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000
AGUS74 KFWR 281618
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1117 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

                 VALID AUGUST 28 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2

...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER NEW MEXICO AND
COLORADO THE NEXT 5 DAYS, BUT ONLY LIGHT RAIN ELSEWHERE...

                  ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

An upper level ridge of high pressure is located over southern
Arizona this morning.  The upper level high shifted southwestward
the past 24 hours. This ridge relocation will not have much impact on
the weather over the WGRFC area.  However, an upper level shortwave
trough is moving around the periphery of the ridge over the central
plains.  This trough produced scattered showers and thunderstorms
over New Mexico and Colorado the past 24 hours.  And due to the
monsoon, mainly diurnal showers and thunderstorms can be expected
each one of the next five days over this region. While the rainfall
will not be heavy, isolated locations may get an inch of rain on any
given day.

With the high pressure ridge west of Texas, the upper level shortwave
trough over the central plains produced some showers and a few
thunderstorms over the Texas panhandle and Oklahoma overnight.  Some
showers spread into northwestern Texas this morning, but most of the
showers and thunderstorms will likely remain to the north of the
WGRFC area the next 24 hours.  Therefore mostly dry weather
conditions will persist over most of Texas and western Louisiana
through Saturday.

By Sunday and into next week the high pressure ridge is forecast to
shift back east toward southern New Mexico, although its areal
influence will shrink.  A weakness in the ridge may allow a low
pressure system to form over east Texas by Monday. If this occurs
some shower and thunderstorm activity may develop along the Gulf
coast where atmospheric moisture will be deepest.  As this low
persists across east Texas and western Louisiana Tuesday into
Wednesday there is a chance for showers over roughly the southeastern
half of Texas.  At this point heavy rain does not look likely, and
the northwest half of Texas will remain very warm and dry.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Saturday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.  Light
amounts of MAP are forecast for parts of Colorado, for
southern and eastern New Mexico, far west Texas into the Texas
panhandle, and a small part of north Texas.

For Saturday into Sunday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch
are forecast for the mountainous regions of southern Colorado into
New Mexico.  Lesser amounts are forecast for southwestern Colorado,
the western two thirds of New Mexico, and for far western Texas.

For Sunday into Monday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 inch are forecast
for southwestern Colorado into western New Mexico.  Lesser amounts
are forecast for the rest of the western two thirds of Colorado, for
the western two thirds of New Mexico, and for the Gulf coast of
southeast Texas and southern Louisiana.

For Monday into Wednesday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch
are forecast for the mountains of southern Colorado into northern and
western New Mexico.  MAP amounts of 0.25 inch are forecast for the
middle and lower Texas Gulf coast region.  Lesser amounts are
forecast for the rest of Colorado, for the northwestern three
quarters of New Mexico, for the southeast half of Texas and
Louisiana.

Drought conditions are returning to a good part of the southeast
two thirds of Texas.  Topsoil moisture has decreased during the
past month or so, thus it will take more rainfall for runoff to
occur. In Texas 41% of the state is abnormally dry, with 6% in
severe drought.  In New Mexico, 51% of New Mexico is also abnormally
dry.  The rainfall forecast over the next five days will not be heavy
enough to cause significant runoff.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Trinity Basin...
...Higher Flow Non-Flood Forecasts...
Lower sustained releases from Lewisville and Grapevine will keep
Carrollton above action stage criteria levels through the forecast
period.  These flood control reservoirs, along with Ray Roberts,
continue to slowly evacuate the flood storage accumulated this past
May and June during heavy rainfall episodes.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
The remainder of WGRFC rivers are below criteria.  The precipitation
forecast over the next couple days is not expected to create
significant issues.  Dry soil conditions continue across most of
Texas. Lake levels continue to remain near conservation or within
flood pools for much of north and east Texas while most west Texas
reservoirs are well below conservation.

              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org

STORY

$$






000
AGUS74 KFWR 281618
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1117 AM CDT FRI AUG 28 2015

                 VALID AUGUST 28 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2

...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER NEW MEXICO AND
COLORADO THE NEXT 5 DAYS, BUT ONLY LIGHT RAIN ELSEWHERE...

                  ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

An upper level ridge of high pressure is located over southern
Arizona this morning.  The upper level high shifted southwestward
the past 24 hours. This ridge relocation will not have much impact on
the weather over the WGRFC area.  However, an upper level shortwave
trough is moving around the periphery of the ridge over the central
plains.  This trough produced scattered showers and thunderstorms
over New Mexico and Colorado the past 24 hours.  And due to the
monsoon, mainly diurnal showers and thunderstorms can be expected
each one of the next five days over this region. While the rainfall
will not be heavy, isolated locations may get an inch of rain on any
given day.

With the high pressure ridge west of Texas, the upper level shortwave
trough over the central plains produced some showers and a few
thunderstorms over the Texas panhandle and Oklahoma overnight.  Some
showers spread into northwestern Texas this morning, but most of the
showers and thunderstorms will likely remain to the north of the
WGRFC area the next 24 hours.  Therefore mostly dry weather
conditions will persist over most of Texas and western Louisiana
through Saturday.

By Sunday and into next week the high pressure ridge is forecast to
shift back east toward southern New Mexico, although its areal
influence will shrink.  A weakness in the ridge may allow a low
pressure system to form over east Texas by Monday. If this occurs
some shower and thunderstorm activity may develop along the Gulf
coast where atmospheric moisture will be deepest.  As this low
persists across east Texas and western Louisiana Tuesday into
Wednesday there is a chance for showers over roughly the southeastern
half of Texas.  At this point heavy rain does not look likely, and
the northwest half of Texas will remain very warm and dry.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Saturday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.  Light
amounts of MAP are forecast for parts of Colorado, for
southern and eastern New Mexico, far west Texas into the Texas
panhandle, and a small part of north Texas.

For Saturday into Sunday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch
are forecast for the mountainous regions of southern Colorado into
New Mexico.  Lesser amounts are forecast for southwestern Colorado,
the western two thirds of New Mexico, and for far western Texas.

For Sunday into Monday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 inch are forecast
for southwestern Colorado into western New Mexico.  Lesser amounts
are forecast for the rest of the western two thirds of Colorado, for
the western two thirds of New Mexico, and for the Gulf coast of
southeast Texas and southern Louisiana.

For Monday into Wednesday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch
are forecast for the mountains of southern Colorado into northern and
western New Mexico.  MAP amounts of 0.25 inch are forecast for the
middle and lower Texas Gulf coast region.  Lesser amounts are
forecast for the rest of Colorado, for the northwestern three
quarters of New Mexico, for the southeast half of Texas and
Louisiana.

Drought conditions are returning to a good part of the southeast
two thirds of Texas.  Topsoil moisture has decreased during the
past month or so, thus it will take more rainfall for runoff to
occur. In Texas 41% of the state is abnormally dry, with 6% in
severe drought.  In New Mexico, 51% of New Mexico is also abnormally
dry.  The rainfall forecast over the next five days will not be heavy
enough to cause significant runoff.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Trinity Basin...
...Higher Flow Non-Flood Forecasts...
Lower sustained releases from Lewisville and Grapevine will keep
Carrollton above action stage criteria levels through the forecast
period.  These flood control reservoirs, along with Ray Roberts,
continue to slowly evacuate the flood storage accumulated this past
May and June during heavy rainfall episodes.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
The remainder of WGRFC rivers are below criteria.  The precipitation
forecast over the next couple days is not expected to create
significant issues.  Dry soil conditions continue across most of
Texas. Lake levels continue to remain near conservation or within
flood pools for much of north and east Texas while most west Texas
reservoirs are well below conservation.

              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org

STORY

$$






000
AGUS74 KFWR 271623
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1122 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

                 VALID AUGUST 27 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 1

...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER NEW MEXICO AND
COLORADO THE NEXT 5 DAYS, BUT LITTLE IF ANY RAIN ELSEWHERE...

                  ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

An upper level ridge of high pressure is located over southern New
Mexico this morning.  The upper level high will begin shifting
southwestward towards southern Arizona later today. This ridge
relocation will not have much impact on the weather over the WGRFC
area.  However, an upper level shortwave trough is moving across the
central Rockies.  This will allow for scattered showers and
thunderstorms to form over New Mexico and Colorado this afternoon
through the evening hours.  And due to the monsoon, mainly diurnal
showers and thunderstorms can be expected each one of the next five
days over this region. While the rainfall will not be heavy, isolated
locations may get one to two inches of rain on any given day.

With the high pressure ridge west of Texas, an outflow boundary from
previous thunderstorms produced some rain over southwest Texas
Wednesday afternoon.  This rain dissipated during the evening hours.
Excessive amounts did not occur, but isolated locations did receive
close to one inch of rain.

The upper level shortwave trough over the Colorado Rockies is
expected to move over the central plains on Friday.  This trough may
produce a chance for showers and thunderstorms over the Texas
panhandle, which may spread into northwestern Texas later Friday. The
showers and thunderstorms will likely remain to the north of the
WGRFC area.  Therefore mostly dry weather conditions will persist
over most of Texas and western Louisiana this weekend.

By Monday and Tuesday the high pressure ridge is forecast to
shift back east toward southern New Mexico, although its areal
influence will shrink.  A weakness in the upper air patter may allow
for a low pressure system to form along the Texas Gulf coast. If
this occurs some shower and thunderstorm activity may develop across
southeast Texas. At this point heavy rain does not look likely, and
a good part of Texas will remain very warm and dry.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Friday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.
Light amounts of MAP are forecast for most of Colorado, for western
and northern New Mexico, and the Texas panhandle.

For Friday into Saturday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 inch are
forecast for southwestern New Mexico.  Lesser amounts are forecast
for most of the western half of Colorado, most of New Mexico, and for
the far western parts of Texas into the Texas panhandle.

For Saturday into Sunday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch
are forecast for the mountains of southern Colorado into northern
and western New Mexico.  Lesser amounts are forecast for the rest of
the southwestern half of Colorado, the western two thirds of New
Mexico, and for far western Texas.

For Sunday into Tuesday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch are
forecast for the mountains of southern Colorado into northern and
western New Mexico.  Lesser amounts are forecast for the rest of the
western two thirds of Colorado, for the western two thirds of New
Mexico, and for the Gulf coast of southeast Texas and southern
Louisiana.

Drought conditions are returning to a good part of the southeast
two thirds of Texas.  Topsoil moisture has decreased during the
past month or so, thus it will take more rainfall for runoff to
occur. In Texas 41% of the state is abnormally dry, with 6% in
severe drought.  In New Mexico, 51% of New Mexico is also abnormally
dry.  The rainfall forecast over the next five days will not be heavy
enough to cause significant runoff.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Trinity Basin...
...Higher Flow Non-Flood Forecasts...
Lower sustained releases from Lewisville and Grapevine will keep
Carrollton above action stage criteria levels through the forecast
period.  These flood control reservoirs, along with Ray Roberts,
continue to slowly evacuate the flood storage accumulated this past
May and June during heavy rainfall episodes.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
The remainder of WGRFC rivers are below criteria.  The precipitation
forecast over the next couple days is not expected to create
significant issues.  Dry soil conditions continue across most of
Texas. Lake levels continue to remain near conservation or within
flood pools for much of north and east Texas while most west Texas
reservoirs are well below conservation.

              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org

STORY

$$






000
AGUS74 KFWR 271623
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1122 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

                 VALID AUGUST 27 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 1

...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER NEW MEXICO AND
COLORADO THE NEXT 5 DAYS, BUT LITTLE IF ANY RAIN ELSEWHERE...

                  ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

An upper level ridge of high pressure is located over southern New
Mexico this morning.  The upper level high will begin shifting
southwestward towards southern Arizona later today. This ridge
relocation will not have much impact on the weather over the WGRFC
area.  However, an upper level shortwave trough is moving across the
central Rockies.  This will allow for scattered showers and
thunderstorms to form over New Mexico and Colorado this afternoon
through the evening hours.  And due to the monsoon, mainly diurnal
showers and thunderstorms can be expected each one of the next five
days over this region. While the rainfall will not be heavy, isolated
locations may get one to two inches of rain on any given day.

With the high pressure ridge west of Texas, an outflow boundary from
previous thunderstorms produced some rain over southwest Texas
Wednesday afternoon.  This rain dissipated during the evening hours.
Excessive amounts did not occur, but isolated locations did receive
close to one inch of rain.

The upper level shortwave trough over the Colorado Rockies is
expected to move over the central plains on Friday.  This trough may
produce a chance for showers and thunderstorms over the Texas
panhandle, which may spread into northwestern Texas later Friday. The
showers and thunderstorms will likely remain to the north of the
WGRFC area.  Therefore mostly dry weather conditions will persist
over most of Texas and western Louisiana this weekend.

By Monday and Tuesday the high pressure ridge is forecast to
shift back east toward southern New Mexico, although its areal
influence will shrink.  A weakness in the upper air patter may allow
for a low pressure system to form along the Texas Gulf coast. If
this occurs some shower and thunderstorm activity may develop across
southeast Texas. At this point heavy rain does not look likely, and
a good part of Texas will remain very warm and dry.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Friday morning, no significant Mean Areal
Precipitation (MAP) amounts are forecast for the WGRFC area.
Light amounts of MAP are forecast for most of Colorado, for western
and northern New Mexico, and the Texas panhandle.

For Friday into Saturday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 inch are
forecast for southwestern New Mexico.  Lesser amounts are forecast
for most of the western half of Colorado, most of New Mexico, and for
the far western parts of Texas into the Texas panhandle.

For Saturday into Sunday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch
are forecast for the mountains of southern Colorado into northern
and western New Mexico.  Lesser amounts are forecast for the rest of
the southwestern half of Colorado, the western two thirds of New
Mexico, and for far western Texas.

For Sunday into Tuesday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch are
forecast for the mountains of southern Colorado into northern and
western New Mexico.  Lesser amounts are forecast for the rest of the
western two thirds of Colorado, for the western two thirds of New
Mexico, and for the Gulf coast of southeast Texas and southern
Louisiana.

