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000
FNUS73 KLSX 282308
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN CREEK...MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST, SALEM RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
508 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BEGINNING OVERNIGHT AND
CONTINUING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF
THIS COLD FRONT WILL USHER MUCH COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA AND RESULT IN
TEMPERATURES THAN ARE CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE
NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE LATE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY WHEN THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 45.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST AT 4 TO 7 MPH AT IGNITION OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 13
                    MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AT IGNITION...3600 FT AGL AT MAX
                    HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 29 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (13951 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.


                        THU NIGHT         FRI

CLOUD COVER             MCLEAR            MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE             NONE              NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)       0                 0
LOW/HIGH TEMP(F)        21-25             39-43
MAX/MIN RH(%)           82-87             36-41
TEMP (24H TREND)        22                42
RH % (24H TREND)        85                38
20FT WIND AM(MPH)                         LGT/VAR
20FT WIND PM(MPH)       NW 6-10 G15       LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT(IN)       0.00              0.00
PRECIP DURATION(        0                 0
LAL                     1                 1
1700FT MIXING TEMP                        35
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                        2300
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                       NE  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                       NE  6
VENT RATE (M^2/S)                         1817
                                          POOR
HAINES INDEX                              4


$$

FORECASTER...CARNEY
REQUESTED BY...JAMES CORNELIUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150129.INDIA.01/LSX








000
FNUS73 KLSX 282308
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN CREEK...MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST, SALEM RD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
508 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BEGINNING OVERNIGHT AND
CONTINUING EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS IN THE WAKE OF
THIS COLD FRONT WILL USHER MUCH COOLER AIR INTO THE AREA AND RESULT IN
TEMPERATURES THAN ARE CLOSER TO NORMAL FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE
NEXT SIGNIFICANT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE LATE SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY WHEN THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW.


.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 45.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST AT 4 TO 7 MPH AT IGNITION OTHERWISE
                    NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 13
                    MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AT IGNITION...3600 FT AGL AT MAX
                    HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 29 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (13951 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.


                        THU NIGHT         FRI

CLOUD COVER             MCLEAR            MCLEAR
PRECIP TYPE             NONE              NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)       0                 0
LOW/HIGH TEMP(F)        21-25             39-43
MAX/MIN RH(%)           82-87             36-41
TEMP (24H TREND)        22                42
RH % (24H TREND)        85                38
20FT WIND AM(MPH)                         LGT/VAR
20FT WIND PM(MPH)       NW 6-10 G15       LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT(IN)       0.00              0.00
PRECIP DURATION(        0                 0
LAL                     1                 1
1700FT MIXING TEMP                        35
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)                        2300
TRANSPORT WND (M/S)                       NE  3
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                       NE  6
VENT RATE (M^2/S)                         1817
                                          POOR
HAINES INDEX                              4


$$

FORECASTER...CARNEY
REQUESTED BY...JAMES CORNELIUS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150129.INDIA.01/LSX







000
FNUS73 KLSX 281820
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARK TWAIN LAKE...U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1220 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1202 CST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT ACCOMPANIED
BY GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND CLOUDY SKIES.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND...20 FT........NORTHWEST WIND 12 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 41.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST WIND 3 TO 4 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 32 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (15004 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GLASS
REQUESTED BY...ALLEN MEHRER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150128.MARKT.01/LSX







000
FNUS73 KLSX 281820
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR MARK TWAIN LAKE...U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1220 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1202 CST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT ACCOMPANIED
BY GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS AND CLOUDY SKIES.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND...20 FT........NORTHWEST WIND 12 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 41.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST WIND 3 TO 4 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 32 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (15004 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GLASS
REQUESTED BY...ALLEN MEHRER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150128.MARKT.01/LSX








000
FNUS73 KLSX 281505
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUSCH...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
905 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGE TODAY
WITH GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 54.
RH..................72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS SOUTH 5 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...2000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 26 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (7227 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GLASS
REQUESTED BY...JERODHUEBNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.BUSCH.01/LSX








