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000
AGUS71 KRHA 051425
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1025 AM EDT THU MAY 05 2016

...UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...

THE BEST CONCENTRATION OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY WAS
ACROSS VIRGINIA, THE EASTERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA AND COASTAL
NEW JERSEY WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDED ONE INCH.

 AMT    LOCATION                       COUNTY           ST   NWSID
 2.10   LYNCHBURG 6.7ESE COCO          CAMPBELL         VA   VACM04
 1.32   MONETA 4.8S COCO               BEDFORD          VA   VABD03
 1.30   PAW PAW                        MORGAN           WV   PAWW2
 1.28   SLANESVILLE 2.1SE COCO         HAMPSHIRE        WV   WVHM02
 1.27   CHARLOTTESVILLE CRN            ALBEMARLE        VA   CHAV2
 1.15   CHARLOTTESVILLE 2W             ALBEMARLE        VA   CRVV2
 1.10   SLANESVILLE MADIS              HAMPSHIRE        WV   EW0608
 1.07   SPERRYVILLE                    RAPPAHANNOCK     VA   SPYV2
 1.05   WOODBINE 5.1NE COCO            CAPE MAY         NJ   NJCM12
 1.05   OLDTOWN MADIS                  ALLEGANY         MD   DW1997
 1.00   WILLIAMSPORT                   WASHINGTON       MD   WLLM2
 0.98   DENNIS TWP MESONET             CAPE MAY         NJ   NJ02
 0.97   CRESAPTOWN-BELAIR 0.9SSE COCO  ALLEGANY         MD   MDAL02
 0.91   KENTS STORE MADIS              GOOCHLAND        VA   EW5821
 0.90   RIXEYVILLE 6.1N COCORAHS       CULPEPER         VA   VACP04

A STRONG UPPER LOW TRACKING FROM EASTERN KENTUCKY THIS MORNING TO
THE VIRGINIA TIDEWATER BY FRIDAY MORNING WILL BRING THE MOST
ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION TODAY TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN VIRGINIA. THE
HIGHEST FORECASTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE IN THE ONE TO TWO INCH
RANGE.

PRECIPITATION WILL SHIFT FURTHER NORTH ON FRIDAY INTO PENNSYLVANIA,
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK WHERE A WIDESPREAD ONE HALF TO ONE
INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED.

THE LOW WILL LIFT OUT SATURDAY WITH LINGERING SHOWERS. DRIER WEATHER
IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS, MOSTLY MINOR RISES ARE EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT THE BASINS INTO THE WEEKEND. MODERATE TO SHARP RISES MAY
OCCUR INTO FRIDAY ALONG SMALLER RIVERS AND CREEKS THROUGHOUT THE
JAMES AND POTOMAC BASINS.

TJR
NNNN








000
AGUS71 KRHA 041341
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
940 AM EDT WED MAY 04 2016

...UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY WERE MOST NUMEROUS ACROSS VIRGINIA
WHERE ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN FELL LOCALLY. ELSEWHERE, SHOWERS
PRODUCED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND ONE QUARTER INCH OR LESS.

 AMT    LOCATION                       COUNTY           ST   NWSID
 1.72   ROUND HILL 2.7WSW COCO         LOUDOUN          VA   VALD13
 1.71   DAYTON MADIS                   ROCKINGHAM       VA   CW7146
 1.67   CHARLESTOWN MADIS              JEFFERSON        WV   CW9485
 1.28   SHENANDOAH JUNCTION COCORAHS   JEFFERSON        WV   WVJF03
 1.22   LEWIS MTN CAMP IFLOW           PAGE             VA   LEWV2
 1.21   GREAT DISMAL SWAMP 8S NWR      INDEPENDENT CIT  VA   GDSV2
 1.19   HAYWOOD                        MADISON          VA   HWDV2
 1.12   FREDERICKSBURG COOP/IFLOWS     CITY OF FREDERC  VA   FEDV2
 1.05   CAPE CHARLES 5ENE CRN          NORTHAMPTON      VA   CCHV2
 1.00   REMINGTON F/P PRECIP           CULPEPER         VA   REMV2
 1.00   MATTHEWS ARM F/P PRE           PAGE             VA   MATV2
 0.97   WILLIAMSPORT                   WASHINGTON       MD   WLLM2
 0.90   WOODSTOCK 2 NE                 SHENANDOAH       VA   WOOV2
 0.90   SHEPHERDSTOWN                  JEFFERSON        WV   SHEW2
 0.90   NORTH 2WSW                     MATHEWS          VA   NTHV2

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF
RAINFALL.

A STRONG UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVE IN THE UPPER JAMES AND POTOMAC
BASINS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY
ACROSS VIRGINIA WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES EXPECTED.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SHIFT NORTH LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS FRIDAY OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH
ARE EXPECTED IN THE SUSQUEHANNA BASIN.

ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS, MINOR RISES ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE
BASINS INTO THE WEEKEND. MODERATE TO LOCALLY SHARP RISES MAY OCCUR
ON SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS NEAR STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL DECREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES OFF THE COAST SUNDAY.

TJR
NNNN








000
AGUS71 KRHA 041341
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
940 AM EDT WED MAY 04 2016

...UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND...

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY WERE MOST NUMEROUS ACROSS VIRGINIA
WHERE ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN FELL LOCALLY. ELSEWHERE, SHOWERS
PRODUCED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND ONE QUARTER INCH OR LESS.

