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000
FNUS76 KSTO 301342
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOORE BELLFOUR UNIT M12...STANISLAUS N.F. CALAVERAS R.D.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
642 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 PDT ON OCTOBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ONE MORE MILD AUTUMN DAY IS EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE TODAY. EXPECT SOUTH
WINDS TO INCREASE LATER TODAY IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING FRONTAL
SYSTEM. WINDS MAY SLACKEN A BIT TONIGHT BEFORE PICKING UP AGAIN
FRIDAY. THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL COME FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AND WILL
LIKELY TRANSITION OVER TO SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH AFTER
                    1000.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AFTER
                    1000.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........70-80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 3 TO
                    7 MPH AROUND 1800.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH DIMINISHING TO 4 TO 8 MPH
                    AROUND 1800.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 500 FT AGL
                    BY LATE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.


FORECASTER...TGD
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN BOATMAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141030.MOORE.01/STO

$$








000
FNUS76 KSTO 301236
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR HIGHWAY 20 UNDERBURN...TAHOE NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
536 AM PDT THU OCT 30 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 PDT ON OCTOBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MILD AUTUMN WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR ONE MORE DAY BEFORE A FRONTAL
SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE BURN SITE. LOOK FOR AFTERNOON WINDS TO
PICK UP ALONG THE RIDGES AND SOUTH-FACING SLOPES THIS AFTERNOON
AND AGAIN FRIDAY. THE BEST OF CHANCE RAIN OVER THE BURN SITE WILL
COME LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 4 TO
                    9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH AROUND 1200.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 4 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH AROUND 1800.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH TO THE SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH AROUND 1000.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.


FORECASTER...TGD
REQUESTED BY...MACDONALD  MARISSA
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141030.HIGHW.01/STO

$$








000
FNUS76 KSTO 300509
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR KING BAER IMPLMENTATION...ELDORADO NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
1009 PM PDT WED OCT 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2148 PDT ON OCTOBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THURSDAY WILL HAVE CONTINUED DRY AND WARM WEATHER FOR THE LOCATION.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT. A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE
AREA FRIDAY MORNING WITH RAIN BECOMING LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....EAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 4
                    TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHEAST 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3600 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 7 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTH 16 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4000 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 16 MPH.


FORECASTER...RB
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN HANSEN
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20141029.KINGB.01/STO

$$







000
FNUS76 KSTO 300454
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALDER SPRINGS UNIT 14...MENDOCINO NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
954 PM PDT WED OCT 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH CLOUDS AND WARM WEATHER WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS
EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY. AN APPROACHING FRONT MAY BEGIN TO START TO
BRING MEASURABLE RAIN TO THE LOCATION LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT
WILL PASS THROUGH THE LOCATION FRIDAY MORNING WITH SHOWERS LINGERING
THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....WEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 7 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.


FORECASTER...RB
REQUESTED BY...NICK MATHESON
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141030.ALDER.01/STO

$$







000
FNUS76 KSTO 300454
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALDER SPRINGS UNIT 14...MENDOCINO NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
954 PM PDT WED OCT 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH CLOUDS AND WARM WEATHER WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS
EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY. AN APPROACHING FRONT MAY BEGIN TO START TO
BRING MEASURABLE RAIN TO THE LOCATION LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. THE FRONT
WILL PASS THROUGH THE LOCATION FRIDAY MORNING WITH SHOWERS LINGERING
THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....WEST WINDS 1 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.

.FRIDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (EYE LEVEL)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 7 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........SOUTHWEST 7 MPH.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.


FORECASTER...RB
REQUESTED BY...NICK MATHESON
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141030.ALDER.01/STO

$$







000
FNUS76 KSTO 291302
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR MOORE BELLFOUR UNIT M12...STANISLAUS N.F.
CALAVERAS R.D. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
529 AM PDT WED OCT 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 PDT ON OCTOBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. WILL BRING FAIR
AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. WINDS
SHOULD BE FAIRLY LIGHT TODAY BUT WILL PICK UP SLIGHTLY ON THURSDAY
AS A PACIFIC WEATHER SYSTEM APPROACHES. THURSDAY WILL SEE A SLIGHT
COOLING BUT HUMIDITY WILL DROP A BIT AS WELL AHEAD OF THE WEATHER
SYSTEM. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A FAIRLY HIGH CHANCE RAIN AND SNOW TO
NORTHERN CALIFORNIA BUT PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE
BURN AREA UNTIL FRIDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....NORTHEAST 3-6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
   SOUTHWEST AFTER ABOUT 1000 4 TO 8 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........NORTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
   SOUTHWEST AFTER ABOUT 1000 4 TO 8 GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3100-4100 FT AGL BY LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST TO 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....WINDS TURNING TO NORTHEAST AFTER ABOUT 2200
                    3 TO 6 MPH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........BECOMING EAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO BELOW 500 FEET AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING WINDS........EAST TO 5 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-66.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-18 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
   SLOPE/VALLEY.....BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER ABOUT 1000 4-10 MPH.
   RIDGETOP.........BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER ABOUT 1000 5 TO 10 MPH
   WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3300-4300 FT AGL
                    BY LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.


FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN BOATMAN
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141029.MOORE.01/STO

$$










000
FNUS76 KSTO 291208
FWSSTO

SPOT FORECAST FOR ALDER SPRINGS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SACRAMENTO CA
446 AM PDT WED OCT 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON OCTOBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S WILL BRING
FAIR SKIES AND RELATIVELY DRY CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS. NOT EXPECTING A LOT OF CHANGE TODAY WITH FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS
CONTINUING UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE. AN APPROACHING PACIFIC FRONTAL
SYSTEM WILL BRING A SLIGHT COOLING TREND THURSDAY BUT PRECIPITATION
IS LIKELY TO HOLD OFF UNTIL THE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING HOURS.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-29 PERCENT.
   RIDGETOP.........VARIABLE TO 4 MPH DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
   BECOMING SOUTHEAST 1-4 MPH AFTER SUNRISE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO
   8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2500-3500 FT AGL BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST TO 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-76 PERCENT.
   RIDGETOP.........BECOMING LIGHT NORTHWEST TO 4 MPH WITH
   OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 8 MPH AFTER ABOUT 2200.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO BELOW 500 FEET AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING WINDS........LIGHT EAST.

.THURSDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-29 PERCENT.
   RIDGETOP.........BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH EARLY MORNING WITH
                    OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................NEAR 0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3400-3700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH.


FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...NICK MATHESON
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141029.ALDER.01/STO

$$










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