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000
FNUS74 KMAF 301557
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT RX...LINCOLN NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1057 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 30.

.DISCUSSION...

FAIRLY LIGHT WEST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 12
MPH AND BECOME SOUTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE ON WINDWARD RIDGES AND WEAKEN DOWN INTO CANYON BOTTOMS.
MIN RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 15 PERCENT LATER THIS
AFTERNOON THEN RECOVER TO NEAR 50 PERCENT OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING, THEN COME
AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST AND INCREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. IT WILL BE COOLER SUNDAY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY NEAR 40 PERCENT OCCURRING IN THE MORNING THEN INCREASED
HUMIDITY BY MID DAY AS RAIN CHANCES INCREASE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT).........RIDGETOPS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH GUSTS
                    TO 17 MPH. CANYON BOTTOMS...UPSLOPE 4 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (120000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........MSNY      MSNY      MSNY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............60        67        70
RH..............38        23        15
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7         10        12
20 FT WIND GUST.          15        17
MIX HGT (FT)....5200      6200      8400
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..10        12        15
VENT CAT........FAIR      GOOD      VYGOOD
LAL.............1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....2         2         3

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5
                    TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (96000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (0
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............68        59        57        53
RH..............15        21        25        35
20 FT WIND DIR..SW        SW        S         SE
20 FT WIND SPD..12        9         8         7
20 FT WIND GUST.16
MIX HGT (FT)....10000     BLW100    BLW100    BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..SW        SW        S         SE
TRANS WIND SPD..22        5         6         4
VENT CAT........GOOD      POOR      POOR      POOR
LAL.............1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....4         4         5         4

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (39300 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................3.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TEMP............44        54        48        46
RH..............51        38        51        58
20 FT WIND DIR..NW        NE        NE        NE
20 FT WIND SPD..12        13        15        18
20 FT WIND GUST.15        20        20        25
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    1300      2600      3200
TRANS WIND DIR..NW        NE        NE        NE
TRANS WIND SPD..9         20        16        12
VENT CAT........POOR      POOR      FAIR      POOR
LAL.............3         3         3         3
HAINES INDEX....3         2         2         2

$$

FORECASTER...AHLUCHAN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160430.GOATR.01/MAF





000
FNUS74 KMAF 301557
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT RX...LINCOLN NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1057 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 30.

.DISCUSSION...

FAIRLY LIGHT WEST WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 12
MPH AND BECOME SOUTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS
WILL BE ON WINDWARD RIDGES AND WEAKEN DOWN INTO CANYON BOTTOMS.
MIN RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 15 PERCENT LATER THIS
AFTERNOON THEN RECOVER TO NEAR 50 PERCENT OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING, THEN COME
AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST AND INCREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. IT WILL BE COOLER SUNDAY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY NEAR 40 PERCENT OCCURRING IN THE MORNING THEN INCREASED
HUMIDITY BY MID DAY AS RAIN CHANCES INCREASE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT).........RIDGETOPS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH GUSTS
                    TO 17 MPH. CANYON BOTTOMS...UPSLOPE 4 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (120000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........MSNY      MSNY      MSNY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............60        67        70
RH..............38        23        15
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7         10        12
20 FT WIND GUST.          15        17
MIX HGT (FT)....5200      6200      8400
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..10        12        15
VENT CAT........FAIR      GOOD      VYGOOD
LAL.............1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....2         2         3

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5
                    TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (96000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (0
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............68        59        57        53
RH..............15        21        25        35
20 FT WIND DIR..SW        SW        S         SE
20 FT WIND SPD..12        9         8         7
20 FT WIND GUST.16
MIX HGT (FT)....10000     BLW100    BLW100    BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..SW        SW        S         SE
TRANS WIND SPD..22        5         6         4
VENT CAT........GOOD      POOR      POOR      POOR
LAL.............1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....4         4         5         4

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (39300 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................3.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     PCLDY     PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TEMP............44        54        48        46
RH..............51        38        51        58
20 FT WIND DIR..NW        NE        NE        NE
20 FT WIND SPD..12        13        15        18
20 FT WIND GUST.15        20        20        25
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    1300      2600      3200
TRANS WIND DIR..NW        NE        NE        NE
TRANS WIND SPD..9         20        16        12
VENT CAT........POOR      POOR      FAIR      POOR
LAL.............3         3         3         3
HAINES INDEX....3         2         2         2

$$

FORECASTER...AHLUCHAN
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160430.GOATR.01/MAF





000
FNUS74 KMAF 300000
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT RX...LINCOLN NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
700 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1825 MDT ON APRIL 29.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS DUE TO
RH OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...
AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SATURDAY HAS BEEN CANCELLED...

