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000
FNUS73 KPAH 281645
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOT2...MODNR DSP TOT SP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1045 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON JANUARY 28.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OTHER THAN A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
TO AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TONIGHT, DRY WEATHER IS
FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. A MORE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. IT SHOULD BE MAINLY RAIN, THOUGH A
LITTLE SNOW CANNOT BE RULED OUT MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE OHIO
RIVER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.
RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1700-2100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............46  48  48  48  47
RH..............58  56  56  56  58
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   8   8   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.1 2.0 1.4 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  16  16  15  13
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...TREVINO
REQUESTED BY...STEVE SCHELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.TOT2_.01/PAH








000
FNUS73 KPAH 281439
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR GATOR PIT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
839 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON JANUARY 28.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OTHER THAN A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
TO AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TONIGHT, DRY WEATHER IS
FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. A MORE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. IT SHOULD BE MAINLY RAIN, THOUGH A
LITTLE SNOW CANNOT BE RULED OUT MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE OHIO
RIVER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 48.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1700-1900 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............46  47  48  47  47
RH..............45  45  44  45  47
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   4
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.9 1.7 1.2 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE  SE  S   S   SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9   9   9   9   9
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............43     44     44     43     44     45
RH..............55     55     60     65     65     68
20 FT WIND......SE 4   S 5    S 6    S 7    S 8    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     20
MIX HGT (FT)....300    200    200    300    500    500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10  S 13   S 15   S 18   S 18   S 18
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 52.
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     CLOUDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC     S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    NONE      NONE
TEMP............43        45        49        50
RH..............82        86        74        61
20 FT WIND......SW 9G20   SW 6G15   NW 7G15   NW 7G15
MIX HGT (FT)....300       500       2900      3800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 20      SW 16     NW 20     NW 21
CWR.............0         0         0         0

$$
FORECASTER...TREVINO
REQUESTED BY...LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.GATOR.01/PAH








000
FNUS73 KPAH 281414
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BLACK 3...MO DEPT. OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
814 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON JANUARY 28.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OTHER THAN A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
TO AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TONIGHT, DRY WEATHER IS
FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. A MORE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. IT SHOULD BE MAINLY RAIN, THOUGH A
LITTLE SNOW CANNOT BE RULED OUT MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE OHIO
RIVER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2000-2200 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............51  54  55  56  55  54
RH..............50  46  45  45  49  50
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.4 2.4 2.2 1.6 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  14  14  15  15  14

$$
FORECASTER...TREVINO
REQUESTED BY...STEVE PAES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.LITTL.01/PAH








000
FNUS73 KPAH 281414
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BLACK 3...MO DEPT. OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
814 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON JANUARY 28.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OTHER THAN A WEAK WEATHER SYSTEM BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
TO AREAS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TONIGHT, DRY WEATHER IS
FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. A MORE
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL BRING PRECIPITATION TO THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. IT SHOULD BE MAINLY RAIN, THOUGH A
LITTLE SNOW CANNOT BE RULED OUT MAINLY NORTH AND WEST OF THE OHIO
RIVER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........51 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2000-2200 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2200-2400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............51  54  55  56  55  54
RH..............50  46  45  45  49  50
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.4 2.4 2.2 1.6 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  14  14  15  15  14

$$
FORECASTER...TREVINO
REQUESTED BY...STEVE PAES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.LITTL.01/PAH








000
FNUS73 KPAH 280906
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND PRAIRIE RX...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
306 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 28.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MODERATE HUMIDITY AND SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH EXPECTED WITH PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE MIDDAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.
RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-2200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............41  44  46  48  48  48  47
RH..............66  60  57  54  55  56  58
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.5 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  13  14  15  15  13  10
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............46     45     44     43     43     42
RH..............60     66     74     79     84     89
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 7    S 8    S 7    S 8    SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....300    200    200    300    500    400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9   S 12   S 14   S 14   S 14   S 13
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      4      3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 24 TO
                    29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............42        44        46        47
RH..............98        91        73        62
20 FT WIND......SW 7G15   NW 8G15   NW 10G20  NW 10G20
MIX HGT (FT)....300       2300      3200      4000
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12     NW 24     NW 26     NW 26
CWR.............0         0         0         0
HAINES INDEX....4         5         4         4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...BRUCE HENRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.SANDP.01/PAH








