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000
FNUS73 KAPX 171414
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOLLI 5 RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1014 AM EDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER CENTRAL WISCONSIN WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST ACROSS EASTERN LAKE SUPERIOR THIS EVENING BEFORE MOVING INTO
QUEBEC FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL STAY NORTH AND WEST
OF THE BURN AREA. ONLY PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES WILL RESULT FROM THIS SYSTEM.
LOOK FOR MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO REACH 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH
SOUTHEAST WIND AROUND 10 MPH AT IGNITION BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH
BY MID AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 52.
RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 11 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH BY MID
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 900-2500 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT (700).

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60  65  70  73  75  77
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............45  48  50  51  51  50
RH..............43  40  41  42  46  50
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  10  10  9   8
20 FT WIND GUST.20  25  25  25  20  20
HAINES INDEX....3   4   4   4   3   3
SMOKE DISP......500 500 500 600 700 700

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15
                    MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 7
                    TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........82  87  92  93  95  96  89  82  76  71  67  63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............49  48  47  46  44  42  40  39  38  37  37  37
RH..............54  56  60  65  73  79  85  89  89  89  89  85
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.20  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISP......500 200 100 0   0   0   0   0   100 100 100 100

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(800).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........68     63     65     67     69     61
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     37     42     46     49     49
RH..............89     75     60     51     44     40
20 FT WIND......W 5    NW 5   NW 6   NW 6   W 6    NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      5      4
SMOKE DISP......100    200    200    400    600    800

$$
FORECASTER...JON VOSS
REQUESTED BY...G  GIFFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.LOLLI.01/APX








000
FNUS73 KAPX 161357
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAPLE RIDGE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
957 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INCREASING CLOUDINESS THIS AFTERNOON WITH MINIMUM
HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 37 TO 41 PERCENT RANGE. LIGHT WINDS
INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHEAST UP TO 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW
SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY BUT
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN PRECIPITATION FREE. GOOD RECOVERY OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY TONIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT SHIFTING MORE
SOUTHERLY ON THURSDAY AND BECOMING GUSTY AT TIMES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 40.
RH..................41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4300-5200
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (700).

TIME (EDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........70  73  77
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............38  39  40
RH..............41  41  42
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4
SMOKE DISP......700 700 700

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 29 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2200 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 2.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN FAIR(200).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........77  77  77  81  85  89  86  82  78  81  84  87
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............40  40  36  35  33  32  31  31  30  30  30  30
RH..............44  43  54  59  63  66  69  63  66  66  69  69
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2
SMOKE DISP......700 600 600 600 500 400 300 200 200 200 200 200

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 24 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1100).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........85     81     77     73     67     69
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............30     32     38     44     48     51
RH..............75     78     64     53     49     50
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   SE 7   S 7    S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     15     20     20
HAINES INDEX....2      2      3      3      4      4
SMOKE DISP......200    200    300    500    700    1000

$$
FORECASTER...JAMES KEYSOR
REQUESTED BY...M KNIPE  RXB2-T
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140416.MAPLE.01/APX









000
FNUS73 KAPX 161351
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MERRITT BEES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
951 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1430 EDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INCREASING CLOUDINESS THIS AFTERNOON WITH MINIMUM
HUMIDITY VALUES IN THE 37 TO 41 PERCENT RANGE. LIGHT WINDS
INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHEAST UP TO 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW
SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY BUT
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN PRECIPITATION FREE. GOOD RECOVERY OF
RELATIVE HUMIDITY TONIGHT. SOUTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT SHIFTING MORE
SOUTHERLY ON THURSDAY AND BECOMING GUSTY AT TIMES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 41.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4300-5300
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (700) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (700).

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........68  71  74  77
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............36  39  40  41
RH..............45  43  42  41
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISP......600 700 700 700

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 30 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 2.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN FAIR(200).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........77  77  77  81  86  90  87  83  80  83  87  90
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............41  40  36  35  33  32  31  30  29  29  29  29
RH..............42  42  54  59  63  66  66  66  69  69  72  75
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   6   7   7   8   8   7   7   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2
SMOKE DISP......700 600 800 700 500 400 300 200 200 200 200 200

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(1100).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........87     82     78     74     68     69
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............30     32     39     45     49     52
RH..............75     78     62     51     48     48
20 FT WIND......SE 7   SE 6   SE 6   SE 7   S 7    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     10     10     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....2      2      3      3      4      4
SMOKE DISP......200    200    300    500    800    1000

$$
FORECASTER...JAMES KEYSOR
REQUESTED BY...M KNIPE  RXB2-T
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140416.MERRI.01/APX








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