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000
FNUS74 KBMX 241135
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORN MTN PETE WHITE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
635 AM CDT THU APR 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 24.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY WILL BRING AN INCREASE
IN HUMIDITY LEVELS.  AN UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE WILL BRING
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTH
ALABAMA TONIGHT.  THE RAIN WILL QUICKLY EXIT THE AREA
FRIDAY MORNING.


.TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............CLEAR  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     70     72     76     75
RH..............55     39     39     35     41
20 FT WIND......SE 3   S 6    S 7    S 8    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....3700   6000   6100   6400   6500
DISPERSION......3      46     63     48     64
TRANSPORT WIND..190/6  220/7  220/9  200/10 200/14

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............73     68     64     63     61     59
RH..............47     61     70     77     83     86
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 5    S 5    S 6    SW 6   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      30     30     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....6400   4000   600    900    1300   800
DISPERSION......105    41     10     12     18     10
TRANSPORT WIND..190/15 180/15 160/12 190/18 200/20 210/15

.FRIDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     58     61     66     69     71
RH..............91     93     87     68     56     51
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 5   W 6    W 10   W 13   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     20     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....600    2700   5800   4100   3400   4500
DISPERSION......9      11     25     52     44     47
TRANSPORT WIND..210/14 230/16 260/18 270/18 280/17 290/16

$$
FORECASTER...ROSE
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LAYFIELD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140424.HORNM.01/BMX








000
FNUS74 KBMX 221350
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PETE WHITE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
850 AM CDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 22.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD...AS A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE STATE TODAY WITH
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED.
THE RAINFALL WILL MOVE SOUTH AND DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT
WITH DRIER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH DURING THE DAY ON
WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH THE AIR MASS WILL BE QUITE DRY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...RH VALUES SHOULD STAY ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES. TRANSPORT
WINDS WILL BEGIN FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND THEN TRANSITION TO THE
NORTHWEST FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............62     70     74     75     74
RH..............84     70     65     64     65
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 6    W 7    NW 7   NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).70     70     70     70     70
MIX HGT (FT)....3700   4800   3300   3500   3400
DISPERSION......37     45     29     33     35
TRANSPORT WIND..270/14 280/15 270/12 270/13 280/14

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLOUDY MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............72     64     58     55     53     53
RH..............67     82     95     100    100    98
20 FT WIND......NW 7   NW 7   NW 6   NW 5   NW 3   N 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).70     20     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....3200   2800   2500   1200   600    900
DISPERSION......31     19     11     12     8      7
TRANSPORT WIND..290/13 310/14 350/16 000/18 000/18 000/16

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     54     64     71     73     73
RH..............91     77     48     34     28     24
20 FT WIND......N 2    N 3    N 7    N 6    N 5    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....600    1500   3200   3500   3600   3500
DISPERSION......9      22     59     54     45     35
TRANSPORT WIND..000/12 010/12 020/15 020/13 020/10 020/8

$$
FORECASTER...ANDERSON
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LAYFIELD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140422.PETEW.01/BMX








000
FNUS74 KBMX 212058
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORN MTN NORTH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
358 PM CDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1605 CDT ON APRIL 21.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH THE DAY ON
TUESDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH DRIER AIR MOVING BACK INTO THE
STATE BY THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY. RH VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS.

AT THE BURN LOCATION...BEST CHANCE FOR A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL
BE AFTER 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. PRECIP CHANCES LESSEN AFTER 7 PM TUESDAY EVENING.
NOT EXPECTING THE PRECIP TO BE CONTINUOUS...BUT SHOWERS AND STORMS
WILL PROBABLY BE AROUND THE BURN AREA MOST OF THE DAY.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (CDT)      3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE
TEMP............78     76
RH..............39     46
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....6800   6400
DISPERSION......59     56
TRANSPORT WIND..230/8  220/8

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............74     65     60     59     59     59
RH..............46     65     78     80     80     80
20 FT WIND......W 3    SW 2   SW 1   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      <5     5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      20     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....5700   3200   400    100    300    300
DISPERSION......52     28     3      2      2      3
TRANSPORT WIND..220/8  220/7  210/6  210/5  210/5  210/6

.TUESDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............59     62     67     72     73     73
RH..............80     81     75     68     68     68
20 FT WIND......SW 2   SW 3   W 5    W 6    W 7    NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     70     70     70     70     70
MIX HGT (FT)....400    1200   2300   2800   2900   2800
DISPERSION......4      10     19     29     27     29
TRANSPORT WIND..230/9  240/12 260/14 250/13 260/12 270/13

$$
FORECASTER...GLEASON
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.HORNM.02/BMX







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