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000
FNUS75 KBOU 162355
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR SWEDE...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
551 PM MDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MODERATE AND DRIER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER
THE FORECAST AREA IN THE WAKE OF WEDNESDAY EVENINGS WEATHER
DISTURBANCE. THIS WILL BRING A RETURN OF SUNSHINE TO THE BURN SITE
AND BETTER MIXING BY THURSDAY.  THE DAY WILL START OFF
WITH AN INVERSION...BUT BY AFTERNOON MIXING HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE WITH THE SUNSHINE AND THUS PROVIDE FAIR TO GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSION ESPECAILLY BY THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.  STRONGER HEATING
WILL OCCUR FRIDAY WITH VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSION.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........26%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7900-8900 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    GOOD.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........66%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1200-1400 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........22%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1300 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 11400-12400 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 20-30
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR SWEDE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  10KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

04/16-17 71 18  4 53 31  NE  9 14 2 1   W 36  7944   N  3 27706 P
04/16-18 91 18  4 51 33  NE  9 14 2 1   W 35  7328 NNE  3 22269 P
04/16-19 91 18  4 48 38  NE  8  8 2 1   W 32  6684  NE  3 22657 P
04/16-20 91 18  4 45 45 ENE  6  6 2 1   W 31  6040   E  5 23045 P
04/16-21 91 21  4 42 53 ENE  5  5 2 1   W 29  5397 ESE  5 23433 P
04/16-22 91 21  4 39 61   E  3  3 2 1   W 28  4802 ESE  6 23141 P
04/16-23 91 21  4 37 68  SE  3  3 2 1 WNW 28  4208  SE  7 22849 P
04/17-00 86 21  4 35 75   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 26  3613  SE  7 22556 P
04/17-01 86 19  4 34 79   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 28  3027 SSE  7 17957 P
04/17-02 86 17  3 34 80  SW  3  3 2 1 WNW 28  2440   S  6 13357 P
04/17-03 86 15  3 33 82 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 29  1853 SSW  6  8757 P
04/17-04 87 10  2 32 81 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 29  1681 SSW  5  7590 P
04/17-05 86 10  2 32 77   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  1508  SW  5  6422 P
04/17-06 79  7  1 33 72   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  1335  SW  5  5254 P
04/17-07 83  7  1 36 66  SW  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  2047  SW  5  7515 P
04/17-08 71  6  1 40 60   S  3  3 2 1  NW 28  2759   W  5  9775 P
04/17-09 67  5  1 44 53  SE  3  3 2 1  NW 28  3471   W  3 12036 P
04/17-10 62  6  1 48 45  SE  5  5 2 1  NW 29  4908   W  5 23095 P
04/17-11 59  5  1 52 37  SE  5  5 2 1  NW 29  6344   W  6 34155 P
04/17-12 55  5  1 55 32 SSE  6  6 2 1  NW 30  7781   W  7 45214  F
04/17-13 54  5  1 58 29 SSE  6  6 2 1  NW 30  8171   W  7 52135  F
04/17-14 52  5  1 60 27 SSE  6  6 2 1 WNW 30  8561 WSW  8 59056  F
04/17-15 48  5  1 61 26 SSE  6  6 2 1 WNW 30  8951  SW  8 65977   G
04/17-16 46  4  1 61 26 SSE  6  6 2 1 WNW 30  8354  SW  9 67887   G
04/17-17 47  4  1 59 28   S  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  7757 WSW 10 69798   G
04/17-18 46  1  0 59 28   S  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  7161 WSW 12 71709   G
04/17-19 46  1  0 56 33 SSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  5255 WSW  9 50360  F
04/17-20 46  1  0 53 39 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 29  3350 WSW  8 29010 P
04/17-21 46  1  0 50 48 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 29  1444 WSW  6  7661 P
04/17-22 46  1  0 47 52 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 29  1401 WSW  7  8888 P
