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000
FNUS72 KJAX 281244
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SV13 SILVER SPRINGS...DEP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
844 AM EDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MORNING SHOWERS WILL PASS NEAR THE FIRE SITE FROM THE WEST. BY AFTERNOON...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WHICH COULD PRODUCE GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS. BREEZY WEST WINDS WILL NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20-25
MPH AT TIMES BY MIDDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 17
                    TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 62.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........46     56     67     60
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............86     92     95     93
RH..............71     58     51     52
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 14   W 15   W 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   3600   5500   5000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14   W 18   W 20   W 20
LVORI...........3      1      1      1
DISPERSION INDX.35     51     63     62
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     30     30
LAL.............1      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1-2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400-1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....57 DECREASING TO 8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........55     50     51     51     50     59
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............90     85     82     80     79     77
RH..............57     67     79     86     90     92
20 FT WIND......W 15   W 13   SW 9   SW 8   SW 9   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3800   2000   1400   900    500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 21   W 21   W 18   SW 13  SW 9   SW 7
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      5      6
DISPERSION INDX.57     27     20     13     9      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2      2

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.                 AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4200-4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 69.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........65     69     56     50     50     49
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............77     78     86     91     93     92
RH..............95     91     71     59     52     53
20 FT WIND......SW 7   W 8    W 9    W 10   W 10   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....400    400    1800   3200   4600   4400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7   W 8    W 9    W 10   W 13   W 16
LAL.............3      3      2      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...JESSICA FREY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140728.SV13S.01/JAX








000
FNUS72 KJAX 281244
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SV13 SILVER SPRINGS...DEP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
844 AM EDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MORNING SHOWERS WILL PASS NEAR THE FIRE SITE FROM THE WEST. BY AFTERNOON...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WHICH COULD PRODUCE GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS. BREEZY WEST WINDS WILL NEAR 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20-25
MPH AT TIMES BY MIDDAY AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 7 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 17
                    TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 62.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........46     56     67     60
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............86     92     95     93
RH..............71     58     51     52
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 14   W 15   W 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....2000   3600   5500   5000
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14   W 18   W 20   W 20
LVORI...........3      1      1      1
DISPERSION INDX.35     51     63     62
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     20     30     30
LAL.............1      2      2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1-2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 400-1700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....57 DECREASING TO 8.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........55     50     51     51     50     59
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............90     85     82     80     79     77
RH..............57     67     79     86     90     92
20 FT WIND......W 15   W 13   SW 9   SW 8   SW 9   SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3800   2000   1400   900    500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 21   W 21   W 18   SW 13  SW 9   SW 7
LVORI...........1      3      3      4      5      6
DISPERSION INDX.57     27     20     13     9      6
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     20     20     20     20
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2      2

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.                 AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
LAL.................3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4200-4600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 17 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 69.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........65     69     56     50     50     49
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............77     78     86     91     93     92
RH..............95     91     71     59     52     53
20 FT WIND......SW 7   W 8    W 9    W 10   W 10   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....400    400    1800   3200   4600   4400
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 7   W 8    W 9    W 10   W 13   W 16
LAL.............3      3      2      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...ENYEDI
REQUESTED BY...JESSICA FREY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140728.SV13S.01/JAX







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