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000
FNUS75 KBOU 240131
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
731 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1805 MDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT BRINGING OCCASIONAL WAVE CLOUDS TONIGHT.  THE RIDGE WILL
MOVE EAST AND BE OVERHEAD FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  AN UPPER TROUGH WILL
APPROACH THE STATE SUNDAY...WITH INCREASING PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS LATE IN THE DAY.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A BIT
ON SATURDAY AND MORE ON SUNDAY AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES.

.TONIGHT...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........55%.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........13%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 5800-6800 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........52%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........15%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2900-3900
                    FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 6800-7800 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1500...THEN 8200-9200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1700...THEN GOOD.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-11 MPH.
.MONDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TROUT CREEK RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/23-18 23  0  0 61 28  SE  5  5 2 1   W 23  6839 WSW 10 62145   G
10/23-19 23  0  0 57 33 SSE  6  6 2 1 WNW 24  5177 WSW 12 49123  F
10/23-20 23  0  0 53 37 SSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 25  3516 WSW 13 36100 P
10/23-21 23  0  0 49 42  SW  9 15 3 1 WNW 26  1854 WSW 14 23078 P
10/23-22 23  0  0 47 45  SW 10 16 3 1 WNW 26  1400 WSW 15 17765 P
10/23-23 23  0  0 45 48  SW 10 16 4 1 WNW 26   945 WSW 16 12452 P
10/24-00 30  0  0 44 49 WSW 10 16 4 1  NW 26   490 WSW 17  7139 P
10/24-01 30  0  0 42 52 WSW 10 17 4 1 WNW 24   490 WSW 17  7236 P
10/24-02 30  0  0 41 54 WSW 12 18 5 1 WNW 23   489   W 17  7332 P
10/24-03 30  0  0 40 55 WSW 12 18 5 1 WNW 21   489   W 17  7428 P
10/24-04 30  0  0 39 53  SW 12 17 5 1 WNW 20   486   W 16  6728 P
10/24-05 30  0  0 38 52  SW 10 16 5 1 WNW 17   483   W 14  6028 P
10/24-06 20  0  0 38 50  SW  9 15 5 1 WNW 16   480   W 13  5327 P
10/24-07 20  0  0 40 48  SW  9 14 5 1 WNW 17   560   W 12  5773 P
10/24-08 20  0  0 43 46  SW  8 14 4 1 WNW 20   641 WSW 12  6218 P
10/24-09 20  0  0 48 40  SW  8 13 4 1 WNW 21   722  SW 10  6663 P
10/24-10 20  0  0 55 32  SW  8  8 4 1 WNW 21  2200 WSW  9 15818 P
10/24-11 20  0  0 61 26  SW  7  7 4 1   W 21  3678   W  8 24972 P
10/24-12 12  0  0 67 20  SW  7  7 4 1   W 21  5156   W  8 34127 P
10/24-13 12  0  0 71 16  SW  7  7 3 1   W 22  6053   W  8 43625  F
10/24-14 12  0  0 72 13  SW  8 13 3 1   W 22  6951   W  9 53122  F
10/24-15 12  0  0 71 13  SW  8 13 2 1   W 22  7849   W  9 62620   G
10/24-16 12  0  0 69 14 SSW  8  8 2 1   W 22  6575  SW  8 46827  F
10/24-17 12  0  0 66 18   S  7  7 2 1   W 22  5301 SSE  6 31034 P
10/24-18  5  1  0 61 24   S  6  6 2 1   W 23  4027 ESE  5 15240 P
10/24-19  5  1  0 56 29   S  5  5 2 1   W 22  3078 ENE  3 10940 P
10/24-20  5  1  0 51 35  SW  3  3 3 1   W 21  2130   N  3  6639 P
10/24-21  5  1  0 47 40 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 21  1181  NW  2  2339 P
10/24-22  5  1  0 45 41 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 20  1131 WNW  2  2635 P
10/24-23  5  1  0 43 42  SW  5  5 4 1   W 18  1080   W  3  2932 P
10/25-00  2  1  0 42 43  SW  6  6 4 1   W 17  1030 WSW  3  3229 P
10/25-01  2  1  0 41 46  SW  6  6 4 1   W 16   913 WSW  5  3497 P
10/25-02  2  1  0 40 51  SW  7  7 4 1   W 15   797  SW  6  3765 P
10/25-03  2  1  0 40 52  SW  7  7 4 1   W 14   680  SW  7  4034 P
10/25-04  2  1  0 40 50  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   663  SW  7  3987 P
10/25-05  2  1  0 40 46  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   645  SW  7  3940 P
10/25-06  2  0  0 40 44  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   627  SW  7  3892 P
10/25-07  2  0  0 41 45  SW  7  7 4 1  SW 17   606  SW  7  3556 P
10/25-08  2  0  0 43 45 WSW  7  7 3 1  SW 18   586  SW  6  3220 P
10/25-09  2  0  0 47 42 WSW  7  7 3 1  SW 20   566  SW  6  2883 P
10/25-10  2  0  0 54 33  SW  6  6 3 1  SW 22  2416  SW  8 23075 P
10/25-11  2  0  0 61 25   S  5  5 4 1  SW 24  4267 SSW 10 43267  F
10/25-12  3  0  0 67 20   S  5  5 4 1  SW 26  6118   S 12 63459   G
10/25-13  3  0  0 71 16   S  5  5 4 1  SW 28  7206 SSW 13 83198   G
10/25-14  3  0  0 72 15   S  6  6 3 1  SW 29  8293 SSW 14102936    V
10/25-15  3  0  0 71 15   S  7  7 3 1  SW 30  9381  SW 15122675    V
10/25-16  3  0  0 69 17   S  7  7 3 1  SW 28  8039  SW 15104050    V
10/25-17  3  0  0 66 20   S  8  8 4 1 WSW 25  6698  SW 15 85425   G
10/25-18  9  1  0 62 24 SSE  8  8 4 1 WSW 23  5356  SW 14 66800   G
10/25-19  9  1  0 58 28   S  9  9 4 1 WSW 22  3871  SW 15 48760  F
10/25-20  9  1  0 54 31 SSW 10 15 3 1 WSW 22  2385  SW 16 30720 P
10/25-21  9  1  0 50 34 SSW 10 16 3 1 WSW 22   900  SW 16 12680 P
10/25-22  9  1  0 48 37  SW  9 15 3 1 WSW 23   819  SW 17 11916 P
10/25-23  9  1  0 47 39  SW  8  8 3 1 WSW 23   739 WSW 17 11153 P
10/26-00  7  0  0 46 42 WSW  8  8 3 1 WSW 24   658   W 18 10389 P
10/26-01  7  0  0 46 42 WSW  9  9 3 1 WSW 24   617   W 21 10677 P
10/26-02  7  0  0 45 45 WSW 10 16 3 1 WSW 23   576   W 22 10964 P
10/26-03  7  0  0 44 47 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 23   535   W 24 11252 P
10/26-04  7  0  0 43 49 WSW 12 17 3 1  SW 23   587   W 24 12020 P
10/26-05  7  0  0 41 54 WSW 10 16 2 1  SW 22   639   W 23 12788 P
10/26-06 22  0  0 41 55 WSW 10 16 2 1  SW 22   691   W 23 13557 P
10/26-07 22  0  0 42 54 WSW 10 16 2 1  SW 23  1097   W 24 23702 P
10/26-08 22  0  0 45 48 WSW 12 16 3 1  SW 24  1502   W 25 33847 P
10/26-09 22  0  0 49 42 WSW 12 17 3 1  SW 25  1908   W 26 43992  F
10/26-10 22  0  0 54 36 WSW 12 18 3 1  SW 28  3302   W 26 74071   G
10/26-11 22  0  0 58 31 WSW 13 18 2 1   W 30  4696   W 25104150    V
10/26-12 22  0  0 62 27 WSW 13 20 2 1   W 33  6090   W 25134228    V
10/26-13 22  0  0 65 24 WSW 13 18 2 1   W 36  6597   W 24140692    V
10/26-14 22  0  0 66 23 WSW 12 17 3 1   W 38  7103   W 24147155    V
10/26-15 22  0  0 65 23 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 40  7610   W 23153619     E
10/26-16 22  0  0 63 24 WSW 10 15 3 1   W 43  7000   W 25150639     E
10/26-17 22  0  0 59 27 WSW  9  9 3 1   W 46  6391 WSW 26147659    V
10/26-18 31  1  0 54 32 WSW  8  8 3 1 WSW 48  5781 WSW 29144679    V

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RTG
REQUESTED BY...ERIC ZANOTTO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141023.TROUT.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 240104
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI RX BURN...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
704 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON OCTOBER 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LARGE AND UNSEASONABLY WARM UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
BUILD OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ROCKIES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
THIS KEEP RECORD OR NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE FORECAST
FOR SATURDAY...AND ALSO PROVIDE GOOD MIXING AND SMOKE DISPERSION
FOR THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS DESPITE RATHER LIGHT FLOW
ALOFT.  THE LIGHT FLOW WILL ALLOW NORMAL DIURNAL WIND PATTERNS TO
PREVAIL...WITH LIGHT WEST/SOUTHWEST FLOW EARLY IN THE MORNING
TRANSITIONING TO NORMAL SOUTHEAST WIND BY LATE MORNING AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  HUMIDITIES WILL BE LOW FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR.

WINDS WILL LIKELY INCREASE LATER SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS
THE RIDGE MOVES EAST AND SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT STRENGTHENS.  DIURNAL
SOUTHEAST WINDS WOULD STILL BE POSSIBLE HOWEVER SUNDAY DEPENDING
ON HOW FAST THE RIDGE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-20%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST/SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH BY 1100.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 6100-7100 FT
                    AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-10 MPH.
.MONDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI RX BURN.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/23-18 51  0  0 63 28 SSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 33  4493 WSW 15 60604   G
10/23-19 51  0  0 59 31  SW  9 14 3 1 WNW 33  3375 WSW 15 45487  F
10/23-20 51  0  0 56 34 WSW 12 18 3 1 WNW 33  2257 WSW 15 30370 P
10/23-21 51  0  0 53 38 WSW 14 22 4 1 WNW 33  1139 WSW 15 15253 P
10/23-22 51  0  0 50 42 WSW 15 24 4 1 WNW 28  1116 WSW 16 15890 P
10/23-23 51  0  0 48 46   W 15 24 5 1  NW 22  1092   W 17 16528 P
10/24-00 49  0  0 47 47   W 15 24 5 1  NW 16  1069   W 18 17166 P
10/24-01 49  0  0 46 49   W 15 24 5 1 WNW 13  1030   W 18 16900 P
10/24-02 49  0  0 46 48   W 15 23 5 1 WNW 10   990   W 20 16635 P
10/24-03 49  0  0 47 45   W 14 22 5 1 WNW  7   951   W 20 16369 P
10/24-04 49  0  0 46 47   W 13 20 5 1   W  8   946   W 20 15724 P
10/24-05 49  0  0 46 47   W 10 17 5 1   W  8   941   W 18 15080 P
10/24-06 79  0  0 46 47   W  9 15 5 1   W  9   937   W 17 14435 P
10/24-07 79  0  0 48 44   W  8 13 5 1   W 10   971   W 16 13171 P
10/24-08 79  0  0 51 40 WSW  7  7 5 1   W 10  1004   W 14 11907 P
10/24-09 79  0  0 55 35 WSW  7  7 5 1 WNW 12  1038   W 12 10644 P
10/24-10 79  0  0 59 32 WSW  7  7 5 1   W 12  2154   W 13 26695 P
10/24-11 79  0  0 64 27  SW  7  7 5 1   W 13  3270   W 14 42746  F
10/24-12 49  0  0 68 24  SW  7  7 5 1   W 13  4385   W 15 58797  F
10/24-13 49  0  0 71 21  SW  7  7 5 1   W 14  5224   W 15 66545   G
10/24-14 49  0  0 72 19  SW  8 13 4 1   W 16  6062   W 14 74292   G
10/24-15 49  0  0 72 19  SW  8 13 4 1   W 17  6901   W 14 82039   G
10/24-16 49  0  0 71 19 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 22  5507   W 13 63694   G
10/24-17 49  0  0 68 21 SSW  6  6 3 1   W 25  4114 WSW 13 45349  F
10/24-18 23  1  0 65 24 SSW  6  6 3 1   W 30  2720 WSW 12 27004 P
10/24-19 23  1  0 61 27  SW  7  7 3 1   W 29  2274 WSW 13 23975 P
10/24-20 23  1  0 56 33 WSW  8  8 4 1   W 28  1827   W 14 20947 P
10/24-21 23  1  0 53 36   W  9 14 4 1   W 26  1380   W 15 17918 P
10/24-22 23  1  0 50 39   W  9  9 4 1   W 24  1457   W 14 18106 P
10/24-23 23  1  0 49 40   W  8  8 4 1 WNW 23  1533   W 14 18294 P
10/25-00 13  1  0 49 39   W  8  8 4 1 WNW 21  1609   W 13 18482 P
10/25-01 13  1  0 49 40   W  8  8 4 1 WNW 18  1521   W 13 17249 P
10/25-02 13  1  0 49 41   W  8  8 4 1   W 16  1433   W 13 16016 P
10/25-03 13  1  0 49 42   W  8  8 4 1   W 15  1345   W 13 14784 P
10/25-04 13  1  0 49 42   W  8  8 4 1   W 15  1358   W 12 13905 P
10/25-05 13  1  0 49 41   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 14  1371   W 12 13026 P
10/25-06  3  0  0 50 39 WSW  7  7 4 1 WSW 14  1384   W 10 12147 P
10/25-07  3  0  0 51 39 WSW  6  6 4 1 WSW 16  1410   W  8 10409 P
10/25-08  3  0  0 53 38  SW  6  6 5 1 WSW 17  1435 WSW  7  8671 P
10/25-09  3  0  0 57 34  SW  5  5 5 1  SW 20  1461 WSW  6  6933 P
10/25-10  3  0  0 61 30   S  5  5 5 1  SW 21  3243 WSW  7 26885 P
10/25-11  3  0  0 66 26 SSE  5  5 4 1  SW 22  5024 SSW  9 46837  F
10/25-12  3  0  0 70 23  SE  5  5 4 1  SW 23  6806   S 12 66789   G
10/25-13  3  0  0 72 21  SE  5  5 4 1  SW 24  6993   S 10 65322   G
10/25-14  3  0  0 73 20  SE  6  6 4 1  SW 25  7179   S 10 63854   G
10/25-15  3  0  0 72 21  SE  6  6 4 1 WSW 28  7365 SSW  9 62387   G
10/25-16  3  0  0 71 22  SE  6  6 4 1 WSW 25  5853 SSW  8 45869  F
10/25-17  3  0  0 68 23 ESE  6  6 4 1  SW 24  4340 SSW  7 29350 P
10/25-18  2  1  0 64 27 ESE  6  6 4 1  SW 23  2827 SSW  6 12832 P
10/25-19  2  1  0 60 31 SSE  7  7 4 1  SW 25  2399 SSW  6 12004 P
10/25-20  2  1  0 57 34  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 28  1970 WSW  7 11176 P
10/25-21  2  1  0 53 39 WSW  8  8 3 1 WSW 30  1542 WSW  8 10348 P
10/25-22  2  1  0 51 41 WSW  8  8 4 1 WSW 30  1489 WSW 12 15230 P
10/25-23  2  1  0 50 40   W  8  8 4 1  SW 30  1436 WSW 16 20112 P
10/26-00 11  0  0 49 40   W  8  8 5 1  SW 31  1383 WSW 21 24995 P
10/26-01 11  0  0 49 40   W  9 14 4 1  SW 30  1399   W 21 25543 P
10/26-02 11  0  0 49 41   W 10 16 3 1  SW 29  1415   W 21 26091 P
10/26-03 11  0  0 48 44   W 12 17 2 1  SW 28  1431   W 22 26639 P
10/26-04 11  0  0 48 45   W 12 16 3 1 SSW 28  1302   W 20 22843 P
10/26-05 11  0  0 47 48 WSW 10 15 3 1 SSW 28  1174   W 18 19047 P
10/26-06 25  2  0 47 49 WSW  9 14 4 1 SSW 28  1045   W 17 15252 P
10/26-07 25  2  0 48 48 WSW  9  9 4 1 SSW 24  1472   W 18 24341 P
10/26-08 25  2  0 50 44 WSW  9  9 4 1 SSW 22  1898   W 20 33431 P
10/26-09 25  2  0 52 41 WSW  9 14 4 1 SSW 20  2325   W 21 42521  F
10/26-10 25  2  0 56 37 WSW  9 14 4 1 SSW 21  3375   W 22 67928   G
10/26-11 25  2  0 59 35  SW  9 14 4 1  SW 22  4425   W 24 93336   G
10/26-12 32  0  0 62 32  SW  9 14 4 1 WSW 24  5475   W 25118743    V
10/26-13 32  0  0 65 29  SW  9  9 3 1 WSW 32  6357   W 25142216    V
10/26-14 32  0  0 66 28 WSW  9  9 3 1 WSW 40  7238 WSW 26165690     E
10/26-15 32  0  0 66 27 WSW  9  9 2 1 WSW 49  8120 WSW 26189163     E
10/26-16 32  0  0 64 28   W  9  9 2 1 WSW 48  7444 WSW 24158051     E
10/26-17 32  0  0 62 29   W  8  8 3 1 WSW 47  6768 WSW 21126940    V
10/26-18 47 10  2 59 32   W  8  8 3 1 WSW 47  6092 WSW 18 95828   G

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...PAUL OSTROY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141025.WAPIT.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 240026
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT CREEK RX...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
626 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER RIDGE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WITH NORTHWESTERLY
FLOW ALOFT BRINGING OCCASIONAL WAVE CLOUDS TONIGHT.  THE RIDGE WILL
MOVE EAST AND BE OVERHEAD FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  AN UPPER TROUGH WILL
APPROACH THE STATE SUNDAY...WITH INCREASING PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS LATE IN THE DAY.  WINDS WILL INCREASE A BIT
ON SATURDAY AND MORE ON SUNDAY AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES.

.TONIGHT...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........55%.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........13%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 5800-6800 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1300...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    POOR.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........52%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........15%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2900-3900
                    FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 6800-7800 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1500...THEN 8200-9200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1700...THEN GOOD.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-11 MPH.
.MONDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TROUT CREEK RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/23-18 23  0  0 61 28  SE  5  5 2 1   W 23  6839 WSW 10 62145   G
10/23-19 23  0  0 57 33 SSE  6  6 2 1 WNW 24  5177 WSW 12 49123  F
10/23-20 23  0  0 53 37 SSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 25  3516 WSW 13 36100 P
10/23-21 23  0  0 49 42  SW  9 15 3 1 WNW 26  1854 WSW 14 23078 P
10/23-22 23  0  0 47 45  SW 10 16 3 1 WNW 26  1400 WSW 15 17765 P
10/23-23 23  0  0 45 48  SW 10 16 4 1 WNW 26   945 WSW 16 12452 P
10/24-00 30  0  0 44 49 WSW 10 16 4 1  NW 26   490 WSW 17  7139 P
10/24-01 30  0  0 42 52 WSW 10 17 4 1 WNW 24   490 WSW 17  7236 P
10/24-02 30  0  0 41 54 WSW 12 18 5 1 WNW 23   489   W 17  7332 P
10/24-03 30  0  0 40 55 WSW 12 18 5 1 WNW 21   489   W 17  7428 P
10/24-04 30  0  0 39 53  SW 12 17 5 1 WNW 20   486   W 16  6728 P
10/24-05 30  0  0 38 52  SW 10 16 5 1 WNW 17   483   W 14  6028 P
10/24-06 20  0  0 38 50  SW  9 15 5 1 WNW 16   480   W 13  5327 P
10/24-07 20  0  0 40 48  SW  9 14 5 1 WNW 17   560   W 12  5773 P
10/24-08 20  0  0 43 46  SW  8 14 4 1 WNW 20   641 WSW 12  6218 P
10/24-09 20  0  0 48 40  SW  8 13 4 1 WNW 21   722  SW 10  6663 P
10/24-10 20  0  0 55 32  SW  8  8 4 1 WNW 21  2200 WSW  9 15818 P
10/24-11 20  0  0 61 26  SW  7  7 4 1   W 21  3678   W  8 24972 P
10/24-12 12  0  0 67 20  SW  7  7 4 1   W 21  5156   W  8 34127 P
10/24-13 12  0  0 71 16  SW  7  7 3 1   W 22  6053   W  8 43625  F
10/24-14 12  0  0 72 13  SW  8 13 3 1   W 22  6951   W  9 53122  F
10/24-15 12  0  0 71 13  SW  8 13 2 1   W 22  7849   W  9 62620   G
10/24-16 12  0  0 69 14 SSW  8  8 2 1   W 22  6575  SW  8 46827  F
10/24-17 12  0  0 66 18   S  7  7 2 1   W 22  5301 SSE  6 31034 P
10/24-18  5  1  0 61 24   S  6  6 2 1   W 23  4027 ESE  5 15240 P
10/24-19  5  1  0 56 29   S  5  5 2 1   W 22  3078 ENE  3 10940 P
10/24-20  5  1  0 51 35  SW  3  3 3 1   W 21  2130   N  3  6639 P
10/24-21  5  1  0 47 40 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 21  1181  NW  2  2339 P
10/24-22  5  1  0 45 41 WSW  3  3 3 1   W 20  1131 WNW  2  2635 P
10/24-23  5  1  0 43 42  SW  5  5 4 1   W 18  1080   W  3  2932 P
10/25-00  2  1  0 42 43  SW  6  6 4 1   W 17  1030 WSW  3  3229 P
10/25-01  2  1  0 41 46  SW  6  6 4 1   W 16   913 WSW  5  3497 P
10/25-02  2  1  0 40 51  SW  7  7 4 1   W 15   797  SW  6  3765 P
10/25-03  2  1  0 40 52  SW  7  7 4 1   W 14   680  SW  7  4034 P
10/25-04  2  1  0 40 50  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   663  SW  7  3987 P
10/25-05  2  1  0 40 46  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   645  SW  7  3940 P
10/25-06  2  0  0 40 44  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   627  SW  7  3892 P
10/25-07  2  0  0 41 45  SW  7  7 4 1  SW 17   606  SW  7  3556 P
10/25-08  2  0  0 43 45 WSW  7  7 3 1  SW 18   586  SW  6  3220 P
10/25-09  2  0  0 47 42 WSW  7  7 3 1  SW 20   566  SW  6  2883 P
10/25-10  2  0  0 54 33  SW  6  6 3 1  SW 22  2416  SW  8 23075 P
10/25-11  2  0  0 61 25   S  5  5 4 1  SW 24  4267 SSW 10 43267  F
10/25-12  3  0  0 67 20   S  5  5 4 1  SW 26  6118   S 12 63459   G
10/25-13  3  0  0 71 16   S  5  5 4 1  SW 28  7206 SSW 13 83198   G
10/25-14  3  0  0 72 15   S  6  6 3 1  SW 29  8293 SSW 14102936    V
10/25-15  3  0  0 71 15   S  7  7 3 1  SW 30  9381  SW 15122675    V
10/25-16  3  0  0 69 17   S  7  7 3 1  SW 28  8039  SW 15104050    V
10/25-17  3  0  0 66 20   S  8  8 4 1 WSW 25  6698  SW 15 85425   G
10/25-18  9  1  0 62 24 SSE  8  8 4 1 WSW 23  5356  SW 14 66800   G
10/25-19  9  1  0 58 28   S  9  9 4 1 WSW 22  3871  SW 15 48760  F
10/25-20  9  1  0 54 31 SSW 10 15 3 1 WSW 22  2385  SW 16 30720 P
10/25-21  9  1  0 50 34 SSW 10 16 3 1 WSW 22   900  SW 16 12680 P
10/25-22  9  1  0 48 37  SW  9 15 3 1 WSW 23   819  SW 17 11916 P
10/25-23  9  1  0 47 39  SW  8  8 3 1 WSW 23   739 WSW 17 11153 P
10/26-00  7  0  0 46 42 WSW  8  8 3 1 WSW 24   658   W 18 10389 P
10/26-01  7  0  0 46 42 WSW  9  9 3 1 WSW 24   617   W 21 10677 P
10/26-02  7  0  0 45 45 WSW 10 16 3 1 WSW 23   576   W 22 10964 P
10/26-03  7  0  0 44 47 WSW 12 17 3 1 WSW 23   535   W 24 11252 P
10/26-04  7  0  0 43 49 WSW 12 17 3 1  SW 23   587   W 24 12020 P
10/26-05  7  0  0 41 54 WSW 10 16 2 1  SW 22   639   W 23 12788 P
10/26-06 22  0  0 41 55 WSW 10 16 2 1  SW 22   691   W 23 13557 P
10/26-07 22  0  0 42 54 WSW 10 16 2 1  SW 23  1097   W 24 23702 P
10/26-08 22  0  0 45 48 WSW 12 16 3 1  SW 24  1502   W 25 33847 P
