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000
FNUS73 KMQT 230911
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PURPLE WING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
511 AM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL
PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND MAINTAINING DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.
TODAY WILL BE VERY DRY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OVER
INLAND AREAS FALLING TO AROUND 23 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH A HIGH
TEMPERATURE AROUND 77 AT THE SITE. WHILE WIND GUSTS SHOULD MOSTLY BE
IN THE MID TEENS...GUSTS TO 20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF WETTING AND WIDESPREAD RAINFALL LOOKS TO BE LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM THE
PLAINS. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
AS A SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5...OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........12     9      15     24     36     38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     71     75     76     74     72
RH..............40     30     25     23     24     30
33-FOOT WIND....SW 10  WSW 13 WSW 13 W 12   W 11   W 11
20-FOOT WIND....SW 8   WSW 10 WSW 10 W 10   W 9    W 9
WIND GUST.......13     17     17     16     15     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH BECOMING 4 TO 9 MPH
                    BY LATE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH BECOMING UP TO 7
                    MPH BY LATE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........39     37     38     41     47     52
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     60     53     52     51     51
RH..............34     48     62     69     77     83
33-FOOT WIND....SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8
20-FOOT WIND....SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
WIND GUST.......

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........56     61     67     72     78     83
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     62     70     71     72     72
RH..............79     60     47     45     44     45
33-FOOT WIND....SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   S 7
20-FOOT WIND....SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   S 6
WIND GUST.......                                   8
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...TITUS
REQUESTED BY...FOREST PAUKERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150523.PURPL.01/MQT





000
FNUS73 KMQT 230911
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PURPLE WING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
511 AM EDT SAT MAY 23 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL
PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND MAINTAINING DRY CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.
TODAY WILL BE VERY DRY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OVER
INLAND AREAS FALLING TO AROUND 23 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON WITH A HIGH
TEMPERATURE AROUND 77 AT THE SITE. WHILE WIND GUSTS SHOULD MOSTLY BE
IN THE MID TEENS...GUSTS TO 20 MPH ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF WETTING AND WIDESPREAD RAINFALL LOOKS TO BE LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM THE
PLAINS. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK
AS A SERIES OF UPPER DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH THE AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5...OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........12     9      15     24     36     38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............61     71     75     76     74     72
RH..............40     30     25     23     24     30
33-FOOT WIND....SW 10  WSW 13 WSW 13 W 12   W 11   W 11
20-FOOT WIND....SW 8   WSW 10 WSW 10 W 10   W 9    W 9
WIND GUST.......13     17     17     16     15     15
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH BECOMING 4 TO 9 MPH
                    BY LATE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH BECOMING UP TO 7
                    MPH BY LATE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........39     37     38     41     47     52
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     60     53     52     51     51
RH..............34     48     62     69     77     83
33-FOOT WIND....SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8
20-FOOT WIND....SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6
WIND GUST.......

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH UP TO 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........4...OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........56     61     67     72     78     83
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............54     62     70     71     72     72
RH..............79     60     47     45     44     45
33-FOOT WIND....SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8   S 7
20-FOOT WIND....SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   SW 6   S 6
WIND GUST.......                                   8
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...TITUS
REQUESTED BY...FOREST PAUKERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150523.PURPL.01/MQT




