Home > Products > Valid Products > FWS

000
FNUS76 KMFR 200007
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKY LAKES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
507 PM PDT TUE AUG 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1636 PDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER TROUGHING AND COOLER NORTHWEST TO WEST FLOW WILL
AFFECT THE FIRE FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A MARINE PUSH WILL AFFECT
INLAND AREAS...ALL THE WAY TO THE WILDFIRE IN THE FORM OF HIGHER
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES TONIGHT. HIGHER AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED
TOMORROW WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES. WINDS ON WEDNESDAY WILL TREND A
BIT LOWER THAN TUESDAY. A DRIER AIR MASS WILL SETTLE OVER THE WILDFIRE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BRING RECOVERIES DOWN SOME. OVERNIGHT WINDS
WILL BE DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY. WINDS WILL TREND HIGHER THURSDAY
AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    20 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH IN THE EARLY MORNING BECOMING
                    WEST 2 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE NORTH WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING WEST 4 TO 6 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTH
                    1 TO 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WIND 3 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE NORTH 1 TO 3 MPH OVERNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...KEENE
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140819.SKYLA.02/MFR










000
FNUS76 KMFR 191441
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKY LAKES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
741 AM PDT TUE AUG 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0659 PDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK INSTABILITY WILL LINGER IN THE AFTERNOON WITH A FEW CUMULUS
BUILDUPS AND THE SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM. THE PROBABILITY
OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HIGHER FAR TO THE EAST...IN EASTERN
KLAMATH COUNTY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL PUSH IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST TODAY. THIS WILL BRING MODERATE/BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS
IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS TODAY AND WEDNESDAY AND START A
COOLING TREND WITH A STABLE AIR MASS THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AN
                    AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 8 MPH INCREASING TO 17 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING WEST 0 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH DECREASING TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH IN THE EVENING THEN DECREASING TO 5 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH INCREASING TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH BECOMING WEST 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140819.SKYLA.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 190808
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR OLD BLUE...GP OREGON DEPT FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
108 AM PDT TUE AUG 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0042 PDT ON AUGUST 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL PUSH IN FROM THE NORTHWEST ON TUESDAY.
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL PUSH THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WELL TO
THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE FIRE, BUT THIS TROUGH WILL ALSO LEAD TO
AN INCREASE IN SURFACE WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOONS. TEMPERATURES
WILL COOL BY SEVERAL DEGREES COMPARED TO RECENT DAYS WITH MODERATE
MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH VALUES. SIMILAR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ON
WEDNESDAY. DRY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.

.THE REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH 1-2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 1-3 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH 1-2 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 2-5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING NORTH 1-2 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING THEN NORTH 1-3 MPH OVERNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH 1-2 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...SHELLY HOFFER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140819.OLDBL.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 182127
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR YREKA STAGING...CAL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
227 PM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1404 PDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT MONDAY EVENING FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT FROM MONDAY WILL CONTINUE
INTO TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE AREA.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ISOLATED...ALTHOUGH THE FRONT ITSELF WILL
PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS ALONG AND BEHIND ITS PASSAGE. TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL SLIGHTLY BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT WILL GRADUALLY BEGIN TO WARM
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. ONCE THUNDERSTORM CHANCES END
TUESDAY EVENING...THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE FORECAST.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY WITH
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
                    TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS NEAR 90. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...
CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...DAVE DOBBS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140818.YREKA.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 182023
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON COUNTY SHERIFF S OFFICE3...JACKSON COUNTY SHERIFF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
123 PM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1301 PDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM PDT THIS EVENING FOR ABUNDANT
LIGHTNING AND DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LOW WILL INCREASE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...RESULTING IN A GOOD CHANCE FOR SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN NEAR ASHLAND. THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SLOW MOVERS...WILL PRODUCE
LOCALIZED WETTING RAINFALL AND GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS. A SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNT OF CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IN THE AREA. A DRY
COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY...RESULTING IN
GUSTY WINDS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES...BUT LITTLE TO NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....RANGING FROM AROUND 90 IN THE VALLEY TO AROUND
                    70 ABOVE 5000 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 TO 30 PERCENT IN THE VALLEY AND NEAR 40 PERCENT
                    ABOVE 5000 FT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 2 TO 4 MPH.
20 FT WINDS.........NORTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 MPH. WINDS COULD
                    BECOME ERRATIC AND GUSTY OVER RIDGELINES AND
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55 TO 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........65 TO 70 PERCENT IN THE VALLEY AND NEAR 80
                    PERCENT ABOVE 5000 FT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT NORTH WINDS.
20 FT WINDS.........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. WINDS COULD
                    BECOME ERRATIC AND GUSTY NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN CLEARING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....RANGING FROM AROUND 90 IN THE VALLEY TO AROUND
                    70 ABOVE 5000 FT.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 TO 35 PERCENT IN THE VALLEY AND NEAR 45 PERCENT
                    ABOVE 5000 FT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO
                    8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
20 FT WINDS.........NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...SARA RUBRECHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20140818.JACKS.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 180701
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SKY LAKES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1201 AM PDT MON AUG 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2101 PDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY FOR
ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS...

