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000
FNUS72 KGSP 282138
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVERMINE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
538 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1726 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY.  THE PASSING COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY
DELAY INVERSION EROSION ON FRIDAY TO AROUND THE NOON HOUR. A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST LATE SATURDAY WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
GREATLY AT THAT POINT...LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY.  FCST RAINFALL AMOUNTS
RANGE FROM 1 TO 1.5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
ADJACENT TO ANY THUNDERSTORMS.  THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL INCREASE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...MAXIMIZING ON SUNDAY WHERE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE FCST.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-4000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 21
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............21     20     9      6      8      20
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................55     58     65     71     75     76
RH..................87     78     59     47     38     38
20 FT WIND..........NW 7   NW 6   NW 6   NW 6   NW 6   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........400    600    1800   2900   3900   4000
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 8   NW 9   NW 16  NW 21  NW 20  NW 21

$$
FORECASTER...GANT
REQUESTED BY...DAVID GREATHOUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160428.SILVE.01/GSP





000
FNUS72 KGSP 282138
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVERMINE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
538 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1726 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...WITH HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN FRIDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY.  THE PASSING COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY
DELAY INVERSION EROSION ON FRIDAY TO AROUND THE NOON HOUR. A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST LATE SATURDAY WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING
GREATLY AT THAT POINT...LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY.  FCST RAINFALL AMOUNTS
RANGE FROM 1 TO 1.5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
ADJACENT TO ANY THUNDERSTORMS.  THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL INCREASE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...MAXIMIZING ON SUNDAY WHERE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS ARE FCST.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2500-4000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO 20 TO 21
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............21     20     9      6      8      20
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................55     58     65     71     75     76
RH..................87     78     59     47     38     38
20 FT WIND..........NW 7   NW 6   NW 6   NW 6   NW 6   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........400    600    1800   2900   3900   4000
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 8   NW 9   NW 16  NW 21  NW 20  NW 21

$$
FORECASTER...GANT
REQUESTED BY...DAVID GREATHOUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160428.SILVE.01/GSP





000
FNUS72 KGSP 280040
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAZEL CREEK SAR...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
840 PM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 2035 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WILL LINGER OVER KENTUCKY AND VIRGINIA
THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT CROSSES THURSDAY EVENING WITH HIGH
PRESSURE BRIEFLY IN CONTROL FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. EXPECT LOW
PRESSURE TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST OVER THE WEEKEND.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (EDT)          7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).............53     61     73     82     87     89
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................75     71     66     64     62     60
RH..................54     62     74     77     84     89
20 FT WIND..........SW 3   S 3    SE 4   SE 5   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING WEST 5
                    TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............87     82     72     66     61     56
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................60     62     70     75     79     79
RH..................91     85     73     63     53     49
20 FT WIND..........SE 4   SW 3   S 3    S 5    SW 6   W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      10     15     20

$$
FORECASTER...T. PALMER
REQUESTED BY...RANGER JOE POND
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20160427.HAZEL.01/GSP





000
FNUS72 KGSP 272213
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVERMINE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
613 PM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1753 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
INVERSION LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BURN OFF BETWEEN 8-9AM. AT 9A THE
TEMPERATURE IS FORECAST TO BE AROUND 65 DEGREES F.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THURSDAY MORNING ARE PRETTY HIGH. CURRENTLY
THE BEST CHANCES LOOK TO BE BETWEEN 5AM-9AM. CURRENT DATA SUGGEST
THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOST LIKELY MOVE THROUGH AS A LARGE AREA OR
MASS OF STORMS...RATHER THAN A LINE OR SMALL INDIVIDUAL STORMS. ANY
THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL LIKELY HAVE FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG...WITH ERRATIC WIND GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH...AND POSSIBLY SMALL /PEA-SIZED/ HAIL. BE AWARE THAT THIS
FORECAST MAY CHANGE WITH UPDATED DATA OVERNIGHT.

OTHERWISE...A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WILL LINGER OVER KENTUCKY AND
VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT CROSSES THURSDAY EVENING WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY IN CONTROL FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. EXPECT LOW
PRESSURE TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST OVER THE WEEKEND.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-5300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 14 TO
                    18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............85     84     77     73     71     62
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................60     62     68     73     76     76
RH..................90     87     75     65     57     54
20 FT WIND..........NE 2   NE 2   SE 3   S 4    SW 6   W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....              5      10     10     20
MIX HGT (FT)........300    400    2000   3700   5300   4900
TRANSPORT WIND......S 3    S 5    W 14   W 18   W 17   W 18

$$
FORECASTER...T. PALMER
REQUESTED BY...DAVID GREATHOUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160427.SILVE.02/GSP





000
FNUS72 KGSP 272213
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVERMINE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
613 PM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1753 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
INVERSION LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BURN OFF BETWEEN 8-9AM. AT 9A THE
TEMPERATURE IS FORECAST TO BE AROUND 65 DEGREES F.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THURSDAY MORNING ARE PRETTY HIGH. CURRENTLY
THE BEST CHANCES LOOK TO BE BETWEEN 5AM-9AM. CURRENT DATA SUGGEST
THAT THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOST LIKELY MOVE THROUGH AS A LARGE AREA OR
MASS OF STORMS...RATHER THAN A LINE OR SMALL INDIVIDUAL STORMS. ANY
THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS WILL LIKELY HAVE FREQUENT CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING. A FEW STORMS MAY BE STRONG...WITH ERRATIC WIND GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH...AND POSSIBLY SMALL /PEA-SIZED/ HAIL. BE AWARE THAT THIS
FORECAST MAY CHANGE WITH UPDATED DATA OVERNIGHT.

