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000
FNUS74 KBMX 092028
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLFPEN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
228 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON FEBRUARY 10.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. IT WILL BE DRIER
ON WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY RISING INTO THE MID 30S. SFC WINDS WILL
BE OUT OF THE WNW AROUND 10 MPH WITH WNW TRANSPORT WINDS AROUND
15 MPH. SOME SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS MAY OCCUR WITH THE 4PM AFTERNOON
FORECAST PACKAGE.

16

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............20     22     30     34     36     36
RH..............71     62     42     33     32     32
20 FT WIND......NW 6   NW 7   NW 9   NW 9   W 9    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   3800   3900   4100   4200   3800
TRANSPORT WIND..300/20 300/18 300/17 300/16 290/15 290/15
DISPERSION......9      12     12     61     57     55
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...TGOGGINS
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160210.WOLFP.01/BMX





000
FNUS74 KBMX 091746
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE BEND NMP...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1146 AM CST TUE FEB 9 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 10.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

IT WILL BE DRIER ON WEDNESDAY WITH SFC WINDS A BIT LOWER THAN TODAY.
HOWEVER...WNW WIND GUSTS UP TO 20 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. RH VALUES
WILL FALL INTO THE LOW/MID 20S WITH TEMPS ONLY WARMING INTO THE LOW
40S FOR A FEW HOURS. SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS TO THIS FORECAST MAY BE MADE
WITH THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE.


.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............23  25  27  29  32  35  38  40  41  42  40  38
RH..............74  65  57  51  43  36  31  26  24  22  26  29
20 FT WIND DIR..280 280 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290 290
20 FT WIND SPD..7   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  10  10  9   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.6 3.9 4.1 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.2 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.300 300 290 290 290 280 280 280 280 290 290 290
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  17  18  18  17  17  16  16  17  17  17  17
DISPERSION......12  12  12  12  12  68  65  65  51  68  66  63
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
FORECASTER...TGOGGINS
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS NEPPL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160210.HORSE.01/BMX





000
FNUS74 KBMX 091316
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARY S CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
716 AM CST TUE FEB 9 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 09.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS THE EASTERN
UNITED STATES EARLY THIS WEEK AND BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES
INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES
REMAINS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH THE SYSTEM FINALLY
EXITING BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
ACROSS THE NORTH. ANY PRECIPITATION TODAY WILL BE IN THE FORM OF
SNOW SHOWERS. ACTIVITY WILL BE SHOWERS...AND WILL NOT BE CONTINUOUS.
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS UNDERNEATH A HEAVIER SHOWER IS POSSIBLE.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

16

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
TEMP............29     30     31     33     31
RH..............65     65     64     59     58
20 FT WIND......W 10   W 12   W 12   W 12   W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....5500   6100   7200   8000   5400
TRANSPORT WIND..280/22 280/22 280/23 280/24 300/22
DISPERSION......29     73     81     87     69
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     50     50     50

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR NONE
TEMP............29     27     25     25     23     21
RH..............60     68     74     70     73     79
20 FT WIND......W 10   W 10   W 9    W 7    W 7    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4000   3400   3600   4000   4000   3600
TRANSPORT WIND..300/21 300/21 300/23 300/24 300/22 300/20
DISPERSION......57     53     61     32     29     26
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     10

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............20     23     27     33     36     34
RH..............81     68     53     36     30     33
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 8    W 9    W 10   W 12   W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3200   3900   4400   4500   4700   4300
TRANSPORT WIND..290/18 290/21 290/22 290/22 290/22 290/22
DISPERSION......12     14     15     86     88     85
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...AARON
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE MORRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160209.MARYS.01/BMX





000
FNUS74 KBMX 091315
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMPARTMENT 55...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
715 AM CST TUE FEB 9 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0730 CST ON FEBRUARY 09.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS THE EASTERN
UNITED STATES EARLY THIS WEEK AND BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES
INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES
REMAINS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH THE SYSTEM FINALLY
EXITING BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
ACROSS THE NORTH. ANY PRECIPITATION TODAY WILL BE IN THE FORM OF
SNOW SHOWERS. ACTIVITY WILL BE SHOWERS...AND WILL NOT BE CONTINUOUS.
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS UNDERNEATH A HEAVIER SHOWER IS POSSIBLE.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

