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000
FNUS71 KCTP 231023
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR DEN FIRE...DCNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
623 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0610 EDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND MUCH COOLER AIR WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE
REQUEST AREA TODAY. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.

THE COMBINATION OF THE GUSTY WINDS...RELATIVELY DRY FINE
FUELS...AND AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVELY HUMIDITY OF 30 TO 35
PERCENT TODAY WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR WILDFIRE GROWTH.

FINE FUELS WILL BE DRIER...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY A BIT LOWER
ON THURSDAY...THOUGH WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER.

THE NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY WITH AN INCREASE IN
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AND A HIGH CHANCE FOR SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 18 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    35 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............70  76  76  73  68  63  58  53  51  42  25  16
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................39  38  40  41  43  44  46  47  49  50  51  52
RH..................75  77  68  63  59  55  50  46  42  40  38  35
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......18  20  21  21  22  22  22  22  21  22  22  22
20 FT WIND GUST.....35  35  35  35  35  35  35  30  30  30  30  30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH...DIMINISHING TO 7 TO 10 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............16  17  17  16  16  15  15  15  7   7   7   7
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50  48  46  45  43  41  40  38  36  35  34  33
RH..................37  39  40  43  45  49  53  57  61  64  66  69
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......21  18  16  15  14  14  13  12  10  9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....30  25  25  20  20  20  15  15  15  15  10  10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............7   7   33  33  33  33  33  33  56  56  56  56
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................32  31  34  41  45  49  51  53  55  57  60  58
RH..................72  75  67  51  46  40  37  35  33  31  29  32
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   SW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...MCGUIRE  JAMES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140423.BEARD.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 222341
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 84...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
741 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION ON
THURSDAY...BRINGING MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND DRY WEATHER
WITH LIGHTER WINDS THAN WILL OCCUR ON WEDNESDAY. THE RELATIVE
HUMIDITY IS LIKELY TO FALL TO AROUND 25 PERCENT THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5200-5400 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 29 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO 31
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............2   2   11  11  11  11  11  11  36  36  36  36
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................33  32  37  40  44  47  49  51  53  55  57  55
RH..................68  69  57  50  43  37  33  31  28  26  23  25
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   SW
20 FT WIND SPD......9   9   10  10  13  14  14  15  15  14  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 1.3 1.8 2.6 3.4 4.1 4.5 4.8 5.0 5.3 5.4 5.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....20  21  23  26  29  31  31  29  28  28  26  25
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/FITZGERALD
REQUESTED BY...J  CASE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140424.SGL84.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 221744
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR DEN FIRE...DCNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
144 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1152 EDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE FIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...ACCOMPANIED
BY ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES POSSIBLE.
AT 140 PM...THIS LINE WAS LOCATED FROM NORTHERN JEFFERSON COUNTY WSW TO NORTHERN
BEAVER COUNTY...AND SHOULD REACH THE WILDFIRE AREA BETWEEN 330 PM AND 400 PM.
WINDS WILL GUST TO 20 TO 25 MPH BEHIND THE FRONT...AND WILL BE ERRATIC AND GUSTY
NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

WINDY AND DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN TO THE BEAR DEN FIRE AREA ON WEDNESDAY.
WINDS OF 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF
WEDNESDAY...WITH MINIMUM RH DROPPING INTO THE UPPER 20S FOR AT LEAST A PORTION
OF THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 400 PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65...THEN TEMPERATURES FALLING THROUGH THE 50S
                    BEHIND THE FRONT.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. WINDS GUSTING BETWEEN 20 AND 25 MPH AFTER 400 PM.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY TO MID
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............100 100 83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............SCH SCH
TEMP................64  63  63  62  61
RH..................56  55  54  54  53
20 FT WIND DIR......W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......9   10  13  14  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
                    SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............72  72  72  77  77  77  74  74  74  74  74  74
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH             SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW              RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59  57  54  52  50  48  46  44  41  40  39  38
RH..................55  58  61  62  64  67  68  70  72  73  75  77
20 FT WIND DIR......W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......15  14  14  14  14  14  14  15  15  15  15  16
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  25  25

