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000
FNUS75 KGJT 310059 CCA
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
659 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1820 MDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MODEST AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL PERSIST OVER
SOUTHEAST UTAH THROUGH THURSDAY UNDER NORTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS.
NO WEATHER DISTURBANCES ARE EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE DAY. SO
DAYTIME HEATING WILL BE THE PRIMARY FORCING MECHANISM FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. CONVECTION WILL INITIATE OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN
PEAKS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN WILL SPREAD ACROSS MID LEVEL
SLOPES AND RIDGES. WHILE COVERAGE WILL BE ISOLATED...IF A STORM
DOES DEVELOP OVER THE FIRE...WETTING RAIN WILL BE EXPECTED.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-3 MPH) UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH. ERRATIC AND
                    GUSTY WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MIFC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140730.WILDE.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 310059 CCA
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
659 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1820 MDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MODEST AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL PERSIST OVER
SOUTHEAST UTAH THROUGH THURSDAY UNDER NORTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS.
NO WEATHER DISTURBANCES ARE EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE DAY. SO
DAYTIME HEATING WILL BE THE PRIMARY FORCING MECHANISM FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. CONVECTION WILL INITIATE OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN
PEAKS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN WILL SPREAD ACROSS MID LEVEL
SLOPES AND RIDGES. WHILE COVERAGE WILL BE ISOLATED...IF A STORM
DOES DEVELOP OVER THE FIRE...WETTING RAIN WILL BE EXPECTED.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-3 MPH) UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH. ERRATIC AND
                    GUSTY WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MIFC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140730.WILDE.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 310059
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
659 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1820 MDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MODEST AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL PERSIST OVER
SOUTHEAST UTAH THROUGH THURSDAY UNDER NORTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS.
NO WEATHER DISTURBANCES ARE EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE DAY. SO
DAYTIME HEATING WILL BE THE PRIMARY FORCING MECHANISM FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. CONVECTION WILL INITIATE OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN
PEAKS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN WILL SPREAD ACROSS MID LEVEL
SLOPES AND RIDGES. WHILE COVERAGE WILL BE ISOLATED...IF A STORM
DOES DEVELOP OVER THE FIRE...WETTING RAIN WILL BE EXPECTED.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-3 MPH) UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MIFC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140730.WILDE.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 310059
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
659 PM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1820 MDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MODEST AMOUNT OF MOISTURE WILL PERSIST OVER
SOUTHEAST UTAH THROUGH THURSDAY UNDER NORTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS.
NO WEATHER DISTURBANCES ARE EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE DAY. SO
DAYTIME HEATING WILL BE THE PRIMARY FORCING MECHANISM FOR
THUNDERSTORMS. CONVECTION WILL INITIATE OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN
PEAKS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN WILL SPREAD ACROSS MID LEVEL
SLOPES AND RIDGES. WHILE COVERAGE WILL BE ISOLATED...IF A STORM
DOES DEVELOP OVER THE FIRE...WETTING RAIN WILL BE EXPECTED.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE (0-3 MPH) UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MIFC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140730.WILDE.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 300145
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LODORE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
745 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1913 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ENERGY FROM AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL LINGER
OVER NORTHWEST COLORADO THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL
KEEP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AS DEEP MOISTURE
REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER THE REGION.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 3-6 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST 8-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL BY THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...JASON TEAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140729.LODOR.02/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 300145
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LODORE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
745 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1913 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ENERGY FROM AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL LINGER
OVER NORTHWEST COLORADO THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL
KEEP SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AS DEEP MOISTURE
REMAINS ENTRENCHED OVER THE REGION.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 3-6 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST 8-12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8900 FT AGL BY THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...JASON TEAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140729.LODOR.02/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 291627
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH FORK...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1027 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0950 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
VERY MOIST AND DAMP CONDITIONS TODAY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS.  HEAVY SHOWERS MAY ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS.  ERRATIC
WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH MAY OCCUR.  MOIST CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........NUMEROUS SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY WITH A FEW
                    THUNDERSTORMS.  HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH. GUSTS TO 15-25 MPH NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH A FEW EVENING
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTS TO 15-25 MPH NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PAUL FRISBIE
REQUESTED BY...JASON TEAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140729.SOUTH.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 291627
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH FORK...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1027 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0950 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
VERY MOIST AND DAMP CONDITIONS TODAY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS.  HEAVY SHOWERS MAY ACCOMPANY THUNDERSTORMS.  ERRATIC
WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH MAY OCCUR.  MOIST CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST
TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........NUMEROUS SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY WITH A FEW
                    THUNDERSTORMS.  HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE WITH
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH. GUSTS TO 15-25 MPH NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH A FEW EVENING
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTS TO 15-25 MPH NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...PAUL FRISBIE
REQUESTED BY...JASON TEAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140729.SOUTH.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 291251
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LODORE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
651 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0627 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG MONSOONAL SURGE COMBINED WITH THE PASSAGE OF
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE BRINGS THE LIKELIHOOD FOR WETTING RAIN TO
THE FIRE SITE TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND POSSIBLY LATE TONIGHT
AS WELL. WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN NORMAL DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A DRYING
TREND BEGINS THURSDAY THOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE SHOULD FUEL SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SURROUNDING HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING...THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (83900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400 FT AGL BY
MIDDAY.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (34600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 3800 FT AGL THIS EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 1300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD (67300 KNOT-FT) BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 9300 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...JASON TEAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140729.LODOR.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 291251
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR LODORE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
651 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0627 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG MONSOONAL SURGE COMBINED WITH THE PASSAGE OF
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE BRINGS THE LIKELIHOOD FOR WETTING RAIN TO
THE FIRE SITE TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING...AND POSSIBLY LATE TONIGHT
AS WELL. WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
SIGNIFICANTLY HIGHER THAN NORMAL DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A DRYING
TREND BEGINS THURSDAY THOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE SHOULD FUEL SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER SURROUNDING HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING...THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (83900 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9400 FT AGL BY
