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000
FNUS75 KBOU 281358
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOTCH COULOIR...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
758 AM MDT SAT MAR 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0716 MDT ON MARCH 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
BUFFET THE MOUNTAIN TOPS AND HIGHER EXPOSED RIDGELINES TODAY. WIND
SPEEDS MAY EVEN INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SHELTERED
VALLEY LOCATIONS ARE MORE LIKELY SEE LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE
WINDS. OTHERWISE IT WILL REMAIN DRY TODAY WITH ONLY FAIR WEATHER
CLOUDS FROM TIME TO TIME FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AND ABNORMALLY WARM AIRMASS
WILL PASS OVER COLORADO TODAY. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
EAST OF THE AREA BY THIS EVENING ALLOWING A WEAK FAST MOVING WEAK
DISTURBANCE TO SWEEP ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO OVERNIGHT WITH
SEARCH LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE SEARCH AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER. WINDY AT TIMES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........29%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 16-24 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30-40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1100. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
MAX HUMIDITY........96%.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 19-28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50
                    MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1300-2300 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 40-50 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2400...THEN FAIR UNTIL
                    0400...THEN GOOD.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........18%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING THEN 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-35 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 20-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR NOTCH COULOIR.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

03/28-07  6  0  0 34 54   W 18 29 5 1  NW 36  2240 WNW 32 63783   G
03/28-08  5  0  0 35 51   W 17 28 6 1  NW 32  2254 WNW 33 64497   G
03/28-09  5  0  0 37 48   W 17 28 6 1  NW 29  2268 WNW 33 65211   G
03/28-10  5  0  0 38 43   W 18 30 6 1  NW 30  2728 WNW 33 79729   G
03/28-11  4  0  0 40 39   W 21 32 6 1 WNW 31  3189   W 33 94248   G
03/28-12  4  0  0 43 33   W 22 35 6 1 WNW 32  3650   W 35108767    V
03/28-13  6  0  0 45 31   W 22 36 6 1 WNW 35  4403   W 35130522    V
03/28-14  9  0  0 47 29   W 23 36 5 1 WNW 37  5156 WNW 35152277     E
03/28-15 16  1  0 47 30   W 23 37 5 1 WNW 40  5909 WNW 33174031     E
03/28-16 19  1  0 47 31   W 24 39 5 1 WNW 43  5958 WNW 36186547     E
03/28-17 23  1  0 45 34   W 26 43 4 1 WNW 45  6007   W 38199063     E
03/28-18 37 10  2 42 39   W 28 44 4 1 WNW 47  6055   W 40211579     E
03/28-19 38 10  2 38 47   W 28 45 4 1 WNW 51  4839   W 44175789     E
03/28-20 41 10  2 33 58   W 28 44 4 1   W 54  3623   W 47139998    V
03/28-21 42 10  2 29 69   W 28 44 4 1   W 56  2406   W 49104208    V
03/28-22 41 10  2 28 73   W 29 46 4 1   W 60  1969   W 48 84294   G
03/28-23 38 10  2 27 77   W 30 48 4 1   W 63  1532   W 47 64380   G
03/29-00 37  5  1 26 81   W 31 49 4 1   W 66  1095   W 47 44465  F
03/29-01 37  5  1 25 86   W 30 48 4 1   W 63  1245   W 46 49460  F
03/29-02 37  5  1 23 93   W 29 46 3 1   W 62  1394   W 45 54454  F
03/29-03 34  5  1 21 96   W 26 43 3 1   W 60  1543   W 45 59449  F
03/29-04 34  5  1 20 86   W 24 38 4 1   W 55  2029   W 41 71297   G
03/29-05 34  5  1 20 71 WNW 21 33 4 1 WNW 51  2516   W 39 83146   G
03/29-06 24  0  0 31 37 WNW 18 30 5 1 WNW 45  3002 WNW 37 94994   G
03/29-07 24  0  0 36 26 WNW 17 28 5 1 WNW 43  3178 WNW 32 89300   G
03/29-08 24  0  0 41 20 WNW 17 26 4 1 WNW 39  3354 WNW 29 83605   G
03/29-09 24  0  0 42 18 WNW 16 25 4 1   W 36  3530 WNW 24 77910   G
03/29-10 24  0  0 37 25 WNW 14 23 3 1   W 35  4310   W 25 96004   G
03/29-11 24  0  0 31 39 WNW 12 20 3 1   W 32  5090   W 25114098    V
03/29-12 24  0  0 28 51   W 10 16 3 1   W 31  5870   W 26132193    V
03/29-13 24  0  0 30 47   W 10 16 3 1   W 30  6043   W 25131512    V
03/29-14 24  0  0 35 38   W 10 17 3 1   W 29  6215   W 24130832    V
03/29-15 27  3  1 42 28   W 12 18 3 1 WNW 28  6388 WNW 24130151    V
03/29-16 27  3  1 45 25   W 12 17 3 1 WNW 26  6560 WNW 23129471    V
03/29-17 27  3  1 45 26   W 10 17 3 1 WNW 25  6733 WNW 22128790    V
03/29-18 27  3  1 41 31   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 24  6906 WNW 22128109    V
03/29-19 27  3  1 35 39   W 12 17 3 1 WNW 23  6046 WNW 21110666    V
03/29-20 27  3  1 28 50   W 13 20 3 1 WNW 23  5186 WNW 20 93222   G
03/29-21 18  5  1 25 55   W 14 22 4 1 WNW 23  4326 WNW 18 75779   G
03/29-22 18  5  1 28 50   W 14 23 4 1 WNW 23  3466   W 17 58335  F
03/29-23 18  5  1 34 41   W 15 23 4 1 WNW 23  2606   W 16 40892  F
03/30-00 21  0  0 39 34   W 15 24 4 1 WNW 22  1746   W 15 23448 P
03/30-01 21  0  0 41 30   W 16 25 4 1 WNW 22  1557   W 16 20969 P
03/30-02 21  0  0 40 29   W 17 28 4 1 WNW 22  1368   W 16 18490 P
03/30-03 21  0  0 37 31   W 18 30 4 1 WNW 22  1179   W 16 16010 P
03/30-04 21  0  0 36 32   W 18 30 4 1 WNW 23   990   W 16 13531 P
03/30-05 21  0  0 35 35   W 18 30 4 1 WNW 23   801   W 16 11051 P
03/30-06 33  0  0 35 36   W 18 30 4 1 WNW 23   613   W 16  8572 P
03/30-07 33  0  0 36 35   W 18 29 4 1 WNW 22  1692   W 16 21614 P
03/30-08 33  0  0 37 33   W 18 29 4 1   W 21  2771   W 15 34657 P
03/30-09 33  0  0 39 31   W 17 28 4 1   W 20  3851   W 15 47699  F
03/30-10 33  0  0 41 31   W 15 25 4 1   W 18  4930   W 15 60741   G
03/30-11 33  0  0 42 32   W 14 22 4 1   W 17  6009   W 15 73784   G
03/30-12 44  4  1 44 31   W 13 21 4 1   W 16  7089   W 14 86826   G
03/30-13 44  4  1 44 30   W 14 23 4 1   W 15  7237   W 14 87206   G
03/30-14 44  4  1 45 28   W 16 25 4 1   W 15  7385   W 14 87587   G
03/30-15 44  4  1 45 27   W 17 28 4 1 WNW 15  7534 WNW 14 87967   G
03/30-16 44  4  1 45 28   W 16 25 4 1 WNW 15  7682 WNW 14 88347   G
03/30-17 44  4  1 44 30   W 14 22 4 1 WNW 14  7831 WNW 13 88728   G
03/30-18 35  5  1 43 32   W 12 18 4 1 WNW 14  7979 WNW 13 89108   G
03/30-19 35  5  1 41 34   W 12 18   1
03/30-20 35  5  1 40 36   W 12 20   1
03/30-21 35  5  1 38 39   W 13 21   1
03/30-22 35  5  1 36 43   W 13 20   1
03/30-23 35  5  1 34 48   W 12 20   1
03/31-00 23  4  1 32 53   W 12 18   1
03/31-01 23  4  1 30 58   W 12 18   1
03/31-02 23  4  1 28 62   W 12 18   1
03/31-03 23  4  1 27 63   W 12 18   1
03/31-04 23  4  1 26 64   W 12 18   1
03/31-05 23  4  1 25 66   W 12 18   1
03/31-06 30  4  1 25 65   W 12 18   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER
REQUESTED BY...RANDY BIDDLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150328.NOTCH.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 281358
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR NOTCH COULOIR...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
758 AM MDT SAT MAR 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0716 MDT ON MARCH 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
BUFFET THE MOUNTAIN TOPS AND HIGHER EXPOSED RIDGELINES TODAY. WIND
SPEEDS MAY EVEN INCREASE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SHELTERED
VALLEY LOCATIONS ARE MORE LIKELY SEE LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE
WINDS. OTHERWISE IT WILL REMAIN DRY TODAY WITH ONLY FAIR WEATHER
CLOUDS FROM TIME TO TIME FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE AND ABNORMALLY WARM AIRMASS
WILL PASS OVER COLORADO TODAY. THIS RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
EAST OF THE AREA BY THIS EVENING ALLOWING A WEAK FAST MOVING WEAK
DISTURBANCE TO SWEEP ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO OVERNIGHT WITH
SEARCH LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN THE SEARCH AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY AND WARMER. WINDY AT TIMES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........29%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 16-24 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30-40 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1100. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 20.
MAX HUMIDITY........96%.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 19-28 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50
                    MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-6000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1300-2300 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 40-50 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 2400...THEN FAIR UNTIL
                    0400...THEN GOOD.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........18%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10-16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING THEN 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600-6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25-35 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 20-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR NOTCH COULOIR.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

