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000
FNUS71 KCTP 211109
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR RNG 30   C-04 RX...PA ARMY NATIONAL GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
709 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GRADUALLY WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE SUSQ VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 2 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............23  23  23  24  24  24  24  24  24  25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  45  50  55  58  60  62  64  65  66
RH..................71  60  50  42  40  38  37  35  34  33
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......1   2   2   3   3   5   6   6   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....        5   5   5           10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.1 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....1   1   2   3   5   5   6   7   8   8
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............25  25  32  32  32  47  47  47  76  76  76  82
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  61  58  56  55  53  52  51  49  49  48  47
RH..................38  44  50  54  59  65  67  70  72  76  79  83
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10          5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.1 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   7   6   5   3   3   3   5   5   5   6   6
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 8 TO
                    13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 20
                    TO 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............82  82  90  90  90  90  90  90  87  87  87  87
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................48  49  50  54  57  61  62  63  64  64  64  64
RH..................82  82  81  74  68  62  62  62  62  60  59  57
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  12  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5       10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.4 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   6   6   7   9   12  15  20  23  24  23  23
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR
REQUESTED BY...TIM HAYDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.RNG30.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 211044
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR GORMAN SUMMIT RX...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
644 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GRADUALLY WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE SUSQ VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-6200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............25  25  25  34  34  34  34  34  34  37
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................45  50  56  62  64  66  69  70  71  71
RH..................70  59  50  42  40  38  36  34  33  31
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   5   5   6   6   6   7   8   8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.....5           10  10  10  10  10  10  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.5 4.8 5.8 6.2 6.2 6.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   6   7   8   8   8   8   9   10  12
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 100-500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............37  37  67  67  67  80  80  80  91  91  91  97
WEATHER COV.........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............
TEMP................69  66  64  62  61  59  58  57  56  55  54  53
RH..................36  41  47  50  53  56  60  64  68  71  74  76
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   6   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10          10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......5.8 5.5 4.8 3.4 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  13  13  12  9   8   7   6   6   6   7   8
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600-4800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 29 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............97  97  97  97  97  97  97  97  86  86  86  86
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................53  54  54  55  56  58  58  58  58  57  57  56
RH..................78  80  82  80  78  75  73  70  68  65  62  59
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......7   8   8   9   10  12  13  14  15  16  17  17
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  25  25  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.6 4.2 4.6 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  12  14  15  15  16  20  23  26  28  29  29
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR
REQUESTED BY...ITLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.GORMA.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 210724
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 188 DEER PIT...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
324 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GRADUALLY WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE SUSQ VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3800 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............25  25  25  26  26  26  26  26  26  27
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43  48  53  58  60  63  66  67  68  70
RH..................70  59  50  42  39  37  35  34  32  31
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   3   5   5   6   6   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5           10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.8 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   8   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............27  27  40  40  40  56  56  56  81  81  81  91
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................66  63  60  58  57  55  54  53  52  51  50  49
RH..................36  42  49  53  58  63  65  67  70  73  76  80
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......7   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10              5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 2.1 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  10  10  9   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 8 TO
                    13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 5100-6700
                    FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...DECREASING TO
                    2800-4300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 20
                    TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............91  91  94  94  94  94  94  94  87  87  87  87
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................49  50  51  55  59  63  63  64  64  64  64  65
RH..................80  79  79  72  65  59  60  61  62  59  57  54
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   5   6   7   8   8   9   10  12  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5       10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.3 2.5 5.1 6.7 5.9 4.3 2.8 2.9 3.6 4.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   6   13  20  25  25  22  20  21  22  24
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR
REQUESTED BY...STEVEN BERNARDI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.SGL18.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 210722
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 176  2...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
322 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GRADUALLY WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE SUSQ VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5500-5800 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............25  25  25  27  27  27  27  27  27  27
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................42  48  53  58  60  63  66  67  69  70
RH..................73  61  52  44  41  39  37  35  33  32
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5           10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.6 0.9 1.3 2.0 2.9 4.0 4.8 5.5 5.8 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   8   8   7   6   6   6   7   8   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1100 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............27  27  53  53  53  74  74  74  86  86  86  94
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................67  64  62  60  59  58  56  55  54  53  52  51
RH..................36  41  46  49  52  55  59  62  66  69  73  76
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......7   7   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.3 2.6 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  12  12  10  8   7   7   7   7   6   6   5
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-4200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 15
                    TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............94  94  97  97  97  97  97  97  86  86  86  86
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................51  52  53  55  58  61  61  61  62  61  61  60
RH..................77  78  79  74  69  65  64  64  64  61  58  55
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  14  15  16
20 FT WIND GUST.....        10  10  10  15  15  15  15  20  20  25
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.1 0.2 1.4 2.8 3.9 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.9 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   5   6   10  15  20  21  22  22  23  24  25
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR
REQUESTED BY...PAT MCELHENNY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.SGL17.02/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 210719
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 55...PGC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
319 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GRADUALLY WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE SUSQ VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-3800 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............27  27  27  26  26  26  26  26  26  25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  45  49  54  56  59  61  63  64  66
RH..................59  52  45  40  38  36  34  32  31  29
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   5   6   7   8   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5       10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.9 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....3   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   9   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1000 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............25  25  38  38  38  50  50  50  74  74  74  82
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  62  59  58  56  55  54  52  51  51  50  49
RH..................33  37  42  46  50  54  56  59  61  63  65  67
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.1 2.3 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW  S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   9   9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4200 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    4100-5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING
                    TO 3400 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 17
                    TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............82  82  92  92  92  92  92  92  87  87  87  87
WEATHER COV.........LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................50  50  51  54  57  60  61  61  62  62  62  61
RH..................67  67  68  64  60  56  57  57  58  58  58  58
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   7   8   9   10  12  13  13  13  13
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.1 4.2 5.1 5.5 5.0 4.1 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   9   12  14  17  21  24  26  26  24  23
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...J  CASE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140420.SGL55.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 210716
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 080...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
316 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
A GRADUALLY WEAKENING AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL
KEEP SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY AND SOUTH WINDS UNDER 10 MPH TODAY.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL APPROACH 30 PERCENT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.