MIDDAY.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (34600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 3800 FT AGL THIS EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 1300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD (67300 KNOT-FT) BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 9300 FT AGL BY 1400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...JASON TEAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140729.LODOR.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 290335
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOG CANYON...UT-DSP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
935 PM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2105 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
PLENTY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY OVER AND NEAR
THE BURN SITE POSSIBLY STARTING MID-MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH
THE DAY INTO THE EVENING HOURS POSSIBLY THROUGH MIDNIGHT. HEAVY
SHOWERS/STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WITH GUSTY WINDS
APPROACHING 40 MPH ALSO POSSIBLE. CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
DOWN TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. STORM COVERAGE WILL BE LESS ON WEDNESDAY
THOUGH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FROM NOON
ONWARDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING DYING DOWN NEAR
                    OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...OPERATIONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.HOGCA.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 290335
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOG CANYON...UT-DSP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
935 PM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2105 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
PLENTY OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TODAY OVER AND NEAR
THE BURN SITE POSSIBLY STARTING MID-MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH
THE DAY INTO THE EVENING HOURS POSSIBLY THROUGH MIDNIGHT. HEAVY
SHOWERS/STORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN WITH GUSTY WINDS
APPROACHING 40 MPH ALSO POSSIBLE. CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
DOWN TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. STORM COVERAGE WILL BE LESS ON WEDNESDAY
THOUGH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FROM NOON
ONWARDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING DYING DOWN NEAR
                    OR SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...OPERATIONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.HOGCA.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 290332
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS...MLF-MIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
932 PM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1554 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DEEP SURGE OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO
STREAM OVER THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. ALSO AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
WILL PASS OVER SOUTHEAST UTAH AROUND MIDDAY...AND WILL ENHANCE
DAYTIME INSTABILITY. SCATTERED MORNING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL INCREASE BY THE AFTERNOON...WITH MANY OF THESE STORMS
PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. THEREFORE THE CHANCE FOR WETTING
RAIN ON THE FIRE WILL BE VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 0-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AFTER 1400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO 5 BY THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MIFC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.WILDE.02/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 290332
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS...MLF-MIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
932 PM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1554 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DEEP SURGE OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO
STREAM OVER THE AREA THROUGH TUESDAY. ALSO AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
WILL PASS OVER SOUTHEAST UTAH AROUND MIDDAY...AND WILL ENHANCE
DAYTIME INSTABILITY. SCATTERED MORNING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL INCREASE BY THE AFTERNOON...WITH MANY OF THESE STORMS
PRODUCING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN. THEREFORE THE CHANCE FOR WETTING
RAIN ON THE FIRE WILL BE VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 0-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    BECOMING WEST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AFTER 1400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO 5 BY THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MIFC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.WILDE.02/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 281755
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH FORK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1155 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1135 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE FIRE SITS ON THE EDGE OF THE DEEPER MONSOONAL
MOISTURE. THAT MOISTURE SPREADS OVER THE FIRE AREA LATER TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY...WITH AN UPPER DISTURBANCE BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS
WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ANY STORM TODAY
AND ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE DETERMINED BY TERRAIN AND STORM
LOCATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1300...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2800 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-67 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (58700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.SOUTH.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 281755
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH FORK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1155 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1135 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE FIRE SITS ON THE EDGE OF THE DEEPER MONSOONAL
MOISTURE. THAT MOISTURE SPREADS OVER THE FIRE AREA LATER TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY...WITH AN UPPER DISTURBANCE BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS
WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ANY STORM TODAY
AND ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
SURFACE WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE DETERMINED BY TERRAIN AND STORM
LOCATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1300...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........61-66%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2800 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-67 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (58700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.SOUTH.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 281714
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK SPRINGS...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1114 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1041 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LATE MORNING SUNSHINE WILL HELP TRIGGER SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AS THE FIRE SITS ON THE
EDGE OF THE DEEPER MONSOONAL MOISTURE. THAT MOISTURE SPREADS OVER
THE FIRE AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. ANY STORM TODAY AND ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY WILL BE
CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%)...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%)
                    BY 1500. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200....THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-88 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 MPH INCREASING TO8-12 MPH BY 1300.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BECOMING GOOD BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.ELKSP.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 281714
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK SPRINGS...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1114 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1041 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LATE MORNING SUNSHINE WILL HELP TRIGGER SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AS THE FIRE SITS ON THE
EDGE OF THE DEEPER MONSOONAL MOISTURE. THAT MOISTURE SPREADS OVER
THE FIRE AREA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...WITH AN UPPER DISTURBANCE
BRINGING NUMEROUS SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. ANY STORM TODAY AND ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY WILL BE
CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (40-50%)...BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%)
                    BY 1500. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200....THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-88 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 MPH INCREASING TO8-12 MPH BY 1300.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000 FT AGL BY 2200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR BECOMING GOOD BY 1200.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL BY 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.ELKSP.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 281549
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
949 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0918 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...MONSOON MOISTURE AND WEAK DISTURBANCE IN SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND CAPABLE
OF HEAVY RAIN CAUSING FLASH FLOODING. MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND
PRECIPITATION COVERAGE SHOULD PEAK ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 1100.
CWR.................50%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10-14 MPH BY 1200.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................56%.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...JEFF FLICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.WILDE.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 281549
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
949 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0918 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...MONSOON MOISTURE AND WEAK DISTURBANCE IN SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND CAPABLE
OF HEAVY RAIN CAUSING FLASH FLOODING. MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND
PRECIPITATION COVERAGE SHOULD PEAK ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 1100.
CWR.................50%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10-14 MPH BY 1200.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................56%.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...JEFF FLICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.WILDE.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 281549 CCA
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS FIRE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
949 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