16

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                     ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   SNSHWR SNSHWR NONE
TEMP............34     34     35     37     39     39
RH..............57     59     55     46     41     41
20 FT WIND......W 3    W 8    W 12   W 13   NW 14  NW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.5      15     20     25     30     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2200   4300   6000   6500   7500   7500
TRANSPORT WIND..280/16 290/24 290/28 290/24 290/26 290/29
DISPERSION......11     32     37     82     94     102
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     20     20     10

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     32     30     29     27     25
RH..............44     55     64     64     67     69
20 FT WIND......NW 9   NW 8   NW 6   W 3    W 3    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     5      5      10
MIX HGT (FT)....6500   5800   5100   4400   3800   3400
TRANSPORT WIND..300/29 300/29 310/28 320/23 310/20 310/18
DISPERSION......133    127    162    10     9      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     0

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............24     29     33     39     42     41
RH..............68     53     41     30     24     26
20 FT WIND......W 6    NW 7   NW 8   W 9    W 9    W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   3400   3700   4100   4100   3900
TRANSPORT WIND..300/18 300/17 300/17 290/16 290/16 290/16
DISPERSION......8      12     12     60     61     59

$$
FORECASTER...AARON
REQUESTED BY...JASON MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160209.COMPA.02/BMX





000
FNUS74 KBMX 091314
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMPARTMENT 18...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
714 AM CST TUE FEB 9 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 09.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. A STRONG
UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL DOMINATE THE WEATHER ACROSS THE EASTERN
UNITED STATES EARLY THIS WEEK AND BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES
INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH WEDNESDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES
REMAINS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH TONIGHT...WITH THE SYSTEM FINALLY
EXITING BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. BEST PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE
ACROSS THE NORTH. ANY PRECIPITATION TODAY WILL BE IN THE FORM OF
SNOW SHOWERS. ACTIVITY WILL BE SHOWERS...AND WILL NOT BE CONTINUOUS.
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS UNDERNEATH A HEAVIER SHOWER IS POSSIBLE.
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

16

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   SNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............33     35     37     39     37
RH..............60     51     44     39     42
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 14   W 14   NW 14  NW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     30     25     20
MIX HGT (FT)....5500   6300   7200   7900   7000
TRANSPORT WIND..290/28 290/28 290/26 290/28 290/29
DISPERSION......37     93     93     99     100
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     20     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............35     32     30     29     27     25
RH..............45     55     62     63     66     69
20 FT WIND......NW 10  NW 7   NW 5   W 5    W 6    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....6500   5800   5100   4400   3900   3500
TRANSPORT WIND..290/29 300/29 310/26 320/23 310/22 310/20
DISPERSION......132    187    155    10     10     13
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.WEDNESDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............24     28     33     39     43     42
RH..............68     55     43     30     24     25
20 FT WIND......W 7    NW 8   NW 8   W 9    W 9    W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   3400   3700   4100   4100   3900
TRANSPORT WIND..300/18 300/17 300/16 290/15 290/16 290/16
DISPERSION......12     12     11     56     61     59
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...AARON
REQUESTED BY...JASON MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160209.COMPA.01/BMX





000
FNUS74 KBMX 081813
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KENTUCK TOWER 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1213 PM CST MON FEB 8 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1203 CST ON FEBRUARY 08.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NEARBY OBSERVATIONS AT ANNISTON AND TALLADEGA INDICATE WSW SFC WINDS OF
ROUGHLY 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25-30 MPH. WINDS SHOULD TURN MORE WNW LATER
TODAY WITH GUSTY CONDITIONS CONTINUING. THESE GUSTS ARE JUST BELOW WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF WEST AROUND
30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL. THE SFC GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY SUBSIDE AFTER
SUNSET BUT SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REMAIN NEAR 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL
LOWER A BIT TO AROUND 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.


