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000
FNUS76 KLOX 281958
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1258 PM PDT THU MAY 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1216 PDT ON MAY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER
THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SHRINK THE MARINE
LAYER WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF DENSE FOG LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING OVER THE SPILL SITE. THE TIMING AND COVERAGE OF PATCHY LOW
CLOUDS AND FOG IS LOWER CERTAINTY...WITH A CHANCE THAT THE ARRIVAL
COULD BE DELAYED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT LOW
CLOUDS WILL STAY EAST OF THE SITE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MOSTLY LIGHT...SHIFTING FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING TO
SOUTHWEST BY FRIDAY MORNING AND BACK TO THE WEST BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES AT THE SITE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT...IN THE LOWER 50S AT NIGHT AND IN THE UPPER 60S TO
NEAR 70 DURING EACH AFTERNOON. MAINLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY. SIMILAR LOW CLOUD COVERAGE IS EXPECTED SATURDAY
MORNING.

AN APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WILL CAUSE THE RIDGE TO SHIFT
EASTWARD SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE THE MARINE LAYER TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE IN DEPTH AGAIN...WITH ONSHORE WINDS INCREASING
DURING THE AFTERNOON TO EVENING HOURS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. SUNDAY
EXPECT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING 10-15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH ON MONDAY. THE WINDS WILL CAUSE
BUILDING WIND WAVES AND A MODERATE INCREASE IN SHORTER PERIOD
WESTERLY SWELL.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY LOW
                    CLOUDS AND FOG DEVELOPING LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.
RH..................MAX 91-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH BECOMING NORTH
                    TO NORTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SWELL HEIGHT/ PD....SOUTHWEST SWELL 1-2 FEET AT 15 SECONDS.
SWELL2 HEIGHT/ PD...SOUTH SWELL 1 FOOT AT 18 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 FOOT OR LESS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG EARLY...OTHERWISE
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65-68.
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST
                    6-9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SWELL HEIGHT/ PD....SOUTHWEST SWELL 1-2 FEET AT 15 SECONDS.
SWELL2 HEIGHT/ PD...SOUTH SWELL 1 FOOT AT 16 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 FOOT OR LESS.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150528.REFUG.02/LOX




000
FNUS76 KLOX 281958
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1258 PM PDT THU MAY 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1216 PDT ON MAY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER
THE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO SHRINK THE MARINE
LAYER WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF DENSE FOG LATE TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY
MORNING OVER THE SPILL SITE. THE TIMING AND COVERAGE OF PATCHY LOW
CLOUDS AND FOG IS LOWER CERTAINTY...WITH A CHANCE THAT THE ARRIVAL
COULD BE DELAYED UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT LOW
CLOUDS WILL STAY EAST OF THE SITE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MOSTLY LIGHT...SHIFTING FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING TO
SOUTHWEST BY FRIDAY MORNING AND BACK TO THE WEST BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES AT THE SITE WILL REMAIN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT...IN THE LOWER 50S AT NIGHT AND IN THE UPPER 60S TO
NEAR 70 DURING EACH AFTERNOON. MAINLY LIGHT WINDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY. SIMILAR LOW CLOUD COVERAGE IS EXPECTED SATURDAY
MORNING.

AN APPROACHING UPPER TROUGH WILL CAUSE THE RIDGE TO SHIFT
EASTWARD SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THIS WILL CAUSE THE MARINE LAYER TO
GRADUALLY INCREASE IN DEPTH AGAIN...WITH ONSHORE WINDS INCREASING
DURING THE AFTERNOON TO EVENING HOURS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. SUNDAY
EXPECT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING 10-15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON...WITH GUSTS 15-20 MPH ON MONDAY. THE WINDS WILL CAUSE
BUILDING WIND WAVES AND A MODERATE INCREASE IN SHORTER PERIOD
WESTERLY SWELL.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY LOW
                    CLOUDS AND FOG DEVELOPING LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.
RH..................MAX 91-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH BECOMING NORTH
                    TO NORTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SWELL HEIGHT/ PD....SOUTHWEST SWELL 1-2 FEET AT 15 SECONDS.
SWELL2 HEIGHT/ PD...SOUTH SWELL 1 FOOT AT 18 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 FOOT OR LESS.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG EARLY...OTHERWISE
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65-68.
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST
                    6-9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SWELL HEIGHT/ PD....SOUTHWEST SWELL 1-2 FEET AT 15 SECONDS.
SWELL2 HEIGHT/ PD...SOUTH SWELL 1 FOOT AT 16 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 FOOT OR LESS.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150528.REFUG.02/LOX





000
FNUS76 KLOX 281001
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
301 AM PDT THU MAY 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0500 PDT ON MAY 28. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA TODAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS
THE EASTERN PACIFIC PUSHING THE RIDGE AXIS WELL TO THE EAST BY
SUNDAY. FOR TODAY...AROUND THE REFUGIO BEACH AREA...EXPECT EARLY
MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG TO MOVE INTO THE SANTA BARBARA
SOUTH COAST...THEN SCOUR OUT BY MID MORNING TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. WINDS WILL BE A TAD LIGHTER OVERALL NEAR THE REFUGIO BEACH
SITE COMPARED TO THE LAST FEW DAYS. IT WILL BE A BIT WINDIER FOR
AREAS JUST TO THE WEST BETWEEN GAVIOTA AND NEAR REFUGIO BEACH LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH INCREASING SUNDOWNER NORTHWEST TO
NORTH WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN QUITE COMFORTABLE
AROUND THE COAST WITH A FEW DEGREES OF WARMING ITO THE LOWER
70S...WITH MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND AREAS.
HIGHS WILL REACH INTO THE 80S FOR COASTAL VALLEYS AND LOW 90S
FURTHER INLAND THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE
FOR SOME DENSE FOG AS THE UPPER RIDGE HELPS TO SQUASH THE MARINE
LAYER CLOUD DECK BY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...AND ONCE AGAIN
ON SATURDAY MORNING.

FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL APPROACH
THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL RESULT IN COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES ACROSS THE
AREA. NIGHT AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL BE MORE EXTENSIVE
DUE TO THE ONSHORE FLOW. ADDITIONALLY...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS WILL INCREASE EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY EARLY MORNING
                    LOW CLOUDS AND FOG.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-72.
RH..................MIN 45-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-6
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 12 MPH AFTER 1400 HOURS
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...INCREASING TO 1-2 FEET.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...EXCEPT PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
                    DEVELOPING LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53-56.
RH..................MAX 85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE 2 TO
                    4 MPH AFTER 2200 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 FOOT
SWELL PERIOD........16 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-2 FEET IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING FLAT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...EXCEPT MORNING PATCHY LOW
                    CLOUDS AND DENSE FOG. VISIBILITY ONE QUARTER
                    MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN FOG.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-74.
RH..................MIN 40-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST
                    4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCAL GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH AFTER 1400 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........15 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...INCREASING TO 1-2 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...KAPLAN
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150528.REFUG.01/LOX




000
FNUS76 KLOX 281001
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
301 AM PDT THU MAY 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0500 PDT ON MAY 28. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA TODAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS
THE EASTERN PACIFIC PUSHING THE RIDGE AXIS WELL TO THE EAST BY
SUNDAY. FOR TODAY...AROUND THE REFUGIO BEACH AREA...EXPECT EARLY
MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG TO MOVE INTO THE SANTA BARBARA
SOUTH COAST...THEN SCOUR OUT BY MID MORNING TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. WINDS WILL BE A TAD LIGHTER OVERALL NEAR THE REFUGIO BEACH
SITE COMPARED TO THE LAST FEW DAYS. IT WILL BE A BIT WINDIER FOR
AREAS JUST TO THE WEST BETWEEN GAVIOTA AND NEAR REFUGIO BEACH LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH INCREASING SUNDOWNER NORTHWEST TO
NORTH WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN QUITE COMFORTABLE
AROUND THE COAST WITH A FEW DEGREES OF WARMING ITO THE LOWER
70S...WITH MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND AREAS.
HIGHS WILL REACH INTO THE 80S FOR COASTAL VALLEYS AND LOW 90S
FURTHER INLAND THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE
FOR SOME DENSE FOG AS THE UPPER RIDGE HELPS TO SQUASH THE MARINE
LAYER CLOUD DECK BY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...AND ONCE AGAIN
ON SATURDAY MORNING.

FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL APPROACH
THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL RESULT IN COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES ACROSS THE
AREA. NIGHT AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL BE MORE EXTENSIVE
DUE TO THE ONSHORE FLOW. ADDITIONALLY...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS WILL INCREASE EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY EARLY MORNING
                    LOW CLOUDS AND FOG.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-72.
RH..................MIN 45-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-6
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 12 MPH AFTER 1400 HOURS
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...INCREASING TO 1-2 FEET.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...EXCEPT PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
                    DEVELOPING LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53-56.
RH..................MAX 85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE 2 TO
                    4 MPH AFTER 2200 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 FOOT
SWELL PERIOD........16 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-2 FEET IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING FLAT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...EXCEPT MORNING PATCHY LOW
                    CLOUDS AND DENSE FOG. VISIBILITY ONE QUARTER
                    MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN FOG.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-74.
RH..................MIN 40-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST
                    4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCAL GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH AFTER 1400 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........15 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...INCREASING TO 1-2 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...KAPLAN
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150528.REFUG.01/LOX





000
FNUS76 KLOX 281001
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
301 AM PDT THU MAY 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0500 PDT ON MAY 28. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA TODAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS
THE EASTERN PACIFIC PUSHING THE RIDGE AXIS WELL TO THE EAST BY
SUNDAY. FOR TODAY...AROUND THE REFUGIO BEACH AREA...EXPECT EARLY
MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG TO MOVE INTO THE SANTA BARBARA
SOUTH COAST...THEN SCOUR OUT BY MID MORNING TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. WINDS WILL BE A TAD LIGHTER OVERALL NEAR THE REFUGIO BEACH
SITE COMPARED TO THE LAST FEW DAYS. IT WILL BE A BIT WINDIER FOR
AREAS JUST TO THE WEST BETWEEN GAVIOTA AND NEAR REFUGIO BEACH LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH INCREASING SUNDOWNER NORTHWEST TO
NORTH WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN QUITE COMFORTABLE
AROUND THE COAST WITH A FEW DEGREES OF WARMING ITO THE LOWER
70S...WITH MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND AREAS.
HIGHS WILL REACH INTO THE 80S FOR COASTAL VALLEYS AND LOW 90S
FURTHER INLAND THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE
FOR SOME DENSE FOG AS THE UPPER RIDGE HELPS TO SQUASH THE MARINE
LAYER CLOUD DECK BY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...AND ONCE AGAIN
ON SATURDAY MORNING.

FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL APPROACH
THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL RESULT IN COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES ACROSS THE
AREA. NIGHT AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL BE MORE EXTENSIVE
DUE TO THE ONSHORE FLOW. ADDITIONALLY...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS WILL INCREASE EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY EARLY MORNING
                    LOW CLOUDS AND FOG.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-72.
RH..................MIN 45-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-6
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 12 MPH AFTER 1400 HOURS
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...INCREASING TO 1-2 FEET.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...EXCEPT PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
                    DEVELOPING LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53-56.
RH..................MAX 85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE 2 TO
                    4 MPH AFTER 2200 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 FOOT
SWELL PERIOD........16 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-2 FEET IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING FLAT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...EXCEPT MORNING PATCHY LOW
                    CLOUDS AND DENSE FOG. VISIBILITY ONE QUARTER
                    MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN FOG.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-74.
RH..................MIN 40-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST
                    4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCAL GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH AFTER 1400 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........15 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...INCREASING TO 1-2 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...KAPLAN
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150528.REFUG.01/LOX





000
FNUS76 KLOX 281001
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
301 AM PDT THU MAY 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0500 PDT ON MAY 28. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER CALIFORNIA TODAY AND PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL THEN MOVE ACROSS
THE EASTERN PACIFIC PUSHING THE RIDGE AXIS WELL TO THE EAST BY
SUNDAY. FOR TODAY...AROUND THE REFUGIO BEACH AREA...EXPECT EARLY
MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG TO MOVE INTO THE SANTA BARBARA
SOUTH COAST...THEN SCOUR OUT BY MID MORNING TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. WINDS WILL BE A TAD LIGHTER OVERALL NEAR THE REFUGIO BEACH
SITE COMPARED TO THE LAST FEW DAYS. IT WILL BE A BIT WINDIER FOR
AREAS JUST TO THE WEST BETWEEN GAVIOTA AND NEAR REFUGIO BEACH LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH INCREASING SUNDOWNER NORTHWEST TO
NORTH WINDS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN QUITE COMFORTABLE
AROUND THE COAST WITH A FEW DEGREES OF WARMING ITO THE LOWER
70S...WITH MUCH WARMER CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND AREAS.
HIGHS WILL REACH INTO THE 80S FOR COASTAL VALLEYS AND LOW 90S
FURTHER INLAND THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE
FOR SOME DENSE FOG AS THE UPPER RIDGE HELPS TO SQUASH THE MARINE
LAYER CLOUD DECK BY TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING...AND ONCE AGAIN
ON SATURDAY MORNING.

FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL APPROACH
THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL RESULT IN COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS ONSHORE FLOW INCREASES ACROSS THE
AREA. NIGHT AND MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL BE MORE EXTENSIVE
DUE TO THE ONSHORE FLOW. ADDITIONALLY...SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS WILL INCREASE EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...EXCEPT FOR PATCHY EARLY MORNING
                    LOW CLOUDS AND FOG.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-72.
RH..................MIN 45-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-6
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 12 MPH AFTER 1400 HOURS
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...INCREASING TO 1-2 FEET.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...EXCEPT PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
                    DEVELOPING LATE.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53-56.
RH..................MAX 85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING VARIABLE 2 TO
                    4 MPH AFTER 2200 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 FOOT
SWELL PERIOD........16 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-2 FEET IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING FLAT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY...EXCEPT MORNING PATCHY LOW
                    CLOUDS AND DENSE FOG. VISIBILITY ONE QUARTER
                    MILE OR LESS AT TIMES IN FOG.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-74.
RH..................MIN 40-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2 TO 4 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST
                    4 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. LOCAL GUSTS TO
                    15 MPH AFTER 1400 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........15 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...INCREASING TO 1-2 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...KAPLAN
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150528.REFUG.01/LOX




000
FNUS76 KLOX 271952
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1252 PM PDT WED MAY 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1211 PDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TONIGHT AND
A MODERATELY AMPLIFIED RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON
THURSDAY. LOW CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MARINE LAYER ARE NOT
FORECAST FOR THE SITE...BUT THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THEY WILL MOVE
OVER THE SITE FROM THE EAST DURING THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS
THURSDAY. THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING ONLY A DEGREE OR
TWO OF WARMING TO THE INCIDENT SITE ON THURSDAY BECAUSE OF THE
MARINE LAYER INFLUENCE. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LATE
EVENING THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS
INCREASING TO LOCALLY MODERATE SPEEDS BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. A
LONG PERIOD SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
WATERS INSIDE THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL.
WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS WILL AFFECT THE SANTA YNEZ MOUNTAINS AND WILL
HELP TO KEEP THE COAST CLEAR FROM REFUFIO TO GAVIOTA THURSDAY
MORNING.

OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL PEAK IN
STRENGTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BRINGING REDUCED MARINE LAYER CLOUD
COVERAGE TO THE AREA AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. WEAKER
ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS DUE TO
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAKER ONSHORE TRENDS IN SURFACE PRESSURE.
A SMALL MIX OF SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SWELL AND MINOR WESTERLY WIND
SWELL WILL CONTINUE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........1800-2200: SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 2-3 MPH.
                    2200-0600: WINDS VARIABLE 1-3 MPH...BECOMING
                    EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 TO 2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........18 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-2 FEET BECOMING FLAT BY 2200 HOURS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65-70.
RH..................MIN 50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: WINDS VARIABLE 0-3 MPH.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH AFTER 1500 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1-2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........16-17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT BUILDING TO 1-2 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150527.REFUG.02/LOX





000
FNUS76 KLOX 271952
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1252 PM PDT WED MAY 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1211 PDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TONIGHT AND
A MODERATELY AMPLIFIED RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON
THURSDAY. LOW CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MARINE LAYER ARE NOT
FORECAST FOR THE SITE...BUT THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THEY WILL MOVE
OVER THE SITE FROM THE EAST DURING THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS
THURSDAY. THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING ONLY A DEGREE OR
TWO OF WARMING TO THE INCIDENT SITE ON THURSDAY BECAUSE OF THE
MARINE LAYER INFLUENCE. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LATE
EVENING THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS
INCREASING TO LOCALLY MODERATE SPEEDS BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. A
LONG PERIOD SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
WATERS INSIDE THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL.
WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS WILL AFFECT THE SANTA YNEZ MOUNTAINS AND WILL
HELP TO KEEP THE COAST CLEAR FROM REFUFIO TO GAVIOTA THURSDAY
MORNING.

OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL PEAK IN
STRENGTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BRINGING REDUCED MARINE LAYER CLOUD
COVERAGE TO THE AREA AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. WEAKER
ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS DUE TO
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAKER ONSHORE TRENDS IN SURFACE PRESSURE.
A SMALL MIX OF SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SWELL AND MINOR WESTERLY WIND
SWELL WILL CONTINUE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........1800-2200: SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 2-3 MPH.
                    2200-0600: WINDS VARIABLE 1-3 MPH...BECOMING
                    EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 TO 2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........18 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-2 FEET BECOMING FLAT BY 2200 HOURS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65-70.
RH..................MIN 50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: WINDS VARIABLE 0-3 MPH.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH AFTER 1500 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1-2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........16-17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT BUILDING TO 1-2 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150527.REFUG.02/LOX




000
FNUS76 KLOX 271952
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1252 PM PDT WED MAY 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1211 PDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TONIGHT AND
A MODERATELY AMPLIFIED RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON
THURSDAY. LOW CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MARINE LAYER ARE NOT
FORECAST FOR THE SITE...BUT THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THEY WILL MOVE
OVER THE SITE FROM THE EAST DURING THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS
THURSDAY. THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING ONLY A DEGREE OR
TWO OF WARMING TO THE INCIDENT SITE ON THURSDAY BECAUSE OF THE
MARINE LAYER INFLUENCE. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LATE
EVENING THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS
INCREASING TO LOCALLY MODERATE SPEEDS BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. A
LONG PERIOD SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
WATERS INSIDE THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL.
WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS WILL AFFECT THE SANTA YNEZ MOUNTAINS AND WILL
HELP TO KEEP THE COAST CLEAR FROM REFUFIO TO GAVIOTA THURSDAY
MORNING.

OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL PEAK IN
STRENGTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BRINGING REDUCED MARINE LAYER CLOUD
COVERAGE TO THE AREA AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. WEAKER
ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS DUE TO
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAKER ONSHORE TRENDS IN SURFACE PRESSURE.
A SMALL MIX OF SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SWELL AND MINOR WESTERLY WIND
SWELL WILL CONTINUE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........1800-2200: SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 2-3 MPH.
                    2200-0600: WINDS VARIABLE 1-3 MPH...BECOMING
                    EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 TO 2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........18 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-2 FEET BECOMING FLAT BY 2200 HOURS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65-70.
RH..................MIN 50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: WINDS VARIABLE 0-3 MPH.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH AFTER 1500 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1-2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........16-17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT BUILDING TO 1-2 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150527.REFUG.02/LOX




000
FNUS76 KLOX 271952
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1252 PM PDT WED MAY 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1211 PDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TONIGHT AND
A MODERATELY AMPLIFIED RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON
THURSDAY. LOW CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE MARINE LAYER ARE NOT
FORECAST FOR THE SITE...BUT THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THEY WILL MOVE
OVER THE SITE FROM THE EAST DURING THE EARLY TO MID MORNING HOURS
THURSDAY. THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING ONLY A DEGREE OR
TWO OF WARMING TO THE INCIDENT SITE ON THURSDAY BECAUSE OF THE
MARINE LAYER INFLUENCE. LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE LATE
EVENING THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS...WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS
INCREASING TO LOCALLY MODERATE SPEEDS BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. A
LONG PERIOD SOUTH-SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE
WATERS INSIDE THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL.
WEAK NORTHERLY WINDS WILL AFFECT THE SANTA YNEZ MOUNTAINS AND WILL
HELP TO KEEP THE COAST CLEAR FROM REFUFIO TO GAVIOTA THURSDAY
MORNING.

