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000
AGUS71 KTAR 231535
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1129 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NEW YORK AND
NEW ENGLAND TODAY.  AS THIS SYSTEM SHIFTS EAST INTO THE GULF OF
MAINE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IT WILL TRIGGER RAINFALL OVER MUCH
OF REGION.  THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS WILL BE IN THE EASTERN HALF OF
MAINE WHERE BASIN AVERAGES OF ABOUT A HALF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED.
THE REMAINDER OF NEW ENGLAND WILL RECEIVE CLOSER TO A TENTH OF AN
INCH WHILE NEW YORK WILL GET JUST A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF
PRECIPITATION.
:
RAINFALL DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS WAS HIGHEST IN THE EASTERN HALF
OF MAINE WHERE ABOUT A HALF AN INCH WAS REPORTED.  WESTERN NEW
YORK, SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND RECEIVED CLOSER
TO 0.25 INCHES.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
MINOR FLOODING IS STILL OCCURRING AT THESE FORECAST LOCATIONS:
:
MATTAWAMKEAG RIVER AT MATTAWAMKEAG, ME
RICHELIEU RIVER AT ROUSES POINT, NY
:
MINOR RISES OF 1-2 FEET WERE OBSERVED ON THE RIVERS ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND FROM THE RAIN THAT FELL ACROSS THE REGION
OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS COMBINED WITH SNOWMELT RUNOFF.  MOST OF THE
FAST RESPONDING RIVERS HAVE CRESTED OR ARE AT CREST NOW, THE
SLOWER RESPONDING RIVERS WILL CONTINUE SLOWLY RISING THROUGHOUT
THE DAY.
:
THE RIVERS ACROSS THE REST OF THE REGION ONLY SAW VERY MINOR RISES
, MOSTLY LESS THAN A HALF FOOT, FROM THE RAINFALL.
:
MINOR RISES ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE TODAY FROM THE CONTINUED SHOWER
ACTIVITY. DRIER WEATHER WILL MOVE IN FOR THURSDAY, ALLOWING RIVERS
TO BEGIN RECEDING FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
AS INDICATED BY THE NERFC 5-DAY SIGNIFICANT FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC,
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://W2.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:  NORM BINGHAM
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:           ALISON MACNEIL








000
AGUS71 KTAR 231358
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
958 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS NEW YORK AND
NEW ENGLAND TODAY.  AS THIS SYSTEM SHIFTS EAST INTO THE GULF OF
MAINE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS IT WILL TRIGGER RAINFALL OVER MUCH
OF REGION.  THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS WILL BE IN THE EASTERN HALF OF
MAINE WHERE BASIN AVERAGES OF ABOUT A HALF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED.
THE REMAINDER OF NEW ENGLAND WILL RECEIVE CLOSER TO A TENTH OF AN
INCH WHILE NEW YORK WILL GET JUST A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH OF
PRECIPITATION.
:
RAINFALL DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS WAS HIGHEST IN THE EASTERN HALF
OF MAINE WHERE ABOUT A HALF AN INCH WAS REPORTED.  WESTERN NEW
YORK, SOUTHERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND RECEIVED CLOSER
TO 0.25 INCHES.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
AS INDICATED BY THE NERFC 5-DAY SIGNIFICANT FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC,
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://W2.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:  NORM BINGHAM
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:           ALISON MACNEAL








000
AGUS71 KTAR 221604
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1203 PM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE REGION CAUSING
RAINFALL IN NEW YORK.  THE ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE WILL KEEP RAIN
IN THE FORECAST INTO THURSDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.  BASIN
AVERAGE AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS WILL BE UP TO 1.5 INCHES IN
NORTHERN MAINE BUT WILL BE CLOSER TO A HALF INCH IN THE REMAINDER
OF NEW ENGLAND AND IN NEW YORK.  AN INCH OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN
NORTHERN MAINE NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD.  HIGH PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY FRIDAY.
:
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
MINOR FLOODING IS STILL OCCURRING AT THESE FORECAST LOCATIONS:
:
MATTAWAMKEAG RIVER AT MATTAWAMKEAG, ME
RICHELIEU RIVER AT ROUSES POINT, NY
:
MINOR DIURNAL RISES FROM SNOWMELT ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS ON SOME OF THE RIVERS IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WHERE THERE IS
STILL SOME REMAINING SNOWPACK.  OTHERWISE, RIVERS THROUGHOUT THE
REST OF THE REGION WILL CONTINUE RECESSIONS THROUGH TONIGHT.
:
SOME MINOR RISES BETWEEN 1 AND 3 FEET ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH WEDNEDSDAY IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS THE RAIN FROM THE
ADVANCING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE AREA.  RIVER
LEVELS HAVE RECEDED ENOUGH OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS THAT FLOODING IS
NOT EXPECTED FROM THIS EVENT.  HOWEVER, THE SACO RIVER AT CONWAY,
NH, SWIFT RIVER AT ROXBURY, ME, AND CONNECTICUT RIVER AT DALTON,
NH ARE FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE THEIR ACTION STAGES.  THE MINOR
FLOODING ON THE RICHELIEU AND MATTAWAMKEAG RIVERS IS NOT EXPECTED
TO BE EXACERBATED BY THE FORECAST RAINFALL.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
AS INDICATED BY THE NERFC 5-DAY SIGNIFICANT FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC,
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://W2.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:  NORM BINGHAM
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:           BILL SAUNDERS