10/26-09 22  0  0 49 42 WSW 12 17 3 1  SW 25  1908   W 26 43992  F
10/26-10 22  0  0 54 36 WSW 12 18 3 1  SW 28  3302   W 26 74071   G
10/26-11 22  0  0 58 31 WSW 13 18 2 1   W 30  4696   W 25104150    V
10/26-12 22  0  0 62 27 WSW 13 20 2 1   W 33  6090   W 25134228    V
10/26-13 22  0  0 65 24 WSW 13 18 2 1   W 36  6597   W 24140692    V
10/26-14 22  0  0 66 23 WSW 12 17 3 1   W 38  7103   W 24147155    V
10/26-15 22  0  0 65 23 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 40  7610   W 23153619     E
10/26-16 22  0  0 63 24 WSW 10 15 3 1   W 43  7000   W 25150639     E
10/26-17 22  0  0 59 27 WSW  9  9 3 1   W 46  6391 WSW 26147659    V
10/26-18 31  1  0 54 32 WSW  8  8 3 1 WSW 48  5781 WSW 29144679    V

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RTG
REQUESTED BY...JAY KARLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141024.TROUT.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 232338
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILSON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
538 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVER COLORADO THROUGH
SATURDAY...WITH WARM DRY CONDITIONS.  AN UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE STATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY.  WINDS WILL INCREASE ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY
AS THE TROUGH APPROACHES...AND THERE WILL BE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION SUNDAY
OVER THE MOUNTAINS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........72%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    WEST 6-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5300 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. BELOW 1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 0100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........11%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 2700-3700
                    FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 6000-7000 FT AGL UNTIL
                    1500...THEN 7200-8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN
                    5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN POOR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WILSON.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/23-17 20  0  0 59 27   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 21  6551   W 13 70238   G
10/23-18 20  0  0 55 31   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 22  5497   W 13 59196  F
10/23-19 20  0  0 51 36 WSW  6  6 2 1 WNW 23  4076   W 13 43972  F
10/23-20 20  0  0 48 41 WSW  6  6 2 1 WNW 25  2656 WSW 13 28747 P
10/23-21 20  0  0 45 47 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 26  1236 WSW 13 13523 P
10/23-22 20  0  0 42 53 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 26  1144 WSW 12 11913 P
10/23-23 20  0  0 41 55 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 26  1052 WSW 12 10303 P
10/24-00 21  0  0 39 59 WSW  8 13 4 1 WNW 26   960 WSW 10  8693 P
10/24-01 21  0  0 39 59 WSW  9 14 4 1 WNW 24   948 WSW 10  8838 P
10/24-02 21  0  0 38 60   W  9 15 5 1 WNW 22   936   W 12  8984 P
10/24-03 21  0  0 37 62   W  9 15 5 1 WNW 20   924   W 12  9129 P
10/24-04 21  0  0 35 66   W  8 13 5 1 WNW 18   918   W 10  8561 P
10/24-05 21  0  0 33 72 WSW  7  7 5 1 WNW 17   912   W 10  7993 P
10/24-06 23  0  0 33 72 WSW  6  6 5 1 WNW 16   906   W  9  7425 P
10/24-07 23  0  0 34 70 WSW  6  6 5 1 WNW 17   913   W  9  7582 P
10/24-08 23  0  0 37 62 WSW  6  6 5 1 WNW 20   919   W 10  7739 P
10/24-09 23  0  0 42 51 WSW  6  6 5 1 WNW 21   925   W 10  7895 P
10/24-10 23  0  0 49 39 WSW  6  6 5 1 WNW 21  2434   W 12 26729 P
10/24-11 23  0  0 57 28 WSW  7  7 5 1   W 21  3942   W 13 45563  F
10/24-12  8  0  0 64 21 WSW  7  7 5 1   W 21  5450 WNW 14 64397   G
10/24-13  8  0  0 68 16 WSW  7  7 4 1   W 21  6496   W 13 69849   G
10/24-14  8  0  0 70 13 WSW  8 13 3 1   W 20  7542   W 12 75302   G
10/24-15  8  0  0 70 11 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 18  8588   W 10 80755   G
10/24-16  8  0  0 67 14 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 18  6819   W  9 60223   G
10/24-17  8  0  0 62 19  SW  8  8 2 1   W 18  5049 WSW  8 39690 P
10/24-18  4  1  0 57 26  SW  7  7 2 1   W 18  3280 WSW  7 19158 P
10/24-19  4  1  0 52 31 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 18  2625   W  7 15140 P
10/24-20  4  1  0 48 35   W  5  5 3 1   W 18  1971 WNW  7 11122 P
10/24-21  4  1  0 44 41   W  5  5 3 1   W 20  1317 WNW  6  7104 P
10/24-22  4  1  0 41 47   W  5  5 3 1   W 18  1208 WNW  6  6188 P
10/24-23  4  1  0 39 52   W  5  5 4 1   W 17  1098   W  6  5273 P
10/25-00  2  1  0 37 57   W  5  5 4 1   W 16   989   W  5  4358 P
10/25-01  2  1  0 35 61   W  5  5 4 1   W 16   986   W  6  4539 P
10/25-02  2  1  0 34 64   W  5  5 4 1   W 15   983   W  6  4720 P
10/25-03  2  1  0 34 64   W  5  5 4 1 WSW 15   979   W  6  4902 P
10/25-04  2  1  0 34 64   W  5  5 4 1 WSW 15   978   W  6  4863 P
10/25-05  2  1  0 34 65   W  5  5 3 1 WSW 16   976   W  6  4825 P
10/25-06  3  0  0 35 64   W  5  5 3 1  SW 16   974   W  6  4786 P
10/25-07  3  0  0 35 65   W  5  5 3 1  SW 17   967   W  6  4454 P
10/25-08  3  0  0 36 64   W  5  5 4 1  SW 18   959 WSW  5  4122 P
10/25-09  3  0  0 39 57   W  5  5 4 1  SW 20   951 WSW  5  3791 P
10/25-10  3  0  0 46 43 WSW  5  5 4 1  SW 22  2800 WSW  8 28732 P
10/25-11  3  0  0 55 29 SSW  5  5 3 1  SW 24  4649 SSW 10 53674  F
10/25-12  3  0  0 63 21 SSW  5  5 3 1  SW 26  6498 SSW 14 78615   G
10/25-13  3  0  0 67 16 SSW  6  6 3 1  SW 25  7561 SSW 15102891    V
10/25-14  3  0  0 69 13 SSW  8  8 4 1  SW 25  8625  SW 16127167    V
10/25-15  3  0  0 68 12 SSW  9 14 4 1  SW 24  9689  SW 18151444     E
10/25-16  3  0  0 65 14 SSW  9 14 4 1  SW 23  7303 SSW 16109298    V
10/25-17  3  0  0 61 18   S  9  9 3 1 WSW 22  4918 SSW 14 67153   G
10/25-18  1  1  0 57 23   S  8  8 3 1 WSW 20  2532 SSW 12 25008 P
10/25-19  1  1  0 54 27   S  8  8 3 1 WSW 20  2038 SSW 12 20551 P
10/25-20  1  1  0 50 32 SSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 20  1544 SSW 13 16095 P
10/25-21  1  1  0 48 36 SSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 20  1050  SW 13 11638 P
10/25-22  1  1  0 46 40  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 22  1004  SW 13 11248 P
10/25-23  1  1  0 44 44 WSW  7  7 3 1  SW 23   957 WSW 13 10858 P
10/26-00 11  0  0 42 49 WSW  7  7 3 1  SW 24   911   W 13 10468 P
10/26-01 11  0  0 41 51 WSW  7  7 3 1  SW 24   906   W 15 11788 P
10/26-02 11  0  0 40 54   W  8  8 3 1 WSW 24   900   W 17 13109 P
10/26-03 11  0  0 39 57   W  8  8 3 1 WSW 24   894   W 18 14429 P
10/26-04 11  0  0 38 61   W  8  8 3 1 WSW 26   885   W 18 14474 P
10/26-05 11  0  0 36 68   W  9  9 2 1 WSW 30   876   W 20 14518 P
10/26-06 20  0  0 36 70   W  9 14 2 1 WSW 33   867   W 20 14562 P
10/26-07 20  0  0 37 67   W 10 15 2 1 WSW 33  1111   W 20 19382 P
10/26-08 20  0  0 40 60 WSW 10 16 2 1 WSW 32  1354   W 21 24202 P
10/26-09 20  0  0 44 51 WSW 12 17 2 1 WSW 32  1598   W 21 29022 P
10/26-10 20  0  0 49 42 WSW 13 18 2 1 WSW 35  2977   W 24 71533   G
10/26-11 20  0  0 54 35 WSW 14 20 2 1   W 38  4355   W 28114043    V
10/26-12 21  0  0 59 29 WSW 14 21 2 1   W 41  5734   W 31156554     E
10/26-13 21  0  0 61 27 WSW 14 21 2 1   W 43  6251   W 31168927     E
10/26-14 21  0  0 62 25 WSW 13 20 3 1   W 45  6767   W 31181299     E
10/26-15 21  0  0 61 26 WSW 12 17 3 1   W 46  7284   W 31193672     E
10/26-16 21  0  0 58 28 WSW 10 16 3 1 WSW 48  6415 WSW 29163124     E
10/26-17 21  0  0 55 30 WSW  9 14 3 1 WSW 49  5547 WSW 26132577    V
10/26-18 26  1  0 51 35 WSW  8  8 3 1 WSW 52  4679 WSW 25102029    V

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RTG
REQUESTED BY...DAVID HOWARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141024.WILSO.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 231325
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR RMA 2H...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
725 AM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND DRY TODAY WITH LIGHT WINDS OUT OF THE
SSW FROM 5-10 MPH DURING IGNITION TIME. EXPECT WINDS TO CHANGE
TO A PREDOMINATELY SOUTHERLY DIRECTION WITH SPEEDS OF JUST 4-8
MPH BY NOON. THERE WILL BE LIGHT CLOUD COVER THIS AFTERNOON BUT
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN PARTLY CLOUDY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 0800...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........19%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 7000-8000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST AROUND 10
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. FAIR AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........57%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900...THEN POOR.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........15%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 6500-7500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RMA 2H.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/23-07 34  0  0 47 71  SW  3  3 2 1   W 18   852 WSW  5  3597 P
10/23-08 29  0  0 51 56  SW  2  2 2 1 WNW 18  1150  SW  5  5283 P
10/23-09 24  0  0 56 42 SSW  2  2 2 1 WNW 20  1448  SW  6  6969 P
10/23-10 24  0  0 62 33   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 22  3520  SW  6 21713 P
10/23-11 24  0  0 67 27  SE  3  3 2 1 WNW 24  5592 WSW  7 36456 P
10/23-12 27  0  0 72 23 ESE  5  5 2 1  NW 25  7663   W  8 51200  F
10/23-13 27  0  0 75 21  SE  5  5 2 1  NW 26  8115   W  8 54938  F
10/23-14 27  0  0 77 19   S  5  5 3 1  NW 26  8567   W  8 58676  F
10/23-15 27  0  0 78 19   S  5  5 3 1  NW 28  9018 WNW  8 62415   G
10/23-16 27  0  0 77 19   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 28  7715   W  8 55872  F
10/23-17 27  0  0 75 21   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 28  6412 WSW  9 49329  F
10/23-18 28  0  0 71 24   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 29  5108  SW  9 42786  F
10/23-19 28  0  0 66 28   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 29  3601  SW  9 30049 P
10/23-20 28  0  0 60 36   S  6  6 4 1 WNW 30  2094 SSW  9 17311 P
10/23-21 28  0  0 56 42   S  6  6 4 1 WNW 31   586   S  9  4574 P
10/23-22 28  0  0 53 47   S  6  6 4 1 WNW 29   532 SSW  9  4050 P
10/23-23 28  0  0 51 50 SSW  7  7 5 1 WNW 28   477  SW  8  3526 P
10/24-00 44  0  0 50 52 SSW  7  7 5 1 WNW 25   423  SW  8  3002 P
10/24-01 44  0  0 49 53   S  7  7 5 1 WNW 23   425  SW  8  2881 P
10/24-02 44  0  0 49 52   S  7  7 5 1   W 21   428  SW  7  2760 P
10/24-03 44  0  0 48 54   S  7  7 5 1   W 18   431  SW  7  2639 P
10/24-04 44  0  0 47 56   S  7  7 5 1   W 17   442  SW  7  2707 P
10/24-05 44  0  0 47 57 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 17   452  SW  7  2774 P
10/24-06 37  0  0 48 56 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 16   462  SW  7  2842 P
10/24-07 37  0  0 49 55 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 18   542  SW  7  3007 P
10/24-08 37  0  0 52 51   S  7  7 3 1   W 20   621  SW  6  3173 P
10/24-09 37  0  0 57 43   S  7  7 3 1 WNW 21   700  SW  6  3338 P
10/24-10 37  0  0 63 34   S  7  7 3 1 WNW 22  2446  SW  6 15718 P
10/24-11 37  0  0 69 26   S  6  6 3 1   W 23  4191  SW  7 28098 P
10/24-12 34  0  0 74 21   S  6  6 3 1   W 23  5937 SSW  8 40479  F
