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000
FNUS74 KSJT 282252
FWSSJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BROWNWOOD IMT SIMULATION...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO
452 PM CST WED JAN 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1616 CST ON JANUARY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES THIS AFTERNOON NEAR 20 PERCENT NEAR
THE BURN SITE WILL INCREASE TO 40 PERCENT BY 8 PM TONIGHT...
INCREASING TO A MAX OF AROUND 80 PERCENT BY 6 AM. WINDS OVERNIGHT
WILL BE LIGHT SOUTH/SOUTHWEST THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
WESTERLY BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 4 AM. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
TOMORROW...TURNING WEST WINDS NEAR 5 MPH TO NORTH BY 9 OR 10 AM.
NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO BETWEEN 10 AND 15 MPH WITH A FEW
GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. WITH TEMPERATURES ONLY
MAKING IT INTO THE UPPER 60S TOMORROW...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL BE HIGHER...DROPPING TO AROUND 35 PERCENT DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON. MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
THROUGHOUT THE DAY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........6 (HIGH).

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........20     18     15     13     19     27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............72     64     59     56     53     51
RH..............34     46     57     64     71     77
20 FT WIND......S 8    S 7    S 6    SW 5   W 3    W 2
20 FT GUST......10     10     10            5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....200    200    100    100    100    100
TRANS WIND......S 8    S 9    S 9    SW 6   W 5    W 3
VENT CAT........POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR
HAINES INDEX....6      6      5      5      5      5

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTHEAST 6 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (37300 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........32     34     37     39     43     48
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............50     49     56     62     66     67
RH..............77     77     57     44     37     34
20 FT WIND......W 3    N 8    N 10   N 13   N 14   N 13
20 FT GUST......5      10     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....100    700    1300   1900   2500   2400
TRANS WIND......W 5    N 12   N 18   NE 23  NE 20  NE 18
VENT CAT........POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   POOR
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      4      4      4

$$

FORECASTER...NAGLE
REQUESTED BY...CHARLES TICE RFC
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20150128.BROWN.01/SJT









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