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000
FNUS72 KMLB 300937
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE DORR SE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
537 AM EDT THU OCT 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON OCTOBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONT WILL APPROACH CENTRAL FLORIDA LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENTUALLY CROSS THE BURN SITE INTO TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
AHEAD OF THIS BOUNDARY. LIGHTER SURFACE AND TRANSPORT WINDS OUT OF
THE WEST-NORTHWEST WILL LEAD TO LOWER DISPERSION VALUES TODAY. NO
RH CONCERNS EXPECTED. PATCHY FOG FORMATION LESS LIKELY INTO
TONIGHT AS DRIER AIR BEGINS TO FILTER IN BEHIND THE FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....14 INCREASING TO 28 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............72  76  78  80  82  81  81  81  78  75  72  71
RH..............73  66  60  52  47  49  49  47  54  62  71  73
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5                       5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 DECREASING TO 5 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............6.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....22 INCREASING TO 38 IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...WEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...DAVID QUISENBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141030.LAKED.02/MLB








000
FNUS72 KMLB 292226
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CR 3 EMPORIA RD PIERSON...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
626 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1805 EDT ON OCTOBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PATTERN TRANSITIONS BEGINNING TOMORROW EVENING AS A FRONT
SHIFTS THROUGH THE AREA BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS
THROUGH FRIDAY. BY FRIDAY NIGHT TO EARLY SATURDAY A SECOND REINFORCING
FRONT WILL BRING BREEZY AND MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY GROUND WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING
THE EARLY THURSDAY MORNING HOURS. MAIN AREAS TO BE IMPACT WILL BE INTERIOR
LOCATIONS FROM VOULSIA THROUGH ORANGE COUNTY. FOG EXPECTED TO LIFT AFTER
SUNRISE.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....24 DECREASING TO 3 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....                                    PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....                                    FOG FOG FOG
TEMP............80  76  76  72  71  71  69  68  68  66  67  67
RH..............60  66  68  71  73  76  81  84  85  86  87  88
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.        5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1700...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 40 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.

$$
FORECASTER...TBW09/RUDE
REQUESTED BY...SGT  M  CASTLEBERRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141029.CR3EM.01/MLB











000
FNUS72 KMLB 282220
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CR 3 EMPORIA RD PIERSON...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
620 PM EDT TUE OCT 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1754 EDT ON OCTOBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE DRAPED OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA WILL
REMAIN IN PLACE OVERNIGHT...ALLOWING CLEAR SKIES AND CALM WINDS TO
PREVAIL AFTER MIDNIGHT. SHALLOW MOISTURE NEAR THE SURFACE WILL ALLOW
PATCHY GROUND FOG TO DEVELOP IN THE IMMEDIATE BURN AREA. ANY FOG THAT
FORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO FAN OUT AND CREATE LOCAL VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS ALONG ANY ROADS ADJACENT TO THE BURN SITE.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER........MOSTLY CLEAR. PATCHY FOG LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY.......100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                   BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....0 PERCENT.
LAL................1.
MIXING HEIGHT......100-200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 5 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX...3.
LVORI..............10.

TIME (EDT)         8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%)............PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV........                                PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE.......                                FOG FOG FOG FOG
TEMP...............73  72  71  70  68  66  65  64  63  62  61  60
RH.................73  79  81  87  90  97  97  97  100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR.....E   E   E   SE  VRB VRB VRB VRB VRB VRB VRB VRB
20 FT WIND SPD.....5   3   3   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT WIND GUST....


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER........PARTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY.......48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT).......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                   LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN.....0 PERCENT.
LAL................1.
MIXING HEIGHT......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-4400 FT AGL
                   LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS....SOUTHEAST AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                   SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX...2 INCREASING TO 24 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI..............2.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAGAW
REQUESTED BY...SGT  T  MAHL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141028.CR3EM.01/MLB






000
FNUS72 KMLB 272232
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CR 3 EMPORIA RD PIERSON...FHP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
632 PM EDT MON OCT 27 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1746 EDT ON OCTOBER 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE STRENGTHENING OVER THE ATLANTIC
OFFSHORE THE SOUTHEAST SEABOARD WILL CIRCULATE LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS
OVER EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT COUPLED WITH ONSHORE FLOW GRADUALLY INCREASING
SHALLOW MOISTURE NEAR THE SURFACE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN SHALLOW MIST
AND GROUND FOG AROUND THE IMMEDIATE BURN AREA. ANY FOG THAT FORMS
WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO FAN OUT LATE TONIGHT AND CRATE LOCAL
REDUCTIONS OF VISIBILITY ALONG ANY ROADS ADJACENT TO THE BURN AREA.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY THIS EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT TO CALM BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL EARLY EVENING DECREASING TO 100 FT
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 2 TO 3 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 AROUND SUNSET...DECREASING TO 2 BY SUNRISE.
LVORI...............10.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
SKY (%).........CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............74  71  69  68  66  65  64  62  60  59  58  58
RH..............66  73  78  81  86  89  92  98  100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SE  SE  E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..6   5   4   3   3   3   0   0   0   0   0   0
20 FT WIND GUST.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT AGL BY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST INCREASING TO 7 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 40-45 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............10.

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...SGT JEFFREY HOLMES
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141027.CR3EM.01/MLB








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