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000
FNUS71 KPHI 190040
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE MOUNTAIN...DCNR DISTRICT 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
840 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2029 EDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A DRY COLD FRONT IS IN THE PROCESS OF CROSSING THE REGION AND WILL
CAUSE A WIND SHIFT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE DOWN FROM THE NORTH
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTHWARD INTO OUR
REGION ON MONDAY, FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE MONDAY NIGHT.

WETTING RAIN IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT AND WITH INCREASING
LIKELIHOOD TOWARD MONDAY MORNING.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........WIND IS IN THE PROCESS OF SHIFTING FROM W TO NW AND WILL
                    BECOME MORE N LATER TONIGHT AND NE TO E BY MORNING.  WIND
                    SPEEDS WILL GENERALLY BE 10 MPH OR LESS.

TIME (EDT)          9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............1   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2
WEATHER COV.........NONE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE
TSTM COV............NONE
TEMP................66  61  57  55  53  51  49  47  45
RH..................35  41  43  47  48  50  54  58  62
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............2   2   1   5   9   13  16  20  24  31  38  46
WEATHER COV.........NONE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE
TSTM COV............NONE
TEMP................46  46  47  50  53  56  57  59  60  60  61  61
RH..................60  60  58  52  46  42  38  36  35  35  33  35
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   6   7   8   9   9   10  10  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
COOLER...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS
AROUND 12 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...NIERENBERG
REQUESTED BY...JIM STITELER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150418.BLUEM.04/PHI




000
FNUS71 KPHI 190040
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE MOUNTAIN...DCNR DISTRICT 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
840 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2029 EDT ON APRIL 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A DRY COLD FRONT IS IN THE PROCESS OF CROSSING THE REGION AND WILL
CAUSE A WIND SHIFT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL NOSE DOWN FROM THE NORTH
TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTHWARD INTO OUR
REGION ON MONDAY, FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE MONDAY NIGHT.

WETTING RAIN IS POSSIBLE BEGINNING SUNDAY NIGHT AND WITH INCREASING
LIKELIHOOD TOWARD MONDAY MORNING.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........WIND IS IN THE PROCESS OF SHIFTING FROM W TO NW AND WILL
                    BECOME MORE N LATER TONIGHT AND NE TO E BY MORNING.  WIND
                    SPEEDS WILL GENERALLY BE 10 MPH OR LESS.

TIME (EDT)          9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............1   2   2   2   3   3   3   2   2
WEATHER COV.........NONE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE
TSTM COV............NONE
TEMP................66  61  57  55  53  51  49  47  45
RH..................35  41  43  47  48  50  54  58  62
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD......10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............2   2   1   5   9   13  16  20  24  31  38  46
WEATHER COV.........NONE
WEATHER TYPE........NONE
TSTM COV............NONE
TEMP................46  46  47  50  53  56  57  59  60  60  61  61
RH..................60  60  58  52  46  42  38  36  35  35  33  35
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD......6   6   6   6   7   8   9   9   10  10  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
CWR.................0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
COOLER...RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS
AROUND 12 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...NIERENBERG
REQUESTED BY...JIM STITELER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150418.BLUEM.04/PHI





000
FNUS71 KPHI 161032
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR IVAN SWAMP...BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
632 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0635 EDT ON APRIL 16. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE 20
TO 30 PERCENT RANGE IN MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

WHILE BOTH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND THE DRY FINE
FUELS PRESENT A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN, SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN MOSTLY LESS THAN 12 MPH WITH GUSTS NOT
ANTICIPATED TO REACH MORE THAN 16 OR 18 MPH. AS A RESULT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR RAPID WILDFIRE SPREAD SHOULD BE LIMITED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........A GRADUAL VEERING FROM THE NE TO THE S.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............29     24     21     22     28     35
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40     44     52     59     63     65
RH..................50     43     33     26     22     22
20 FT WIND..........NE 5   E 5    E 7    SE 9   S 10   S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....              10     15     15     15
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............44     59     72     85     98     99
WEATHER COV.........                     CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64     60     57     55     54     52
RH..................24     32     40     51     59     69
20 FT WIND..........S 8    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 7    SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10
CWR.................0      10     10     30     50     60

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............99     100    97     93     90     76
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52     53     58     61     63     63
RH..................74     74     64     60     58     56
20 FT WIND..........SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   W 9    W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     10     10
CWR.................70     60     60     60     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...IOVINO
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN TURNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.IVANS.01/PHI





000
FNUS71 KPHI 161032
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR IVAN SWAMP...BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
632 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0635 EDT ON APRIL 16. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE 20
TO 30 PERCENT RANGE IN MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

WHILE BOTH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND THE DRY FINE
FUELS PRESENT A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN, SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN MOSTLY LESS THAN 12 MPH WITH GUSTS NOT
ANTICIPATED TO REACH MORE THAN 16 OR 18 MPH. AS A RESULT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR RAPID WILDFIRE SPREAD SHOULD BE LIMITED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........A GRADUAL VEERING FROM THE NE TO THE S.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............29     24     21     22     28     35
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40     44     52     59     63     65
RH..................50     43     33     26     22     22
20 FT WIND..........NE 5   E 5    E 7    SE 9   S 10   S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....              10     15     15     15
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............44     59     72     85     98     99
WEATHER COV.........                     CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................64     60     57     55     54     52
RH..................24     32     40     51     59     69
20 FT WIND..........S 8    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 7    SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10
CWR.................0      10     10     30     50     60

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............99     100    97     93     90     76
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52     53     58     61     63     63
RH..................74     74     64     60     58     56
20 FT WIND..........SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   W 9    W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     10     10
CWR.................70     60     60     60     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...IOVINO
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN TURNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.IVANS.01/PHI




