Home > Products > Valid Products > HMD

000
AGUS71 KTAR 291554
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1150 AM EDT TUE JUL 29 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BROUGHT HEAVY RAINS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK, NEAR ROCHESTER, OVER
THE 24-HOUR PERIOD ENDING AT 12Z TUESDAY MORNING.  DAILY TOTALS
WERE GREATEST IN THE AREA NEAR ROCHESTER, WITH AVON AND
CANANDAIGUA BOTH REPORTING AMOUNTS ABOVE 3.5 INCHES.  AMOUNTS FROM
2.5 TO 3.0 INCHES FELL ACROSS CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE TO WESTERN
MAINE.
:
AS THIS SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF MAINE, A BRIEF RESPITE
WILL BE FELT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING,
WHEN A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL BRING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS FROM WESTERN
NEW YORK TO THE ADIRONDACKS.  THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO
WILL SEE AN ADDITIONAL 0.33 TO 0.5 INCHES THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY.
PRECIPITATION TOTALS EAST OF AN AXIS FROM NORTHERN VERMONT TO
BINGHAMTON, NY WILL BE 0.1 INCHES OR LESS.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION, RIVER LEVELS WILL CREST
TODAY AND BEGIN TO RECEDE  OR CONTINUE TO RECEDE AT LEAST INTO
THURSDAY MORNING.
:
SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL RESULTED IN RISING
RIVER RESPONSES ANYWHERE FROM MINOR TO NEAR BANK-FULL YESTERDAY.
THE WILLIAMS RIVER NEAR ROCKINGHAM VT RESPONDED SIGNIFICANTLY WITH
A VERY RAPID RISE OF NEAR 4 FT IN AN HOUR AND EXCEEDED MINOR
FLOOD LEVEL DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON YESTERDAY.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATERWATCH WEBPAGE, 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS RELATIVE TO HISTORICALLY RECORDED FLOWS FOR YESTERDAY,
7/28 GENERALLY RANGE FROM WELL ABOVE NORMAL TO WELL BELOW NORMAL
ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND NEW YORK STATE. ABOVE NORMAL FLOW
CONDITIONS ARE SITUATED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK STATE INTO
WESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND CENTRAL TO
SOUTHWESTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE. BELOW NORMAL FLOW CONDITIONS ARE
DOMINANT IN EASTERN-CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS, EASTERN CONNECTICUT,
MOST OF RHODE ISLAND AND EXTREME NORTHERN MAINE. ELSEWHERE, 7-DAY
AVERAGE FLOW CONDITIONS ARE THE NORMAL RANGE.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       BILL SAUNDERS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                ERICK BOEHMLER






000
AGUS71 KTAR 291350
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
950 AM EDT TUE JUL 29 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS BROUGHT HEAVY RAINS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK, NEAR ROCHESTER, OVER
THE 24-HOUR PERIOD ENDING AT 12Z TUESDAY MORNING.  DAILY TOTALS
WERE GREATEST IN THE AREA NEAR ROCHESTER, WITH AVON AND
CANANDAIGUA BOTH REPORTING AMOUNTS ABOVE 3.5 INCHES.  2.5 TO 3.0
INCHES FELL ACROSS CENTRAL NEW HAMPSHIRE TO WESTERN MAINE.
:
AS THIS SYSTEM LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD OUT OF MAINE, A BRIEF RESPITE
WILL BE FELT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING,
WHEN A WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL BRING ADDITIONAL SHOWERS FROM WESTERN
NEW YORK TO THE ADIRONDACKS.  THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO
WILL SEE AN ADDITIONAL 0.33 TO 0.5 INCHES THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY.
PRECIPITATION TOTALS EAST OF AN AXIS FROM NORTHERN VERMONT TO
BINGHAMTON, NY WILL BE 0.1 INCHES OR LESS.
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       BILL SAUNDERS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                ERICK BOEHMLER






000
AGUS71 KTAR 281538
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1135 AM EDT MON JUL 28 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
14Z ( 10 AM EDT ) WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG UPPER CLOSED
LOW SWINGING THROUGH WESTERN NEW YORK STATE. AT THE SURFACE...AN
ANOMALOUSLY STRONG 999 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FOR JULY IS CENTERED
ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES REGION OF NEW YORK STATE WITH A WARM
FRONT EXTENDING EAST INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. A SOUTHERLY FLOW
OF WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL BE LIFTED OVER THE WARM FRONT...CAUSING
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE RAINFALL WILL BE ENHANCED BY THE SOUTH
FACING SLOPES OF THE WHITE AND WESTERN MAINE MOUNTAINS AS WELL.
:
ALSO ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN NEW YORK STATE ON THE BACK SIDE
OF THE LOW...SLOW MOVING RAINBANDS WILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AS WELL.
:
BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL THROUGH 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY MORNING IS
FORECAST TO BE HIGHEST FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS OF BOTH
VERMONT AND NEW HAMPSHIRE NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN MAINE WHERE
AMOUNTS OF 1.00 - 2.00 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH EMBEDDED HIGHER
POINT RAINFALLS. THE RAINFALL WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER ACROSS
SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND AND LONG ISLAND WHERE LITTLE OR
NO ORGANIZED RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
:
OVER THE PAST 24-HOUR PERIOD ENDING AT 8 AM EDT THIS MONDAY
MORNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WAS CONCENTRATED WITH CLUSTERS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OCCURRED IN AND
AROUND ROCHESTER NEW YORK...FROM ALBANY NEW YORK EAST INTO THE
BERKSHIRES OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
VERMONT AND CLOSE TO PORTLAND MAINE. SEVERAL RAINFALL REPORTS IN
THESE AREAS EXCEEDED 2 INCHES. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL REPORT
RECEIVED AT THE NERFC THIS MORNING FOR THE PAST 24-HOUR PERIOD
CAME FROM WORTHINGTON IN THE BERKSHIRES OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
MINOR TO MODERATE RISES ARE FORECAST FOR MANY OF THE RIVERS ACROSS
THE NORTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24-48 HOURS FROM THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. RAINFALL RATES OF 1+ INCH PER HOUR WILL CAUSE SHARP RISES
ALONG SOME OF THE SMALLER, FASTER RESPONDING RIVERS.
NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST, BUT THE PEMIGEWASSET RIVER AT
WOODSTOCK, NH, OTTER CREEK AT CENTER RUTLAND, VT, OATKA CREEK AT
GARBUTT, NY AND BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE, NY ARE ALL FORECAST TO
CREST AT OR ABOVE ACTION STAGE.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATERWATCH WEBPAGE, 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ARE IN THE NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL RANGE FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR FOR MOST OF THE REGION. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE BEING SEEN IN
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND EXTREME NORTHERN MAINE WHERE
BELOW NORMAL FLOWS ARE BEING REPORTED.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       RON HORWOOD
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                ALISON MACNEIL






000
AGUS71 KTAR 281440
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1038 AM EDT MON JUL 28 2014

*** HEAVY RAINFALL FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN/WESTERN NEW YORK STATE ***
*** HEAVY RAINFALL FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL/NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ***
*** FLASH FLOOD THREAT HIGH FOR ABOVE MENTIONED AREAS TODAY ***