OUTLOOK FOR FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL PEAK IN
STRENGTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BRINGING REDUCED MARINE LAYER CLOUD
COVERAGE TO THE AREA AND WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. WEAKER
ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS DUE TO
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT AND WEAKER ONSHORE TRENDS IN SURFACE PRESSURE.
A SMALL MIX OF SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST SWELL AND MINOR WESTERLY WIND
SWELL WILL CONTINUE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........1800-2200: SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY
                    BECOMING VARIABLE 2-3 MPH.
                    2200-0600: WINDS VARIABLE 1-3 MPH...BECOMING
                    EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 TO 2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........18 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-2 FEET BECOMING FLAT BY 2200 HOURS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65-70.
RH..................MIN 50-55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: WINDS VARIABLE 0-3 MPH.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 3-6 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH AFTER 1500 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1-2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........16-17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT BUILDING TO 1-2 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150527.REFUG.02/LOX





000
FNUS76 KLOX 271023
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
323 AM PDT WED MAY 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0500 PDT ON MAY 27. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA TODAY ALLOWING FOR LOW CLOUDS TO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF
THE REGION THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON TODAY BEFORE GIVING WAY
TO PARTLY SUNNY SKIES...SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AS WELL. BY THURSDAY...THE UPPER
TROUGH WILL EXIT TO THE EAST ALLOWING FOR A MODERATE AMPLIFIED
RIDGE AXIS TO MOVE OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A FEW
DEGREES OF WARMING ALONG THE COAST...WITH MORE EXTENSIVE WARMING
ACROSS INLAND AREAS...LIKELY UP TO THE MID 80S ACROSS INLAND
VALLEYS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THE MARINE LAYER WILL BE SHALLOWER
DUE TO THE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WHICH SHOULD CAUSE SOME PATCHY FOG
TO OCCUR AT SOME COASTAL LOCATIONS EACH NIGHT THROUGH MORNING
HOURS FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

THERE WILL BE LOCAL GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE SANTA YNEZ MOUNTAIN RANGE AND THE WIND
PRONE PASSES AND CANYONS FROM WEST OF REFUGIO BEACH TO GAVIOTA.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR LOW CLOUDS TO DELAY FROM FORMING UNTIL NEAR
SUNRISE BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MORNINGS NEAR RUFUGIO BEACH.

OUTLOOK FROM SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A COOLING TREND IS LIKELY
ACROSS THE REGION AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE IN OVER
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE THE MARINE LAYER TO
DEEPEN AND POSSIBLY KEEP COASTAL AREAS PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN CLEARING TO THE BEACH BY
                    MID AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66-68.
RH..................MIN 55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: WINDS VARIABLE 2-4 MPH...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 MPH LATE.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH AFTER 1500 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........16-18 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...BECOMING WEST AT 1-3 FEET.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...THEN PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51-53.
RH..................MAX 85-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........1800-2200: WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY...BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 2-4 MPH AFTER 2000 HOURS.
                    2200-0600: WINDS VARIABLE 2-4 MPH...BECOMING
                    EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH AFTER 0300 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........15-17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-3 FEET EARLY...BECOMING FLAT AFTER 2000 HOURS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-72.
RH..................MIN 45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: WINDS VARIABLE 2-4 MPH...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 MPH LATE.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH AFTER 1500 HOURS. =
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........15-17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...BECOMING WEST AT 1-3 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...KAPLAN
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150527.REFUG.01/LOX




000
FNUS76 KLOX 271023
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
323 AM PDT WED MAY 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0500 PDT ON MAY 27. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LOW WILL MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA TODAY ALLOWING FOR LOW CLOUDS TO PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF
THE REGION THROUGH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON TODAY BEFORE GIVING WAY
TO PARTLY SUNNY SKIES...SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY AS WELL. BY THURSDAY...THE UPPER
TROUGH WILL EXIT TO THE EAST ALLOWING FOR A MODERATE AMPLIFIED
RIDGE AXIS TO MOVE OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL BRING ONLY A FEW
DEGREES OF WARMING ALONG THE COAST...WITH MORE EXTENSIVE WARMING
ACROSS INLAND AREAS...LIKELY UP TO THE MID 80S ACROSS INLAND
VALLEYS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. THE MARINE LAYER WILL BE SHALLOWER
DUE TO THE HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WHICH SHOULD CAUSE SOME PATCHY FOG
TO OCCUR AT SOME COASTAL LOCATIONS EACH NIGHT THROUGH MORNING
HOURS FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

THERE WILL BE LOCAL GUSTY NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS ACROSS THE
WESTERN PORTION OF THE SANTA YNEZ MOUNTAIN RANGE AND THE WIND
PRONE PASSES AND CANYONS FROM WEST OF REFUGIO BEACH TO GAVIOTA.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR LOW CLOUDS TO DELAY FROM FORMING UNTIL NEAR
SUNRISE BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY MORNINGS NEAR RUFUGIO BEACH.

