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000
FNUS75 KGJT 022308
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TIEHACK...PITKIN COUNTY SHERIFF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
508 PM MDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1649 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY
NORTH TO NORTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS AS THEY MOVE ALONG AT
10 TO 15 MPH. THE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AFTER 0300 MONDAY
MORNING...BUT REDEVELOP BY MIDDAY MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.

TIME (MDT)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
SKY (%).........99  96  95  96  96  98  99  98  92  85  79  77
WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP............61  62  63  60  57  55  54  53  52  51  50  49

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...JESSE STEINDLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150802.TIEHA.02/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 022308
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TIEHACK...PITKIN COUNTY SHERIFF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
508 PM MDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1649 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING SLOWLY
NORTH TO NORTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS AS THEY MOVE ALONG AT
10 TO 15 MPH. THE SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AFTER 0300 MONDAY
MORNING...BUT REDEVELOP BY MIDDAY MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.

TIME (MDT)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
SKY (%).........99  96  95  96  96  98  99  98  92  85  79  77
WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM NUM SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
TEMP............61  62  63  60  57  55  54  53  52  51  50  49

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48 F.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...JESSE STEINDLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150802.TIEHA.02/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 022119
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FS RD 1121 EVENT...GARCO CORONERS OFFCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
319 PM MDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1458 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE DRIVING NORTH ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO IS
EXPECTED TO BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THE HIGHER TERRAIN SURROUNDING
THE CAMPGROUND WILL SEE MORE ACTIVITY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BUT SHOWERS AREA EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE VICINITY OF
THE CAMPGROUND AFTER 1900. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
                    INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING (AFTER 1900). STORMS
                    WILL BE SCATTERED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
                    SURROUNDING THE CAMPGROUND THE REST OF THIS
                    AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS TO 45 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2100 WITH
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 2-6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...LANNY GRANT
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150802.FSRD1.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 022119
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FS RD 1121 EVENT...GARCO CORONERS OFFCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
319 PM MDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1458 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE DRIVING NORTH ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO IS
EXPECTED TO BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THE HIGHER TERRAIN SURROUNDING
THE CAMPGROUND WILL SEE MORE ACTIVITY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BUT SHOWERS AREA EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE VICINITY OF
THE CAMPGROUND AFTER 1900. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
                    INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING (AFTER 1900). STORMS
                    WILL BE SCATTERED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
                    SURROUNDING THE CAMPGROUND THE REST OF THIS
                    AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS TO 45 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2100 WITH
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 2-6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...LANNY GRANT
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150802.FSRD1.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 022119
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FS RD 1121 EVENT...GARCO CORONERS OFFCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
319 PM MDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1458 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE DRIVING NORTH ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO IS
EXPECTED TO BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THE HIGHER TERRAIN SURROUNDING
THE CAMPGROUND WILL SEE MORE ACTIVITY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BUT SHOWERS AREA EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE VICINITY OF
THE CAMPGROUND AFTER 1900. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
                    INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING (AFTER 1900). STORMS
                    WILL BE SCATTERED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
                    SURROUNDING THE CAMPGROUND THE REST OF THIS
                    AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS TO 45 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2100 WITH
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 2-6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...LANNY GRANT
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150802.FSRD1.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 022119
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FS RD 1121 EVENT...GARCO CORONERS OFFCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
319 PM MDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1458 MDT ON AUGUST 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE DRIVING NORTH ACROSS WESTERN COLORADO IS
EXPECTED TO BRING AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THE HIGHER TERRAIN SURROUNDING
THE CAMPGROUND WILL SEE MORE ACTIVITY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...BUT SHOWERS AREA EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE VICINITY OF
THE CAMPGROUND AFTER 1900. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING
                    INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING (AFTER 1900). STORMS
                    WILL BE SCATTERED OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
                    SURROUNDING THE CAMPGROUND THE REST OF THIS
                    AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS TO 45 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2100 WITH
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 2-6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...LANNY GRANT
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150802.FSRD1.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 020132
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNCOMPAHGRE PEAK SAR...GUNNISON COUNTY WMR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
732 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1909 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS SOUTHWEST COLORADO WILL
BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. THERE WILL BE WINDOWS WHERE PRECIPITATION WILL LET UP
AND CEILING WILL LIFT...WITH THE BEST OPPORTUNITY BETWEEN 0600 AND
1000 SUNDAY MORNING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
                    POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84%.
CEILINGS............AOB 16K MSL WITH FREQUENT MOUNTAIN TOP
                    OBSCURATION.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS UP TO
                    45 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AFTER 1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61%.
CEILINGS............AOA 20K MSL UNTIL 1000...THEN CIGS DROPPING
                    BELOW 18K MSL WITH MOUNTAIN TOPS BECOMING
                    OBSCURED AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    INCREASE IN COVERAGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 2-6 MPH UNTIL 0800...
                    THEN NORTH WINDS...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    BY 1400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 45 MPH
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................5.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 MPH.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........75  78  80  84  89  90  100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT LKY LKY LKY LKY
TEMP............46  47  47  49  52  54  56  56  55  53  52  52
RH..............76  76  80  77  69  64  59  60  63  69  72  73
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   N   N   NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............2   2   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5