OTHERWISE...A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WILL LINGER OVER KENTUCKY AND
VIRGINIA THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT CROSSES THURSDAY EVENING WITH
HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY IN CONTROL FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. EXPECT LOW
PRESSURE TO MOVE IN FROM THE WEST OVER THE WEEKEND.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4800-5300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH...INCREASING TO WEST 14 TO
                    18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............85     84     77     73     71     62
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................60     62     68     73     76     76
RH..................90     87     75     65     57     54
20 FT WIND..........NE 2   NE 2   SE 3   S 4    SW 6   W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....              5      10     10     20
MIX HGT (FT)........300    400    2000   3700   5300   4900
TRANSPORT WIND......S 3    S 5    W 14   W 18   W 17   W 18

$$
FORECASTER...T. PALMER
REQUESTED BY...DAVID GREATHOUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160427.SILVE.02/GSP





000
FNUS72 KGSP 271647
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVERMINE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1247 PM EDT WED APR 27 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1245 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WARM ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH
MIDWEEK. AFTER A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY
NIGHT...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN BRIEFLY ON FRIDAY. A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST OVER THE WEEKEND.

WINDS WILL VEER TOWARD SOUTHEAST AND UPSLOPE TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT
APPROACHES. A VERY SHALLOW INVERSION APPEARS LIKELY TO DEVELOP BY ABOUT
900 PM THOUGH WITH WINDS CONTINUING IT MAY TAKE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT FOR
MIXING TO EFFECTIVELY CEASE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4700-5400 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST 7 TO 14
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............62     72     76     76
WEATHER COV.........       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP................71     75     77     77
RH..................67     57     50     48
20 FT WIND..........NW 4   W 5    SW 5   SW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)........3400   4700   5300   5300
TRANSPORT WIND......W 14   W 14   W 10   W 7

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED SHOWERS. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-400 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............75     72     75     78     81     82
WEATHER COV.........SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
TEMP................76     71     67     64     62     60
RH..................51     63     72     78     84     88
20 FT WIND..........S 4    SE 4   SE 3   SE 3   SE 3   S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)........4600   3200   1600   600    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 6   S 7    S 9    S 9    S 6    S 7

$$
FORECASTER...WIMBERLEY
REQUESTED BY...DAVID GREATHOUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160427.SILVE.01/GSP





000
FNUS72 KGSP 262202
FWSGSP

SPOT FORECAST FOR SILVERMINE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
602 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1720 EDT ON APRIL 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WARM ATLANTIC HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH
MIDWEEK. AFTER A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES IN FROM THE WEST THURSDAY
NIGHT...WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN BRIEFLY ON FRIDAY. A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST OVER THE WEEKEND.

ALTHOUGH THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING...
CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW THAT ANY THUNDERSTORM WILL DEVELOP. ANY
THUNDERSTORM THAT HAPPENS IN THE PRE-DAWN HOURS WILL BE ONE THAT MOVES
IN FROM WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND SURVIVES THE TRIP ACROSS
KY AND TN...WHICH IS ALSO NOT LIKELY TO HAPPEN. SEVERE STORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT.

A NOCTURNAL INVERSION SHOULD SET UP ACROSS THE FIRE SITE BETWEEN
8 PM AND 10 PM. LARGER SCALE SOUTHERLY WIND WILL COUNTERACT DOWNSLOPE/
DOWNVALLEY EFFECTS AND COULD MAKE WIND GO LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT TIMES
OVERNIGHT.

THE NOCTURNAL INVERSION SHOULD BURN OFF BETWEEN 9 AM AND 10 AM ON
WEDNESDAY AT A TEMPERATURE OF ABOUT 66 DEGREES. WIND WILL BECOME
WESTERLY AND SOMEWHAT ERRATIC ONCE THAT HAPPENS...BUT SHOULD BECOME W
TO SW BY EARLY/MID AFTERNOON.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE NC MOUNTAINS
ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT THE CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS
LOOKS MINIMAL. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ON THURSDAY...
PERHAPS AS EARLY AS DAYBREAK TO LATE MORNING DEPENDING ON HOW
ORGANIZED STORMS TO THE WEST MOVE ACROSS TN WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WE HAVE A
MARGINAL RISK FOR STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL ON
THURSDAY. THE EARLIER THE STORMS BEGIN...THE LOWER THE THREAT WILL BE.
THE MOST LIKELY DIRECTION FOR STRONG WINDS WILL BE WEST. THE THREAT FOR
STORMS SHOULD END THURSDAY NIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............63     67     58     51     48     50
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC                       S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TSTM COV............       S CHC
TEMP................74     72     67     64     61     59
RH..................52     60     69     73     79     85
20 FT WIND..........SW 6   S 5    S 4    SE 3   SE 3   S 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10     5      5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............54     62     57     60     70     77
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............              CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP................58     60     67     71     75     76
RH..................89     85     74     64     56     55
20 FT WIND..........S 2    S 1    W 4    NW 6   W 5    SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....              10     15     15     10

$$
FORECASTER...MOORE
REQUESTED BY...DAVID GREATHOUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160426.SILVE.01/GSP





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