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000
FNUS75 KGJT 202225
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEEDHOUSE RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
425 PM MDT MON OCT 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1410 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM UP FROM THE SOUTH TONIGHT
AND ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. A WEAK JET STREAK
PASSES ACROSS NW COLORADO TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE BEST CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. THE LATEST MODELS INDICATE THE BURN SITE WILL GET STORM
TOTAL 0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES OF RAIN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW
LINE WILL BE AROUND 10,000 FT MSL.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE-NORTHEAST 1-6 MPH...EXCEPT ERRATIC
                    BREEZES NEAR SHOWERS OR BUILDUPS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL OR LESS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY NOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 24 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYLES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.SEEDH.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 202225
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEEDHOUSE RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
425 PM MDT MON OCT 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1410 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM UP FROM THE SOUTH TONIGHT
AND ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. A WEAK JET STREAK
PASSES ACROSS NW COLORADO TUESDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE BEST CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. THE LATEST MODELS INDICATE THE BURN SITE WILL GET STORM
TOTAL 0.10 TO 0.20 INCHES OF RAIN BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW
LINE WILL BE AROUND 10,000 FT MSL.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE-NORTHEAST 1-6 MPH...EXCEPT ERRATIC
                    BREEZES NEAR SHOWERS OR BUILDUPS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL OR LESS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY NOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......RISING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 24 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...LANCE BROYLES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.SEEDH.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 201214
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROAN PLATEAU...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
614 AM MDT MON OCT 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0620 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM INTO THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTH WHICH WILL ALLOW SOME VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM AFTER 3PM. MOST CONVECTION WILL STAY TO THE
SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE BUT THE CHANCE DOES EXIST SO KEPT IN THE
FORECAST. INSTABILITY INCREASES SLIGHTLY TODAY WHICH WILL MAKE
SMOKE DISPERSAL FAIR THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST. VERY SLIGHT CHANCE EXISTS
FOR SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OR A QUICK STORM OVERNIGHT BUT
AGAIN...MOST ACTIVITY WILL BE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE BURN SITE. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE BURN SITE TUESDAY INCREASING CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WHILE CAUSING WINDS TO PICK UP FROM ABOUT
NOON ONWARDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 14
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...RUSTY STARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.ROANP.02/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 201214
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROAN PLATEAU...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
614 AM MDT MON OCT 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0620 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE CONTINUES TO STREAM INTO THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTH WHICH WILL ALLOW SOME VERY ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM AFTER 3PM. MOST CONVECTION WILL STAY TO THE
SOUTH OF THE BURN SITE BUT THE CHANCE DOES EXIST SO KEPT IN THE
FORECAST. INSTABILITY INCREASES SLIGHTLY TODAY WHICH WILL MAKE
SMOKE DISPERSAL FAIR THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST. VERY SLIGHT CHANCE EXISTS
FOR SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS OR A QUICK STORM OVERNIGHT BUT
AGAIN...MOST ACTIVITY WILL BE TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE BURN SITE. A
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE BURN SITE TUESDAY INCREASING CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WHILE CAUSING WINDS TO PICK UP FROM ABOUT
NOON ONWARDS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    THE NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 14
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...TOM RENWICK
REQUESTED BY...RUSTY STARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.ROANP.02/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 192250
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHIMNEY ROCK RX...SAN JUAN NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
450 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS FELL OVER THE BURN
SITE SUNDAY AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD END WITH SUNSET. WITH CLOUDS
OVERNIGHT THE INVERSION SHOULD NOT BE STRONG AND WILL BREAK AROUND
BURN TIME. THEN UPSLOPE WINDS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON BUILDUPS SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN BUT WATCH
FOR NEARBY SHOWERS OR VIRGA THAT COULD PRODUCE ERRATIC WINDS. THEN
THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS INCREASES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS
A PACIFIC TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MARCHES TOWARDS THE REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). BUILDUPS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE FROM
                    NEARBY BUILDUPS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH
                    BY 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST 4-8 GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EXCEPT GOOD IN OR NEAR SHOWERS AND
                    STORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......COLLAPSING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL
                    EXCEPT UP TO TO 8000 FT AGL NEAR SHOWERS/STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....ERRATIC...BUT FAVORING EAST 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BECOMING EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...FRED ELLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.CHIMN.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 192250
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHIMNEY ROCK RX...SAN JUAN NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
450 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS FELL OVER THE BURN
SITE SUNDAY AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD END WITH SUNSET. WITH CLOUDS
OVERNIGHT THE INVERSION SHOULD NOT BE STRONG AND WILL BREAK AROUND
BURN TIME. THEN UPSLOPE WINDS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON BUILDUPS SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN BUT WATCH
FOR NEARBY SHOWERS OR VIRGA THAT COULD PRODUCE ERRATIC WINDS. THEN
THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS INCREASES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS
A PACIFIC TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MARCHES TOWARDS THE REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). BUILDUPS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE FROM
                    NEARBY BUILDUPS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH
                    BY 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST 4-8 GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EXCEPT GOOD IN OR NEAR SHOWERS AND
                    STORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......COLLAPSING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL
                    EXCEPT UP TO TO 8000 FT AGL NEAR SHOWERS/STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....ERRATIC...BUT FAVORING EAST 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BECOMING EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...FRED ELLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.CHIMN.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 192250
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHIMNEY ROCK RX...SAN JUAN NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
450 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS FELL OVER THE BURN
SITE SUNDAY AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD END WITH SUNSET. WITH CLOUDS
