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000
FNUS72 KTBW 251402
FWSTBW

SPOT FORECAST FOR QURU 3 4 8...TNC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
902 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONT HAS STALLED NEAR A TAMPA BAY TO LAKELAND
LINE EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL PROVIDE AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN
OR DRIZZLE ESPECIALLY FROM SARASOTA NORTHWARD TODAY. THE FRONT WILL
LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT LATER TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN GULF. THE LOW IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON THEN ACROSS THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION TONIGHT AND INTO THE ATLANTIC SOUTHEAST OF
CAROLINAS ON THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
WITH A POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE NATURE
COAST TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL STALL OUT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WHICH WILL KEEP CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS
AND CHANCES FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

AMPLE MOISTURE WILL KEEP HUMIDITY VALUES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS
TODAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WHILE INCREASING 20 FOOT WINDS
AND TRANSPORT WINDS SUPPORT HIGH DISPERSION INDICES DURING THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

FOG POTENTIAL...AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
ACROSS AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 4 CORRIDOR. LESS FOG IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AS 20 FOOT WINDS INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION.

.TODAY...
TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
CHC PRECIP (%)..10     40     40     40     20     20
TEMP............63     62     67     72     76     78
HUMIDITY........100    93     84     71     63     58
20 FT WIND......NW 2   NE 3   SE 3   S 6    S 10   S 14
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     15     20
MIX HGT (FT)....200    400    800    2100   2800   3000
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 3   E 3    E 5    SE 9   S 16   S 22
DISPERSION......2      2      5      28     53     62
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
SKY.............PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
CHC PRECIP (%)..20     20     20     20     30     30
TEMP............75     71     69     69     68     68
HUMIDITY........64     72     81     87     91     92
20 FT WIND......S 13   SW 12  S 13   S 15   S 16   S 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 18   SW 16  S 18   S 21   SW 21  SW 16
DISPERSION......28     9      16     19     18     15
LVORI...........2      4      4      4      4      4
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...
TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
CHC PRECIP (%)..30     50     50     50     60     60
TEMP............67     67     69     71     70     68
HUMIDITY........98     95     84     78     75     76
20 FT WIND......SW 13  SW 10  SW 10  W 8    W 7    NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    500    1000   1500   1700   1500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13  W 9    W 9    NW 8   NW 9   NW 9
DISPERSION......12     11     12     14     16     16
LAL.............1      2      2      2      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...MCMICHAEL
REQUESTED BY...ADAM PETERSON
EMERGENCY PHONE...(863) 443-0630
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  100 ACRES
LAT/LON 27.86333 81.50333
.TAG 20150225.QURU3.01/TBW









000
FNUS72 KTBW 251402
FWSTBW

SPOT FORECAST FOR QURU 3 4 8...TNC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
902 AM EST WED FEB 25 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK FRONT HAS STALLED NEAR A TAMPA BAY TO LAKELAND
LINE EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS FRONT WILL PROVIDE AREAS OF LIGHT RAIN
OR DRIZZLE ESPECIALLY FROM SARASOTA NORTHWARD TODAY. THE FRONT WILL
LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH AS A WARM FRONT LATER TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN GULF. THE LOW IS THEN FORECAST TO MOVE
EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST THIS AFTERNOON THEN ACROSS THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND REGION TONIGHT AND INTO THE ATLANTIC SOUTHEAST OF
CAROLINAS ON THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING INCREASING CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
WITH A POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE NATURE
COAST TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL STALL OUT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY WHICH WILL KEEP CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS
AND CHANCES FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE END
OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

AMPLE MOISTURE WILL KEEP HUMIDITY VALUES WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS
TODAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WHILE INCREASING 20 FOOT WINDS
AND TRANSPORT WINDS SUPPORT HIGH DISPERSION INDICES DURING THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

FOG POTENTIAL...AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING
ACROSS AREAS NEAR AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 4 CORRIDOR. LESS FOG IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AS 20 FOOT WINDS INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION.

.TODAY...
TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
CHC PRECIP (%)..10     40     40     40     20     20
TEMP............63     62     67     72     76     78
HUMIDITY........100    93     84     71     63     58
20 FT WIND......NW 2   NE 3   SE 3   S 6    S 10   S 14
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      10     15     20
MIX HGT (FT)....200    400    800    2100   2800   3000
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 3   E 3    E 5    SE 9   S 16   S 22
DISPERSION......2      2      5      28     53     62
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
SKY.............PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
CHC PRECIP (%)..20     20     20     20     30     30
TEMP............75     71     69     69     68     68
HUMIDITY........64     72     81     87     91     92
20 FT WIND......S 13   SW 12  S 13   S 15   S 16   S 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     20     20     20
MIX HGT (FT)....1200   300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..S 18   SW 16  S 18   S 21   SW 21  SW 16
DISPERSION......28     9      16     19     18     15
LVORI...........2      4      4      4      4      4
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1

.THURSDAY...
TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
SKY.............CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
CHC PRECIP (%)..30     50     50     50     60     60
TEMP............67     67     69     71     70     68
HUMIDITY........98     95     84     78     75     76
20 FT WIND......SW 13  SW 10  SW 10  W 8    W 7    NW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....300    500    1000   1500   1700   1500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13  W 9    W 9    NW 8   NW 9   NW 9
DISPERSION......12     11     12     14     16     16
LAL.............1      2      2      2      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...MCMICHAEL
REQUESTED BY...ADAM PETERSON
EMERGENCY PHONE...(863) 443-0630
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  100 ACRES
LAT/LON 27.86333 81.50333
.TAG 20150225.QURU3.01/TBW










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