CORRECTED DISCUSSION

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0918 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...MONSOON MOISTURE AND WEAK DISTURBANCE IN SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND
CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAIN CAUSING FLASH FLOODING. MONSOONAL MOISTURE
AND PRECIPITATION COVERAGE SHOULD PEAK ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 1100.
CWR.................50%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10-14 MPH BY 1200.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................56%.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...JEFF FLICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.WILDE.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 281549 CCA
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDERNESS FIRE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
949 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

CORRECTED DISCUSSION

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0918 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...MONSOON MOISTURE AND WEAK DISTURBANCE IN SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL TRIGGER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT. STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND
CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAIN CAUSING FLASH FLOODING. MONSOONAL MOISTURE
AND PRECIPITATION COVERAGE SHOULD PEAK ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER 1100.
CWR.................50%.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10-14 MPH BY 1200.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................56%.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 3.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM DANIELS
REQUESTED BY...JEFF FLICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.WILDE.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 280500
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOG CANYON...UT-DSP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1100 PM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1920 MDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE INCREASES TODAY AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE
AREA ALLOWING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM FROM
NOON ONWARDS. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL HAVE HEAVY RAIN THOUGH MOST
OF THESE TYPES OF STORMS WILL STAY SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE.
PRECIPITATION WILL END OVER THE BURN SITE MONDAY NIGHT ONLY TO
PICK UP AGAIN ON TUESDAY WITH MODELS SUGGESTING PRECIPITATION FOR
MOST OF THE DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 12 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...OPERATIONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140727.HOGCA.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 280500
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOG CANYON...UT-DSP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1100 PM MDT SUN JUL 27 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1920 MDT ON JULY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE INCREASES TODAY AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES OVER THE
AREA ALLOWING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM FROM
NOON ONWARDS. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL HAVE HEAVY RAIN THOUGH MOST
OF THESE TYPES OF STORMS WILL STAY SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE.
PRECIPITATION WILL END OVER THE BURN SITE MONDAY NIGHT ONLY TO
PICK UP AGAIN ON TUESDAY WITH MODELS SUGGESTING PRECIPITATION FOR
MOST OF THE DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO 12 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
                    20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
                    DAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...OPERATIONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140727.HOGCA.01/GJT





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