CLOUDS WILL INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT. ON TUESDAY...A FRONTAL SYSTEM
WILL PRODUCE MAINLY LIGHT RAINFALL...THOUGH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE SUSQ VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL
GENERALLY RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 2 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............23  23  23  24  24  24  24  24  24  25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  44  48  53  55  57  59  60  62  64
RH..................60  52  46  40  39  37  36  35  34  32
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......2   2   2   3   5   5   6   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5           10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.8 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.1 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....1   1   2   3   5   5   6   7   8   8
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............25  25  33  33  33  44  44  44  73  73  73  80
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................62  60  58  57  56  54  53  52  51  50  49  49
RH..................36  40  45  48  52  56  58  61  63  66  68  71
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   7   6   5   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3   4   4

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1000...THEN 9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-4000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 16
                    TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............80  80  89  89  89  89  89  89  88  88  88  88
WEATHER COV.........CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE........RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................49  50  50  54  57  60  61  62  63  63  63  63
RH..................72  72  73  68  64  60  60  60  60  59  58  57
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   7   7   8   9   10  12  13  14  15  15
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.5 4.0 3.9 3.5 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   6   7   9   12  16  22  25  25  25  24
LAL.................1   1   1   2   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/RXR
REQUESTED BY...BENJAMIN C  JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.SGL08.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 202012
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE RD...DCNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
412 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1607 EDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP IT MOSTLY SUNNY WITH LIGHT WINDS. MONDAY
SHOULD BE ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY WITH LIGHT WINDS. BOTH DAYS
WILL HAVE VERY LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

A FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE SOME RAINFALL ON TUESDAY. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS APPEAR TO BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE PERHAPS 0.10 TO 0.20
INCHES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3200 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-900 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............18  18  20  20  20  20  20  20  31  31  31  31
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................61  58  54  51  49  47  45  43  42  41  40  39
RH..................28  32  38  44  52  57  62  68  74  75  77  78
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.2 2.3 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....13  14  14  13  12  10  9   9   9   9   9   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4600-5600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............31  31  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  27
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  41  43  48  53  58  61  63  66  67  67  68
RH..................77  75  74  62  53  45  43  41  39  38  37  36
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   7   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.6 3.6 4.2 4.6 4.9 5.3 5.6 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....12  13  14  12  8   6   7   8   10  12  13  14
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS NICHOLAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140420.HORSE.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 201954
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR JAY TOWNSHIP...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
354 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1552 EDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP IT MOSTLY SUNNY WITH LIGHT WINDS. MONDAY
SHOULD BE ANOTHER MOSTLY SUNNY DAY WITH LIGHT WINDS. BOTH DAYS
WILL HAVE VERY LOW AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY.

