0   0   1   3   23  42  50  54  42  42  42  42
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 21 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............39  39  39  55  55  55  80  80  80  83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  59  58  56  55  55  54  54  53  53  52  52
RH..................45  55  59  64  69  69  74  74  80  80  86  86
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.2 1.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   5   6   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....18  21  21  18  14  10  9   9   9   8   8   7
VRATE KT-FT/1000....36  22  5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI...............1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   6
ADI.................49  32  16  14  9   7   6   6   6   6   5   3
HAINES INDEX........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-3300 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............76  76  76  70  70  70  66  66  66  67  67  67
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52  52  53  56  61  65  67  68  68  68  68  67
RH..................86  89  86  77  67  58  52  51  49  49  49  50
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  50  50  50  50
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.2
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   6   6   7   8   10  12  13  14  14  13  13
VRATE KT-FT/1000....1   1   1   4   9   15  23  31  39  39  37  36
LVORI...............6   6   6   4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
ADI.................3   2   2   3   12  18  24  30  34  34  33  32
HAINES INDEX........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4



FORECASTER...MINNICK
REQUESTED BY...KYLE KRZYWICKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.WILNA.01/AKQ








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