10/24-13 34  0  0 78 17   S  6  6 3 1   W 24  6570  SW  7 40491  F
10/24-14 34  0  0 80 16 SSE  7  7 3 1   W 24  7204  SW  7 40503  F
10/24-15 34  0  0 80 15  SE  7  7 3 1   W 25  7837  SW  6 40515  F
10/24-16 34  0  0 79 16 ESE  7  7 3 1   W 26  7098  SW  6 34448 P
10/24-17 34  0  0 76 18   E  6  6 3 1   W 28  6359  SW  5 28381 P
10/24-18  4  1  0 71 22   E  6  6 3 1   W 28  5620  SW  5 22314 P
10/24-19  4  1  0 66 27 ESE  6  6 3 1   W 26  3965  SW  3 15264 P
10/24-20  4  1  0 61 35   S  6  6 3 1   W 25  2310 SSW  3  8213 P
10/24-21  4  1  0 56 43   S  6  6 3 1   W 23   655 SSW  2  1162 P
10/24-22  4  1  0 53 49 SSW  6  6 3 1   W 23   591  SW  3  1454 P
10/24-23  4  1  0 51 52 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 23   527  SW  5  1747 P
10/25-00  2  1  0 50 54  SW  7  7 4 1   W 23   463 WSW  5  2039 P
10/25-01  2  1  0 49 56 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 23   475  SW  6  2203 P
10/25-02  2  1  0 48 58 SSW  8  8 4 1   W 23   488  SW  6  2367 P
10/25-03  2  1  0 48 58 SSW  8  8 4 1   W 23   500  SW  6  2531 P
10/25-04  2  1  0 48 57 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 24   497  SW  6  2299 P
10/25-05  2  1  0 48 56 SSW  7  7 4 1   W 24   494  SW  5  2067 P
10/25-06  2  0  0 48 56  SW  6  6 4 1   W 25   490 WSW  5  1836 P
10/25-07  2  0  0 49 55 SSW  6  6 4 1   W 24   561  SW  5  2222 P
10/25-08  2  0  0 52 51 SSW  6  6 4 1   W 23   631 SSW  5  2608 P
10/25-09  2  0  0 56 45 SSW  6  6 4 1   W 22   702 SSW  5  2993 P
10/25-10  2  0  0 62 35   S  6  6 4 1   W 21  2436   S  6 12447 P
10/25-11  2  0  0 69 26  SE  5  5 4 1   W 21  4170   S  6 21900 P
10/25-12  3  0  0 75 21 ESE  5  5 4 1 WSW 20  5904   S  6 31353 P
10/25-13  3  0  0 78 18 ESE  6  6 4 1 WSW 21  6700   S  7 42893  F
10/25-14  3  0  0 80 17  SE  7  7 4 1 WSW 21  7495   S  8 54433  F
10/25-15  3  0  0 80 17  SE  8  8 4 1 WSW 22  8291   S  9 65974   G
10/25-16  3  0  0 78 18 ESE  8  8 4 1 WSW 21  7543   S 10 63385   G
10/25-17  3  0  0 76 21   E  7  7 4 1 WSW 20  6796 SSE 10 60796   G
10/25-18  2  1  0 72 25   E  7  7 4 1 WSW 18  6048  SE 12 58207  F
10/25-19  2  1  0 67 31 ESE  7  7 4 1 WSW 17  4240 SSE 10 40481  F
10/25-20  2  1  0 61 40   S  7  7 4 1 WSW 16  2431   S 10 22755 P
10/25-21  2  1  0 56 49  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 15   622 SSW  9  5029 P
10/25-22  2  1  0 53 53  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 17   586 SSW  9  4703 P
10/25-23  2  1  0 52 52  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 20   550  SW  9  4378 P
10/26-00  4  0  0 51 52  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 21   514  SW  9  4052 P
10/26-01  4  0  0 50 54  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 22   498  SW  8  3674 P
10/26-02  4  0  0 49 56  SW  8  8 4 1 WSW 22   482  SW  8  3297 P
10/26-03  4  0  0 48 58 SSW  8  8 4 1  SW 22   466 WSW  7  2919 P
10/26-04  4  0  0 48 57  SW  8  8 4 1  SW 21   456  SW  8  3033 P
10/26-05  4  0  0 48 57  SW  7  7 4 1  SW 20   446  SW  8  3146 P
10/26-06 22  0  0 48 56  SW  7  7 4 1  SW 18   436  SW  8  3260 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BOWEN
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WHITEAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141023.RMA2H.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 221828
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUT CREEK RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1228 PM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE STATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WILL
ENSURE DRY AND STABLE CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS.  AN APPROACHING TROUGH
ON SUNDAY WILL CAUSE SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO INCREASE...AND THERE WILL BE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.  THE TROUGH IS EXPECTED
TO PASS EAST ON MONDAY...WITH FLAT ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE STATE THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEARING
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........78%.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........22%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 7500-8500 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. VERY GOOD AFTER 1200.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH...AFTERNOON WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWESTERLY 10 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL
SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TROUT CREEK RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/22-12 59 18  4 59 36   W  9  9 3 2   W 22  8300   W 13 91365   G
10/22-13 59 17  3 61 32   W  8  8 3 2   W 22  8641   W 12 86034   G
10/22-14 58 17  3 62 30   W  8  8 3 2   W 22  8981 WSW 10 80703   G
10/22-15 58 16  3 61 32   W  7  7 3 2 WSW 23  9322 WSW  9 75372   G
10/22-16 56 14  3 59 37   N  6  6 3 2 WSW 23  8114  SW  8 59062  F
10/22-17 53 12  2 56 43 SSE  6  6 3 2   W 23  6906   S  7 42752  F
10/22-18 51 10  2 53 50 SSE  6  6 3 2   W 23  5698 SSE  6 26442 P
10/22-19 50 10  2 50 56   S  6  6 3 2   W 22  4163 SSE  5 19103 P
10/22-20 49  8  2 47 66 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 20  2628   S  5 11765 P
10/22-21 48  7  1 44 73 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 18  1093   S  5  4427 P
10/22-22 42  5  1 42 75 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 20   912   S  5  3886 P
10/22-23 37  4  1 41 78 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 20   731  SW  6  3345 P
10/23-00 31  2  0 41 77 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 21   550 WSW  6  2804 P
10/23-01 34  2  0 40 75 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 22   503 WSW  6  2680 P
10/23-02 37  1  0 40 74 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 22   455 WSW  7  2555 P
10/23-03 40  1  0 38 74 SSW  6  6 2 1   W 22   408 WSW  7  2430 P
10/23-04 40  1  0 37 75  SW  6  6 2 1   W 23   406 WSW  8  2698 P
10/23-05 40  0  0 36 72 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 23   404   W  8  2966 P
10/23-06 18  0  0 36 70 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 24   402   W  9  3233 P
10/23-07 18  0  0 38 65 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 21   620   W 10  6282 P
10/23-08 18  0  0 42 56 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 18   837   W 13  9331 P
10/23-09 18  0  0 47 47 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 15  1055   W 14 12380 P
10/23-10 18  0  0 54 36 WSW  6  6 2 1 WNW 16  3100   W 14 41821  F
10/23-11 18  0  0 60 29 WSW  6  6 3 1 WNW 18  5145 WNW 15 71261   G
10/23-12 18  0  0 64 26 WSW  5  5 3 1 WNW 22  7190 WNW 16100701    V
10/23-13 18  0  0 67 23 WSW  5  5 3 1 WNW 25  7811 WNW 16109525    V
10/23-14 18  0  0 68 22 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  8432   W 16118349    V
10/23-15 18  0  0 68 22 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 31  9052   W 16127173    V
10/23-16 18  0  0 67 23 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 31  8502   W 17123385    V
10/23-17 18  0  0 64 26  SW  3  3 2 1 WNW 31  7953   W 17119596    V
10/23-18 17  0  0 61 28 SSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 30  7403   W 18115808    V
10/23-19 17  0  0 57 32 SSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 32  5050   W 15 78223   G
10/23-20 17  0  0 52 39  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 36  2698   W 13 40638  F
10/23-21 17  0  0 48 44  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 37   345   W 10  3052 P
10/23-22 17  0  0 46 47  SW  5  5 3 1  NW 35   379   W 12  3687 P
10/23-23 17  0  0 45 48 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 31   413   W 12  4322 P
10/24-00 12  0  0 44 49 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 26   447   W 13  4957 P
10/24-01 12  0  0 43 50 WSW  6  6 3 1  NW 22   444   W 13  5087 P
10/24-02 12  0  0 41 53 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 18   441   W 14  5217 P
10/24-03 12  0  0 40 54 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 15   438   W 14  5347 P
10/24-04 12  0  0 39 56 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 14   435   W 14  5103 P
10/24-05 12  0  0 38 57 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 13   431   W 13  4860 P
10/24-06  8  0  0 38 57 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 12   428   W 13  4617 P
10/24-07  8  0  0 40 52 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW 10   605   W 12  5692 P
10/24-08  8  0  0 44 45 WSW  7  7 3 1  NW  9   783   W 10  6767 P
10/24-09  8  0  0 49 38 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW  9   961   W  9  7842 P
10/24-10  8  0  0 55 30  SW  6  6 3 1  NW 10  2391   W  8 14844 P
10/24-11  8  0  0 61 25  SW  5  5 3 1 WNW 14  3821 WNW  7 21847 P
10/24-12  5  0  0 67 20 SSW  3  3 3 1 WNW 17  5251 WNW  6 28849 P
10/24-13  5  0  0 70 19 SSW  3  3 3 1 WNW 22  6091   W  7 41095  F
10/24-14  5  0  0 71 18   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 25  6932   W  8 53342  F
10/24-15  5  0  0 70 19   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 29  7773 WSW  9 65588   G
10/24-16  5  0  0 68 20   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 30  6861  SW  8 52350  F
10/24-17  5  0  0 64 23 SSE  5  5 3 1 WNW 29  5949   S  7 39111 P
10/24-18  5  1  0 60 27 SSE  5  5 3 1 WNW 28  5037 SSE  6 25872 P
10/24-19  5  1  0 56 31   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 26  3626   S  5 17770 P
10/24-20  5  1  0 52 36   S  5  5 3 1 WNW 26  2216   S  3  9668 P
10/24-21  5  1  0 49 40 SSW  5  5 3 1 WNW 25   806 SSW  2  1566 P
10/24-22  5  1  0 47 43 SSW  5  5 3 1   W 23   830 SSW  3  2126 P
10/24-23  5  1  0 45 46  SW  5  5 2 1   W 21   853  SW  3  2685 P
10/25-00  5  1  0 44 47 WSW  5  5 2 1   W 21   877  SW  5  3244 P
10/25-01  5  1  0 43 48 WSW  5  5 2 1   W 22   768  SW  6  3313 P
10/25-02  5  1  0 42 49 WSW  5  5 2 1   W 25   658 WSW  6  3381 P
10/25-03  5  1  0 41 50 WSW  6  6 2 1 WSW 28   549 WSW  7  3450 P
10/25-04  5  1  0 40 51 WSW  6  6 2 1 WSW 29   542 WSW  7  3491 P
10/25-05  5  1  0 39 53 WSW  6  6 2 1 WSW 29   535 WSW  8  3533 P
10/25-06  4  0  0 39 52 WSW  6  6 2 1 WSW 28   527   W  8  3574 P
10/25-07  4  0  0 41 49 WSW  6  6   1
10/25-08  4  0  0 45 42  SW  6  6   1
10/25-09  4  0  0 50 36  SW  6  6   1
10/25-10  4  0  0 55 30 SSW  5  5   1
10/25-11  4  0  0 61 25 SSW  5  5   1
10/25-12  5  0  0 66 21 SSW  5  5   1
10/25-13  5  0  0 69 19 SSW  5  5   1
10/25-14  5  0  0 71 18   S  5  5   1
10/25-15  5  0  0 71 18   S  5  5   1
10/25-16  5  0  0 68 19   S  5  5   1
10/25-17  5  0  0 64 22   S  5  5   1
10/25-18 10  2  0 60 25   S  5  5   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RTG
REQUESTED BY...JAY KARLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141024.TROUT.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 221156
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOAPSTONE PRAIRIE RX...NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
556 AM MDT WED OCT 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A PACIFIC SYSTEM WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES
TODAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS. IF ANY RAIN
OCCURS...IT WILL BE LIGHT. WESTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.

