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000
FNUS76 KMFR 011255
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FROG...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
555 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1856 PDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...IT WILL BE DRY WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS BOTH
THIS AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, BUT HUMIDITIES WILL NOT BE
LOW ENOUGH TO REACH RED FLAG CRITERIA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR
NORMAL TODAY THEN TREND COOLER INTO FRIDAY. A TROUGH WILL SWING
THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND MAY PRODUCE A
FEW SHOWERS. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND IS LIKELY DURING THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 0 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    2 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 0 TO 2 MPH LATE.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    22 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5
                    MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 0 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...CHIEF 2
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150831.FROG_.02/MFR





000
FNUS76 KMFR 011255
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FROG...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
555 AM PDT TUE SEP 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1856 PDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...IT WILL BE DRY WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS BOTH
THIS AFTERNOON AND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, BUT HUMIDITIES WILL NOT BE
LOW ENOUGH TO REACH RED FLAG CRITERIA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR
NORMAL TODAY THEN TREND COOLER INTO FRIDAY. A TROUGH WILL SWING
THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND MAY PRODUCE A
FEW SHOWERS. A WARMING AND DRYING TREND IS LIKELY DURING THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 0 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    2 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH
                    IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 0 TO 2 MPH LATE.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    22 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5
                    MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 0 TO 3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...CHIEF 2
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150831.FROG_.02/MFR





000
FNUS76 KMFR 010052
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR FROG...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
552 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1750 PDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...CLEAR AND DRY WEATHER WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY FOR MOST LOCATIONS. A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE
ONSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT AND THEN ACROSS THE FIRE WEDNESDAY. A
LARGE UPPER TROUGH THEN GRADUALLY SWINGS THROUGH THE AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH SATURDAY. SOME SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF THE FIRE
TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY, BUT NO RAIN IS EXPECTED ON THE
FIRE. BREEZY WINDS ARE EXPECTED BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, BUT
HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE RED FLAG CRITERIA. A
THERMAL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON SUNDAY BRINGING WARMER,
DRIER WEATHER.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH
                    BECOMING SOUTH WINDS TO 2 MPH LATE.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. 0.0 INCHES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING SOUTHWEST 1 TO 3 MPH LATE MORNING...
                    THEN INCREASING TO 2 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10
                    MPH EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...CHIEF 2
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150831.FROG_.01/MFR





000
FNUS76 KMFR 312134
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR STOUTS CREEK...ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
234 PM PDT MON AUG 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1418 PDT ON AUGUST 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TUESDAY WILL BE DRY WITH NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND
HUMIDITIES. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH LATE IN THE DAY AND MAY
BRING A SHOWER TO THE AREA. MIXING LOOKS GOOD TUESDAY. THE COLD
FRONT WILL BRING SHOWERS TO THE INCIDENT TUESDAY NIGHT, BUT A
WETTING RAIN IS UNLIKELY. AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST AND THE UPPER
TROUGH ARRIVES WEDNESDAY, MUCH COOLER AND MORE HUMID WEATHER WILL
RETURN ALONG WITH GUSTY AFTERNOON WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS. THE UPPER
TROUGH WILL TAKE ITS TIME LEAVING AND IS LIKELY TO KEEP THE WEATHER
OVER THE INCIDENT COOL, DAMP, AND SHOWERY INTO SATURDAY.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER
                    LATE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-44 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING, THEN
                    WEST 2-4 MPH AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING, THEN
                    WEST 3-6 MPH AFTER NOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING, BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING, BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
                    AFTER NOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...DUANE WEIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150831.STOUT.01/MFR





000
FNUS76 KMFR 302240
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR STOUTS CREEK...ODF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
340 PM PDT SUN AUG 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1524 PDT ON AUGUST 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MONDAY WILL BE A LITTLE WARMER AND DRIER THAN SUNDAY
AS THIS WEEKEND`S SYSTEM MOVES AWAY AND BENIGN ZONAL FLOW ALOFT
DEVELOPS. EXPECT COOL AND HUMID CONDITIONS AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT WITH
LIGHT AND MAINLY SLOPE DRIVEN WINDS. A WEAK FRONT WILL BRING
INCREASING CLOUDS TUESDAY ALONG WITH COOLER AND SLIGHTLY MORE
HUMID CONDITIONS. A SHOWER IS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE
IS A BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS A
STRONGER TROUGH DROPS IN FROM THE NORTH. COOL, HUMID WEATHER IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH WEEK`S END.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING, THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-44 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING, THEN
                    WEST 2-4 MPH AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING, THEN
                    WEST 5-10 MPH AFTER NOON.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER
                    AFTER NOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING, THEN
                    WEST 3-5 MPH AFTER NOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE MORNING, THEN
                    WEST 5-10 MPH AFTER NOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...DUANE WEIS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150830.STOUT.01/MFR





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