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000
FNUS76 KMFR 021431
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CURTIS 5...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
731 AM PDT THU OCT 2 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT REMAINS OVER THE PROJECT AND
WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER GOING FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. TODAY WILL
BE A BIT WARMER AND DRIER THAN YESTERDAY WITH LIGHT UPSLOPE WINDS
DEVELOPING FOLLOWED BY LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS. MIXING WILL BE FAIR
TODAY WITH NORTH WINDS DRIVING THE SMOKE TO THE SOUTH BY AFTERNOON.
SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FRIDAY AND OVER THE WEEKEND
ALTHOUGH IT WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER AND DRIER COMPARED TO TODAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-83.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-24 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND IGNITION TIME...THEN
                    BECOME UPSLOPE 1-2 MPH...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    2-4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 7 MPH AFTER 2 PM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 4000 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5-10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...BRETT BROWN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141001.CURTI.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 020551
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR COUNTRY RX FIRE AREA...CA-KTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1049 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 PDT ON OCTOBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A THERMAL TROUGH WILL REMAIN ALONG THE COAST
TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED OFFSHORE FLOW WITH
GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS OVER THE RIDGES, A WARMING TREND AND MODERATE
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES TO THE RIDGES THURSDAY MORNING. POOR TO
MODERATE RIDGE TOP RECOVERIES WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING
BUT OFFSHORE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES HEATING UP FRIDAY INTO
SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY SLIGHT COOLING EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODERATE
RIDGE TOP HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE ALSO EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST/UPVALLEY AROUND MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING DOWNVALLEY WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING NORTHWEST/UPVALLEY WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH
                    AROUND MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...TOM FIELDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141002.BEARC.01/MFR












000
FNUS76 KMFR 020549
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR COUNTRY RX FIRE AREA...CA-KTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1049 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 PDT ON OCTOBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A THERMAL TROUGH WILL REMAIN ALONG THE COAST
TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED OFFSHORE FLOW WITH
GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS OVER THE RIDGES. OFFSHORE FLOW AND A LOWERING
SUBSIDENCE INVERSION WILL ALSO BRING MODERATE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES
TO THE RIDGES THIS MORNING. POOR TO MODERATE RIDGE TOP
RECOVERIES WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING BUT OFFSHORE WINDS
WILL BE LIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES HEATING UP FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY
SLIGHT COOLING EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODERATE RIDGE TOP HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES ARE ALSO EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST/UPVALLEY AROUND MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING DOWNVALLEY WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING NORTHWEST/UPVALLEY WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH
                    AROUND MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...TOM FIELDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141002.BEARC.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 020518
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DREW VEGETATION UNITS...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1018 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON OCTOBER 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN CONTROL FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS. A THERMAL TROUGH WILL REMAIN ALONG THE COAST
TODAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED OFFSHORE FLOW WITH
GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS OVER THE RIDGES, A WARMING TREND AND MODERATE
HUMIDITY RECOVERIES TO THE RIDGES THURSDAY MORNING. POOR TO
MODERATE RIDGE TOP RECOVERIES WILL CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY MORNING
BUT OFFSHORE WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES HEATING UP FRIDAY INTO
SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY SLIGHT COOLING EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODERATE
RIDGE TOP HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE ALSO EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST/UPVALLEY AROUND MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING DOWNVALLEY WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING NORTHWEST/UPVALLEY WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH
                    AROUND MID AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...GEORGE CORREA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141001.DREWV.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 012238
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAPPY CAMP COMPLEX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
338 PM PDT WED OCT 1 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1517 PDT ON OCTOBER 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...OFFSHORE FLOW TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE RIDGES. A SUBSIDENCE
INVERSION IS ALSO EXPECTED MAINLY ABOVE 5000 FEET BRINGING
MODERATE RECOVERIES. THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN THURSDAY AFTERNOON
AND NIGHT, BUT POOR TO MODERATE RIDGE TOP RECOVERIES WILL CONTINUE INTO
FRIDAY MORNING DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
TEMPERATURES HEATING UP FRIDAY INTO SUNDAY...FOLLOWED BY SLIGHT COOLING
EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODERATE RIDGE TOP HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE ALSO EXPECTED
THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39 BOTTOM. 53 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT TOP. 75 PERCENT BOTTOM.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST 0-2 MPH BOTTOM.
                    NORTHEAST 2-5 MPH TOP.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO 3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 9-15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH TO NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH BOTTOM.
                    NORTHEAST 7-12 WITH GUST TO 18 MPH TOP.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71 TOP-85 BOTTOM.
MIN HUMIDITY........12 PERCENT BOTTOM 18 PERCENT TOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST 1-3 MPH BOTTOM.
                    NORTHEAST 3-5 MPH TOP IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NORTHEAST 2-5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL RISING TO 5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6-12 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    NORTHEAST 4-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 2-5 MPH BOTTOM. NORTHEAST 7-12 WITH
                    A FEW GUST TO 15 TOP IN THE MORNING, THEN
                    DECREASING TO 4-7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...PETRUCELLI
REQUESTED BY...TERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141001.HAPPY.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 010602
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1102 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1617 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...OFFSHORE WINDS WILL PERSIST TODAY INTO THURSDAY.
THERE WILL BE A STRONG WARMING AND DRYING TREND INTO FRIDAY THEN
SLIGHT COOLING ON THE WEEKEND WITH CONDITIONS REMAINING WARMER AND
DRIER THAN NORMAL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION
WILL FORM EACH NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH MODERATE HUMIDITY
RECOVERY ON RIDGES. RECOVERIES WILL BE WORST ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY NIGHT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80 VALLEYS AND 55-60 RIDGES.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VALLEY DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO 2 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH.
                    RIDGES NORTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 4 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    8 MPH BECOMING NORTH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43 VALLEYS AND 45-50 RIDGES.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT VALLEYS AND 40-50 PERCENT RIDGES.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....BECOMING EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING EAST 1 TO 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT RIDGES.
                    VALLEY BECOMING DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO 2 MPH