$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS M VIA NWS GJT
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150801.UNCOM.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 020132
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNCOMPAHGRE PEAK SAR...GUNNISON COUNTY WMR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
732 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1909 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS SOUTHWEST COLORADO WILL
BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS. THERE WILL BE WINDOWS WHERE PRECIPITATION WILL LET UP
AND CEILING WILL LIFT...WITH THE BEST OPPORTUNITY BETWEEN 0600 AND
1000 SUNDAY MORNING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
                    POSSIBLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84%.
CEILINGS............AOB 16K MSL WITH FREQUENT MOUNTAIN TOP
                    OBSCURATION.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS UP TO
                    45 MPH EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AFTER 1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61%.
CEILINGS............AOA 20K MSL UNTIL 1000...THEN CIGS DROPPING
                    BELOW 18K MSL WITH MOUNTAIN TOPS BECOMING
                    OBSCURED AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    INCREASE IN COVERAGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 2-6 MPH UNTIL 0800...
                    THEN NORTH WINDS...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    BY 1400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 45 MPH
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................5.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 MPH.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........75  78  80  84  89  90  100 100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV.....SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT LKY LKY LKY LKY
TEMP............46  47  47  49  52  54  56  56  55  53  52  52
RH..............76  76  80  77  69  64  59  60  63  69  72  73
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  W   N   N   NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............2   2   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5


