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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 211516
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTH BLUE WATER RX...NM-LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
816 AM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0825 MST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHWEST ARIZONA WILL SPREAD CLOUDS OVER
THE AREA TODAY. THE LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO
TONIGHT GIVING THE MOUNTAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW
LEVEL SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 7500 FT SO ONLY THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF
THE MOUNTAINS WOULD SEE ANY SNOW. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL THEN
DOMINATE THE PATTERN FOR THE WEEKEND...KEEPING THE AREA DRY. WINDS
WILL BECOME GUSTY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING
NEAR NORMAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3900-5700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 KNOTS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 7900-9700 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON .
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141121.NORTH.01/EPZ








000
FNUS74 KEPZ 211516
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTH BLUE WATER RX...NM-LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
816 AM MST FRI NOV 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0825 MST ON NOVEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHWEST ARIZONA WILL SPREAD CLOUDS OVER
THE AREA TODAY. THE LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS NORTHERN MEXICO
TONIGHT GIVING THE MOUNTAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. SNOW
LEVEL SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 7500 FT SO ONLY THE HIGHEST PEAKS OF
THE MOUNTAINS WOULD SEE ANY SNOW. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL THEN
DOMINATE THE PATTERN FOR THE WEEKEND...KEEPING THE AREA DRY. WINDS
WILL BECOME GUSTY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING
NEAR NORMAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3900-5700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 KNOTS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 7900-9700 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON .
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 KNOTS.

$$
FORECASTER...HEFNER
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141121.NORTH.01/EPZ







000
FNUS74 KEPZ 201550
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTH BLUE WATER RX...NM-LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
850 AM MST THU NOV 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON NOVEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NOTE THAT THE LOCATION OF THE PORTABLE RAWS USED FOR THE OBSERVATION
HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT CONDITIONS THAN WHAT IS AT THE ACTUAL
BURN AREA...ESPECIALLY IN REGARDS TO DEW POINTS THIS MORNING.
FORECAST IS BEST GUESS AT BURN LOCATION CONDITIONS.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH
GENERALLY LIGHT WEST WINDS EXPECTED NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE A COUPLE DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY
WITH ANOTHER SMALL DROP FOR FRIDAY AS HIGH CLOUDS MOVE IN DURING
THE AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE RISING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS AN UPPER TROUGH BRINGS SOME MOISTURE INTO
THE REGION WITH IT. ANY PRECIPITATION SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL BE VERY LIGHT IF ANY OCCURS. BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND ON BACK SIDE OF TROUGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR(25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141120.NORTH.02/EPZ







000
FNUS74 KEPZ 201550
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTH BLUE WATER RX...NM-LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
850 AM MST THU NOV 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON NOVEMBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NOTE THAT THE LOCATION OF THE PORTABLE RAWS USED FOR THE OBSERVATION
HAS SIGNIFICANTLY DIFFERENT CONDITIONS THAN WHAT IS AT THE ACTUAL
BURN AREA...ESPECIALLY IN REGARDS TO DEW POINTS THIS MORNING.
FORECAST IS BEST GUESS AT BURN LOCATION CONDITIONS.

A DRY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA TODAY WITH
GENERALLY LIGHT WEST WINDS EXPECTED NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE A COUPLE DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY
WITH ANOTHER SMALL DROP FOR FRIDAY AS HIGH CLOUDS MOVE IN DURING
THE AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE RISING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS AN UPPER TROUGH BRINGS SOME MOISTURE INTO
THE REGION WITH IT. ANY PRECIPITATION SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL
FRIDAY NIGHT AND WILL BE VERY LIGHT IF ANY OCCURS. BREEZY TO
WINDY CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND ON BACK SIDE OF TROUGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........GOOD.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR(25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 KNOTS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141120.NORTH.02/EPZ








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