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000
FNUS71 KCTP 271141
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR RXB CCSP...DCNR BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
741 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA WILL RIDGE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...BRINGING A DRIER AND COOLER
AIRMASS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIND SPEEDS
TODAY WILL BE MAINLY UNDER 10 MPH. PERIODS OF RAIN ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS MAY LINGER
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE AREAS MOVES EAST OUT
OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 1 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............70  67  66  63  62  63  61  63
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51  53  56  58  61  63  65  65
RH..................56  52  49  45  42  41  40  41
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....            5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.3 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   E   SE  S   SE  E   NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   3   3   3   3   2   1   1
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-900 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............48  50  44  43  41  40  46  57  63  65  75  77
WEATHER COV.........        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  62  59  56  54  51  50  50  49  48  47  45
RH..................45  48  55  59  64  68  68  68  71  71  74  76
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.3 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   NE  NE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   3   5   5   3   2   1   1   1   3   7   10
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1300 FT AGL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............82  93  98  98  98  98  98  98  100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................44  44  46  48  50  52  53  55  56  57  58  57
RH..................79  79  71  68  63  61  59  57  57  55  55  57
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                                        5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.3 M   M   M
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   M   M   M
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  12  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   M   M   M
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...RICK MEINTEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160427.RXBCC.02/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 271059
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-09 RX...PA ARMY NATIONAL GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
659 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA WILL RIDGE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...BRINGING A DRIER AND COOLER
AIRMASS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIND SPEEDS
TODAY WILL BE MAINLY UNDER 10 MPH. PERIODS OF RAIN ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS MAY LINGER
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE AREAS MOVES EAST OUT
OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 1 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............74  72  71  70  69  68  61  60
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................51  53  55  56  58  59  60  60
RH..................56  52  49  49  45  44  44  44
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   6   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....    10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  E   E   NE  N   NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   5   3   3   2   1   1   1
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 2 TO 5
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............45  44  38  36  31  28  34  45  50  50  56  56
WEATHER COV.........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59  58  56  54  53  51  50  49  49  48  47  46
RH..................45  49  55  57  57  59  61  63  63  63  65  68
20 FT WIND DIR......W   SW  S   S   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....    5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   SW  SW  SW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   5
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3300 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............65  82  91  91  91  91  91  91  100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................44  44  46  47  49  50  52  53  54  54  55  54
RH..................73  73  65  65  63  61  59  57  57  57  57  59
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.3 M   M   M
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   SE  M   M   M
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   7   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   M   M   M
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...TIM HAYDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160427.C09RX.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 271058
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL075 HO OXBOW...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
658 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA WILL RIDGE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...BRINGING A DRIER AND COOLER
AIRMASS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY AND TONIGHT. WIND SPEEDS
TODAY WILL BE MAINLY UNDER 10 MPH. PERIODS OF RAIN ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS MAY LINGER
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE AREAS MOVES EAST OUT
OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200-4900 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............21  15  20  19  18  18  19  19
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................45  48  51  53  56  58  59  59
RH..................51  46  41  38  34  33  32  33
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.2 2.7 3.2 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.8 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   3   2   2   2   3   5   6
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   3   4   5   5   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 900-2100 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 9 TO 13
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............11  14  15  15  15  15  19  28  33  36  46  48
WEATHER COV.........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................58  55  52  50  47  45  44  43  43  42  40  39
RH..................34  40  44  48  56  60  62  62  62  65  67  70
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.8 4.5 4.0 3.1 2.1 1.3 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   3   3   6   9   12  13  13  12  10  10  9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   3   3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2500 FT AGL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............58  77  86  86  86  86  86  86  100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................38  37  40  42  44  46  48  49  51  52  53  52
RH..................73  72  64  62  57  55  54  52  50  50  48  52
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                                5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.1 M   M   M
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   M   M   M
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   8   7   7   6   6   5   5   3   M   M   M
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...TOM SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160427.SGL07.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 270839
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 100...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
439 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA WILL RIDGE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...BRINGING A DRIER AND COOLER
AIRMASS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS FROM THE
NORTHEAST TODAY WILL BE MAINLY UNDER 10 MPH. PERIODS OF RAIN
ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS MAY LINGER
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE AREAS MOVES EAST OUT
OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700-4400 FT
                    AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............50  41  36  36  35  34  34  30  30
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................42  46  49  51  53  55  57  59  59
RH..................57  49  44  41  38  35  33  30  30