IT WILL WARM THURSDAY AND BECOME VERY WARM FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT SETTLES OVER THE
REGION. WESTERLY WINDS MAY GUST TO 20 MPH AGAIN THURSDAY. DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........32%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 7600-8600 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1700...THEN GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........77%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........21%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    WEST 8-13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8000-9000 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1300.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WEST WINDS 6-10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SOAPSTONE PRAIRIE RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/22-05 42 19  4 47 74 NNW  8  8 3 1 WSW 22  1044  NW 17 16732 P
10/22-06 41 16  3 46 71 NNW  8  8 3 1 WSW 23   892  NW 15 11613 P
10/22-07 41 13  3 47 69 NNW  9  9 3 1 WSW 25  1401  NW 15 18066 P
10/22-08 41 10  2 48 63  NW  8  8 3 1   W 28  1910 WNW 15 24520 P
10/22-09 41  8  2 50 61  NW  8  8 3 1   W 30  2420 WNW 15 30973 P
10/22-10 40  7  1 53 52 WNW  8  8 3 1   W 32  4090 WNW 15 50769  F
10/22-11 39  7  1 56 45   W  7  7 2 1   W 36  5760   W 14 70565   G
10/22-12 38  6  1 59 39 WSW  9  9 2 1   W 38  7431   W 14 90361   G
10/22-13 37  7  1 61 36 WSW  9  9 2 1   W 39  8176   W 15104676    V
10/22-14 36  7  1 62 32 WSW  9  9 3 1   W 40  8921   W 15118991    V
10/22-15 35  8  2 62 32 WSW  9  9 3 1   W 41  9666   W 16133306    V
10/22-16 35  7  1 60 34 WSW  8  8 3 1   W 39  8319   W 14106061    V
10/22-17 35  5  1 58 37 WSW  7  7 3 1   W 37  6971   W 13 78816   G
10/22-18 35  4  1 55 43 WSW  6  6 3 1   W 33  5624   W 10 51571  F
10/22-19 34  4  1 51 49 WSW  5  5 3 1   W 32  3944   W  9 35225 P
10/22-20 33  4  1 48 55 WSW  3  3 2 1   W 30  2264   W  7 18878 P
10/22-21 32  3  1 46 61   W  3  3 2 1   W 29   583   W  5  2531 P
10/22-22 27  3  1 44 65   W  3  3 2 1   W 28   580   W  6  2634 P
10/22-23 23  2  0 43 65   W  5  5 2 1   W 26   577   W  6  2736 P
10/23-00 18  2  0 42 67   W  6  6 2 1   W 25   574   W  6  2839 P
10/23-01 19  2  0 41 69   W  6  6 2 1   W 25   570   W  6  3007 P
10/23-02 19  1  0 40 74   W  6  6 2 1   W 25   567   W  7  3176 P
10/23-03 20  1  0 40 77   W  6  6 2 1   W 26   564   W  7  3345 P
10/23-04 20  1  0 39 75   W  7  7 2 1   W 28   561   W  8  4088 P
10/23-05 20  0  0 39 73   W  7  7 2 1   W 29   558   W 10  4831 P
10/23-06 16  0  0 40 65   W  8 13 2 1   W 30   555   W 12  5574 P
10/23-07 16  0  0 42 60   W  8 13 3 1   W 29   670   W 14  8244 P
10/23-08 16  0  0 45 53   W  8 13 3 1   W 29   784   W 15 10914 P
10/23-09 16  0  0 49 46   W  8 13 4 1   W 28   899   W 17 13583 P
10/23-10 16  0  0 54 38   W  9 15 5 1   W 30  2556   W 21 54087  F
10/23-11 16  0  0 60 31   W 10 17 5 1   W 31  4214   W 23 94591   G
10/23-12 24  0  0 65 26 WSW 12 18 5 1   W 35  5871   W 26135095    V
10/23-13 24  0  0 69 23 WSW 12 20 4 1   W 39  7095   W 25156816     E
10/23-14 24  0  0 71 21 WSW 12 20 3 1   W 45  8320   W 25178537     E
10/23-15 24  0  0 71 21 WSW 12 18 2 1 WNW 48  9544   W 24200258     E
10/23-16 24  0  0 70 22 WSW 10 17 2 1 WNW 49  8532   W 24178262     E
10/23-17 24  0  0 67 25 WSW  9 15 2 1 WNW 48  7520   W 24156266     E
10/23-18 29  0  0 64 28 WSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 47  6507   W 24134270    V
10/23-19 29  0  0 60 32 WSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 48  4592   W 21 92857   G
10/23-20 29  0  0 55 39   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 48  2677   W 18 51443  F
10/23-21 29  0  0 52 43   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 48   762   W 15 10030 P
10/23-22 29  0  0 50 46   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 47   713   W 16  9801 P
10/23-23 29  0  0 49 48   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 46   665   W 16  9572 P
10/24-00 19  0  0 48 50   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 45   616   W 17  9343 P
10/24-01 19  0  0 48 49   W  8 14 3 1 WNW 44   609   W 18  9673 P
10/24-02 19  0  0 48 48 WNW  9 14 2 1   W 44   602   W 20 10003 P
10/24-03 19  0  0 47 49 WNW  9 15 2 1   W 44   595 WNW 20 10334 P
10/24-04 19  0  0 47 48 WNW  9 15 2 1   W 46   596 WNW 20 10415 P
10/24-05 19  0  0 46 50 WNW  9 15 3 1 WNW 48   596 WNW 21 10497 P
10/24-06 12  0  0 46 49 WNW  9 15 3 1 WNW 49   596 WNW 21 10579 P
10/24-07 12  0  0 47 47   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 51   810 WNW 20 13960 P
10/24-08 12  0  0 50 43   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 51  1024 WNW 20 17341 P
10/24-09 12  0  0 54 37   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 49  1237   W 20 20723 P
10/24-10 12  0  0 59 31   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 49  3135   W 22 67483   G
10/24-11 12  0  0 65 26 WSW 10 16 2 1 WNW 49  5033   W 24114243    V
10/24-12  8  0  0 69 22 WSW 10 16 2 1 WNW 49  6931   W 26161003     E
10/24-13  8  0  0 72 20 WSW 10 16 2 1 WNW 49  7469   W 26168133     E
10/24-14  8  0  0 73 19  SW  9 16 2 1 WNW 51  8007   W 25175262     E
10/24-15  8  0  0 73 19  SW  9 15 2 1 WNW 51  8544   W 24182391     E
10/24-16  8  0  0 71 20  SW  9 14 2 1 WNW 49  8013   W 23161302     E
10/24-17  8  0  0 69 22 SSW  8 14 2 1 WNW 49  7481   W 22140213    V
10/24-18  6  1  0 66 24 SSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 47  6949   W 20119124    V
10/24-19  6  1  0 62 28 SSW  8  8 2 1 WNW 45  4882   W 15 80273   G
10/24-20  6  1  0 58 32  SW  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2815 WNW  9 41422  F
10/24-21  6  1  0 54 38 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 39   748 WNW  3  2570 P
10/24-22  6  1  0 51 43 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 37   698  NW  3  2164 P
10/24-23  6  1  0 49 47   W  6  6 2 1   W 35   647 NNW  3  1758 P
10/25-00  3  1  0 48 50   W  6  6 2 1   W 33   597 NNW  2  1352 P
10/25-01  3  1  0 48 50   W  6  6 2 1   W 33   607   N  2  1193 P
10/25-02  3  1  0 47 51   W  6  6 2 1   W 33   616  NE  2  1035 P
10/25-03  3  1  0 47 51 WNW  6  6 2 1   W 33   625   CALM   876 P
10/25-04  3  1  0 46 52 WNW  6  6 2 1   W 33   631 ENE  2  1037 P
10/25-05  3  1  0 45 54 WNW  6  6 3 1   W 32   636   E  2  1198 P
10/25-06  6  0  0 45 53 WNW  6  6 3 1   W 32   641 ESE  2  1359 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...MEIER
REQUESTED BY...JEFF CRANDALL  RXB2
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141022.SOAPS.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 211757
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINGREE HILL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
1157 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1224 MDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM IS PUSHING INTO THE REGION
TODAY AND TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL PREVAIL EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE INCREASING
WITH AN AREA OF SHOWERS MOVING TOWARD THE FIRE AREA...LIKELY WITHIN
THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS. THERE WILL BE SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORM AFTER 1400. SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH 2000
HOURS...THOUGH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER WILL LINGER THROUGH THE
NIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED SHIFT WEST TO NORTHWEST
AROUND 1700 WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE. A COLD FRONT TONIGHT
MAY TURN WINDS SLIGHTLY MORE NORTH OVERNIGHT BUT SHOULD RETURN TO A
WESTERLY DIRECTION BY MORNING.  SLIGHT UPSLOPE FLOW OVER THE PLAINS
TOMORROW FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT MAY HELP ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS TO REFORM TOMORROW...BUT BELIEVE MOST OF THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD STAY TO THE SOUTH OF THE BURN AREA.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1400...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........35%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    UNTIL 1500...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CWR.................5 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1600...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700-9700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN GOOD UNTIL
                    1700...THEN FAIR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0500...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........80%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    WEST 8-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400-7400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1700-1900 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    POOR.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........40%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2900 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 6800-7800 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1200...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY
                    GOOD.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR PINGREE HILL.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/21-11 50 10  2 54 44 WSW 10 16 3 2 SSW 17  7243 WSW 17110960    V
10/21-12 54 10  2 58 38 WSW 12 18 3 2 SSW 17  9638  SW 17147543    V
10/21-13 59 16  3 60 36 WSW 12 17 3 2  SW 18  9844  SW 15131821    V
10/21-14 68 18  4 60 35  SW  9 15 3 2  SW 20 10049  SW 14116099    V
10/21-15 76 29  4 58 38  SW  8 13 3 3  SW 21 10255  SW 12100377    V
10/21-16 79 36  6 58 39  SW  7  7 3 2  SW 17  9336  SW  9 76858   G
10/21-17 81 36 11 54 44 WSW  7  7 3 2  SW 15  8417 SSW  7 53338  F
10/21-18 84 38 13 53 49 WSW  7  7 3 2  SW 12  7498 SSW  5 29819 P
10/21-19 86 38 16 53 55   W  7  7 3 2  SW 14  6340  SW  9 39674 P
10/21-20 87 38 16 50 61   W  8 14 2 2 WSW 15  5181 WSW 13 49530  F
10/21-21 89 38 16 47 68   W  9 15 2 1 WSW 16  4023   W 17 59385  F
10/21-22 85 37 15 46 70   W  9 15 2 1 WSW 18  3432   W 17 52261  F
10/21-23 80 36 14 45 72   W 10 16 3 1   W 22  2840   W 18 45137  F
10/22-00 76 36 14 44 74   W 10 10 2 3   W 16  1947   W 14 22569 P
10/22-01 73 36 14 43 76 WNW 10 10 2 3   W 16  1912   W 15 24669 P
10/22-02 69 36 14 42 75 WNW 12 12 3 3   W 17  1876   W 16 26769 P
10/22-03 66 27  7 41 78  NW 12 12 3 3   W 17  1841   W 18 28869 P
10/22-04 62 27  7 41 80  NW 12 12 3 3   W 17  1754   W 18 27215 P
10/22-05 55 27  7 40 79 WNW 10 10 3 3   W 17  1667   W 17 25561 P
10/22-06 51 17  3 40 79   W 10 10 3 1 WSW 17  1581   W 17 23907 P
10/22-07 51 17  3 41 75   W 10 16 3 1 WSW 18  2086   W 18 32869 P
10/22-08 51 17  3 43 69   W  9 15 3 1 WSW 20  2591   W 18 41830  F
10/22-09 51 17  3 46 60   W  9 15 3 1 WSW 23  3096   W 18 50792  F
10/22-10 51 17  3 49 53   W  9 15 3 1   W 29  4837   W 21 90519   G
10/22-11 51 17  3 51 49 WSW  9 16 2 1   W 35  6578   W 22130247    V