08

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-8700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 5800 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 30 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....107 DECREASING TO 91 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............49     48     45
RH..............39     37     41
20 FT WIND......W 15   W 15   W 14
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....8100   8400   6800
TRANSPORT WIND..260/29 270/29 280/26
DISPERSION......104    105    92
DISPERSION......104    105    92
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....77 DECREASING TO 64 EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 51 EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    INCREASING TO 68 LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING
                    TO 34 DECREASING TO 16 EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
TEMP............39     37     34     32     30     29
RH..............53     58     64     68     70     70
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 8    W 7    W 7    W 7    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4900   3600   3900   5300   5200   4700
TRANSPORT WIND..290/25 300/20 300/20 300/25 290/25 290/23
DISPERSION......77     51     54     34     34     15
DISPERSION......77     51     54     34     34     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     30     30     30

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29 INCREASING TO 78.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
TEMP............27     27     29     32     33     33
RH..............72     71     64     53     51     50
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 7    W 9    W 10   W 12   W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....4300   4500   4800   5300   5600   5400
TRANSPORT WIND..290/22 290/21 290/21 290/22 290/23 290/24
DISPERSION......29     28     28     69     74     77
DISPERSION......29     28     28     69     74     77
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...TGOGGINS
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LAYFIELD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160208.KENTU.01/BMX




000
FNUS74 KBMX 081813
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR KENTUCK TOWER 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1213 PM CST MON FEB 8 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1203 CST ON FEBRUARY 08.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NEARBY OBSERVATIONS AT ANNISTON AND TALLADEGA INDICATE WSW SFC WINDS OF
ROUGHLY 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 25-30 MPH. WINDS SHOULD TURN MORE WNW LATER
TODAY WITH GUSTY CONDITIONS CONTINUING. THESE GUSTS ARE JUST BELOW WIND
ADVISORY CRITERIA. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF WEST AROUND
30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON AS WELL. THE SFC GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY SUBSIDE AFTER
SUNSET BUT SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REMAIN NEAR 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL
LOWER A BIT TO AROUND 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.


08

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800-8700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 5800 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 30 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....107 DECREASING TO 91 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............49     48     45
RH..............39     37     41
20 FT WIND......W 15   W 15   W 14
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....8100   8400   6800
TRANSPORT WIND..260/29 270/29 280/26
DISPERSION......104    105    92
DISPERSION......104    105    92
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....77 DECREASING TO 64 EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 51 EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    INCREASING TO 68 LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING
                    TO 34 DECREASING TO 16 EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
TEMP............39     37     34     32     30     29
RH..............53     58     64     68     70     70
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 8    W 7    W 7    W 7    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....4900   3600   3900   5300   5200   4700
TRANSPORT WIND..290/25 300/20 300/20 300/25 290/25 290/23
DISPERSION......77     51     54     34     34     15
DISPERSION......77     51     54     34     34     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     30     30     30

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 25 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29 INCREASING TO 78.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
TEMP............27     27     29     32     33     33
RH..............72     71     64     53     51     50
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 7    W 9    W 10   W 12   W 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....4300   4500   4800   5300   5600   5400
TRANSPORT WIND..290/22 290/21 290/21 290/22 290/23 290/24
DISPERSION......29     28     28     69     74     77
DISPERSION......29     28     28     69     74     77
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...TGOGGINS
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT LAYFIELD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160208.KENTU.01/BMX





000
FNUS74 KBMX 071407
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RATTLESNAKE...USDA FOREST SERVICE, SHOAL CREEK RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
807 AM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 07.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A STRONG UPPER
TROF WILL FORM OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES EARLY THIS WEEK AND
BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS NORTH
ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN MAY BECOME MIXED
WITH LIGHT SNOW LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR CLEAR  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     48     52     54     48
RH..............51     41     35     31     40
20 FT WIND......NW 5   NW 7   NW 8   W 7    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   3800   5400   4500   1600
TRANSPORT WIND..350/7  340/13 330/14 310/9  280/5
DISPERSION......3      46     59     36     9
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN
TEMP............46     43     39     38     37     36
RH..............45     53     62     65     71     79
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 2    W 3    SW 5   SW 3   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....300    BLW100 200    400    400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..260/3  240/3  240/6  250/8  240/10 250/12
DISPERSION......1      1      2      4      7      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     10     20

.MONDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............37     40     42     44     44     42
RH..............79     70     61     53     50     50
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 6    W 8    W 12   W 13   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....800    2100   4900   8000   8100   7100
TRANSPORT WIND..270/12 280/16 280/23 270/28 270/26 270/25
DISPERSION......8      11     31     100    96     89
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     30     40     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE MORRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160207.RATTL.01/BMX





