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000
FNUS72 KMLB 311221
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WS03WEST...WEKIWA SPRINGS STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
821 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE AIR MASS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAINS QUITE
MOIST AND FAVORABLE FOR A HIGH COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS STARTING
LATE THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT DAYTIME SHOWERS
AND LIGHTNING STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS WEST FLORIDA BY MID MORNING
AND QUICKLY PUSH EAST-NORTHEAST OVER THE BURN AREA BY MIDDAY AND
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. STORMS OVER AND IN THE
VICINITY OF THE BURN MAY PRODUCE VARIABLE WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH.
OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION...LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME
BREEZY AT 10-15 MPH BY MIDDAY WITH VERY GOOD DISPERSIONS. SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS WITH SIMILAR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
 CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
                    15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 19 TO 21
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 INCREASING TO 61 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........54     54     80     80
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............82     84     86     86
RH..............79     74     70     68
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 12  SW 14  SW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 9 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 7 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........80     75     75     75     72     72
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............84     79     78     77     77     76
RH..............72     82     85     87     87     90
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 7   S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO
                    17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 INCREASING TO 57 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........64     75     75     81     87     87
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............77     78     81     83     85     82
RH..............90     88     82     74     70     77
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 7    S 12   SW 15  SW 17  SW 16
20 FT WIND GUST.              15     20     25     20

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...PAUL LAMMARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150731.WS03W.02/MLB




000
FNUS72 KMLB 311221
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WS03WEST...WEKIWA SPRINGS STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
821 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE AIR MASS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAINS QUITE
MOIST AND FAVORABLE FOR A HIGH COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS STARTING
LATE THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT DAYTIME SHOWERS
AND LIGHTNING STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS WEST FLORIDA BY MID MORNING
AND QUICKLY PUSH EAST-NORTHEAST OVER THE BURN AREA BY MIDDAY AND
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. STORMS OVER AND IN THE
VICINITY OF THE BURN MAY PRODUCE VARIABLE WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH.
OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION...LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME
BREEZY AT 10-15 MPH BY MIDDAY WITH VERY GOOD DISPERSIONS. SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS WITH SIMILAR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
 CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
                    15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 19 TO 21
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 INCREASING TO 61 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........54     54     80     80
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............82     84     86     86
RH..............79     74     70     68
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 12  SW 14  SW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 9 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 7 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........80     75     75     75     72     72
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............84     79     78     77     77     76
RH..............72     82     85     87     87     90
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 7   S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO
                    17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 INCREASING TO 57 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........64     75     75     81     87     87
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............77     78     81     83     85     82
RH..............90     88     82     74     70     77
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 7    S 12   SW 15  SW 17  SW 16
20 FT WIND GUST.              15     20     25     20

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...PAUL LAMMARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150731.WS03W.02/MLB





000
FNUS72 KMLB 311221
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR WS03WEST...WEKIWA SPRINGS STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
821 AM EDT FRI JUL 31 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE AIR MASS ACROSS EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA REMAINS QUITE
MOIST AND FAVORABLE FOR A HIGH COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS STARTING
LATE THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. EXPECT DAYTIME SHOWERS
AND LIGHTNING STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS WEST FLORIDA BY MID MORNING
AND QUICKLY PUSH EAST-NORTHEAST OVER THE BURN AREA BY MIDDAY AND
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. STORMS OVER AND IN THE
VICINITY OF THE BURN MAY PRODUCE VARIABLE WIND GUSTS OVER 40 MPH.
OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION...LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME
BREEZY AT 10-15 MPH BY MIDDAY WITH VERY GOOD DISPERSIONS. SHOWERS
AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE LATE EVENING HOURS WITH SIMILAR
CONDITIONS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
 CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO
                    15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 19 TO 21
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....30 INCREASING TO 61 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........54     54     80     80
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............82     84     86     86
RH..............79     74     70     68
20 FT WIND......SW 8   SW 12  SW 14  SW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 9 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 7 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........80     75     75     75     72     72
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............84     79     78     77     77     76
RH..............72     82     85     87     87     90
20 FT WIND......SW 9   SW 7   S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO
                    17 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4500 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 INCREASING TO 57 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........64     75     75     81     87     87
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............77     78     81     83     85     82
RH..............90     88     82     74     70     77
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 7    S 12   SW 15  SW 17  SW 16
20 FT WIND GUST.              15     20     25     20

