000
FNUS73 KDVN 161339
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUGOUT...IA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
839 AM CDT THU MAY 16 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND THIS
EVENING...MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 80 AS A WEAK BOUNDARY
LINGERS ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY LIGHT AND FROM THE
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WITH A SEASONABLY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE. A WARM
FRONT WILL BRING BETTER CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
MIDNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...ALONG WITH INCREASING LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE AND WARMER TEMPERATURES.

THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER INDEX -GFDI- DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR
PRECIPITATION THAT OCCURS OR ANY SNOW ON THE GROUND. PLEASE
MAKE APPROPRIATE ADJUSTMENTS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 81.
RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH BY NOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    6500-7500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO 14
                    MPH LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     77     79     81     80
RH..............46     39     35     34     39
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 4   SE 5   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5
EYE LVL WND GST.       8      8      8
MIX HGT (FT)....3000   5000   6600   7800   5100
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14  SE 12  SE 9   S 12   S 10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
LAL................. 3
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.
RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................4
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 20 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...SHEETS
REQUESTED BY...DAVID KUTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130516.DUGOU.01/DVN