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000
FNUS75 KPUB 290059
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PLEDROSA CREEK...PUEBLO INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
659 PM MDT THU MAY 28 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MODERATING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE
TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW...AS AN UPPER TROUGH
CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT AND UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO WESTERN COLORADO TOMORROW. GUSTY
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF THE PASSING SYSTEM WILL
DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...WITH WARMING AND EXPECTED GOOD MIXING
UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE SUPPORTING BREEZY WEST TO NORTHWEST
WINDS ACROSS THE BURN AREA TOMORROW AFTERNOON. ENOUGH MOISTURE
REMAINS ACROSS AREA TO SUPPORT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
THESE STORMS LOOK TO BE HIGH BASED...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND
SOME RAIN.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(58 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 9-14 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE
                    4-9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 4 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(65 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN WEST TO
                    NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...DISAPTCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150528.PLEDR.01/PUB




000
FNUS75 KPUB 290059
FWSPUB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PLEDROSA CREEK...PUEBLO INTERAGENCY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
659 PM MDT THU MAY 28 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MODERATING NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT EXPECTED ACROSS THE STATE
TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW...AS AN UPPER TROUGH
CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE STATE TONIGHT AND UPPER
LEVEL RIDGING BUILDS INTO WESTERN COLORADO TOMORROW. GUSTY
WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF THE PASSING SYSTEM WILL
DIMINISH OVERNIGHT...WITH WARMING AND EXPECTED GOOD MIXING
UNDER THE BUILDING RIDGE SUPPORTING BREEZY WEST TO NORTHWEST
WINDS ACROSS THE BURN AREA TOMORROW AFTERNOON. ENOUGH MOISTURE
REMAINS ACROSS AREA TO SUPPORT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
THESE STORMS LOOK TO BE HIGH BASED...PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND
SOME RAIN.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(58 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY(40 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 9-14 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE
                    4-9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 1500 FT AGL AFTER 2100.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 4 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
                    2000...THEN FAIR UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(65 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66F.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 4-7 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN WEST TO
                    NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 12500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.

$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...DISAPTCHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150528.PLEDR.01/PUB





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