.DISCUSSION...

THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ON WINDWARD RIDGES AND WEAKEN DOWN
INTO CANYON BOTTOMS, BUT ALL WESTERLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER
SUNSET.  DESPITE TEMPERATURES COOLING INTO THE 40S TONIGHT,
RECOVERY WILL BE POOR.  FAIRLY LIGHT WEST WINDS SATURDAY
MORNING WILL INCREASE TO 12 TO 17 MPH AND BECOME SOUTHWEST
DURING THE AFTERNOON.  TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER,
BUT RH/S WILL DROP BELOW 15 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DROP OFF AFTER SUNSET SATURDAY EVENING,
BUT COME AROUND TO THE NORTHEAST BEHIND A COLD FRONT LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT OR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  IT WILL BE COOLER
SUNDAY WITH MINIMUM RH/S OCCURRING IN THE MORNING.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS DECREASING TO 6 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (141500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR  CLEAR  CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............65     60     56     53     50     46
RH..............13     16     21     24     28     34
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD..22     16     13     11     9      7
20 FT WIND GUST.30     25     20     16
MIX HGT (FT)....8500   2600   BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      W
TRANS WIND SPD..33     21     29     26     22     19
VENT CAT........VYGOOD VYGOOD POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
                    14 MPH AND BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (199500 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR  CLEAR  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     51     59     64     68     70
RH..............40     30     22     18     16     14
20 FT WIND DIR..W      W      W      SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6      7       9     11     14     13
20 FT WIND GUST.              16     18     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 2500   5400   7700   8900   9900
TRANS WIND DIR..W      W      W      W      W      W
TRANS WIND SPD..15     13     17     17     19     21
VENT CAT........POOR   POOR   VYGOOD EXCLNT EXCLNT EXCLNT
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....3      3      2      2      2      2

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH BECOMING LIGHT
                    TERRAIN DOMINATED IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (77500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (0
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............68     60     55     55     53     46
RH..............13     19     24     26     33     37
20 FT WIND DIR..SW     SW     SW     SW     NW     NW
20 FT WIND SPD..14     9      5      5       5      6
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15
MIX HGT (FT)....9300   2900   BLW100 BLW100 BLW100 BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..SW     W      W      W      NW     N
TRANS WIND SPD..20     8      10     8      8      14
VENT CAT........GOOD   GOOD   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5      5

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (27700 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............42     45     49     51     53     53
RH..............40     56     75     70     65     59
20 FT WIND DIR..N      NE     NE     NE     NE     NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6      13     13     12     11     10
20 FT WIND GUST.       17     18     17
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 1100   2300   3100   3800   3900
TRANS WIND DIR..NE     NE     NE     E      E      E
TRANS WIND SPD..18     19     17     15     13     13
VENT CAT........POOR   POOR   FAIR   POOR   POOR   POOR
LAL.............2      2      2      2      2      2
HAINES INDEX....4      4      2      2      2      2

$$

FORECASTER...LYSTER
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160429.GOATR.02/MAF





000
FNUS74 KMAF 291549
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT RX...NM-ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1049 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 29.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING INCLUDING
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...
AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY
FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR
LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER...

.DISCUSSION...

