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000
FNUS72 KRAH 251208 AAA
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR CACR 25 MAY...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
808 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO THE REGION THROUGH
FRIDAY. MEANWHILE, A STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SUB-TROPICAL
ATLANTIC AND DRIFT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4900-5500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............32     30     19     23
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................74     81     85     86
RH..................69     46     37     36
20 FT WIND..........SW 3   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........2200   3500   4800   5500
TRANSPORT WIND......W 5    W 7    SW 6   SW 8
LVORI...............4      2      2      2
ADI.................8      22     29     29

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND
                    VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............15     7      9      9      10     20
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................85     78     72     69     66     64
RH..................36     56     73     76     81     90
20 FT WIND..........SW 5   S 3    S 4    S 5    S 5    SW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........5500   5500   300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7   S 6    S 7    S 8    S 8    SW 6
LVORI...............1      3      3      4      5      5
ADI.................31     3      3      4      3      3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............24     27     31     32     32     35
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................63     66     75     81     85     86
RH..................93     87     66     53     45     43
20 FT WIND..........SW 4   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........300    900    2100   3300   4500   5100
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7   SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   S 8    S 8
LVORI...............6      3      3      2      1      1
ADI.................3      17     17     29     33     33

$$
FORECASTER...STRICKLER
REQUESTED BY...JIMMY DODSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160525.CACR2.01/RAH





000
FNUS72 KRAH 251205 AAA
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PLEASANT GROVE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
805 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO THE REGION THROUGH
FRIDAY. MEANWHILE, A STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SUB-TROPICAL
ATLANTIC AND DRIFT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...MOSTLY FROM THE
                    SOUTHWEST...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5200-5700 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............43     25     19     18
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................76     82     86     86
RH..................62     43     36     34
20 FT WIND..........SW 3   SW 4   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........3000   4400   5800   5800
TRANSPORT WIND......W 7    SW 8   SW 8   SW 8
LVORI...............2      2      1      2
ADI.................27     27     36     29

.TONIGHT...

MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
MIX HGT (FT)........5800   5800   300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7   SW 3   S 3    S 3    S 5    S 6
LVORI...............2      3      3      3      5      5
ADI.................29     2      2      2      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...STRICKLER
REQUESTED BY...JEFF GREENE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160525.PLEAS.01/RAH





000
FNUS72 KRAH 251202
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR HASKELL RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
802 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO THE REGION THROUGH
FRIDAY. MEANWHILE, A STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SUB-TROPICAL
ATLANTIC AND DRIFT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5
                    TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5100-5600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............42     36     19     20
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................74     82     86     87
RH..................66     44     36     35
20 FT WIND..........SW 3   SW 4   SW 4   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........2300   3600   4900   5600
TRANSPORT WIND......W 3    W 6    SW 6   SW 7
LVORI...............4      2      2      2
ADI.................5      20     28     28

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............17     6      14     19     24     34
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................86     79     73     70     67     65
RH..................35     56     68     71     81     84
20 FT WIND..........SW 5   S 3    S 3    S 4    S 5    S 3
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     5      5      10     10     5
MIX HGT (FT)........5600   5600   300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7   S 6    S 7    S 7    S 8    S 7
LVORI...............1      3      3      3      5      5
ADI.................31     3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...STRICKLER
REQUESTED BY...KATIE SAUERBREY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160525.HASKE.01/RAH





000
FNUS72 KRAH 251130
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR PLEASANT GROVE...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
730 AM EDT WED MAY 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO THE REGION THROUGH
FRIDAY. MEANWHILE, A STORM SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE SUB-TROPICAL
ATLANTIC AND DRIFT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST COAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........76 AT IGNITION...MAX 88.
RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...MOSTLY FROM THE
                    SOUTHWEST...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3000-4400
                    FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5100-5800 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............4      5      8      13
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................76     82     86     86
RH..................62     43     36     34
20 FT WIND..........SW 3   SW 4   SW 5   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........3000   4400   5800   5800
TRANSPORT WIND......W 7    SW 8   SW 8   SW 8
LVORI...............2      2      1      2
ADI.................27     27     36     29

.TONIGHT...

MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
MIX HGT (FT)........5800   5800   300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......SW 7   SW 3   S 3    S 3    S 5    S 6
LVORI...............2      3      3      3      5      5
ADI.................29     2      2      2      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...STRICKLER
REQUESTED BY...JEFF GREENE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160525.PLEAS.01/RAH





000
FNUS72 KRAH 231314
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR CACR SANDHILLS 5...STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
914 AM EDT MON MAY 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MAY 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL LOW OFF THE NORTHEAST NC COAST WILL CONTINUE
TO PULL AWAY FROM OUR REGION TODAY. A MIXTURE OF SUN/CLOUDS EXPECTED
AT BURN SITE TODAY WITH THE HIGHEST THREAT (20 PERCENT) OF A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM BETWEEN 2 PM AND 8 PM.

SURFACE BASED INVERSION THIS MORNING HAS ALREADY LIFTED. SURFACE BASED
INVERSION WILL SET UP AROUND SUNSET THIS EVENING, AND NOT LIFT UNTIL
THE TEMPERATURE REACHES ABOVE 60 DEGREES TUESDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............68     72     65
WEATHER COV.........       ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............       ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP................67     69     70
RH..................61     55     51
20 FT WIND..........N 6    N 6    N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)........2800   3800   4300
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 14  N 14   N 13
MIX HGT (FT)........2800   3800   4300
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 14  N 14   N 13
LVORI...............1      1      1
ADI.................32     39     39
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10     20     20


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND 3 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............58     42     31     24     14     16
WEATHER COV.........ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............ISOLTD
TEMP................70     65     61     59     57     56
RH..................55     65     78     83     90     90
20 FT WIND..........N 5    N 2    NE 1   N 1    SW 2   W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     5                    5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........4300   4300   300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......N 9    N 5    NE 2   N 2    SW 3   W 3
MIX HGT (FT)........4300   4300   300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......N 9    N 5    NE 2   N 2    SW 3   W 3
LVORI...............2      3      3      6      7      7
ADI.................27     2      2      1      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20     10     10     10     10     10


.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5400-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.


TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............20     31     29     30     32     30
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56     60     69     76     80     82
RH..................90     81     61     46     38     35
20 FT WIND..........W 2    W 2    W 3    W 5    W 5    W 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........300    900    2300   3700   5100   5800
TRANSPORT WIND......W 3    W 5    W 6    W 8    W 10   W 10
LVORI...............7      3      3      2      1      1
ADI.................2      11     11     27     45     45
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10     0      0      0      10     10

$$
FORECASTER...SHARP
REQUESTED BY...THOMAS CRATE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160523.CACRS.01/RAH





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