Home > Products > Valid Products > FWS

000
FNUS75 KRIW 221542
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
942 AM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0919 MDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LOTS OF MOISTURE ON ITS WAY INTO THE FORECAST AREA...WITH INCREASING
INSTABILITY THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCES WILL INCREASE FOR WETTING RAIN
FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH THE EVENING PERIOD. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO SUPPORT INCREASING CLOUDS WITH LESS SUN...AND RELATIVELY HIGH
HUMIDITY LEVELS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST IN ONE FORM OR ANOTHER
THROUGH SATURDAY. SUNDAY WILL SEE LESS RAINFALL...BE WILL REMAIN ON THE
COOL AND MOIST SIDE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRAUN

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40 PERCENT) BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 TO 40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. IN THE OPEN FLATS...LIGHT
                    AND VARIABLE BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 1MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    4-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-49 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.17 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAUN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140822.MUDCR.01/RIW







000
FNUS75 KRIW 221542
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
942 AM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0919 MDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LOTS OF MOISTURE ON ITS WAY INTO THE FORECAST AREA...WITH INCREASING
INSTABILITY THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCES WILL INCREASE FOR WETTING RAIN
FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH THE EVENING PERIOD. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO SUPPORT INCREASING CLOUDS WITH LESS SUN...AND RELATIVELY HIGH
HUMIDITY LEVELS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST IN ONE FORM OR ANOTHER
THROUGH SATURDAY. SUNDAY WILL SEE LESS RAINFALL...BE WILL REMAIN ON THE
COOL AND MOIST SIDE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRAUN

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40 PERCENT) BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 TO 40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. IN THE OPEN FLATS...LIGHT
                    AND VARIABLE BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 1MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    4-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-49 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.17 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAUN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140822.MUDCR.01/RIW








000
FNUS75 KRIW 211339
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
739 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0713 MDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST/NORTHWEST WILL KEEP ATMOSPHERE
UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A SURFACE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA LATER LATER THIS AFTERNOON...PROVIDING SOME ADDITIONAL
FORCING TO HELP SPARK AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WITH CLOUDY
SKIES AND LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND OTHERWISE. WHILE WINDS WILL REMAIN
ON THE LIGHT SIDE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY...WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
FRONT BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHERLY AND
INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. RH LEVELS SHOULD
REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND CLOUDS...VARYING
BETWEEN PARTLY AND MOSTLY CLOUDY...WILL ALSO STICK AROUND THROUGH
MOST OF THE NEXT FEW FORECAST PERIODS.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRAUN

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING NORTH 8 TO 13 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (50-60 PERCENT) BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH 10-15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-39 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.11 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAUN
REQUESTED BY...MATTMILLER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140821.MUDCR.01/RIW







000
FNUS75 KRIW 211339
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
739 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0713 MDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST/NORTHWEST WILL KEEP ATMOSPHERE
UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A SURFACE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA LATER LATER THIS AFTERNOON...PROVIDING SOME ADDITIONAL
FORCING TO HELP SPARK AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WITH CLOUDY
SKIES AND LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND OTHERWISE. WHILE WINDS WILL REMAIN
ON THE LIGHT SIDE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY...WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
FRONT BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHERLY AND
INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. RH LEVELS SHOULD
REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND CLOUDS...VARYING
BETWEEN PARTLY AND MOSTLY CLOUDY...WILL ALSO STICK AROUND THROUGH
MOST OF THE NEXT FEW FORECAST PERIODS.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRAUN

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING NORTH 8 TO 13 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (50-60 PERCENT) BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH 10-15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-39 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.11 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAUN
REQUESTED BY...MATTMILLER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140821.MUDCR.01/RIW








    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities