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000
FNUS73 KGRR 291233
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ALLEGAN RX...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
833 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE FRONT WILL PUSH A BAND OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE AREA AND USHER IN COOLER AIR FOR TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY. THE RAIN BAND SHOULD MOVE THROUGH ALLEGAN COUNTY AFTER
10 PM THIS EVENING. THE RAIN WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM TRACE AMOUNTS
TO A TENTH OR SO. A COOL AND MOSTLY CLOUDY DAY CAN BE EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING NEAR 60 DEGREES. WEDNESDAY WILL
BE WARMER AND DRY WITH HIGHS NEAR 70. SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS
WILL MOVE THROUGH ON THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12
                    TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300-1800
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

TIME (EDT)      3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........25     42     59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     73     67
RH..............59     59     73
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 11   NW 12
20 FT GUST......15            15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 14 TO 18 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.
RH..................MIN 77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).

$$
FORECASTER...MARINO
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140929.ALLEG.01/GRR







000
FNUS73 KGRR 291233
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ALLEGAN RX...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
833 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE FRONT WILL PUSH A BAND OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE AREA AND USHER IN COOLER AIR FOR TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY. THE RAIN BAND SHOULD MOVE THROUGH ALLEGAN COUNTY AFTER
10 PM THIS EVENING. THE RAIN WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM TRACE AMOUNTS
TO A TENTH OR SO. A COOL AND MOSTLY CLOUDY DAY CAN BE EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING NEAR 60 DEGREES. WEDNESDAY WILL
BE WARMER AND DRY WITH HIGHS NEAR 70. SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS
WILL MOVE THROUGH ON THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12
                    TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300-1800
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

TIME (EDT)      3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........25     42     59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     73     67
RH..............59     59     73
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 11   NW 12
20 FT GUST......15            15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 14 TO 18 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.
RH..................MIN 77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).

$$
FORECASTER...MARINO
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140929.ALLEG.01/GRR








000
FNUS73 KGRR 291200
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR FORT CUSTER RX...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
800 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY
WITH WESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BURN AREA BETWEEN 800 PM AND 1000 PM
WHICH WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY...BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN DRY
THROUGH SUNSET. A BAND OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL TRAVERSE THE AREA
BETWEEN 800 PM AND MIDNIGHT. AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT...FROM TRACE
VALUES TO MAYBE A TENTH OF AN INCH. A COOLER AND CLOUDY DAY IS
EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. HIGHS TODAY WILL PUSH INTO THE UPPER 70S. ON
TUESDAY HIGHS WILL ONLY TOP OUT AROUND 60.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.
RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH
                    LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4800-5300
                    FT AGL DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 500-700
                    (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR) IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........15     16     22     30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............69     74     75     73
RH..............56     52     52     55
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 10   W 13   W 12
20 FT GUST......              15     15
HAINES INDEX....4      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 TO 14 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140929.FORTC.01/GRR








000
FNUS73 KGRR 291200
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR FORT CUSTER RX...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
800 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY
WITH WESTERLY WINDS EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. THE COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE BURN AREA BETWEEN 800 PM AND 1000 PM
WHICH WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO THE NORTHWEST. CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY
INCREASE THROUGH THE COURSE OF THE DAY...BUT IT SHOULD REMAIN DRY
THROUGH SUNSET. A BAND OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL TRAVERSE THE AREA
BETWEEN 800 PM AND MIDNIGHT. AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT...FROM TRACE
VALUES TO MAYBE A TENTH OF AN INCH. A COOLER AND CLOUDY DAY IS
EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. HIGHS TODAY WILL PUSH INTO THE UPPER 70S. ON
TUESDAY HIGHS WILL ONLY TOP OUT AROUND 60.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 77.
RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 18 MPH
                    LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4800-5300
                    FT AGL DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD) INCREASING TO 500-700
                    (GOOD TO EXCELLENT) IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 200 (FAIR) IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........15     16     22     30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............69     74     75     73
RH..............56     52     52     55
20 FT WIND......W 6    W 10   W 13   W 12
20 FT GUST......              15     15
HAINES INDEX....4      3      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 47.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 TO 14 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).

$$
FORECASTER...DUKE
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140929.FORTC.01/GRR







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