10/22-12 53 16  3 53 45 WSW 10 16 2 2   W 38  8318   W 23169974     E
10/22-13 53 16  3 55 41 WSW 12 18 2 2   W 38  8380   W 23166731     E
10/22-14 53 16  3 55 40   W 13 20 3 2   W 37  8441   W 22163487     E
10/22-15 53 16  3 54 40   W 13 21 3 2   W 35  8502   W 22160244     E
10/22-16 53 16  3 53 41   W 12 18 3 2   W 33  7337   W 21132820    V
10/22-17 53 16  3 50 45   W 10 16 2 2   W 33  6173   W 20105395    V
10/22-18 37  6  1 47 49   W  8 13 2 1   W 32  5008   W 18 77971   G
10/22-19 37  6  1 44 54   W  7  7 2 1   W 30  3975   W 16 57985  F
10/22-20 37  6  1 41 60 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 29  2943 WSW 13 37999 P
10/22-21 37  6  1 39 64 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 26  1910 WSW 10 18013 P
10/22-22 37  6  1 38 66 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 25  1787 WSW 12 17378 P
10/22-23 37  6  1 37 68 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 24  1664 WSW 12 16742 P
10/23-00 20  2  0 37 67   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 24  1541 WSW 12 16106 P
10/23-01 20  2  0 37 66   W  8 14 2 1 WNW 24  1454 WSW 14 17283 P
10/23-02 20  2  0 37 65   W  9 14 2 1 WNW 24  1367   W 16 18460 P
10/23-03 20  2  0 37 65   W  9 15 2 1 WNW 25  1279   W 17 19637 P
10/23-04 20  2  0 36 67   W  9 15 2 1 WNW 26  1302   W 20 21663 P
10/23-05 20  2  0 36 67   W 10 16 2 1 WNW 29  1324   W 21 23689 P
10/23-06 16  0  0 37 64   W 10 16 2 1 WNW 29  1346   W 22 25716 P
10/23-07 16  0  0 39 59   W 10 17 2 1 WNW 28  1389   W 22 25651 P
10/23-08 16  0  0 42 53   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 26  1432   W 21 25587 P
10/23-09 16  0  0 46 46   W 10 16 3 1   W 24  1475   W 20 25522 P
10/23-10 16  0  0 51 38   W 10 16 3 1   W 23  3455   W 20 57070  F
10/23-11 16  0  0 55 34 WSW 10 17 3 1   W 23  5435   W 20 88618   G
10/23-12 20  0  0 58 30 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 24  7415   W 18120165    V
10/23-13 20  0  0 61 28 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 30  7815   W 21141892    V
10/23-14 20  0  0 62 27 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 36  8214   W 23163618     E
10/23-15 20  0  0 62 27 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 41  8614   W 25185345     E
10/23-16 20  0  0 60 29 WSW  9 14 2 1   W 44  7238   W 24152818     E
10/23-17 20  0  0 56 34 WSW  8 14 2 1   W 44  5861   W 23120292    V
10/23-18 23  0  0 53 38 WSW  8 13 2 1   W 44  4485 WSW 23 87766   G
10/23-19 23  0  0 50 42 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 43  3521 WSW 21 66654   G
10/23-20 23  0  0 47 47 WSW  8 13 3 1 WNW 43  2557 WSW 20 45543  F
10/23-21 23  0  0 45 50   W  8 13 4 1 WNW 41  1593 WSW 17 24431 P
10/23-22 23  0  0 44 52   W  8 13 4 1 WNW 40  1527 WSW 20 26047 P
10/23-23 23  0  0 42 56   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 38  1460   W 22 27663 P
10/24-00 13  0  0 42 55   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 37  1393   W 24 29279 P
10/24-01 13  0  0 41 57   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 33  1400   W 24 30095 P
10/24-02 13  0  0 42 54   W  8 13 3 1   W 30  1407   W 25 30911 P
10/24-03 13  0  0 42 54   W  8 13 3 1   W 26  1414   W 25 31727 P
10/24-04 13  0  0 41 55   W  8 13 3 1   W 24  1392   W 25 30466 P
10/24-05 13  0  0 40 57   W  8 13 4 1   W 21  1371   W 24 29205 P
10/24-06  9  0  0 40 57   W  8 13 4 1   W 18  1350   W 24 27944 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...KRIEDERMAN
REQUESTED BY...JOHN STEVI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.PINGR.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 211143
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOAPSTONE PRAIRIE RX...NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
543 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...IT WILL BE MILD
WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY
WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM AFTER 1400.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR A SHOWER WILL BE 1600 TO 2000 HOURS...THOUGH
A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER WILL LINGER THROUGH THE NIGHT AND
INTO WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE WINDS TO SHIFT WEST TO
NORTHWEST AROUND 1700 WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9100-10100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0500...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400-8400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 5200-6200
                    FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL
                    2400...THEN 1000-1300 FT AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 2200.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........34%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8400-9400 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SOAPSTONE PRAIRIE RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/21-04  5  0  0 48 61  NW  9  9 3 1 WSW 10   534   W  7  3192 P
10/21-05  5  0  0 47 64  NW  9  9 3 1 WSW  9   527   W  8  3586 P
10/21-06  5  0  0 45 69 WNW 10 10 3 1   W  9   520   W  9  3980 P
10/21-07  8  0  0 46 67 WNW 10 10 3 1 WSW  9   550   W  9  4625 P
10/21-08 11  1  0 49 60 WNW 10 10 3 1 SSW  8   580   W 10  5271 P
10/21-09 14  1  0 53 54 WNW 10 10 3 1   S  8   611   W 12  5917 P
10/21-10 24  1  0 58 45   W 10 10 3 1   S 12  3442   W 10 28834 P
10/21-11 33  3  1 63 36 WSW  9  9 3 1   S 15  6272  SW 10 51751  F
10/21-12 43  4  1 68 31 SSW 10 10 3 1   S 17  9103 SSW  9 74668   G
10/21-13 50  6  1 70 29   S 10 10 3 1 SSW 17  9427 SSW  9 79476   G
10/21-14 57 11  2 71 28 SSW 10 10 3 2 SSW 18  9751 SSW 10 84285   G
10/21-15 64 16  3 71 28 SSW 10 10 3 2  SW 18 10075 SSW 10 89093   G
10/21-16 66 19  4 70 30 SSW 10 10 3 2  SW 16  9516 SSW  9 79685   G
10/21-17 67 22  4 68 34  SW  8  8 3 2 SSW 14  8957 SSW  9 70278   G
10/21-18 69 30  9 66 39  SW  7  7 3 2 SSW 12  8397   S  8 60870   G
10/21-19 72 37 15 63 45 WSW  6  6 3 2 SSW 14  7301 SSW  8 54761  F
10/21-20 75 37 15 60 50   W  6  6 2 2 SSW 16  6204 WSW  9 48653  F
10/21-21 78 35 13 57 57 WNW  7  7 2 3   S 18  5107   W  9 42544  F
10/21-22 77 31 10 55 61  NW  7  7 2 3 SSW 18  3854   W  9 31051 P
10/21-23 75 27  7 54 64  NW  7  7 2 3 WSW 17  2601   W  8 19558 P
10/22-00 74 25  5 53 66  NW  8  8 2 3   W 17  1347   W  7  8065 P
10/22-01 72 25  5 52 68  NW  9  9 2 3   W 18  1196   W  9  8575 P
10/22-02 70 25  5 51 68  NW  9  9 3 3   W 18  1045   W 10  9085 P
10/22-03 68 19  4 50 71  NW 10 10 3 2   W 20   894   W 13  9595 P
10/22-04 61 19  4 49 72  NW 10 10 3 2   W 18   929 WNW 14 11519 P
10/22-05 48 19  4 47 75 WNW 10 10 3 2   W 18   965 WNW 16 13442 P
10/22-06 41 10  2 47 71 WNW  9 15 3 1   W 18  1000  NW 17 15366 P
10/22-07 41 10  2 48 67 WNW  8 14 3 1   W 20  1757  NW 17 24181 P
10/22-08 41 10  2 50 61  NW  8 13 3 1 WSW 22  2514 WNW 16 32996 P
10/22-09 41 10  2 52 55  NW  8 13 3 1 WSW 24  3271 WNW 15 41812  F
10/22-10 41 10  2 55 48 WNW  8 14 3 1 WSW 28  5063 WNW 16 74665   G
10/22-11 41 10  2 59 41   W  9 15 3 1   W 30  6855   W 17107518    V
10/22-12 45  9  2 61 38   W 10 16 3 1   W 32  8647   W 18140372    V
10/22-13 45  9  2 62 36 WSW 12 18 3 1   W 35  9057   W 18149006    V
10/22-14 45  9  2 63 34 WSW 13 20 2 1   W 37  9468   W 20157641     E
10/22-15 45  9  2 63 34 WSW 13 21 2 1   W 37  9878   W 20166276     E
10/22-16 45  9  2 62 34 WSW 12 18 2 1   W 36  8892   W 18140558    V
10/22-17 45  9  2 60 36 WSW  9 14 2 1   W 32  7906   W 16114839    V
10/22-18 31  4  1 57 40 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 30  6920   W 15 89121   G
10/22-19 31  4  1 53 46 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 29  4802   W 12 60321   G
10/22-20 31  4  1 49 53   W  5  5 2 1   W 26  2685   W  8 31521 P
10/22-21 31  4  1 45 61   W  5  5 2 1   W 25   568 WSW  6  2720 P
10/22-22 31  4  1 43 66   W  5  5 2 1   W 24   564 WSW  7  3188 P
10/22-23 31  4  1 43 65   W  6  6 2 1   W 24   561 WSW  8  3656 P
10/23-00 15  2  0 42 67   W  7  7 2 1   W 24   558 WSW  8  4124 P
10/23-01 15  2  0 41 69   W  7  7 2 1   W 25   554 WSW  9  4173 P
10/23-02 15  2  0 40 71   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 26   550   W  9  4222 P
10/23-03 15  2  0 40 70   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 26   546   W  9  4271 P
10/23-04 15  2  0 39 72   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 25   542   W 12  5164 P
10/23-05 15  2  0 39 71   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 23   538   W 13  6058 P
10/23-06  9  0  0 40 67   W  8 13 4 1 WNW 22   535   W 15  6951 P
10/23-07  9  0  0 41 64   W  8 14 4 1 WNW 22   607   W 15  8246 P
10/23-08  9  0  0 44 56   W  9 14 4 1 WNW 23   680   W 16  9540 P
10/23-09  9  0  0 49 46   W  9 15 4 1   W 24   752   W 16 10834 P
10/23-10  9  0  0 55 37   W 10 16 4 1   W 25  2743   W 17 42775  F
10/23-11  9  0  0 61 30 WSW 12 17 4 1   W 26  4735   W 17 74716   G
10/23-12 15  0  0 66 25 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 29  6726   W 18106657    V
10/23-13 15  0  0 70 22 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 31  7332   W 18115658    V
10/23-14 15  0  0 71 21 WSW 12 17 3 1   W 35  7939   W 18124659    V
10/23-15 15  0  0 71 21 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 37  8545   W 18133660    V
10/23-16 15  0  0 70 22 WSW  9 15 3 1   W 38  7402   W 18115418    V
10/23-17 15  0  0 67 25 WSW  9 14 2 1 WNW 40  6259 WSW 17 97175   G
10/23-18 16  0  0 64 28 WSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 41  5117 WSW 17 78932   G
10/23-19 16  0  0 60 32 WSW  8  8 2 1 WNW 43  3622 WSW 15 54641  F
10/23-20 16  0  0 56 38   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 43  2127 WSW 14 30349 P
10/23-21 16  0  0 53 42   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 43   633 WSW 12  6057 P
10/23-22 16  0  0 51 46   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 41   595 WSW 13  6490 P
10/23-23 16  0  0 50 48   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 39   558   W 15  6922 P
10/24-00 13  0  0 49 50   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 37   521   W 16  7355 P
10/24-01 13  0  0 48 51   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 36   513   W 17  7813 P
10/24-02 13  0  0 47 53   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 35   505   W 18  8270 P
10/24-03 13  0  0 46 55   W  7  7 3 1   W 32   497   W 21  8728 P
10/24-04 13  0  0 45 56   W  8  8 3 1   W 31   511   W 20  8935 P
10/24-05 13  0  0 45 56   W  8 13 4 1   W 30   524   W 20  9141 P
10/24-06 10  0  0 46 53   W  8 13 4 1   W 28   538   W 20  9348 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...MEIER
REQUESTED BY...JEFF CRANDALL  RXB2
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.SOAPS.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 211143
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOAPSTONE PRAIRIE RX...NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
