000
FNUS74 KMOB 181243
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AF BASE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
743 AM CDT TUE JUN 18 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JUNE 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...A SMALL AREA OF RAIN WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN SITE THROUGH
9 AM. AFTERWARD...THERE WILL LIKELY BE A BREAK IN PRECIPITATION DURING
THE REST OF THE MORNING HOURS...WITH A CHANCE OF SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
NEAR THE BURN SITE THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY
INCREASE IN COVERAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES
INTO THE AREA. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL YIELD GOOD AFTERNOON
DISPERSIONS.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 12 TO
14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL
LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 4700 FT
AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 77.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%)...........45 47 47 50 50
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............80 85 89 90 90
RH................80 66 59 56 56
20 FT WIND DIR....SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD....5 11 11 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST... 18 18 20 17
MIX HGT (FT)......1500 2900 2900 4200 4700
MIX HGT (M).......460 880 880 1280 1430
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...18 21 21 22 22
TRANS SPD (M/S)...8 9 9 10 10
DISPERSION........35 63 63 62 77
LVORI.............3 1 1 1 1
CWR...............40 40 40 40 40
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20 TO 22 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 10
MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....77 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%)...........50 70 70 70 82 82
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............88 83 78 77 76 75
RH................61 72 83 87 89 89
20 FT WIND DIR....SW SW SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD....10 7 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST...17
MIX HGT (FT)......4700 2300 1400 1400 400 400
MIX HGT (M).......1430 700 430 430 120 120
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW SW SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD...22 21 20 20 16 10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...10 9 9 9 7 4
DISPERSION........77 28 17 17 11 5
LVORI.............1 3 4 4 5 6
CWR...............40 40 40 40 50 50
.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
MORNING...THEN THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS
LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST
6 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 2.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%)...........82 71 71 71 71 71
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............74 79 84 87 89 89
RH................92 81 69 61 58 57
20 FT WIND DIR....W NW NW NW W W
20 FT WIND SPD....3 3 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......400 1100 2200 2200 3300 3300
MIX HGT (M).......120 340 670 670 1010 1010
TRANSP WIND DIR...W NW NW NW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD...10 7 9 9 9 10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4 3 4 4 4 4
DISPERSION........5 10 18 18 25 27
LVORI.............6 4 3 3 2 2
CWR...............50 60 60 60 60 60
$$
FORECASTER...34
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130618.JACKS.01/MOB
000
FNUS74 KMOB 171046
FWSMOB
SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
546 AM CDT MON JUN 17 2013
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JUNE 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR TODAY AND
TUESDAY AS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES PASS OVER THE AREA. WARM AND HUMID
CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE BURN AREA TODAY WITH A FORECAST HIGH
TEMPERATURE AROUND 90 DEGREES AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE LOW
60S. DISPERSIONS WILL BE FAIR TODAY...AND GENERALLY GOOD ON TUESDAY.
FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT
WITH VISIBILITY REDUCED AS LOW AS 1 TO 2 MILES.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
MORNING...THEN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 31.
LVORI...............DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%)...........51 51 51 69 69
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............77 84 87 87 87
RH................90 72 64 62 63
20 FT WIND DIR....S S S SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD....2 5 5 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST... 15 14
MIX HGT (FT)......1900 3000 3000 4100 3900
MIX HGT (M).......580 910 910 1250 1190
TRANSP WIND DIR...S SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...3 8 8 12 10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1 4 4 5 4
DISPERSION........10 22 22 31 29
LVORI.............5 3 3 1 3
CWR...............30 30 30 50 50
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
EVENING...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3 MPH
LATE.
DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 8.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%)...........69 71 71 71 68 68
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............84 81 79 77 76 76
RH................69 76 81 89 94 96
20 FT WIND DIR....SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD....7 7 6 6 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST...14 14
MIX HGT (FT)......3900 2500 1400 1400 300 200
MIX HGT (M).......1190 760 430 430 90 60
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...10 9 7 7 6 3
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4 4 3 3 3 1
DISPERSION........29 12 7 7 4 3
LVORI.............3 4 5 5 7 8
CWR...............50 20 20 20 20 20
.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO 10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 16 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 44.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%)...........68 66 66 66 61 61
WEATHER COV.......ISOLTD S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............76 78 85 88 89 88
RH................97 87 68 60 57 60
20 FT WIND DIR....SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD....4 4 6 6 9 10
20 FT WIND GUST... 17 18
MIX HGT (FT)......200 1000 3200 3200 5300 3900
MIX HGT (M).......60 300 980 980 1620 1190
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...3 7 8 8 14 16
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1 3 4 4 6 7
DISPERSION........3 10 20 20 43 44
LVORI.............8 5 2 2 1 1
CWR...............20 20 20 20 30 30
$$
FORECASTER...22
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130617.JACKS.01/MOB
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