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000
FNUS75 KGJT 050404
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLER CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1004 PM MDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE DAY WILL BEGIN WITH HIGH PRESSURE MOVING EAST OF
THE AREA. BY EARLY AFTERNOON SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF THE NEXT TROUGH
WILL INCREASE OVER THE AREA. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT
AND INCREASE FRIDAY. MOISTURE WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. SOUTH WINDS WILL BE STRONGER FRIDAY WITH
AND INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. STORMS TONIGHT
AND FRIDAY SHOULD BE HIGH BASED WITH GUSTY WINDS AND ONLY LIGHT
PRECIPITATION REACHING THE GROUND

.TODAY (THURSDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 9 AM THEN FAIR. INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD ABOUT 2 PM.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13400 FT AGL ABOUT
                    2 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO POOR BY 9 PM.
LAL.................2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......13000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70%). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 9 AM THEN FAIR. INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT BY 2 PM.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHRIS CUOCO
REQUESTED BY...RYAN HUGHES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.MILLE.02/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 050354
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PARKER BASIN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
954 PM MDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2126 MDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BREAKS DOWN ON THURSDAY AND
SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS WILL INCREASE. MARGINAL MOISTURE AND
AFTERNOON INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE FOR ISOLATED MOUNTAIN STORMS.
THESE LATE-DAY STORMS WILL BE HIGH BASED THREATENING LOCAL GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS BUT LITTLE RAIN. CHANCES OF RAIN INCREASE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY SATURDAY. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES/RH
DROP/RISE BOTH DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 3-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    ERRATIC WINDS NEAR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 2-5 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO EXCELLENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 15500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK KIERAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.PARKE.03/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 042002
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BATTLEMENTS...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
202 PM MDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN THURSDAY WITH SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. A DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BE LARGELY TERRAIN DRIVEN
THURSDAY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING FRIDAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE CENTER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH
1000... BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH BY 1200 MDT. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE
DISPERSAL.....POOR (30800 KNOT-FT)...BECOMING FAIR BY 1000
MDT...INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1200 MDT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL BY
1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SMOKE
DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (19000 KNOT-FT) BY 2000 MDT. HAINES
INDEX........4 LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL DECREASING TO
1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) AND COOLER. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 1000...
                    THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (16100-31900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN METZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160505.BATTL.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 042002
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BATTLEMENTS...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
202 PM MDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN THURSDAY WITH SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER HIGHER TERRAIN DURING THE
AFTERNOON. A DISTURBANCE WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BE LARGELY TERRAIN DRIVEN
THURSDAY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOPING FRIDAY AHEAD OF AN
APPROACHING PACIFIC LOW PRESSURE CENTER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH
1000... BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4 TO 8 MPH BY 1200 MDT. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. SMOKE
DISPERSAL.....POOR (30800 KNOT-FT)...BECOMING FAIR BY 1000
MDT...INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1200 MDT. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL BY
1400. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SMOKE
DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR (19000 KNOT-FT) BY 2000 MDT. HAINES
INDEX........4 LOW. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL DECREASING TO
1400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) AND COOLER. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 1000...
                    THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (16100-31900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
LAL.................4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN METZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160505.BATTL.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 041523
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MILLER CREEK RX...USFS, WHITE RIVER NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
923 AM MDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0850 MDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL BRING SUNNY AND
WARM CONDITIONS WITH TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS TODAY FOLLOWED BY MOSTLY
CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT. CLOUDS AND TEMPERATURES INCREASE THURSDAY AS
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING UPSLOPE/
                    UPVALLEY AROUND 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR BY 1100...INCREASING TO VERY
                    GOOD BY 1500.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 5 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7900-12500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR BY
                    1000...PEAKING AT VERY GOOD FROM 1200 TO 1300.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 12500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...TONI TOELLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.MILLE.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 041446
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR ISLAND IN SKY...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
846 AM MDT WED MAY 4 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0832 MDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING SUNNY AND WARM CONDITIONS
TO THE AREA TODAY. WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT AND TERRAIN
DRIVEN THROUGH 24 HOURS. CLOUDS AND WINDS INCREASE FOR THURSDAY.

...NOTE: CENTER POINT FOR THIS FORECAST BASED ON LOCATION OF THE
ISLAND IN THE SKY VISITOR CENTER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (70-80%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3 TO 5 MPH THROUGH 1000
                    BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...MARK HASSEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20160504.ISLAN.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 032257
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PARKER BASIN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
457 PM MDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVERHEAD ON WEDNESDAY THEN
WILL SHIFT SLOWLY ONTO THE PLAINS ON THURSDAY AS THE NEXT STORM
SYSTEM WORKS DOWN THE CALIFORNIA COAST. THE DRY WARMING TREND
CONTINUES THROUGH THURSDAY. RELATIVELY LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
ON WEDNESDAY WILL LIKELY NOT OVERCOME UPSLOPE WINDS... BUT
INCREASING SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS ON THURSDAY PROBABLY WILL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BY 1100 BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15800 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    3-8 MPH WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (31100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK KIERAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.PARKE.02/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 032257
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PARKER BASIN...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
457 PM MDT TUE MAY 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE OVERHEAD ON WEDNESDAY THEN
WILL SHIFT SLOWLY ONTO THE PLAINS ON THURSDAY AS THE NEXT STORM
SYSTEM WORKS DOWN THE CALIFORNIA COAST. THE DRY WARMING TREND
CONTINUES THROUGH THURSDAY. RELATIVELY LIGHT SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
ON WEDNESDAY WILL LIKELY NOT OVERCOME UPSLOPE WINDS... BUT
INCREASING SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS ON THURSDAY PROBABLY WILL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-24%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 2-5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR BY 1100 BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........63-68%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15800 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH MAINLY HIGH CLOUDS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-21%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    3-8 MPH WITH ISOLATED AFTERNOON GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (31100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK KIERAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160504.PARKE.02/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 030235
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTONWOOD PILES...MOAB/MONTICELLO RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
835 PM MDT MON MAY 2 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST ON TUESDAY
BRINGING A WARMING AND DRYING TREND THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NORTHEAST
FLOW ALOFT ON TUESDAY TURNS TO SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. AFTERNOON
MIXING WILL COLLAPSE QUICKLY NEAR SUNSET.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 2-5 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 2-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CLEARING INDEX......300 AT 0900 INCREASING TO 650 IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 2-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    4-8 MPH WITH AFTERNOON GUSTS 15-20 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......BECOMING 1000+ AFTER NOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN PHILLIPS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160503.COTTO.01/GJT





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