04/17-23 46  1  0 45 52   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 30  1358 WSW  9 10116 P
04/18-00 21  0  0 43 53   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 30  1315 WSW 10 11344 P
04/18-01 21  0  0 41 57   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 30  1281 WSW  9 10692 P
04/18-02 21  0  0 40 59   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 29  1247   W  9 10039 P
04/18-03 21  0  0 39 62   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 29  1213   W  9  9387 P
04/18-04 21  0  0 37 66   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 26  1207   W  9  9405 P
04/18-05 21  0  0 37 65 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 24  1202   W  9  9423 P
04/18-06 21  0  0 38 62 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 22  1196   W  9  9441 P
04/18-07 21  0  0 42 53 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 22  1217 WSW  8  8933 P
04/18-08 21  0  0 48 44  SW  7  7 3 1   W 22  1239 WSW  8  8425 P
04/18-09 21  0  0 54 37  SW  7  7 3 1   W 22  1260  SW  7  7916 P
04/18-10 21  0  0 59 32 SSW  7  7 3 1   W 25  3681 WSW 12 55749  F
04/18-11 21  0  0 64 29   S  7  7 3 1   W 30  6101 WSW 16103581    V
04/18-12 38  3  1 68 26   S  7  7 3 1   W 35  8522 WSW 21151413     E
04/18-13 38  3  1 71 25   S  7  7 3 1   W 36 10146 WSW 22193355     E
04/18-14 38  3  1 73 24  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 37 11770 WSW 23235296     E
04/18-15 38  3  1 75 22  SW  7  7 4 1 WSW 38 13394 WSW 24277238     E
04/18-16 38  3  1 75 23 WSW  7  7 4 1 WSW 38 12024 WSW 25262851     E
04/18-17 38  3  1 74 23   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 37 10655 WSW 28248464     E
04/18-18 68  3  1 72 25 WNW  7  7 4 1 WSW 36  9285 WSW 29234078     E
04/18-19 68  3  1 68 28   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 36  6670 WSW 24162150     E
04/18-20 68 10  2 63 33   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 37  4054 WSW 20 90221   G
04/18-21 68 10  2 60 36   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 37  1439 WSW 15 18293 P
04/18-22 68 10  2 57 40   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 36  1307 WSW 14 15901 P
04/18-23 68 10  2 56 40 WSW  8  8 4 1   W 35  1176 WSW 13 13508 P
04/19-00 77 10  2 55 41 WSW  8  8 4 1   W 33  1045 WSW 13 11116 P
04/19-01 77 10  2 53 44 WSW  8  8 4 1   W 29  1097   W 13 11816 P
04/19-02 77 10  2 51 48 WSW  9  9 3 1   W 23  1149   W 13 12515 P
04/19-03 77 10  2 49 52   W  9  9 3 1   W 18  1201   W 13 13215 P
04/19-04 77 10  2 48 53   W  9  9 3 1   W 16  1219   W 10 11476 P
04/19-05 77 10  2 47 55   W  9  9 3 1   W 14  1238   W  9  9736 P
04/19-06 66 10  2 47 56   W  9  9 3 1   W 12  1256   W  7  7997 P
04/19-07 66 10  2 49 53   W  8  8 3 1   W 10  2054 WSW  7  9951 P
04/19-08 66 10  2 52 49 NNW  8  8 3 1   W 10  2852   S  6 11905 P
04/19-09 66 10  2 56 43   N  7  7 3 1   W 10  3650 SSE  5 13859 P
04/19-10 66 10  2 59 40   N  7  7 3 1   W  9  4898   S  5 21960 P
04/19-11 66 10  2 62 37  NE  6  6 3 1   W  7  6147 SSW  6 30060 P
04/19-12 72 23  5 64 35 ENE  6  6 3 3   W  6  7395 SSW  6 38160 P
04/19-13 72 23  5 65 35 ENE  6  6 3 3   W  6  8080 SSW  6 36461 P
04/19-14 72 23  5 65 35 ENE  6  6 3 3 WNW  7  8766 SSW  5 34762 P
04/19-15 72 23  5 64 36 ENE  6  6 3 3 WNW  7  9451 SSW  3 33064 P
04/19-16 72 23  5 63 38 ENE  7  7 3 3 WNW  9  8737 SSW  3 26545 P
04/19-17 72 23  5 62 39 ENE  7  7 3 3  NW 10  8024   S  2 20027 P
04/19-18 66 18  4 60 42 ENE  7  7 3 3  NW 13  7311 SSE  2 13509 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
10KFT WIND  - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...PAUL OSTROY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.SWEDE.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 162349
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR JOSEPHINE ROCHE...COUNTY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
545 PM MDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MODERATE AND DRIER NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL BE OVER
THE FORECAST AREA IN THE WAKE OF WEDNESDAY EVENINGS WEATHER
DISTURBANCE. THIS WILL BRING A RETURN OF SUNSHINE TO THE BURN SITE