03/28-07  6  0  0 34 54   W 18 29 5 1  NW 36  2240 WNW 32 63783   G
03/28-08  5  0  0 35 51   W 17 28 6 1  NW 32  2254 WNW 33 64497   G
03/28-09  5  0  0 37 48   W 17 28 6 1  NW 29  2268 WNW 33 65211   G
03/28-10  5  0  0 38 43   W 18 30 6 1  NW 30  2728 WNW 33 79729   G
03/28-11  4  0  0 40 39   W 21 32 6 1 WNW 31  3189   W 33 94248   G
03/28-12  4  0  0 43 33   W 22 35 6 1 WNW 32  3650   W 35108767    V
03/28-13  6  0  0 45 31   W 22 36 6 1 WNW 35  4403   W 35130522    V
03/28-14  9  0  0 47 29   W 23 36 5 1 WNW 37  5156 WNW 35152277     E
03/28-15 16  1  0 47 30   W 23 37 5 1 WNW 40  5909 WNW 33174031     E
03/28-16 19  1  0 47 31   W 24 39 5 1 WNW 43  5958 WNW 36186547     E
03/28-17 23  1  0 45 34   W 26 43 4 1 WNW 45  6007   W 38199063     E
03/28-18 37 10  2 42 39   W 28 44 4 1 WNW 47  6055   W 40211579     E
03/28-19 38 10  2 38 47   W 28 45 4 1 WNW 51  4839   W 44175789     E
03/28-20 41 10  2 33 58   W 28 44 4 1   W 54  3623   W 47139998    V
03/28-21 42 10  2 29 69   W 28 44 4 1   W 56  2406   W 49104208    V
03/28-22 41 10  2 28 73   W 29 46 4 1   W 60  1969   W 48 84294   G
03/28-23 38 10  2 27 77   W 30 48 4 1   W 63  1532   W 47 64380   G
03/29-00 37  5  1 26 81   W 31 49 4 1   W 66  1095   W 47 44465  F
03/29-01 37  5  1 25 86   W 30 48 4 1   W 63  1245   W 46 49460  F
03/29-02 37  5  1 23 93   W 29 46 3 1   W 62  1394   W 45 54454  F
03/29-03 34  5  1 21 96   W 26 43 3 1   W 60  1543   W 45 59449  F
03/29-04 34  5  1 20 86   W 24 38 4 1   W 55  2029   W 41 71297   G
03/29-05 34  5  1 20 71 WNW 21 33 4 1 WNW 51  2516   W 39 83146   G
03/29-06 24  0  0 31 37 WNW 18 30 5 1 WNW 45  3002 WNW 37 94994   G
03/29-07 24  0  0 36 26 WNW 17 28 5 1 WNW 43  3178 WNW 32 89300   G
03/29-08 24  0  0 41 20 WNW 17 26 4 1 WNW 39  3354 WNW 29 83605   G
03/29-09 24  0  0 42 18 WNW 16 25 4 1   W 36  3530 WNW 24 77910   G
03/29-10 24  0  0 37 25 WNW 14 23 3 1   W 35  4310   W 25 96004   G
03/29-11 24  0  0 31 39 WNW 12 20 3 1   W 32  5090   W 25114098    V
03/29-12 24  0  0 28 51   W 10 16 3 1   W 31  5870   W 26132193    V
03/29-13 24  0  0 30 47   W 10 16 3 1   W 30  6043   W 25131512    V
03/29-14 24  0  0 35 38   W 10 17 3 1   W 29  6215   W 24130832    V
03/29-15 27  3  1 42 28   W 12 18 3 1 WNW 28  6388 WNW 24130151    V
03/29-16 27  3  1 45 25   W 12 17 3 1 WNW 26  6560 WNW 23129471    V
03/29-17 27  3  1 45 26   W 10 17 3 1 WNW 25  6733 WNW 22128790    V
03/29-18 27  3  1 41 31   W 10 16 3 1 WNW 24  6906 WNW 22128109    V
03/29-19 27  3  1 35 39   W 12 17 3 1 WNW 23  6046 WNW 21110666    V
03/29-20 27  3  1 28 50   W 13 20 3 1 WNW 23  5186 WNW 20 93222   G
03/29-21 18  5  1 25 55   W 14 22 4 1 WNW 23  4326 WNW 18 75779   G
03/29-22 18  5  1 28 50   W 14 23 4 1 WNW 23  3466   W 17 58335  F
03/29-23 18  5  1 34 41   W 15 23 4 1 WNW 23  2606   W 16 40892  F
03/30-00 21  0  0 39 34   W 15 24 4 1 WNW 22  1746   W 15 23448 P
03/30-01 21  0  0 41 30   W 16 25 4 1 WNW 22  1557   W 16 20969 P
03/30-02 21  0  0 40 29   W 17 28 4 1 WNW 22  1368   W 16 18490 P
03/30-03 21  0  0 37 31   W 18 30 4 1 WNW 22  1179   W 16 16010 P
03/30-04 21  0  0 36 32   W 18 30 4 1 WNW 23   990   W 16 13531 P
03/30-05 21  0  0 35 35   W 18 30 4 1 WNW 23   801   W 16 11051 P
03/30-06 33  0  0 35 36   W 18 30 4 1 WNW 23   613   W 16  8572 P
03/30-07 33  0  0 36 35   W 18 29 4 1 WNW 22  1692   W 16 21614 P
03/30-08 33  0  0 37 33   W 18 29 4 1   W 21  2771   W 15 34657 P
03/30-09 33  0  0 39 31   W 17 28 4 1   W 20  3851   W 15 47699  F
03/30-10 33  0  0 41 31   W 15 25 4 1   W 18  4930   W 15 60741   G
03/30-11 33  0  0 42 32   W 14 22 4 1   W 17  6009   W 15 73784   G
03/30-12 44  4  1 44 31   W 13 21 4 1   W 16  7089   W 14 86826   G
03/30-13 44  4  1 44 30   W 14 23 4 1   W 15  7237   W 14 87206   G
03/30-14 44  4  1 45 28   W 16 25 4 1   W 15  7385   W 14 87587   G
03/30-15 44  4  1 45 27   W 17 28 4 1 WNW 15  7534 WNW 14 87967   G
03/30-16 44  4  1 45 28   W 16 25 4 1 WNW 15  7682 WNW 14 88347   G
03/30-17 44  4  1 44 30   W 14 22 4 1 WNW 14  7831 WNW 13 88728   G
03/30-18 35  5  1 43 32   W 12 18 4 1 WNW 14  7979 WNW 13 89108   G
03/30-19 35  5  1 41 34   W 12 18   1
03/30-20 35  5  1 40 36   W 12 20   1
03/30-21 35  5  1 38 39   W 13 21   1
03/30-22 35  5  1 36 43   W 13 20   1
03/30-23 35  5  1 34 48   W 12 20   1
03/31-00 23  4  1 32 53   W 12 18   1
03/31-01 23  4  1 30 58   W 12 18   1
03/31-02 23  4  1 28 62   W 12 18   1
03/31-03 23  4  1 27 63   W 12 18   1
03/31-04 23  4  1 26 64   W 12 18   1
03/31-05 23  4  1 25 66   W 12 18   1
03/31-06 30  4  1 25 65   W 12 18   1

