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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 301139
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
539 AM MDT SAT AUG 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON AUGUST 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOOK FOR INCREASING CLOUDS THIS MORNING WITH A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
AROUND THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15
MPH WILL PREVAIL MUCH OF THE DAY...BUT THERE IS A SURFACE FRONT
THAT WILL COME THROUGH SHERIDAN COUNTY IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON
TURNING THE WINDS MORE NORTHERLY. HOWEVER...I EXPECT WINDS TO
REMAIN MAINLY WESTERLY AT THE BURN SITE DUE TO THE ELEVATION. THE
BEST CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS 3-6 PM THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE CHANCE OF LIGHTNING PICKING UP AT THAT TIME AS WELL. VERY
GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL INCREASE SOME AND TURN NORTHWESTERLY BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. BT

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THIS
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......VARIABLE LIGHT WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS
                    5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...TURNING NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH
                    BY MIDDAY. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST TURNING NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...MARVIN MATTHIESEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140830.BEAVE.01/BYZ




000
FNUS75 KBYZ 301139
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
539 AM MDT SAT AUG 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON AUGUST 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOOK FOR INCREASING CLOUDS THIS MORNING WITH A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS
AROUND THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15
MPH WILL PREVAIL MUCH OF THE DAY...BUT THERE IS A SURFACE FRONT
THAT WILL COME THROUGH SHERIDAN COUNTY IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON
TURNING THE WINDS MORE NORTHERLY. HOWEVER...I EXPECT WINDS TO
REMAIN MAINLY WESTERLY AT THE BURN SITE DUE TO THE ELEVATION. THE
BEST CHANCE OF MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION IS 3-6 PM THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE CHANCE OF LIGHTNING PICKING UP AT THAT TIME AS WELL. VERY
GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL INCREASE SOME AND TURN NORTHWESTERLY BY MIDDAY SUNDAY. BT

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THIS
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......VARIABLE LIGHT WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS
                    5 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH...TURNING NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH
                    BY MIDDAY. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST TURNING NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...MARVIN MATTHIESEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140830.BEAVE.01/BYZ





000
FNUS75 KBYZ 291204
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
604 AM MDT FRI AUG 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON AUGUST 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE JUST A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS EARLY TODAY AROUND THE FIRE SITE.
SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY BY MIDDAY WITH JUST A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE
OF A LIGHT SHOWER THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT COOLER THAN
YESTERDAY. RECOVERIES TONIGHT SHOULD BE GOOD. LOOK FOR WINDS TO PICK UP A BIT
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES IN. GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY  IN THE EVENING OVER THE FIRE
SITE. BT

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE
                    PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SPRINKLE POSSIBLE AFTER 1 PM.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO STRIKES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY WITH A GUST TO 17 MPH. TURNING
                    WESTERLY 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO STRIKES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE
                    BEFORE NOON...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................32 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WESTERLY EARLY 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...JOE BOCEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140829.BEAVE.01/BYZ




000
FNUS75 KBYZ 291204
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
604 AM MDT FRI AUG 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON AUGUST 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE WILL BE JUST A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS EARLY TODAY AROUND THE FIRE SITE.
SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY BY MIDDAY WITH JUST A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE
OF A LIGHT SHOWER THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A BIT COOLER THAN
YESTERDAY. RECOVERIES TONIGHT SHOULD BE GOOD. LOOK FOR WINDS TO PICK UP A BIT
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY AS WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES IN. GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR A
THUNDERSTORM SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY  IN THE EVENING OVER THE FIRE
SITE. BT

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS EARLY THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE
                    PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SPRINKLE POSSIBLE AFTER 1 PM.
CWR.................9 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO STRIKES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY WITH A GUST TO 17 MPH. TURNING
                    WESTERLY 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO STRIKES.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS.
 RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE
                    BEFORE NOON...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................32 PERCENT.
LAL.................3...9 TO 15 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WESTERLY EARLY 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3.

$$
FORECASTER...TESAR
REQUESTED BY...JOE BOCEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140829.BEAVE.01/BYZ





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