000
FNUS73 KMQT 221038 AAA
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANAHER PLAINS RX...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
638 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL KEEP WINDS
RELATIVELY LIGHT. HOWEVER...THESE LIGHT WINDS WILL BE ENHANCED BY
DAYTIME HEATING AND A NORTHWEST WIND LAKE BREEZE OFF LAKE SUPERIOR.
THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER
GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...ALLOWING THE RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND A WARMER AIRMASS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF ANY RAIN LOOKS TO HOLD
OFF UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM
THE PLAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST BY LATE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (486) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (913) BY
                    LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (408)
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5700 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO
                    2300-3700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     49     52     53     51
RH..............34     29     26     24     27
33-FOOT WIND....NW 7   NW 11  NW 11  NW 10  NW 9
20-FOOT WIND....NW 5   NW 8   NW 8   NW 7   NW 7
WIND GUST.......10     14     15     14     13
VINDX KT-FT/100.725    913    857    687    206
TRANSPORT WIND..N 17   NW 18  NW 17  NW 16  NW 10
MIX HGT (FT)....4800   5700   5700   4900   2300
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    4 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........0      2      3      5      9      13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     40     36     34     34     36
RH..............30     45     59     67     70     70
33-FOOT WIND....W 5    W 5    S 4    S 6    S 8    SW 11
20-FOOT WIND....W 4    W 3    S 2    S 4    S 6    SW 9
WIND GUST.......
VINDX KT-FT/100.86     33     28     40     42     54
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9    W 13   W 17   W 18   W 21   W 23
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   300    200    300    200    300
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      3      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........17     17     18     18     23     27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     56     67     70     72     71
RH..............62     45     33     32     31     32
33-FOOT WIND....SW 12  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 14
20-FOOT WIND....SW 9   SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 11
WIND GUST.......       16     17     20     19     17

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MURPHY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.DANAH.01/MQT





000
FNUS73 KMQT 221038 AAA
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANAHER PLAINS RX...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
638 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL KEEP WINDS
RELATIVELY LIGHT. HOWEVER...THESE LIGHT WINDS WILL BE ENHANCED BY
DAYTIME HEATING AND A NORTHWEST WIND LAKE BREEZE OFF LAKE SUPERIOR.
THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER
GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...ALLOWING THE RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND A WARMER AIRMASS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF ANY RAIN LOOKS TO HOLD
OFF UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM
THE PLAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST BY LATE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (486) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (913) BY
                    LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (408)
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5700 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO
                    2300-3700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     49     52     53     51
RH..............34     29     26     24     27
33-FOOT WIND....NW 7   NW 11  NW 11  NW 10  NW 9
20-FOOT WIND....NW 5   NW 8   NW 8   NW 7   NW 7
WIND GUST.......10     14     15     14     13
VINDX KT-FT/100.725    913    857    687    206
TRANSPORT WIND..N 17   NW 18  NW 17  NW 16  NW 10
MIX HGT (FT)....4800   5700   5700   4900   2300
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    4 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........0      2      3      5      9      13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     40     36     34     34     36
RH..............30     45     59     67     70     70
33-FOOT WIND....W 5    W 5    S 4    S 6    S 8    SW 11
20-FOOT WIND....W 4    W 3    S 2    S 4    S 6    SW 9
WIND GUST.......
VINDX KT-FT/100.86     33     28     40     42     54
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9    W 13   W 17   W 18   W 21   W 23
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   300    200    300    200    300
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      3      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........17     17     18     18     23     27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     56     67     70     72     71
RH..............62     45     33     32     31     32
33-FOOT WIND....SW 12  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 14
20-FOOT WIND....SW 9   SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 11
WIND GUST.......       16     17     20     19     17

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MURPHY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.DANAH.01/MQT




000
FNUS73 KMQT 221035
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PURPLE WING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
635 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL KEEP WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO
THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...ALLOWING THE RETURN
OF SOUTHERLY WINDS AND A WARMER AIRMASS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF WETTING
AND WIDESPREAD RAINFALL LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL AT LEAST LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM THE PLAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    UP TO 7 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-7100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     57     61     62     62
RH..............36     25     22     19     20
33-FOOT WIND....SW 4   NW 7   NW 8   NW 9   NW 7
20-FOOT WIND....SW 3   NW 6   NW 7   NW 7   NW 6
WIND GUST.......                     11     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   6600   7100   6800   5600
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 4 TO
                    9 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING SOUTH UP
                    TO 7 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........0      3      5      8      10     13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     49     43     44     43     44
RH..............27     43     59     57     62     66
33-FOOT WIND....W 4    W 4    S 6    S 8    S 9    SW 9
20-FOOT WIND....W 2    W 2    S 4    S 6    S 7    SW 7
WIND GUST.......                                   11

