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000
FNUS73 KLOT 232102
FWSLOT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FURNESSVILLE...INDIANA DUNES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
402 PM CDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1555 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO USHER IN COOL AIR AND LOWER MIXING
HEIGHTS OFF THE LAKE THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.


.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 45.
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /4500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
                    /4500 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........25  41  49  66
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............42  43  43  43
RH..............65  60  60  60
20FT WIND DIR...340 340 350 010
20FT SPEED(MPH).10  10  10  9
20FT SPEED(KT)..8   8   8   8
20FT GUST(MPH)..20  22  21  20
20FT GUST(KT)...17  19  18  17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.030 030 030 030
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   8   7   6
CWR.............0   10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1
VRATE KT-FT/10004   5   3   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. ISOLATED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE
                    EVENING. SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1000-3500 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........83  84  87  88  89  91  92  92  93  94  93  91
WEATHER COV.....            ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............41  41  39  39  40  41  42  42  41  41  42  42
RH..............65  65  73  73  70  70  67  70  73  76  76  76
20FT WIND DIR...020 030 060 070 080 090 090 090 100 100 110 120
20FT SPEED(MPH).8   6   5   4   3   4   5   4   4   4   5   5
20FT SPEED(KT)..7   6   4   3   3   3   4   3   3   3   4   4
20FT GUST(MPH)..16  13  8   6   6   6   7   7   6   6   7   8
20FT GUST(KT)...14  11  7   5   5   5   6   6   5   5   6   7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.030 060 110 140 130 120 120 120 130 140 140 140
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   6   5   5   6   8   9   9   9   10  12  15
CWR.............10  10  10  20  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
VRATE KT-FT/10001   2   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 32 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS UNTIL 1600...THEN 1-8 STRIKES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3000-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    1500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 17 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 30
                    TO 35 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..60.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO VERY GOOD (4000-100500 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........90  89  87  86  80  69  63  66  72  75  79  89
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH                         CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW                          RW  RW  RW
TEMP............44  47  51  54  56  57  58  59  60  60  61  60
RH..............73  65  59  52  49  47  45  45  44  46  44  46
20FT WIND DIR...120 130 130 130 140 150 150 150 150 150 150 150
20FT SPEED(MPH).6   10  12  14  14  14  14  14  14  15  14  14
20FT SPEED(KT)..6   8   10  12  12  12  12  12  13  13  13  12
20FT GUST(MPH)..12  16  22  28  30  31  31  32  33  35  35  32
20FT GUST(KT)...10  14  19  24  26  27  27  28  29  30  30  28
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.140 140 150 150 150 160 160 160 160 160 160 160
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  21  24  26  30  31  32  32  33  33  35  35
CWR.............20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
VRATE KT-FT/10004   16  33  51  69  85  101 93  89  82  85  46

$$
FORECASTER...BIRK
REQUESTED BY...MICA BELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140423.FURNE.03/LOT








000
FNUS73 KLOT 231440
FWSLOT

SPOT FORECAST FOR FURNESSVILLE BLACKLINING...INDIANA DUNES NATIONAL LAKESHORE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
940 AM CDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTHWEST INDIANA TODAY WITH WINDS
AROUND DUE NORTH IN DIRECTION. TEMPERATURES WILL NOT WARM MUCH AT
ALL FROM THE 40 DEGREES THEY ARE PRESENTLY AT THE BURN SITE AND IN
FACT COULD DROP A COUPLE DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE WINDS BEING
OFF THE LAKE. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON BUT NO RAIN WILL
OCCUR. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR A LIGHT RAIN SHOWER LATE
TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...THEN AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS THIS AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 43.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 800-1300 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 24 MPH BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 14
                    MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..47.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /17000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
                    /18500 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........27  33  38  42  47  54  62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............42  43  43  42  42  41  40
RH..............60  57  57  60  63  67  71
20FT WIND DIR...000 000 350 340 340 350 030
20FT SPEED(MPH).11  10  9   8   6   6   6
20FT SPEED(KT)..10  9   8   7   6   6   5
20FT GUST(MPH)..25  24  21  17  14  13  10
20FT GUST(KT)...22  21  18  15  12  11  9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.020 020 020 010 010 010 020
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  14  12  9   8   6   5
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10
VRATE KT-FT/100017  15  11  8   5   3   2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    3 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..N/A.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (500-2500 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........69  73  76  80  81  83  84  86  87  89  86  84
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............40  39  38  38  39  40  40  40  40  40  41  42
RH..............70  73  73  73  70  70  73  73  76  76  76  73
20FT WIND DIR...040 040 050 060 070 080 090 090 100 110 120 130
20FT SPEED(MPH).6   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   6
20FT SPEED(KT)..5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5
20FT GUST(MPH)..9   8   7   6   6   7   7   7   8   9   12  13
20FT GUST(KT)...8   7   6   5   5   6   6   6   7   8   10  11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.030 060 110 140 140 140 130 140 140 140 140 150
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   3   3   3   6   8   10  10  10  10  10  12
CWR.............20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
VRATE KT-FT/10001   1   1   1   1   2   3   3   3   2   2   2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 35
                    TO 38 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..59.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO VERY GOOD (3000-106000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........81  80  79  78  73  69  64  69  74  78  83  87
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH             CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW              RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............44  47  51  54  56  57  58  59  60  61  62  61
RH..............70  65  56  52  49  47  45  45  44  44  44  46
20FT WIND DIR...130 140 140 140 150 150 150 160 160 160 160 160
20FT SPEED(MPH).7   8   10  11  12  13  14  14  14  13  13  12
20FT SPEED(KT)..6   7   8   10  10  11  12  12  12  11  11  10
20FT GUST(MPH)..15  18  22  24  28  30  31  31  31  29  26  24
20FT GUST(KT)...13  16  19  21  24  26  27  27  27  25  23  21
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.150 150 150 150 150 160 160 160 160 160 160 170
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  17  22  25  29  31  32  35  37  38  38  38
CWR.............20  20  20  10  10  10  40  40  40  40  40  40
VRATE KT-FT/10003   13  27  45  59  72  84  92  101 106 74  41

$$
FORECASTER...FRIEDLEIN
REQUESTED BY...NEAL MULCONREY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140423.FURNE.02/LOT








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