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000
FNUS75 KRIW 300917
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCAB CREEK...BLM RSD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
317 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1247 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOUND THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY ALTHOUGH NOT AS NUMEROUS OR AS HEAVY AS ON TUESDAY. MORE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS WELL.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER TOMORROW AND THURSDAY BUT SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW NORMAL. RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON BEGINNING AROUND
                    1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY PRIMARILY FROM THE EAST 5-9 MPH UNTIL
                    1030. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY PRIMARILY FROM THE SOUTH
                    3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1330. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY FROM THE
                    SOUTHWEST  AT 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.12 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25800-28100 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-77 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH PRIMARILY FROM THE NORTHWEST.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO -99-500 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700-12400 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 TO 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY PRIMARILY FROM THE EAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL
                    1030. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY PRIMARILY FROM THE SOUTH
                    3 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 1330. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY FROM THE
                    SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900-9900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (11300-51400 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...SCAB CREEK IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140729.SCABC.02/RIW










000
FNUS75 KRIW 300917
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCAB CREEK...BLM RSD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
317 AM MDT WED JUL 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1247 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FOUND THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY ALTHOUGH NOT AS NUMEROUS OR AS HEAVY AS ON TUESDAY. MORE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS WELL.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMER TOMORROW AND THURSDAY BUT SHOULD REMAIN
BELOW NORMAL. RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS CONTINUING THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON BEGINNING AROUND
                    1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY PRIMARILY FROM THE EAST 5-9 MPH UNTIL
                    1030. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY PRIMARILY FROM THE SOUTH
                    3 TO 6 MPH UNTIL 1330. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY FROM THE
                    SOUTHWEST  AT 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.12 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25800-28100 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-77 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH PRIMARILY FROM THE NORTHWEST.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO -99-500 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (700-12400 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68 TO 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY PRIMARILY FROM THE EAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL
                    1030. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY PRIMARILY FROM THE SOUTH
                    3 TO 5 MPH UNTIL 1330. THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY FROM THE
                    SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8900-9900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (11300-51400 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...SCAB CREEK IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140729.SCABC.02/RIW











000
FNUS75 KRIW 291540
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCAB CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
940 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0909 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND MOISTURE OVER THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS
WILL KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY HIGH AND THE TEMPERATURE SOMEWHAT COOL.
MORE SUNSHINE ON WEDNESDAY...BUT STILL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. SMOKE DISPERSAL TO BE
GENERALLY POOR THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LYNOTT

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    REST OF THIS MORNING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.55 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (28500-54400 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-89 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH...THEN
                    BECOMING EAST 8 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.42 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (35100-49300 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-39 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.11 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25800-28100 KNOT-FT).

$$

FORECASTER...LYNOTT
REQUESTED BY...SCAB CREEK IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140729.SCABC.01/RIW





000
FNUS75 KRIW 291540
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCAB CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
940 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0909 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND MOISTURE OVER THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS
WILL KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY HIGH AND THE TEMPERATURE SOMEWHAT COOL.
MORE SUNSHINE ON WEDNESDAY...BUT STILL SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. SMOKE DISPERSAL TO BE
GENERALLY POOR THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LYNOTT

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    REST OF THIS MORNING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH
                    THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.55 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (28500-54400 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-49.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-89 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH...THEN
                    BECOMING EAST 8 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.42 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (35100-49300 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-39 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.11 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25800-28100 KNOT-FT).