543 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...IT WILL BE MILD
WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY
WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM AFTER 1400.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR A SHOWER WILL BE 1600 TO 2000 HOURS...THOUGH
A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER WILL LINGER THROUGH THE NIGHT AND
INTO WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE WINDS TO SHIFT WEST TO
NORTHWEST AROUND 1700 WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9100-10100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0500...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400-8400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 5200-6200
                    FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL
                    2400...THEN 1000-1300 FT AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 2200.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........34%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8400-9400 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SOAPSTONE PRAIRIE RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/21-04  5  0  0 48 61  NW  9  9 3 1 WSW 10   534   W  7  3192 P
10/21-05  5  0  0 47 64  NW  9  9 3 1 WSW  9   527   W  8  3586 P
10/21-06  5  0  0 45 69 WNW 10 10 3 1   W  9   520   W  9  3980 P
10/21-07  8  0  0 46 67 WNW 10 10 3 1 WSW  9   550   W  9  4625 P
10/21-08 11  1  0 49 60 WNW 10 10 3 1 SSW  8   580   W 10  5271 P
10/21-09 14  1  0 53 54 WNW 10 10 3 1   S  8   611   W 12  5917 P
10/21-10 24  1  0 58 45   W 10 10 3 1   S 12  3442   W 10 28834 P
10/21-11 33  3  1 63 36 WSW  9  9 3 1   S 15  6272  SW 10 51751  F
10/21-12 43  4  1 68 31 SSW 10 10 3 1   S 17  9103 SSW  9 74668   G
10/21-13 50  6  1 70 29   S 10 10 3 1 SSW 17  9427 SSW  9 79476   G
10/21-14 57 11  2 71 28 SSW 10 10 3 2 SSW 18  9751 SSW 10 84285   G
10/21-15 64 16  3 71 28 SSW 10 10 3 2  SW 18 10075 SSW 10 89093   G
10/21-16 66 19  4 70 30 SSW 10 10 3 2  SW 16  9516 SSW  9 79685   G
10/21-17 67 22  4 68 34  SW  8  8 3 2 SSW 14  8957 SSW  9 70278   G
10/21-18 69 30  9 66 39  SW  7  7 3 2 SSW 12  8397   S  8 60870   G
10/21-19 72 37 15 63 45 WSW  6  6 3 2 SSW 14  7301 SSW  8 54761  F
10/21-20 75 37 15 60 50   W  6  6 2 2 SSW 16  6204 WSW  9 48653  F
10/21-21 78 35 13 57 57 WNW  7  7 2 3   S 18  5107   W  9 42544  F
10/21-22 77 31 10 55 61  NW  7  7 2 3 SSW 18  3854   W  9 31051 P
10/21-23 75 27  7 54 64  NW  7  7 2 3 WSW 17  2601   W  8 19558 P
10/22-00 74 25  5 53 66  NW  8  8 2 3   W 17  1347   W  7  8065 P
10/22-01 72 25  5 52 68  NW  9  9 2 3   W 18  1196   W  9  8575 P
10/22-02 70 25  5 51 68  NW  9  9 3 3   W 18  1045   W 10  9085 P
10/22-03 68 19  4 50 71  NW 10 10 3 2   W 20   894   W 13  9595 P
10/22-04 61 19  4 49 72  NW 10 10 3 2   W 18   929 WNW 14 11519 P
10/22-05 48 19  4 47 75 WNW 10 10 3 2   W 18   965 WNW 16 13442 P
10/22-06 41 10  2 47 71 WNW  9 15 3 1   W 18  1000  NW 17 15366 P
10/22-07 41 10  2 48 67 WNW  8 14 3 1   W 20  1757  NW 17 24181 P
10/22-08 41 10  2 50 61  NW  8 13 3 1 WSW 22  2514 WNW 16 32996 P
10/22-09 41 10  2 52 55  NW  8 13 3 1 WSW 24  3271 WNW 15 41812  F
10/22-10 41 10  2 55 48 WNW  8 14 3 1 WSW 28  5063 WNW 16 74665   G
10/22-11 41 10  2 59 41   W  9 15 3 1   W 30  6855   W 17107518    V
10/22-12 45  9  2 61 38   W 10 16 3 1   W 32  8647   W 18140372    V
10/22-13 45  9  2 62 36 WSW 12 18 3 1   W 35  9057   W 18149006    V
10/22-14 45  9  2 63 34 WSW 13 20 2 1   W 37  9468   W 20157641     E
10/22-15 45  9  2 63 34 WSW 13 21 2 1   W 37  9878   W 20166276     E
10/22-16 45  9  2 62 34 WSW 12 18 2 1   W 36  8892   W 18140558    V
10/22-17 45  9  2 60 36 WSW  9 14 2 1   W 32  7906   W 16114839    V
10/22-18 31  4  1 57 40 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 30  6920   W 15 89121   G
10/22-19 31  4  1 53 46 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 29  4802   W 12 60321   G
10/22-20 31  4  1 49 53   W  5  5 2 1   W 26  2685   W  8 31521 P
10/22-21 31  4  1 45 61   W  5  5 2 1   W 25   568 WSW  6  2720 P
10/22-22 31  4  1 43 66   W  5  5 2 1   W 24   564 WSW  7  3188 P
10/22-23 31  4  1 43 65   W  6  6 2 1   W 24   561 WSW  8  3656 P
10/23-00 15  2  0 42 67   W  7  7 2 1   W 24   558 WSW  8  4124 P
10/23-01 15  2  0 41 69   W  7  7 2 1   W 25   554 WSW  9  4173 P
10/23-02 15  2  0 40 71   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 26   550   W  9  4222 P
10/23-03 15  2  0 40 70   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 26   546   W  9  4271 P
10/23-04 15  2  0 39 72   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 25   542   W 12  5164 P
10/23-05 15  2  0 39 71   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 23   538   W 13  6058 P
10/23-06  9  0  0 40 67   W  8 13 4 1 WNW 22   535   W 15  6951 P
10/23-07  9  0  0 41 64   W  8 14 4 1 WNW 22   607   W 15  8246 P
10/23-08  9  0  0 44 56   W  9 14 4 1 WNW 23   680   W 16  9540 P
10/23-09  9  0  0 49 46   W  9 15 4 1   W 24   752   W 16 10834 P
10/23-10  9  0  0 55 37   W 10 16 4 1   W 25  2743   W 17 42775  F
10/23-11  9  0  0 61 30 WSW 12 17 4 1   W 26  4735   W 17 74716   G
10/23-12 15  0  0 66 25 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 29  6726   W 18106657    V
10/23-13 15  0  0 70 22 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 31  7332   W 18115658    V
10/23-14 15  0  0 71 21 WSW 12 17 3 1   W 35  7939   W 18124659    V
10/23-15 15  0  0 71 21 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 37  8545   W 18133660    V
10/23-16 15  0  0 70 22 WSW  9 15 3 1   W 38  7402   W 18115418    V
10/23-17 15  0  0 67 25 WSW  9 14 2 1 WNW 40  6259 WSW 17 97175   G
10/23-18 16  0  0 64 28 WSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 41  5117 WSW 17 78932   G
10/23-19 16  0  0 60 32 WSW  8  8 2 1 WNW 43  3622 WSW 15 54641  F
10/23-20 16  0  0 56 38   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 43  2127 WSW 14 30349 P
10/23-21 16  0  0 53 42   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 43   633 WSW 12  6057 P
10/23-22 16  0  0 51 46   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 41   595 WSW 13  6490 P
10/23-23 16  0  0 50 48   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 39   558   W 15  6922 P
10/24-00 13  0  0 49 50   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 37   521   W 16  7355 P
10/24-01 13  0  0 48 51   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 36   513   W 17  7813 P
10/24-02 13  0  0 47 53   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 35   505   W 18  8270 P
10/24-03 13  0  0 46 55   W  7  7 3 1   W 32   497   W 21  8728 P
10/24-04 13  0  0 45 56   W  8  8 3 1   W 31   511   W 20  8935 P
10/24-05 13  0  0 45 56   W  8 13 4 1   W 30   524   W 20  9141 P
10/24-06 10  0  0 46 53   W  8 13 4 1   W 28   538   W 20  9348 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...MEIER
REQUESTED BY...JEFF CRANDALL  RXB2
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.SOAPS.01/BOU




000
FNUS75 KBOU 211143
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOAPSTONE PRAIRIE RX...NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
543 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...IT WILL BE MILD
WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY
WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM AFTER 1400.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR A SHOWER WILL BE 1600 TO 2000 HOURS...THOUGH
A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER WILL LINGER THROUGH THE NIGHT AND
INTO WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE WINDS TO SHIFT WEST TO
NORTHWEST AROUND 1700 WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9100-10100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0500...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400-8400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 5200-6200
                    FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL
                    2400...THEN 1000-1300 FT AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 2200.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........34%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8400-9400 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SOAPSTONE PRAIRIE RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/21-04  5  0  0 48 61  NW  9  9 3 1 WSW 10   534   W  7  3192 P
10/21-05  5  0  0 47 64  NW  9  9 3 1 WSW  9   527   W  8  3586 P
10/21-06  5  0  0 45 69 WNW 10 10 3 1   W  9   520   W  9  3980 P
10/21-07  8  0  0 46 67 WNW 10 10 3 1 WSW  9   550   W  9  4625 P
10/21-08 11  1  0 49 60 WNW 10 10 3 1 SSW  8   580   W 10  5271 P
10/21-09 14  1  0 53 54 WNW 10 10 3 1   S  8   611   W 12  5917 P
10/21-10 24  1  0 58 45   W 10 10 3 1   S 12  3442   W 10 28834 P
10/21-11 33  3  1 63 36 WSW  9  9 3 1   S 15  6272  SW 10 51751  F
10/21-12 43  4  1 68 31 SSW 10 10 3 1   S 17  9103 SSW  9 74668   G
10/21-13 50  6  1 70 29   S 10 10 3 1 SSW 17  9427 SSW  9 79476   G
10/21-14 57 11  2 71 28 SSW 10 10 3 2 SSW 18  9751 SSW 10 84285   G
10/21-15 64 16  3 71 28 SSW 10 10 3 2  SW 18 10075 SSW 10 89093   G
10/21-16 66 19  4 70 30 SSW 10 10 3 2  SW 16  9516 SSW  9 79685   G
10/21-17 67 22  4 68 34  SW  8  8 3 2 SSW 14  8957 SSW  9 70278   G
10/21-18 69 30  9 66 39  SW  7  7 3 2 SSW 12  8397   S  8 60870   G
10/21-19 72 37 15 63 45 WSW  6  6 3 2 SSW 14  7301 SSW  8 54761  F
10/21-20 75 37 15 60 50   W  6  6 2 2 SSW 16  6204 WSW  9 48653  F
10/21-21 78 35 13 57 57 WNW  7  7 2 3   S 18  5107   W  9 42544  F
10/21-22 77 31 10 55 61  NW  7  7 2 3 SSW 18  3854   W  9 31051 P
10/21-23 75 27  7 54 64  NW  7  7 2 3 WSW 17  2601   W  8 19558 P
10/22-00 74 25  5 53 66  NW  8  8 2 3   W 17  1347   W  7  8065 P
10/22-01 72 25  5 52 68  NW  9  9 2 3   W 18  1196   W  9  8575 P
10/22-02 70 25  5 51 68  NW  9  9 3 3   W 18  1045   W 10  9085 P
10/22-03 68 19  4 50 71  NW 10 10 3 2   W 20   894   W 13  9595 P
10/22-04 61 19  4 49 72  NW 10 10 3 2   W 18   929 WNW 14 11519 P
10/22-05 48 19  4 47 75 WNW 10 10 3 2   W 18   965 WNW 16 13442 P
10/22-06 41 10  2 47 71 WNW  9 15 3 1   W 18  1000  NW 17 15366 P
10/22-07 41 10  2 48 67 WNW  8 14 3 1   W 20  1757  NW 17 24181 P
10/22-08 41 10  2 50 61  NW  8 13 3 1 WSW 22  2514 WNW 16 32996 P
10/22-09 41 10  2 52 55  NW  8 13 3 1 WSW 24  3271 WNW 15 41812  F
10/22-10 41 10  2 55 48 WNW  8 14 3 1 WSW 28  5063 WNW 16 74665   G
10/22-11 41 10  2 59 41   W  9 15 3 1   W 30  6855   W 17107518    V
10/22-12 45  9  2 61 38   W 10 16 3 1   W 32  8647   W 18140372    V
10/22-13 45  9  2 62 36 WSW 12 18 3 1   W 35  9057   W 18149006    V
10/22-14 45  9  2 63 34 WSW 13 20 2 1   W 37  9468   W 20157641     E
10/22-15 45  9  2 63 34 WSW 13 21 2 1   W 37  9878   W 20166276     E
10/22-16 45  9  2 62 34 WSW 12 18 2 1   W 36  8892   W 18140558    V
10/22-17 45  9  2 60 36 WSW  9 14 2 1   W 32  7906   W 16114839    V
