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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 161327
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SHEEP BASIN...NM GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
727 AM MDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 MDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LOW WILL BE MOVING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY
AND JUST VERY SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS WILL
KEEP A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE REGION WITH BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA. NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TODAY WITH A SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT FOR FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES TODAY
WILL BE ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN RECENT DAYS...BUT VERY
DRY DEW POINTS WILL KEEP MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT WINDS WILL NOT
BE QUITE AS STRONG TODAY AND FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 30 MPH BY LATE MORNING...DECREASING TO
                    10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10900-11300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (240000 KT-FEET).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....21-26.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-9700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (174000 KT-FEET).

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...PAULA HOLGUIN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.SHEEP.01/EPZ








000
FNUS74 KEPZ 161327
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SHEEP BASIN...NM GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
727 AM MDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 MDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LOW WILL BE MOVING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY
AND JUST VERY SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS WILL
KEEP A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE REGION WITH BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA. NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TODAY WITH A SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT FOR FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES TODAY
WILL BE ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN RECENT DAYS...BUT VERY
DRY DEW POINTS WILL KEEP MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT WINDS WILL NOT
BE QUITE AS STRONG TODAY AND FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 30 MPH BY LATE MORNING...DECREASING TO
                    10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10900-11300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (240000 KT-FEET).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....21-26.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-9700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (174000 KT-FEET).

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...PAULA HOLGUIN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.SHEEP.01/EPZ







000
FNUS74 KEPZ 161327
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SHEEP BASIN...NM GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
727 AM MDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 MDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG UPPER LOW WILL BE MOVING INTO THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY
AND JUST VERY SLOWLY MOVE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS. THIS WILL
KEEP A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE REGION WITH BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA. NEAR CRITICAL CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TODAY WITH A SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT FOR FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES TODAY
WILL BE ABOUT 10 TO 15 DEGREES COOLER THAN RECENT DAYS...BUT VERY
DRY DEW POINTS WILL KEEP MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES AROUND 10 PERCENT.
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...BUT WINDS WILL NOT
BE QUITE AS STRONG TODAY AND FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 30 MPH BY LATE MORNING...DECREASING TO
                    10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10900-11300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (240000 KT-FEET).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....21-26.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8400-9700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (174000 KT-FEET).

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...PAULA HOLGUIN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.SHEEP.01/EPZ








000
FNUS74 KEPZ 151424
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SHEEP BASIN...NM GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
824 AM MDT WED APR 15 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 MDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
INTO THIS EVENING...AHEAD OF A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
THAT CONTINUES TO DROP SOUTH OVER THE FOUR CORNERS. ISOLATED HIGH BASED
BUILD-UPS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN IN THE AREA...WITH SHOWERS AND A STORM OR
TWO POSSIBLE FROM THIS.  WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWEST THURSDAY AND HIGHS
WILL BE 10-13 DEGREES COOLER AS WELL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...
THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED
HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
AND BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 32 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9200-11100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 KNOTS
VENT RATE...........26400 KNOT-FT(POOR) IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    240000 KNOT-FT(EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED HIGH BASED
                    SHOWERS AND STORMS EARLY...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29.
MAX HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH EARLY...INCREASING AND BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........187000 KNOT-FT(POOR) IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    212500 KNOT-FT(EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...PAULA HOLGUIN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150415.SHEEP.01/EPZ







000
FNUS74 KEPZ 151424
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SHEEP BASIN...NM GNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
824 AM MDT WED APR 15 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0735 MDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS MORNING AND CONTINUE
INTO THIS EVENING...AHEAD OF A DEEP UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
THAT CONTINUES TO DROP SOUTH OVER THE FOUR CORNERS. ISOLATED HIGH BASED
BUILD-UPS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN IN THE AREA...WITH SHOWERS AND A STORM OR
TWO POSSIBLE FROM THIS.  WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHWEST THURSDAY AND HIGHS
WILL BE 10-13 DEGREES COOLER AS WELL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING...
THEN PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON WITH ISOLATED
HIGH BASED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
AND BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 32 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9200-11100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 KNOTS
VENT RATE...........26400 KNOT-FT(POOR) IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    240000 KNOT-FT(EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED HIGH BASED
                    SHOWERS AND STORMS EARLY...THEN MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29.
MAX HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH EARLY...INCREASING AND BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 17 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........187000 KNOT-FT(POOR) IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
                    212500 KNOT-FT(EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...PAULA HOLGUIN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150415.SHEEP.01/EPZ







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