.DISCUSSION...
EAST FLOW AROUND LOW PRESSURE TODAY WITH SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY IS
LIKELY TO LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO MOVE
EAST TO WEST 5-10 MPH, BUT THEY COULD BECOME HUNG UP OVER THE
MOUNTAINS IN THE AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING WESTWARD. SIGNIFICANT
WETTING RAIN IS POSSIBLE UNDER STORM CORES, BUT SIGNIFICANT
LIGHTNING AND OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS 30 TO 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. THE THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, BUT WILL BE GREATEST DURING THE RED
FLAG WARNING PERIOD. IT WILL BE COOLER AND MORE MOIST ON TUESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-38 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH, INCREASING TO 2-4 MPH
                    EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING WEST 1-3 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO 5 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL LATE MORNING, THEN INCREASING
                    TO 10000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5-10 MPH THEN NORTH 10 MPH.
CWR(> OR = 0.10")...30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH MORNING BECOMING WEST 5 MPH
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED IN
                    AND NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS 9 MPH EVENING,
                    THEN DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 500 FT AGL LATE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........BECOMING NORTH 10-20 MPH LATE EVENING, THEN
                    DECREASING TO 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 DECREASING TO 2 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 10-20 MPH BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0-2 MPH BECOMING WEST 3-5 MPH AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL OR LESS UNTIL LATE MORNING, THEN
                    INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH BECOMING WEST 10-15 MPH AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140817.SKYLA.01/MFR






000
FNUS76 KMFR 180121
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR YREKA STAGING...CAL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
621 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1638 PDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR ABUNDANT LIGHTNING WITH DRY FUELS IN EFFECT
FROM 1PM TO 11PM PDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE HIGH BASED, BUT SLOW MOVING.
THEREFORE, THEY ARE LIKELY TO PRODUCE RAIN IN THE STORM CORES, BUT
ALSO A LOT OF LIGHTNING OUTSIDE OF THE RAIN CORES ALONG WITH
OUTFLOW WINDS THAT WILL POSE A NEW FIRE START AND INITIAL ATTACK
PROBLEM. THE GREATEST THREAT OF STORMS WILL BE FROM 1400 THROUGH
2000 PDT ON MONDAY. THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND STORMS LINGERS INTO
TUESDAY, BUT IT IS MOST LIKELY THAT STORMS ON TUESDAY WILL BE SOUTH
OF THE INITIAL ATTACK AREA, MORE NEAR THE TRINITY ALPS, WEED, AND
MOUNT SHASTA.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........17 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST 0-2 MPH. WINDS BECOMING UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH
                    LATE MORNING AND THEN SHIFTING TO
                    WEST-NORTHWEST 1-3 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY, 3500 FT AGL LATE
                    MORNING, INCREASING TO 11000 FT AGL DURING THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5-10 MPH, BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.


.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING WITH SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2-4 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL LATE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 7 MPH EVENING BECOMING NORTH 7 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 DECREASING TO 2 AFTER 11PM PDT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL OR LESS EARLY INCREASING TO 2500 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 15 MPH AFTERNOON
                    MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 90. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.


$$
FORECASTER...LUTZ
REQUESTED BY...DAVE DOBBS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140817.YREKA.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 180104
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR OREGON GULCH...MEDFORD OREGON DEPT OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
604 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1748 PDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 11 PM PDT MONDAY...

.DISCUSSION...A FEW MORE HOT DAYS ARE EXPECTED WITH MODERATE
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES AGAIN TONIGHT OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW WILL DIG SOUTH ALONG THE OREGON AND CALIFORNIA COASTS
TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THE LOW WILL INCREASE MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY OVER THE REGION...PRODUCING ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS
EVENING...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY. MOST THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE WET...ALTHOUGH OUTFLOW WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY. A DRY COLD
FRONT WITH GUSTY WINDS IS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED
BY DRY OFFSHORE FLOW TOWARDS THE COAST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-62.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-77 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 DECREASING TO 1 LATE TONIGHT.


.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...
                    BECOMING SCATTERED BY LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS MAY BE
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-27 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 INCREASING TO 3.

$$
FORECASTER...STOCKTON
REQUESTED BY...MATT FUMASI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140817.OREGO.01/MFR






000
FNUS76 KMFR 172025
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SISKIYOU LIGHTNING...CAL FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
125 PM PDT SUN AUG 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1254 PDT ON AUGUST 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...A FEW MORE HOT DAYS ARE EXPECTED WITH MODERATE
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES AGAIN TONIGHT. INCREASED MIXING WILL PRODUCE
SOME GUSTY AFTERNOON WINDS WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP.
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL DIG SOUTH ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST BY
MONDAY. THE LOW WILL INCREASE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY OVER THE
REGION TODAY AND MONDAY, WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...MOSTLY
WET...EXPECTED MONDAY. STORMS MAY ALSO BE ACCOMPANIED BY BRIEF
VERY HEAVY RAIN...HAIL AND GUSTY OUTFLOWS THAT COULD OCCUR OUTSIDE
OF THE RAIN SHAFT. A DRY COLD FRONT WITH GUSTY WINDS IS EXPECTED
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY OFFSHORE FLOW TOWARDS THE
COAST.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 7 MPH.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS TO 2 MPH BECOMING NORTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900-10000 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 4 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
LAL.................3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 90. LIGHT WINDS.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 90. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. LIGHT
WINDS.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...DAVE DOBBS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140817.SISKI.01/MFR









    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities