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000
FNUS74 KMRX 191141
FWSMRX

SPOT FORECAST FOR STONY CREEK WILDFIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
741 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE GENERALLY ALONG THE SPINE OF
THE APPALACHIANS AND SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH THE DAY AND
EARLY EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO GENERALLY BE LESS
THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH...EVEN INTO PARTS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.
OTHERWISE IT WILL BE CLOUDY AND RELATIVELY COOL TODAY. EXPECT
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES AND CLEAR SKIES FOR SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...4200 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..2200 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....1600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION..........35.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........57     57     57     82     82     82
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............45     54     60     64     66     66
RH..............79     59     47     40     36     36
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 9   NE 12  NE 10  NE 8   E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     20     20     15     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...4800 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..2800 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....2200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.
DISPERSION..........16.

$$
FORECASTER...ANTHONY CAVALLUCCI
REQUESTED BY...LARRY SHAW
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140419.STONY.01/MRX





000
FNUS74 KMRX 181334
FWSMRX

SPOT FORECAST FOR STONY CREEK WILDFIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
934 AM EDT FRI APR 18 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BE TRACKING BY WELL TO OUR SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL MAINLY BRINGS
CLOUDS TO SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...BUT NO RAIN.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...6600 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..4600 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 1 MPH.
DISPERSION..........4.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...6300 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..4300 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....3700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST AROUND 18 MPH.
DISPERSION..........66.

$$
FORECASTER...DOUG SCHNEIDER
REQUESTED BY...LARRY SHAW
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140418.STONY.01/MRX





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