AND BETTER MIXING BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  THE DAY WILL START OFF WITH
AN INVERSION...BUT BY AFTERNOON MIXING HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE WITH THE SUNSHINE AND THUS PROVIDE FAIR TO GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSION ESPECAILLY BY THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.  STRONGER HEATING
WILL OCCUR FRIDAY WITH VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSION.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL 0900...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........25%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 7300-8300 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1500...THEN GOOD.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........74%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........23%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 11300-12300 FT
                    AGL AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 15-25
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JOSEPHINE ROCHE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  10KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

04/16-17 69 10  2 53 31  NE  9 14 2 1   W 36  7863   N  6 42734  F
04/16-18 89 15  3 50 34  NE  9 14 2 1   W 35  7423 NNE  6 36354 P
04/16-19 89 15  3 48 39  NE  8  8 2 1   W 32  6871  NE  6 34669 P
04/16-20 89 15  3 45 46 ENE  7  7 2 1   W 31  6320   E  6 32984 P
04/16-21 89 18  4 42 55 ENE  6  6 2 1   W 29  5768   E  6 31299 P
04/16-22 89 18  4 39 64   E  5  5 2 1   W 28  5236 ESE  7 32014 P
04/16-23 89 18  4 38 69  SE  3  3 2 1 WNW 28  4704  SE  8 32729 P
04/17-00 84 17  3 36 75 SSE  3  3 2 1 WNW 26  4171  SE  9 33444 P
04/17-01 84 16  3 35 78 SSE  3  3 2 1 WNW 28  3448 SSE  9 26867 P
04/17-02 84 10  2 34 80   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 28  2724 SSE  8 20289 P
04/17-03 84 10  2 33 82   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 29  2001   S  8 13712 P
04/17-04 86 10  2 32 82 SSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 29  1683   S  7 11068 P
04/17-05 84  9  2 32 79 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  1365 SSW  7  8424 P
04/17-06 72  7  1 33 75   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  1048 SSW  7  5779 P
04/17-07 84  7  1 36 69  SW  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  1625 SSW  5  5630 P
04/17-08 66  6  1 40 62 SSE  3  3 2 1  NW 28  2202  SW  3  5480 P
04/17-09 64  5  1 44 55 ESE  3  3 2 1  NW 28  2779  SW  2  5331 P
04/17-10 62  6  1 48 46  SE  3  3 2 1  NW 28  4269 WSW  3 14021 P
04/17-11 58  5  1 53 37  SE  5  5 2 1  NW 29  5758 WSW  5 22712 P
04/17-12 55  5  1 56 31  SE  5  5 2 1  NW 29  7247   W  5 31402 P
04/17-13 54  5  1 59 28 SSE  5  5 2 1  NW 29  7617 WSW  6 38616 P
04/17-14 52  5  1 60 27 SSE  6  6 2 1 WNW 29  7987  SW  7 45830  F
04/17-15 49  5  1 61 26 SSE  6  6 2 1 WNW 29  8357  SW  7 53044  F
04/17-16 46  4  1 62 25 SSE  6  6 2 1 WNW 29  7998  SW  8 56690  F
04/17-17 46  4  1 62 25 SSE  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  7639  SW  9 60335   G
04/17-18 45  1  0 62 25 SSE  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  7280 WSW 10 63980   G
04/17-19 45  1  0 59 30   S  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  5444  SW  9 46503  F
04/17-20 45  1  0 55 37  SW  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  3607  SW  9 29026 P
04/17-21 45  1  0 51 46 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  1771  SW  8 11549 P
04/17-22 45  1  0 47 52 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 29  1440  SW  8  9489 P
04/17-23 45  1  0 45 54 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 30  1108  SW  8  7430 P
04/18-00 21  0  0 43 55 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 30   776 WSW  8  5370 P
04/18-01 21  0  0 41 59 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 30   743 WSW  7  4805 P
04/18-02 21  0  0 39 64 WSW  6  6 3 1 WNW 30   710 WSW  7  4239 P
04/18-03 21  0  0 37 70 WSW  6  6 3 1 WNW 30   677 WSW  6  3673 P
04/18-04 21  0  0 35 74 WSW  6  6 3 1 WNW 28   674 WSW  7  3756 P
