000
FNUS76 KLOX 181855
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1155 AM PDT SAT MAY 18 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1039 PDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE COAST OF
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WILL MAINTAIN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE AREA.
CLOSER TO THE SURFACE OF THE FIRE AREA...THERE WILL BE BREEZY NORTHWEST
CONDITIONS THROUGH SUNDAY...EXCEPT SHIFTING TO A MORE WESTERLY DIRECTION
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THERE WILL BE A WARMING
AND DRYING TREND ON SUNDAY. AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE
GREAT BASIN...THE FLOW IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST ON
MONDAY. THIS WILL BRING EVEN WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ON MONDAY...
WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO RISE INTO THE LOWER 90S AND HUMIDITIES LOWERING
TO AROUND 10 PERCENT. WITH THIS OFFSHORE FLOW...THERE WILL BE THE POTENTIAL
FOR BRIEF GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS ON MONDAY MORNING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING NORTHWEST  4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
RIDGETOP WINDS......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  22 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL IN THE EVENING...DECREASING TO 1000 FT OR LESS
                    AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.


.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH...BECOMING
                    WEST 4 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...BECOMING
                    WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL EARLY...RISING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...GOMBERG
REQUESTED BY...JAY LOPEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130518.LAKE_.01/LOX

000
FNUS76 KLOX 180318
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
818 PM PDT FRI MAY 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1911 PDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND BRINGING WARMER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS EACH DAY ACROSS THE BURN AREA. A DEVELOPING NORTHERLY
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN TONIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY...AND TREND EVEN TIGHTER FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. BREEZY WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE RIDGETOPS TONIGHT
AND SATURDAY MORNING...AND OCCASIONALLY SPILL OVER INTO THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS OF THE FIRE. WIDESPREAD BREEZY TO LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE BURN AREA ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND INTO
SUNDAY MORNING. HUMIDITY RECOVERIES...REMAINING GOOD
TONIGHT...WILL TREND LOWER ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS
THE BURN AREA ON MONDAY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING
    MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 2100
    HOURS...BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND
    INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
    25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTHWEST TO NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 AGL OR LESS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING
    NORTHWEST TO NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER
    MIDNIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH UNTIL 2100
    HOURS...BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH AND
    INCREASING TO 4 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
    15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-84 DEGREES.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH UNTIL 1000 HOURS...BECOMING
    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1500 HOURS.
    THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH WITH
    GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
 RIDGETOP...........NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH UNTIL NOON...BECOMING
    NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 5500
    FT AGL BY 1300 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST TO NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH UNTIL 1000
    HOURS THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH WITH
    GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1000 HOURS...BECOMING
    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1500 HOURS.
    THEN...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH WITH
    GUSTS TO 12 MPH.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...DREW SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130517.LAKE_.01/LOX

$$

000
FNUS76 KLOX 172238
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR 2013 WUI DRILL...CAL FIRE SLU
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
340 PM PDT FRI MAY 17 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1154 PDT ON MAY 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER OFF
THE CALIFORNIA COAST THROUGH SUNDAY. MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE FLOW
WILL PERSIST EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY...WITH GUST UP TO 30 MPH
POSSIBLE SATURDAY...AND UP TO 20 MPH ON SUNDAY. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY
CLEAR EXCEPT FOR SOME NIGHT AND MORNING MARINE LAYER LOW CLOUDS AND
FOG. HUMIDITIES ARE FORECAST TO BE MODERATE EACH AFTERNOON...
ALTHOUGH HUMDITIY SHOULD DROP TO AROUND 40 PERCENT ON SUNDAY. HIGH
HUMDITIY CAN BE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY EXCEPT AREAS OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND
                    FOG.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH...INCREASING TO 12-18 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO AROUND 1400 FT
AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 8 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 15-20
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR EXCEPT PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    EARLY...DIMINISHING TO 3-7 MPH BY LATE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR 1000 FT AGL EARLY FALLING TO LESS THAN 500
                    FT AGL BY LATE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST TO NORTH 6-12 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY EXCEPT PATCHY MORNING LOW CLOUDS
                    AND FOG.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST 8-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL EARLY INCREASING TO NEAR 3500 FT AGL
                    BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10-15 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SIRARD
REQUESTED BY...ALAN PETERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130517.2013W.01/LOX