000
FNUS74 KBMX 071407
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RATTLESNAKE...USDA FOREST SERVICE, SHOAL CREEK RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
807 AM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 07.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A STRONG UPPER
TROF WILL FORM OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES EARLY THIS WEEK AND
BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS NORTH
ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN MAY BECOME MIXED
WITH LIGHT SNOW LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR CLEAR  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     48     52     54     48
RH..............51     41     35     31     40
20 FT WIND......NW 5   NW 7   NW 8   W 7    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   3800   5400   4500   1600
TRANSPORT WIND..350/7  340/13 330/14 310/9  280/5
DISPERSION......3      46     59     36     9
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN
TEMP............46     43     39     38     37     36
RH..............45     53     62     65     71     79
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 2    W 3    SW 5   SW 3   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....300    BLW100 200    400    400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..260/3  240/3  240/6  250/8  240/10 250/12
DISPERSION......1      1      2      4      7      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     10     20

.MONDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............37     40     42     44     44     42
RH..............79     70     61     53     50     50
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 6    W 8    W 12   W 13   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....800    2100   4900   8000   8100   7100
TRANSPORT WIND..270/12 280/16 280/23 270/28 270/26 270/25
DISPERSION......8      11     31     100    96     89
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     30     40     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE MORRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160207.RATTL.01/BMX




000
FNUS74 KBMX 071407
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RATTLESNAKE...USDA FOREST SERVICE, SHOAL CREEK RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
807 AM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 07.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. A STRONG UPPER
TROF WILL FORM OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES EARLY THIS WEEK AND
BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS NORTH
ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN MAY BECOME MIXED
WITH LIGHT SNOW LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR CLEAR  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     48     52     54     48
RH..............51     41     35     31     40
20 FT WIND......NW 5   NW 7   NW 8   W 7    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   3800   5400   4500   1600
TRANSPORT WIND..350/7  340/13 330/14 310/9  280/5
DISPERSION......3      46     59     36     9
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN
TEMP............46     43     39     38     37     36
RH..............45     53     62     65     71     79
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 2    W 3    SW 5   SW 3   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      10     5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....300    BLW100 200    400    400    400
TRANSPORT WIND..260/3  240/3  240/6  250/8  240/10 250/12
DISPERSION......1      1      2      4      7      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     10     20

.MONDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............37     40     42     44     44     42
RH..............79     70     61     53     50     50
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 6    W 8    W 12   W 13   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....800    2100   4900   8000   8100   7100
TRANSPORT WIND..270/12 280/16 280/23 270/28 270/26 270/25
DISPERSION......8      11     31     100    96     89
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     30     40     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...ALLEN
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE MORRIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160207.RATTL.01/BMX





000
FNUS74 KBMX 071345
FWSBMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR COMPARTMENT 17...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
745 AM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 07.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. A STRONG UPPER
TROF WILL FORM OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES EARLY THIS WEEK AND
BRING MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES INTO CENTRAL ALABAMA MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS NORTH
ALABAMA LATE TONIGHT AND INTO MONDAY. THE RAIN MAY BECOME MIXED
WITH LIGHT SNOW LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...
TIME (CST)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............42     51     55     57     52
RH..............51     40     33     29     37
20 FT WIND......N 2    NW 6   W 7    W 7    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)....700    3500   4900   4300   3300
TRANSPORT WIND..330/7  320/9  310/9  270/9  270/10
DISPERSION......3      39     38     36     42
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...
TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     46     42     40     39     38
RH..............41     50     62     70     76     82
20 FT WIND......W 5    SW 2   SW 2   SW 3   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5      10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   900    100    300    400    300
TRANSPORT WIND..270/10 230/6  220/3  240/7  240/7  250/7
DISPERSION......34     7      1      3      5      5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      10     10     10     0

.MONDAY...
TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............39     42     45     46     47     46
RH..............82     73     61     50     46     45
20 FT WIND......W 5    W 7    W 9    W 12   W 14   W 14
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     20     25     25
MIX HGT (FT)....500    2300   5100   7700   8100   7300
TRANSPORT WIND..280/9  290/15 290/22 280/26 290/26 290/28
DISPERSION......6      20     15     95     96     98
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...ROSE
REQUESTED BY...JASON MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160207.COMPA.01/BMX





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