04/18-05 21  0  0 35 73 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 25   671 WSW  7  3838 P
04/18-06 21  0  0 37 67 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 24   668 WSW  7  3921 P
04/18-07 21  0  0 41 57 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 23   775 WSW  7  4692 P
04/18-08 21  0  0 47 46  SW  7  7 3 1   W 22   882  SW  7  5463 P
04/18-09 21  0  0 53 38 SSW  7  7 3 1   W 21   989  SW  7  6234 P
04/18-10 21  0  0 60 31 SSW  7  7 3 1   W 24  2799  SW 10 36359 P
04/18-11 21  0  0 65 27   S  7  7 4 1   W 28  4610 WSW 14 66485   G
04/18-12 35  3  1 70 24   S  7  7 4 1   W 31  6420 WSW 17 96610   G
04/18-13 35  3  1 73 23   S  7  7 4 1   W 33  8525 WSW 20148742    V
04/18-14 35  3  1 75 23 SSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 36 10629 WSW 21200873     E
04/18-15 35  3  1 76 23  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 38 12734 WSW 23253005     E
04/18-16 35  3  1 76 23  SW  7  7 3 1 WSW 37 11800 WSW 25251802     E
04/18-17 35  3  1 75 24 WSW  7  7 4 1 WSW 36 10866 WSW 26250599     E
04/18-18 67  3  1 73 25   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 35  9933 WSW 29249397     E
04/18-19 67  3  1 69 28   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 35  7150 WSW 25174472     E
04/18-20 67 10  2 65 32   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 35  4367 WSW 22 99548   G
04/18-21 67 10  2 60 38   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 36  1584 WSW 18 24623 P
04/18-22 67 10  2 57 41   W  7  7 4 1 WSW 35  1340 WSW 17 20233 P
04/18-23 67 10  2 55 44 WSW  7  7 4 1   W 33  1097 WSW 16 15843 P
04/19-00 76 10  2 53 46 WSW  7  7 4 1   W 32   854   W 15 11453 P
04/19-01 76 10  2 52 48 WSW  7  7 4 1   W 28   804   W 14  9714 P
04/19-02 76 10  2 50 52   W  8  8 4 1   W 23   753   W 12  7975 P
04/19-03 76 10  2 48 56   W  8  8 4 1   W 18   702   W 10  6236 P
04/19-04 76 10  2 46 60   W  8  8 4 1   W 17   701   W  8  4981 P
04/19-05 76 10  2 45 62   W  8  8 3 1   W 15   700   W  6  3727 P
04/19-06 65  9  2 45 63   W  8  8 3 1   W 14   700   W  5  2472 P
04/19-07 65  9  2 47 59 WNW  8  8 3 1   W 13  1535 WSW  5  6156 P
04/19-08 65  9  2 50 53 NNW  7  7 3 1   W 12  2371 SSE  5  9840 P
04/19-09 65  9  2 54 47   N  7  7 3 1   W 12  3207 ESE  5 13524 P
04/19-10 65  9  2 58 41 NNE  7  7 3 1   W  9  4062  SE  5 18572 P
04/19-11 65  9  2 62 37 ENE  6  6 3 1   W  8  4916   S  6 23620 P
04/19-12 71 23  5 64 35   E  6  6 3 3   W  6  5771   S  6 28669 P
04/19-13 71 23  5 66 34   E  6  6 3 3   W  6  6807   S  6 29963 P
04/19-14 71 23  5 66 34   E  6  6 3 3   W  7  7842 SSW  5 31258 P
04/19-15 71 23  5 66 35 ENE  7  7 3 3 WNW  7  8877 SSW  5 32552 P
04/19-16 71 23  5 65 36 ENE  7  7 3 3 WNW  8  8431   S  3 26463 P
04/19-17 71 23  5 63 39 ENE  8  8 3 3  NW 10  7985   S  2 20374 P
04/19-18 63 18  4 61 42 ENE  8  8 3 3  NW 13  7539 SSE  2 14285 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
10KFT WIND  - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BARJENBRUCH
REQUESTED BY...PAUL OSTROY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.JOSEP.01/BOU





000
FNUS75 KBOU 151506
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR JUNCTION BUTTE...CRAIG DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
905 AM MDT TUE APR 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0905 MDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE NEXT WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION LATE TONGIHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH ON WEDNESDAY FOR MAINLY RAIN
SHOWERS. THE BRUNT OF THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL BE SOUTH OF THE BURN
AREA SO NO SIGNIFICANT SNOW IS EXPECTED. COOLER ON WEDNESDAY WITH
HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........21%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 9-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2900 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 6500-7500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST
                    20-25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.