 AMT    LOCATION                       COUNTY           ST   NWSID
 1.72   ROUND HILL 2.7WSW COCO         LOUDOUN          VA   VALD13
 1.71   DAYTON MADIS                   ROCKINGHAM       VA   CW7146
 1.67   CHARLESTOWN MADIS              JEFFERSON        WV   CW9485
 1.28   SHENANDOAH JUNCTION COCORAHS   JEFFERSON        WV   WVJF03
 1.22   LEWIS MTN CAMP IFLOW           PAGE             VA   LEWV2
 1.21   GREAT DISMAL SWAMP 8S NWR      INDEPENDENT CIT  VA   GDSV2
 1.19   HAYWOOD                        MADISON          VA   HWDV2
 1.12   FREDERICKSBURG COOP/IFLOWS     CITY OF FREDERC  VA   FEDV2
 1.05   CAPE CHARLES 5ENE CRN          NORTHAMPTON      VA   CCHV2
 1.00   REMINGTON F/P PRECIP           CULPEPER         VA   REMV2
 1.00   MATTHEWS ARM F/P PRE           PAGE             VA   MATV2
 0.97   WILLIAMSPORT                   WASHINGTON       MD   WLLM2
 0.90   WOODSTOCK 2 NE                 SHENANDOAH       VA   WOOV2
 0.90   SHEPHERDSTOWN                  JEFFERSON        WV   SHEW2
 0.90   NORTH 2WSW                     MATHEWS          VA   NTHV2

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON WITH SOME AREAS RECEIVING ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF
RAINFALL.

A STRONG UPPER LOW WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE REGION LATE TONIGHT AS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVE IN THE UPPER JAMES AND POTOMAC
BASINS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY
ACROSS VIRGINIA WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES EXPECTED.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SHIFT NORTH LATER THURSDAY NIGHT AND
FRIDAY. THE HIGHEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS FRIDAY OF ONE HALF TO ONE INCH
ARE EXPECTED IN THE SUSQUEHANNA BASIN.

ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS, MINOR RISES ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE
BASINS INTO THE WEEKEND. MODERATE TO LOCALLY SHARP RISES MAY OCCUR
ON SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS NEAR STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

CHANCES FOR SHOWERS WILL DECREASE OVER THE WEEKEND AS A COLD FRONT
MOVES OFF THE COAST SUNDAY.

TJR
NNNN








000
AGUS71 KRHA 031323
HMDRHA

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
MIDDLE ATLANTIC RIVER FORECAST CENTER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
920 AM EDT TUE MAY 03 2016

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOST NUMEROUS MONDAY ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN BASINS. LOCALLY, ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN
FELL IN PORTIONS OF VIRGINIA, MARYLAND AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

 AMT    LOCATION                       COUNTY           ST   NWSID
 2.63   NORBECK 1SE COCO               MONTGOMERY       MD   MDMG05
 2.45   WILLIAMSBURG 3.2WNW COCO       JAMES CITY       VA   VAJC16
 2.44   RESTON IFLOWS                  FAIRFAX          VA   RNSV2
 2.40   COLESVILLE 1.7W COCO           MONTGOMERY       MD   MDMG18
 2.31   GREENSBORO 1.4ENE COCO         CAROLINE         MD   MDCL09
 2.19   GLASGOW 1 SE                   AMHERST          VA   GLAV2
 2.16   HANOVER 5SW                    YORK             PA   UNNP1
 2.16   EASTON 1.2SSW COCO             TALBOT           MD   MDTB08
 2.13   LANCASTER AP                   LANCASTER        PA   LNS
 2.12   POTOMAC 0.9NNW COCO            MONTGOMERY       MD   MDMG03
 2.02   MT WOLF 1SE COCO               YORK             PA   PAYR20
 2.01   FARMVILLE 2SSW COCORAHS        PRINCE EDWARD    VA   VAPN02
 1.88   NORTH 2WSW                     MATHEWS          VA   NTHV2
 1.85   DALECARLIA RESERVOIR COOP      DISTRICT OF COL  DC   DALD2
 1.82   WILLIAMSBURG 1.4ENE COCO       JAMES CITY       VA   VAWLC02

SHOWERS TODAY WILL AGAIN BE MOST NUMEROUS ACROSS THE SOUTH AND EAST.
FORECASTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL MOSTLY BE LESS THAN ONE HALF INCH,
BUT LOCALLY OVER AN INCH IN PORTIONS OF EASTERN VIRGINIA. SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE TONIGHT.

ANOTHER DISTURBANCE WILL DROP SOUTHEAST FROM THE GREAT LAKES LATER
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THE HIGHEST QPF FROM THIS SYSTEM IS
EXPECTED TO BE FROM SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA THROUGH WESTERN
VIRGINIA WITH HALF TO ONE INCH AMOUNTS.

THE UPPER DISTURBANCE WILL SHIFT VERY SLOWLY EASTWARD LATER THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY WITH SHOWERS CONTINUING. GENERALLY LESS THAN ONE QUARTER
INCH IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE NORTH, WITH ONE HALF TO ONE INCH
EXPECTED IN THE SOUTH.

ON AREA RIVERS AND CREEKS, GENERALLY MINOR RISES ARE EXPECTED FROM
PENNSYLVANIA SOUTHWARD THROUGH VIRGINIA THE NEXT FEW DAYS. LOCALLY
SHARP RISES ARE POSSIBLE ON SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS NEAR STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS.

TJR
NNNN








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