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000
AGUS71 KTAR 261821
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
120 PM EST WED NOV 26 2014

*** HEAVY SNOW FOR INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND ***
*** HEAVY SNOW FOR INTERIOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK STATE ***
*** HEAVY RAIN FOR SOUTH COASTAL NEW ENGLAND ***

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
15Z ( 10 AM EST ) SURFACE AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW A 1006 MB LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF NORTH CAROLINA. THIS
LOW WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS..
.PASSING JUST EAST OF CAPE COD TONIGHT AND INTO NOVA SCOTIA
PROVINCE CANADA BY THANKSGIVING MORNING. THE STORM WILL TAP DEEP
ATLANTIC AND SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE BRINGING HEAVY
PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK STATE AND SOUTHERN...
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.
:
FOR MOST OF THE REGION THIS STORM WILL BRING SNOW...BUT INITIALLY
THE AIR ACROSS A LOT OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL SUPPORT RAIN
THIS MORNING WHICH WILL QUICKLY CHANGE TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON
EXCEPT FOR SOUTH COASTAL NEW ENGLAND AND MOST OF LONG ISLAND WHERE
THE BULK OF THIS STORM WILL BE RAIN.
:
BASIN AVERAGE MELTED EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION WILL BE HEAVIEST
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE EXTENDING ROUGHLY FROM HOULTON MAINE
TO PLYMOUTH NEW HAMPSHIRE TO NEWBURGH NEW YORK WHERE AMOUNTS ARE
FORECAST TO EXCEED AN INCH. AMOUNTS COULD APPROACH 2 INCHES ACROSS
FAR EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS WHERE THE
HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD OCCUR.
:
WE EXPECT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO APPROACH OR POSSIBLY EXCEED A FOOT
FROM CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS NORTHEAST INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/DOWNEAST MAINE.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER ACROSS WESTERN AND FAR
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF NEW YORK STATE AS WELL AS ACROSS NORTHWEST
VERMONT.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
RIVER LEVELS WERE STEADY OR FALLING AT MOST LOCATIONS WEDNESDAY
MORNING. SOME OF THE SLOWER RESPONDING LOCATIONS...SUCH AS
TONAWANDA CREEK NEAR RAPIDS, NY...WERE STILL RISING FROM THE RAIN
AND SNOW MELT EARLIER THIS WEEK. RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN
THE NERFC FORECAST AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
:
MINOR RISES ARE EXPECTED ON RIVERS IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND AND
ON LONG ISLAND...WHERE MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS WILL FALL AS RAIN. NORTHERN AND INTERIOR LOCATIONS WILL SEE
MOSTLY SNOW...SO LITTLE IF ANY HYDROLOGIC RESPONSE IS ANTICIPATED
.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE...7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS THE NERFC REGION ARE GENERALLY NORMAL TO BELOW
NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER.  EXCEPTIONS TO THIS TREND ARE IN WESTERN
AND NORTHERN NEW YORK...WHERE RAINFALL AND THE MELTING OF THE
RECENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW HAS RAISED FLOWS ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL
LEVELS.

:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS SHOWING THAT
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 2 2014.
IT WILL BE REPLACED BY A PRODUCT AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/BRIEFINGS
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:         RON HORWOOD
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                  JEFF OUELLET







000
AGUS71 KTAR 261551
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1048 AM EST WED NOV 26 2014

*** HEAVY SNOW FOR INTERIOR NEW ENGLAND ***
*** HEAVY SNOW FOR INTERIOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK STATE ***
*** HEAVY RAIN FOR SOUTH COASTAL NEW ENGLAND ***