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............74  74  66  66  66  66  66  66  56  56  56  56
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................38  38  38  41  43  45  47  49  51  54  54  53
RH..................76  75  74  63  57  52  48  44  39  35  36  37
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......16  16  17  17  18  18  18  18  18  17  17  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  25

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DEVOIR
REQUESTED BY...MCGUIRE  JAMES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140422.BEARD.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 220904
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR DEN FIRE...PA BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
504 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1723 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MARCH EAST ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
AND PRODUCE OCCASIONAL SHOWERS WITH MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL AVERAGE BETWEEN ONE TENTH...AND ONE-QUARTER
OF AN INCH. IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT...NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING
BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY ALONG
WITH DRY FINE FUELS AND LEAF LITTER TO PRODUCE AND ELEVATED THREAT
FOR WILDFIRE SPREAD ON WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL
RIDGE AND VALLEY REGION OF PENNSYLVANIA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1100...THEN 9-15 STRIKES UNTIL
                    1500...THEN NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3700-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO 26 TO 29 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............98  98  100 100 100 100 100 100 100 83  83  83
WEATHER COV.........        LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                    SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................54  55  56  59  61  64  64  64  63  63  62  61
RH..................63  62  65  61  58  58  57  56  55  54  54  53
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   10  13  14  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....            10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.4 1.5 2.8 4.1 4.8 5.2 5.3 4.9 4.3 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   3   5   8   12  16  20  22  24  26  28  29
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   6   6   5   4   2   1
HAINES INDEX........3   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
                    SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 28 TO 36 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............72  72  72  77  77  77  74  74  74  74  74  74
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH             SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW              RS  RS  RS  RS  RS  RS
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59  57  54  52  50  48  46  44  41  40  39  38
RH..................55  58  61  62  64  67  68  70  72  73  75  77
20 FT WIND DIR......W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......15  14  14  14  14  14  14  15  15  15  15  16
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.4 3.3 3.3 3.6 3.9 4.1 3.7 3.2 2.8 2.8 2.9 3.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....29  28  28  28  29  29  29  29  29  31  33  36
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-4400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000-5800 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 35 TO 39 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............74  74  66  66  66  66  66  66  56  56  56  56
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................38  38  38  41  43  45  47  49  51  51  51  51
RH..................76  75  74  63  57  52  48  44  40  40  40  40
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......16  16  17  17  18  18  18  18  18  17  17  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.9 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.4 5.0 5.5 5.8 5.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....38  39  39  39  38  37  36  35  35  35  36  36
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...LAMBERT
REQUESTED BY...TODD BREININGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140421.BEARD.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 211109
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR RNG 30   C-04 RX...PA ARMY NATIONAL GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
709 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GRADUALLY WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE SUSQ VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 2 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............23  23  23  24  24  24  24  24  24  25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  45  50  55  58  60  62  64  65  66
RH..................71  60  50  42  40  38  37  35  34  33
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......1   2   2   3   3   5   6   6   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....        5   5   5           10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.1 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....1   1   2   3   5   5   6   7   8   8
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............25  25  32  32  32  47  47  47  76  76  76  82
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  61  58  56  55  53  52  51  49  49  48  47
RH..................38  44  50  54  59  65  67  70  72  76  79  83
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10          5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   7   6   5   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 8 TO
                    13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 20
                    TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............82  82  90  90  90  90  90  90  87  87  87  87
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................48  49  50  54  57  61  62  63  64  64  64  64
RH..................82  82  81  74  68  62  62  62  62  60  59  57
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  12  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5       10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   6   6   7   9   12  15  20  23  24  23  23
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR
REQUESTED BY...TIM HAYDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.RNG30.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 211044
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR GORMAN SUMMIT RX...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
644 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GRADUALLY WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE SUSQ VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-6200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............25  25  25  34  34  34  34  34  34  37
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................45  50  56  62  64  66  69  70  71  71
RH..................70  59  50  42  40  38  36  34  33  31
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   5   5   6   6   6   7   8   8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.....5           10  10  10  10  10  10  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.5 4.8 5.8 6.2 6.2 6.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   6   7   8   8   8   8   9   10  12
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............37  37  67  67  67  80  80  80  91  91  91  97
WEATHER COV.........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................69  66  64  62  61  59  58  57  56  55  54  53
RH..................36  41  47  50  53  56  60  64  68  71  74  76
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   6   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10          10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......5.8 5.5 4.8 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  13  13  12  9   8   7   6   6   6   7   8
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600-4800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 29 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............97  97  97  97  97  97  97  97  86  86  86  86
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................53  54  54  55  56  58  58  58  58  57  57  56
RH..................78  80  82  80  78  75  73  70  68  65  62  59
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......7   8   8   9   10  12  13  14  15  16  17  17
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.6 4.2 4.6 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  12  14  15  15  16  20  23  26  28  29  29
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR
REQUESTED BY...ITLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.GORMA.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 210724
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 188 DEER PIT...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