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600-9700 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........15     19     24     28     36     44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     60     71     73     75     74
RH..............60     39     26     23     25     28
33-FOOT WIND....SW 11  SW 11  W 12   W 12   W 11   W 9
20-FOOT WIND....SW 9   SW 9   W 10   W 10   W 9    W 7
WIND GUST.......13     13     14     15     15     13
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1200   4600   9000   9500   9000
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...FOREST PAUKERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.PURPL.01/MQT




000
FNUS73 KMQT 221035
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PURPLE WING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
635 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL KEEP WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO
THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...ALLOWING THE RETURN
OF SOUTHERLY WINDS AND A WARMER AIRMASS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF WETTING
AND WIDESPREAD RAINFALL LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL AT LEAST LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM THE PLAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    UP TO 7 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-7100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     57     61     62     62
RH..............36     25     22     19     20
33-FOOT WIND....SW 4   NW 7   NW 8   NW 9   NW 7
20-FOOT WIND....SW 3   NW 6   NW 7   NW 7   NW 6
WIND GUST.......                     11     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   6600   7100   6800   5600
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 4 TO
                    9 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING SOUTH UP
                    TO 7 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........0      3      5      8      10     13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     49     43     44     43     44
RH..............27     43     59     57     62     66
33-FOOT WIND....W 4    W 4    S 6    S 8    S 9    SW 9
20-FOOT WIND....W 2    W 2    S 4    S 6    S 7    SW 7
WIND GUST.......                                   11

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600-9700 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........15     19     24     28     36     44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     60     71     73     75     74
RH..............60     39     26     23     25     28
33-FOOT WIND....SW 11  SW 11  W 12   W 12   W 11   W 9
20-FOOT WIND....SW 9   SW 9   W 10   W 10   W 9    W 7
WIND GUST.......13     13     14     15     15     13
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1200   4600   9000   9500   9000
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...FOREST PAUKERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.PURPL.01/MQT





000
FNUS73 KMQT 221035
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PURPLE WING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
635 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL KEEP WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO
THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...ALLOWING THE RETURN
OF SOUTHERLY WINDS AND A WARMER AIRMASS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF WETTING
AND WIDESPREAD RAINFALL LOOKS TO HOLD OFF UNTIL AT LEAST LATE SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM THE PLAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    UP TO 7 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-7100 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     57     61     62     62
RH..............36     25     22     19     20
33-FOOT WIND....SW 4   NW 7   NW 8   NW 9   NW 7
20-FOOT WIND....SW 3   NW 6   NW 7   NW 7   NW 6
WIND GUST.......                     11     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   6600   7100   6800   5600
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 2 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 4 TO
                    9 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS BECOMING SOUTH UP
                    TO 7 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........0      3      5      8      10     13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............59     49     43     44     43     44
RH..............27     43     59     57     62     66
33-FOOT WIND....W 4    W 4    S 6    S 8    S 9    SW 9
20-FOOT WIND....W 2    W 2    S 4    S 6    S 7    SW 7
WIND GUST.......                                   11

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8600-9700 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........15     19     24     28     36     44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............49     60     71     73     75     74
RH..............60     39     26     23     25     28
33-FOOT WIND....SW 11  SW 11  W 12   W 12   W 11   W 9
20-FOOT WIND....SW 9   SW 9   W 10   W 10   W 9    W 7
WIND GUST.......13     13     14     15     15     13
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1200   4600   9000   9500   9000
HAINES INDEX....4      5      5      5      5      5

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...FOREST PAUKERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.PURPL.01/MQT