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
15Z ( 10 AM EST ) SURFACE AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW A 1006 MB LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG THE EASTERN SHORE OF NORTH CAROLINA. THIS
LOW WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS..
.PASSING JUST EAST OF CAPE COD TONIGHT AND INTO NOVA SCOTIA
PROVINCE CANADA BY THANKSGIVING MORNING. THE STORM WILL TAP DEEP
ATLANTIC AND SOME SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE BRINGING HEAVY
PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK STATE AND SOUTHERN...
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.
:
FOR MOST OF THE REGION THIS STORM WILL BRING SNOW...BUT INITIALLY
THE AIR ACROSS A LOT OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL SUPPORT RAIN
THIS MORNING WHICH WILL QUICKLY CHANGE TO SNOW THIS AFTERNOON
EXCEPT FOR SOUTH COASTAL NEW ENGLAND AND MOST OF LONG ISLAND WHERE
THE BULK OF THIS STORM WILL BE RAIN.
:
BASIN AVERAGE MELTED EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION WILL BE HEAVIEST
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE EXTENDING ROUGHLY FROM HOULTON MAINE
TO PLYMOUTH NEW HAMPSHIRE TO NEWBURGH NEW YORK WHERE AMOUNTS ARE
FORECAST TO EXCEED AN INCH. AMOUNTS COULD APPROACH 2 INCHES ACROSS
FAR EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSACHUSETTS WHERE THE
HEAVIEST RAIN SHOULD OCCUR.
:
WE EXPECT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS TO APPROACH OR POSSIBLY EXCEED A FOOT
FROM CENTRAL PORTIONS OF MASSACHUSETTS NORTHEAST INTO INTERIOR
SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/DOWNEAST MAINE.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER ACROSS WESTERN AND FAR
NORTHERN PORTIONS OF NEW YORK STATE AS WELL AS ACROSS NORTHWEST
VERMONT.
:
$$
:
THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 2 2014.
IT WILL BE REPLACED BY A PRODUCT AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/BRIEFINGS
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:         RON HORWOOD
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                  JEFF OUELLET







000
AGUS71 KTAR 251806
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
104 PM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO HEAD SLOWLY EAST ACROSS EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND LATE THIS TUESDAY MORNING. RAINFALL WAS FAIRLY WIDESPREAD
DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. 24 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS RANGED
FROM 0.10 TO 0.80 INCH WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS BETWEEN 1 TO 1.4 INCHES WERE NOTED.
LESSER BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS FROM 0.10 INCH OR LESS WERE OBSERVED
ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK.
:
THE COLD FRONT WILL HEAD OFF THE COAST TODAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL
QUICKLY FORM ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST...CROSSING THE WATERS
SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE QUICKLY HEADING
OUT TO SEA BY THURSDAY MORNING.
:
THERMAL PROFILES APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR MOSTLY SNOW ACROSS INTERIOR
NEW ENGLAND AND EASTERN NEW YORK...AND A RAIN SNOW MIX ALONG THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST. HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 14 INCHES ARE
LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHERN AND INTERIOR EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW YORK.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE FORECAST PRECIPITATION TOTALS RANGE FROM 0.
25 TO 0.75 INCH ACROSS INTERIOR EASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND...0.75 TO 1.75 INCHES ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW
YORK AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND AND 0.25 INCH OR LESS OVER
WESTERN NEW YORK.
:
TOP TEN POINT TOTALS ACROSS THE BASINS DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS
ENDING 7AM THIS TUESDAY MORNING...
:
LOCATION                       AMOUNT IN INCHES
:
COVENTRY RHODE ISLAND             1.45
PINKHAM NOTCH NEW HAMPSHIRE       1.45
MONT MEGANTIC QUEBEC CANADA       1.19
BINGHAM MAINE                     1.05
WEST ROCKPORT MAINE               1.04
MACFARLAND HILL MAINE             1.00
TEMPLE 0.7 WNW MAINE              0.97
NEWCASTLE 2.1 SW MAINE            0.94
BLANCHARD MAINE                   0.93
HARTFORD MAINE                    0.93
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
SNOW MELT AND RAINFALL CAUSED FLOODING IN THE CREEKS OF WESTERN
NEW YORK MONDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS
EXPECTED ON ELLICOTT CREEK NEAR WILLIAMSVILLE, NY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA, NY WAS CRESTING
JUST OVER FLOOD STAGE LATE TUESDAY MORNING. IT WILL RECEDE BELOW
FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MINOR RIVER FLOODING WAS OBSERVED
ON CAZENOVIA CREEK...CAYUGA CREEK...AND BUFFALO CREEK MONDAY.
:
RIVER RISES ELSEWHERE WERE MOSTLY MINOR...GENERALLY TWO FEET OR
LESS. THE STAGES AT A FEW LOCATIONS WERE STILL RISING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...BUT THE LEVELS AT MOST LOCATIONS HAD CRESTED AND WERE
FALLING.
:
THE PRECIPITATION EXPECTED WEDNESDAY AND EARLY THURSDAY WILL CAUSE
ONLY MINOR RISES ON AREA RIVERS.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE...7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS THE NERFC REGION ARE GENERALLY NORMAL TO BELOW
NORMAL FOR LATE NOVEMBER.  EXCEPTIONS TO THIS TREND ARE IN WESTERN
AND NORTHERN NEW YORK...WHERE THE MELTING OF THE RECENT LAKE
EFFECT SNOW HAS RAISED FLOWS ABOVE SEASONAL NORMAL LEVELS.

:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS SHOWING THAT
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 2 2014.
IT WILL BE REPLACED BY A PRODUCT AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/BRIEFINGS
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:         NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                  JEFF OUELLET







000
AGUS71 KTAR 251655
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1155 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO HEAD SLOWLY EAST ACROSS EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND LATE THIS TUESDAY MORNING. RAINFALL WAS FAIRLY WIDESPREAD
DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. 24 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS RANGED
FROM 0.10 TO 0.80 INCH WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS BETWEEN 1 TO 1.4 INCHES WERE NOTED.
LESSER BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS FROM 0.10 INCH OR LESS WERE OBSERVED
ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK.
:
THE COLD FRONT WILL HEAD OFF THE COAST TODAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL
QUICKLY FORM ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST...CROSSING THE WATERS
SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE QUICKLY HEADING
OUT TO SEA BY THURSDAY MORNING.
:
THERMAL PROFILES APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR MOSTLY SNOW ACROSS INTERIOR
NEW ENGLAND AND EASTERN NEW YORK...AND A RAIN SNOW MIX ALONG THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST. HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 14 INCHES ARE
LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHERN AND INTERIOR EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW YORK.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE FORECAST PRECIPITATION TOTALS RANGE FROM 0.
25 TO 0.75 INCH ACROSS INTERIOR EASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND...0.75 TO 1.75 INCHES ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW
YORK AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND AND 0.25 INCH OR LESS OVER
WESTERN NEW YORK.
:
TOP TEN POINT TOTALS ACROSS THE BASINS DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS
ENDING 7AM THIS TUESDAY MORNING...
:
LOCATION                       AMOUNT IN INCHES
:
COVENTRY RHODE ISLAND             1.45
PINKHAM NOTCH NEW HAMPSHIRE       1.45
MONT MEGANTIC QUEBEC CANADA       1.19
BINGHAM MAINE                     1.05
WEST ROCKPORT MAINE               1.04
MACFARLAND HILL MAINE             1.00
TEMPLE 0.7 WNW MAINE              0.97
NEWCASTLE 2.1 SW MAINE            0.94
BLANCHARD MAINE                   0.93
HARTFORD MAINE                    0.93
:
$$
:
THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 2 2014.
IT WILL BE REPLACED BY A PRODUCT AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/BRIEFINGS
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:         NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                  JEFF OUELLET







000
AGUS71 KTAR 251655
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1155 AM EST TUE NOV 25 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO HEAD SLOWLY EAST ACROSS EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND LATE THIS TUESDAY MORNING. RAINFALL WAS FAIRLY WIDESPREAD
DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. 24 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS RANGED
FROM 0.10 TO 0.80 INCH WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS IN EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS BETWEEN 1 TO 1.4 INCHES WERE NOTED.
LESSER BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS FROM 0.10 INCH OR LESS WERE OBSERVED
ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK.
:
THE COLD FRONT WILL HEAD OFF THE COAST TODAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL
QUICKLY FORM ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM
WILL INTENSIFY AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST...CROSSING THE WATERS
SOUTHEAST OF NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY EVENING BEFORE QUICKLY HEADING
OUT TO SEA BY THURSDAY MORNING.
:
THERMAL PROFILES APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR MOSTLY SNOW ACROSS INTERIOR
NEW ENGLAND AND EASTERN NEW YORK...AND A RAIN SNOW MIX ALONG THE
NEW ENGLAND COAST. HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 14 INCHES ARE
LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF INTERIOR SOUTHERN AND INTERIOR EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW YORK.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE FORECAST PRECIPITATION TOTALS RANGE FROM 0.
25 TO 0.75 INCH ACROSS INTERIOR EASTERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND...0.75 TO 1.75 INCHES ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN NEW
YORK AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND AND 0.25 INCH OR LESS OVER
WESTERN NEW YORK.
:
TOP TEN POINT TOTALS ACROSS THE BASINS DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS
ENDING 7AM THIS TUESDAY MORNING...
:
LOCATION                       AMOUNT IN INCHES
:
COVENTRY RHODE ISLAND             1.45
PINKHAM NOTCH NEW HAMPSHIRE       1.45
MONT MEGANTIC QUEBEC CANADA       1.19
BINGHAM MAINE                     1.05
WEST ROCKPORT MAINE               1.04
MACFARLAND HILL MAINE             1.00
TEMPLE 0.7 WNW MAINE              0.97
NEWCASTLE 2.1 SW MAINE            0.94
BLANCHARD MAINE                   0.93
HARTFORD MAINE                    0.93
:
$$
:
THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 2 2014.
IT WILL BE REPLACED BY A PRODUCT AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/BRIEFINGS
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:         NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                  JEFF OUELLET







000
AGUS71 KTAR 241739
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1238 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A COLD FRONT WAS APPROACHING THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES LATE THIS
MONDAY MORNING. RAIN HAD OVERSPREAD MOST OF NEW YORK AND NEW
ENGLAND OVERNIGHT AND WAS NOW CONCENTRATED OVER EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND.
:
24 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS ENDING 7AM THIS MONDAY MORNING
RANGED FROM 0.10 INCH OR LESS ACROSS SOME OF THE WESTERN NEW YORK
BASINS AND IN MAINE...AND GENERALLY 0.25 TO 0.75 INCH ELSEWHERE.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WERE NOTED IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
NEW YORK AND CONNECTICUT. TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WERE GENERALLY
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 60S SOUTH...A BIT COOLER IN FAR NORTHERN
MAINE.
:
A COLD FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS WILL BECOME LESS NUMEROUS ACROSS
EASTERN MAINE AND WILL BECOME WIDELY SCATTERED ELSEWHERE.
:
A COASTAL LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND THIS SYSTEM
WILL LIKELY BRING WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT SNOW TO INTERIOR NEW
ENGLAND AND EASTERN NEW YORK...AND A RAIN SNOW MIX ALONG THE COAST
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING RANGE FROM 0.25 TO 0.65 INCH EAST AND LESS THAN 0.25 INCH
ELSEWHERE. SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO.
:
TOP TEN 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION POINT TOTALS ENDING 7AM MONDAY
MORNING...
:
LOCATION                     AMOUNT IN INCHES
:
TANNERSVILLE NEW YORK                1.30
PHOENICIA NEW YORK                   1.16
PEEKSKILL NEW YORK                   1.14
WHITE PLAINS NEW YORK                1.10
DANBURY NEW YORK                     1.09
SOUTH SALEM NEW YORK                 1.09
BEARSVILLE NEW YORK                  1.02
COLD SPRINGS 8.1 NE NEW YORK         1.00
UNION CITY CONNECTICUT               1.00
ROCK HILL NEW YORK                   0.97

:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
NERFC FORECAST POINTS FROM WESTERN NEW YORK TO NORTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE HAVE STARTED RESPONDING TO THE RAINS THAT OVERSPREAD THE
REGION EARLY THIS MORNING.  RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
RESPONDING OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.  RIVER RISES OF UP TO 2 FEET
WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE REGION, WITH A FEW LOCATIONS IN
NORTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK RISING UP TO 3 FEET.
:
IN FAR WESTERN NEW YORK, WHERE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW FELL LAST
WEEK, THE RAIN AND WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE RESULTED IN AN
ACCELERATED SNOW MELT PROCESS THAT HAS INCREASED RIVER LEVELS
BETWEEN 4 AND 7 FEET.  CREEKS IN THE URBAN BUFFALO AREA,
INCLUDING CAZENOVIA CREEK, BUFFALO CREEK, ELLICOTT CREEK, AND
CAYUGA CREEK, HAVE EITHER REACHED THEIR MINOR FLOOD STAGES OR ARE
FORECAST TO REACH THOSE STAGES SHORTLY.  NONE OF THESE LOCATIONS
IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REACH MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE...7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS THE NERFC REGION ARE GENERALLY NORMAL TO BELOW
NORMAL FOR LATE-NOVEMBER.  EXCEPTIONS TO THIS TREND ARE IN THE
UPPER HUDSON RIVER BASIN AND IN THE PAWCATUCK RIVER BASIN IN
SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND/CONNECTICUT, WHERE FLOWS ARE BELOW NORMAL TO
MUCH BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS PERIOD.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DUE TO SNOW MELTING IN FAR WESTERN NEW
YORK DURING THE PERIOD BETWEEN ENDING NOVEMBER 25.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE FOR THE NORTHEAST -- 3 HOUR GUIDANCE BY STATE
AND COUNTIES WITH LOWEST GUIDANCE VALUES:

$$
:
THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 2 2014.
IT WILL BE REPLACED BY A PRODUCT AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/BRIEFINGS
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:         NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                  BILL SAUNDERS







000
AGUS71 KTAR 241735
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1233 PM EST MON NOV 24 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A COLD FRONT WAS APPROACHING THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES LATE THIS
MONDAY MORNING. RAIN HAD OVERSPREAD MOST OF NEW YORK AND NEW
ENGLAND OVERNIGHT AND WAS NOW CONCENTRATED OVER EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND.
:
24 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS ENDING 7AM THIS MONDAY MORNING
RANGED FROM 0.10 INCH OR LESS ACROSS SOME OF THE WESTERN NEW YORK
BASINS AND IN MAINE...AND GENERALLY 0.25 TO 0.75 INCH ELSEWHERE.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WERE NOTED IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
NEW YORK AND CONNECTICUT. TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WERE GENERALLY
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 60S SOUTH...A BIT COOLER IN FAR NORTHERN
MAINE.
:
A COLD FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS WILL BECOME LESS NUMEROUS ACROSS
EASTERN MAINE AND WILL BECOME WIDELY SCATTERED ELSEWHERE.
:
A COASTAL LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD MIXED RAIN AND SNOW TO NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING RANGE FROM 0.25 TO 0.65 INCH EAST AND LESS THAN 0.25 INCH
ELSEWHERE. SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO.
:
TOP TEN 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION POINT TOTALS ENDING 7AM MONDAY
MORNING...
:
LOCATION                     AMOUNT IN INCHES
:
TANNERSVILLE NEW YORK                1.30
PHOENICIA NEW YORK                   1.16
PEEKSKILL NEW YORK                   1.14
WHITE PLAINS NEW YORK                1.10
DANBURY NEW YORK                     1.09
SOUTH SALEM NEW YORK                 1.09
BEARSVILLE NEW YORK                  1.02
COLD SPRINGS 8.1 NE NEW YORK         1.00
UNION CITY CONNECTICUT               1.00
ROCK HILL NEW YORK                   0.97

:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
NERFC FORECAST POINTS FROM WESTERN NEW YORK TO NORTHERN NEW
HAMPSHIRE HAVE STARTED RESPONDING TO THE RAINS THAT OVERSPREAD THE
REGION EARLY THIS MORNING.  RIVERS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
RESPONDING OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS.  RIVER RISES OF UP TO 2 FEET
WILL BE COMMON ACROSS THE REGION, WITH A FEW LOCATIONS IN
NORTHERN VERMONT AND EASTERN NEW YORK RISING UP TO 3 FEET.
:
IN FAR WESTERN NEW YORK, WHERE HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW FELL LAST
WEEK, THE RAIN AND WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE RESULTED IN AN
ACCELERATED SNOW MELT PROCESS THAT HAS INCREASED RIVER LEVELS
BETWEEN 4 AND 7 FEET.  CREEKS IN THE URBAN BUFFALO AREA,
INCLUDING CAZENOVIA CREEK, BUFFALO CREEK, ELLICOTT CREEK, AND
CAYUGA CREEK, HAVE EITHER REACHED THEIR MINOR FLOOD STAGES OR ARE
FORECAST TO REACH THOSE STAGES SHORTLY.  NONE OF THESE LOCATIONS
IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO REACH MODERATE FLOOD STAGE.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE...7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS THE NERFC REGION ARE GENERALLY NORMAL TO BELOW
NORMAL FOR LATE-NOVEMBER.  EXCEPTIONS TO THIS TREND ARE IN THE
UPPER HUDSON RIVER BASIN AND IN THE PAWCATUCK RIVER BASIN IN
SOUTHERN RHODE ISLAND/CONNECTICUT, WHERE FLOWS ARE BELOW NORMAL TO
MUCH BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS PERIOD.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DUE TO SNOW MELTING IN FAR WESTERN NEW
YORK DURING THE PERIOD BETWEEN ENDING NOVEMBER 25.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 2 2014.
IT WILL BE REPLACED BY A PRODUCT AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/BRIEFINGS
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:         NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                  BILL SAUNDERS







000
AGUS71 KTAR 241657
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1157 AM EST MON NOV 24 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A COLD FRONT WAS APPROACHING THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES LATE THIS
MONDAY MORNING. RAIN HAD OVERSPREAD MOST OF NEW YORK AND NEW
ENGLAND OVERNIGHT AND WAS NOW CONCENTRATED OVER EASTERN NEW
ENGLAND.
:
24 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS ENDING 7AM THIS MONDAY MORNING
RANGED FROM 0.10 INCH OR LESS ACROSS SOME OF THE WESTERN NEW YORK
BASINS AND IN MAINE...AND GENERALLY 0.25 TO 0.75 INCH ELSEWHERE.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WERE NOTED IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
NEW YORK AND CONNECTICUT. TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WERE GENERALLY
IN THE 40S NORTH AND 60S SOUTH...A BIT COOLER IN FAR NORTHERN
MAINE.
:
A COLD FRONT WILL SWING ACROSS NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. SHOWERS WILL BECOME LESS NUMEROUS ACROSS
EASTERN MAINE AND WILL BECOME WIDELY SCATTERED ELSEWHERE.
:
A COASTAL LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING WIDESPREAD MIXED RAIN AND SNOW TO NEW ENGLAND WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
MORNING RANGE FROM 0.25 TO 0.65 INCH EAST AND LESS THAN 0.25 INCH
ELSEWHERE. SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE EAST OF LAKES
ERIE AND ONTARIO.
:
TOP TEN 24 HOUR PRECIPITATION POINT TOTALS ENDING 7AM MONDAY
MORNING...
:
LOCATION                     AMOUNT IN INCHES
:
TANNERSVILLE NEW YORK                1.30
PHOENICIA NEW YORK                   1.16
PEEKSKILL NEW YORK                   1.14
WHITE PLAINS NEW YORK                1.10
DANBURY NEW YORK                     1.09
SOUTH SALEM NEW YORK                 1.09
BEARSVILLE NEW YORK                  1.02
COLD SPRINGS 8.1 NE NEW YORK         1.00
UNION CITY CONNECTICUT               1.00
ROCK HILL NEW YORK                   0.97

:
$$
:
THIS TEXT PRODUCT WILL BE DISCONTINUED EFFECTIVE DECEMBER 2 2014.
IT WILL BE REPLACED BY A PRODUCT AVAILABLE ON OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/BRIEFINGS
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:         NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                  BILL SAUNDERS







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