OVERNIGHT THE INVERSION SHOULD NOT BE STRONG AND WILL BREAK AROUND
BURN TIME. THEN UPSLOPE WINDS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON BUILDUPS SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN BUT WATCH
FOR NEARBY SHOWERS OR VIRGA THAT COULD PRODUCE ERRATIC WINDS. THEN
THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS INCREASES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS
A PACIFIC TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MARCHES TOWARDS THE REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). BUILDUPS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE FROM
                    NEARBY BUILDUPS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH
                    BY 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST 4-8 GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EXCEPT GOOD IN OR NEAR SHOWERS AND
                    STORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......COLLAPSING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL
                    EXCEPT UP TO TO 8000 FT AGL NEAR SHOWERS/STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....ERRATIC...BUT FAVORING EAST 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BECOMING EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...FRED ELLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.CHIMN.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 192250
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHIMNEY ROCK RX...SAN JUAN NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
450 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS FELL OVER THE BURN
SITE SUNDAY AFTERNOON BUT SHOULD END WITH SUNSET. WITH CLOUDS
OVERNIGHT THE INVERSION SHOULD NOT BE STRONG AND WILL BREAK AROUND
BURN TIME. THEN UPSLOPE WINDS WILL DOMINATE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON BUILDUPS SHOULD REMAIN OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN BUT WATCH
FOR NEARBY SHOWERS OR VIRGA THAT COULD PRODUCE ERRATIC WINDS. THEN
THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS INCREASES MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS
A PACIFIC TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MARCHES TOWARDS THE REGION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). BUILDUPS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE FROM
                    NEARBY BUILDUPS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH
                    BY 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST 4-8 GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR EXCEPT GOOD IN OR NEAR SHOWERS AND
                    STORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......COLLAPSING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL
                    EXCEPT UP TO TO 8000 FT AGL NEAR SHOWERS/STORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....ERRATIC...BUT FAVORING EAST 5 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BECOMING EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...FRED ELLIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.CHIMN.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 191703
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCKEYE RESERVOIR...MIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1103 AM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1020 MDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO CREEP INTO THE AREA FROM
THE SOUTH BRINGING VARIABLE CLOUDS TO THE AREA TODAY AND ON MONDAY.
A WEAK PASSING DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER MOST ACTIVITY
WILL BE OVER THE NEARBY PEAKS OF THE LA SAL MOUNTAINS. THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY AND WILL BRING A
BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON...SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE NUMEROUS OVER
                    NEARBY HIGHER TERRAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 0-4 MPH UNTIL NOON...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 2-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 5000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 2-5 MPH...INCREASING TO 4-7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN INCREASING TO
                    7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN MATTOX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141019.BUCKE.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 191703
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCKEYE RESERVOIR...MIFC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1103 AM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1020 MDT ON OCTOBER 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO CREEP INTO THE AREA FROM
THE SOUTH BRINGING VARIABLE CLOUDS TO THE AREA TODAY AND ON MONDAY.
A WEAK PASSING DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER MOST ACTIVITY
WILL BE OVER THE NEARBY PEAKS OF THE LA SAL MOUNTAINS. THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY AND WILL BRING A
BETTER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON...SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE NUMEROUS OVER
                    NEARBY HIGHER TERRAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 0-4 MPH UNTIL NOON...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%). ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 2-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (LESS THAN 5000 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-62 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 2-5 MPH...INCREASING TO 4-7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN INCREASING TO
                    7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN MATTOX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141019.BUCKE.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 191639
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROAN PLATAU...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1039 AM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO CREEP INTO THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTH BRINGING VARIABLE CLOUDS TO THE AREA ON MONDAY. THEN ON
TUESDAY A DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL PULL IN BETTER
MOISTURE. INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE AS THIS WAVE INTERACTS WITH THIS
MOISTURE. A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS MONDAY NIGHT...
THEN THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS IS NOT AN OVERLY
COLD SYSTEM...SO SNOW LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN
ABOVE THE BURN SITE. HOWEVER CONVECTIVE SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE GRAUPEL
OR SNOW PELLETS AT TIMES. A DUSTING OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 2-6 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL NOON...THEN FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%)...BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY TOWARDS MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (31700 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH...INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...RUSTY STARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.ROANP.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 191639
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROAN PLATAU...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1039 AM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO CREEP INTO THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTH BRINGING VARIABLE CLOUDS TO THE AREA ON MONDAY. THEN ON
TUESDAY A DISTURBANCE APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL PULL IN BETTER
MOISTURE. INSTABILITY WILL INCREASE AS THIS WAVE INTERACTS WITH THIS
MOISTURE. A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS MONDAY NIGHT...
THEN THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE ON TUESDAY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS IS NOT AN OVERLY
COLD SYSTEM...SO SNOW LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY SHOULD GENERALLY REMAIN
ABOVE THE BURN SITE. HOWEVER CONVECTIVE SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE GRAUPEL
OR SNOW PELLETS AT TIMES. A DUSTING OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 2-6 MPH UNTIL 1030...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 3-8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL NOON...THEN FAIR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN INCREASING TO
                    5800 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%)...BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY TOWARDS MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (31700 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH...INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1000...THEN BECOMING VERY GOOD.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...RUSTY STARK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.ROANP.01/GJT




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