000
FNUS73 KMQT 221020
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANAHER PLAINS RX...MICHIGAN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
620 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL KEEP WINDS
RELATIVELY LIGHT. HOWEVER...THESE LIGHT WINDS WILL BE ENHANCED BY
DAYTIME HEATING AND A NORTHWEST WIND LAKE BREEZE OFF LAKE SUPERIOR.
THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER
GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...ALLOWING THE THE RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND A WARMER AIRMASS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF ANY RAIN LOOKS TO HOLD
OFF UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM
THE PLAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST BY LATE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (486) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (913) BY
                    LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (408)
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5700 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO
                    2300-3700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     49     52     53     51
RH..............34     29     26     24     27
33-FOOT WIND....NW 7   NW 11  NW 11  NW 10  NW 9
20-FOOT WIND....NW 5   NW 8   NW 8   NW 7   NW 7
WIND GUST.......10     14     15     14     13
VINDX KT-FT/100.725    913    857    687    206
TRANSPORT WIND..N 17   NW 18  NW 17  NW 16  NW 10
MIX HGT (FT)....4800   5700   5700   4900   2300
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    4 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........0      2      3      5      9      13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     40     36     34     34     36
RH..............30     45     59     67     70     70
33-FOOT WIND....W 5    W 5    S 4    S 6    S 8    SW 11
20-FOOT WIND....W 4    W 3    S 2    S 4    S 6    SW 9
WIND GUST.......
VINDX KT-FT/100.86     33     28     40     42     54
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9    W 13   W 17   W 18   W 21   W 23
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   300    200    300    200    300
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      3      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........17     17     18     18     23     27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     56     67     70     72     71
RH..............62     45     33     32     31     32
33-FOOT WIND....SW 12  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 14
20-FOOT WIND....SW 9   SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 11
WIND GUST.......       16     17     20     19     17

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MURPHY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.DANAH.01/MQT





000
FNUS73 KMQT 221020
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANAHER PLAINS RX...MICHIGAN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
620 AM EDT FRI MAY 22 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL KEEP WINDS
RELATIVELY LIGHT. HOWEVER...THESE LIGHT WINDS WILL BE ENHANCED BY
DAYTIME HEATING AND A NORTHWEST WIND LAKE BREEZE OFF LAKE SUPERIOR.
THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE OHIO VALLEY AND LOWER
GREAT LAKES TONIGHT...ALLOWING THE THE RETURN OF SOUTHERLY WINDS
AND A WARMER AIRMASS. THE NEXT CHANCE OF ANY RAIN LOOKS TO HOLD
OFF UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM
THE PLAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST BY LATE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS UP TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (486) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (913) BY
                    LATE MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (408)
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5700 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO
                    2300-3700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........0      0      0      0      0
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     49     52     53     51
RH..............34     29     26     24     27
33-FOOT WIND....NW 7   NW 11  NW 11  NW 10  NW 9
20-FOOT WIND....NW 5   NW 8   NW 8   NW 7   NW 7
WIND GUST.......10     14     15     14     13
VINDX KT-FT/100.725    913    857    687    206
TRANSPORT WIND..N 17   NW 18  NW 17  NW 16  NW 10
MIX HGT (FT)....4800   5700   5700   4900   2300
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    4 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........0      2      3      5      9      13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     40     36     34     34     36
RH..............30     45     59     67     70     70
33-FOOT WIND....W 5    W 5    S 4    S 6    S 8    SW 11
20-FOOT WIND....W 4    W 3    S 2    S 4    S 6    SW 9
WIND GUST.......
VINDX KT-FT/100.86     33     28     40     42     54
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9    W 13   W 17   W 18   W 21   W 23
MIX HGT (FT)....1100   300    200    300    200    300
HAINES INDEX....5      5      4      3      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........17     17     18     18     23     27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............44     56     67     70     72     71
RH..............62     45     33     32     31     32
33-FOOT WIND....SW 12  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 15  SW 14
20-FOOT WIND....SW 9   SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 12  SW 11
WIND GUST.......       16     17     20     19     17

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MURPHY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150522.DANAH.01/MQT