MAX HUMIDITY........74%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8-13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7600 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1400-2200 FT AGL
                    AFTER 2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-30 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000. POOR AFTER 2400.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........30%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    WEST 8-9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4100 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 8800-9800 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700...THEN FAIR UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    1700...THEN GOOD.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR JUNCTION BUTTE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  10KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

04/15-08 30  0  0 29 51  SW  5  5 2 1 WNW 43  3377 SSW 10 46557  F
04/15-09 30  0  0 37 40  SW  6  6 2 1 WNW 43  4350  SW 13 66622   G
04/15-10 30  0  0 44 32  SW  8 13 2 1 WNW 43  5323 WSW 15 86686   G
04/15-11 30  0  0 50 26 WSW 12 18 2 1   W 44  6297   W 17106751    V
04/15-12 47  0  0 54 23 WSW 14 22 2 1   W 44  7270   W 20126816    V
04/15-13 47  0  0 57 21 WSW 15 24 2 1   W 45  7324   W 22136933    V
04/15-14 47  0  0 58 21 WSW 16 25 2 1   W 46  7378   W 23147050    V
04/15-15 47  0  0 58 21 WSW 16 25 2 1   W 48  7432   W 24157167     E
04/15-16 47  0  0 58 21 WSW 16 26 2 1   W 49  7486   W 25167284     E
04/15-17 47  0  0 57 22 WSW 16 25 2 1   W 51  7540 WSW 26177401     E
04/15-18 53 11  2 54 25 WSW 15 24 2 1   W 52  7594 WSW 29187518     E
04/15-19 53 11  2 51 28 WSW 14 22 2 1   W 54  6561 WSW 25158252     E
04/15-20 53 11  2 46 34  SW 12 18 2 1   W 56  5528 WSW 22128986    V
04/15-21 53 11  2 42 39  SW 10 16 3 1   W 59  4495 WSW 20 99719   G
04/15-22 53 11  2 40 42 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 60  3462 WSW 16 70453   G
04/15-23 53 11  2 38 45 WSW 10 16 3 1   W 62  2429 WSW 13 41187  F
04/16-00 78 10  2 36 50   W 10 16 3 1   W 64  1396 WSW 10 11920 P
04/16-01 78 10  2 35 54   W 10 16 3 1   W 63  1420 WSW  9 11054 P
04/16-02 78 10  2 34 59   W  9 16 3 1   W 62  1444 WSW  8 10188 P
04/16-03 78 10  2 32 66   W  9 15 3 1   W 60  1469   W  7  9322 P
04/16-04 78 10  2 30 70   W  8 14 3 1   W 59  1846   W  9 15548 P
04/16-05 78 10  2 28 74   W  8  8 2 1   W 56  2223   W 10 21773 P
04/16-06 67  6  1 28 71   W  7  7 2 1   W 55  2600   W 13 27999 P
04/16-07 67  6  1 31 63   W  7  7 2 1   W 48  3611   W 14 44099  F
04/16-08 67  6  1 35 54   W  7  7 2 1   W 43  4622   W 15 60199   G
04/16-09 67  6  1 39 48   W  7  7 2 1   W 37  5632   W 16 76299   G
04/16-10 67  6  1 42 41   W  7  7 2 1   W 35  6863   W 17102529    V
04/16-11 67  6  1 45 36   W  8  8 2 1   W 32  8094   W 18128758    V
04/16-12 82 29  8 47 32   W  8  8 2 1   W 30  9325   W 20154987     E
04/16-13 82 29  8 49 30   W  9  9 2 1   W 29  9576   W 17145043    V
04/16-14 82 29  8 49 30 WNW 10 10 2 1   W 28  9827   W 16135099    V