000
FNUS73 KLSX 281505
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUSCH...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
905 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGE TODAY
WITH GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 54.
RH..................72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS SOUTH 5 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...2000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 26 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (7227 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GLASS
REQUESTED BY...JERODHUEBNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.BUSCH.01/LSX







000
FNUS73 KLSX 281348
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN CAMP CREEK...ST. CHARLES COUNTY PARKS AND RECREATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
748 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGE TODAY
AND TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BACK TO AVERAGE
ON THURSDAY WITH THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 6 MPH AT IGNITION...USING A 0.4
                    ADJUSTMENT FACTOR.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WIND 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AT IGNITION...2000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 26 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (7243 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 4 TO 5 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE...USING A 0.4 ADJUSTMENT.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 12 MPH LATE. GUSTS
                    UP TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 44.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 7 MPH USING A 0.4 ADJUSTMENT.
WIND...20 FT........NORTHWEST WIND 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 32 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (14957 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TES
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE SUPERVISOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.INDIA.01/LSX






000
FNUS73 KLSX 281348
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN CAMP CREEK...ST. CHARLES COUNTY PARKS AND RECREATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
748 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGE TODAY
AND TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BACK TO AVERAGE
ON THURSDAY WITH THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND 6 MPH AT IGNITION...USING A 0.4
                    ADJUSTMENT FACTOR.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 14 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WIND 9 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AT IGNITION...2000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 26 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (7243 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 4 TO 5 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE...USING A 0.4 ADJUSTMENT.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 12 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 12 MPH LATE. GUSTS
                    UP TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 44.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 7 MPH USING A 0.4 ADJUSTMENT.
WIND...20 FT........NORTHWEST WIND 12 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 32 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....GOOD (14957 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...TES
REQUESTED BY...NATURAL RESOURCE SUPERVISOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.INDIA.01/LSX





000
FNUS73 KLSX 281345
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR VALLEY VIEW UNIT 2...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
745 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGE TODAY
AND TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BACK TO AVERAGE
ON THURSDAY WITH THE NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION THIS WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...USING A 0.4
                    ADJUSTMENT FACTOR.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WIND EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTH
                    7 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AT IGNITION...2000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (6928 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 4 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING
                    WEST 4 MPH...USING A 0.4 ADJUSTMENT.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 9 TO 10 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 9 MPH LATE. GUSTS
                    UP TO 18 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 45.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....NORTHWEST WIND 4 TO 6 MPH USING A 0.4 ADJUSTMENT.
WIND...20 FT........NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24
                    MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...TES
REQUESTED BY...DAVID SHIEH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.VALLE.01/LSX






000
FNUS73 KLSX 271531
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PEA RIDGE...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
931 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON JANUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THOUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY WHICH WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES
NEAR AVERAGE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 45.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS NORTH AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WIND AROUND 1 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON USING THE WIND FACTOR ADJUSTMENT OF 0.2.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS NORTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WIND 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FEET AT IGNITION...3000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 16 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....POOR (5483 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...GKS
REQUESTED BY...GREG TURNBOUGH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150127.PEARI.01/LSX








000
FNUS73 KLSX 271513
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PEA RIDGE...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
913 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON JANUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THOUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY WHICH WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES...
NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 45.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS NORTH AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WIND AROUND 1 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON USING THE WIND FACTOR ADJUSTMENT OF 0.2.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS NORTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WIND 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FEET AT IGNITION...3000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 16 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...GKS
REQUESTED BY...GREG TURNBOUGH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150127.PEARI.01/LSX







000
FNUS73 KLSX 271513
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PEA RIDGE...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
913 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON JANUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE SEASONAL AVERAGE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH LITTLE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THOUGH THE AREA ON THURSDAY WHICH WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES...
NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 45.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WINDS NORTH AT 1 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WIND AROUND 1 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON USING THE WIND FACTOR ADJUSTMENT OF 0.2.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS NORTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WIND 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FEET AT IGNITION...3000 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 16 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...GKS
REQUESTED BY...GREG TURNBOUGH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150127.PEARI.01/LSX








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