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000
FNUS75 KMSO 212201
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNING ELK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
401 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1546 MDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST MOST OF THE
NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE TONIGHT. WELL GET A BREAK IN THE WEATHER WITH
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES FROM MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. LATER
IN THE DAY ON FRIDAY CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE.
HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING
IS POSSIBLE. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO DEVELOP AND INCREASE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS PROBABLE UP TO 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6-10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.FRIDAY...

HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ROBINSON
REQUESTED BY...JAMEY GRAHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140821.BURNI.01/MSO







000
FNUS75 KMSO 212201
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNING ELK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
401 PM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1546 MDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST MOST OF THE
NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE TONIGHT. WELL GET A BREAK IN THE WEATHER WITH
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES FROM MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. LATER
IN THE DAY ON FRIDAY CHANCES FOR RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE.
HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING
IS POSSIBLE. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALSO DEVELOP AND INCREASE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS PROBABLE UP TO 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6-10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.

.FRIDAY...

HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8-14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...ROBINSON
REQUESTED BY...JAMEY GRAHAM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140821.BURNI.01/MSO








000
FNUS75 KMSO 202300
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEEPAY FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
500 PM MDT WED AUG 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1626 MDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWERS TONIGHT, NOT A WIDESPREAD AS
WE HAVE BEEN SEEING RECENTLY. THURSDAY WILL BE THE START OF OUR
UPCOMING PATTERN CHANGE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT THE LOW WILL BE DIRECTLY OVER THE AREA
SPREADING ABUNDANT MOIST OVER THE AREA OF THE FIRE. EARLY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL MAINLY JUST BE A STEADY LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN. THE GOOD NEWS IS WE WILL BE SEEING WIDESPREAD
WETTING RAINS THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH 6-8
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................75 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...ROBINSON
REQUESTED BY...RISA LANGE-NAVARRO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140820.SEEPA.01/MSO








000
FNUS75 KMSO 202300
FWSMSO

SPOT FORECAST FOR SEEPAY FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
500 PM MDT WED AUG 20 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1626 MDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT ISOLATED SHOWERS TONIGHT, NOT A WIDESPREAD AS
WE HAVE BEEN SEEING RECENTLY. THURSDAY WILL BE THE START OF OUR
UPCOMING PATTERN CHANGE. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED ESPECIALLY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT THE LOW WILL BE DIRECTLY OVER THE AREA
SPREADING ABUNDANT MOIST OVER THE AREA OF THE FIRE. EARLY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL MAINLY JUST BE A STEADY LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN. THE GOOD NEWS IS WE WILL BE SEEING WIDESPREAD
WETTING RAINS THROUGH THE REGION FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................3.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH 6-8
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 8-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................75 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 10-12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...ROBINSON
REQUESTED BY...RISA LANGE-NAVARRO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140820.SEEPA.01/MSO







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