10/22-18 31  4  1 57 40 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 30  6920   W 15 89121   G
10/22-19 31  4  1 53 46 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 29  4802   W 12 60321   G
10/22-20 31  4  1 49 53   W  5  5 2 1   W 26  2685   W  8 31521 P
10/22-21 31  4  1 45 61   W  5  5 2 1   W 25   568 WSW  6  2720 P
10/22-22 31  4  1 43 66   W  5  5 2 1   W 24   564 WSW  7  3188 P
10/22-23 31  4  1 43 65   W  6  6 2 1   W 24   561 WSW  8  3656 P
10/23-00 15  2  0 42 67   W  7  7 2 1   W 24   558 WSW  8  4124 P
10/23-01 15  2  0 41 69   W  7  7 2 1   W 25   554 WSW  9  4173 P
10/23-02 15  2  0 40 71   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 26   550   W  9  4222 P
10/23-03 15  2  0 40 70   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 26   546   W  9  4271 P
10/23-04 15  2  0 39 72   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 25   542   W 12  5164 P
10/23-05 15  2  0 39 71   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 23   538   W 13  6058 P
10/23-06  9  0  0 40 67   W  8 13 4 1 WNW 22   535   W 15  6951 P
10/23-07  9  0  0 41 64   W  8 14 4 1 WNW 22   607   W 15  8246 P
10/23-08  9  0  0 44 56   W  9 14 4 1 WNW 23   680   W 16  9540 P
10/23-09  9  0  0 49 46   W  9 15 4 1   W 24   752   W 16 10834 P
10/23-10  9  0  0 55 37   W 10 16 4 1   W 25  2743   W 17 42775  F
10/23-11  9  0  0 61 30 WSW 12 17 4 1   W 26  4735   W 17 74716   G
10/23-12 15  0  0 66 25 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 29  6726   W 18106657    V
10/23-13 15  0  0 70 22 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 31  7332   W 18115658    V
10/23-14 15  0  0 71 21 WSW 12 17 3 1   W 35  7939   W 18124659    V
10/23-15 15  0  0 71 21 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 37  8545   W 18133660    V
10/23-16 15  0  0 70 22 WSW  9 15 3 1   W 38  7402   W 18115418    V
10/23-17 15  0  0 67 25 WSW  9 14 2 1 WNW 40  6259 WSW 17 97175   G
10/23-18 16  0  0 64 28 WSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 41  5117 WSW 17 78932   G
10/23-19 16  0  0 60 32 WSW  8  8 2 1 WNW 43  3622 WSW 15 54641  F
10/23-20 16  0  0 56 38   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 43  2127 WSW 14 30349 P
10/23-21 16  0  0 53 42   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 43   633 WSW 12  6057 P
10/23-22 16  0  0 51 46   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 41   595 WSW 13  6490 P
10/23-23 16  0  0 50 48   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 39   558   W 15  6922 P
10/24-00 13  0  0 49 50   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 37   521   W 16  7355 P
10/24-01 13  0  0 48 51   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 36   513   W 17  7813 P
10/24-02 13  0  0 47 53   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 35   505   W 18  8270 P
10/24-03 13  0  0 46 55   W  7  7 3 1   W 32   497   W 21  8728 P
10/24-04 13  0  0 45 56   W  8  8 3 1   W 31   511   W 20  8935 P
10/24-05 13  0  0 45 56   W  8 13 4 1   W 30   524   W 20  9141 P
10/24-06 10  0  0 46 53   W  8 13 4 1   W 28   538   W 20  9348 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...MEIER
REQUESTED BY...JEFF CRANDALL  RXB2
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.SOAPS.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 211143
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOAPSTONE PRAIRIE RX...NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
543 AM MDT TUE OCT 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON OCTOBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...IT WILL BE MILD
WITH WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY
WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A THUNDERSTORM AFTER 1400.
THE BEST CHANCE FOR A SHOWER WILL BE 1600 TO 2000 HOURS...THOUGH
A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR A SHOWER WILL LINGER THROUGH THE NIGHT AND
INTO WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL CAUSE WINDS TO SHIFT WEST TO
NORTHWEST AROUND 1700 WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1100...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 1500...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 9100-10100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. GOOD AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0500...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL
                    0300...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2100.
CWR.................15 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400-8400 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 5200-6200
                    FT AGL UNTIL 2200...THEN 2800-3800 FT AGL UNTIL
                    2400...THEN 1000-1300 FT AGL UNTIL 0300...THEN
                    BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0500...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 2100. POOR AFTER 2200.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........34%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2800 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8400-9400 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 8-10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SOAPSTONE PRAIRIE RX.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/21-04  5  0  0 48 61  NW  9  9 3 1 WSW 10   534   W  7  3192 P
10/21-05  5  0  0 47 64  NW  9  9 3 1 WSW  9   527   W  8  3586 P
10/21-06  5  0  0 45 69 WNW 10 10 3 1   W  9   520   W  9  3980 P
10/21-07  8  0  0 46 67 WNW 10 10 3 1 WSW  9   550   W  9  4625 P
10/21-08 11  1  0 49 60 WNW 10 10 3 1 SSW  8   580   W 10  5271 P
10/21-09 14  1  0 53 54 WNW 10 10 3 1   S  8   611   W 12  5917 P
10/21-10 24  1  0 58 45   W 10 10 3 1   S 12  3442   W 10 28834 P
10/21-11 33  3  1 63 36 WSW  9  9 3 1   S 15  6272  SW 10 51751  F
10/21-12 43  4  1 68 31 SSW 10 10 3 1   S 17  9103 SSW  9 74668   G
10/21-13 50  6  1 70 29   S 10 10 3 1 SSW 17  9427 SSW  9 79476   G
10/21-14 57 11  2 71 28 SSW 10 10 3 2 SSW 18  9751 SSW 10 84285   G
10/21-15 64 16  3 71 28 SSW 10 10 3 2  SW 18 10075 SSW 10 89093   G
10/21-16 66 19  4 70 30 SSW 10 10 3 2  SW 16  9516 SSW  9 79685   G
10/21-17 67 22  4 68 34  SW  8  8 3 2 SSW 14  8957 SSW  9 70278   G
10/21-18 69 30  9 66 39  SW  7  7 3 2 SSW 12  8397   S  8 60870   G
10/21-19 72 37 15 63 45 WSW  6  6 3 2 SSW 14  7301 SSW  8 54761  F
10/21-20 75 37 15 60 50   W  6  6 2 2 SSW 16  6204 WSW  9 48653  F
10/21-21 78 35 13 57 57 WNW  7  7 2 3   S 18  5107   W  9 42544  F
10/21-22 77 31 10 55 61  NW  7  7 2 3 SSW 18  3854   W  9 31051 P
10/21-23 75 27  7 54 64  NW  7  7 2 3 WSW 17  2601   W  8 19558 P
10/22-00 74 25  5 53 66  NW  8  8 2 3   W 17  1347   W  7  8065 P
10/22-01 72 25  5 52 68  NW  9  9 2 3   W 18  1196   W  9  8575 P
10/22-02 70 25  5 51 68  NW  9  9 3 3   W 18  1045   W 10  9085 P
10/22-03 68 19  4 50 71  NW 10 10 3 2   W 20   894   W 13  9595 P
10/22-04 61 19  4 49 72  NW 10 10 3 2   W 18   929 WNW 14 11519 P
10/22-05 48 19  4 47 75 WNW 10 10 3 2   W 18   965 WNW 16 13442 P
10/22-06 41 10  2 47 71 WNW  9 15 3 1   W 18  1000  NW 17 15366 P
10/22-07 41 10  2 48 67 WNW  8 14 3 1   W 20  1757  NW 17 24181 P
10/22-08 41 10  2 50 61  NW  8 13 3 1 WSW 22  2514 WNW 16 32996 P
10/22-09 41 10  2 52 55  NW  8 13 3 1 WSW 24  3271 WNW 15 41812  F
10/22-10 41 10  2 55 48 WNW  8 14 3 1 WSW 28  5063 WNW 16 74665   G
10/22-11 41 10  2 59 41   W  9 15 3 1   W 30  6855   W 17107518    V
10/22-12 45  9  2 61 38   W 10 16 3 1   W 32  8647   W 18140372    V
10/22-13 45  9  2 62 36 WSW 12 18 3 1   W 35  9057   W 18149006    V
10/22-14 45  9  2 63 34 WSW 13 20 2 1   W 37  9468   W 20157641     E
10/22-15 45  9  2 63 34 WSW 13 21 2 1   W 37  9878   W 20166276     E
10/22-16 45  9  2 62 34 WSW 12 18 2 1   W 36  8892   W 18140558    V
10/22-17 45  9  2 60 36 WSW  9 14 2 1   W 32  7906   W 16114839    V
10/22-18 31  4  1 57 40 WSW  7  7 2 1   W 30  6920   W 15 89121   G
10/22-19 31  4  1 53 46 WSW  6  6 2 1   W 29  4802   W 12 60321   G
10/22-20 31  4  1 49 53   W  5  5 2 1   W 26  2685   W  8 31521 P
10/22-21 31  4  1 45 61   W  5  5 2 1   W 25   568 WSW  6  2720 P
10/22-22 31  4  1 43 66   W  5  5 2 1   W 24   564 WSW  7  3188 P
10/22-23 31  4  1 43 65   W  6  6 2 1   W 24   561 WSW  8  3656 P
10/23-00 15  2  0 42 67   W  7  7 2 1   W 24   558 WSW  8  4124 P
10/23-01 15  2  0 41 69   W  7  7 2 1   W 25   554 WSW  9  4173 P
10/23-02 15  2  0 40 71   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 26   550   W  9  4222 P
10/23-03 15  2  0 40 70   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 26   546   W  9  4271 P
10/23-04 15  2  0 39 72   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 25   542   W 12  5164 P
10/23-05 15  2  0 39 71   W  8 13 3 1 WNW 23   538   W 13  6058 P
10/23-06  9  0  0 40 67   W  8 13 4 1 WNW 22   535   W 15  6951 P
10/23-07  9  0  0 41 64   W  8 14 4 1 WNW 22   607   W 15  8246 P
10/23-08  9  0  0 44 56   W  9 14 4 1 WNW 23   680   W 16  9540 P
10/23-09  9  0  0 49 46   W  9 15 4 1   W 24   752   W 16 10834 P
10/23-10  9  0  0 55 37   W 10 16 4 1   W 25  2743   W 17 42775  F
10/23-11  9  0  0 61 30 WSW 12 17 4 1   W 26  4735   W 17 74716   G
10/23-12 15  0  0 66 25 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 29  6726   W 18106657    V
10/23-13 15  0  0 70 22 WSW 12 18 4 1   W 31  7332   W 18115658    V
10/23-14 15  0  0 71 21 WSW 12 17 3 1   W 35  7939   W 18124659    V
10/23-15 15  0  0 71 21 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 37  8545   W 18133660    V
10/23-16 15  0  0 70 22 WSW  9 15 3 1   W 38  7402   W 18115418    V
10/23-17 15  0  0 67 25 WSW  9 14 2 1 WNW 40  6259 WSW 17 97175   G
10/23-18 16  0  0 64 28 WSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 41  5117 WSW 17 78932   G
10/23-19 16  0  0 60 32 WSW  8  8 2 1 WNW 43  3622 WSW 15 54641  F
10/23-20 16  0  0 56 38   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 43  2127 WSW 14 30349 P
10/23-21 16  0  0 53 42   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 43   633 WSW 12  6057 P
10/23-22 16  0  0 51 46   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 41   595 WSW 13  6490 P
10/23-23 16  0  0 50 48   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 39   558   W 15  6922 P
10/24-00 13  0  0 49 50   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 37   521   W 16  7355 P
10/24-01 13  0  0 48 51   W  7  7 4 1 WNW 36   513   W 17  7813 P
10/24-02 13  0  0 47 53   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 35   505   W 18  8270 P
10/24-03 13  0  0 46 55   W  7  7 3 1   W 32   497   W 21  8728 P
10/24-04 13  0  0 45 56   W  8  8 3 1   W 31   511   W 20  8935 P
10/24-05 13  0  0 45 56   W  8 13 4 1   W 30   524   W 20  9141 P
10/24-06 10  0  0 46 53   W  8 13 4 1   W 28   538   W 20  9348 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...MEIER
REQUESTED BY...JEFF CRANDALL  RXB2
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141021.SOAPS.01/BOU




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