$$

FORECASTER...LYNOTT
REQUESTED BY...SCAB CREEK IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140729.SCABC.01/RIW






000
FNUS75 KRIW 291203
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SWEDE FIRE...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
603 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1846 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INCREASED MOISTURE OVER THE AREA WILL GENERATE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. COOLER TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TODAY...WITH ELEVATED DAYTIME HUMIDITY. PERIODS OF
MODERATE RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH STORM ACTIVITY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS. OVERALL...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL HAVE A REPRIEVE UNDER THE
CURRENT SYSTEM.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...ENDING BY 0900.
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS REDEVELOPING AT 1200 ALONG WITH ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-67 AT 10200 FEET. 73-75 AT 8000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-49 PERCENT AT 10200 FEET. 40 TO 43 PERCENT AT 8000 FEET.
                    RH WILL INCREASE ONCE SHOWERS BEGIN.
20 FOOT WINDS.......10200 FEET...LIGHT AND VARIABLE 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    THEN EAST SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1200.
                    AT 8000 FEET...NORTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH. AFTER
                    1200 EAST NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH. BRIEF GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.31 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 14 TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (26900-55400 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-79 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......AT 10200 FEET...EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    AT 8000 FEET...SOUTH SOUTHWEST DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
                    BRIEF GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.19 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (36400-65900 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-70 AT 10200 FEET AND 76 TO 78 AT 8000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-40 PERCENT AT 10200 FEET AND 31 TO 33 PERCENT AT
                    8000 FEET.
20 FOOT WINDS.......AT 10200 FEET...LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT 3 TO 6 MPH.
                    AFTER 1200 SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
                    AT 8000 FEET...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY FROM THE NORTHEAST
                    3-6 MPH. AFTER 1200 EAST NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 9 MPH.
                    BRIEF GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (26900-45300 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...CLINT DAWSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.SWEDE.01/RIW









000
FNUS75 KRIW 281439
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SCAB CREEK...BLM RSD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
839 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0810 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A BANK OF CLOUDS AND MOISTURE CURRENTLY OVER UTAH AND IDAHO WILL
CONTINUE TO STREAM INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL WYOMING THIS MORNING.
THIS MOISTURE WILL IMPACT THE FIRE DURING THE LATE MORNING
HOURS...WITH INCREASING CLOUD COVER. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED TO INITIATE DURING THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS...AND PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. GUSTY
WIND...LIGHTNING...AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE THE MAIN THREATS
ASSOCIATED WITH STORM ACTIVITY TODAY. MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED
OVER THE AREA WITH RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL WEAKEN WITH THE LOSS OF DAYLIGHT
THIS EVENING...AND RETURN BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY WILL BE ENHANCED VERSIONS OF TODAY WITH MORE MOISTURE ACROSS
THE AREA. EXPECT AN INCREASE IN THE LIKELIHOOD AND COVERAGE OF
STORM ACTIVITY OVER THE FIRE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRANHAM

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) BY 1100. ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY 1200 WITH COVERAGE
                    INCREASING TO SCATTERED BY 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-76.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-26 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE LESS THAN 5 MPH...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH BY 1300.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7800-8600 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE LESS THAN 7 MPH...BECOMING
                   SOUTHWEST 9-13 MPH BY 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (28600-58000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2200. ISOLATED
                    RAIN SHOWERS THEN EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
                    HOURS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH BY 0300.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH BY
                    2200...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST BY 0200.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 4300-5300 FT AGL BY 0200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH BY 2200...
                    THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST BY 0200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (35400-54100 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-45 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH BY 0600 BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 17 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    BY 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH BY 1200...AND
                    THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST BY 1600.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.56 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 13 MPH BY 1000...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH AROUND 14 MPH BY 1300...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE EAST AROUND 18 MPH BY 1600.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (17300-41800 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRANHAM
REQUESTED BY...SCAB CREEK IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.SCABC.01/RIW









000
FNUS75 KRIW 281102
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SWEDE FIRE...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
502 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0700 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS WILL LAST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
FIRE AREAS. A SURGE OF MOISTURE THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE SOME CLOUD
COVER...THOUGH WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE
AREA. THE ARRIVING MOISTURE WILL KEEP DAYTIME HUMIDITY SLIGHTLY
ELEVATED TODAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN INCREASE IN
LIKELIHOOD THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA MAY CONTAIN BRIEF GUSTY WIND
AND BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY AFTER
                    1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-72 AT 10200 FEET AND 74 TO 76 AT 8000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-30 PERCENT AT 10200 FEET AND 26 TO 28 PERCENT AT 8000 FEET.