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER
REQUESTED BY...RANDY BIDDLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150328.NOTCH.01/BOU




000
FNUS75 KBOU 271332 CCA
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR RMA SEC 2 11...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
717 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

...CORRECTION FOR A COUPLE OF MISSING WORDS IN DISCUSSION...

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT ON MARCH 27. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FRONT RANGE URBAN CORRIDOR REMAINS UNDER A
RELATIVELY STRONG NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WITH MID- AND
HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS BEING CARRIED ALONG BY THIS FLOW. THROUGH THE
TODAY...AS THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE NORTHWESTERLY...CLOUDS SHOULD
GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE FRONT RANGE CAUSING TEMPERATURES TO
STEADILY RISE TO LEVELS SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE DATE.
THIS WILL CAUSE SOME OF THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT TO MIX DOWNWARD
RESULTING IN GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. BY
THIS EVENING...WIND SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH WITH WINDS ESTABLISHING
THEIR TYPICAL DRAINAGE PATTERN OVERNIGHT AS SKIES CONTINUE TO CLEAR.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1300...
                    THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1700...
                    THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER 2000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........22%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTHWEST 8-13
                    MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH AFTER 1330.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 8500-9100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14-22 MPH AFTER 1000.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1330.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........66%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8-9 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........16%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    WEST 6-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10200-11200 FT
                    AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RMA SEC 2 11.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