000
FNUS71 KPHI 161028
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANCING RIDGE...BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
628 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0630 EDT ON APRIL 16. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE 20
TO 30 PERCENT RANGE IN MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

WHILE BOTH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND THE DRY FINE
FUELS PRESENT A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN, SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN MOSTLY LESS THAN 12 MPH WITH GUSTS NOT
ANTICIPATED TO REACH MORE THAN 16 OR 18 MPH. AS A RESULT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR RAPID WILDFIRE SPREAD SHOULD BE LIMITED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........A GRADUAL VEERING FROM THE NE TO THE S.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............28     23     21     22     28     35
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40     44     52     58     62     64
RH..................48     41     32     26     22     22
20 FT WIND..........NE 5   E 5    E 7    SE 8   S 10   S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....              10     10     15     15
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............44     59     72     85     98     99
WEATHER COV.........                     CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................63     59     57     55     53     52
RH..................25     33     40     49     57     66
20 FT WIND..........S 8    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 7    SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10
CWR.................0      10     10     30     50     60

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............99     100    97     93     90     76
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52     53     58     61     63     63
RH..................71     74     64     58     56     56
20 FT WIND..........SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   W 9    W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     10     10
CWR.................70     60     60     60     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...IOVINO
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN TURNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.DANCI.01/PHI




000
FNUS71 KPHI 161028
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR DANCING RIDGE...BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
628 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0630 EDT ON APRIL 16. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE 20
TO 30 PERCENT RANGE IN MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

WHILE BOTH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND THE DRY FINE
FUELS PRESENT A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN, SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN MOSTLY LESS THAN 12 MPH WITH GUSTS NOT
ANTICIPATED TO REACH MORE THAN 16 OR 18 MPH. AS A RESULT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR RAPID WILDFIRE SPREAD SHOULD BE LIMITED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........A GRADUAL VEERING FROM THE NE TO THE S.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............28     23     21     22     28     35
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................40     44     52     58     62     64
RH..................48     41     32     26     22     22
20 FT WIND..........NE 5   E 5    E 7    SE 8   S 10   S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....              10     10     15     15
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............44     59     72     85     98     99
WEATHER COV.........                     CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................63     59     57     55     53     52
RH..................25     33     40     49     57     66
20 FT WIND..........S 8    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 7    SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10
CWR.................0      10     10     30     50     60

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............99     100    97     93     90     76
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................52     53     58     61     63     63
RH..................71     74     64     58     56     56
20 FT WIND..........SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   W 9    W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     10     10
CWR.................70     60     60     60     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...IOVINO
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN TURNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.DANCI.01/PHI





000
FNUS71 KPHI 161024
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR POHOPOCO...BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
624 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0625 EDT ON APRIL 16. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE 20
TO 30 PERCENT RANGE IN MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

WHILE BOTH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND THE DRY FINE
FUELS PRESENT A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN, SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN MOSTLY LESS THAN 12 MPH WITH GUSTS NOT
ANTICIPATED TO REACH MORE THAN 16 OR 18 MPH. AS A RESULT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR RAPID WILDFIRE SPREAD SHOULD BE LIMITED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........A GRADUAL VEERING FROM THE NE TO THE S.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............29     24     23     25     32     39
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................41     43     49     55     59     60
RH..................42     39     31     25     22     23
20 FT WIND..........NE 5   E 6    E 7    SE 8   S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     10     10     15     15
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............47     62     74     87     99     99
WEATHER COV.........                     CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59     56     54     52     51     50
RH..................27     37     48     59     66     74
20 FT WIND..........S 8    S 8    S 7    S 7    S 7    SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10
CWR.................0      10     10     30     50     70

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............100    100    97     94     91     76
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50     51     54     57     59     59
RH..................77     74     69     64     62     60
20 FT WIND..........SW 9   SW 10  SW 10  W 9    W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     10     10
CWR.................70     60     60     60     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...IOVINO
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN TURNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.POHOP.01/PHI




000
FNUS71 KPHI 161024
FWSPHI

SPOT FORECAST FOR POHOPOCO...BUREAU OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
624 AM EDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0625 EDT ON APRIL 16. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO DROP INTO THE 20
TO 30 PERCENT RANGE IN MUCH OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

WHILE BOTH THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND THE DRY FINE
FUELS PRESENT A FIRE WEATHER CONCERN, SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS ARE
FORECAST TO REMAIN MOSTLY LESS THAN 12 MPH WITH GUSTS NOT
ANTICIPATED TO REACH MORE THAN 16 OR 18 MPH. AS A RESULT, THE
POTENTIAL FOR RAPID WILDFIRE SPREAD SHOULD BE LIMITED.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........A GRADUAL VEERING FROM THE NE TO THE S.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............29     24     23     25     32     39
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................41     43     49     55     59     60
RH..................42     39     31     25     22     23
20 FT WIND..........NE 5   E 6    E 7    SE 8   S 9    S 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....       10     10     10     15     15
CWR.................0      0      0      0      0      0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS LIKELY LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............47     62     74     87     99     99
WEATHER COV.........                     CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................59     56     54     52     51     50
RH..................27     37     48     59     66     74
20 FT WIND..........S 8    S 8    S 7    S 7    S 7    SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10
CWR.................0      10     10     30     50     70

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. SHOWERS
                    LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............100    100    97     94     91     76
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................50     51     54     57     59     59
RH..................77     74     69     64     62     60
20 FT WIND..........SW 9   SW 10  SW 10  W 9    W 8    W 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     10     10
CWR.................70     60     60     60     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...IOVINO
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN TURNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.POHOP.01/PHI





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