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000
FNAK79 PAFG 171404
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAX...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
604 AM AKDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 AKDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVING NORTH OVER THE AREA
THIS MORNING WILL POSSIBLE SPARK OFF AN ISOLATED SHOWER. FOR THE MOST
PART THE RH VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE 30S AGAIN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (60-70 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SPRINKLES IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2100-2500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200-7400 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...FREEMAN
REQUESTED BY...DALE WOITAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.BAX__.01/AFG





000
FNAK79 PAFG 170616
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAX...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1016 PM AKDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 AKDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE EAST OF THE FIRE SITE WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE FIRE AREA THURSDAY MORNING AND THEN MOVES WEST OF THE SITE
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A SECOND UPPER LEVEL DISTURABANCE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT THAT WILL PROMPT WEAK SOUTHERLY
CHINOOK WINDS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 24.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 13 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...BRADER
REQUESTED BY...DALE WOITAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.BAX__.01/AFG





000
FNAK79 PAFG 161630
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR BAX...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
830 AM AKDT WED APR 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWARD OVER THE BURN AREA TODAY.
HOWEVER DO NOT ANTICIPATE PRECIPITATION...PERHAPS SOME LOCAL VICINITY SPRINKLES
BUT NOTHING EXPECTED DIRECTLY OVER THE BURN AREA. MIN RH VALUE WILL DECREASE TODAY
ABOUT 5 TO 10 PERCENT COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. WINDS EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT OVER BURN
AREA.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 1 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KRELLER
REQUESTED BY...WADE MCPHETRIDGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140416.BAX__.01/AFG





000
FNAK79 PAFG 151649
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLS RANGE...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
830 AM AKDT TUE APR 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN THE RIDGE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TODAY
WHICH BRING A MIX OF SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES IN THE MORNING AND THEN
CHANGE OVER TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS BY MID MORNING. SHOWERS SHOULD
TAPER OFF BY EARLY THIS EVENING WITH ONLY OCCASIONAL SPRINKLES EXPECTED
IN THE EVENING. MIN RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD INCREASE ABOUT
20 PERCENT COMPARED TO YESTERDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-90 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL FLURRIES AND
                    SPRINKLES IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL
                    SPRINKLES IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL BY MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL BY EARLY
        AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KRELLER
REQUESTED BY...WADE MCPHETRIDGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140415.WILLS.01/AFG





000
FNAK79 PAFG 151642
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR JARVIS CREEK...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
842 AM AKDT TUE APR 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN THE RIDGE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TODAY
WHICH BRING A MIX OF SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES IN THE MORNING AND THEN
CHANGE OVER TO SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS BY MID MORNING. SHOWERS SHOULD
TAPER OFF BY EARLY THIS EVENING WITH ONLY OCCASIONAL SPRINKLES EXPECTED
IN THE EVENING. MIN RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD INCREASE ABOUT
20 PERCENT COMPARED TO YESTERDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-90 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL FLURRIES
                    AND SPRINKLES IN THE MORNING...THEN SCATTERED
                    LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL
                    SPRINKLES IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL BY MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL BY EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KRELLER
REQUESTED BY...WADE MCPHETRIDGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140415.JARVI.01/AFG





000
FNAK79 PAFG 151630
FWSAFG

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLS RANGE...ALASKA FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
830 AM AKDT TUE APR 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 AKDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE EMBEDDED IN THE RIDGE WILL MOVE NORTHWARD TODAY
WHICH BRING A MIX OF SPRINKLES AND FLURRIES IN THE MORNING AND THEN
CHANGE OVER TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS BY MID MORNING. SHOWERS SHOULD
TAPER OFF BY EARLY THIS EVENING WITH ONLY OCCASIONAL SPRINKLES EXPECTED
IN THE EVENING. MIN RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD INCREASE ABOUT
20 PERCENT COMPARED TO YESTERDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-90 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL FLURRIES AND
                    SPRINKLES IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-5200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 8 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). OCCASIONAL
                    SPRINKLES IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 7 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-7200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...KRELLER
REQUESTED BY...WADE MCPHETRIDGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140415.WILLS.01/AFG





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