20 FOOT WINDS.......AT 10200 FEET...LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT 5-9 MPH...THEN AFTER
                    1200 MAINLY EAST AT 10 T0 15 MPH.
                    AT 8000 FEET...DOWNSLOPE MAINLY SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT
                    3 TO 6 MPH. THEN AFTER 0800 UPSLOPE MAINLY FROM THE FROM THE
                    NORTH NORTHEAST AT 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-6900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 10
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (17300-42900 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-73 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......AT 10200 FEET...EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AFTER MIDNIGHT
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT 3 TO 6 MPH.
                    AT 8000 FEET...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY MAINLY SOUTH SOUTHWEST
                    4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.

LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (53900-63100 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-73 AT 10200 FEET AND 73 TO 75 AT 8000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 TO 40 PERCENT AT 10200 FEET AND 30-33 PERCENT AT 8000 FEET.

20 FOOT WINDS.......AT 10200 FEET...LIGHT AND VARIABLE BUT MAINLY EAST
                    AT 5-9 MPH...THEN AFTER 1200 MAINLY EAST AT 10 T0 15 MPH.
                    AT 8000 FEET...DOWNSLOPE MAINLY SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT
                    3 TO 6 MPH. THEN AFTER 0800 UPSLOPE MAINLY FROM THE FROM THE
                    NORTH NORTHEAST AT 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.7 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
                    8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTHEAST 14 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (32500-54700 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 50. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...CLINT DAWSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140727.SWEDE.01/RIW












000
FNUS75 KRIW 281102
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SWEDE FIRE...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
502 AM MDT MON JUL 28 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0700 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS WILL LAST THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON FOR THE
FIRE AREAS. A SURGE OF MOISTURE THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE SOME CLOUD
COVER...THOUGH WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE
AREA. THE ARRIVING MOISTURE WILL KEEP DAYTIME HUMIDITY SLIGHTLY
ELEVATED TODAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN INCREASE IN
LIKELIHOOD THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK...ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA MAY CONTAIN BRIEF GUSTY WIND
AND BRIEF PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY TUESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY AFTER
                    1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-72 AT 10200 FEET AND 74 TO 76 AT 8000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-30 PERCENT AT 10200 FEET AND 26 TO 28 PERCENT AT 8000 FEET.

20 FOOT WINDS.......AT 10200 FEET...LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT 5-9 MPH...THEN AFTER
                    1200 MAINLY EAST AT 10 T0 15 MPH.
                    AT 8000 FEET...DOWNSLOPE MAINLY SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT
                    3 TO 6 MPH. THEN AFTER 0800 UPSLOPE MAINLY FROM THE FROM THE
                    NORTH NORTHEAST AT 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-6900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
                    AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 10
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (17300-42900 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-73 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......AT 10200 FEET...EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. AFTER MIDNIGHT
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT 3 TO 6 MPH.
                    AT 8000 FEET...DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY MAINLY SOUTH SOUTHWEST
                    4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.

LAL.................3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (53900-63100 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-73 AT 10200 FEET AND 73 TO 75 AT 8000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 TO 40 PERCENT AT 10200 FEET AND 30-33 PERCENT AT 8000 FEET.

20 FOOT WINDS.......AT 10200 FEET...LIGHT AND VARIABLE BUT MAINLY EAST
                    AT 5-9 MPH...THEN AFTER 1200 MAINLY EAST AT 10 T0 15 MPH.
                    AT 8000 FEET...DOWNSLOPE MAINLY SOUTH SOUTHWEST AT
                    3 TO 6 MPH. THEN AFTER 0800 UPSLOPE MAINLY FROM THE FROM THE
                    NORTH NORTHEAST AT 4 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.7 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
                    8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE NORTHEAST 14 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (32500-54700 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 50. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...CLINT DAWSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140727.SWEDE.01/RIW











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