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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 051847
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MATHER POINT...GNP GRAND CANYON NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1147 AM MST TUE MAY 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1134 MST ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP A SATURATED AIRMASS OVER THE SEARCH SITE
THROUGH THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS TO MOVE OVERHEAD THROUGH
SUNSET THEN END. PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN A BETTER
CHANCE FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH 0900 WEDS. CLOUD BASES AT OR ABOVE 7000 FT AGL
ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
WINDS (20 FT).......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH THROUGH SUNSET THEN LIGHT.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG THROUGH 1000L.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...41
REQUESTED BY...JACLYN BAKER
REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150505.MATHE.01/FGZ




000
FNUS75 KFGZ 051847
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MATHER POINT...GNP GRAND CANYON NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1147 AM MST TUE MAY 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1134 MST ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP A SATURATED AIRMASS OVER THE SEARCH SITE
THROUGH THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS TO MOVE OVERHEAD THROUGH
SUNSET THEN END. PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN A BETTER
CHANCE FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH 0900 WEDS. CLOUD BASES AT OR ABOVE 7000 FT AGL
ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
WINDS (20 FT).......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH THROUGH SUNSET THEN LIGHT.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG THROUGH 1000L.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...41
REQUESTED BY...JACLYN BAKER
REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150505.MATHE.01/FGZ





000
FNUS75 KFGZ 051847
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MATHER POINT...GNP GRAND CANYON NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1147 AM MST TUE MAY 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1134 MST ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP A SATURATED AIRMASS OVER THE SEARCH SITE
THROUGH THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS TO MOVE OVERHEAD THROUGH
SUNSET THEN END. PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN A BETTER
CHANCE FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH 0900 WEDS. CLOUD BASES AT OR ABOVE 7000 FT AGL
ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
WINDS (20 FT).......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH THROUGH SUNSET THEN LIGHT.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG THROUGH 1000L.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...41
REQUESTED BY...JACLYN BAKER
REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150505.MATHE.01/FGZ




000
FNUS75 KFGZ 051847
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR MATHER POINT...GNP GRAND CANYON NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1147 AM MST TUE MAY 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1134 MST ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEST NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP A SATURATED AIRMASS OVER THE SEARCH SITE
THROUGH THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS TO MOVE OVERHEAD THROUGH
SUNSET THEN END. PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING THEN A BETTER
CHANCE FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH 0900 WEDS. CLOUD BASES AT OR ABOVE 7000 FT AGL
ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. PATCHY FOG.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
WINDS (20 FT).......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH.
LAL.................2.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. AREAS OF FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH THROUGH SUNSET THEN LIGHT.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. AREAS OF FOG THROUGH 1000L.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...41
REQUESTED BY...JACLYN BAKER
REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150505.MATHE.01/FGZ





000
FNUS75 KFGZ 041502
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER BEAVER CREEK...CNF COCONINO NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
802 AM MST MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0750 MST ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH ARIZONA BRINGING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN SITE DAY AND NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
PERIODS OF VARIABLE WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH SHOULD BE EXPECTED WITH
THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-60 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD (79200 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......792.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 95 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (15700 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......157.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    2800 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-60 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD (99700 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......997.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4900
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20
                    TO 25 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BOHLIN
REQUESTED BY...MATT MOE
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.UPPER.01/FGZ





000
FNUS75 KFGZ 041502
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR UPPER BEAVER CREEK...CNF COCONINO NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
802 AM MST MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0750 MST ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH ARIZONA BRINGING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN SITE DAY AND NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY.
PERIODS OF VARIABLE WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH SHOULD BE EXPECTED WITH
THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-60 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................5.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD (79200 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......792.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 95 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIN VENT RATE.......MARGINAL (15700 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......157.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO
                    2800 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-60 PCT.
WINDS (20 FT).......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MAX VENT RATE.......VERY GOOD (99700 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......997.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4900
                    FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 KNOTS INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 20
                    TO 25 KNOTS IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BOHLIN
REQUESTED BY...MATT MOE
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.UPPER.01/FGZ




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