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000
FNUS74 KMOB 211223
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 453...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
723 AM CDT TUE MAY 21 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO EXTEND
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. AFTERNOON DISPERSIONS WILL BE
GENERALLY GOOD. AN APPROACHING DISTURBANCE WILL BRING ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION WEDNESDAY. AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS WITH FAIR TO
GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSIONS.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE THE
VISIBILITY TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION
EARLY THIS MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND INLAND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-5800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 9 TO 12 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 73 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 51 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........43     43     43     43
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............80     86     89     89
RH................66     53     47     44
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      6      7
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2200   2200   5600   5800
MIX HGT (M).......670    670    1710   1770
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      9      12     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      5      5
DISPERSION........26     26     73     51
LVORI.............2      2      1      1
CWR...............10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 8 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....51 DECREASING TO 5.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 9.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........43     46     46     46     48     48
WEATHER COV.......                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP..............87     81     73     70     68     67
RH................47     57     77     89     95     96
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....7      7      6      6      5      4
20 FT WIND GUST...       14
MIX HGT (FT)......5800   2400   1100   1100   500    600
MIX HGT (M).......1770   730    340    340    150    180
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     13     10     10     7      8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      6      4      4      3      4
DISPERSION........51     17     9      9      5      5
LVORI.............1      2      4      4      7      9
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4300 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 34 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........48     62     62     62     55     55
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......FOG    TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............66     70     79     83     85     84
RH................99     89     67     57     53     53
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      SW     SW     SW     SW
20 FT WIND SPD....4      4      5      5      7      7
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......600    700    2200   2200   4600   4300
MIX HGT (M).......180    210    670    670    1400   1310
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      W      W      SW     NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      8      5      5      12     8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      2      2      5      4
DISPERSION........5      9      9      9      34     23
LVORI.............9      5      3      3      1      2
CWR...............10     30     30     30     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...32
REQUESTED BY...DAVID BERENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130521.CHICK.01/MOB









000
FNUS74 KMOB 192247
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO 1356...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
547 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1755 CDT ON MAY 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING
BECOME LESS THAN 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL
INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH PATCHY DENSE FOG DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT
AND CONTINUING THROUGH MID MORNING ON MONDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY DENSE FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT
CONTINUING THROUGH MID MORNING MONDAY.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 13 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE
                    NIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....DECREASING TO 7.
LVORI...............INCREASING TO 9.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........51     33     23     23     100    85
WEATHER COV.......                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP..............83     80     77     76     75     73
RH................65     72     78     87     94     100
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....8      7      5      5      4      3
20 FT WIND GUST...              12     12     12
MIX HGT (FT)......4400   1900   500    500    500    500
MIX HGT (M).......1340   580    150    150    150    150
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     13     10     10     9      8
TRANS SPD (M/S)...5      6      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION........33     9      5      5      8      4
LVORI.............1      3      5      5      6      9
CWR...............0      10     10     10     10     10

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY DENSE FOG
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200-5400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 64.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........85     80     65     65     59     45
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............71     75     81     85     86     86
RH................100    89     71     62     58     57
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      S      S      S      S
20 FT WIND SPD....3      2      6      6      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST...       9
MIX HGT (FT)......500    800    3000   3000   5200   5400
MIX HGT (M).......150    240    910    910    1580   1650
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      S      S      S      S
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      8      10     10     14     15
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      4      4      6      7
DISPERSION........4      6      25     25     43     64
LVORI.............9      5      3      3      1      1
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...13
REQUESTED BY...EDDIE BAGGETT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130519.DESOT.02/MOB









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