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90 VALLEYS AND 65-70 RIDGES.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VALLEY WINDS BECOMING UPSLOPE TO 2 MPH.
                    RIDGE WINDS EAST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING NORTH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20
                    MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...NELAIMISCHKIES
REQUESTED BY...JOHN MORGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140930.BEAVE.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 301955
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HAPPY CAMP COMPLEX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1255 PM PDT TUE SEP 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1207 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL REACH A PEAK STRENGTH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. THERE WILL BE A
STRONG WARMING AND DRYING TREND INTO FRIDAY THEN SOME IMPROVEMENT ON
THE WEEKEND BUT WITH CONDITIONS REMAINING WARMER AND DRIER THAN
NORMAL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SUBSIDENCE INVERSIONS WILL FORM EACH
NIGHT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH MODERATE HUMIDITY RECOVERY ON
RIDGES. RECOVERIES WILL BE WORST ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY
NIGHT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37 BOTTOM TO 41 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT TOP TO 95 PERCENT BOTTOM.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING EAST
                    0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 8500 FT MSL FALLING TO 4500 FT MSL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT).........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67 TOP TO 80 BOTTOM.
MIN HUMIDITY........14 PERCENT BOTTOM TO 18 PERCENT TOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 0 TO 2 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT MSL RISING TO 7000 FT MSL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH DIMINISHING TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 11 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39 BOTTOM TO 52 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT TOP TO 75 PERCENT BOTTOM.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 0 TO 3 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 3500 FT MSL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH BECOMING AROUND 5 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.


$$
FORECASTER...WEYGAND
REQUESTED BY...TERRY  WALT  WALTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140930.HAPPY.01/MFR









000
FNUS76 KMFR 292207
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR ONION MOUNTAIN...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
307 PM PDT MON SEP 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1027 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONT IS NOW MOVING ONSHORE. PRECIPITATION
FROM THIS FRONT WILL BE LIGHT AND ALMOST ALL OF IT WILL FALL TO
THE WEST OF THE BURN AREA. WARMER AND DRY WEATHER WILL RETURN
TUESDAY NIGHT AS AN OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN DEVELOPS. OFFSHORE FLOW
WILL PERSIST INTO THURSDAY. ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TOWARD THE END
OF THE WEEK...BUT IT WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH INLAND
TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN CLEARING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-37 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT BECOMING NORTHWEST TO NORTH 3-5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...STOCKTON
REQUESTED BY...OR-RSF
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140929.ONION.01/MFR









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