000
FNUS75 KPUB 191200
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROYAL GORGE...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
600 AM MDT WED JUN 19 2013
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM MDT
THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...
.DISCUSSION...
HUMIDITY RECOVERY WAS VERY GOOD LAST NIGHT AS HUMIDITY VALUES THIS
MORNING WERE IN THE 90% RANGE ACCORDING TO NEARBY OBSERVATIONS.
HOWEVER...OBSERVATIONS DOWNSTREAM SHOW VERY DRY AIR AND THIS AIRMASS
WILL MOVE OVER THE BURN AREA BY LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON.
WIND WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH BY
EARLY AFTERNOON. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
HUMIDITY RECOVERY THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS WILL BE POOR.
OVERALL ...METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR ARE
EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY.
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96F.
MIN HUMIDITY........0-5 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 11-15 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 19000 FT AGL AFTER
1100.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN AROUND
26 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54F.
MAX HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 14 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......16000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 2000...THEN VERY GOOD UNTIL
2200...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.
.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96F.
MIN HUMIDITY........0-4 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 7 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
SOUTHWEST 13-17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 32 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 17500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. EXCELLENT AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1.
$$
FORECASTER...HODANISH
REQUESTED BY...CARL FILLINGAME
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130618.ROYAL.01/PUB
000
FNUS75 KPUB 170154
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CONE POP UP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
754 PM MDT SUN JUN 16 2013
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...MODERATE...WARM AND MAINLY DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE BURN AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THERE
WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO PRODUCE ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THESE
STORMS WILL BE DRY...PRODUCING LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WITH LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF WETTING RAINS.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(53 PERCENT) UNTIL 2000...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY(39 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46F.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(56 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........UPSLOPE 5-9 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST
10-15 WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL
1400...THEN 4.
$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130616.PINEC.01/PUB
000
FNUS75 KPUB 170150
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR WINDY PASS...USFS COSJF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
750 PM MDT SUN JUN 16 2013
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...MODERATE...WARM AND MAINLY DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE BURN AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THERE
WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED HIGH BASED
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
HOURS. THESE STORMS WILL BE DRY...PRODUCING LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF WETTING RAINS.
VERY DRY AND WINDY WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE AREA FROM
MID WEEK INTO AT LEAST THE EARLY WEEKEND.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400 THEN
MOSTLY CLEAR(20 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48F.
MAX HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 4-9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1900...THEN 1.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(55 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75F.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........UPSLOPE 3-8 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...NEWMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130616.WINDY.01/PUB
000
FNUS75 KPUB 170038
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE CONE POP UP...PUEBLO DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
638 PM MDT SUN JUN 16 2013
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...MODERATE...WARM AND MAINLY DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE BURN AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THERE
WILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE TO PRODUCE ISOLATED HIGH BASED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. THESE
STORMS WILL BE DRY...PRODUCING LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WITH LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF WETTING RAINS.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(53 PERCENT) UNTIL 2000...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY(39 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46F.
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........DOWNSLOPE 4-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 2100...THEN 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2100...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY(56 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67F.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........UPSLOPE 5-9 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN SOUTHWEST
10-15 WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0800...THEN 13000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1100.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL
1400...THEN 4.
$$
FORECASTER...WANKOWSKI
REQUESTED BY...PUB DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130616.PCPU.01/PUB
000
FNUS75 KPUB 162049
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR CR 12 6 16 13...TELLER COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
249 PM MDT SUN JUN 16 2013
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED BY NOON OVER THE MOUNTAINS TODAY...THEN
MOVED OFF TO THE EAST. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. WHILE THERE ARE NO THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
IMMEDIATE AREA AT THIS TIME...AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE
RULED OUT THROUGH 2100. CONDITIONS ON MONDAY SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO
THOSE OF TODAY. GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREATS WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP MONDAY.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(59 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY(39 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO NORTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 3 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN
SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(47 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH THROUGH
1100...THEN WEST 10 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 13000 FT AGL AFTER 1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1300...THEN 3 UNTIL
1500...THEN 4.
$$
FORECASTER...STARK
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER FLOHRS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130616.CR126.01/PUB
000
FNUS75 KPUB 162043
FWSPUB
SPOT FORECAST FOR CR 11 0616...TELLER COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
243 PM MDT SUN JUN 16 2013
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
.DISCUSSION...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPED BY NOON OVER THE MOUNTAINS TODAY...THEN
MOVED OFF TO THE EAST. GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. WHILE THERE ARE NO THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
IMMEDIATE AREA AT THIS TIME...AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE
RULED OUT THROUGH 2100. CONDITIONS ON MONDAY SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO
THOSE OF TODAY. GUSTY WINDS AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREATS WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP MONDAY.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(59 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY(39 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46F.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........WEST TO NORTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12000 FT AGL UNTIL 2000. 500 FT AGL AFTER 2200.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2300...THEN
SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 2000...THEN POOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY(47 PERCENT). ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200 UNTIL 1500...THEN
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77F.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WIND........LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH THROUGH
1100...THEN WEST 10 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL UNTIL 0900. 13000 FT AGL AFTER
1000.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0700. VERY GOOD AFTER 1000.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2
UNTIL 1300...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.
$$
FORECASTER...STARK
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCHER FLOHRS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20130616.CR110.01/PUB
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