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000
FNUS75 KBOI 231230
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCKEY BEAR PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
630 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RAIN MOST OF THE TIME UNTIL NOON FRIDAY...
...RIDGE TOP EYE LEVEL WINDS TO 15 MPH...
...STRONG COLD FRONT SATURDAY NIGHT WITH A DUSTING OF SNOW
   POSSIBLE SUNDAY MORNING...


.DISCUSSION...
A PLUME OF MOISTURE WITH A FRONT WILL BE OVER THE ROCKEY BEAR
AREA TODAY THROUGH NOON FRIDAY. EXPECT STORM TOTAL RAINFALL OVER
THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH THE NEXT 36 HOURS TIL NOON FRIDAY. THERE
MAY BE A BRIEF /6 HOUR/ BREAK FROM MIDNIGHT TO 6 AM AS THE FRONT
SHIFTS BRIEFLY SOUTH. EXPECT A LONGER /24-HR/ DRY PERIOD WHICH
WILL BE BREEZY AND SEASONABLE MILD FROM FRIDAY EVENING UNTIL THE
COLD FRONT GETS CLOSE SATURDAY EVENING. BRIEF STRONG WINDS AND
MODERATE RAIN...CHANGING TO SNOW ABOVE 5000 FEET...WILL ACCOMPANY
THE FRONT FOLLOWED BY BREEZY AND COOL CONDITIONS SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN. CHANCE OF RAIN 100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 TO 85 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTH 2 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 7 MPH THIS MORNING
                    INCREASING TO SOUTH 3 TO 5 WITH GUSTS TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 FAIR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY. CHANCE OF RAIN 70
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39 TO 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 TO 100 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTH 4 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...150 POOR.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY UNTIL 3 PM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN SHOWER. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47 TO 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........79 TO 83 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....DOWNSLOPE LESS THAN 3 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTH 4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 9 MPH FOR THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...450 FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...MILLS
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK SCHON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141023.ROCKE.01/BOI





000
FNUS75 KBOI 221354
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALLY HAND PILES...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
754 AM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WARM AND DRY WITH STRENGTHENING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS...

.DISCUSSION...WARMER AND DRIER TODAY WITH INCREASING SOUTH-SOUTHEAST
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE THIS EVENING...
AHEAD OF THE NEXT ROUND OF PRECIPITATION. RAIN SHOWERS WILL MOVE
OVER THE BURN AREA EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND PERSIST THROUGH MUCH
OF THE DAY. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND 0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES
EXPECTED BY LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING. INCREASING
                    CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56 TO 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 TO 45 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38 TO 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 TO 89 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........AN 80 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51 TO 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 TO 68 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...THIMMESCH
REQUESTED BY...DAN FOGLEMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141022.BALLY.01/BOI





000
FNUS75 KBOI 221325
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCKEY BEAR PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
725 AM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1655 MDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH INCREASING CLOUDS AND RAIN BEGINNING OVERNIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...WARMER AND DRIER TODAY AS A RIDGE TRANSITIONS OVER REGION.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
INCREASING CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON WITH PRECIPITATION BEGINNING AFTER
MIDNIGHT LASTING THROUGH THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING. INCREASING
                    CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 TO 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 TO 49 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHERLY 4 TO 6 MPH /WITH GUSTS TO 12
                    MPH/ IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37 TO 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 TO 82 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....LESS THAN 3 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 POOR.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 80
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47 TO 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 TO 68 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTHERLY 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...ANDERSON
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT C BAILEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.ROCKE.03/BOI





000
FNUS75 KBOI 211734
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCKEY BEAR LANDING PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
1134 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 MDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON THEN TRENDING DRIER...

.DISCUSSION...COOL AND WET CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TRACKS ACROSS THE PAYETTE NF.
SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH BY EARLY EVENING AS THE TROUGH EXITS TO THE
NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ITS PLACE. WARMER AND DRIER
/WITH NOTICEABLY STRONGER SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS/ ON WEDNESDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY IN THE EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
                    90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 TO 72 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....WEST 2 TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...210 FAIR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32 TO 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 TO 95 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....LIGHT AND VARIABLE...1 TO 3 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...40 POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING. INCREASING
                    CLOUDS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52 TO 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 TO 49 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH /WITH GUSTS TO 12
                    MPH/ IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...800 EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...THIMMESCH
REQUESTED BY...ROBERT C  BAILEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.ROCKE.01/BOI





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