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000
FNUS75 KPUB 301053
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL GULCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
453 AM MDT TUE SEP 30 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

GENERALLY DRY WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE BURN SITE TODAY.  THERE WILL
BE A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE SITE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS BUT IT IS LOOKING PRETTY WEAK AND NOT
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ANYTHING MORE THAN A SPOTTY BRIEF SPRINKLE.
OTHERWISE...A MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY DAY TODAY WITH SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES.  WESTERLY BREEZES 5-15...POSSIBLY GUSTING TO 20 MPH
COULD MIX DOWN TO THE SITE IN THE AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE...SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS SHOULD PREVAIL.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE BURN SITE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON.  THIS ONE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING SOME SHOWERS TO THE
SITE BY LATE IN THE DAY...WITH A MUCH BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
COOLER AIR MOVING IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 5-10 MPH...EXCEPT WESTERLY
                    BREEZES 5-15 GUSTING 20 MPH POSSIBLY MIXING
                    DOWN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    POSSIBLE UNTIL 1500...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 5-10 MPH...EXCEPT WESTERLY
                    BREEZES 5-15 GUSTING 20 MPH POSSIBLY MIXING
                    DOWN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...MATT NORDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140930.TRAIL.01/PUB




000
FNUS75 KPUB 301053
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRAIL GULCH...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
453 AM MDT TUE SEP 30 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

GENERALLY DRY WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE BURN SITE TODAY.  THERE WILL
BE A WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE SITE DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS BUT IT IS LOOKING PRETTY WEAK AND NOT
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ANYTHING MORE THAN A SPOTTY BRIEF SPRINKLE.
OTHERWISE...A MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY DAY TODAY WITH SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES.  WESTERLY BREEZES 5-15...POSSIBLY GUSTING TO 20 MPH
COULD MIX DOWN TO THE SITE IN THE AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE...SLOPE/VALLEY
WINDS SHOULD PREVAIL.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE INTO THE BURN SITE TOMORROW
AFTERNOON.  THIS ONE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING SOME SHOWERS TO THE
SITE BY LATE IN THE DAY...WITH A MUCH BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
COOLER AIR MOVING IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 5-10 MPH...EXCEPT WESTERLY
                    BREEZES 5-15 GUSTING 20 MPH POSSIBLY MIXING
                    DOWN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38F.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 3-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    POSSIBLE UNTIL 1500...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60F.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS 5-10 MPH...EXCEPT WESTERLY
                    BREEZES 5-15 GUSTING 20 MPH POSSIBLY MIXING
                    DOWN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    EXCELLENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

$$
FORECASTER...WALROD
REQUESTED BY...MATT NORDEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140930.TRAIL.01/PUB





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