$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS M VIA NWS GJT
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150801.UNCOM.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 012128
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK BEAR PASS...SAN MIGUEL SO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
328 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1523 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTH OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THIS WILL KEEP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE REGION
THROUGH TONIGHT AND DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED BY MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE SHOWERS FROM
1530 UNTIL 1730 THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SHOWERS THEN EXPECTED OFF AND
ON THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH VIA NWS GJT
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150801.BLACK.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 012128
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK BEAR PASS...SAN MIGUEL SO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
328 PM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1523 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTH OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. THIS WILL KEEP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE REGION
THROUGH TONIGHT AND DURING THE DAY ON SUNDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED BY MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE SHOWERS FROM
1530 UNTIL 1730 THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SHOWERS THEN EXPECTED OFF AND
ON THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF COLTON
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH VIA NWS GJT
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150801.BLACK.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 011723
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAY CANYON...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1123 AM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1050 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY WORK NORTHWARD TOWARD NORTHWEST COLORADO
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WITH HUMIDITY LEVELS IN
THE LOWER TEENS WILL IMPROVE A BIT BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR 90 DEGREES. THIS MOISTURE
WILL LEAD TO ISOLATED STORMS WITH THE BETTER CHANCES OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF THE FIRE. ORGANIZED OUTFLOW FROM THESE
STORMS COULD AFFECT FIRE BUT CONFIDENCE LOW. FORECAST WINDS
TODAY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...WITH EAST COMPONENT TO WINDS MORE
LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS FLOW ALOFT CHANGES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 92 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 TO 15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING UPVALLEY/NORTHEAST
                    AROUND NOON THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS FROM MID MORNING ONWARD.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING UPVALLEY/NORTHEAST
                    AROUND NOON. GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR AFTER 1200.
LAL.................1 THEN 2 AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL LANDGREN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150801.HAYCA.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 011723
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAY CANYON...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1123 AM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1050 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY WORK NORTHWARD TOWARD NORTHWEST COLORADO
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WITH HUMIDITY LEVELS IN
THE LOWER TEENS WILL IMPROVE A BIT BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR 90 DEGREES. THIS MOISTURE
WILL LEAD TO ISOLATED STORMS WITH THE BETTER CHANCES OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF THE FIRE. ORGANIZED OUTFLOW FROM THESE
STORMS COULD AFFECT FIRE BUT CONFIDENCE LOW. FORECAST WINDS
TODAY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...WITH EAST COMPONENT TO WINDS MORE
LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS FLOW ALOFT CHANGES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 92 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 TO 15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING UPVALLEY/NORTHEAST
                    AROUND NOON THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS FROM MID MORNING ONWARD.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING UPVALLEY/NORTHEAST
                    AROUND NOON. GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR AFTER 1200.
LAL.................1 THEN 2 AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL LANDGREN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150801.HAYCA.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 011723
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAY CANYON...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1123 AM MDT SAT AUG 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1050 MDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MOISTURE WILL SLOWLY WORK NORTHWARD TOWARD NORTHWEST COLORADO
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. DRY CONDITIONS WITH HUMIDITY LEVELS IN
THE LOWER TEENS WILL IMPROVE A BIT BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THOUGH
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR 90 DEGREES. THIS MOISTURE
WILL LEAD TO ISOLATED STORMS WITH THE BETTER CHANCES OVER THE
HIGHER TERRAIN SOUTH OF THE FIRE. ORGANIZED OUTFLOW FROM THESE
STORMS COULD AFFECT FIRE BUT CONFIDENCE LOW. FORECAST WINDS
TODAY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY...WITH EAST COMPONENT TO WINDS MORE
LIKELY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS FLOW ALOFT CHANGES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 92 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 TO 15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING UPVALLEY/NORTHEAST
                    AROUND NOON THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........54-59%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS FROM MID MORNING ONWARD.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 90 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING UPVALLEY/NORTHEAST
                    AROUND NOON. GUSTS UP TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR AFTER 1200.
LAL.................1 THEN 2 AFTER 1100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL LANDGREN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150801.HAYCA.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 311801
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAY CANYON...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1201 PM MDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1127 MDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER NORTHWEST
COLORADO AS ANY SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING INTO COLORADO WILL
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR TODAY...AND SOUTH OF THE
TAVAPUTS PLATEAU ON SATURDAY. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
ACROSS THE BURN AREA ON SATURDAY FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES.

.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12200 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150731.HAYCA.03/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 311801
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAY CANYON...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1201 PM MDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1127 MDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER NORTHWEST
COLORADO AS ANY SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING INTO COLORADO WILL
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR TODAY...AND SOUTH OF THE
TAVAPUTS PLATEAU ON SATURDAY. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
ACROSS THE BURN AREA ON SATURDAY FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES.

.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12200 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150731.HAYCA.03/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 311801
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAY CANYON...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1201 PM MDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1127 MDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER NORTHWEST
COLORADO AS ANY SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING INTO COLORADO WILL
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR TODAY...AND SOUTH OF THE
TAVAPUTS PLATEAU ON SATURDAY. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
ACROSS THE BURN AREA ON SATURDAY FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES.

.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12200 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150731.HAYCA.03/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 311801
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAY CANYON...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1201 PM MDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1127 MDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER NORTHWEST
COLORADO AS ANY SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING INTO COLORADO WILL
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE I-70 CORRIDOR TODAY...AND SOUTH OF THE
TAVAPUTS PLATEAU ON SATURDAY. SOME HIGH CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
ACROSS THE BURN AREA ON SATURDAY FOR SLIGHTLY HIGHER RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES.