000
FNUS73 KMQT 211216
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGH ROLLAWAYS RX...MICHIGAN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
816 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN TODAY
/STRETCHING FROM AROUND ONTONAGON THROUGH BARAGA AT 0800/ COULD
PRODUCE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OVER THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING.
LOOK FOR THE STEADY WEST WINDS INITIALLY THIS MORNING TO TURN
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AROUND 1100 AS THE COLD FRONT SINKS OVER THE
BURN AREA...AND OUT OF THE NORTH BY LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS OF 20
TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL ONCE AGAIN BUILD ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT...WITH DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE START OF THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 9
                    TO 14 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    13 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    7 TO 11 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 23
                    TO 33 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (524) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1063) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........76     48     24     4      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     59     60     60     55
RH..............43     38     33     28     31
33-FOOT WIND....NW 11  NW 13  NW 20  N 20   N 20
20-FOOT WIND....NW 9   NW 10  NW 16  N 16   N 16
WIND GUST.......       20     24     24     21
VINDX KT-FT/100.399    638    874    1063   966
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18  NW 18  NW 21  NW 25  N 28
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   4000   4900   4800   4000
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 4 TO 9 MPH LATE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH UP TO 4 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 23 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 30 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (603) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY LATE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1100 FT AGL BY
                    LATE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........5      5      5      4      4      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     42     37     34     30     30
RH..............34     47     57     64     76     78
33-FOOT WIND....N 14   N 11   NW 8   NW 7   NW 5   N 5
20-FOOT WIND....N 11   N 9    NW 8   NW 5   NW 2   N 3
WIND GUST.......20     16     13     10     10
VINDX KT-FT/100.823    320    3      60     50     0
TRANSPORT WIND..N 29   N 33   N 33   N 28   N 23   N 18
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   1100   BLW100 300    300    BLW100
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      4      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........4      4      5      5      6      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     46     53     56     57     56
RH..............63     43     31     25     24     26
33-FOOT WIND....N 8    N 8    NW 12  NW 13  NW 14  NW 10
20-FOOT WIND....N 6    N 6    NW 10  NW 10  NW 11  NW 8
WIND GUST.......12     12     15     17     17     14

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MURPHY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150521.HIGHR.01/MQT




000
FNUS73 KMQT 211216
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGH ROLLAWAYS RX...MICHIGAN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
816 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN TODAY
/STRETCHING FROM AROUND ONTONAGON THROUGH BARAGA AT 0800/ COULD
PRODUCE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OVER THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING.
LOOK FOR THE STEADY WEST WINDS INITIALLY THIS MORNING TO TURN
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AROUND 1100 AS THE COLD FRONT SINKS OVER THE
BURN AREA...AND OUT OF THE NORTH BY LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS OF 20
TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL ONCE AGAIN BUILD ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT...WITH DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE START OF THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 9
                    TO 14 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    13 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    7 TO 11 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 23
                    TO 33 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (524) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1063) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........76     48     24     4      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     59     60     60     55
RH..............43     38     33     28     31
33-FOOT WIND....NW 11  NW 13  NW 20  N 20   N 20
20-FOOT WIND....NW 9   NW 10  NW 16  N 16   N 16
WIND GUST.......       20     24     24     21
VINDX KT-FT/100.399    638    874    1063   966
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18  NW 18  NW 21  NW 25  N 28
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   4000   4900   4800   4000
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 4 TO 9 MPH LATE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH UP TO 4 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 23 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 30 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (603) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY LATE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1100 FT AGL BY
                    LATE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........5      5      5      4      4      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     42     37     34     30     30
RH..............34     47     57     64     76     78
33-FOOT WIND....N 14   N 11   NW 8   NW 7   NW 5   N 5
20-FOOT WIND....N 11   N 9    NW 8   NW 5   NW 2   N 3
WIND GUST.......20     16     13     10     10
VINDX KT-FT/100.823    320    3      60     50     0
TRANSPORT WIND..N 29   N 33   N 33   N 28   N 23   N 18
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   1100   BLW100 300    300    BLW100
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      4      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........4      4      5      5      6      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     46     53     56     57     56
RH..............63     43     31     25     24     26
33-FOOT WIND....N 8    N 8    NW 12  NW 13  NW 14  NW 10
20-FOOT WIND....N 6    N 6    NW 10  NW 10  NW 11  NW 8
WIND GUST.......12     12     15     17     17     14

