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000
FNUS76 KMFR 240241
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRIDGE CREEK...LAKEVIEW BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
741 PM PDT WED APR 23 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...GUSTY WINDS THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
THURSDAY...PRODUCING GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS AND PERIODS OF RAIN
THROUGHOUT THE DAY. POST-FRONTAL SHOWERS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
FRIDAY WITH SNOW LEVELS DROPPING TO NEAR THE SPOT ELEVATION
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE
ONSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING MORE WET AND WINDY WEATHER.
POST-FRONTAL SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH SUNDAY...WITH DRY AND WARMER
CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7-10 MPH...INCREASING TO
                    14-16 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    5000-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN
                    AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    6000-7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...IAN HARRINGTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140424.BRIDG.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 230445
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRIDGE CREEK...LAKEVIEW BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
945 PM PDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...PUSHING TEMPS AND SNOW LEVELS MUCH HIGHER THAN
TUESDAY...AND PERHAPS ALSO PRODUCING SOME LIGHT SHOWERS. A
STRONGER FRONT IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...AND YET ANOTHER FRONT IS EXPECTED THURSDAY. BOTH FRONTS
WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OVER THE BURN SITE...ESPECIALLY ON
THURSDAY...AND A DECENT CHANCE FOR WETTING RAINS. COOL...WET AND
BREEZY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY...THEN WARMER AND DRIER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO FOLLOW.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH...WITH OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    5500-6500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 8 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH.
CWR.................35 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
                    TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    5500-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH.
CWR.................45 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...IAN HARRINGTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140423.BRIDG.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 230418
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR KNOWNOTHING PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
918 PM PDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WARM FRONT MAY PROVIDE SOME LIGHT AND SHOWERY
PRECIPITATION OVER THE BURN SITE WEDNESDAY...AND WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN LIGHT. HOWEVER...A STRONGER FRONT IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND ANOTHER ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON. THESE FRONTS WILL PRODUCE A GOOD CHANCE FOR WETTING
RAINS. WINDS ACROSS THE RIDGELINES COULD BECOME GUSTY...BUT THE
SPOT LOCATION SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY SHELTERED. HOWEVER...TERRAIN
INFLUENCES MAY PRODUCE BRIEF PERIODS OF STRONGER WINDS FROM
VARIABLE DIRECTIONS. COOL...WET AND BREEZY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE
INTO MONDAY THEN WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
FOLLOW.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    4500-5500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 13 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    5000-6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 18 MPH.
CWR.................29 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...ERIC GREY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140423.KNOWN.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 221601 AAA
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUTCH DOG...US FOREST SERVICE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
900 AM PDT TUE APR 22 2014

UPDATED TO INCLUDE 2 TO 5 DAY OUTLOOK AND ADJUST TODATY

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ON TUESDAY A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA.
SOME RAIN AND WET SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH BY THE AFTERNOON. IT WON`T BE AS WINDY AS ON MONDAY, BUT
IT WILL REMAIN BREEZY AND WILL BE MUCH COOLER. THE COOL, WET AND
BREEZY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS SEVERAL MORE
FRONTS IMPACT THE AREA.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY, COOLER. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A
                    RAIN SHOWER IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3-6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.


.WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF MORNING SHOWERS, THEN RAIN
DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RAIN OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE...35.
MAX RH...90-100%
MAX TEMP...48-53.
MIN RH...60%
WIND...SOUTHWEST 3-6, INCREASING TO 6-12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF MORNING SHOWERS, THEN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE...40-45.
MAX RH...90-100%
MAX TEMP...45-50.
MIN RH...70%
WIND...SOUTH 4-8, BECOMING SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN TEMPERATURE...32.
MAX RH...90-100%
MAX TEMP...43-48.
MIN RH...70%
WIND...WEST 3-6, BECOMING TO 4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN TEMPERATURE...32.
MAX RH...90%
MAX TEMP...50.
MIN RH...55%
WIND...SOUTHWEST 3-6, INCREASING TO 4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...BRAD HARDESTY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140422.DUTCH.01/MFR












000
FNUS76 KMFR 221449
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRIDGE CREEK...LAKEVIEW BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
749 AM PDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 PDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY...WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. THE SNOW LEVEL WILL BE NEAR
THE SURFACE THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. A WEAKER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
TONIGHT...BRINGING GUSTY WINDS TO THE AREA WEDNESDAY. COOL...WET AND
BREEZY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK AS MORE FRONTS MOVE ONSHORE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-50.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 3-5 MPH GUSTING TO
                    8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE RISING TO 12000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT BECOMING WEST 20 MPH.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-28.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-92 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST TO WEST 3-5 MPH GUSTING TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL LOWERING TO NEAR THE SURFACE.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST TO WEST 3-5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING...
                    ...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST TO WEST 3-5 MPH GUSTING TO 8 MPH BECOMING
                    WEST TO NORTHWEST 4-6 MPH GUSTING TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR THE SURFACE RISING TO 6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST TO WEST 3-5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 MPH.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...STOCKTON
REQUESTED BY...IAN HARRINGTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140422.BRIDG.01/MFR






000
FNUS76 KMFR 220202
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUTCH DOG...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
702 PM PDT MON APR 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...ON TUESDAY A COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA.
SOME RAIN AND WET SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WILL GRADUALLY
DIMINISH BY THE AFTERNOON. IT WON`T BE AS WINDY AS ON MONDAY, BUT
IT WILL REMAIN BREEZY AND WILL BE MUCH COOLER. THE COOL, WET AND
BREEZY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS SEVERAL MORE
FRONTS IMPACT THE AREA.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY, COOLER. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A RAIN
                    SHOWER IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    5-7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...BRAD HARDESTY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140422.DUTCH.01/MFR









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