03/27-06 73  7  1 40 70 SSW  2  2 2 1 NNW 48   571   W 10  5042 P
03/27-07 75  6  1 43 65 SSW  3  3 2 1 NNW 45   903   W 13 11160 P
03/27-08 51  6  1 46 58  SW  5  5 3 1 NNW 41  1236   W 15 17279 P
03/27-09 50  4  1 48 54 WSW  6  6 3 1 NNW 38  1569   W 17 23397 P
03/27-10 49  4  1 51 48 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW 35  3257 WNW 16 43791  F
03/27-11 52  3  1 56 38   W  7  7 3 1  NW 31  4945 WNW 15 64186   G
03/27-12 52  3  1 60 32 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 28  6634  NW 15 84580   G
03/27-13 60  3  1 63 27 WNW  9  9 3 1  NW 30  7464  NW 16103670    V
03/27-14 60  4  1 65 25  NW 12 12 3 1  NW 32  8295  NW 17122760    V
03/27-15 63  4  1 67 23  NW 13 17 3 1 NNW 33  9125  NW 18141851    V
03/27-16 53  4  1 68 22  NW 13 17 3 1 NNW 36  8803  NW 17132202    V
03/27-17 49  4  1 68 23  NW 12 16 3 1 NNW 37  8482  NW 16122554    V
03/27-18 39  0  0 65 27  NW 10 10 3 1 NNW 38  8160  NW 16112906    V
03/27-19 40  0  0 62 31 WNW  9  9 3 1 NNW 37  6660  NW 16 91450   G
03/27-20 40  0  0 57 39   W  9  9 3 1 NNW 36  5161  NW 15 69995   G
03/27-21 41  0  0 53 46   W  8  8 3 1 NNW 35  3661  NW 15 48539  F
03/27-22 41  0  0 51 51   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 32  2643 WNW 14 34559 P
03/27-23 41  0  0 49 56 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW 30  1626   W 14 20579 P
03/28-00 15  1  0 49 56  SW  7  7 3 1 NNW 29   608   W 13  6599 P
03/28-01 15  1  0 48 58  SW  7  7 3 1 NNW 28   588   W 13  6220 P
03/28-02 15  1  0 47 59  SW  8  8 3 1  NW 26   568   W 12  5840 P
03/28-03 16  1  0 45 63  SW  8  8 3 1  NW 25   548 WSW 12  5461 P
03/28-04 16  1  0 44 63 SSW  8  8 3 1  NW 25   546 WSW 10  5088 P
03/28-05 16  1  0 42 66 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 24   543 WSW 10  4716 P
03/28-06  2  0  0 42 65 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 24   541 WSW  9  4343 P
03/28-07  2  0  0 43 64 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 23   602 WSW  9  4838 P
03/28-08  2  0  0 46 59 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 22   664 WSW  9  5333 P
03/28-09  2  0  0 51 52 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 21   725 WSW  9  5827 P
03/28-10  2  0  0 58 39 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 20  3376   W 10 39401 P
03/28-11  2  0  0 64 30  SW  7  7 5 1 WNW 18  6027   W 13 72974   G
03/28-12 15  0  0 70 23  SW  7  7 5 1 WNW 17  8678   W 14106547    V
03/28-13 15  0  0 73 19 WSW  7  7 4 1 WNW 20  9617   W 15129549    V
03/28-14 15  0  0 75 17   W  8  8 4 1 WNW 22 10556   W 16152550     E
03/28-15 15  0  0 75 16   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 24 11495   W 17175551     E
03/28-16 15  0  0 75 16   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 30 11365   W 18179652     E
03/28-17 15  0  0 75 16   W  9  9 3 1 WNW 36 11235   W 18183753     E
03/28-18 14  2  0 73 17   W  9 14 3 1 WNW 41 11105   W 20187854     E
03/28-19 14  2  0 69 21   W  9  9 3 1 WNW 41  7916   W 17130588    V
03/28-20 14  2  0 63 29   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 41  4727 WSW 15 73323   G
03/28-21 14  2  0 58 37 WSW  8  8 3 1 WNW 41  1539 WSW 12 16057 P
03/28-22 14  2  0 55 43 WSW  8  8 3 1 WNW 44  1369 WSW 12 13604 P
03/28-23 14  2  0 53 48   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 46  1200   W 10 11151 P
03/29-00 31  1  0 52 50   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1030   W  9  8698 P
03/29-01 31  1  0 51 53   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1256 WNW 14 17391 P
03/29-02 31  1  0 50 55 NNW  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1482   N 18 26083 P
03/29-03 31  1  0 48 58   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 46  1708   N 23 34776 P
03/29-04 31  1  0 46 60   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 45  1718   N 22 32332 P
03/29-05 31  1  0 44 60   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  1729   N 20 29889 P
03/29-06 24  0  0 43 60   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  1739   N 18 27446 P
03/29-07 24  0  0 42 63   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2348 NNE 16 30677 P
03/29-08 24  0  0 43 62 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2957 NNE 14 33908 P
03/29-09 24  0  0 45 58 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  3566 NNE 12 37140 P
03/29-10 24  0  0 48 50 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  4025 NNW  8 26940 P
03/29-11 24  0  0 53 40  NE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  4484 WSW  5 16740 P
03/29-12 24  0  0 57 33  NE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  4944   CALM  6541 P
03/29-13 24  0  0 61 27 ENE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  5412  SW  3 15427 P
03/29-14 24  0  0 64 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 44  5881 WSW  5 24313 P
03/29-15 24  0  0 64 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 45  6349   W  6 33199 P
03/29-16 24  0  0 64 22   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 44  6431   W  6 35369 P
03/29-17 24  0  0 64 23 ESE  6  6 4 1 WNW 43  6512   W  7 37540 P
03/29-18 18  2  0 64 24 ESE  6  6 4 1 WNW 41  6593   W  7 39711 P
03/29-19 18  2  0 60 28  SE  6  6 4 1 WNW 38  4917 WSW  7 29646 P
03/29-20 18  2  0 55 35   S  5  5 4 1  NW 33  3240 SSW  7 19581 P
03/29-21 18  2  0 50 44   S  5  5 4 1  NW 29  1563   S  7  9516 P
03/29-22 18  2  0 48 50   S  5  5 4 1  NW 28  1243 SSW  7  7378 P
03/29-23 18  2  0 47 54 SSW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   923  SW  6  5240 P
03/30-00 11  0  0 47 56  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   603  SW  6  3101 P
03/30-01 11  0  0 46 57  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   570 WSW  7  3144 P
03/30-02 11  0  0 45 58  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   537 WSW  7  3186 P
03/30-03 11  0  0 43 60  SW  6  6 4 1   W 23   503   W  7  3228 P
03/30-04 11  0  0 42 60  SW  6  6 4 1   W 24   508   W  7  3261 P
03/30-05 11  0  0 41 59  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   512   W  7  3295 P
03/30-06 14  0  0 41 57  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   516   W  7  3328 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WHITEAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150327.RMASE.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 271332 CCA
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR RMA SEC 2 11...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
717 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

...CORRECTION FOR A COUPLE OF MISSING WORDS IN DISCUSSION...

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT ON MARCH 27. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FRONT RANGE URBAN CORRIDOR REMAINS UNDER A
RELATIVELY STRONG NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WITH MID- AND
HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS BEING CARRIED ALONG BY THIS FLOW. THROUGH THE
TODAY...AS THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE NORTHWESTERLY...CLOUDS SHOULD
GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE FRONT RANGE CAUSING TEMPERATURES TO
STEADILY RISE TO LEVELS SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE DATE.
THIS WILL CAUSE SOME OF THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT TO MIX DOWNWARD
RESULTING IN GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. BY
THIS EVENING...WIND SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH WITH WINDS ESTABLISHING
THEIR TYPICAL DRAINAGE PATTERN OVERNIGHT AS SKIES CONTINUE TO CLEAR.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1300...
                    THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1700...
                    THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER 2000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........22%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTHWEST 8-13
                    MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH AFTER 1330.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 8500-9100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14-22 MPH AFTER 1000.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1330.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........66%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8-9 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........16%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    WEST 6-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10200-11200 FT
                    AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RMA SEC 2 11.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

03/27-06 73  7  1 40 70 SSW  2  2 2 1 NNW 48   571   W 10  5042 P
03/27-07 75  6  1 43 65 SSW  3  3 2 1 NNW 45   903   W 13 11160 P
03/27-08 51  6  1 46 58  SW  5  5 3 1 NNW 41  1236   W 15 17279 P
03/27-09 50  4  1 48 54 WSW  6  6 3 1 NNW 38  1569   W 17 23397 P
03/27-10 49  4  1 51 48 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW 35  3257 WNW 16 43791  F
03/27-11 52  3  1 56 38   W  7  7 3 1  NW 31  4945 WNW 15 64186   G
03/27-12 52  3  1 60 32 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 28  6634  NW 15 84580   G
03/27-13 60  3  1 63 27 WNW  9  9 3 1  NW 30  7464  NW 16103670    V
03/27-14 60  4  1 65 25  NW 12 12 3 1  NW 32  8295  NW 17122760    V
03/27-15 63  4  1 67 23  NW 13 17 3 1 NNW 33  9125  NW 18141851    V
03/27-16 53  4  1 68 22  NW 13 17 3 1 NNW 36  8803  NW 17132202    V
03/27-17 49  4  1 68 23  NW 12 16 3 1 NNW 37  8482  NW 16122554    V
03/27-18 39  0  0 65 27  NW 10 10 3 1 NNW 38  8160  NW 16112906    V
03/27-19 40  0  0 62 31 WNW  9  9 3 1 NNW 37  6660  NW 16 91450   G
03/27-20 40  0  0 57 39   W  9  9 3 1 NNW 36  5161  NW 15 69995   G
03/27-21 41  0  0 53 46   W  8  8 3 1 NNW 35  3661  NW 15 48539  F
03/27-22 41  0  0 51 51   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 32  2643 WNW 14 34559 P
03/27-23 41  0  0 49 56 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW 30  1626   W 14 20579 P
03/28-00 15  1  0 49 56  SW  7  7 3 1 NNW 29   608   W 13  6599 P
03/28-01 15  1  0 48 58  SW  7  7 3 1 NNW 28   588   W 13  6220 P
03/28-02 15  1  0 47 59  SW  8  8 3 1  NW 26   568   W 12  5840 P
03/28-03 16  1  0 45 63  SW  8  8 3 1  NW 25   548 WSW 12  5461 P
03/28-04 16  1  0 44 63 SSW  8  8 3 1  NW 25   546 WSW 10  5088 P
03/28-05 16  1  0 42 66 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 24   543 WSW 10  4716 P
03/28-06  2  0  0 42 65 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 24   541 WSW  9  4343 P
03/28-07  2  0  0 43 64 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 23   602 WSW  9  4838 P
03/28-08  2  0  0 46 59 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 22   664 WSW  9  5333 P
03/28-09  2  0  0 51 52 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 21   725 WSW  9  5827 P
03/28-10  2  0  0 58 39 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 20  3376   W 10 39401 P
03/28-11  2  0  0 64 30  SW  7  7 5 1 WNW 18  6027   W 13 72974   G
03/28-12 15  0  0 70 23  SW  7  7 5 1 WNW 17  8678   W 14106547    V
03/28-13 15  0  0 73 19 WSW  7  7 4 1 WNW 20  9617   W 15129549    V
03/28-14 15  0  0 75 17   W  8  8 4 1 WNW 22 10556   W 16152550     E
03/28-15 15  0  0 75 16   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 24 11495   W 17175551     E
03/28-16 15  0  0 75 16   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 30 11365   W 18179652     E
03/28-17 15  0  0 75 16   W  9  9 3 1 WNW 36 11235   W 18183753     E
03/28-18 14  2  0 73 17   W  9 14 3 1 WNW 41 11105   W 20187854     E
03/28-19 14  2  0 69 21   W  9  9 3 1 WNW 41  7916   W 17130588    V
03/28-20 14  2  0 63 29   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 41  4727 WSW 15 73323   G
03/28-21 14  2  0 58 37 WSW  8  8 3 1 WNW 41  1539 WSW 12 16057 P
03/28-22 14  2  0 55 43 WSW  8  8 3 1 WNW 44  1369 WSW 12 13604 P
03/28-23 14  2  0 53 48   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 46  1200   W 10 11151 P
03/29-00 31  1  0 52 50   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1030   W  9  8698 P
03/29-01 31  1  0 51 53   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1256 WNW 14 17391 P
03/29-02 31  1  0 50 55 NNW  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1482   N 18 26083 P
03/29-03 31  1  0 48 58   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 46  1708   N 23 34776 P
03/29-04 31  1  0 46 60   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 45  1718   N 22 32332 P
03/29-05 31  1  0 44 60   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  1729   N 20 29889 P
03/29-06 24  0  0 43 60   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  1739   N 18 27446 P
03/29-07 24  0  0 42 63   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2348 NNE 16 30677 P
03/29-08 24  0  0 43 62 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2957 NNE 14 33908 P
03/29-09 24  0  0 45 58 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  3566 NNE 12 37140 P
03/29-10 24  0  0 48 50 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  4025 NNW  8 26940 P
03/29-11 24  0  0 53 40  NE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  4484 WSW  5 16740 P
03/29-12 24  0  0 57 33  NE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  4944   CALM  6541 P
03/29-13 24  0  0 61 27 ENE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  5412  SW  3 15427 P
03/29-14 24  0  0 64 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 44  5881 WSW  5 24313 P
03/29-15 24  0  0 64 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 45  6349   W  6 33199 P
03/29-16 24  0  0 64 22   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 44  6431   W  6 35369 P
03/29-17 24  0  0 64 23 ESE  6  6 4 1 WNW 43  6512   W  7 37540 P
03/29-18 18  2  0 64 24 ESE  6  6 4 1 WNW 41  6593   W  7 39711 P
03/29-19 18  2  0 60 28  SE  6  6 4 1 WNW 38  4917 WSW  7 29646 P
03/29-20 18  2  0 55 35   S  5  5 4 1  NW 33  3240 SSW  7 19581 P
03/29-21 18  2  0 50 44   S  5  5 4 1  NW 29  1563   S  7  9516 P
03/29-22 18  2  0 48 50   S  5  5 4 1  NW 28  1243 SSW  7  7378 P
03/29-23 18  2  0 47 54 SSW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   923  SW  6  5240 P
03/30-00 11  0  0 47 56  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   603  SW  6  3101 P
03/30-01 11  0  0 46 57  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   570 WSW  7  3144 P
03/30-02 11  0  0 45 58  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   537 WSW  7  3186 P
03/30-03 11  0  0 43 60  SW  6  6 4 1   W 23   503   W  7  3228 P
03/30-04 11  0  0 42 60  SW  6  6 4 1   W 24   508   W  7  3261 P
03/30-05 11  0  0 41 59  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   512   W  7  3295 P
03/30-06 14  0  0 41 57  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   516   W  7  3328 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WHITEAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150327.RMASE.01/BOU




000
FNUS75 KBOU 271332 CCA
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR RMA SEC 2 11...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
717 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

...CORRECTION FOR A COUPLE OF MISSING WORDS IN DISCUSSION...

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT ON MARCH 27. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FRONT RANGE URBAN CORRIDOR REMAINS UNDER A
RELATIVELY STRONG NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WITH MID- AND
HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS BEING CARRIED ALONG BY THIS FLOW. THROUGH THE
TODAY...AS THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE NORTHWESTERLY...CLOUDS SHOULD
GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE FRONT RANGE CAUSING TEMPERATURES TO
STEADILY RISE TO LEVELS SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE DATE.
THIS WILL CAUSE SOME OF THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT TO MIX DOWNWARD
RESULTING IN GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. BY
THIS EVENING...WIND SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH WITH WINDS ESTABLISHING
THEIR TYPICAL DRAINAGE PATTERN OVERNIGHT AS SKIES CONTINUE TO CLEAR.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1300...
                    THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1700...
                    THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER 2000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........22%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTHWEST 8-13
                    MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH AFTER 1330.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 8500-9100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14-22 MPH AFTER 1000.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1330.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........66%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8-9 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........16%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    WEST 6-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10200-11200 FT
                    AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RMA SEC 2 11.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

03/27-06 73  7  1 40 70 SSW  2  2 2 1 NNW 48   571   W 10  5042 P
03/27-07 75  6  1 43 65 SSW  3  3 2 1 NNW 45   903   W 13 11160 P
03/27-08 51  6  1 46 58  SW  5  5 3 1 NNW 41  1236   W 15 17279 P
03/27-09 50  4  1 48 54 WSW  6  6 3 1 NNW 38  1569   W 17 23397 P
03/27-10 49  4  1 51 48 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW 35  3257 WNW 16 43791  F
03/27-11 52  3  1 56 38   W  7  7 3 1  NW 31  4945 WNW 15 64186   G
03/27-12 52  3  1 60 32 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 28  6634  NW 15 84580   G
03/27-13 60  3  1 63 27 WNW  9  9 3 1  NW 30  7464  NW 16103670    V
03/27-14 60  4  1 65 25  NW 12 12 3 1  NW 32  8295  NW 17122760    V
03/27-15 63  4  1 67 23  NW 13 17 3 1 NNW 33  9125  NW 18141851    V
03/27-16 53  4  1 68 22  NW 13 17 3 1 NNW 36  8803  NW 17132202    V
03/27-17 49  4  1 68 23  NW 12 16 3 1 NNW 37  8482  NW 16122554    V
03/27-18 39  0  0 65 27  NW 10 10 3 1 NNW 38  8160  NW 16112906    V
03/27-19 40  0  0 62 31 WNW  9  9 3 1 NNW 37  6660  NW 16 91450   G
03/27-20 40  0  0 57 39   W  9  9 3 1 NNW 36  5161  NW 15 69995   G
03/27-21 41  0  0 53 46   W  8  8 3 1 NNW 35  3661  NW 15 48539  F
03/27-22 41  0  0 51 51   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 32  2643 WNW 14 34559 P
03/27-23 41  0  0 49 56 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW 30  1626   W 14 20579 P
03/28-00 15  1  0 49 56  SW  7  7 3 1 NNW 29   608   W 13  6599 P
03/28-01 15  1  0 48 58  SW  7  7 3 1 NNW 28   588   W 13  6220 P
03/28-02 15  1  0 47 59  SW  8  8 3 1  NW 26   568   W 12  5840 P
03/28-03 16  1  0 45 63  SW  8  8 3 1  NW 25   548 WSW 12  5461 P
03/28-04 16  1  0 44 63 SSW  8  8 3 1  NW 25   546 WSW 10  5088 P
03/28-05 16  1  0 42 66 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 24   543 WSW 10  4716 P
03/28-06  2  0  0 42 65 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 24   541 WSW  9  4343 P
03/28-07  2  0  0 43 64 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 23   602 WSW  9  4838 P
03/28-08  2  0  0 46 59 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 22   664 WSW  9  5333 P
03/28-09  2  0  0 51 52 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 21   725 WSW  9  5827 P
03/28-10  2  0  0 58 39 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 20  3376   W 10 39401 P
03/28-11  2  0  0 64 30  SW  7  7 5 1 WNW 18  6027   W 13 72974   G
03/28-12 15  0  0 70 23  SW  7  7 5 1 WNW 17  8678   W 14106547    V
03/28-13 15  0  0 73 19 WSW  7  7 4 1 WNW 20  9617   W 15129549    V
03/28-14 15  0  0 75 17   W  8  8 4 1 WNW 22 10556   W 16152550     E
03/28-15 15  0  0 75 16   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 24 11495   W 17175551     E
03/28-16 15  0  0 75 16   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 30 11365   W 18179652     E
03/28-17 15  0  0 75 16   W  9  9 3 1 WNW 36 11235   W 18183753     E
03/28-18 14  2  0 73 17   W  9 14 3 1 WNW 41 11105   W 20187854     E
03/28-19 14  2  0 69 21   W  9  9 3 1 WNW 41  7916   W 17130588    V
03/28-20 14  2  0 63 29   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 41  4727 WSW 15 73323   G
03/28-21 14  2  0 58 37 WSW  8  8 3 1 WNW 41  1539 WSW 12 16057 P
03/28-22 14  2  0 55 43 WSW  8  8 3 1 WNW 44  1369 WSW 12 13604 P
03/28-23 14  2  0 53 48   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 46  1200   W 10 11151 P
03/29-00 31  1  0 52 50   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1030   W  9  8698 P
03/29-01 31  1  0 51 53   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1256 WNW 14 17391 P
03/29-02 31  1  0 50 55 NNW  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1482   N 18 26083 P
03/29-03 31  1  0 48 58   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 46  1708   N 23 34776 P
03/29-04 31  1  0 46 60   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 45  1718   N 22 32332 P
03/29-05 31  1  0 44 60   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  1729   N 20 29889 P
03/29-06 24  0  0 43 60   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  1739   N 18 27446 P
03/29-07 24  0  0 42 63   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2348 NNE 16 30677 P
03/29-08 24  0  0 43 62 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2957 NNE 14 33908 P
03/29-09 24  0  0 45 58 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  3566 NNE 12 37140 P
03/29-10 24  0  0 48 50 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  4025 NNW  8 26940 P
03/29-11 24  0  0 53 40  NE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  4484 WSW  5 16740 P
03/29-12 24  0  0 57 33  NE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  4944   CALM  6541 P
03/29-13 24  0  0 61 27 ENE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  5412  SW  3 15427 P
03/29-14 24  0  0 64 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 44  5881 WSW  5 24313 P
03/29-15 24  0  0 64 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 45  6349   W  6 33199 P
03/29-16 24  0  0 64 22   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 44  6431   W  6 35369 P
03/29-17 24  0  0 64 23 ESE  6  6 4 1 WNW 43  6512   W  7 37540 P
03/29-18 18  2  0 64 24 ESE  6  6 4 1 WNW 41  6593   W  7 39711 P
03/29-19 18  2  0 60 28  SE  6  6 4 1 WNW 38  4917 WSW  7 29646 P
03/29-20 18  2  0 55 35   S  5  5 4 1  NW 33  3240 SSW  7 19581 P
03/29-21 18  2  0 50 44   S  5  5 4 1  NW 29  1563   S  7  9516 P
03/29-22 18  2  0 48 50   S  5  5 4 1  NW 28  1243 SSW  7  7378 P
03/29-23 18  2  0 47 54 SSW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   923  SW  6  5240 P
03/30-00 11  0  0 47 56  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   603  SW  6  3101 P
03/30-01 11  0  0 46 57  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   570 WSW  7  3144 P
03/30-02 11  0  0 45 58  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   537 WSW  7  3186 P
03/30-03 11  0  0 43 60  SW  6  6 4 1   W 23   503   W  7  3228 P
03/30-04 11  0  0 42 60  SW  6  6 4 1   W 24   508   W  7  3261 P
03/30-05 11  0  0 41 59  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   512   W  7  3295 P
03/30-06 14  0  0 41 57  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   516   W  7  3328 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WHITEAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150327.RMASE.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 271317
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR RMA SEC 2 11...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
717 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT ON MARCH 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FRONT RANGE URBAN CORRIDOR REMAINS UNDER A
RELATIVELY STRONG NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WITH MID- AND
HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS BEING CARRIED ALONG BY THIS FLOW. THROUGH THE
TODAY...AS THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE NORTHWESTERLY...CLOUDS
SHOULD GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE FRONT ALLOWING TEMPERATURES
TO STEADILY RISE TO LEVELS SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE
DAY. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME OF THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT TO MIX
DOWNWARD RESULTING IN GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS IN THE
AFTERNOON. TOWARDS EVENING...WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH WITH
WINDS ESTABLISHING THEIR TYPICAL DRAINAGE PATTERN OVERNIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1300...
                    THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1700...
                    THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER 2000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........22%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTHWEST 8-13
                    MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH AFTER 1330.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 8500-9100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14-22 MPH AFTER 1000.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1330.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........66%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8-9 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........16%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    WEST 6-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10200-11200 FT
                    AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RMA SEC 2 11.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

03/27-06 73  7  1 40 70 SSW  2  2 2 1 NNW 48   571   W 10  5042 P
03/27-07 75  6  1 43 65 SSW  3  3 2 1 NNW 45   903   W 13 11160 P
03/27-08 51  6  1 46 58  SW  5  5 3 1 NNW 41  1236   W 15 17279 P
03/27-09 50  4  1 48 54 WSW  6  6 3 1 NNW 38  1569   W 17 23397 P
03/27-10 49  4  1 51 48 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW 35  3257 WNW 16 43791  F
03/27-11 52  3  1 56 38   W  7  7 3 1  NW 31  4945 WNW 15 64186   G
03/27-12 52  3  1 60 32 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 28  6634  NW 15 84580   G
03/27-13 60  3  1 63 27 WNW  9  9 3 1  NW 30  7464  NW 16103670    V
03/27-14 60  4  1 65 25  NW 12 12 3 1  NW 32  8295  NW 17122760    V
03/27-15 63  4  1 67 23  NW 13 17 3 1 NNW 33  9125  NW 18141851    V
03/27-16 53  4  1 68 22  NW 13 17 3 1 NNW 36  8803  NW 17132202    V
03/27-17 49  4  1 68 23  NW 12 16 3 1 NNW 37  8482  NW 16122554    V
03/27-18 39  0  0 65 27  NW 10 10 3 1 NNW 38  8160  NW 16112906    V
03/27-19 40  0  0 62 31 WNW  9  9 3 1 NNW 37  6660  NW 16 91450   G
03/27-20 40  0  0 57 39   W  9  9 3 1 NNW 36  5161  NW 15 69995   G
03/27-21 41  0  0 53 46   W  8  8 3 1 NNW 35  3661  NW 15 48539  F
03/27-22 41  0  0 51 51   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 32  2643 WNW 14 34559 P
03/27-23 41  0  0 49 56 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW 30  1626   W 14 20579 P
03/28-00 15  1  0 49 56  SW  7  7 3 1 NNW 29   608   W 13  6599 P
03/28-01 15  1  0 48 58  SW  7  7 3 1 NNW 28   588   W 13  6220 P
03/28-02 15  1  0 47 59  SW  8  8 3 1  NW 26   568   W 12  5840 P
03/28-03 16  1  0 45 63  SW  8  8 3 1  NW 25   548 WSW 12  5461 P
03/28-04 16  1  0 44 63 SSW  8  8 3 1  NW 25   546 WSW 10  5088 P
03/28-05 16  1  0 42 66 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 24   543 WSW 10  4716 P
03/28-06  2  0  0 42 65 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 24   541 WSW  9  4343 P
03/28-07  2  0  0 43 64 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 23   602 WSW  9  4838 P
03/28-08  2  0  0 46 59 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 22   664 WSW  9  5333 P
03/28-09  2  0  0 51 52 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 21   725 WSW  9  5827 P
03/28-10  2  0  0 58 39 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 20  3376   W 10 39401 P
03/28-11  2  0  0 64 30  SW  7  7 5 1 WNW 18  6027   W 13 72974   G
03/28-12 15  0  0 70 23  SW  7  7 5 1 WNW 17  8678   W 14106547    V
03/28-13 15  0  0 73 19 WSW  7  7 4 1 WNW 20  9617   W 15129549    V
03/28-14 15  0  0 75 17   W  8  8 4 1 WNW 22 10556   W 16152550     E
03/28-15 15  0  0 75 16   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 24 11495   W 17175551     E
03/28-16 15  0  0 75 16   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 30 11365   W 18179652     E
03/28-17 15  0  0 75 16   W  9  9 3 1 WNW 36 11235   W 18183753     E
03/28-18 14  2  0 73 17   W  9 14 3 1 WNW 41 11105   W 20187854     E
03/28-19 14  2  0 69 21   W  9  9 3 1 WNW 41  7916   W 17130588    V
03/28-20 14  2  0 63 29   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 41  4727 WSW 15 73323   G
03/28-21 14  2  0 58 37 WSW  8  8 3 1 WNW 41  1539 WSW 12 16057 P
03/28-22 14  2  0 55 43 WSW  8  8 3 1 WNW 44  1369 WSW 12 13604 P
03/28-23 14  2  0 53 48   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 46  1200   W 10 11151 P
03/29-00 31  1  0 52 50   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1030   W  9  8698 P
03/29-01 31  1  0 51 53   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1256 WNW 14 17391 P
03/29-02 31  1  0 50 55 NNW  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1482   N 18 26083 P
03/29-03 31  1  0 48 58   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 46  1708   N 23 34776 P
03/29-04 31  1  0 46 60   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 45  1718   N 22 32332 P
03/29-05 31  1  0 44 60   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  1729   N 20 29889 P
03/29-06 24  0  0 43 60   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  1739   N 18 27446 P
03/29-07 24  0  0 42 63   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2348 NNE 16 30677 P
03/29-08 24  0  0 43 62 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2957 NNE 14 33908 P
03/29-09 24  0  0 45 58 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  3566 NNE 12 37140 P
03/29-10 24  0  0 48 50 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  4025 NNW  8 26940 P
03/29-11 24  0  0 53 40  NE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  4484 WSW  5 16740 P
03/29-12 24  0  0 57 33  NE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  4944   CALM  6541 P
03/29-13 24  0  0 61 27 ENE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  5412  SW  3 15427 P
03/29-14 24  0  0 64 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 44  5881 WSW  5 24313 P
03/29-15 24  0  0 64 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 45  6349   W  6 33199 P
03/29-16 24  0  0 64 22   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 44  6431   W  6 35369 P
03/29-17 24  0  0 64 23 ESE  6  6 4 1 WNW 43  6512   W  7 37540 P
03/29-18 18  2  0 64 24 ESE  6  6 4 1 WNW 41  6593   W  7 39711 P
03/29-19 18  2  0 60 28  SE  6  6 4 1 WNW 38  4917 WSW  7 29646 P
03/29-20 18  2  0 55 35   S  5  5 4 1  NW 33  3240 SSW  7 19581 P
03/29-21 18  2  0 50 44   S  5  5 4 1  NW 29  1563   S  7  9516 P
03/29-22 18  2  0 48 50   S  5  5 4 1  NW 28  1243 SSW  7  7378 P
03/29-23 18  2  0 47 54 SSW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   923  SW  6  5240 P
03/30-00 11  0  0 47 56  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   603  SW  6  3101 P
03/30-01 11  0  0 46 57  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   570 WSW  7  3144 P
03/30-02 11  0  0 45 58  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   537 WSW  7  3186 P
03/30-03 11  0  0 43 60  SW  6  6 4 1   W 23   503   W  7  3228 P
03/30-04 11  0  0 42 60  SW  6  6 4 1   W 24   508   W  7  3261 P
03/30-05 11  0  0 41 59  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   512   W  7  3295 P
03/30-06 14  0  0 41 57  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   516   W  7  3328 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WHITEAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150327.RMASE.01/BOU




000
FNUS75 KBOU 271317
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR RMA SEC 2 11...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
717 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT ON MARCH 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FRONT RANGE URBAN CORRIDOR REMAINS UNDER A
RELATIVELY STRONG NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WITH MID- AND
HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS BEING CARRIED ALONG BY THIS FLOW. THROUGH THE
TODAY...AS THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE NORTHWESTERLY...CLOUDS
SHOULD GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE FRONT ALLOWING TEMPERATURES
TO STEADILY RISE TO LEVELS SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE
DAY. THIS WILL CAUSE SOME OF THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT TO MIX
DOWNWARD RESULTING IN GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS IN THE
AFTERNOON. TOWARDS EVENING...WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DIMINISH WITH
WINDS ESTABLISHING THEIR TYPICAL DRAINAGE PATTERN OVERNIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1300...
                    THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1700...
                    THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER 2000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........22%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTHWEST 8-13
                    MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH AFTER 1330.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 8500-9100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14-22 MPH AFTER 1000.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1330.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........66%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8-9 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........16%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    WEST 6-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10200-11200 FT
                    AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RMA SEC 2 11.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