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MURPHY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150521.HIGHR.01/MQT





000
FNUS73 KMQT 211216
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGH ROLLAWAYS RX...MICHIGAN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
816 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS UPPER MICHIGAN TODAY
/STRETCHING FROM AROUND ONTONAGON THROUGH BARAGA AT 0800/ COULD
PRODUCE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OVER THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING.
LOOK FOR THE STEADY WEST WINDS INITIALLY THIS MORNING TO TURN
OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AROUND 1100 AS THE COLD FRONT SINKS OVER THE
BURN AREA...AND OUT OF THE NORTH BY LATE AFTERNOON. GUSTS OF 20
TO 25 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL ONCE AGAIN BUILD ACROSS THE UPPER GREAT LAKES BEHIND THE
COLD FRONT...WITH DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE START OF THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 9
                    TO 14 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    13 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
                    7 TO 11 MPH BY LATE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 31 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 23
                    TO 33 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (524) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (1063) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-5000 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........76     48     24     4      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............57     59     60     60     55
RH..............43     38     33     28     31
33-FOOT WIND....NW 11  NW 13  NW 20  N 20   N 20
20-FOOT WIND....NW 9   NW 10  NW 16  N 16   N 16
WIND GUST.......       20     24     24     21
VINDX KT-FT/100.399    638    874    1063   966
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18  NW 18  NW 21  NW 25  N 28
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   4000   4900   4800   4000
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 4 TO 9 MPH LATE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH UP TO 4 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5...OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 23 TO 40 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 30 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...EXCELLENT (603) DECREASING TO POOR (0) BY LATE
                    EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1100 FT AGL BY
                    LATE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........5      5      5      4      4      4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............52     42     37     34     30     30
RH..............34     47     57     64     76     78
33-FOOT WIND....N 14   N 11   NW 8   NW 7   NW 5   N 5
20-FOOT WIND....N 11   N 9    NW 8   NW 5   NW 2   N 3
WIND GUST.......20     16     13     10     10
VINDX KT-FT/100.823    320    3      60     50     0
TRANSPORT WIND..N 29   N 33   N 33   N 28   N 23   N 18
MIX HGT (FT)....3300   1100   BLW100 300    300    BLW100
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      4      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........4      4      5      5      6      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............36     46     53     56     57     56
RH..............63     43     31     25     24     26
33-FOOT WIND....N 8    N 8    NW 12  NW 13  NW 14  NW 10
20-FOOT WIND....N 6    N 6    NW 10  NW 10  NW 11  NW 8
WIND GUST.......12     12     15     17     17     14

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...KEITH MURPHY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150521.HIGHR.01/MQT





000
FNUS73 KMQT 211006
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PURPLE WING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
606 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK EAST TO WEST ORIENTED COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
TIP OF THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA AT 6 AM WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH
ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED...IT WILL
KEEP SCATTERED MID TO HIGH CLOUDS AROUND THROUGH THE LATE MORNING
HOURS. STEADY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL TURN OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH BEHIND THE BY AROUND 10 AM. DRY AND COOL
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE BURN AREA BEHIND
THE FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8
                    TO 17 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (527) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (791) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6600 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........30     19     8      8      9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............51     57     60     60     58
RH..............51     40     33     29     30
33-FOOT WIND....NW 9   N 11   N 11   N 11   N 12
20-FOOT WIND....NW 7   N 9    N 9    N 9    N 10
WIND GUST.......12     14     16     16     17
VINDX KT-FT/100.272    387    660    791    768
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15   N 10   N 13   N 14   N 14
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   4300   6000   6600   6400
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH THROUGH LATE EVENING
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE EAST 5 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS UP TO 7 MPH THROUGH LATE EVENING
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST UP TO 4 MPH...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........10     9      8      7      6      6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     43     35     33     29     28
RH..............37     56     73     67     75     80
33-FOOT WIND....N 9    N 9    NE 6   E 4    E 4    SE 2
20-FOOT WIND....N 7    N 6    NE 5   E 3    E 3    SE 1
WIND GUST.......13     11