04/16-15 82 29  8 48 31 WNW 10 10 2 1   W 26 10079   W 14125155    V
04/16-16 82 29  8 47 32 WNW  9  9 2 1   W 24  9258 WNW 13103722    V
04/16-17 82 29  8 45 36  NW  8  8 2 1   W 22  8437 WNW 10 82288   G
04/16-18 95 48 24 42 41  NW  7  7 2 1   W 20  7616  NW  9 60854   G
04/16-19 95 48 24 40 46  NW  6  6 2 1   W 20  6859  NW  7 46268  F
04/16-20 95 48 24 39 50   W  5  5 2 1   W 21  6103  NW  6 31683 P
04/16-21 95 48 24 37 54   W  3  3 2 1   W 21  5346  NW  3 17097 P
04/16-22 95 48 24 36 56   W  3  3 2 1   W 20  4772 WNW  3 14748 P
04/16-23 95 48 24 34 58 WSW  5  5 2 1   W 20  4197   W  3 12398 P
04/17-00 88 42 19 33 61 WSW  5  5 2 1   W 20  3623 WSW  3 10049 P
04/17-01 88 42 19 31 66 WSW  3  3 2 1   W 22  3441 WSW  3 10737 P
04/17-02 88 42 19 30 69  SW  3  3 2 1   W 23  3258 WSW  5 11426 P
04/17-03 88 42 19 29 72  SW  2  2 2 1   W 25  3076 WSW  5 12114 P
04/17-04 88 42 19 27 74  SW  2  2 2 1   W 29  2867 WSW  5 11805 P
04/17-05 88 42 19 26 78  SW  2  2 2 1 WNW 32  2657 WSW  5 11496 P
04/17-06 73 17  3 26 74 WSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 36  2448 WSW  6 11187 P
04/17-07 73 17  3 29 66 WSW  5  5 2 1 WNW 38  3858 WSW  8 34085 P
04/17-08 73 17  3 33 58 WSW  6  6 2 1  NW 39  5267   W 10 56983  F
04/17-09 73 17  3 37 50   W  7  7 2 1  NW 40  6676   W 14 79881   G
04/17-10 73 17  3 40 44   W  7  7 2 1  NW 41  6881   W 14 83042   G
04/17-11 73 17  3 43 39   W  7  7 2 1  NW 43  7087   W 14 86203   G
04/17-12 59 10  2 45 36   W  7  7 2 1  NW 43  7292   W 14 89364   G
04/17-13 59 10  2 48 33   W  8  8 2 1  NW 44  7491   W 14 92147   G
04/17-14 59 10  2 50 30   W  9  9 2 1  NW 45  7689   W 14 94930   G
04/17-15 59 10  2 51 29   W 10 10 2 1  NW 46  7888   W 14 97714   G
04/17-16 59 10  2 51 29   W 10 10 2 1  NW 47  7497   W 14 88652   G
04/17-17 59 10  2 49 30   W  9  9 2 1  NW 47  7107   W 13 79589   G
04/17-18 53  5  1 47 32   W  8  8 2 1 WNW 48  6717   W 12 70527   G
04/17-19 53  5  1 45 35 WSW  7  7 2 1 WNW 45  5266 WSW 10 52265  F
04/17-20 53  5  1 43 39  SW  5  5 2 1 WNW 43  3814  SW  9 34004 P
04/17-21 53  5  1 41 42 SSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 40  2363 SSW  8 15742 P
04/17-22 53  5  1 38 48 SSW  3  3 2 1 WNW 39  1969 SSW  6 11531 P
04/17-23 53  5  1 35 52   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 39  1575 SSE  5  7320 P
04/18-00 27  0  0 33 56   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 38  1180  SE  3  3109 P
04/18-01 27  0  0 32 58   S  3  3 2 1 WNW 37  1177  SE  3  3014 P
04/18-02 27  0  0 31 58   S  3  3 2 1   W 36  1174 SSE  2  2919 P
04/18-03 27  0  0 29 63   S  5  5 2 1   W 36  1171 SSE  2  2823 P
04/18-04 27  0  0 27 68 SSW  5  5 2 1   W 36  1176 SSE  2  2940 P
04/18-05 27  0  0 25 74 SSW  6  6 3 1   W 36  1181 SSE  3  3057 P
04/18-06 27  1  0 25 74 SSW  6  6 3 1   W 36  1187 SSE  3  3173 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
10KFT WIND  - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN THOMPSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140416.JUNCT.01/BOU





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