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000
FNUS72 KRAH 111235
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRIDGERS CREEK...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
735 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY SUNNY AND COLD CONDITIONS TODAY WITH NO
APPRECIABLY EARLY MORNING INVERSION. SURFACE WINDS MAY OCCASIONALLY
GUST THROUGH THE MID-LATE MORNING HOURS. SURFACE BASED INVERSION WILL
SET UP BY SUNSET THOUGH WEAKEN/DISSIPATE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A SURFACE
LOW DEVELOPS OFF THE SC COAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS 13-17MPH PROBABLE THROUGH MID DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 4800-5100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING WEST 12 TO 14
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............1      1      4      9
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................32     37     39     39
RH..................37     29     27     31
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 6    W 5    NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     12     10
LVORI...............1      1      1      1
ADI.................39     54     54     43

.TONIGHT...

MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0 TO 3 MPH IN THE EVENING..INCREASING
                    4-7 MPH OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
LVORI...............1      2      2      2      3      3
ADI.................43     1      0      0      0      1

$$
FORECASTER...SHARP
REQUESTED BY...JEFF GREEME
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160211.BRIDG.01/RAH




000
FNUS72 KRAH 111235
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRIDGERS CREEK...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
735 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY SUNNY AND COLD CONDITIONS TODAY WITH NO
APPRECIABLY EARLY MORNING INVERSION. SURFACE WINDS MAY OCCASIONALLY
GUST THROUGH THE MID-LATE MORNING HOURS. SURFACE BASED INVERSION WILL
SET UP BY SUNSET THOUGH WEAKEN/DISSIPATE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A SURFACE
LOW DEVELOPS OFF THE SC COAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE. OCCASIONAL
                    GUSTS 13-17MPH PROBABLE THROUGH MID DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 4800-5100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING WEST 12 TO 14
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............1      1      4      9
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................32     37     39     39
RH..................37     29     27     31
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 6    W 5    NW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     12     10
LVORI...............1      1      1      1
ADI.................39     54     54     43

.TONIGHT...

MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0 TO 3 MPH IN THE EVENING..INCREASING
                    4-7 MPH OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
LVORI...............1      2      2      2      3      3
ADI.................43     1      0      0      0      1

$$
FORECASTER...SHARP
REQUESTED BY...JEFF GREEME
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160211.BRIDG.01/RAH





000
FNUS72 KRAH 111230
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR CACR 2 RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
730 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY SUNNY AND COLD CONDITIONS TODAY WITH NO APPRECIABLE
EARLY MORNING INVERSION. SURFACE BASED INVERSION WILL SET UP QUICKLY
BY SUNSET...THOUGH DISSIPATE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS SURFACE LOW BEGINS TO
DEVELOP OFF THE SC COAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    OCCASIONAL GUST 13-17 MPH PROBABLE IN THE LATE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING 4900 TO 5300 FT AGL
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING WEST 12 TO 16 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      2
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................31     37     40     41
RH..................41     29     26     25
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 6    W 6    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15
LVORI...............1      1      1      1
ADI.................46     46     64     44

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 0 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH
                    DURING THE OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............3      7      19     32     42     68
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................37     33     31     29     27     26
RH..................35     47     51     55     60     62
20 FT WIND..........N 2    NE 0   NE 0   NE 1   NE 1   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5      5
LVORI...............1      2      2      2      3      3
ADI.................44     1      0      0      1      2

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SNOW AND SLEET IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............94     100    100    100    96     82
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   RAIN   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................25     27     30     33     35     35
RH..................71     65     55     53     54     59
20 FT WIND..........NE 3   NE 4   NE 4   NE 3   N 2    NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     5      5
LVORI...............3      3      2      2      2      3
ADI.................2      7      8      8      11     8

$$
FORECASTER...SHARP
REQUESTED BY...KATIE SAUERBREY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160211.CACR2.01/RAH




000
FNUS72 KRAH 111230
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR CACR 2 RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
730 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EST ON FEBRUARY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...MOSTLY SUNNY AND COLD CONDITIONS TODAY WITH NO APPRECIABLE
EARLY MORNING INVERSION. SURFACE BASED INVERSION WILL SET UP QUICKLY
BY SUNSET...THOUGH DISSIPATE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS SURFACE LOW BEGINS TO
DEVELOP OFF THE SC COAST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
                    OCCASIONAL GUST 13-17 MPH PROBABLE IN THE LATE
                    MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1200 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING 4900 TO 5300 FT AGL
                    BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING WEST 12 TO 16 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............0      0      0      2
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................31     37     40     41
RH..................41     29     26     25
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 6    W 6    W 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15
LVORI...............1      1      1      1
ADI.................46     46     64     44

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 23.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 0 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH
                    DURING THE OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............3      7      19     32     42     68
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................37     33     31     29     27     26
RH..................35     47     51     55     60     62
20 FT WIND..........N 2    NE 0   NE 0   NE 1   NE 1   NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      5      5      5
LVORI...............1      2      2      2      3      3
ADI.................44     1      0      0      1      2

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SNOW EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SNOW AND SLEET IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............94     100    100    100    96     82
WEATHER COV.........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   RAIN   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................25     27     30     33     35     35
RH..................71     65     55     53     54     59
20 FT WIND..........NE 3   NE 4   NE 4   NE 3   N 2    NW 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     5      5
LVORI...............3      3      2      2      2      3
ADI.................2      7      8      8      11     8

$$
FORECASTER...SHARP
REQUESTED BY...KATIE SAUERBREY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160211.CACR2.01/RAH





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