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000
FNUS74 KLZK 181133
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR POSEY HOLLOW 2...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
633 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AT THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING...AND SHOULD ONLY
PICK UP TO AROUND 5 MPH BY LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND
DIRECTIONS WILL BE EAST-NORTHEASTERLY BY LATE MORNING THEN GRADUALLY
VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. GRADIENTS WILL BE WEAK TODAY SO DO NOT EXPECT TO SEE
ANY WIND GUSTS AT THE BURN SITE. HUMIDITY LEVELS SHOULD DROP TO
AROUND 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID
70S.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS EARLY...BECOMING EAST-NORTHEAST AT
                    AROUND 5 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 7400 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5616 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST
                    5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............57  61  62  63  64  65  65  65
RH..............70  66  60  57  57  56  58  61
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   7   7   7   7   7   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   4   4   5   5   5   4   3
EYE LVL WND GST.3   4   4   5   5   5   4   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   9   9   9   9   9   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 7 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4100 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2320 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............64  62  60  58  56  55  54  53  52  52  51  51
RH..............61  66  72  76  80  82  84  86  89  90  92  92
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
EYE LVL WND GST.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 7000 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5178 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............50  50  53  55  58  60  62  64  65  66  67  66
RH..............93  93  86  79  72  68  64  61  60  59  59  60
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   6   6   7   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10

$$
FORECASTER...C DALTON
REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140418.POSEY.01/LZK








000
FNUS74 KLZK 181052
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFFALO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
552 AM CDT FRI APR 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AT THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING...AND SHOULD ONLY
PICK UP TO AROUND 5 MPH BY LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND
DIRECTIONS WILL BE EAST-NORTHEASTERLY BY LATE MORNING THEN GRADUALLY
VEER AROUND TO THE SOUTHEAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. GRADIENTS WILL BE WEAK TODAY SO DO NOT EXPECT TO SEE
ANY WIND GUSTS AT THE BURN SITE. HUMIDITY LEVELS SHOULD DROP TO
AROUND 40 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPS CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID
70S.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS EARLY...BECOMING EAST-NORTHEAST AT
                    AROUND 5 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 7400 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 6374 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST
                    5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............62  67  70  72  73  74  73
RH..............53  46  43  42  40  40  42
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   7   7   7   7   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   4   5   5   4   4   3
EYE LVL WND GST.3   4   5   5   4   4   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   9   9   9   9   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2633 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............72  70  66  64  61  60  59  57  56  55  54  53
RH..............45  49  55  61  65  68  70  74  77  79  81  83
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SATURDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   7

$$
FORECASTER...C DALTON
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140418.BUFFA.01/LZK









000
FNUS74 KLZK 171147
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE WINONA...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
647 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY.
AT THE BURN SITE...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING BUT WILL
GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHEAST BY LATE MORNING. RH VALUES AT THE BURN
SITE SHOULD BOTTOM AROUND 50 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.

LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4094 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............53  56  57  59  61  62  62  62
RH..............60  56  54  51  51  50  50  52
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   5   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.4   5   7   7   7   7   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   3   4   4   4   4   3   3
EYE LVL WND GST.2   3   4   4   4   4   3   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   9   9   9   8   8   7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......N/A.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC
WEATHER COV.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............62  60  58  57  56  55  54  53  53  52  51  51
RH..............54  58  62  66  70  72  74  76  78  80  82  83
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   1
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 1 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 6900 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5411 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............51  51  53  55  57  59  61  62  63  63  64  64
RH..............85  86  81  75  70  67  64  62  61  60  60  62
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.1   1   1   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.1   1   2   2   3   3   5   6   6   6   6   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...B SMITH
REQUESTED BY...USFS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.LAKEW.01/LZK








000
FNUS74 KLZK 171132
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR EXPERMENTAL FOREST...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
632 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY. AT THE
BURN SITE...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING BUT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
SOUTHEAST BY LATE MORNING. RH VALUES AT THE BURN SITE SHOULD BOTTOM
OUT IN THE 40-45 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.

LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5800 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5032 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....1.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............50  54  57  61  62  63  64  64
RH..............62  53  49  44  43  42  42  44
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   7   6   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   7   7   7   7   7   7   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
EYE LVL WND GST.3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   9   10  10  10  9   9   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST 2 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......N/A.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....                TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............62  60  57  54  52  51  50  48  47  46  45  45
RH..............46  51  58  64  70  73  77  81  86  89  93  95
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W
20 FT WIND SPD..5   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 48 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 1 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 7000 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 6211 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....1.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............44  44  47  51  55  58  61  63  64  65  66  66
RH..............98  100 89  77  68  62  56  52  50  48  48  49
20 FT WIND DIR..W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   NW  NW  NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...B SMITH
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN SULLIVAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.EXPER.01/LZK








000
FNUS74 KLZK 171129
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR SARAH HOLLOW KV...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
629 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY. AT THE
BURN SITE...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING BUT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
SOUTHEAST BY LATE MORNING. RH VALUES AT THE BURN SITE SHOULD BOTTOM
OUT IN THE 40-45 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.

LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5900 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4500 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............58  61  62  63  64  64
RH..............49  46  45  44  44  46
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.7   7   7   7   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   3   3
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   4   4   3   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   9   9   8   8   7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 1 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......N/A.
STABILITY CLASS.....5.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............63  61  57  55  53  52  50  49  48  47  46  46
RH..............49  54  60  66  71  74  77  81  84  87  90  90
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   1
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   1
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 1 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 6800 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5371 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....1.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............45  45  48  52  56  59  62  64  65  67  67  67
RH..............92  94  83  73  65  59  54  50  49  47  47  48
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...B SMITH
REQUESTED BY...C HIGHFILL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.SARAH.01/LZK








000
FNUS74 KLZK 171123
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR M O POSEY HOLLOW 2...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
623 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY. AT THE
BURN SITE...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING BUT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
SOUTHEAST BY LATE MORNING. RH VALUES AT THE BURN SITE SHOULD BOTTOM
OUT IN THE 50-55 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.

LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4136 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............54  56  59  61  62  62  62
RH..............60  58  53  53  52  53  55
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   7   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.7   7   7   7   7   7   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   4   3
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   4   4   4   4   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   10  10  10  9   8   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......N/A.
STABILITY CLASS.....5.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....            TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............61  59  56  54  52  51  50  49  48  47  47  46
RH..............58  64  70  76  80  83  86  89  92  94  97  98
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT WIND GUST.5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   1
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 1 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 6600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5119 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....1.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............46  45  48  51  54  57  59  61  62  63  63  63
RH..............99  100 92  83  76  70  66  63  62  60  60  62
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
20 FT WIND GUST.1   1   1   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
EYE LVL WND GST.1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.1   1   2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...B SMITH
REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.MOPOS.01/LZK








000
FNUS74 KLZK 171120
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR M O POSEY HOLLOW 2...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
620 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY. AT THE
BURN SITE...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING BUT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
SOUTHEAST BY LATE MORNING. RH VALUES AT THE BURN SITE SHOULD BOTTOM
OUT IN THE 50-55 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.

LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4136 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............54  56  59  61  62  62  62
RH..............60  58  53  53  52  53  55
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   7   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.7   7   7   7   7   7   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   4   3
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   4   4   4   4   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   10  10  10  9   8   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......N/A.
STABILITY CLASS.....5.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....            TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............61  59  56  54  52  51  50  49  48  47  47  46
RH..............58  64  70  76  80  83  86  89  92  94  97  98
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT WIND SPD..5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT WIND GUST.5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   1
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 1 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 6600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5119 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....1.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............46  45  48  51  54  57  59  61  62  63  63  63
RH..............99  100 92  83  76  70  66  63  62  60  60  62
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
20 FT WIND GUST.1   1   1   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
EYE LVL WND GST.1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.1   1   2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...B SMITH
REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.MOPOS.01/LZK








000
FNUS74 KLZK 171116
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR M O BOGUS RIDGE...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
616 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY. AT THE
BURN SITE...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING BUT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
SOUTHEAST BY LATE MORNING. RH VALUES AT THE BURN SITE SHOULD BOTTOM
OUT IN THE 40-45 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.

LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4921 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............53  57  60  63  65  66  67  67  66
RH..............70  60  53  50  45  44  44  46  49
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   7   7   7   7   7   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   3   4   4   4   4   4   3   3
EYE LVL WND GST.3   3   4   4   4   4   4   3   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   8   8   9   9   9   8   8   7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......N/A.
STABILITY CLASS.....5.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....            TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............65  63  60  58  55  54  53  52  51  50  49  48
RH..............49  54  60  66  71  73  76  80  83  86  89  90
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   1
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 1 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 6600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5931 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....1.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............48  47  51  55  58  61  64  66  68  69  69  69
RH..............92  93  83  73  65  60  55  51  50  49  49  50
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.1   1   1   1   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.1   1   2   2   3   3   5   6   6   6   5   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...B SMITH
REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.MOBOG.01/LZK








000
FNUS74 KLZK 171114
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR GRANNY GAP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
614 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY. AT THE
BURN SITE...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING BUT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
SOUTH OR SOUTHEAST BY LATE MORNING. RH VALUES AT THE BURN SITE SHOULD
BOTTOM OUT IN THE 45-50 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.

LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................54 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5800 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4553 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............55  58  60  61  63  63  63
RH..............54  51  49  47  46  47  48
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   6   5   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   7   7   7   5   5   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   4   4   4   3   3   2
EYE LVL WND GST.3   4   4   4   3   3   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   9   9   8   8   7   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 97 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......N/A.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC
WEATHER COV.....            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....            TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............62  60  57  54  52  51  50  49  48  47  46  46
RH..............51  56  62  68  73  76  79  83  86  89  92  93
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   1
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   2   2
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 1 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 6900 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5692 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............45  45  48  52  55  58  60  62  64  65  65  65
RH..............96  97  87  77  69  63  59  55  54  52  52  53
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  N   NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  N   NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE  N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.2   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...B SMITH
REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.GRANN.01/LZK








000
FNUS74 KLZK 171111
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR COUNTY LINE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
611 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY. AT THE
BURN SITE...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING BUT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
SOUTH BY LATE MORNING. RH VALUES AT THE BURN SITE SHOULD BOTTOM OUT IN THE 45-
50 PERCENT RANGE THIS AFTERNOON.

LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5900 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4123 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    OTHERWISE BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............54  56  58  59  61  61  61
RH..............56  52  50  49  48  48  50
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   6   5   5   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   7   7   7   5   5   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   4   4   4   3   3   2
EYE LVL WND GST.3   4   4   4   3   3   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   9   8   8   7   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 2 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......N/A.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............60  58  56  54  52  51  50  49  48  47  47  46
RH..............52  56  62  67  71  73  76  79  81  83  85  86
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 1 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 6700 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4898 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............46  45  48  51  54  56  59  60  61  62  63  63
RH..............88  89  82  74  67  63  59  56  55  53  53  55
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...B SMITH
REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.COUNT.01/LZK








000
FNUS74 KLZK 171029
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTTSIDE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
529 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY. AT THE
BURN SITE...WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING BUT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME
SOUTHEAST BY LATE MORNING AND MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SPEEDS COULD FLUCTUATE THROUGH THE DAY AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE
STATE...BUT IN GENERAL EXPECT WINDS TO BE SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 3-5 MPH.
RH VALUES AT THE BURN SITE SHOULD BOTTOM OUT IN THE 40-45 PERCENT RANGE
THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO SLIGHT DOWNSLOPE WIND EFFECT IN THE VICINITY OF
THE BURN SITE.

LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    4 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5800 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5151 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............58  61  65  66  68  68  68
RH..............52  49  43  43  42  42  44
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.7   7   7   7   7   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   3   3
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   4   4   4   3   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8   8   9   8   8   8   7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2800 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2128 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............67  65  61  58  56  55  54  52  51  50  49  48
RH..............47  52  58  64  69  72  75  78  81  84  86  87
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1
20 FT WIND GUST.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   1
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   3   3   2   2
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.FRIDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.1   1   1   1   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...C DALTON
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.SCOTT.01/LZK











000
FNUS74 KLZK 171014
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BNUFFALO...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
514 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE TODAY. WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT THIS MORNING...BUT WILL GRADUALLY BECOME SOUTHEAST BY
LATE MORNING AND MORE EAST-SOUTHEAST BY THE LATE AFTERNOON. SPEEDS COULD
FLUCTUATE THROUGH THE DAY AS THE FRONT MOVES INTO THE STATE...BUT IN
GENERAL EXPECT WINDS TO BE SOUTHEAST AT ABOUT 3-5 MPH. RH VALUES AT THE
BURN SITE SHOULD BOTTOM OUT ONLY AROUND 45 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.

LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 46 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5800 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4768 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............57  59  63  64  65  66  65
RH..............55  52  47  46  46  46  48
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   7   7   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.7   7   7   7   7   7   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   4   3
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   4   4   4   4   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   10  10  10  9   8   8
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 44.
RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 1 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3000 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1970 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....        TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............64  62  59  57  54  53  52  51  50  49  48  48
RH..............52  57  63  69  74  77  80  84  87  89  92  92
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
20 FT WIND GUST.5   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2   2   1   1
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   6   6   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   1
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20

.FRIDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.1   1   1   1   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...C DALTON
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.BNUFF.01/LZK








000
FNUS74 KLZK 161438
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR APPLETON...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
938 AM CDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

TWENTY FOOT SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 7 TO 9 MPH BY LATE THIS
MORNING AT THE SITE...WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 11 MPH. AFTERNOON
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL DROP INTO THE 30TH PERCENTILE.

LIGHT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL BE
GOOD...WITH OVERNIGHT VALUES CLIMBING ABOVE 90 PERCENT.

ON THURSDAY...THERE WILL BE MORE CLOUDS AND MOISTURE. SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT...WITH AFTERNOON HUMIDITY LEVELS IN THE
40TH PERCENTILE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                       SOUTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                       SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH LATE IN
                       THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5000 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4252 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............53  56  57  58  59  61
RH..............44  40  39  37  36  35
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   9   9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.11  11  11  11  11  7
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   5   5   5   5   4
EYE LVL WND GST.6   6   6   6   6   4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.17  18  18  17  16  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2500 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1757 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............58  56  52  49  47  46  44  43  42  41  40  39
RH..............39  42  49  55  61  64  69  74  78  82  86  87
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7   6   5   5   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.7   7   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   2   2
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  13  12  10  9   8   7   7   6   6   5   5
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 7200 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 6420 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............39  38  42  47  51  55  58  61  62  64  65  64
RH..............91  94  82  71  61  55  50  46  45  43  43  44
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.2   2   2   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   4   4
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   2   2
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5   5   5   6   7   7   8   8   8   7   7   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...J LEWIS
REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140416.APPLE.01/LZK








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