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000
FNUS74 KMOB 201140
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR JACKSON GUARD...E.N.R.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
640 AM CDT WED AUG 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0655 CDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION....A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF
OF MEXICO WILL MAINTAIN A LIGHTLY WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE
AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HOT TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE MID
TO UPPER 90S. AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 102 TO 107
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...LIGHT PATCHY FOG WITH VISIBILITY
BETWEEN 3 AND 5 MILES IS POSSIBLE THE NEXT COUPLE OF MORNINGS...MAINLY
IN THE TYPICAL LOWER LYING LOCATIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST-SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST-NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 2.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING C LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........38     46     46     46     47     47
WEATHER COV.......       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............75     80     89     92     93     92
RH................92     77     61     55     54     57
20 FT WIND DIR....SSW    WNW    W      W      WSW    WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....1      7      7      7      7      9
20 FT WIND GUST...10
MIX HGT (FT)......500    700    2900   2900   5500   5500
MIX HGT (M).......150    210    880    880    1680   1680
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     WNW    W      W      WNW    W
TRANSP WIND SPD...8      5      8      8      5      5
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      2      4      4      2      2
DISPERSION........5      4      26     26     20     20
LVORI.............7      4      2      2      2      2
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      B      C
CWR...............10     20     20     20     30     30

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH BECOMING
                    LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20 DECREASING TO 4.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 10.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........47     34     34     34     20     20
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............89     85     82     80     78     76
RH................65     73     81     87     92     96
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    W      WNW
20 FT WIND SPD....9      9      7      7      4      3
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......5500   2200   1000   1000   900    900
MIX HGT (M).......1680   670    300    300    270    270
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      WSW    SW     SW     W      WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...5      7      5      5      6      3
TRANS SPD (M/S)...2      3      2      2      3      1
DISPERSION........20     5      3      3      3      2
LVORI.............2      3      5      5      6      10
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      F      F      F      F
CWR...............30     10     10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-5500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHNORTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 24 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............10 DECREASING TO 2.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........20     36     36     36     43     43
WEATHER COV.......                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............75     79     88     93     94     93
RH................96     87     65     55     52     54
20 FT WIND DIR....WNW    NW     W      W      SSW    SW
20 FT WIND SPD....3      3      3      3      5      7
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......900    800    3200   3200   5300   5500
MIX HGT (M).......270    240    980    980    1620   1680
TRANSP WIND DIR...WNW    NW     NNW    NNW    E      WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...3      5      7      7      3      6
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      2      3      3      1      3
DISPERSION........2      5      27     27     21     25
LVORI.............10     5      2      2      2      2
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............10     10     10     10     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...32
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140820.JACKS.01/MOB









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