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000
AGUS74 KFWR 011721
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1120 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2015

                 VALID FEBRUARY 1 THROUGH FEBRUARY 6

...LIGHT RAIN POSSIBLE IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

                  ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

 A strong upper disturbance is moving down across the plains in to
the Mississippi valley helping drive a cold front across the WGRFC
area. The front is drying out the majority of WGRFC while providing
the possibility of light rainfall from remaining moisture over the
next five days in southeast Texas.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Monday morning, Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP)
amounts of 0.25 inches is forecast in east Texas.

For Monday into Tuesday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Tuesday into Wednesday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 is forecast
across southeast Texas.

For Wednesday into Friday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 is forecast
along the Texas coast.

Moderate or worse drought conditions continue across parts of New
Mexico and Texas. In Texas, about a third of the state
is experiencingmoderate or worse drought (39%), and about 11% has
extreme to exceptional drought conditions. In New Mexico, nearly
two thirds of the state is experiencing moderate or worse drought
(65%), and 4% has extreme to exceptional drought conditions. With
the exception of east and southeast Texas, soils are generally dry.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Neches Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
Minor flooding continues on the Neches and Angelina rivers near
Diboll (DIBT2) and Lufkin (LUFT2), respectively.  However, flows
along these reaches are slowly falling.

...Sabine Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
The Sabine  River at Deweyville (DWYT2) remains just above minor
flood level largely due to reservoir releases upstream. Flows will
fall below criteria late week as Toledo Bend shut off one power
generation unit last midnight, but will continue 1 unit until
further notice.

...Trinity Basin...
...Higher Flow Non-Flood Forecasts...
The Trinity River at Moss Bluff (MBFT2) continues slow fall into
early next week as Lake Livingston Dam releases continue to
incrementally decrease in passing reduced inflows.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
Stream flows across the eastern half of WGRFC are near or above
seasonal averages and generally below normal across the western
half. Forecast rainfall today across eastern Texas and late week
across the Texas Gulf Coast could generate some runoff within the
lower Sabine and Neches, and coastal river basins where soils are
saturated, but no significant flooding is expected. Widespread
river flooding is not expected over the next 5 days.



              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org

02


$$







000
AGUS74 KFWR 311703
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1103 AM CST SAT JAN 31 2015

                 VALID JANUARY 31 THROUGH FEBRUARY 5

...RAIN EXPECTED SATURDAY ACROSS CENTRAL TO NWS TEXAS...

                  ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

The main weather focus continues to be the upper low moving toward
Baja California pulling moisture into WGRFC.  Precipitation
continues in eastern Colorado, eastern New Mexico, and northwest
Texas but is moving quickly east. Signifant rainfall should clear
the WGRFC area late Sunday.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Sunday morning, Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP)
amounts of 0.5 inches are forecast from central to northwest Texas.

For Sunday into Monday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Monday into Tuesday morning, no significant MAP amounts are
forecast for the WGRFC area.

For Tuesday into Thursday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 inches are
forecast along the Texas coast.

Moderate or worse drought conditions continue across parts of New
Mexico and Texas. In Texas, about a third of the state
is experiencingmoderate or worse drought (39%), and about 11% has
extreme to exceptional drought conditions. In New Mexico, nearly
two thirds of the state is experiencing moderate or worse drought
(65%), and 4% has extreme to exceptional drought conditions. With
the exception of east and southeast Texas, soils are generally dry.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Neches Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
Minor flooding continues on the Neches and Angelina rivers near
Diboll (DIBT2) and Lufkin (LUFT2), respectively.  However, flows
along these reaches are slowly falling.

...Sabine Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
The Sabine  River at Deweyville (DWYT2) remains steady just above
minor flood level based on reservoir releases upstream.
Toledo Bend will be shutting off one power generation unit at
midnight tonight, but will continue 1 unit until further notice.

...Trinity Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
The Trinity River at Moss Bluff (MBFT2) has crested and now slowly
falling; expected to continue slow fall through this weekend as
Lake Livingston Dam releases continue to incrementally decrease.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
All other forecast locations are at or near seasonal flows across
eastern half of WGRFC and below normal across western half.
Forecast rainfall this weekend and next week could generate some
runoff, especially over the coastal basins and basins across
Southeast Texas where soils are saturated, but no significant
flooding is expected. Widespread river flooding is not expected
over the next 5 days.



              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org

02


$$







000
AGUS74 KFWR 301723
HMDFWR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...WEST GULF RFC...FORT WORTH TX
1122 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2015

                 VALID JANUARY 30 THROUGH FEBRUARY 4

...RAIN EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY FOR MOST PORTIONS
OF THE WGRFC FORECAST AREA...

                  ...METEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...

As the upper low moves across southern California in cobination with
a shortwave trough pushing southeast down into Colorado, southern
Colorado and New Mexico will continue receiving precipitation.   As
the system continues moving to the east Texas will receive
widespread rainfall Friday through Saturday and then clearing out on
Sunday into Monday.

                    ...PRECIPITATION FORECAST...
For Today into Saturday morning, Mean Areal Precipitation (MAP)
amounts of 0.5 inches are forecast souther Colorado, western New
Mexico, and western Texas including the panhandle.

For Saturday into Sunday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 to 1 inches
are forecast across much of Texas.

For Sunday into Monday morning, MAP amounts of 0.5 inches are
forecast in southeast Texas.

For Monday into Wednesday morning, MAP amounts of 0.25 inches are
forecast along the Texas coast.

Moderate or worse drought conditions continue across parts of New
Mexico and Texas. In Texas, about a third of the state
is experiencingmoderate or worse drought (39%), and about 11% has
extreme to exceptional drought conditions. In New Mexico, nearly
two thirds of the state is experiencing moderate or worse drought
(65%), and 4% has extreme to exceptional drought conditions. With
the exception of east and southeast Texas, soils are generally dry.

                     ...HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION...
...Trinity Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
The Trinity River at Moss Bluff (MBFT2) is cresting above flood
stage.  Moss Bluff will begin slowly falling later today into this
weekend.

...Neches Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
Minor flooding continues on the Neches and Angelina rivers.
Flooding near Diboll (DIBT2) and Lufkin (LUFT2) will continue for
the next few days.  Attoyac Bayou near Chireno (ATBT2) will slowly
fall below criteria.

...Sabine Basin...
...Minor Flooding...
The Sabine  River at Deweyville (DWYT2) remains steady above minor
flood criteria at this time based on reservoir releases upstream.

...Remainder of WGRFC Basins...
All other forecast locations are at or near seasonal flows.
Forecast rainfall this weekend and next week could generate some
runoff, especially over the coastal basins and basins across
Southeast Texas where soils are saturated. Widespread river
flooding is not expected over the next 5 days.



              ...SUPPLEMENTARY GRAPHICAL INFORMATION...
The following URLs (all lower case) provide additional graphical
information on current and forecast hydrologic conditions, past and
future precipitation, and drought and climate forecasts.  This
information is provided by a variety of National Weather Service,
NOAA, and private sector entities.

For specific information on river conditions, refer to the AHPS
pages from the local NWS offices at:
http://water.weather.gov/ahps/

The Flood Potential Outlook can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcfop

The West Gulf River Forecast Center is now on Facebook:
http://www.facebook.com/US.NationalWeatherService.WGRFC.gov

National Precipitation Analysis:
http://water.weather.gov/precip/

The forecast rainfall amounts (QPF) can be viewed on our webpage at:
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/wgrfc/?n=wgrfcqpfpage

The US Drought Assessment:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/Drought

The latest on Reservoir Information for Texas:
http://www.waterdatafortexas.org

02


$$







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