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000
AGUS71 KRHA 311521
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1021 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

LIGHT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION FELL DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. LARGEST
REPORTS WERE MAINLY IN NEW YORK...PENNSYLVANIA...AND NEW JERSEY.

  Value  County                St  Location
   0.20  Sullivan              NY  Callicoon F/P Precip
   0.20  Pike                  PA  Greentown F/P
   0.20  Susquehanna           PA  Montrose F/P Precip
   0.20  Delaware              NY  Walton
   0.20  Broome                NY  Windsor
   0.17  Delaware              NY  Hobart 4.8ESE COCO
   0.16  Delaware              NY  Long Eddy 6.5NNE COC
   0.15  Greene                NY  East Jewitt
   0.12  Luzerne               PA  Wilkes-Barre AP
   0.12  Middlesex             NJ  Deans 2E
   0.12  Somerset              NJ  Far Hills DCP
   0.11  Cayuga                NY  Auburn COOP
   0.11  Somerset              PA  Laurel Mountain
   0.11  Schoharie             NY  North Blenheim
   0.11  Sullivan              NY  Hancock 10.5SE COCO

BETWEEN NOW AND SUN RISE TOMORROW WE SHOULD BE RELATIVELY FREE OF
PRECIPITATION...BUT THAT WILL CHANGE AS WE ARE WATCHING A WINTER STORM
DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN US. THIS STORM WILL GAIN STRENGTH AS IT MOVES
OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BEFORE HEADING TO THE
MID-ATLANTIC.

PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SNOW WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO OUR WESTERN
BASIN AFTER SUNRISE TOMORROW. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES THE STORM WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND BRINGING WITH IT HEAVIER PRECIPITATION. AT
THIS POINT THE FORECAST TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT CERTAIN. THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE STORM IS CRITICAL AS WARMER AIR ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE
STORM WILL CHANGE SNOW TO RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN.

IN GENERAL TERMS THE RAIN/SNOW LINE IS FORECAST TO HOVER AROUND THE
MARYLAND AND PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. IF THE STORM TRACKS FURTHER NORTH
SO WILL THIS RAIN TO SNOW LINE. LIKEWISE IF THE STORM TRACKS A BIT
FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...MORE OF OUR AREA WILL GET FROZEN PRECIPITATION.

ON THE RIVERS...THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN STAGES RELATED TO THE
LIGHT PRECIPITATION THAT HAS RECENTLY FALLEN. FORECAST STAGES FOR
DAY 1 AND INTO DAY 2 ARE GENERALLY STEADY...ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
IN RIVER STAGES ARE POSSIBLE WHERE RIVER ICE IS PREVALENT.
NNNN






000
AGUS71 KRHA 311521
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1021 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

LIGHT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION FELL DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. LARGEST
REPORTS WERE MAINLY IN NEW YORK...PENNSYLVANIA...AND NEW JERSEY.

  Value  County                St  Location
   0.20  Sullivan              NY  Callicoon F/P Precip
   0.20  Pike                  PA  Greentown F/P
   0.20  Susquehanna           PA  Montrose F/P Precip
   0.20  Delaware              NY  Walton
   0.20  Broome                NY  Windsor
   0.17  Delaware              NY  Hobart 4.8ESE COCO
   0.16  Delaware              NY  Long Eddy 6.5NNE COC
   0.15  Greene                NY  East Jewitt
   0.12  Luzerne               PA  Wilkes-Barre AP
   0.12  Middlesex             NJ  Deans 2E
   0.12  Somerset              NJ  Far Hills DCP
   0.11  Cayuga                NY  Auburn COOP
   0.11  Somerset              PA  Laurel Mountain
   0.11  Schoharie             NY  North Blenheim
   0.11  Sullivan              NY  Hancock 10.5SE COCO

BETWEEN NOW AND SUN RISE TOMORROW WE SHOULD BE RELATIVELY FREE OF
PRECIPITATION...BUT THAT WILL CHANGE AS WE ARE WATCHING A WINTER STORM
DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN US. THIS STORM WILL GAIN STRENGTH AS IT MOVES
OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BEFORE HEADING TO THE
MID-ATLANTIC.

PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SNOW WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO OUR WESTERN
BASIN AFTER SUNRISE TOMORROW. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES THE STORM WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND BRINGING WITH IT HEAVIER PRECIPITATION. AT
THIS POINT THE FORECAST TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT CERTAIN. THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE STORM IS CRITICAL AS WARMER AIR ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE
STORM WILL CHANGE SNOW TO RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN.

IN GENERAL TERMS THE RAIN/SNOW LINE IS FORECAST TO HOVER AROUND THE
MARYLAND AND PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. IF THE STORM TRACKS FURTHER NORTH
SO WILL THIS RAIN TO SNOW LINE. LIKEWISE IF THE STORM TRACKS A BIT
FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...MORE OF OUR AREA WILL GET FROZEN PRECIPITATION.

ON THE RIVERS...THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN STAGES RELATED TO THE
LIGHT PRECIPITATION THAT HAS RECENTLY FALLEN. FORECAST STAGES FOR
DAY 1 AND INTO DAY 2 ARE GENERALLY STEADY...ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
IN RIVER STAGES ARE POSSIBLE WHERE RIVER ICE IS PREVALENT.
NNNN





000
AGUS71 KRHA 311521
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1021 AM EST SAT JAN 31 2015

LIGHT AMOUNTS OF PRECIPITATION FELL DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. LARGEST
REPORTS WERE MAINLY IN NEW YORK...PENNSYLVANIA...AND NEW JERSEY.

  Value  County                St  Location
   0.20  Sullivan              NY  Callicoon F/P Precip
   0.20  Pike                  PA  Greentown F/P
   0.20  Susquehanna           PA  Montrose F/P Precip
   0.20  Delaware              NY  Walton
   0.20  Broome                NY  Windsor
   0.17  Delaware              NY  Hobart 4.8ESE COCO
   0.16  Delaware              NY  Long Eddy 6.5NNE COC
   0.15  Greene                NY  East Jewitt
   0.12  Luzerne               PA  Wilkes-Barre AP
   0.12  Middlesex             NJ  Deans 2E
   0.12  Somerset              NJ  Far Hills DCP
   0.11  Cayuga                NY  Auburn COOP
   0.11  Somerset              PA  Laurel Mountain
   0.11  Schoharie             NY  North Blenheim
   0.11  Sullivan              NY  Hancock 10.5SE COCO

BETWEEN NOW AND SUN RISE TOMORROW WE SHOULD BE RELATIVELY FREE OF
PRECIPITATION...BUT THAT WILL CHANGE AS WE ARE WATCHING A WINTER STORM
DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN US. THIS STORM WILL GAIN STRENGTH AS IT MOVES
OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BEFORE HEADING TO THE
MID-ATLANTIC.

PRECIPITATION IN THE FORM OF SNOW WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO OUR WESTERN
BASIN AFTER SUNRISE TOMORROW. AS THE DAY PROGRESSES THE STORM WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD AND BRINGING WITH IT HEAVIER PRECIPITATION. AT
THIS POINT THE FORECAST TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT CERTAIN. THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE STORM IS CRITICAL AS WARMER AIR ON THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE
STORM WILL CHANGE SNOW TO RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN.

IN GENERAL TERMS THE RAIN/SNOW LINE IS FORECAST TO HOVER AROUND THE
MARYLAND AND PENNSYLVANIA BORDER. IF THE STORM TRACKS FURTHER NORTH
SO WILL THIS RAIN TO SNOW LINE. LIKEWISE IF THE STORM TRACKS A BIT
FURTHER TO THE SOUTH...MORE OF OUR AREA WILL GET FROZEN PRECIPITATION.

ON THE RIVERS...THERE HAS BEEN LITTLE CHANGE IN STAGES RELATED TO THE
LIGHT PRECIPITATION THAT HAS RECENTLY FALLEN. FORECAST STAGES FOR
DAY 1 AND INTO DAY 2 ARE GENERALLY STEADY...ALTHOUGH SIGNIFICANT CHANGES
IN RIVER STAGES ARE POSSIBLE WHERE RIVER ICE IS PREVALENT.






000
AGUS71 KRHA 301505
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1005 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

Periods of snow moved across parts of our Hydrologic Service
area over the past 24 hours mixed at times with sleet,
freezing rain and light rain.  Below is a list of some of
the highest observed precipitation totals (water equivalents)
from 8am Thurs through 8am Friday.

Precip   County          State    Location
0.45     Indiana           PA     Indiana 3SSW DCP
0.40     Indiana           PA     Indiana
0.39     Elk               PA     Wilcox
0.38     Cayuga            NY     Auburn COOP
0.36     Cambria           PA     Belmont 0.1NE
0.34     Clearfield        PA     DuBois 2S COOP
0.32     Clearfield        PA     Curwensville Dam-COE
0.31     Somerset          PA     Laurel Mountain
0.30     Sullivan          PA     Laporte
0.30     Somerset          PA     Somerset
0.30     Lycoming          PA     Unityville F/P
0.26     Wayne             PA     Equinunk 2WNW
0.26     Delaware          NY     Long Eddy 6.5NNE
0.25     Grant             WV     Bayard
0.25     Delaware          NY     Cannonsville Reservoir

An arctic cold front with some snow showers and flurries
across our far northern and eastern river basins will push
offshore this morning. Generally dry and very cold weather
will follow from friday afternoon through 12Z Sunday.

Another storm system will move into the Ohio river valley
Sunday afternoon.  The storm system will move into the Mid
Atlantic late Sunday night into Monday and bring more snow,
sleet, freezing rain and rain to our hydrologic service
area.

Day-3 basin average QPF (water equivalents) from 12Z sunday
through 12Z Monday is expected to range from two tenths
/0.20/ to six twenths /0.60/ of an inch.  Little river and
stream response is expected.

Ice effects continue along rivers, larger tributaries, streams
and creeks, especially across New York, Pennsylvania and parts
of New Jersey which could lead to sharp rises.  The term "Ice
Effects" means that river ice accumulation in the vicinity of
the river gage is altering the channel cross-section which
producesd higher stages than would be expected without the
river ice.  Abrupt fluctuations of several feet are quite
common and should be expecte during extended cold spells.

All MARFC river and stream forecasts will be issued by 11am.

DS
NNNN






000
AGUS71 KRHA 301505
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1005 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

Periods of snow moved across parts of our Hydrologic Service
area over the past 24 hours mixed at times with sleet,
freezing rain and light rain.  Below is a list of some of
the highest observed precipitation totals (water equivalents)
from 8am Thurs through 8am Friday.

Precip   County          State    Location
0.45     Indiana           PA     Indiana 3SSW DCP
0.40     Indiana           PA     Indiana
0.39     Elk               PA     Wilcox
0.38     Cayuga            NY     Auburn COOP
0.36     Cambria           PA     Belmont 0.1NE
0.34     Clearfield        PA     DuBois 2S COOP
0.32     Clearfield        PA     Curwensville Dam-COE
0.31     Somerset          PA     Laurel Mountain
0.30     Sullivan          PA     Laporte
0.30     Somerset          PA     Somerset
0.30     Lycoming          PA     Unityville F/P
0.26     Wayne             PA     Equinunk 2WNW
0.26     Delaware          NY     Long Eddy 6.5NNE
0.25     Grant             WV     Bayard
0.25     Delaware          NY     Cannonsville Reservoir

An arctic cold front with some snow showers and flurries
across our far northern and eastern river basins will push
offshore this morning. Generally dry and very cold weather
will follow from friday afternoon through 12Z Sunday.

Another storm system will move into the Ohio river valley
Sunday afternoon.  The storm system will move into the Mid
Atlantic late Sunday night into Monday and bring more snow,
sleet, freezing rain and rain to our hydrologic service
area.

Day-3 basin average QPF (water equivalents) from 12Z sunday
through 12Z Monday is expected to range from two tenths
/0.20/ to six twenths /0.60/ of an inch.  Little river and
stream response is expected.

Ice effects continue along rivers, larger tributaries, streams
and creeks, especially across New York, Pennsylvania and parts
of New Jersey which could lead to sharp rises.  The term "Ice
Effects" means that river ice accumulation in the vicinity of
the river gage is altering the channel cross-section which
producesd higher stages than would be expected without the
river ice.  Abrupt fluctuations of several feet are quite
common and should be expecte during extended cold spells.

All MARFC river and stream forecasts will be issued by 11am.

DS
NNNN





000
AGUS71 KRHA 301505
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1005 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2015

Periods of snow moved across parts of our Hydrologic Service
area over the past 24 hours mixed at times with sleet,
freezing rain and light rain.  Below is a list of some of
the highest observed precipitation totals (water equivalents)
from 8am Thurs through 8am Friday.

Precip   County          State    Location
0.45     Indiana           PA     Indiana 3SSW DCP
0.40     Indiana           PA     Indiana
0.39     Elk               PA     Wilcox
0.38     Cayuga            NY     Auburn COOP
0.36     Cambria           PA     Belmont 0.1NE
0.34     Clearfield        PA     DuBois 2S COOP
0.32     Clearfield        PA     Curwensville Dam-COE
0.31     Somerset          PA     Laurel Mountain
0.30     Sullivan          PA     Laporte
0.30     Somerset          PA     Somerset
0.30     Lycoming          PA     Unityville F/P
0.26     Wayne             PA     Equinunk 2WNW
0.26     Delaware          NY     Long Eddy 6.5NNE
0.25     Grant             WV     Bayard
0.25     Delaware          NY     Cannonsville Reservoir

An arctic cold front with some snow showers and flurries
across our far northern and eastern river basins will push
offshore this morning. Generally dry and very cold weather
will follow from friday afternoon through 12Z Sunday.

Another storm system will move into the Ohio river valley
Sunday afternoon.  The storm system will move into the Mid
Atlantic late Sunday night into Monday and bring more snow,
sleet, freezing rain and rain to our hydrologic service
area.

Day-3 basin average QPF (water equivalents) from 12Z sunday
through 12Z Monday is expected to range from two tenths
/0.20/ to six twenths /0.60/ of an inch.  Little river and
stream response is expected.

Ice effects continue along rivers, larger tributaries, streams
and creeks, especially across New York, Pennsylvania and parts
of New Jersey which could lead to sharp rises.  The term "Ice
Effects" means that river ice accumulation in the vicinity of
the river gage is altering the channel cross-section which
producesd higher stages than would be expected without the
river ice.  Abrupt fluctuations of several feet are quite
common and should be expecte during extended cold spells.

All MARFC river and stream forecasts will be issued by 11am.

DS






000
AGUS71 KRHA 291520
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1020 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015


NO MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION FELL ACROSS OUR BASINS DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS.

AN ALBERTA CLIPPER AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE A WINTRY MIX
ACROSS MOST OF THE BASINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

72 HOUR QPF IS ZERO IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BASINS INCREASING TO AROUND A
THIRD OF AN INCH IN EXTREME WESTERN/NORTHERN BASINS. THE BULK OF THE
QPF IS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MINOR FLUCTUATIONS IN STAGE WILL CONTINUE IN SPOTS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS
DUE TO ICE EFFECTS.
NNNN






000
AGUS71 KRHA 291520
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1020 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015


NO MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION FELL ACROSS OUR BASINS DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS.

AN ALBERTA CLIPPER AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE A WINTRY MIX
ACROSS MOST OF THE BASINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

72 HOUR QPF IS ZERO IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BASINS INCREASING TO AROUND A
THIRD OF AN INCH IN EXTREME WESTERN/NORTHERN BASINS. THE BULK OF THE
QPF IS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MINOR FLUCTUATIONS IN STAGE WILL CONTINUE IN SPOTS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS
DUE TO ICE EFFECTS.
NNNN





000
AGUS71 KRHA 291520
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1020 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015


NO MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION FELL ACROSS OUR BASINS DURING THE PAST 24
HOURS.

AN ALBERTA CLIPPER AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE A WINTRY MIX
ACROSS MOST OF THE BASINS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

72 HOUR QPF IS ZERO IN THE SOUTHEASTERN BASINS INCREASING TO AROUND A
THIRD OF AN INCH IN EXTREME WESTERN/NORTHERN BASINS. THE BULK OF THE
QPF IS DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MINOR FLUCTUATIONS IN STAGE WILL CONTINUE IN SPOTS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS
DUE TO ICE EFFECTS.






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