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000
FNUS75 KPUB 251032
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUNT CREEK RX...PSICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
432 AM MDT SAT OCT 25 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH INCREASING
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING TROUGH BY THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.  EXPECT DRY AND CLEAR CONDITIONS FOR TODAY WITH AN
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER FOR SUNDAY.  WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE
EARLY AFTERNOON...INCREASING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST BY MID AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY.  SMOKE DISPERSALS WILL BE ON THE POOR TO FAIR SIDE
THIS MORNING...BECOMING VERY GOOD THIS AFTERNOON ONCE THE SOUTHWEST
WINDS KICK IN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH THIS MORNING
                    DECREASING TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY 0900.
                    WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
                    BY 1400 AT 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH
                    THROUGH 1800...DECREASING TO SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 0900 BECOMING
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141025.TROUN.01/PUB





000
FNUS75 KPUB 251032
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUNT CREEK RX...PSICC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
432 AM MDT SAT OCT 25 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

AN UPPER RIDGE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH INCREASING
SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING TROUGH BY THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.  EXPECT DRY AND CLEAR CONDITIONS FOR TODAY WITH AN
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER FOR SUNDAY.  WINDS WILL BE LIGHT THROUGH THE
EARLY AFTERNOON...INCREASING OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST BY MID AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY.  SMOKE DISPERSALS WILL BE ON THE POOR TO FAIR SIDE
THIS MORNING...BECOMING VERY GOOD THIS AFTERNOON ONCE THE SOUTHWEST
WINDS KICK IN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80F.
MIN HUMIDITY........5-10 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH THIS MORNING
                    DECREASING TO LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY 0900.
                    WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
                    BY 1400 AT 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 19 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45F.
MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH
                    THROUGH 1800...DECREASING TO SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77F.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 0900 BECOMING
                    WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...MOZLEY
REQUESTED BY...PUEBLO DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141025.TROUN.01/PUB





000
FNUS75 KPUB 232126
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUNT CREEK RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
320 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN COLORADO. A QUICK MOVING STORM
SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN COLORADO SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
INCREASING WINDS AHEAD OF THE STORM SYSTEM WILL INCREASE FIRE
DANGER ON SUNDAY. CURRENT FORECAST HAS GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF
15 TO 30 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THOUGH HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL SLIGHTLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S...AND WITH LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE SLOWLY INCREASING...COULD SEE MIN RHS SLIGHTLY ABOVE
RED FLAG CRITERIA IN THE 15 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE. HOWEVER...WILL
NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR UPCOMING FORECASTS FOR THIS PERIOD.
MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND MOUNTAIN SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE
REGION MONDAY.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH UNTIL
                    1000...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH WITH
                    LOCAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44F.
MAX HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH UNTIL
                    1800...THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 9-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...JAY KARLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141024.TROUN.01/PUB





000
FNUS75 KPUB 232120
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TROUNT CREEK RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
320 PM MDT THU OCT 23 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THIS WEEKEND
ACROSS ALL OF SOUTHERN COLORADO. A QUICK MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INTO WESTERN COLORADO SUNDAY AFTERNOON. INCREASING WINDS AHEAD OF THE
STORM SYSTEM WILL INCREASE FIRE DANGER ON SUNDAY. CURRENT FORECAST HAS
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...THOUGH HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SLIGHTLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S...AND WITH
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SLOWLY INCREASING...COULD SEE MIN RHS SLIGHTLY ABOVE
RED FLAG CRITERIA IN THE 15 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE. HOWEVER...WILL NEED TO
CONTINUE TO MONITOR UPCOMING FORECASTS FOR THIS PERIOD. MUCH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND MOUNTAIN SHOWERS WILL IMPACT THE REGION MONDAY.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74F.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-15 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH UNTIL
                    1000...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 8-12 MPH WITH
                    LOCAL GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN FAIR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44F.
MAX HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH UNTIL
                    1800...THEN SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2000...THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74F.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-16 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    SOUTHWEST 9-15 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 1000...THEN 9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 11 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN
                    VERY GOOD UNTIL 1700...THEN GOOD.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...JAY KARLE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141024.TROUN.01/PUB





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