.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12200 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 3-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    5-10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.
LAL.................1.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150731.HAYCA.03/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 311501
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAN MIGUEL SAR...SAN MIGUEL SO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
901 AM MDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0848 MDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON AS MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH SPILLS OVER THE SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN...BUT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG AND ERRATIC OUTFLOWS.

.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY 1200. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY AROUND 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AT 7000 FT: AROUND 85 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. AFTER 1200...BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH. STRONG AND ERRATIC
                    OUTFLOW WINDS EXPECTED FROM THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AT 7000 FEET: 50-55 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150731.SANMI.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 311501
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAN MIGUEL SAR...SAN MIGUEL SO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
901 AM MDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0848 MDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON AS MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH SPILLS OVER THE SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN...BUT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG AND ERRATIC OUTFLOWS.

.TODAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY 1200. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY AROUND 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AT 7000 FT: AROUND 85 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. AFTER 1200...BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH. STRONG AND ERRATIC
                    OUTFLOW WINDS EXPECTED FROM THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AT 7000 FEET: 50-55 F.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150731.SANMI.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 310255
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WICKIUP...DURANGO DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
855 PM MDT THU JUL 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2024 MDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOME SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER THIS EVENING WITH
MOISTURE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTH. MOST ACTIVITY WILL END BY
MIDNIGHT BUT SOME MAY LINGER BEYOND THAT WITH LIGHT RAIN EXPECTED.
EXPECT GREATER CHANCES FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON
FRIDAY. STORMS WILL DEVELOP INITIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE DRIFTING AND FORMING OVER VALLEYS AFTER 3
PM. CONFIDENCE OF WETTING RAIN ON THE FIRE SITE IS 30 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (26500 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (28700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0700...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MATT ALEKSA
REQUESTED BY...LEATHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150730.WICKI.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 310255
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WICKIUP...DURANGO DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
855 PM MDT THU JUL 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2024 MDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOME SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER THIS EVENING WITH
MOISTURE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTH. MOST ACTIVITY WILL END BY
MIDNIGHT BUT SOME MAY LINGER BEYOND THAT WITH LIGHT RAIN EXPECTED.
EXPECT GREATER CHANCES FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON
FRIDAY. STORMS WILL DEVELOP INITIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE DRIFTING AND FORMING OVER VALLEYS AFTER 3
PM. CONFIDENCE OF WETTING RAIN ON THE FIRE SITE IS 30 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (26500 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (28700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0700...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MATT ALEKSA
REQUESTED BY...LEATHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150730.WICKI.01/GJT




000
FNUS75 KGJT 310255
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WICKIUP...DURANGO DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
855 PM MDT THU JUL 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2024 MDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOME SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER THIS EVENING WITH
MOISTURE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTH. MOST ACTIVITY WILL END BY
MIDNIGHT BUT SOME MAY LINGER BEYOND THAT WITH LIGHT RAIN EXPECTED.
EXPECT GREATER CHANCES FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON
FRIDAY. STORMS WILL DEVELOP INITIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE DRIFTING AND FORMING OVER VALLEYS AFTER 3
PM. CONFIDENCE OF WETTING RAIN ON THE FIRE SITE IS 30 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (26500 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (28700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0700...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MATT ALEKSA
REQUESTED BY...LEATHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150730.WICKI.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 310255
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR WICKIUP...DURANGO DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
855 PM MDT THU JUL 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2024 MDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOME SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER THIS EVENING WITH
MOISTURE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTH. MOST ACTIVITY WILL END BY
MIDNIGHT BUT SOME MAY LINGER BEYOND THAT WITH LIGHT RAIN EXPECTED.
EXPECT GREATER CHANCES FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON
FRIDAY. STORMS WILL DEVELOP INITIALLY OVER HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE
EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE DRIFTING AND FORMING OVER VALLEYS AFTER 3
PM. CONFIDENCE OF WETTING RAIN ON THE FIRE SITE IS 30 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (26500 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (28700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 0700...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12600 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MATT ALEKSA
REQUESTED BY...LEATHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150730.WICKI.01/GJT




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