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  NE  N   NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   5   3   2   1   1   2   3   5
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............21  24  24  24  24  24  25  39  46  49  59  62
WEATHER COV.........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................58  56  54  52  49  47  46  45  45  44  42  41
RH..................34  38  43  48  54  60  63  62  62  65  67  70
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....    5   5   5                               10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.4 4.1 3.5 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   2   1   1   2   3   6   8   10  10  9   8
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1800 FT AGL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............71  90  99  99  99  99  99  99  100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  39  42  43  45  47  49  50  51  52  53  52
RH..................73  73  65  65  62  60  58  58  59  56  57  61
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.6 M   M   M
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   M   M   M
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   8   8   8   7   7   7   8   8   M   M   M
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...BEN JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160427.SGL10.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 270839
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 100...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
439 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA WILL RIDGE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...BRINGING A DRIER AND COOLER
AIRMASS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS FROM THE
NORTHEAST TODAY WILL BE MAINLY UNDER 10 MPH. PERIODS OF RAIN
ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS MAY LINGER
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE AREAS MOVES EAST OUT
OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700-4400 FT
                    AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............50  41  36  36  35  34  34  30  30
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................42  46  49  51  53  55  57  59  59
RH..................57  49  44  41  38  35  33  30  30
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.2 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  NE  N   NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   5   3   2   1   1   2   3   5
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............21  24  24  24  24  24  25  39  46  49  59  62
WEATHER COV.........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................58  56  54  52  49  47  46  45  45  44  42  41
RH..................34  38  43  48  54  60  63  62  62  65  67  70
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....    5   5   5                               10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.4 4.1 3.5 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   2   1   1   2   3   6   8   10  10  9   8
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1800 FT AGL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 8 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............71  90  99  99  99  99  99  99  100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  39  42  43  45  47  49  50  51  52  53  52
RH..................73  73  65  65  62  60  58  58  59  56  57  61
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.6 M   M   M
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   M   M   M
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   8   8   8   7   7   7   8   8   M   M   M
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...BEN JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160427.SGL10.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 270838
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 087...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
438 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA WILL RIDGE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...BRINGING A DRIER AND COOLER
AIRMASS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS FROM THE
NORTHEAST TODAY WILL BE MAINLY UNDER 10 MPH. PERIODS OF RAIN
ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS MAY LINGER
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE AREAS MOVES EAST OUT
OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-4500 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 1 TO
                    5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............48  42  40  36  35  37  36  38
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................46  48  51  54  57  58  60  60
RH..................53  49  46  43  40  39  36  36
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   6   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.7 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.9 4.3 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   NE  NW  W   NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   5   3   2   1   2   3   5
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............30  35  33  32  32  32  35  45  50  53  63  65
WEATHER COV.........        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59  57  55  53  50  48  48  47  46  45  44  43
RH..................37  42  45  48  56  60  60  63  65  65  68  70
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   6   7   8   8   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....                10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.4 4.1 3.4 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   NE  E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   3   2   2   1   2   5   7   9   10  10  10
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1400 FT AGL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............74  92  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................41  41  43  45  46  48  49  50  51  52  53  52
RH..................76  73  67  65  65  63  63  63  63  63  64  69
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......12  12  12  12  12  10  10  10  9   9   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 M   M   M
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   M   M   M
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  12  12  12  13  13  14  14  15  M   M   M
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...CLIFF GUINDON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160427.SGL08.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 270837
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 042...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
437 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA WILL RIDGE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...BRINGING A DRIER AND COOLER
AIRMASS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS FROM THE
NORTHEAST TODAY WILL BE MAINLY UNDER 10 MPH. PERIODS OF RAIN
ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS MAY LINGER
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE AREAS MOVES EAST OUT
OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-4600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............76  73  71  68  66  63  52  49
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54  56  58  61  63  64  66  66
RH..................66  62  57  53  50  48  45  45
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10          5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.9 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.5 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   2   3   5   6   7   7
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-1500 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING EAST 3 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............38  46  45  45  44  43  51  67  75  76  84  85
WEATHER COV.........        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................65  63  60  58  56  54  54  53  52  52  51  50
RH..................46  48  53  57  64  69  69  71  74  74  77  80
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5                   10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.4 4.1 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  N   N   NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   3   2   2   3   5   5   5   6   7   8   10
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1800 FT AGL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 18 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............90  99  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................48  48  50  52  54  56  57  58  59  60  61  60