$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...PAUL LAMMARDO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150731.WS03W.02/MLB




000
FNUS72 KMLB 301308
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TBSF RANCH POND...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
908 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT DAYTIME SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS TO OCCUR
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE...AS SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL HOLD OFF THE EAST COAST BOUNDARY. COVERAGE SHOULD BECOME NUMEROUS
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE LOCAL AIR MASS REMAINS QUITE MOIST.
SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE GENERALLY FAIR. STORMS WILL APPROACH FROM THE
WEST AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE LATE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL BY NOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........63  63  63  63  68  68  68  68
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............83  86  87  87  88  87  86  85
RH..............80  72  70  70  66  68  68  70
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   8   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.8   9   10  10  10  10  10  9

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 5 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........68  68  66  66  66  66  66  66  58  58  58  58
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............83  82  80  79  78  77  76  76  76  75  74  74
RH..............74  77  82  85  88  90  94  94  94  94  97  97
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........58  58  68  68  68  68  68  68  79  79  79  79
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............74  75  75  79  82  85  85  86  87  86  86  86
RH..............97  97  97  85  77  70  70  65  63  65  65  65
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...TODD HANNAH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150730.TBSFR.01/MLB





000
FNUS72 KMLB 301308
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TBSF RANCH POND...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
908 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT DAYTIME SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS TO OCCUR
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE...AS SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL HOLD OFF THE EAST COAST BOUNDARY. COVERAGE SHOULD BECOME NUMEROUS
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE LOCAL AIR MASS REMAINS QUITE MOIST.
SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE GENERALLY FAIR. STORMS WILL APPROACH FROM THE
WEST AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE LATE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL BY NOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........63  63  63  63  68  68  68  68
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............83  86  87  87  88  87  86  85
RH..............80  72  70  70  66  68  68  70
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   8   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.8   9   10  10  10  10  10  9

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 5 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........68  68  66  66  66  66  66  66  58  58  58  58
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............83  82  80  79  78  77  76  76  76  75  74  74
RH..............74  77  82  85  88  90  94  94  94  94  97  97
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........58  58  68  68  68  68  68  68  79  79  79  79
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............74  75  75  79  82  85  85  86  87  86  86  86
RH..............97  97  97  85  77  70  70  65  63  65  65  65
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...TODD HANNAH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150730.TBSFR.01/MLB




000
FNUS72 KMLB 301308
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TBSF RANCH POND...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
908 AM EDT THU JUL 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT DAYTIME SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS TO OCCUR
ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE...AS SOUTHWEST WINDS
WILL HOLD OFF THE EAST COAST BOUNDARY. COVERAGE SHOULD BECOME NUMEROUS
DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE LOCAL AIR MASS REMAINS QUITE MOIST.
SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE GENERALLY FAIR. STORMS WILL APPROACH FROM THE
WEST AT ABOUT 10 TO 15 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE LATE MORNING...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING/AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL BY NOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....33.
LVORI...............4 DECREASING TO 1

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........63  63  63  63  68  68  68  68
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............83  86  87  87  88  87  86  85
RH..............80  72  70  70  66  68  68  70
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   8   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.8   9   10  10  10  10  10  9

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 5 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........68  68  66  66  66  66  66  66  58  58  58  58
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............83  82  80  79  78  77  76  76  76  75  74  74
RH..............74  77  82  85  88  90  94  94  94  94  97  97
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-5000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
LVORI...............8.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........58  58  68  68  68  68  68  68  79  79  79  79
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............74  75  75  79  82  85  85  86  87  86  86  86
RH..............97  97  97  85  77  70  70  65  63  65  65  65
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5

$$
FORECASTER...CRISTALDI
REQUESTED BY...TODD HANNAH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150730.TBSFR.01/MLB





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