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000
FNUS74 KBMX 311903
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAB APPLE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
203 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1356 CDT ON JULY 31.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE INCREASES
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND ON FRIDAY. HIGHER RAIN CHANCES ARE
EXPECTED AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............83     84     80
RH..............40     38     57
20 FT WIND......N 2    NE 3   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....7000   6500   5100
TRANSPORT WIND..120/5  070/5  050/6
DISPERSION......16     16     18

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......25 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 9.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............78     74     68     66     65     65
RH..............61     71     87     93     97     97
20 FT WIND......NE 6   E 5    E 5    NE 5   NE 5   NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     30     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....4300   2400   700    500    800    900
TRANSPORT WIND..060/8  070/12 090/13 080/12 070/13 050/15
DISPERSION......23     8      8      8      8      10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 33 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............65     67     74     79     81     81
RH..............100    93     79     67     63     63
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 5   E 6    E 7    E 6    NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     50     50     50     50     50
MIX HGT (FT)....800    900    1500   2600   3100   2800
TRANSPORT WIND..050/14 050/12 050/10 070/14 070/14 070/10
DISPERSION......16     14     17     30     33     24

$$
FORECASTER...LINHARES
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140731.CRABA.01/BMX







000
FNUS74 KBMX 311903
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAB APPLE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
203 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1356 CDT ON JULY 31.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE INCREASES
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND ON FRIDAY. HIGHER RAIN CHANCES ARE
EXPECTED AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....17.

TIME (CDT)      1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............83     84     80
RH..............40     38     57
20 FT WIND......N 2    NE 3   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....7000   6500   5100
TRANSPORT WIND..120/5  070/5  050/6
DISPERSION......16     16     18

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......25 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 9.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............78     74     68     66     65     65
RH..............61     71     87     93     97     97
20 FT WIND......NE 6   E 5    E 5    NE 5   NE 5   NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     30     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....4300   2400   700    500    800    900
TRANSPORT WIND..060/8  070/12 090/13 080/12 070/13 050/15
DISPERSION......23     8      8      8      8      10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....18 INCREASING TO 33 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............65     67     74     79     81     81
RH..............100    93     79     67     63     63
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 5   E 6    E 7    E 6    NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     50     50     50     50     50
MIX HGT (FT)....800    900    1500   2600   3100   2800
TRANSPORT WIND..050/14 050/12 050/10 070/14 070/14 070/10
DISPERSION......16     14     17     30     33     24

$$
FORECASTER...LINHARES
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140731.CRABA.01/BMX








000
FNUS74 KBMX 311156
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK POND TOWER SITE PREP BURNS...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
656 AM CDT THU JUL 31 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON JULY 31.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY INCREASE TODAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE
FOR THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHER RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED
AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............71     78     82     83     82
RH..............63     48     44     44     47
20 FT WIND......NE 3   NE 2   NW 2   NW 2   N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....3800   6500   7300   7600   7100
DISPERSION......21     24     18     9      11
TRANSPORT WIND..070/6  070/3  060/2  020/1  020/2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............81     76     70     68     67     66
RH..............51     62     76     78     84     90
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 3    N 2    NE 2   NE 2   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....6500   3900   700    100    200    300
DISPERSION......21     5      3      2      2      2
TRANSPORT WIND..030/5  020/7  010/7  010/5  020/3  060/3

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............65     67     74     79     81     82
RH..............93     90     74     62     58     56
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 2    E 3    NE 2   N 2    N 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     30     30     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....500    1600   3400   4900   5000   4000
DISPERSION......0      14     12     9      14     22
TRANSPORT WIND..100/6  110/7  130/5  060/2  020/3  340/6

$$
FORECASTER...KEISER
REQUESTED BY...NIKKA JEFFERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140731.BLACK.01/BMX









000
FNUS74 KBMX 301244
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK GROVE RD MT  SITE PREP BURNS...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
744 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON JULY 30.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND FOR PART OF THURSDAY. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP DOWN TO NEAR 40 PERCENT AROUND
THE BURN AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD NOT REACH RED FLAG
CRITERIA. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY INCREASE ON THURSDAY WITH
SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON THURSDAY.
HIGHER RAIN CHANCES ARE FORECAST OVER THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............CLEAR  CLEAR  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     73     80     83     82
RH..............81     57     44     41     43
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 7    N 7    N 7    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   6100   7000   7300   6700
DISPERSION......34     70     69     62     58
TRANSPORT WIND..030/8  040/10 020/9  020/8  020/8

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............80     73     67     64     64     64
RH..............47     62     75     84     84     84
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 3    N 3    N 2    N 2    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      5      5      10
MIX HGT (FT)....6000   3400   300    BLW100 200    200
DISPERSION......54     5      3      2      2      3
TRANSPORT WIND..010/8  020/7  030/5  030/3  030/3  020/5

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............63     65     73     79     81     82
RH..............87     81     64     50     47     47
20 FT WIND......NE 3   NE 3   NE 3   NW 2   NW 2   N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1800   5600   7100   7400   6700
DISPERSION......0      13     30     26     18     16
TRANSPORT WIND..040/5  060/6  110/7  130/3  100/2  020/3

$$
FORECASTER...KEISER
REQUESTED BY...NIKKA JEFFERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140730.OAKGR.01/BMX








000
FNUS74 KBMX 301244
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OAK GROVE RD MT  SITE PREP BURNS...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
744 AM CDT WED JUL 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON JULY 30.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND FOR PART OF THURSDAY. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP DOWN TO NEAR 40 PERCENT AROUND
THE BURN AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD NOT REACH RED FLAG
CRITERIA. MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY INCREASE ON THURSDAY WITH
SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON THURSDAY.
HIGHER RAIN CHANCES ARE FORECAST OVER THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............CLEAR  CLEAR  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     73     80     83     82
RH..............81     57     44     41     43
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 7    N 7    N 7    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   6100   7000   7300   6700
DISPERSION......34     70     69     62     58
TRANSPORT WIND..030/8  040/10 020/9  020/8  020/8

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............80     73     67     64     64     64
RH..............47     62     75     84     84     84
20 FT WIND......N 5    N 3    N 3    N 2    N 2    N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      5      5      10
MIX HGT (FT)....6000   3400   300    BLW100 200    200
DISPERSION......54     5      3      2      2      3
TRANSPORT WIND..010/8  020/7  030/5  030/3  030/3  020/5

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............63     65     73     79     81     82
RH..............87     81     64     50     47     47
20 FT WIND......NE 3   NE 3   NE 3   NW 2   NW 2   N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1800   5600   7100   7400   6700
DISPERSION......0      13     30     26     18     16
TRANSPORT WIND..040/5  060/6  110/7  130/3  100/2  020/3

$$
FORECASTER...KEISER
REQUESTED BY...NIKKA JEFFERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140730.OAKGR.01/BMX







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