OUTLOOK FROM SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A COOLING TREND IS LIKELY
ACROSS THE REGION AS ANOTHER UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE IN OVER
SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. THIS WILL LIKELY CAUSE THE MARINE LAYER TO
DEEPEN AND POSSIBLY KEEP COASTAL AREAS PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN CLEARING TO THE BEACH BY
                    MID AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66-68.
RH..................MIN 55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: WINDS VARIABLE 2-4 MPH...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 MPH LATE.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH AFTER 1500 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........16-18 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...BECOMING WEST AT 1-3 FEET.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR...THEN PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51-53.
RH..................MAX 85-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........1800-2200: WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH EARLY...BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 2-4 MPH AFTER 2000 HOURS.
                    2200-0600: WINDS VARIABLE 2-4 MPH...BECOMING
                    EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH AFTER 0300 HOURS.
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........15-17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1-3 FEET EARLY...BECOMING FLAT AFTER 2000 HOURS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PATCHY LOW CLOUDS AND FOG IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69-72.
RH..................MIN 45-50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: WINDS VARIABLE 2-4 MPH...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST 5 MPH LATE.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    TO NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH AFTER 1500 HOURS. =
SWELL HEIGHT........SOUTHWEST SWELL 1 FOOT.
SWELL PERIOD........15-17 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...BECOMING WEST AT 1-3 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...KAPLAN
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150527.REFUG.01/LOX





000
FNUS76 KLOX 270525
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAC-DIV III DRILL...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1025 PM PDT TUE MAY 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE ON WEDNESDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE SOUTH
OF THE BURN AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD OVER THE
REGION THROUGH LATE WEEK THINNING THE MARINE LAYER AND WEAKENING
ONSHORE FLOW. OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES WILL DETERIORATE ON WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH ONLY MODERATE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES OCCURRING.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) BY IGNITION AFTER
MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG.
TEMPERATURE.........61-64 DEGREES AT IGNITION...MAX 75-79 DEGREES.
RH..................59-64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
MPH POSSIBLE AFTER 1300 HOURS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200 HOURS...
SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FEET AGL AT IGNITION...LIFTING TO
3500-4000 FEET AGL BY 1400 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...FFS MO KHAZAAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150526.LACDI.01/LOX

$$





000
FNUS76 KLOX 270525
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAC-DIV III DRILL...CNTY LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1025 PM PDT TUE MAY 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL REMAIN IN
PLACE ON WEDNESDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE SOUTH
OF THE BURN AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD OVER THE
REGION THROUGH LATE WEEK THINNING THE MARINE LAYER AND WEAKENING
ONSHORE FLOW. OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES WILL DETERIORATE ON WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...WITH ONLY MODERATE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES OCCURRING.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) BY IGNITION AFTER
MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG.
TEMPERATURE.........61-64 DEGREES AT IGNITION...MAX 75-79 DEGREES.
RH..................59-64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 41-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
MPH POSSIBLE AFTER 1300 HOURS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200 HOURS...
SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FEET AGL AT IGNITION...LIFTING TO
3500-4000 FEET AGL BY 1400 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...FFS MO KHAZAAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150526.LACDI.01/LOX

$$




000
FNUS76 KLOX 270323
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP SLO...CAL FIRE/ SLU
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
823 PM PDT TUE MAY 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ON
WEDNESDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE SOUTH OF THE
BURN AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD OVER THE REGION LATE
WEEK THINNING THE MARINE LAYER AND WEAKENING ONSHORE FLOW.
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES WILL REMAIN GOOD THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...THEN START TO DETERIORATE AT THE UPPER ELEVATIONS OF THE
BURN AREA FOR LATE WEEK. A PERSISTENT MARINE LAYER SHOULD BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE BURN AREA INTO LATE
WEEK.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) AT
                    IGNITION...THEN BECOMING SUNNY (15-25
PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........59-62 DEGREES AT IGNITION...MAX 72-76
DEGREES.
RH..................65-69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45-49
PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER 1200 HOURS
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...LIFTING TO
2000-2500 FT AGL BY 1300 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1300 HOURS...
INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL 2000
                    HOURS THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT)
WITH PATCHY FOG.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49-53 DEGREES.
RH..................MAX 90-94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
25 MPH UNTIL 2000 HOURS...DIMINISHING TO 5
TO 10 MPH UNTIL 0200 HOURS. THEN...NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2300
HOURS...SHIFTING TO NORTH AND DIMINISHING TO
8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000 HOURS...FALLING
TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2000 HOURS...
DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 MPH.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...APRIL MANGELS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150527.CAMPS.01/LOX

$$





000
FNUS76 KLOX 270323
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMP SLO...CAL FIRE/ SLU
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
823 PM PDT TUE MAY 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ON
WEDNESDAY AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES TO THE SOUTH OF THE
BURN AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD OVER THE REGION LATE
WEEK THINNING THE MARINE LAYER AND WEAKENING ONSHORE FLOW.
OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES WILL REMAIN GOOD THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...THEN START TO DETERIORATE AT THE UPPER ELEVATIONS OF THE
BURN AREA FOR LATE WEEK. A PERSISTENT MARINE LAYER SHOULD BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE BURN AREA INTO LATE
WEEK.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) AT
                    IGNITION...THEN BECOMING SUNNY (15-25
PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........59-62 DEGREES AT IGNITION...MAX 72-76
DEGREES.
RH..................65-69 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45-49
PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER 1200 HOURS
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...LIFTING TO
2000-2500 FT AGL BY 1300 HOURS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1300 HOURS...
INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL 2000
                    HOURS THEN BECOMING CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT)
WITH PATCHY FOG.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49-53 DEGREES.
RH..................MAX 90-94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
25 MPH UNTIL 2000 HOURS...DIMINISHING TO 5
TO 10 MPH UNTIL 0200 HOURS. THEN...NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2300
HOURS...SHIFTING TO NORTH AND DIMINISHING TO
8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL UNTIL 2000 HOURS...FALLING
TO 500 FT AGL OR LESS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 2000 HOURS...
DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 10 MPH.


