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000
FNUS73 KLMK 231218
FWSLMK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BARREN RIVER WMA...KDFWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
818 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTH
INTO THE REGION TODAY. NORTH SURFACE WINDS BETWEEN 5-10 MPH WILL
ADVECT IN DRIER AIR TODAY. IN ADDITION AS MIXING COMMENCES BY LATE
MORNING...DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE.  MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT AT AROUND 24% OR
25% AROUND 3 OR 4PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 46% AT AROUND 9AM EDT...LOWERING TO
AROUND 28% OR 29% BY 1PM. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE FAIR AT IGNITION
IMPROVING TO GOOD THIS AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-2200 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /20100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /37700 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........2   4   6   7   8   8   8   9   9   9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............53  57  60  62  64  66  67  67  66  64
RH..............46  40  35  31  28  26  25  25  28  32
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.3 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  13  13  12  10  9   9   9   10  12

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 76 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........10  10  11  12  13  14  15  17  21  25  29  34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............62  59  56  54  53  51  50  49  48  47  46  46
RH..............38  44  49  54  57  61  66  68  71  74  76  76
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4   3   2   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5           5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.5 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  10  8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 34 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4600 FT
                    AGL...THEN DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 18 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2500-44300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    FAIR TO EXCELLENT (28100-74100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........36  35  32  30  28  25  24  34  53  62  64  68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............48  54  60  65  69  72  74  76  77  78  77  76
RH..............70  58  49  43  39  36  35  34  34  34  37  40
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   4   5   7   8   9   10  10  11  11  10  9
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   10  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.1 1.9 2.7 3.1 3.6 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.6 3.3 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   9   12  13  14  14  15  16  17  18  17  16

$$
FORECASTER...A.SCHOETTMER
REQUESTED BY...WAYNE TAMMINGA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140423.BARRE.03/LMK








000
FNUS73 KLMK 222039
FWSLMK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BARREN RIVER LAKE WMA...KDFWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
439 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE KEY TO THIS UPDATED SPOT FORECAST IS THAT WITHIN A VERY DRY
AIRMASS...MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT AT AROUND
24% OR 25% AROUND 4PM EDT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
ARE EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 50% AT AROUND 9AM EDT...LOWERING TO
AROUND 28% OR 29% BY 2PM. NORTH WINDS STILL EXPECTED TO BE BETWEEN 5 AND 7KT
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING
WITH HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING IN BEHIND IT FOR TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WEDNESDAY AT IGNITION TIME
LOOKS TO BE AROUND 52 PERCENT...HUMIDITY LOOKS TO DROP TO THE
LOWER 30 PERCENT RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS WE MIX DOWN
DRIER AIR ALOFT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT MINIMUM HUMIDITIES
COULD BE LOWER THAN THAT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS DEPENDING ON
HOW MUCH DRY AIR MIXES DOWN. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST BETWEEN 5-10 MPH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM MIXING HEIGHTS
LOOK TO TOP OUT AROUND 4 KFT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH FAIR SMOKE
DISPERSAL AT IGNITION IMPROVING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
                    SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 44 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 20
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (4400-46700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (56300-75700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........17  100 100 99  98  94  66  61  50  39  34  21
WEATHER COV.....SCT ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW
TEMP............61  62  64  65  68  71  72  74  74  74  72  70
RH..............93  93  90  87  78  63  61  51  48  44  44  45
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   NW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   4   5   4   6   8   8   9   9   10  8
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.8 3.6 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.0 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   7   8   12  15  15  16  17  18  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 82 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........15  14  11  8   5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............67  63  58  53  50  48  46  45  43  42  41  40
RH..............49  54  59  69  74  77  79  79  82  82  79  82
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  15  10  7   7   8   9   9   8   7   6   6

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH...THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-2100 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2600-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /23500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /41800 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........0   0   3   6   8   10  12  12  12  12  12  12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............41  45  50  55  58  62  64  66  68  68  66  65
RH..............76  65  54  45  37  31  28  26  25  27  30  35
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   4   5   5   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 1.2 2.1 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.0 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   9   13  15  15  13  10  9   8   7   7   8

$$
FORECASTER...DENMAN
REQUESTED BY...WAYNE TAMMINGA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140423.BARRE.02/LMK








000
FNUS73 KLMK 221426
FWSLMK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BARREN RIVER LAKE WMA...KDFWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1026 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA THIS MORNING
WITH HIGH PRESSURE SETTLING IN BEHIND IT FOR TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR WEDNESDAY AT IGNITION TIME
LOOKS TO BE AROUND 52 PERCENT...HUMIDITY LOOKS TO DROP TO THE
LOWER 30 PERCENT RANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS WE MIX DOWN
DRIER AIR ALOFT. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT MINIMUM HUMIDITIES
COULD BE LOWER THAN THAT DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS DEPENDING ON
HOW MUCH DRY AIR MIXES DOWN. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST BETWEEN 5-10 MPH WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM MIXING HEIGHTS
LOOK TO TOP OUT AROUND 4 KFT WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH FAIR SMOKE
DISPERSAL AT IGNITION IMPROVING TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 50 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 18
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (4400-46700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (71000-81100 KNOT-FT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........95  92  89  86  76  55  44  43  41  40  34  21
WEATHER COV.....SCT ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW
TEMP............61  62  63  65  66  68  70  71  71  71  69  67
RH..............93  90  87  81  78  70  63  57  53  49  49  50
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..3   4   5   6   8   9   10  11  11  11  10  8
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.8 3.6 4.4 4.6 4.8 5.0 4.8 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   7   7   8   12  15  18  20  18  18  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 81 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........15  14  12  11  10  8   7   7   8   8   9   9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............64  59  54  52  50  48  46  45  44  42  42  41
RH..............54  62  69  71  74  77  79  76  79  82  79  79
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 2.9 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.18  15  10  7   6   7   7   7   6   6   5   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 7 TO 15
                    MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /24700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /47300 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
SKY (%).........9   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  11  11  12  13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............42  46  51  54  57  60  61  63  64  64  63  62
RH..............73  63  52  46  42  39  38  36  37  38  41  44
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   4   5   5   6   5   5   5   5   5   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 1.3 2.4 3.6 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.7 3.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   7   12  15  15  13  10  9   8   7   7   8

$$
FORECASTER...A.SCHOETTMER
REQUESTED BY...WAYNE TAMMINGA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140423.BARRE.01/LMK








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