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000
FNUS74 KMOB 221229
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR 301-A_S2...EGLIN AF BASE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
729 AM CDT TUE JUL 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0740 CDT ON JULY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW WILL BECOME A LIGHT...GENERAL SOUTHERLY
FLOW TODAY. HIGH MOISTURE LEVELS AND A GULF BREEZE MOVING INLAND WILL ALLOW
FOR SCATTERED...MAINLY AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

PATCHY FOG...SOME DENSE...WILL CONTINUE EACH NIGHT ESPECIALLY NEAR AREAS
THAT RECEIVE RAINFALL.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL EARLY TO
                    MID AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3800 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
                    8 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 30 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........75     75     75     52     52     52
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............72     80     85     87     87     86
RH................97     75     63     59     59     62
20 FT WIND DIR....ENE    ENE    ESE    S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....2      2      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......600    1200   2700   4900   4900   4200
TRANSP WIND DIR...NE     NE     SE     S      S      SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      5      8      9      9      9
DISPERSION........5      7      11     27     27     32
LVORI.............5      5      2      2      2      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      C      C      C      C
CWR...............30     30     30     50     50     50

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO
                    6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....32 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 10.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........52     42     42     42     47     47
WEATHER COV.......SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............84     80     76     73     70     69
RH................66     75     85     93     100    100
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      S      S      S      ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      3      3      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......3800   2600   1800   1200   800    200
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSW    SW     W      W      WSW    W
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      8      6      6      5      5
DISPERSION........32     2      2      2      2      2
LVORI.............1      4      7      8      10     10
STABILITY CLASS...C      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............50     20     20     20     20     20

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 6
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 8 TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL EARLY TO
                    MID AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 4500 FT
                    AGL BY SUNSET.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 37.
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........47     40     40     40     45     45
WEATHER COV.......ISOLTD S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............68     73     82     88     91     90
RH................100    95     72     59     53     54
20 FT WIND DIR....ESE    NNE    ESE    ESE    SSW    SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....2      2      5      5      7      7
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......200    200    3400   3400   6500   5500
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      N      NNW    NNW    SSW    SSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      5      8      8      12     12
DISPERSION........2      4      14     14     16     37
LVORI.............10     6      3      3      2      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............20     20     20     20     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...16
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140722.301A_.01/MOB









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