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000
AGUS71 KRHA 151408
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1008 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

  Value  County                St  Location
   2.18  Botetourt             VA  Apple Orchard Mt IFL
   2.17  Nelson                VA  Devils Knob IFLOWS
   1.88  Amherst               VA  Pedlar Dam
   1.87  Campbell              VA  Lynchburg 6.4SSW COC
   1.80  Nelson                VA  Montebello Fish Nurs
   1.68  Bedford               VA  Big Island
   1.51  Bedford               VA  Moneta 3.9WSW COCO
   1.51  Bath                  VA  Yost IFLOWS
   1.50  Bedford               VA  Moneta 3.6SW COCO
   1.45  Albemarle             VA  Charlottesville 2W
   1.43  Campbell              VA  Lynchburg AP
   1.30  Augusta               VA  Upper Sherando
   1.25  Amherst               VA  Glasgow 1 SE
   1.22  Augusta               VA  Elliotts Knob IFLOWS
   1.20  Amherst               VA  Pedlar Dam LARC

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MOVED INTO THE BASIN OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST
RAIN FELL IN THE SOUTHERN BASIN IN VIRGINIA. IN THIS AREA...AMOUNTS
RANGED FROM A QUARTER INCH TO OVER TWO INCHES. THIS IS CAUSING A RISE
OF SEVERAL FEET ON AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS.

THIS MORNINGS RADAR SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF RAIN OVER EASTERN PA/EASTERN
NY/MD/DE AND EASTERN VA. THIS ARE IS MOVING AT A SLOW BUT STEADY PACE
TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST.

A COLD FRONT IS MOVING INTO THE WESTERN BASIN THIS MORNING AN IS
ALMOST INTO THE CENTRAL PORTION OF PENNSYLVANIA. AS THIS COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA A QUICK CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL
OCCUR. TEMPERATURES AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA HAVE
DROPPED 20 TO 30 DEGREES IN TWO TO FOUR HOURS.

WE ARE STILL EXPECTING ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION TO OCCUR BEHIND THE
FRONT ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE COMPARED TO AREAS
EAST OF THE FRONT. WITH THE COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT...RAIN COULD
CHANGE TO SNOW IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS NORTH OF THE PA/MD BORDER. IN THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BASIN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER AND
IT WILL BE MORE DIFFICULT TO GET FROZEN PRECIPITATION.

RAINFALL FORECASTS RANGE FROM A QUARTER INCH OVER THE WESTERN
BASIN...TO ABOUT AN INCH OVER THE CENTRAL BASIN (NORTH TO SOUTH). THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST OVER THE FAR EASTERN BASIN WITH AMOUNTS
OF 1.5" TO 1.75".

AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
TWO DAYS.
NNNN





000
AGUS71 KRHA 151408
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1008 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

  Value  County                St  Location
   2.18  Botetourt             VA  Apple Orchard Mt IFL
   2.17  Nelson                VA  Devils Knob IFLOWS
   1.88  Amherst               VA  Pedlar Dam
   1.87  Campbell              VA  Lynchburg 6.4SSW COC
   1.80  Nelson                VA  Montebello Fish Nurs
   1.68  Bedford               VA  Big Island
   1.51  Bedford               VA  Moneta 3.9WSW COCO
   1.51  Bath                  VA  Yost IFLOWS
   1.50  Bedford               VA  Moneta 3.6SW COCO
   1.45  Albemarle             VA  Charlottesville 2W
   1.43  Campbell              VA  Lynchburg AP
   1.30  Augusta               VA  Upper Sherando
   1.25  Amherst               VA  Glasgow 1 SE
   1.22  Augusta               VA  Elliotts Knob IFLOWS
   1.20  Amherst               VA  Pedlar Dam LARC

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MOVED INTO THE BASIN OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST
RAIN FELL IN THE SOUTHERN BASIN IN VIRGINIA. IN THIS AREA...AMOUNTS
RANGED FROM A QUARTER INCH TO OVER TWO INCHES. THIS IS CAUSING A RISE
OF SEVERAL FEET ON AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS.

THIS MORNINGS RADAR SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF RAIN OVER EASTERN PA/EASTERN
NY/MD/DE AND EASTERN VA. THIS ARE IS MOVING AT A SLOW BUT STEADY PACE
TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST.

A COLD FRONT IS MOVING INTO THE WESTERN BASIN THIS MORNING AN IS
ALMOST INTO THE CENTRAL PORTION OF PENNSYLVANIA. AS THIS COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA A QUICK CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL
OCCUR. TEMPERATURES AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA HAVE
DROPPED 20 TO 30 DEGREES IN TWO TO FOUR HOURS.

WE ARE STILL EXPECTING ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION TO OCCUR BEHIND THE
FRONT ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE COMPARED TO AREAS
EAST OF THE FRONT. WITH THE COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT...RAIN COULD
CHANGE TO SNOW IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS NORTH OF THE PA/MD BORDER. IN THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BASIN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER AND
IT WILL BE MORE DIFFICULT TO GET FROZEN PRECIPITATION.

RAINFALL FORECASTS RANGE FROM A QUARTER INCH OVER THE WESTERN
BASIN...TO ABOUT AN INCH OVER THE CENTRAL BASIN (NORTH TO SOUTH). THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST OVER THE FAR EASTERN BASIN WITH AMOUNTS
OF 1.5" TO 1.75".

AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
TWO DAYS.
NNNN






000
AGUS71 KRHA 151408
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1008 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

  Value  County                St  Location
   2.18  Botetourt             VA  Apple Orchard Mt IFL
   2.17  Nelson                VA  Devils Knob IFLOWS
   1.88  Amherst               VA  Pedlar Dam
   1.87  Campbell              VA  Lynchburg 6.4SSW COC
   1.80  Nelson                VA  Montebello Fish Nurs
   1.68  Bedford               VA  Big Island
   1.51  Bedford               VA  Moneta 3.9WSW COCO
   1.51  Bath                  VA  Yost IFLOWS
   1.50  Bedford               VA  Moneta 3.6SW COCO
   1.45  Albemarle             VA  Charlottesville 2W
   1.43  Campbell              VA  Lynchburg AP
   1.30  Augusta               VA  Upper Sherando
   1.25  Amherst               VA  Glasgow 1 SE
   1.22  Augusta               VA  Elliotts Knob IFLOWS
   1.20  Amherst               VA  Pedlar Dam LARC

MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MOVED INTO THE BASIN OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST
RAIN FELL IN THE SOUTHERN BASIN IN VIRGINIA. IN THIS AREA...AMOUNTS
RANGED FROM A QUARTER INCH TO OVER TWO INCHES. THIS IS CAUSING A RISE
OF SEVERAL FEET ON AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS.

THIS MORNINGS RADAR SHOWS A LARGE AREA OF RAIN OVER EASTERN PA/EASTERN
NY/MD/DE AND EASTERN VA. THIS ARE IS MOVING AT A SLOW BUT STEADY PACE
TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST.

A COLD FRONT IS MOVING INTO THE WESTERN BASIN THIS MORNING AN IS
ALMOST INTO THE CENTRAL PORTION OF PENNSYLVANIA. AS THIS COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA A QUICK CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES WILL
OCCUR. TEMPERATURES AT SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA HAVE
DROPPED 20 TO 30 DEGREES IN TWO TO FOUR HOURS.

WE ARE STILL EXPECTING ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION TO OCCUR BEHIND THE
FRONT ALTHOUGH AMOUNTS WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE COMPARED TO AREAS
EAST OF THE FRONT. WITH THE COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT...RAIN COULD
CHANGE TO SNOW IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS NORTH OF THE PA/MD BORDER. IN THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BASIN TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER AND
IT WILL BE MORE DIFFICULT TO GET FROZEN PRECIPITATION.

RAINFALL FORECASTS RANGE FROM A QUARTER INCH OVER THE WESTERN
BASIN...TO ABOUT AN INCH OVER THE CENTRAL BASIN (NORTH TO SOUTH). THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS ARE FORECAST OVER THE FAR EASTERN BASIN WITH AMOUNTS
OF 1.5" TO 1.75".

AFTER THIS SYSTEM EXITS...NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
TWO DAYS.






000
AGUS71 KRHA 141439
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1039 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

ZERO RAINFALL OCCURRED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS IN OUR AREA.

WE WILL SEE RAIN ENTER OUR WESTERN BASIN THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT
RADAR SHOWS AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION COVERING MOST OF OHIO...STRETCHES
SOUTH THROUGH KY/TN...AND ENDS OVER MS/AL. THIS RAIN IS BEING
PRODUCED FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER MICHIGAN/GREAT LAKES.
THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDS SOUTH/SOUTHWEST AND WILL PUSH
THROUGH OUR BASIN TOMORROW SPARKING SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS.

OBSERVED WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DRAMATICALLY CHANGE TOMORROW IN
RESPONSE TO THIS FRONT. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FILTER IN AND
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING. WITH THIS COLD AIR IN PLACE
IT IS POSSIBLE TO SEE SOME SNOW SHOWERS TUE/WED. THE LOW
TEMPERATURE WILL REBOUND INTO THE LOW/MID 40S ON THE NORTH HALF OF THE
BASIN ON WEDNESDAY AND JUMP INTO THE 50S OVER THE SOUTH.

THERE IS PLENTY OF MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM THUS WE ARE FORECASTING
RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 0.75" TO 1" OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE BASIN IN NY/PA/MD/WV/VA...AND 1" TO 1.5" OVER THE EASTERN BASIN.
NNNN






000
AGUS71 KRHA 141439
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1039 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

ZERO RAINFALL OCCURRED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS IN OUR AREA.

WE WILL SEE RAIN ENTER OUR WESTERN BASIN THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT
RADAR SHOWS AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION COVERING MOST OF OHIO...STRETCHES
SOUTH THROUGH KY/TN...AND ENDS OVER MS/AL. THIS RAIN IS BEING
PRODUCED FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER MICHIGAN/GREAT LAKES.
THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDS SOUTH/SOUTHWEST AND WILL PUSH
THROUGH OUR BASIN TOMORROW SPARKING SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS.

OBSERVED WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DRAMATICALLY CHANGE TOMORROW IN
RESPONSE TO THIS FRONT. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FILTER IN AND
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING. WITH THIS COLD AIR IN PLACE
IT IS POSSIBLE TO SEE SOME SNOW SHOWERS TUE/WED. THE LOW
TEMPERATURE WILL REBOUND INTO THE LOW/MID 40S ON THE NORTH HALF OF THE
BASIN ON WEDNESDAY AND JUMP INTO THE 50S OVER THE SOUTH.

THERE IS PLENTY OF MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM THUS WE ARE FORECASTING
RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 0.75" TO 1" OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE BASIN IN NY/PA/MD/WV/VA...AND 1" TO 1.5" OVER THE EASTERN BASIN.
NNNN





000
AGUS71 KRHA 141439
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 1039 AM EDT MON APR 14 2014

ZERO RAINFALL OCCURRED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS IN OUR AREA.

WE WILL SEE RAIN ENTER OUR WESTERN BASIN THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT
RADAR SHOWS AN AREA OF PRECIPITATION COVERING MOST OF OHIO...STRETCHES
SOUTH THROUGH KY/TN...AND ENDS OVER MS/AL. THIS RAIN IS BEING
PRODUCED FROM A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER MICHIGAN/GREAT LAKES.
THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT EXTENDS SOUTH/SOUTHWEST AND WILL PUSH
THROUGH OUR BASIN TOMORROW SPARKING SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS.

OBSERVED WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DRAMATICALLY CHANGE TOMORROW IN
RESPONSE TO THIS FRONT. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL FILTER IN AND
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING. WITH THIS COLD AIR IN PLACE
IT IS POSSIBLE TO SEE SOME SNOW SHOWERS TUE/WED. THE LOW
TEMPERATURE WILL REBOUND INTO THE LOW/MID 40S ON THE NORTH HALF OF THE
BASIN ON WEDNESDAY AND JUMP INTO THE 50S OVER THE SOUTH.

THERE IS PLENTY OF MOISTURE WITH THIS SYSTEM THUS WE ARE FORECASTING
RAINFALL AMOUNTS RANGING FROM 0.75" TO 1" OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE BASIN IN NY/PA/MD/WV/VA...AND 1" TO 1.5" OVER THE EASTERN BASIN.






000
AGUS71 KRHA 131344
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 944 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014


RAIN SHOWERS WERE SCATTERED ACROSS OUR UPPER NORTHERN BASINS DURING
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FROM 12Z SATURDAY TO 12Z
SUNDAY:

  Value  County                St  Location
   0.13  Oneida                NY  Westmoreland 4N
   0.10  Tioga                 PA  Covington 2WSW F&P
   0.07  Ulster                NY  Phoenicia
   0.06  Otsego                NY  Worcester 1S
   0.05  Onondaga              NY  Syracuse AP
   0.04  Steuben               NY  Hartsville
   0.04  Otsego                NY  Oneonta Observer
   0.03  Livingston            NY  Avon
   0.03  Schoharie             NY  Cobleskill
   0.03  Delaware              NY  Long Eddy 6.5NNE COC
   0.03  Susquehanna           PA  Susquehanna St. Park
   0.02  Cayuga                NY  Auburn COOP
   0.02  Delaware              NY  East Sidney Dam
   0.02  Chenango              NY  Norwich
   0.02  Chenango              NY  Norwich 5.4W COCO

BESIDES A FEW SPRINKLES HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE GENERALLY DRY
CONDITIONS INTO MONDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS
THE BASINS MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

DAY ONE QPF IS ZERO. DAY TWO IS TENTH TO HALF AN INCH AND HIGHEST
JAMES BASIN. DAY THREE IS FOUR TENTHS TO A LITTLE OVER ONE INCH WITH
HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE FAR NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF OUR SERVICE AREA.

SEVERAL FOOT RISES ARE FORECAST ON DAY THREE IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE SUSQUEHANNA BASIN AND MINOR RISES IN THE UPPER DELAWARE BASIN.
NNNN






000
AGUS71 KRHA 131344
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 944 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014


RAIN SHOWERS WERE SCATTERED ACROSS OUR UPPER NORTHERN BASINS DURING
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FROM 12Z SATURDAY TO 12Z
SUNDAY:

  Value  County                St  Location
   0.13  Oneida                NY  Westmoreland 4N
   0.10  Tioga                 PA  Covington 2WSW F&P
   0.07  Ulster                NY  Phoenicia
   0.06  Otsego                NY  Worcester 1S
   0.05  Onondaga              NY  Syracuse AP
   0.04  Steuben               NY  Hartsville
   0.04  Otsego                NY  Oneonta Observer
   0.03  Livingston            NY  Avon
   0.03  Schoharie             NY  Cobleskill
   0.03  Delaware              NY  Long Eddy 6.5NNE COC
   0.03  Susquehanna           PA  Susquehanna St. Park
   0.02  Cayuga                NY  Auburn COOP
   0.02  Delaware              NY  East Sidney Dam
   0.02  Chenango              NY  Norwich
   0.02  Chenango              NY  Norwich 5.4W COCO

BESIDES A FEW SPRINKLES HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE GENERALLY DRY
CONDITIONS INTO MONDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS
THE BASINS MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

DAY ONE QPF IS ZERO. DAY TWO IS TENTH TO HALF AN INCH AND HIGHEST
JAMES BASIN. DAY THREE IS FOUR TENTHS TO A LITTLE OVER ONE INCH WITH
HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE FAR NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF OUR SERVICE AREA.

SEVERAL FOOT RISES ARE FORECAST ON DAY THREE IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE SUSQUEHANNA BASIN AND MINOR RISES IN THE UPPER DELAWARE BASIN.
NNNN





000
AGUS71 KRHA 131344
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
 944 AM EDT SUN APR 13 2014


RAIN SHOWERS WERE SCATTERED ACROSS OUR UPPER NORTHERN BASINS DURING
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS FROM 12Z SATURDAY TO 12Z
SUNDAY:

  Value  County                St  Location
   0.13  Oneida                NY  Westmoreland 4N
   0.10  Tioga                 PA  Covington 2WSW F&P
   0.07  Ulster                NY  Phoenicia
   0.06  Otsego                NY  Worcester 1S
   0.05  Onondaga              NY  Syracuse AP
   0.04  Steuben               NY  Hartsville
   0.04  Otsego                NY  Oneonta Observer
   0.03  Livingston            NY  Avon
   0.03  Schoharie             NY  Cobleskill
   0.03  Delaware              NY  Long Eddy 6.5NNE COC
   0.03  Susquehanna           PA  Susquehanna St. Park
   0.02  Cayuga                NY  Auburn COOP
   0.02  Delaware              NY  East Sidney Dam
   0.02  Chenango              NY  Norwich
   0.02  Chenango              NY  Norwich 5.4W COCO

BESIDES A FEW SPRINKLES HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE GENERALLY DRY
CONDITIONS INTO MONDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS
THE BASINS MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY NIGHT AS A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

DAY ONE QPF IS ZERO. DAY TWO IS TENTH TO HALF AN INCH AND HIGHEST
JAMES BASIN. DAY THREE IS FOUR TENTHS TO A LITTLE OVER ONE INCH WITH
HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN THE FAR NORTHEASTERN CORNER OF OUR SERVICE AREA.

SEVERAL FOOT RISES ARE FORECAST ON DAY THREE IN THE NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE SUSQUEHANNA BASIN AND MINOR RISES IN THE UPPER DELAWARE BASIN.






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