03/27-06 73  7  1 40 70 SSW  2  2 2 1 NNW 48   571   W 10  5042 P
03/27-07 75  6  1 43 65 SSW  3  3 2 1 NNW 45   903   W 13 11160 P
03/27-08 51  6  1 46 58  SW  5  5 3 1 NNW 41  1236   W 15 17279 P
03/27-09 50  4  1 48 54 WSW  6  6 3 1 NNW 38  1569   W 17 23397 P
03/27-10 49  4  1 51 48 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW 35  3257 WNW 16 43791  F
03/27-11 52  3  1 56 38   W  7  7 3 1  NW 31  4945 WNW 15 64186   G
03/27-12 52  3  1 60 32 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 28  6634  NW 15 84580   G
03/27-13 60  3  1 63 27 WNW  9  9 3 1  NW 30  7464  NW 16103670    V
03/27-14 60  4  1 65 25  NW 12 12 3 1  NW 32  8295  NW 17122760    V
03/27-15 63  4  1 67 23  NW 13 17 3 1 NNW 33  9125  NW 18141851    V
03/27-16 53  4  1 68 22  NW 13 17 3 1 NNW 36  8803  NW 17132202    V
03/27-17 49  4  1 68 23  NW 12 16 3 1 NNW 37  8482  NW 16122554    V
03/27-18 39  0  0 65 27  NW 10 10 3 1 NNW 38  8160  NW 16112906    V
03/27-19 40  0  0 62 31 WNW  9  9 3 1 NNW 37  6660  NW 16 91450   G
03/27-20 40  0  0 57 39   W  9  9 3 1 NNW 36  5161  NW 15 69995   G
03/27-21 41  0  0 53 46   W  8  8 3 1 NNW 35  3661  NW 15 48539  F
03/27-22 41  0  0 51 51   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 32  2643 WNW 14 34559 P
03/27-23 41  0  0 49 56 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW 30  1626   W 14 20579 P
03/28-00 15  1  0 49 56  SW  7  7 3 1 NNW 29   608   W 13  6599 P
03/28-01 15  1  0 48 58  SW  7  7 3 1 NNW 28   588   W 13  6220 P
03/28-02 15  1  0 47 59  SW  8  8 3 1  NW 26   568   W 12  5840 P
03/28-03 16  1  0 45 63  SW  8  8 3 1  NW 25   548 WSW 12  5461 P
03/28-04 16  1  0 44 63 SSW  8  8 3 1  NW 25   546 WSW 10  5088 P
03/28-05 16  1  0 42 66 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 24   543 WSW 10  4716 P
03/28-06  2  0  0 42 65 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 24   541 WSW  9  4343 P
03/28-07  2  0  0 43 64 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 23   602 WSW  9  4838 P
03/28-08  2  0  0 46 59 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 22   664 WSW  9  5333 P
03/28-09  2  0  0 51 52 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 21   725 WSW  9  5827 P
03/28-10  2  0  0 58 39 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 20  3376   W 10 39401 P
03/28-11  2  0  0 64 30  SW  7  7 5 1 WNW 18  6027   W 13 72974   G
03/28-12 15  0  0 70 23  SW  7  7 5 1 WNW 17  8678   W 14106547    V
03/28-13 15  0  0 73 19 WSW  7  7 4 1 WNW 20  9617   W 15129549    V
03/28-14 15  0  0 75 17   W  8  8 4 1 WNW 22 10556   W 16152550     E
03/28-15 15  0  0 75 16   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 24 11495   W 17175551     E
03/28-16 15  0  0 75 16   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 30 11365   W 18179652     E
03/28-17 15  0  0 75 16   W  9  9 3 1 WNW 36 11235   W 18183753     E
03/28-18 14  2  0 73 17   W  9 14 3 1 WNW 41 11105   W 20187854     E
03/28-19 14  2  0 69 21   W  9  9 3 1 WNW 41  7916   W 17130588    V
03/28-20 14  2  0 63 29   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 41  4727 WSW 15 73323   G
03/28-21 14  2  0 58 37 WSW  8  8 3 1 WNW 41  1539 WSW 12 16057 P
03/28-22 14  2  0 55 43 WSW  8  8 3 1 WNW 44  1369 WSW 12 13604 P
03/28-23 14  2  0 53 48   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 46  1200   W 10 11151 P
03/29-00 31  1  0 52 50   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1030   W  9  8698 P
03/29-01 31  1  0 51 53   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1256 WNW 14 17391 P
03/29-02 31  1  0 50 55 NNW  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1482   N 18 26083 P
03/29-03 31  1  0 48 58   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 46  1708   N 23 34776 P
03/29-04 31  1  0 46 60   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 45  1718   N 22 32332 P
03/29-05 31  1  0 44 60   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  1729   N 20 29889 P
03/29-06 24  0  0 43 60   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  1739   N 18 27446 P
03/29-07 24  0  0 42 63   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2348 NNE 16 30677 P
03/29-08 24  0  0 43 62 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2957 NNE 14 33908 P
03/29-09 24  0  0 45 58 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  3566 NNE 12 37140 P
03/29-10 24  0  0 48 50 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  4025 NNW  8 26940 P
03/29-11 24  0  0 53 40  NE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  4484 WSW  5 16740 P
03/29-12 24  0  0 57 33  NE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  4944   CALM  6541 P
03/29-13 24  0  0 61 27 ENE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  5412  SW  3 15427 P
03/29-14 24  0  0 64 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 44  5881 WSW  5 24313 P
03/29-15 24  0  0 64 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 45  6349   W  6 33199 P
03/29-16 24  0  0 64 22   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 44  6431   W  6 35369 P
03/29-17 24  0  0 64 23 ESE  6  6 4 1 WNW 43  6512   W  7 37540 P
03/29-18 18  2  0 64 24 ESE  6  6 4 1 WNW 41  6593   W  7 39711 P
03/29-19 18  2  0 60 28  SE  6  6 4 1 WNW 38  4917 WSW  7 29646 P
03/29-20 18  2  0 55 35   S  5  5 4 1  NW 33  3240 SSW  7 19581 P
03/29-21 18  2  0 50 44   S  5  5 4 1  NW 29  1563   S  7  9516 P
03/29-22 18  2  0 48 50   S  5  5 4 1  NW 28  1243 SSW  7  7378 P
03/29-23 18  2  0 47 54 SSW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   923  SW  6  5240 P
03/30-00 11  0  0 47 56  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   603  SW  6  3101 P
03/30-01 11  0  0 46 57  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   570 WSW  7  3144 P
03/30-02 11  0  0 45 58  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   537 WSW  7  3186 P
03/30-03 11  0  0 43 60  SW  6  6 4 1   W 23   503   W  7  3228 P
03/30-04 11  0  0 42 60  SW  6  6 4 1   W 24   508   W  7  3261 P
03/30-05 11  0  0 41 59  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   512   W  7  3295 P
03/30-06 14  0  0 41 57  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   516   W  7  3328 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WHITEAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150327.RMASE.01/BOU





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