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000
FNUS75 KGJT 252036
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUCKEYE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
236 PM MDT WED MAY 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON MAY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS FROM CENTRAL ARIZONA
TO THE PIKES PEAK REGION DURING THE DAY. AS A RESULT...CLOUDS AND
SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS...TEMPERATURES WILL COOL...AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL SHIFT UPWARD. HIGHER TERRAIN TO THE WEST WILL
BE FAVORED FOR STORM ACTIVITY WITH CELLS DRIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN
THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY (THURSDAY)...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (60-70%). ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST BY 1300. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8900-41100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR
                    BY 0900...THEN BECOMING GOOD BY 1100.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...NORV LARSON
REQUESTED BY...MARK HASSEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160526.BUCKE.01/GJT





000
FNUS75 KGJT 251804
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RMA SOUTH CANYON STAFF RIDE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1204 PM MDT WED MAY 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1107 MDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A LOW PRESSURE DISTURBANCE THAT IS OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA TODAY...WILL APPROACH THE FOUR CORNERS TONIGHT THEN
MOVE OVER SOUTHWEST COLORADO/NORTHWEST NEW MEXICO ON THURSDAY. AS
A RESULT LOOK FOR AN INCREASING CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THURSDAY. THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE
LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60%) IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F IN THE VALLEY BOTTOM...60-65 AT 7200 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 3-6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 4-8
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................1 IN THE MORNING...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...PAUL HOHN
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20160525.RMASO.01/GJT





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