RH..................86  89  83  77  71  66  64  64  62  60  58  60
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 M   M   M
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  M   M   M
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  15  17  18  18  18  18  18  18  M   M   M
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...ITLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160427.SGL04.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 270837
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 042...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
437 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA WILL RIDGE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...BRINGING A DRIER AND COOLER
AIRMASS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS FROM THE
NORTHEAST TODAY WILL BE MAINLY UNDER 10 MPH. PERIODS OF RAIN
ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS MAY LINGER
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE AREAS MOVES EAST OUT
OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3400-4600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............76  73  71  68  66  63  52  49
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................54  56  58  61  63  64  66  66
RH..................66  62  57  53  50  48  45  45
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10          5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.9 2.4 2.9 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.5 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   2   3   5   6   7   7
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500-1500 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING EAST 3 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............38  46  45  45  44  43  51  67  75  76  84  85
WEATHER COV.........        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................65  63  60  58  56  54  54  53  52  52  51  50
RH..................46  48  53  57  64  69  69  71  74  74  77  80
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5                   10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.4 4.1 3.5 2.5 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  N   N   NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   3   2   2   3   5   5   5   6   7   8   10
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1800 FT AGL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 18 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............90  99  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................48  48  50  52  54  56  57  58  59  60  61  60
RH..................86  89  83  77  71  66  64  64  62  60  58  60
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 M   M   M
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  M   M   M
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  15  17  18  18  18  18  18  18  M   M   M
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...ITLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160427.SGL04.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 270836
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 169 UNITS 3-7...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
436 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2040 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA WILL RIDGE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...BRINGING A DRIER AND COOLER
AIRMASS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS FROM THE
NORTHEAST TODAY WILL BE MAINLY UNDER 10 MPH. PERIODS OF RAIN
ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS MAY LINGER
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE AREAS MOVES EAST OUT
OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING EAST 1 TO 2
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............98  94  91  87  83  81  80  78  77  77  72  72
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47  47  48  50  51  53  55  57  59  61  62  62
RH..................74  71  65  63  61  59  55  53  51  48  48  48
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   7   7   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10              5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  12  10  8   7   5   3   2   2   1   1   1
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 0 TO
                    3 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............57  58  53  50  44  41  48  61  68  67  70  69
WEATHER COV.........        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................61  59  57  55  53  51  50  49  49  48  47  46
RH..................51  55  62  64  66  68  71  71  71  74  74  76
20 FT WIND DIR......E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  S   SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  N   NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   3   3   2   1   0   0   1   3   7   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 10 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............76  90  97  97  97  97  97  97  100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................44  44  46  48  50  52  53  54  55  56  57  56
RH..................82  79  73  71  66  63  61  61  59  59  57  62
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                                        5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 M   M   M
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   M   M   M
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   8   M   M   M
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...BRENT MCNEAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160427.SGL16.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 270836
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 169 UNITS 3-7...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
436 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2040 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER SOUTH-CENTRAL CANADA WILL RIDGE SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES TODAY...BRINGING A DRIER AND COOLER
AIRMASS ACROSS THE DISTRICT TODAY AND TONIGHT. WINDS FROM THE
NORTHEAST TODAY WILL BE MAINLY UNDER 10 MPH. PERIODS OF RAIN
ARE EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...AND OCCASIONAL SHOWERS MAY LINGER
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A PAIR OF LOW PRESSURE AREAS MOVES EAST OUT
OF THE OHIO VALLEY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING EAST 1 TO 2
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............98  94  91  87  83  81  80  78  77  77  72  72
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47  47  48  50  51  53  55  57  59  61  62  62
RH..................74  71  65  63  61  59  55  53  51  48  48  48
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   7   7   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10              5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  12  10  8   7   5   3   2   2   1   1   1
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 0 TO
                    3 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............57  58  53  50  44  41  48  61  68  67  70  69
WEATHER COV.........        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................61  59  57  55  53  51  50  49  49  48  47  46
RH..................51  55  62  64  66  68  71  71  71  74  74  76
20 FT WIND DIR......E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.5 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....E   E   SE  S   SW  W   W   W   NW  NW  N   NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   3   3   2   1   0   0   1   3   7   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1800 FT AGL UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 10 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............76  90  97  97  97  97  97  97  100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................44  44  46  48  50  52  53  54  55  56  57  56
RH..................82  79  73  71  66  63  61  61  59  59  57  62
20 FT WIND DIR......E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....                                        5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 M   M   M
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   M   M   M
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   8   M   M   M
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...BRENT MCNEAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160427.SGL16.01/CTP





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