000
FNUS72 KJAX 212007
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR FAVOR DYKES...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
407 PM EDT TUE MAY 21 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1555 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINANT EAST OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. PATCHY LATE NIGHT FOG.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY
LATE MORNING NEAR THE ATLANTIC COAST AND THEN WILL TRANSLATE
INLAND INTO THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...
PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
WHERE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRED.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. PATCHY
FOG LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL LATE
IN THE NIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3
MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....23 DECREASING TO 4.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LVORI...............INCREASING TO 9 LATE.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........54 53 52 51 51 55
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE FOG
TEMP............80 77 73 71 69 68
RH..............68 73 84 88 91 96
20 FT WIND......E 13 E 10 E 9 E 8 SE 6 SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 10 10
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 1500 1000 800 600 300
TRANSPORT WIND..E 13 E 13 E 12 E 12 SE 9 SE 6
LVORI...........3 4 4 5 5 7
DISPERSION INDX.27 15 12 10 7 4
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 10
LAL.............2 2 1 1 1 1
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3 UNTIL
1700...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-2700 FT AGL
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 30.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........59 62 61 61 60 68
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............67 68 81 84 84 84
RH..............100 100 67 62 63 63
20 FT WIND......SE 3 SE 3 SE 6 SE 8 E 10 SE 12
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 10 10 15 15
MIX HGT (FT)....100 100 2300 2700 2600 2600
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 3 SE 3 S 6 S 8 SE 10 SE 12
LVORI...........9 9 3 2 2 2
DISPERSION INDX.4 4 17 25 30 29
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 30 30
LAL.............1 1 1 2 3 3
$$
FORECASTER...PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...LT J ASBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130521.FAVOR.01/JAX
000
FNUS72 KJAX 200010
FWSJAX
SPOT FORECAST FOR BATTLEFIELD...FLORIDA HIGHWAY PATROL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
810 PM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2030 EDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...
A PERSISTENT PATTERN WITH HIGH PRESSURE EAST OF THE REGION...WILL LEAD
TO A MOIST BUT UNSTABLE PERIOD. AFTERNOON STORMS CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH MID WEEK. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE
CRITICAL VALUES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...
PATCHY FOG IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT FEW MORNINGS.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-500 FT AGL
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 1 TO 9 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........77 74 75 70 67 73
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM NONE NONE NONE
RH..............58 70 91 100 100 100
20 FT WIND......SE 6 E 6 SE 3 SE 1 E 1 E 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 5
MIX HGT (FT)....3100 2000 500 100 100 100
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 9 SE 9 SE 6 E 1 E 1
LVORI...........2 3 6 9 10 10
DISPERSION INDX.21 7 5 3 2 2
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 20 10 10 10
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3100 FT AGL
LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 1 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 26.
$$
FORECASTER...SHULER
REQUESTED BY...LT J ASBURY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130519.BATTL.01/JAX
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