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000
FNUS71 KCTP 170908
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 243 FIELDS...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
508 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT EASTWARD...ALLOWING FAIR WEATHER TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT...WITH WIND DIRECTION
MAINLY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND HUMIDITIES IN THE MID 40S. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. A COLD
FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO
THE STATE FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE COMING WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6800-7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............19  27  19  20  27  20  18  15  17  17  17
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................48  52  57  61  65  67  69  70  71  71  71
RH..................91  84  75  65  57  52  48  45  45  46  46
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5                       5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.2 1.3 2.8 4.3 5.4 6.2 6.7 7.3 7.4 6.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   2   2   2   3   5   6   7   7   7
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............18  12  10  10  10  36  36  36  33  33  33  33
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................68  65  63  61  59  57  56  55  54  54  53  52
RH..................52  58  65  69  73  77  79  81  83  86  88  91
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.8 2.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   5   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO
                    7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6400-7200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............33  33  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................53  54  66  66  65  65  67  69  71  71  71  71
RH..................88  86  57  59  62  64  59  54  49  49  49  49
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......1   2   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....        5   5       10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.3 3.0 5.0 6.5 7.2 7.2 6.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   6   7   8   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...CERU
REQUESTED BY...BEN JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140917.SGL24.01/CTP




000
FNUS71 KCTP 170908
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 243 FIELDS...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
508 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT EASTWARD...ALLOWING FAIR WEATHER TO CONTINUE
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT...WITH WIND DIRECTION
MAINLY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND HUMIDITIES IN THE MID 40S. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. A COLD
FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO
THE STATE FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE COMING WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6800-7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............19  27  19  20  27  20  18  15  17  17  17
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................48  52  57  61  65  67  69  70  71  71  71
RH..................91  84  75  65  57  52  48  45  45  46  46
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5                       5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.2 1.3 2.8 4.3 5.4 6.2 6.7 7.3 7.4 6.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   2   2   2   3   5   6   7   7   7
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............18  12  10  10  10  36  36  36  33  33  33  33
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................68  65  63  61  59  57  56  55  54  54  53  52
RH..................52  58  65  69  73  77  79  81  83  86  88  91
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.8 2.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   5   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO
                    7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6400-7200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............33  33  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................53  54  66  66  65  65  67  69  71  71  71  71
RH..................88  86  57  59  62  64  59  54  49  49  49  49
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......1   2   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....        5   5       10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.3 3.0 5.0 6.5 7.2 7.2 6.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   6   7   8   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...CERU
REQUESTED BY...BEN JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140917.SGL24.01/CTP





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