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (350) INCREASING TO GOOD (559) BY LATE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6400 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........5      5      5      5      6      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............34     46     55     58     61     61
RH..............68     42     29     24     23     24
33-FOOT WIND....SW 5   SW 5   NW 10  NW 9   NW 9   NW 9
20-FOOT WIND....SW 4   SW 4   NW 8   NW 7   NW 7   NW 7
WIND GUST.......       9      10     12     12     11
VINDX KT-FT/100.18     350    557    434    319    299
TRANSPORT WIND..N 8    N 10   N 10   NW 8   NW 6   NW 6
MIX HGT (FT)....300    3900   6200   6200   6400   6000
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...FOREST PAUKERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150521.PURPL.01/MQT




000
FNUS73 KMQT 211006
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR PURPLE WING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
606 AM EDT THU MAY 21 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON MAY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK EAST TO WEST ORIENTED COLD FRONT ACROSS THE
TIP OF THE KEWEENAW PENINSULA AT 6 AM WILL CONTINUE TO SAG SOUTH
ACROSS THE REGION. WHILE NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED...IT WILL
KEEP SCATTERED MID TO HIGH CLOUDS AROUND THROUGH THE LATE MORNING
HOURS. STEADY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL TURN OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST AND THEN NORTH BEHIND THE BY AROUND 10 AM. DRY AND COOL
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY BUILD INTO THE BURN AREA BEHIND
THE FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 29 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8
                    TO 17 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (527) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (791) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-6600 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........30     19     8      8      9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............51     57     60     60     58
RH..............51     40     33     29     30
33-FOOT WIND....NW 9   N 11   N 11   N 11   N 12
20-FOOT WIND....NW 7   N 9    N 9    N 9    N 10
WIND GUST.......12     14     16     16     17
VINDX KT-FT/100.272    387    660    791    768
TRANSPORT WIND..N 15   N 10   N 13   N 14   N 14
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   4300   6000   6600   6400
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 4 TO 9 MPH THROUGH LATE EVENING
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE EAST 5 MPH OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS UP TO 7 MPH THROUGH LATE EVENING
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST UP TO 4 MPH...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........10     9      8      7      6      6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............55     43     35     33     29     28
RH..............37     56     73     67     75     80
33-FOOT WIND....N 9    N 9    NE 6   E 4    E 4    SE 2
20-FOOT WIND....N 7    N 6    NE 5   E 3    E 3    SE 1
WIND GUST.......13     11

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 MPH OR LESS INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH INCREASING TO
                    NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (350) INCREASING TO GOOD (559) BY LATE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500-6400 FT AGL.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........5      5      5      5      6      7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............34     46     55     58     61     61
RH..............68     42     29     24     23     24
33-FOOT WIND....SW 5   SW 5   NW 10  NW 9   NW 9   NW 9
20-FOOT WIND....SW 4   SW 4   NW 8   NW 7   NW 7   NW 7
WIND GUST.......       9      10     12     12     11
VINDX KT-FT/100.18     350    557    434    319    299
TRANSPORT WIND..N 8    N 10   N 10   NW 8   NW 6   NW 6
MIX HGT (FT)....300    3900   6200   6200   6400   6000
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...KF
REQUESTED BY...FOREST PAUKERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150521.PURPL.01/MQT





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