000
FNUS73 KPAH 280906
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR SAND PRAIRIE RX...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
306 AM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON JANUARY 28.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MODERATE HUMIDITY AND SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH EXPECTED WITH PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE MIDDAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.
RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 300-2200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............41  44  46  48  48  48  47
RH..............66  60  57  54  55  56  58
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.5 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  13  14  15  15  13  10
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 11 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............46     45     44     43     43     42
RH..............60     66     74     79     84     89
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 7    S 8    S 7    S 8    SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....300    200    200    300    500    400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9   S 12   S 14   S 14   S 14   S 13
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      5      4      3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-4100 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 24 TO
                    29 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............42        44        46        47
RH..............98        91        73        62
20 FT WIND......SW 7G15   NW 8G15   NW 10G20  NW 10G20
MIX HGT (FT)....300       2300      3200      4000
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12     NW 24     NW 26     NW 26
CWR.............0         0         0         0
HAINES INDEX....4         5         4         4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...BRUCE HENRY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.SANDP.01/PAH








000
FNUS73 KPAH 280039
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL OF TEARS...MO DEPT OF NATURAL RESOURCES/ DIV OF STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
639 PM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CST ON JANUARY 28.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING SOME LIGHT SHOWERS MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST
HALF OF THE REGION LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND INCREASING SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND
THE FRONT ON THURSDAY...AND THEY MAY PUSH CRITICAL THRESHOLDS AT
TIMES.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 48.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH...GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1700-2200
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............45  47  47  47  46
RH..............59  58  57  58  59
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   8   9   8
20 FT WIND GUST.10  15  15  15  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  17  18  18  16
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....3   4   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH...GUSTS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....              RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............45     44     43     43     42     42
RH..............61     64     72     80     84     89
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6    SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....1800   1400   1300   1200   1200   1100
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14   S 14   S 16   S 17   S 17   S 15
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      2      2      2

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48.
RH..................MIN 62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH...GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-4400 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING
                    NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH BY LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............42        43        45        46
RH..............94        85        75        64
20 FT WIND......SW 6G15   NW 7G15   NW 7G15   NW 7G15
MIX HGT (FT)....1200      2700      3600      4200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 12     NW 18     NW 23     NW 22
CWR.............0         0         0         0
HAINES INDEX....3         4         3         3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...STEVE SCHELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150128.TRAIL.01/PAH









000
FNUS73 KPAH 271443
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR TWIN PINES DEMO UNIT...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
843 AM CST TUE JAN 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CST ON JANUARY 27.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WINDS AND MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE WEAKENING/LOWERING QUICKLY IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON. THIS COULD CAUSE SOME DISPERSION ISSUES...IF STILL BURNING THEN.
THE HUMIDITY FORECAST IS PROBABLY ON THE CONSERVATIVE SIDE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.
RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AT 5 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...REMAINING NEARLY
                    STEADY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 MPH AT IGNITION...DIMINISHING
                    IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............47  48  49  49  48  46
RH..............58  54  49  48  48  55
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   4   4   3   2
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10  5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.4 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  12  9   8   7   6
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............43     40     37     36     34     33
RH..............62     70     75     75     82     85
20 FT WIND......NE 2   E 2    E 2    E 3    SE 3   SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....300    100    100    300    200    100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6    NE 7   E 9    SE 12  SE 14  SE 15
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 53.
RH..................MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 30 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY     MCLEAR    MCLEAR    PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............32        37        48        52
RH..............85        72        56        48
20 FT WIND......SE 4G10   SE 5G10   S 6G15    S 6G15
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1100      1900      1700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 17      S 20      S 22      S 28
CWR.............0         0         0         0
HAINES INDEX....3         3         4         5

$$
FORECASTER...SPAETH
REQUESTED BY...SUSAN FARRINGTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150127.TWINP.01/PAH








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