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000
FNUS74 KBMX 222234
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OPENING DAY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
434 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1625 CST ON NOVEMBER 22.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. RAIN AND POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE STATE SUNDAY. MAY GET SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES
BY 6 PM WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION. BETTER CHANCES START AFTER 9 PM BUT
REMAIN LIGHT UNDER 0.05 INCH. ANY APPRECIABLE MEASURING RAIN NOT EXPECTED
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH 0.10 TO 0.20 BY 6 AM POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1800-2400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 39 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 32.

TIME (CST)      3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     58
RH..............53     67
20 FT WIND......SE 9   E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     80
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   1800
TRANSPORT WIND..130/17 120/17
DISPERSION......35     32

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. RAIN
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............55     53     52     53     52     53
RH..............67     70     71     73     80     84
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 3    E 7    E 7    E 7    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      15     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).80     80     80     80     80     80
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   1100   900    700    600    600
TRANSPORT WIND..120/17 120/15 120/13 120/13 110/14 110/14
DISPERSION......12     10     11     11     12     12

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR
TEMP............53     55     59     63     64     62
RH..............91     93     87     80     76     82
20 FT WIND......E 9    E 9    E 7    SE 7   S 10   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).100    100    100    100    100    100
MIX HGT (FT)....600    600    700    700    600    600
TRANSPORT WIND..110/14 110/15 110/14 110/13 130/14 150/15
DISPERSION......12     14     14     13     13     13

$$
FORECASTER...LINHARES
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141122.OPENI.01/BMX







000
FNUS74 KBMX 222234
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR OPENING DAY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
434 PM CST SAT NOV 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1625 CST ON NOVEMBER 22.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. RAIN AND POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS
WILL PUSH THROUGH THE STATE SUNDAY. MAY GET SOME LIGHT RAIN OR SPRINKLES
BY 6 PM WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION. BETTER CHANCES START AFTER 9 PM BUT
REMAIN LIGHT UNDER 0.05 INCH. ANY APPRECIABLE MEASURING RAIN NOT EXPECTED
UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH 0.10 TO 0.20 BY 6 AM POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1800-2400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 39 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 32.

TIME (CST)      3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     58
RH..............53     67
20 FT WIND......SE 9   E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     80
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   1800
TRANSPORT WIND..130/17 120/17
DISPERSION......35     32

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING. RAIN
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 17 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............55     53     52     53     52     53
RH..............67     70     71     73     80     84
20 FT WIND......E 3    E 3    E 7    E 7    E 7    E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      15     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).80     80     80     80     80     80
MIX HGT (FT)....1500   1100   900    700    600    600
TRANSPORT WIND..120/17 120/15 120/13 120/13 110/14 110/14
DISPERSION......12     10     11     11     12     12

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR
TEMP............53     55     59     63     64     62
RH..............91     93     87     80     76     82
20 FT WIND......E 9    E 9    E 7    SE 7   S 10   S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).100    100    100    100    100    100
MIX HGT (FT)....600    600    700    700    600    600
TRANSPORT WIND..110/14 110/15 110/14 110/13 130/14 150/15
DISPERSION......12     14     14     13     13     13

$$
FORECASTER...LINHARES
REQUESTED BY...NOONAN PHIFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141122.OPENI.01/BMX








000
FNUS74 KBMX 211451
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER SHOAL  SHORT PINE TS...TALLADEGA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
851 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 21.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. AN APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS ON SATURDAY...LEADING
TO WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY.


.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............42     53     57     59     49
RH..............65     45     40     39     58
20 FT WIND......E 2    NE 3   NE 3   E 3    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....900    2800   4000   3600   1600
DISPERSION......7      16     22     25     15
TRANSPORT WIND..060/6  050/5  050/5  080/6  080/7

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     41     38     37     38     38
RH..............70     73     76     76     72     71
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 2    E 3    E 5    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....700    200    300    400    600    600
DISPERSION......3      2      2      3      5      6
TRANSPORT WIND..080/7  090/5  100/3  110/7  120/12 120/13

.SATURDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............37     41     47     54     57     55
RH..............70     62     54     50     49     54
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 7    E 7    SE 7   SE 7   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....600    900    1300   1500   1200   900
DISPERSION......10     14     22     27     18     12
TRANSPORT WIND..120/13 120/12 120/13 120/14 110/12 100/10

$$
FORECASTER...JAARON
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LAYFIELD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141121.UPPER.01/BMX








000
FNUS74 KBMX 211451
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER SHOAL  SHORT PINE TS...TALLADEGA NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
851 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON NOVEMBER 21.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. AN APPROACHING
STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS ON SATURDAY...LEADING
TO WIDESPREAD RAIN AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY.


.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............42     53     57     59     49
RH..............65     45     40     39     58
20 FT WIND......E 2    NE 3   NE 3   E 3    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....900    2800   4000   3600   1600
DISPERSION......7      16     22     25     15
TRANSPORT WIND..060/6  050/5  050/5  080/6  080/7

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY.............CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     41     38     37     38     38
RH..............70     73     76     76     72     71
20 FT WIND......E 2    E 2    E 3    E 5    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
MIX HGT (FT)....700    200    300    400    600    600
DISPERSION......3      2      2      3      5      6
TRANSPORT WIND..080/7  090/5  100/3  110/7  120/12 120/13

.SATURDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY.............MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............37     41     47     54     57     55
RH..............70     62     54     50     49     54
20 FT WIND......E 6    E 7    E 7    SE 7   SE 7   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....600    900    1300   1500   1200   900
DISPERSION......10     14     22     27     18     12
TRANSPORT WIND..120/13 120/12 120/13 120/14 110/12 100/10

$$
FORECASTER...JAARON
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LAYFIELD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141121.UPPER.01/BMX









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