FORECASTER...HALL
REQUESTED BY...APRIL MANGELS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150527.CAMPS.01/LOX

$$




000
FNUS76 KLOX 261956
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1256 PM PDT TUE MAY 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1233 PDT ON MAY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ONLY MINOR DAY-TO-DAY CHANGES IN THE WEATHER ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW WITH GENERALLY LIGHT TO BREEZY ONSHORE
WINDS. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY DURING THE DAY WITH LOW CLOUDS
AND PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT AND INTO MIDDAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM SLIGHTLY BUT REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.

THE LONG PERIOD SWELL FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY
AND WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE BY TOMORROW.

CONDITIONS WILL TREND WARMER AND DRIER BEGINNING LATE TOMORROW AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
STRENGTHEN A BIT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS COMING TOMORROW NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THOUGH OVERALL SKIES WILL BE CLEARER THERE IS A BETTER
CHANCE OF MORNING FOG ALONG THE COAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH UP TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 TO 3 FEET.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY
                    (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 2 TO 3 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 TO 3 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...KJ
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150526.REFUG.03/LOX




000
FNUS76 KLOX 261956
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1256 PM PDT TUE MAY 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1233 PDT ON MAY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ONLY MINOR DAY-TO-DAY CHANGES IN THE WEATHER ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW WITH GENERALLY LIGHT TO BREEZY ONSHORE
WINDS. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY DURING THE DAY WITH LOW CLOUDS
AND PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT AND INTO MIDDAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM SLIGHTLY BUT REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.

THE LONG PERIOD SWELL FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY
AND WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE BY TOMORROW.

CONDITIONS WILL TREND WARMER AND DRIER BEGINNING LATE TOMORROW AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
STRENGTHEN A BIT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS COMING TOMORROW NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THOUGH OVERALL SKIES WILL BE CLEARER THERE IS A BETTER
CHANCE OF MORNING FOG ALONG THE COAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH UP TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 TO 3 FEET.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY
                    (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 2 TO 3 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 TO 3 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...KJ
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150526.REFUG.03/LOX





000
FNUS76 KLOX 261956
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1256 PM PDT TUE MAY 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1233 PDT ON MAY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ONLY MINOR DAY-TO-DAY CHANGES IN THE WEATHER ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW WITH GENERALLY LIGHT TO BREEZY ONSHORE
WINDS. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY DURING THE DAY WITH LOW CLOUDS
AND PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT AND INTO MIDDAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM SLIGHTLY BUT REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.

THE LONG PERIOD SWELL FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY
AND WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE BY TOMORROW.

CONDITIONS WILL TREND WARMER AND DRIER BEGINNING LATE TOMORROW AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
STRENGTHEN A BIT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS COMING TOMORROW NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THOUGH OVERALL SKIES WILL BE CLEARER THERE IS A BETTER
CHANCE OF MORNING FOG ALONG THE COAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH UP TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 TO 3 FEET.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY
                    (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 2 TO 3 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 TO 3 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...KJ
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150526.REFUG.03/LOX




000
FNUS76 KLOX 261956
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1256 PM PDT TUE MAY 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1233 PDT ON MAY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ONLY MINOR DAY-TO-DAY CHANGES IN THE WEATHER ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW WITH GENERALLY LIGHT TO BREEZY ONSHORE
WINDS. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY DURING THE DAY WITH LOW CLOUDS
AND PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT AND INTO MIDDAY. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM SLIGHTLY BUT REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS.

THE LONG PERIOD SWELL FROM THE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN TODAY
AND WILL BE NEGLIGIBLE BY TOMORROW.

CONDITIONS WILL TREND WARMER AND DRIER BEGINNING LATE TOMORROW AND
CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND
STRENGTHEN A BIT WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS COMING TOMORROW NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. THOUGH OVERALL SKIES WILL BE CLEARER THERE IS A BETTER
CHANCE OF MORNING FOG ALONG THE COAST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH UP TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 2 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 TO 3 FEET.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING SUNNY
                    (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 2 TO 3 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........1 TO 3 FEET.

$$
FORECASTER...KJ
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150526.REFUG.03/LOX





000
FNUS76 KLOX 260948
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
248 AM PDT TUE MAY 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0500 PDT ON MAY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL LAST ONE MORE DAY OVER THE
REGION...BEFORE GIVING WAY TO AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THEREFORE THERE WILL BE ONLY MINOR DAY-TO-DAY CHANGES
FROM YESTERDAY. EXPECT TYPICAL ONSHORE WINDS WITH GUSTY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS.
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL EXHIBIT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BUT STILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS WHILE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINS AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS. OTHER THAN
NIGHT THROUGH MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ACROSS THE COASTS AND
VALLEYS...MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.

FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AN AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL BRING A
GRADUAL WARM UP ACROSS THE SANTA BARBARA SOUTH COAST...WITH MORE
SIGNIFICANT WARMING EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND LOCATIONS. IN FACT...MANY
INLAND AREAS WILL BE IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. WITH THE WARMER TEMPERATURES...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
DROP TO LOW TO MODERATE LEVELS EACH AFTERNOON...AND OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES WILL BE MODERATE TO GOOD. WEAK ONSHORE WINDS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THROUGH LATE
                    MORNING.
                    THEN SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66-68.
RH..................MIN 52-56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: VARIABLE 4 MPH OR LESS.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
                    1300-1800: WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 1-3 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........11 SECONDS.
SECOND SWELL........SOUTH AT 1 FOOT.
SECOND SWELL PD.....16 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY BUILDING TO AROUND 2 FEET.
TIDE INFORMATION....LOW TIDE AT 1131 AM PDT...HEIGHT 1.1 FT.
                    HIGH TIDE AT 636 PM PDT...HEIGHT 4.4 FT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR EARLY...THEN LOW CLOUDS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51-53.
RH..................MAX 90-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........1800-2200: WEST WINDS 6 TO 12...BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 3-5 MPH AFTER 2000 HOURS.
                    2200-0600: VARIABLE 4 MPH OR LESS.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 1-3 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET BECOMING FLAT.
TIDE INFORMATION....LOW TIDE AT 104 AM PDT...HEIGHT 1.9 FT.
                    HIGH TIDE AT 622 AM PDT...HEIGHT 3.4 FT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MORNING LOW CLOUDS...BECOMING SUNNY BY LATE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70-72.
RH..................MIN 47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: VARIABLE 4 MPH OR LESS.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST 1-3 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...BUILDING TO 2-4 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIDE INFORMATION....LOW TIDE AT 1215 PM PDT...HEIGHT 1.3 FT.
                    HIGH TIDE AT 706 PM PDT...HEIGHT 4.7 FT.

$$
FORECASTER...KAPLAN
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150526.REFUG.01/LOX





000
FNUS76 KLOX 260948
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REFUGIO INCIDENT...USCG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
248 AM PDT TUE MAY 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0500 PDT ON MAY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

A BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL LAST ONE MORE DAY OVER THE
REGION...BEFORE GIVING WAY TO AN AMPLIFIED RIDGE BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THEREFORE THERE WILL BE ONLY MINOR DAY-TO-DAY CHANGES
FROM YESTERDAY. EXPECT TYPICAL ONSHORE WINDS WITH GUSTY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS.
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL EXHIBIT A GRADUAL WARMING TREND
THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BUT STILL REMAIN BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS WHILE
RELATIVE HUMIDITY REMAINS AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS. OTHER THAN
NIGHT THROUGH MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG ACROSS THE COASTS AND
VALLEYS...MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL.

FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AN AMPLIFIED UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE WEST COAST. THIS WILL BRING A
GRADUAL WARM UP ACROSS THE SANTA BARBARA SOUTH COAST...WITH MORE
SIGNIFICANT WARMING EXPECTED ACROSS INLAND LOCATIONS. IN FACT...MANY
INLAND AREAS WILL BE IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S FRIDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. WITH THE WARMER TEMPERATURES...RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL
DROP TO LOW TO MODERATE LEVELS EACH AFTERNOON...AND OVERNIGHT
RECOVERIES WILL BE MODERATE TO GOOD. WEAK ONSHORE WINDS WILL
CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THROUGH LATE
                    MORNING.
                    THEN SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66-68.
RH..................MIN 52-56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: VARIABLE 4 MPH OR LESS.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
                    1300-1800: WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 1-3 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........11 SECONDS.
SECOND SWELL........SOUTH AT 1 FOOT.
SECOND SWELL PD.....16 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY BUILDING TO AROUND 2 FEET.
TIDE INFORMATION....LOW TIDE AT 1131 AM PDT...HEIGHT 1.1 FT.
                    HIGH TIDE AT 636 PM PDT...HEIGHT 4.4 FT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR EARLY...THEN LOW CLOUDS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 51-53.
RH..................MAX 90-100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........1800-2200: WEST WINDS 6 TO 12...BECOMING
                    VARIABLE 3-5 MPH AFTER 2000 HOURS.
                    2200-0600: VARIABLE 4 MPH OR LESS.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST SWELL 1-3 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........2 FEET BECOMING FLAT.
TIDE INFORMATION....LOW TIDE AT 104 AM PDT...HEIGHT 1.9 FT.
                    HIGH TIDE AT 622 AM PDT...HEIGHT 3.4 FT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MORNING LOW CLOUDS...BECOMING SUNNY BY LATE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70-72.
RH..................MIN 47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........0600-1000: VARIABLE 4 MPH OR LESS.
                    1000-1300: SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH.
                    1300-1800: SOUTHWEST TO WEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
SWELL HEIGHT........WEST 1-3 FEET.
SWELL PERIOD........10 SECONDS.
WIND WAVE...........FLAT EARLY...BUILDING TO 2-4 FEET IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIDE INFORMATION....LOW TIDE AT 1215 PM PDT...HEIGHT 1.3 FT.
                    HIGH TIDE AT 706 PM PDT...HEIGHT 4.7 FT.

$$
FORECASTER...KAPLAN
REQUESTED BY...NWS OXNARD
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20150526.REFUG.01/LOX




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