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000
FNUS76 KMFR 090621
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOD  96 102...COOS BAY BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1021 PM PST MON FEB 8 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON FEBRUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN TUESDAY...BUT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN WARM
AND DRY...BUT NOT NEARLY SO MUCH AS MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A
LINGERING INVERSION THAT WILL KEEP MIXING HEIGHTS LOW TUESDAY.
PREVAILING FLOW BECOMES MORE ONSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...AND THIS WILL COOL TEMPERATURES DOWN...ALLOW HUMIDITIES
TO RISE...AND SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE INVERSION. THE NEXT CHANCE
FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE BURN SITE WILL BE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 2-4 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR 100 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 1500-1700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST TO EAST AROUND 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DROPPING TO AROUND 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    2000-2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...JOANIE LAWRENCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160209.SOD96.01/MFR





000
FNUS76 KMFR 090621
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOD  96 102...COOS BAY BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1021 PM PST MON FEB 8 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON FEBRUARY 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN TUESDAY...BUT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN WARM
AND DRY...BUT NOT NEARLY SO MUCH AS MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A
LINGERING INVERSION THAT WILL KEEP MIXING HEIGHTS LOW TUESDAY.
PREVAILING FLOW BECOMES MORE ONSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...AND THIS WILL COOL TEMPERATURES DOWN...ALLOW HUMIDITIES
TO RISE...AND SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKEN THE INVERSION. THE NEXT CHANCE
FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE BURN SITE WILL BE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 2-4 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR 100 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 1500-1700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST TO EAST AROUND 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DROPPING TO AROUND 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    2000-2500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...JOANIE LAWRENCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160209.SOD96.01/MFR





000
FNUS76 KMFR 081440
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH WARNER RX...LAKEVIEW DISTRICT BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
640 AM PST MON FEB 8 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...HIGH PRESSURE AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL PROVIDE FOR
ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND MARGINAL HUMIDITY RECOVERY ON THE
MID SLOPES AND RIDGES THROUGH MID WEEK. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE
STABLE WITH A STRONG SURFACE INVERSION THROUGH THE NIGHT AND
MORNING WITH LOW MIXING HEIGHTS THROUGH THE DAY. EAST WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY OVER THE CASCADES. CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE THAT THE RIDGE
WILL WEAKEN DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK ALLOWING A SERIES OF
PACIFIC FRONTS TO MOVE INLAND...

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO 2 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    1 TO 3 MPH EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-400 FT AGL. INVERSION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-500 FT AGL. INVERSION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
                    THROUGH THE DAY.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...MATT HASKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160208.SOUTH.01/MFR





000
FNUS76 KMFR 080549
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOD  96 102...COOS BAY BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
949 PM PST SUN FEB 7 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...DRY OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST
TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT QUITE WARM IN THE MORNING.
HUMIDITY WILL DECREASE QUICKLY BY LATE MORNING BUT WILL START TO
STABILIZE BY MID AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY BUT
WE MAY SEE A BRIEF ONSHORE DIRECTION TOWARD THE EVENING. HOWEVER
THIS WILL BE BRIEF AND WINDS WILL TO TURN OFFSHORE AGAIN TONIGHT.
THE THERMAL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON TUESDAY AS THE NEXT
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY ON TUESDAY WILL
BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WITH BETTER MIXING. STRATUS LOW CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE COAST BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 2 MPH IN THE EARLY
                    EVENING THEN TURNING TO NORTHEAST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN DECREASING
                    TO 2200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 26 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN DECREASING
                    TO SOUTHWEST 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...JOANIE LAWRENCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160208.SOD96.01/MFR





000
FNUS76 KMFR 080549
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOD  96 102...COOS BAY BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
949 PM PST SUN FEB 7 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...DRY OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...THE THERMAL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST
TODAY. TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT QUITE WARM IN THE MORNING.
HUMIDITY WILL DECREASE QUICKLY BY LATE MORNING BUT WILL START TO
STABILIZE BY MID AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY BUT
WE MAY SEE A BRIEF ONSHORE DIRECTION TOWARD THE EVENING. HOWEVER
THIS WILL BE BRIEF AND WINDS WILL TO TURN OFFSHORE AGAIN TONIGHT.
THE THERMAL TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON TUESDAY AS THE NEXT
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY ON TUESDAY WILL
BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER WITH BETTER MIXING. STRATUS LOW CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE COAST BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 2 MPH IN THE EARLY
                    EVENING THEN TURNING TO NORTHEAST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL BY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN DECREASING
                    TO 2200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 26 MPH IN THE MORNING THEN DECREASING
                    TO SOUTHWEST 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...BUNNAG
REQUESTED BY...JOANIE LAWRENCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160208.SOD96.01/MFR





000
FNUS76 KMFR 072158
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOD  96 102...COOS BAY BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
158 PM PST SUN FEB 7 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. OFFSHORE
FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING
COMPARED TO THIS MORNING RESULTING IN LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES NEAR
THE 1200 FOOT ELEVATION. WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING, THEN WEAK ONSHORE FLOW DEVELOPS TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT NEAR 860 FT. 45-50 PERCENT NEAR
                    1200 FT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE 0-2 MPH NEAR 860 FT. NORTHEAST 2-4 MPH
                    NEAR 1200 FT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST TO NORTHEAST 8-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 1-4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5-7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 3-5 MPH IN THE MORNING. SOUTHEAST 0-3 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 4-7 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST
                    7-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...JOANIE LAWRENCE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160207.SOD96.01/MFR





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