000
AGUS71 KTAR 221347
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
946 AM EDT TUE APR 22 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS THE REGION CAUSING
RAINFALL IN NEW YORK.  THE ASSOCIATED LOW PRESSURE WILL KEEP RAIN
IN THE FORECAST INTO THURSDAY FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.  BASIN
AVERAGE AMOUNTS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS WILL BE UP TO 1.5 INCHES IN
NORTHERN MAINE BUT WILL BE CLOSER TO A HALF INCH IN THE REMAINDER
OF NEW ENGLAND AND IN NEW YORK.  AN INCH OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN
NORTHERN MAINE NEAR THE END OF THE PERIOD.  HIGH PRESSURE IS
EXPECTED TO BUILD IN BY FRIDAY.
:
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
AS INDICATED BY THE NERFC 5-DAY SIGNIFICANT FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC,
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://W2.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:  NORM BINGHAM
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:           BILL SAUNDERS








000
AGUS71 KTAR 211536
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1134 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
MID-MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CLOUDINESS MOVING
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WARM FRONT. NOTHING MORE
THAN A FEW SPRINKLES ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THESE AREAS.
OVERNIGHT...SOME LIGHT RAIN/RAINSHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WESTERN/NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND FAR NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE RAIN AND RAINSHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WORK ACROSS NEW YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND.
:
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MIGRATE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY IN
RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NEAR THE NEW ENGLAND
SOUTH COAST. THIS SHOULD ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES ACROSS ESPECIALLY
MAINE WHERE RAINFALL MAY LINGER ALL THE WAY INTO THURSDAY
ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. BASIN AVERAGE
RAINFALL THROUGH 8 AM EDT THURSDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE MAXIMIZED
ACROSS MAINE WITH 0.50 - 1.00+ INCHES EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST
AMOUNTS NEAR THE BORDER WITH NEW BRUNSWICK PROVINCE CANADA. THE
RAIN COULD EVEN MIX WITH A LITTLE SNOW LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE. LESS RAINFALL...NEAR
OR LESS THAN 0.25 INCHES...IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST SECTIONS
OF NEW YORK STATE AND SOUTHWEST NEW ENGLAND.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG THE FOLLOWING RIVER FORECAST
LOCATIONS:
:
MATTAWAMKEAG RIVER AT MATTAWAMKEAG, ME
CONNECTICUT RIVER AT MIDDLE HADDAM, CT
RICHELIEU RIVER AT ROUSES POINT, NY
RICHELIEU RIVER AT ST JEAN, QUEBEC
SCHROON RIVER AT RIVERBANK, NY
:
MINOR DIURNAL RISES FROM SNOWMELT ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS ON SOME OF THE RIVERS IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WHERE THERE IS
STILL AN APPRECIABLE SNOWPACK.  THE RIVERS IN THE REST OF THE
REGION WILL BE RECEDING THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY EVENING.
:
MINOR RISES ARE LIKELY TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNEDSDAY FROM THE
RAIN FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL
SEE MORE MODERATE RISES ALONG SOME OF THE FASTER RESPONDING RIVERS
WHERE SNOWMELT RUNOFF WILL COMBINE WITH THE RAIN.  RIVER LEVELS
HAVE RECEDED ENOUGH OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS, SO RIVER FLOODING IS
NOT EXPECTED FROM THIS EVENT. HOWEVER, THE SACO RIVER AT CONWAY,
NH AND THE SWIFT RIVER AT ROXBURY, ME ARE BOTH FORECAST TO RISE
ABOVE ACTION STAGE. FOR THOSE LOCATIONS THAT WILL STILL BE ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY EVENING, THE RAINFALL AND SNOWMELT WILL JUST
SLOW THE RECESSION RATES.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
AS INDICATED BY THE NERFC 5-DAY SIGNIFICANT FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC,
SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://W2.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:  RON HORWOOD
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:           ALISON MACNEIL








000
AGUS71 KTAR 211433
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1030 AM EDT MON APR 21 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
MID-MORNING VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CLOUDINESS MOVING
ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WARM FRONT. NOTHING MORE
THAN A FEW SPRINKLES ARE EXPECTED TODAY ACROSS THESE AREAS.
OVERNIGHT...SOME LIGHT RAIN/RAINSHOWERS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WESTERN/NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND FAR NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND. THE RAIN AND RAINSHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WORK ACROSS NEW YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND.
:
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN AND MIGRATE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS NEW ENGLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY IN
RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH NEAR THE NEW ENGLAND
SOUTH COAST. THIS SHOULD ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES ACROSS ESPECIALLY
MAINE WHERE RAINFALL MAY LINGER ALL THE WAY INTO THURSDAY
ESPECIALLY ACROSS EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE STATE. BASIN AVERAGE
RAINFALL THROUGH 8 AM EDT THURSDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE MAXIMIZED
ACROSS MAINE WITH 0.50 - 1.00+ INCHES EXPECTED WITH THE HEAVIEST
AMOUNTS NEAR THE BORDER WITH NEW BRUNSWICK PROVINCE CANADA. THE
RAIN COULD EVEN MIX WITH A LITTLE SNOW LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE. LESS RAINFALL...NEAR
OR LESS THAN 0.25 INCHES...IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST SECTIONS
OF NEW YORK STATE AND SOUTHWEST NEW ENGLAND.
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:  RON HORWOOD
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:           ALISON MACNEIL








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