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000
FNUS71 KRNK 241303
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR OBIDS CREEK BURN...NORTH CAROLINA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
903 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON OCTOBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
CIRRUS CLOUDS WILL PROMOTE LESS DIURNAL HEATING THROUGH THE DAY
WHICH WILL KEEP WINDS FROM BECOMING BREEZY AND GUSTY AS THEY WERE
THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. WINDS SPEEDS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM 6 TO
10 MPH. DEW POINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S MAY LOWER TO THE LOWER
TO MID 30S IN THE AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURE WARM INTO THE 60S.
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES COULD LOWER INTO THE 30-35 PERCENT
RANGE...BUT COULD BE HIGHER IF CIRRUS BECOMES THICKER THAN
FORECASTED.

A WEAK DRY FRONT WILL PASS OVER THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION SUNDAY...KEEPING THE AREA DRY
THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL COME WITH
A COLD FRONT ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING WEST 6 TO 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2600 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............52     37     48
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................56     61     63
RH..................46     34     31
20 FT WIND..........W 5    W 7    W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....
MIX HGT (FT)........1200   2300   2500
TRANSPORT WIND......W 10   W 10   W 12

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 43.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............36     7      5      7      6      6
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................60     55     52     50     48     47
RH..................35     45     56     64     65     66
20 FT WIND..........W 4    W 2    NW 3   NW 4   NW 4   NW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5      10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........1900   300    400    400    400    400
TRANSPORT WIND......NW 12  NW 10  NW 9   NW 8   NW 6   NW 6

$$
FORECASTER...STONEFIELD
REQUESTED BY...ROGER MILLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141024.OBIDS.01/RNK





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