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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 091654
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR RIDGE...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1054 AM MDT WED JUL 9 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1025 MDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
OR VIRGA SHAFTS...

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON...AS
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE FOUR CORNERS BRINGS RELATIVELY DRIER AIR
TO THE BURN AREA TODAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. STORM CHANCES GO UP
THIS WEEKEND...AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS
SOUTHERN NM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200L.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100-9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........5400 KNOT-FEET(POOR) IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    52200 KNOT-FEET(FAIR) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........82000 KNOT-FEET(GOOD) EARLY...DECREASING
                    TO 10000 KNOT-FT (POOR) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........4050 KNOT-FEET (POOR) IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 19200 KNOT-FEET (POOR) IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140709.RIDGE.01/EPZ








000
FNUS74 KEPZ 091654
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR RIDGE...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1054 AM MDT WED JUL 9 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1025 MDT ON JULY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...VARIABLE AND GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
OR VIRGA SHAFTS...

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON...AS
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE FOUR CORNERS BRINGS RELATIVELY DRIER AIR
TO THE BURN AREA TODAY THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY. STORM CHANCES GO UP
THIS WEEKEND...AS A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS
SOUTHERN NM.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200L.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8100-9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........5400 KNOT-FEET(POOR) IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    52200 KNOT-FEET(FAIR) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300-9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........82000 KNOT-FEET(GOOD) EARLY...DECREASING
                    TO 10000 KNOT-FT (POOR) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........4050 KNOT-FEET (POOR) IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 19200 KNOT-FEET (POOR) IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140709.RIDGE.01/EPZ







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