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000
FNUS72 KJAX 021807
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-13...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
207 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA
TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS TOWARDS THE
GULF COAST AND SUWANNEE VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES
IN THIS AREA WILL BE POSSIBLE. RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE ON TUESDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ALOFT.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
FOG IS POSSIBLE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........82     79     71     65     63     60
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............84     80     78     77     76     75
RH..............77     88     91     90     97     97
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     30     30     30     20     30

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........63     59     59     65     70     70
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............74     75     84     89     91     90
RH..............100    100    77     66     64     66
20 FT WIND......SE 3   SE 2   S 1    SW 1   W 1    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     40     40     40

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2 UNTIL 0500...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........58     46     46     39     31     31
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............87     82     79     77     76     75
RH..............70     82     91     97     100    100
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 3   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     20     20     20     20

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........34     37     37     38     39     39
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............74     76     87     95     98     96
RH..............100    97     68     53     48     51
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 3   W 5    W 6    SW 7   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.       5             10     10     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     20     20     20     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...ZIBURA
REQUESTED BY...REGGIE FORCINE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150804.C13__.01/JAX





000
FNUS72 KJAX 021807
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-13...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
207 PM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA
TONIGHT AND MONDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
STORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS TOWARDS THE
GULF COAST AND SUWANNEE VALLEY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES
IN THIS AREA WILL BE POSSIBLE. RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE ON TUESDAY
AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ALOFT.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
FOG IS POSSIBLE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 7 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........82     79     71     65     63     60
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............84     80     78     77     76     75
RH..............77     88     91     90     97     97
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     30     30     30     20     30

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........63     59     59     65     70     70
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............74     75     84     89     91     90
RH..............100    100    77     66     64     66
20 FT WIND......SE 3   SE 2   S 1    SW 1   W 1    W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     30     40     40     40

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1900...THEN 2 UNTIL 0500...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........58     46     46     39     31     31
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............87     82     79     77     76     75
RH..............70     82     91     97     100    100
20 FT WIND......SW 3   SW 3   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     20     20     20     20     20

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........34     37     37     38     39     39
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............74     76     87     95     98     96
RH..............100    97     68     53     48     51
20 FT WIND......SW 5   SW 3   W 5    W 6    SW 7   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.       5             10     10     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     20     20     20     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...ZIBURA
REQUESTED BY...REGGIE FORCINE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150804.C13__.01/JAX




000
FNUS72 KJAX 020950
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEARCH EFFORT - SOUTHSIDE...DUVAL EOC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
550 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 2123 EDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA
TODAY AND BE NORTH OF THE AREA MONDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERRS
AND STORMS EXPECTED EACH DAY MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

LIGHTNING POTENTIAL...BEST CHANCES OF LIGHTNING WILL BE BETWEEN
2 AND 6 PM. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR
STORMS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
FOG IS POSSIBLE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........85  84  84  83  82  82  84  87  89  88  86  85
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........                SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
TEMP............77  77  78  80  82  84  85  86  86  86  85  84
RH..............85  87  85  82  77  74  72  68  68  68  70  72
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   9   10  12  12  13  14  14  14  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  30  40  50  60  70  70

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........82     75     71     66     61     63
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............83     81     79     78     77     77
RH..............74     79     82     85     87     90
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 9    S 9    S 9    S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     60     50     50     40     40

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........68     72     72     76     79     79
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
TEMP............76     77     84     89     91     90
RH..............94     90     74     64     58     60
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 8    SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   SW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     30     30     60     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...MEGAN GRAHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150801.SEARC.01/JAX




000
FNUS72 KJAX 020950
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEARCH EFFORT - SOUTHSIDE...DUVAL EOC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
550 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 2123 EDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA
TODAY AND BE NORTH OF THE AREA MONDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERRS
AND STORMS EXPECTED EACH DAY MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

LIGHTNING POTENTIAL...BEST CHANCES OF LIGHTNING WILL BE BETWEEN
2 AND 6 PM. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR
STORMS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
FOG IS POSSIBLE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........85  84  84  83  82  82  84  87  89  88  86  85
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........                SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
TEMP............77  77  78  80  82  84  85  86  86  86  85  84
RH..............85  87  85  82  77  74  72  68  68  68  70  72
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   9   10  12  12  13  14  14  14  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  30  40  50  60  70  70

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........82     75     71     66     61     63
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............83     81     79     78     77     77
RH..............74     79     82     85     87     90
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 9    S 9    S 9    S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     60     50     50     40     40

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........68     72     72     76     79     79
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
TEMP............76     77     84     89     91     90
RH..............94     90     74     64     58     60
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 8    SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   SW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     30     30     60     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...MEGAN GRAHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150801.SEARC.01/JAX





000
FNUS72 KJAX 020950
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEARCH EFFORT - SOUTHSIDE...DUVAL EOC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
550 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 2123 EDT ON AUGUST 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA
TODAY AND BE NORTH OF THE AREA MONDAY. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERRS
AND STORMS EXPECTED EACH DAY MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

LIGHTNING POTENTIAL...BEST CHANCES OF LIGHTNING WILL BE BETWEEN
2 AND 6 PM. STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AND NEAR
STORMS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
FOG IS POSSIBLE THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........85  84  84  83  82  82  84  87  89  88  86  85
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........                SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
TEMP............77  77  78  80  82  84  85  86  86  86  85  84
RH..............85  87  85  82  77  74  72  68  68  68  70  72
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   9   10  12  12  13  14  14  14  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  30  40  50  60  70  70

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........82     75     71     66     61     63
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............83     81     79     78     77     77
RH..............74     79     82     85     87     90
20 FT WIND......S 10   S 9    S 9    S 9    S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).60     60     50     50     40     40

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........68     72     72     76     79     79
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
TEMP............76     77     84     89     91     90
RH..............94     90     74     64     58     60
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 8    SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   SW 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     30     30     60     60     60

$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...MEGAN GRAHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150801.SEARC.01/JAX




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