324 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GRADUALLY WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE SUSQ VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3800 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............25  25  25  26  26  26  26  26  26  27
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43  48  53  58  60  63  66  67  68  70
RH..................70  59  50  42  39  37  35  34  32  31
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   3   5   5   6   6   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5           10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   8   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............27  27  40  40  40  56  56  56  81  81  81  91
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................66  63  60  58  57  55  54  53  52  51  50  49
RH..................36  42  49  53  58  63  65  67  70  73  76  80
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......7   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10              5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  10  10  9   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 8 TO
                    13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100-6700
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO
                    2800-4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 20
                    TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............91  91  94  94  94  94  94  94  87  87  87  87
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................49  50  51  55  59  63  63  64  64  64  64  65
RH..................80  79  79  72  65  59  60  61  62  59  57  54
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   5   6   7   8   8   9   10  12  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5       10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.3 2.5 5.1 6.7 5.9 4.3 2.8 2.9 3.6 4.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   6   13  20  25  25  22  20  21  22  24
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN BERNARDI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.SGL18.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 210722
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 176  2...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
322 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GRADUALLY WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE SUSQ VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-5800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............25  25  25  27  27  27  27  27  27  27
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................42  48  53  58  60  63  66  67  69  70
RH..................73  61  52  44  41  39  37  35  33  32
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5           10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.6 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.9 4.0 4.8 5.5 5.8 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   8   8   7   6   6   6   7   8   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1100 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............27  27  53  53  53  74  74  74  86  86  86  94
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................67  64  62  60  59  58  56  55  54  53  52  51
RH..................36  41  46  49  52  55  59  62  66  69  73  76
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.3 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  12  12  10  8   7   7   7   7   6   6   5
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-4200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 15
                    TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............94  94  97  97  97  97  97  97  86  86  86  86
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................51  52  53  55  58  61  61  61  62  61  61  60
RH..................77  78  79  74  69  65  64  64  64  61  58  55
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  14  15  16
20 FT WIND GUST.....        10  10  10  15  15  15  15  20  20  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.2 1.4 2.8 3.9 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.9 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   5   6   10  15  20  21  22  22  23  24  25
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR
REQUESTED BY...PAT MCELHENNY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.SGL17.02/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 210719
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 55...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
319 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GRADUALLY WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE SUSQ VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3800 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............27  27  27  26  26  26  26  26  26  25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  45  49  54  56  59  61  63  64  66
RH..................59  52  45  40  38  36  34  32  31  29
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   5   6   7   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5       10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   9   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............25  25  38  38  38  50  50  50  74  74  74  82
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  62  59  58  56  55  54  52  51  51  50  49
RH..................33  37  42  46  50  54  56  59  61  63  65  67
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 2.3 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW  S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   9   9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4200 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4100-5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING
                    TO 3400 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 17
                    TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............82  82  92  92  92  92  92  92  87  87  87  87
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................50  50  51  54  57  60  61  61  62  62  62  61
RH..................67  67  68  64  60  56  57  57  58  58  58  58
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  13  13  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.1 4.2 5.1 5.5 5.0 4.1 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   9   12  14  17  21  24  26  26  24  23
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...J  CASE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140420.SGL55.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 210716
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 080...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
316 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GRADUALLY WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE SUSQ VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 2 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............23  23  23  24  24  24  24  24  24  25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  44  48  53  55  57  59  60  62  64
RH..................60  52  46  40  39  37  36  35  34  32
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   3   5   5   6   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5           10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.1 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....1   1   2   3   5   5   6   7   8   8
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............25  25  33  33  33  44  44  44  73  73  73  80
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................62  60  58  57  56  54  53  52  51  50  49  49
RH..................36  40  45  48  52  56  58  61  63  66  68  71
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   7   6   5   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-4000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 16
                    TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............80  80  89  89  89  89  89  89  88  88  88  88
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................49  50  50  54  57  60  61  62  63  63  63  63
RH..................72  72  73  68  64  60  60  60  60  59  58  57
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   7   7   8   9   10  12  13  14  15  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.5 4.0 3.9 3.5 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   6   7   9   12  16  22  25  25  25  24
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR
REQUESTED BY...BENJAMIN C  JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.SGL08.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 202012
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE RD...DCNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
412 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1607 EDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP IT MOSTLY SUNNY WITH LIGHT WINDS. MONDAY
SHOULD BE ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY WITH LIGHT WINDS. BOTH DAYS
WILL HAVE VERY LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

A FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE SOME RAINFALL ON TUESDAY. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS APPEAR TO BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE PERHAPS 0.10 TO 0.20
INCHES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............18  18  20  20  20  20  20  20  31  31  31  31
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................61  58  54  51  49  47  45  43  42  41  40  39
RH..................28  32  38  44  52  57  62  68  74  75  77  78
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.2 2.3 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  14  14  13  12  10  9   9   9   9   9   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600-5600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............31  31  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  27
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  41  43  48  53  58  61  63  66  67  67  68
RH..................77  75  74  62  53  45  43  41  39  38  37  36
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   7   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.6 3.6 4.2 4.6 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  13  14  12  8   6   7   8   10  12  13  14
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS NICHOLAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140420.HORSE.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 201954
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAY TOWNSHIP...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
354 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1552 EDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP IT MOSTLY SUNNY WITH LIGHT WINDS. MONDAY
SHOULD BE ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY WITH LIGHT WINDS. BOTH DAYS
WILL HAVE VERY LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

A FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE SOME RAINFALL ON TUESDAY. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS APPEAR TO BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE PERHAPS 0.10 TO 0.20
INCHES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1100 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............14  14  17  17  17  17  17  17  28  28  28  28
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................63  60  57  53  50  48  46  44  43  41  40  39
RH..................26  30  35  42  51  58  63  68  74  76  77  79
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.9 3.5 2.9 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  12  13  12  9   8   8   9   9   8   6   5
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-5900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............28  28  24  24  24  24  24  24  24  24  24  24
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  41  43  48  53  59  62  64  67  68  69  70
RH..................78  77  76  63  53  45  42  39  37  35  34  33
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.7 3.8 4.5 4.8 5.1 5.5 5.8 5.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   6   6   6   6   7   8   9   10  13  14
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...ELK COUNTY 911
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140420.JAYTO.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 201855
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR YELLOW CREEK RX BURN...PA FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
255 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1443 EDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
CLEAR SKIES AND GENERALLY LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON THE
WILDFIRE SITE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...THERE WILL BE GUSTS AROUND 10 MPH
THROUGH SUNSET. WINDS WILL BECOME NEARLY CALM TONIGHT...CONTINUING
FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............17  17  17  17
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  64  66  67
RH..................30  29  28  27
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  S   S   SE
20 FT WIND SPD......8   8   8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............17  17  8   8   8   8   8   8   16  16  16  16
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................65  61  58  55  52  50  48  47  45  44  43  41
RH..................29  32  38  45  52  58  62  66  71  72  74  76
20 FT WIND DIR......S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10              5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DEVOIR
REQUESTED BY...RICK MEINTEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140420.YELLO.01/CTP





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