Drought conditions are returning to a good part of the southeast
two thirds of Texas.  Topsoil moisture has decreased during the
past month or so, thus it will take more rainfall for runoff to
occur. In Texas 41% of the state is abnormally dry, with 6% in
severe drought.  In New Mexico, 51% of New Mexico is also abnormally
dry.  The rainfall forecast over the next five days will not be heavy
enough to cause significant runoff.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Trinity Basin...
...Higher Flow Non-Flood Forecasts...
Lower sustained releases from Lewisville and Grapevine will keep
Carrollton above action stage criteria levels through the forecast
period.  These flood control reservoirs, along with Ray Roberts,
continue to slowly evacuate the flood storage accumulated this past
May and June during heavy rainfall episodes.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
The remainder of WGRFC rivers are below criteria.  The precipitation
forecast over the next couple days is not expected to create
significant issues.  Dry soil conditions continue across most of
Texas. Lake levels continue to remain near conservation or within
flood pools for much of north and east Texas while most west Texas
reservoirs are well below conservation.

              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org

STORY

$$






000
AGUS74 KFWR 261636
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1135 AM CDT WED AUG 26 2015

                  VALID AUGUST 26 THROUGH AUGUST 31

...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED OVER NEW MEXICO AND
COLORADO THE NEXT 5 DAYS, BUT LITTLE IF ANY RAIN ELSEWHERE...

                  ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

An upper level ridge of high pressure is located over northeast
New Mexico this morning. This ridge will remain over this general
location through Thursday morning.  This will allow for scattered
showers and thunderstorms over New Mexico and Colorado from this
afternoon through the evening hours.  And due to the monsoon, mainly
diurnal showers and thunderstorms can be expected each one of the
next five days over this region. While the rainfall will not be
heavy, isolated locations may get one to two inches of rain on any
given day.

With the high pressure ridge west of Texas, a cool front moved slowly
southward across northeast and central Texas the past 24 hours.  This
front enhanced the development of showers and thunderstorms across
eastern Texas Tuesday morning and early afternoon, then across
central and southwest Texas through last night.  Excessive amounts
did not occur, but isolated locations around Houston received two to
three inches of rain.  This rain is regenerating along and near the
middle Texas Gulf coast now, however this rain will dissipate by
this evening.

By Thursday morning, the upper level high will begin shifting
southwestward towards southern Arizona. Initially this ridge
relocation will not have much impact on the weather over the WGRFC
area. However, an upper level shortwave trough is expected to move
over the central plains on Friday, which will cause another cool
front to approach Texas.  This trough may produce a chance for
showers and thunderstorms over the Texas panhandle Thursday night,
which would spread into northwestern Texas later Friday.  The showers
and thunderstorms could possibly move across northern Texas Friday
night into Saturday, but the more significant thunderstorms will
remain to our north.  No significant basin averaged rainfall amounts
are forecast.

By Sunday and Monday the high pressure ridge is forecast to shift
back east toward New Mexico. Therefore mostly dry weather conditions
will persist over most of Texas and western Louisiana late this
weekend into the first part of next week.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Thursday morning, Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP)
amounts of 0.25 to 0.50 inch are forecast for the mountains of
southwestern Colorado and northwestern New Mexico.  Lesser amounts
are forecast for the rest of the western half of Colorado, for
northwestern half of New Mexico, and for portions of South Texas.

For Thursday into Friday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 inch are
forecast for western New Mexico.  Lesser amounts are forecast for
most of Colorado, for western and northern New Mexico, and the Texas
panhandle.

For Friday into Saturday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 inch are
forecast for a good part of southern New Mexico.  Lesser amounts are
forecast for most of the western half of Colorado, most of New
Mexico, and for the western parts of north Texas into the Texas
panhandle.

For Saturday into Monday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 inch are
forecast for southwestern New Mexico.  Lesser amounts are forecast
for a good part of Colorado and New Mexico, southwest Texas, and
for portions of north central Texas.

Drought conditions are returning to a good part of the southeast
half of Texas.  Topsoil moisture has decreased during the past month
or so, thus it will take more rainfall for runoff to occur. In
Texas 42% of the state is abnormally dry and 51% of New Mexico is
also abnormally dry.  The rainfall forecast over the next five days
will not be heavy enough to cause significant runoff.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Trinity Basin...
...Higher Flow Non-Flood Forecasts...
Lower sustained releases from Lewisville and Grapevine will keep
Carrollton above action stage criteria levels through the forecast
period.  These flood control reservoirs, along with Ray Roberts,
continue to slowly evacuate the flood storage accumulated this past
May and June during heavy rainfall episodes.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
The remainder of WGRFC rivers are below criteria.  The precipitation
forecast over the next couple days is not expected to create
significant issues.  Dry soil conditions continue across most of
Texas. Lake levels continue to remain near conservation or within
flood pools for much of north and east Texas while most west Texas
reservoirs are well below conservation.

              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org

STORY

$$






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