A FRONTAL SYSTEM SHOULD PRODUCE SOME RAINFALL ON TUESDAY. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS APPEAR TO BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE PERHAPS 0.10 TO 0.20
INCHES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1100 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............14  14  17  17  17  17  17  17  28  28  28  28
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................63  60  57  53  50  48  46  44  43  41  40  39
RH..................26  30  35  42  51  58  63  68  74  76  77  79
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......3.9 3.5 2.9 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  12  13  12  9   8   8   9   9   8   6   5
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........6   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-5900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............28  28  24  24  24  24  24  24  24  24  24  24
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40  41  43  48  53  59  62  64  67  68  69  70
RH..................78  77  76  63  53  45  42  39  37  35  34  33
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   7   7   8   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....                            10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.7 3.8 4.5 4.8 5.1 5.5 5.8 5.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....5   5   6   6   6   6   7   8   9   10  13  14
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...ELK COUNTY 911
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140420.JAYTO.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 201855
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR YELLOW CREEK RX BURN...PA FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
255 PM EDT SUN APR 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1443 EDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
CLEAR SKIES AND GENERALLY LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON THE
WILDFIRE SITE THROUGH EARLY EVENING...THERE WILL BE GUSTS AROUND 10 MPH
THROUGH SUNSET. WINDS WILL BECOME NEARLY CALM TONIGHT...CONTINUING
FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT LESS THAN 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............17  17  17  17
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64  64  66  67
RH..................30  29  28  27
20 FT WIND DIR......SE  S   S   SE
20 FT WIND SPD......8   8   8   9
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............17  17  8   8   8   8   8   8   16  16  16  16
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................65  61  58  55  52  50  48  47  45  44  43  41
RH..................29  32  38  45  52  58  62  66  71  72  74  76
20 FT WIND DIR......S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......8   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10              5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP/DEVOIR
REQUESTED BY...RICK MEINTEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140420.YELLO.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 192258
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 176...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
658 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY AIR WILL DOMINATE THE REGION SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. DURING THE DAYS THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE LOW
AND GENERALLY AT OR BELOW 30 PERCENT. THE WINDS SHOULD BE
RELATIVELY WEAK. WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS WE WILL
MONITOR WINDS CLOSELY.

OUR BEST CHANCE OF RAIN IS TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT PASSES.
AINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE 0.15 TO 0.30 INCH RANGE ARE EXPECTED.
THERE COULD BE GUSTY WINDS AFTER THE FRONT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4900 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-400 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).............35        38        38        38
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................61        53        46        41
RH..................25        31        40        48
20 FT WIND..........E 9G10    NE 7G10   NE 6G10   NE 3G5
MIX HGT (FT)........4900      1800      200       200
TRANSPORT WIND......NE 13     NE 14     NE 10     NE 6
LAL.................1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX........5         5         5         4

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600-3900 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).............38        20        20        23
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35        44        54        61
RH..................66        52        35        27
20 FT WIND..........NE 1      E 2G5     SE 6G10   SE 8G10
MIX HGT (FT)........400       1800      3600      3900
TRANSPORT WIND......NE 6      SE 9      SE 10     SE 9
LAL.................1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX........4         4         4         5

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-3500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1000 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).............23        26        26        26
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................60        50        46        42
RH..................27        41        58        72
20 FT WIND..........S 7G10    S 5       S 5       S 3G5
MIX HGT (FT)........3500      1600      300       300
TRANSPORT WIND......S 13      S 14      S 10      S 6
LAL.................1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX........5         5         4         4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-4200 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............26  26  31  31  31  31  31  31  31  31  31  31
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................37  36  42  47  51  56  59  61  64  66  69  66
RH..................94  100 78  68  59  51  46  44  41  38  35  40
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.7 4.1 4.2 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....6   7   8   7   6   5   6   7   8   9   10  12
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...PAT MCELHENNY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.SGL17.01/CTP





000
FNUS71 KCTP 192256
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SGL 55...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
656 PM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY AIR WILL DOMINATE THE REGION SUNDAY
AND MONDAY. DURING THE DAYS THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE LOW
AND GENERALLY AT OR BELOW 30 PERCENT. THE WINDS SHOULD BE
RELATIVELY WEAK. WITH LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY FUELS WE WILL
MONITOR WINDS CLOSELY.

OUR BEST CHANCE OF RAIN IS TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT PASSES.
AINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE 0.15 TO 0.30 INCH RANGE ARE EXPECTED.
THERE COULD BE GUSTY WINDS AFTER THE FRONT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1800 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 8
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).............19        41        41        41
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56        50        43        39
RH..................27        34        49        60
20 FT WIND..........NE 8G10   NE 9G15   NE 6G10   NE 3G5
MIX HGT (FT)........4400      1800      200       200
TRANSPORT WIND......N 18      N 14      NE 8      NE 6
LAL.................1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX........5         5         5         5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3100-4800 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).............41        16        16        20
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................35        43        53        59
RH..................70        51        33        24
20 FT WIND..........NE 3G5    E 2G5     SE 5      S 8G10
MIX HGT (FT)........300       1900      4500      4700
TRANSPORT WIND......NE 6      E 8       SE 7      S 7
LAL.................1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX........5         5         5         5

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 13 MPH...DECREASING TO 2 TO 3 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).............20        28        28        28
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59        49        45        41
RH..................25        36        48        59
20 FT WIND..........S 8G10    S 7G10    S 6G10    S 5
MIX HGT (FT)........4300      2300      300       200
TRANSPORT WIND......S 10      S 13      S 8       S 3
LAL.................1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX........5         5         4         4

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO
                    6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400-3500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 12
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............28  28  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................36  35  41  45  50  55  57  60  62  65  68  65
RH..................76  80  63  56  49  43  41  39  37  35  34  39
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5                           10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....2   3   5   5   6   6   7   8   9   10  10  12
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...J  CASE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140421.SGL55.01/CTP





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