DESPITE COOLER TEMPERATURES...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY AS MIN RH/S WILL DROP TO AROUND 10 TO 12 PERCENT WITH
GUSTY WEST WINDS THROUGH THE EVENING. HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE WINDWARD RIDGES...WITH SLIGHTLY WEAKER WINDS ON LEESIDE
RIDGES. WEST WINDS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS IN CANYON
BOTTOMS. HAINES INDEX VALUES WILL PEAK AT 4 THIS AFTERNOON. ONLY
POOR TO FAIR NOCTURNAL RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH LOW END
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED FOR SATURDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDWARD RIDGES 20 TO 25 MPH GUSTING TO 35 MPH.
                    LEESIDE RIDGES 12 TO 17 MPH GUSTING TO 21 MPH.
                    CANYON BOTTOMS 6 TO 10 MPH GUSTING TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (33000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (336000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............56        62        66
RH..............19        15        13
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         W
20 FT WIND SPD..25        22        20
20 FT WIND GUST.35        32        30
MIX HGT (FT)....5300      8000      10500
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..34        32        33
VENT CAT........EXCLNT    EXCLNT    EXCLNT
LAL.............1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....3         3         4

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (165000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............65        58        54        50
RH..............14        19        25        31
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         W         W
20 FT WIND SPD..18        15        12        8
20 FT WIND GUST.28        25        20        15
MIX HGT (FT)....9100      BLW100    BLW100    BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..33        31        26        20
VENT CAT........EXCLNT    POOR      POOR      POOR
LAL.............1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....3         3         3         3

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (208000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............46        55        63        67
RH..............40        27        19        16
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         SW        SW
20 FT WIND SPD..19        19        24        25
20 FT WIND GUST.20        25        30        35
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    4100      7700      9500
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..15        16        17        20
VENT CAT........POOR      GOOD      EXCLNT    EXCLNT
LAL.............1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....3         2         2         4

$$

FORECASTER...PHILLIPSON
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160429.GOATR.01/MAF





000
FNUS74 KMAF 291549
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOAT RX...NM-ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1049 AM CDT FRI APR 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 29.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING INCLUDING
THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO PLAINS FOR RELATIVE
HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...
AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE DANGER...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON MDT TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY
FOR THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 15 PERCENT OR
LESS...20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR MORE...AND HIGH TO EXTREME FIRE
DANGER...

.DISCUSSION...

DESPITE COOLER TEMPERATURES...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TODAY AS MIN RH/S WILL DROP TO AROUND 10 TO 12 PERCENT WITH
GUSTY WEST WINDS THROUGH THE EVENING. HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE WINDWARD RIDGES...WITH SLIGHTLY WEAKER WINDS ON LEESIDE
RIDGES. WEST WINDS SHOULD REMAIN AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS IN CANYON
BOTTOMS. HAINES INDEX VALUES WILL PEAK AT 4 THIS AFTERNOON. ONLY
POOR TO FAIR NOCTURNAL RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...WITH LOW END
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED FOR SATURDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDWARD RIDGES 20 TO 25 MPH GUSTING TO 35 MPH.
                    LEESIDE RIDGES 12 TO 17 MPH GUSTING TO 21 MPH.
                    CANYON BOTTOMS 6 TO 10 MPH GUSTING TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (33000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (336000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............56        62        66
RH..............19        15        13
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         W
20 FT WIND SPD..25        22        20
20 FT WIND GUST.35        32        30
MIX HGT (FT)....5300      8000      10500
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..34        32        33
VENT CAT........EXCLNT    EXCLNT    EXCLNT
LAL.............1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....3         3         4

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (165000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (0 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............65        58        54        50
RH..............14        19        25        31
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         W         W
20 FT WIND SPD..18        15        12        8
20 FT WIND GUST.28        25        20        15
MIX HGT (FT)....9100      BLW100    BLW100    BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..33        31        26        20
VENT CAT........EXCLNT    POOR      POOR      POOR
LAL.............1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....3         3         3         3

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........15 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (208000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............46        55        63        67
RH..............40        27        19        16
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         SW        SW
20 FT WIND SPD..19        19        24        25
20 FT WIND GUST.20        25        30        35
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    4100      7700      9500
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..15        16        17        20
VENT CAT........POOR      GOOD      EXCLNT    EXCLNT
LAL.............1         1         1         1
HAINES INDEX....3         2         2         4

$$

FORECASTER...PHILLIPSON
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160429.GOATR.01/MAF





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