000
FNUS71 KCTP 170924
FWSCTP
SPOT FORECAST FOR WSG RX - SGL 82...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
524 AM EDT FRI MAY 17 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.
.DISCUSSION...
A FEW LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG THIS MORNING WILL GO AWAY QUICKLY.
A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM TO THE NORTH WILL KEEP THE WINDS
LIGHT OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY. A STALLED FRONT RIGHT ALONG
THE MARYLAND BORDER COULD ALLOW THE DAYTIME HEATING TO PRODUCE
AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM RIGHT OVER OR VERY CLOSE TO THE
BURN AREA.
THE LIGHT WINDS WILL LEAD TO GREAT UNCERTAINTY IN THE WIND
DIRECTION FORECAST IN THE BURN AREA TODAY. IF SHOWERS DO DEVELOP...
THEY SHOULD NOT BE UNTIL AFTER 2 OR 3 PM.
DAYTIME RH WILL ONLY GET DOWN TO AROUND 40 PCT TODAY.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............50 49 52 58 61 62 64 66
WEATHER COV......... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........ RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV............ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP................60 62 64 66 67 68 70 68
RH..................56 49 47 45 43 42 40 43
20 FT WIND DIR......E S S SW W W W NW
20 FT WIND SPD......2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5 5 5 5 5 5 5
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5
TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY (%).............67 73 77 78
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE
TEMP................67 62 59 57
RH..................45 52 60 66
20 FT WIND..........N 5 E 6 SE 5 SE 6
.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).............80 83 78 87
WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............ CHANCE
TEMP................54 59 64 68
RH..................80 70 57 49
20 FT WIND..........SE 5 SE 6 S 8G10 SE 8G10
$$
FORECASTER...DANGELO
REQUESTED BY...ITLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130517.WSGRX.01/CTP
000
FNUS71 KCTP 160943
FWSCTP
SPOT FORECAST FOR WSG RX - SGL 82...PA GAME COMMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
543 AM EDT THU MAY 16 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.
.DISCUSSION...
A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY
TODAY...ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE REST OF THE DAY
SHOULD FEATURE PARTLY SUNNY AND DRIER CONDITIONS WITH JUST A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF AN AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM.
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY...BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND LIGHT WINDS.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................16-25 STRIKES UNTIL 0800...THEN 9-15 STRIKES
UNTIL 1000...THEN NO TSTMS UNTIL 1100...THEN
9-15 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2900-4100 FT
AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
5300-6800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING
TO 4500 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............60 57 57 57 57 56 53 52
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV............ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................67 69 70 71 73 73 73 73
RH..................63 62 57 52 47 46 44 44
20 FT WIND DIR......W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD......12 13 14 14 14 14 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.....20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.9 4.1 5.3 6.3 6.8 6.5 5.6 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.....23 23 23 23 22 22 21 20
LAL.................3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
HAINES INDEX........3 5 5 5 4 4 4 4
$$
FORECASTER...FITZGERALD
REQUESTED BY...ITLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130516.WSGRX.01/CTP
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