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000
FNUS72 KGSP 291532
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR MATTHEWS BRANCH...GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAINS NP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1132 AM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

...DRIER AND COOLER ON THURSDAY...

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON OCTOBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TODAY...FOLLOWED
BY A COOL AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. A COLDER HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BUILD
IN FROM THE NORTHWEST FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL
                    LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............6      0      34     16     9      8
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................51     48     43     40     38     37
RH..................74     79     87     92     92     91
20 FT WIND..........NW 5   NW 3   NW 4   NW 5   NW 5   NW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........2300   2500   1500   1000   800    500
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 13  NW 14  NW 15  NW 16  NW 18  NW 15
LVORI...............3      4      5      6      6      5
ADI.................34     9      7      7      8      7

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2800-4200 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............8      9      5      2      2      2
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................34     31     34     44     55     59
RH..................97     100    98     70     46     40
20 FT WIND..........NW 3   W 2    NW 3   N 4    N 5    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10     10     10     15
MIX HGT (FT)........300    300    500    1700   3900   4100
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 9   NW 3   NW 6   NW 8   NW 7   NW 6
LVORI...............7      9      9      3      2      2
ADI.................4      4      4      18     25     22

$$
FORECASTER...LANE
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS HARTSBURG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141030.MATTH.01/GSP





000
FNUS72 KGSP 281251
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR FALL...BIA-E. CHEROKEE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
851 AM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0840 EDT ON OCTOBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...000
TTAA00 KCAE 280744

WARM SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION
ON WEDNESDAY. THEN A LARGE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM
THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE WEEK AND PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...RESULTING IN BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6500-6700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............21     22     31     30     19
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP................54     63     71     75     75
RH..................83     69     47     38     36
20 FT WIND..........S 3    SW 5   SW 5   SW 6   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     10     15     10
MIX HGT (FT)........1400   3600   5300   6300   6700
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 14  SW 18  SW 20  SW 20  SW 16
LVORI...............4      1      1      1      1
ADI.................24     65     83     89     75

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-1200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............26     41     61     69     72     67
WEATHER COV.........                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP................71     63     59     56     54     54
RH..................43     59     71     79     83     84
20 FT WIND..........SW 5   S 3    S 4    SW 4   SW 4   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)........5500   3300   1900   1100   800    400
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 14  SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   SW 10  SW 8
LVORI...............1      3      3      4      4      5
ADI.................60     6      6      6      7      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3200-4500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............70     82     88     88     81     50
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TEMP................53     50     56     60     60     61
RH..................87     100    82     69     64     57
20 FT WIND..........W 2    NW 2   N 3    N 4    N 5    NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      10     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........300    400    2200   3500   4100   4300
TRANSPORT WIND......W 6    NW 5   NW 8   W 10   NW 10  NW 10
LVORI...............6      9      3      3      1      1
ADI.................3      4      21     36     39     40

$$
FORECASTER...TOMKO
REQUESTED BY...REESE KERBOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141028.FALL_.01/GSP





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