000
FNUS75 KGJT 241354
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
754 AM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0725 MDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
DRY SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL KEEP ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
GUSTY WINDS IN PLACE TODAY INTO SATURDAY. HIGHS EACH DAY
WILL APPROACH THE 80 DEGREE MARK LEAVING AFTERNOON HUMIDITY
READINGS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO THE LOWER TEENS. SHALLOW INVERSIONS
SHOULD FORM AFTER SUNSET ALLOWING LIGHTER TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
TO FORM...ONLY TO MIX OUT BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS. THE MIXING
SHOULD LEAD TO HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS AND SOUTHWEST TRANSPORT WINDS
AROUND 30 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 80 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12% AFTER 1200.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH 1000 THEN
                    INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL THROUGH 1000 THEN INCREASING TO
                    13100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH 1000 THEN INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST AT 26 MPH AFTER 1200.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........30-35%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH THROUGH 2000 THEN DECREASING TO 5 TO 10
                    MPH BY MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11300 FT AGL THROUGH 1900 THEN DECREASING TO
                    LESS THAN 2000 FT AGL BY LATE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH THROUGH 2000 THEN DECREASING
                    TO 5 TO 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH OR DOWN VALLEY AT 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH
                    1000 THEN INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST AT 15 TO 20
                    WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH AFTER 1200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL THROUGH 2000 THEN INCREASING TO
                    13300 FT AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....DOWNVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH 1000 THEN
                    INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 30 MPH BY 1200.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...JENNA BECKERMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130524.BIG__.01/GJT

000
FNUS75 KGJT 241351
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINEY RIVER...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
751 AM MDT FRI MAY 24 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0724 MDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TODAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO THURSDAY BUT WITH A BIT
LESS WIND. THE SURFACE-BASED INVERSION FROM LAST NIGHT WILL BREAK
QUICKLY THIS MORNING ALLOWING THE SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS TO MIX
DOWN ONTO THE FIRE THIS MORNING. UNDER SUNNY SKIES AND TEMPERATURES
AND HUMIDITY WILL BE SIMILAR...WARMER AND DRIER THAN NORMAL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-9%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 3-8 MPH. THEN BY 1000 SHIFTING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
                    THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...DON SCRONEK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130524.PINEY.01/GJT

000
FNUS75 KGJT 232305
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
505 PM MDT THU MAY 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1626 MDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE
INTO THE WEEKEND AS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH SITS ALONG THE WEST
COAST. DUE TO DEEP MIXING EACH DAY STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL REACH
INTO THE VALLEYS EACH AFTERNOON. ENHANCING THE WINDS THIS
AFTERNOON...A DISTURBANCE EJECTING NORTHEAST FROM AROUND THE BASE
OF THE TROUGH WILL BRUSH THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING.
WINDS WILL DIMINISH AS THE SUN SETS. HOWEVER SOME GUSTINESS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT. GUSTY WINDS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT WILL NOT BE QUITE AS STRONG. WARM...DRY AND WINDY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.THIS AFTERNOON (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85 F. TEMPERATURE LOWERING TO AROUND
                    68-70 F BY SUNSET.
MIN HUMIDITY........6-8%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTH WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    30-35 MPH...SOME GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 35 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........28-33%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8-10 MPH. OCCASIONAL GUSTS 20-25 MPH
                    UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.


.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-83 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-11%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL AROUND 1000...THEN
                    INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH MPH WITH GUSTS
                    25-30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...PAT BUTLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130523.BIG__.01/GJT

000
FNUS75 KGJT 231615
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR RED BOOK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1015 AM MDT THU MAY 23 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0937 MDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE WEST COAST HAS
TIGHTENED THE SOUTHWEST GRADIENT WINDS OVER THE REGION. A WIND
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTHWEST COLORADO INCLUDING THE FIRE
SITE WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY WILL
ALSO BE QUITE LOW. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE IN PLACE
EXCEPT FUELS STATUS IS NON-CRITICAL. WINDS WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
THIS EVENING. THE SURFACE BASED INVERSIONS WILL BE WEAK HOWEVER,
SO AN OCCASIONAL WIND GUST IS POSSIBLE AND RH RECOVERY WILL BE
POOR. DRY...WARM...AND GUSTY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN LATE
FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EACH DAY INTO NEXT
WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-12%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST INCREASING 8-15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........6 HIGH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 13500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 35 MPH.

.TONIGHT AFTER SUNSET...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 2-5 MPH BUT WITH PERIODS OF WIND
                    GUSTS IN THE 20-30 MPH RANGE.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL EXCEPT TO 3000 FEET
                    IN WIND GUSTS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 16
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JOE RAMEY
REQUESTED BY...DEZARAE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130523.REDBO.01/GJT

000
FNUS75 KGJT 230416
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR GRIZZLY RIDGE TRAINING...ASHLEY NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1016 PM MDT WED MAY 22 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1654 MDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...STRONG GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE TODAY...THEN REMAIN
STRONG THROUGH FRIDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH PARKS ALONG THE
WEST COAST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. VERY STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL
MIX TO THE SURFACE BY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL RELAX SOMEWHAT ON
FRIDAY...BUT STRONG AFTERNOON GUSTS WILL AGAIN BE EXPECTED. ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL ALLOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TO DROP
INTO THE MID TEENS ON THURSDAY AND THE LOWER TEENS ON FRIDAY.


.THURSDAY (UNTIL SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY
                    (20-30%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-17%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTH WINDS 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS 18-25
                    MPH UNTIL NOON...THEN INCREASING TO 18-25 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO UP TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 1050 BY THE LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0930...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 10400 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 42 MPH.

.TONIGHT (AFTER SUNSET)...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........38-43%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    TO 35 MPH...DECREASING TO 10-15 MPH BY
                    2200.
CLEARING INDEX......200.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INITIALLY 3000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 1000 FT
                    AGL BY MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 39 MPH DECREASING TO 24 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 12-18 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON
                    WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
CLEARING INDEX......INCREASING TO 1050 IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL UNTIL 930...THEN INCREASING TO
                    8800 FT AGL IN AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 MPH INCREASING TO 28 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS DEETS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130522.GRIZZ.01/GJT

000
FNUS75 KGJT 221140
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG BLUE...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
540 AM MDT WED MAY 22 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0359 MDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND WARMER SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THIS WEEKEND. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (30-40%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11600 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (298100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 18200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........52-57%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (183800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (22100-22700 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1600-1700 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JIM PRINGLE
REQUESTED BY...CO-MTC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130522.BIGBL.01/GJT