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000
FNUS73 KGRR 231149
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR RIVERSIDE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
749 AM EDT THU OCT 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BURN OFF THIS MORNING
LEAVING A MOSTLY SUNNY SKY FOR A TIME. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL BRING A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT...WITH AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.  RAINFALL
AMOUNTS SHOULD BE QUITE LIGHT...LESS THAN 0.05. OTHERWISE DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY AND FRIDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE
MIDDLE 50S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................85 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11
                    MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1800-2300
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........39     44     50     68     86
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............40     48     53     54     51
RH..............85     73     66     64     71
20 FT WIND......SE 9   S 10   S 10   S 10   SE 9
20 FT GUST......10            15            10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.
RH..................MIN 72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...NOLAN BUCKINGHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141023.RIVER.01/GRR








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