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000
FNUS75 KCYS 291432
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTGOMERY PASTURE RX...BLM RAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
832 AM MDT MON SEP 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER ALMOST A HALF INCH OF RAIN OBSERVED AT THE BURN SITE
YESTERDAY AND LAST NIGHT...THIS MORNING IS STARTING WITH SOME
SUNSHINE AT THE SITE. THIS WILL CHANGE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS
THICK CLOUD COVER OVER WRN COLORADO LIFTS NORTHEAST TURNING SKIES
CLOUDY BY AROUND NOON. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOOK LESS
LIKELY THAN YESTERDAY...BUT STILL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS THROUGH.
AS THIS HAPPENS...WILL SEE WINDS BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RAIN CHANCES
WILL WIND DOWN AFTER 9 PM THIS EVENING...WITH EXCELLENT HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN BY EARLY MONDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN
STRONG AND GUSTY ESPECIALLY TUESDAY MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY...BUT COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO BE A BIT LESS THAN TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). INCREASING CLOUDS
                    THROUGH THE MORNING BECOMING CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER
                    1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 50 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH BY NOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (69800-135900 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-40 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTING TO
                    BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH AFTER 0300.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO ZERO PERCENT AFTER
                    2100.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (85300-160300 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52 TO 56 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST/SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
CWR.................ZERO PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER NOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST/SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (128800-182200 KNOT-FT).

$$

FORECASTER...HAHN
REQUESTED BY...ZACHARY HARTSHORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140929.MONTG.01/CYS







000
FNUS75 KCYS 291432
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTGOMERY PASTURE RX...BLM RAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
832 AM MDT MON SEP 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0830 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AFTER ALMOST A HALF INCH OF RAIN OBSERVED AT THE BURN SITE
YESTERDAY AND LAST NIGHT...THIS MORNING IS STARTING WITH SOME
SUNSHINE AT THE SITE. THIS WILL CHANGE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS AS
THICK CLOUD COVER OVER WRN COLORADO LIFTS NORTHEAST TURNING SKIES
CLOUDY BY AROUND NOON. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES LOOK LESS
LIKELY THAN YESTERDAY...BUT STILL POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LIFTS THROUGH.
AS THIS HAPPENS...WILL SEE WINDS BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN THIS
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. RAIN CHANCES
WILL WIND DOWN AFTER 9 PM THIS EVENING...WITH EXCELLENT HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN BY EARLY MONDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN
STRONG AND GUSTY ESPECIALLY TUESDAY MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY...BUT COVERAGE IS
EXPECTED TO BE A BIT LESS THAN TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). INCREASING CLOUDS
                    THROUGH THE MORNING BECOMING CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER
                    1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45 TO 50 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH BY NOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (69800-135900 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE UNTIL 2100.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-40 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTING TO
                    BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH AFTER 0300.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO ZERO PERCENT AFTER
                    2100.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2900 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (85300-160300 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52 TO 56 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST/SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
CWR.................ZERO PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT AFTER NOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST/SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (128800-182200 KNOT-FT).

$$

FORECASTER...HAHN
REQUESTED BY...ZACHARY HARTSHORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140929.MONTG.01/CYS








000
FNUS75 KCYS 281418
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTGOMERY PASTURE RX...BLM HIGH DESERT DISTRICT FUELS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
818 AM MDT SUN SEP 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0820 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WET PERIOD SHAPING UP AT THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK AS A PROLONGED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BRINGS CLOUDS...MUCH
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND GOOD CHANCES OF RAINFALL. RAIN TODAY LOOKS
LIKE A SURE THING AS THE SYSTEM SWEEPS THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY AND
THIS AFTERNOON. AM CONFIDENT THAT THE AREA WILL SEE WETTING RAINS
WITH THIS ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON. MAY BE A BREAK IN THE RAIN THIS
EVENING...BUT IT SHOULD RE-DEVELOP AGAIN BY LATE EVENING AND
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE DOES LOOK
LESS FOR MONDAY...BUT CLOUDS WILL REMAIN THICK HOLDING
TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND MIN HUMIDITIES UP. ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WONT BE AS GREAT AS TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEY
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK...AS WILL THE COOLER TEMPERATURES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE
                    THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS DEVELOPING
                    AROUND NOON CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALSO LIKELY AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. WINDS WILL
                    TURN BACK EAST FOR A TIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (31900-48200 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS WILL
                    AGAIN BECOME WIDESPREAD AFTER 2200 AND CONTINUE
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-43 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AT AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 5 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AT 10 MPH
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BECOMING POOR (6300-21100 KNOT-FT).

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM MAINLY AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AT 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (72300-185600 KNOT-FT).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S.

$$

FORECASTER...HAHN
REQUESTED BY...ZACHARY HARTSHORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140928.MONTG.01/CYS







000
FNUS75 KCYS 281418
FWSCYS

SPOT FORECAST FOR MONTGOMERY PASTURE RX...BLM HIGH DESERT DISTRICT FUELS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
818 AM MDT SUN SEP 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0820 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WET PERIOD SHAPING UP AT THE BURN SITE THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF
THE WEEK AS A PROLONGED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BRINGS CLOUDS...MUCH
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND GOOD CHANCES OF RAINFALL. RAIN TODAY LOOKS
LIKE A SURE THING AS THE SYSTEM SWEEPS THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY AND
THIS AFTERNOON. AM CONFIDENT THAT THE AREA WILL SEE WETTING RAINS
WITH THIS ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON. MAY BE A BREAK IN THE RAIN THIS
EVENING...BUT IT SHOULD RE-DEVELOP AGAIN BY LATE EVENING AND
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE DOES LOOK
LESS FOR MONDAY...BUT CLOUDS WILL REMAIN THICK HOLDING
TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S AND MIN HUMIDITIES UP. ALTHOUGH SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WONT BE AS GREAT AS TODAY AND TONIGHT...THEY
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK...AS WILL THE COOLER TEMPERATURES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE
                    THIS MORNING. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS DEVELOPING
                    AROUND NOON CONTINUING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALSO LIKELY AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1300...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. WINDS WILL
                    TURN BACK EAST FOR A TIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (31900-48200 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2200...THEN
                    BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS WILL
                    AGAIN BECOME WIDESPREAD AFTER 2200 AND CONTINUE
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-43 DEGREES.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST AT AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2200...THEN BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 5 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AT 10 MPH
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BECOMING POOR (6300-21100 KNOT-FT).

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM MAINLY AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST
                    AT 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (72300-185600 KNOT-FT).


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S.

$$

FORECASTER...HAHN
REQUESTED BY...ZACHARY HARTSHORN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140928.MONTG.01/CYS






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