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
14Z ( 10 AM EDT ) WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG UPPER CLOSED
LOW SWINGING THROUGH WESTERN NEW YORK STATE. AT THE SURFACE...AN
ANOMALOUSLY STRONG 999 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FOR JULY IS CENTERED
ACROSS THE FINGER LAKES REGION OF NEW YORK STATE WITH A WARM
FRONT EXTENDING EAST INTO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. A SOUTHERLY FLOW
OF WARM AND MOIST AIR WILL BE LIFTED OVER THE WARM FRONT...CAUSING
HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE RAINFALL WILL BE ENHANCED BY THE SOUTH
FACING SLOPES OF THE WHITE AND WESTERN MAINE MOUNTAINS AS WELL.
:
ALSO ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN NEW YORK STATE ON THE BACK SIDE
OF THE LOW...SLOW MOVING RAINBANDS WILL BRING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AS WELL.
:
BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL THROUGH 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY MORNING IS
FORECAST TO BE HIGHEST FROM CENTRAL AND NORTHERN AREAS OF BOTH
VERMONT AND NEW HAMPSHIRE NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN MAINE WHERE
AMOUNTS OF 1.00 - 2.00 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH EMBEDDED HIGHER
POINT RAINFALLS. THE RAINFALL WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER ACROSS
SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND AND LONG ISLAND WHERE LITTLE OR
NO ORGANIZED RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.
:
OVER THE PAST 24-HOUR PERIOD ENDING AT 8 AM EDT THIS MONDAY
MORNING...VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WAS CONCENTRATED WITH CLUSTERS OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL OCCURRED IN AND
AROUND ROCHESTER NEW YORK...FROM ALBANY NEW YORK EAST INTO THE
BERKSHIRES OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS...ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
VERMONT AND CLOSE TO PORTLAND MAINE. SEVERAL RAINFALL REPORTS IN
THESE AREAS EXCEEDED 2 INCHES. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL REPORT
RECEIVED AT THE NERFC THIS MORNING FOR THE PAST 24-HOUR PERIOD
CAME FROM WORTHINGTON IN THE BERKSHIRES OF WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS.
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       RON HORWOOD
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                ALISON MACNEIL






000
AGUS71 KTAR 271520
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1118 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH NEW YORK STATE THIS MORNING HAS
TRIGGERED A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS HAVE
BEEN RESPONSIBLE FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AS THEY MOVED ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK.  TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH INCLUDED
ROCHESTER, NY WITH 1.06 INCHES AND LOWVILLE, NY WITH 1.05 INCHES.

:
THIS LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIFT EAST-NORTHEAST
TODAY PRODUCING BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES AS IT MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
:
AN INTENSIFYING LOW WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN NEW YORK AFTER MIDNIGHT
AND ACROSS EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
DRAGGING A COLD FRONT SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE REGION.  NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF
THIS STORM WITH LOCALIZED BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF 0.50 TO 1.50
INCHES FROM THE BUFFALO CREEKS TO WESTERN MAINE.  AMOUNTS OF 0.25
TO 0.50 INCHES ARE FORECAST FOR BASINS IN THE COASTAL PLAIN.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
THE RIVERS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND NEW YORK ARE RECEDING THIS
SUNDAY MORNING.  THIS DOWNWARD TREND WILL COME TO AN END TODAY FOR
MUCH OF THE REGION AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH
THE NORTHEAST SUNDAY AND MONDAY WILL LIKELY CAUSE MINOR RISES ON
MANY OF THE RIVERS OVER THE NEXT 48-72 HOURS.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATERWATCH WEBPAGE, 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ARE IN THE NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL RANGE FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR FOR MOST OF THE REGION. DRIER CONDITIONS ARE BEING SEEN IN
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND EXTREME NORTHERN MAINE WHERE
BELOW NORMAL FLOWS ARE BEING REPORTED.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       DAVID VALLEE
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                ALISON MACNEIL






000
AGUS71 KTAR 271347
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
947 AM EDT SUN JUL 27 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH NEW YORK STATE THIS MORNING HAS
TRIGGERED A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS HAVE
BEEN RESPONSIBLE FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AS THEY MOVED ACROSS
WESTERN AND CENTRAL NEW YORK.  TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH INCLUDED
ROCHESTER, NY WITH 1.06 INCHES AND LOWVILLE, NY WITH 1.05 INCHES.

:
THIS LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIFT EAST-NORTHEAST
TODAY PRODUCING BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES AS IT MOVES THROUGH CENTRAL AND
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
:
AN INTENSIFYING LOW WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN NEW YORK AFTER MIDNIGHT
AND ACROSS EASTERN NEW YORK AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY
DRAGGING A COLD FRONT SLOWLY EAST ACROSS THE REGION.  NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF
THIS STORM WITH LOCALIZED BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS OF 0.50 TO 1.50
INCHES FROM THE BUFFALO CREEKS TO WESTERN MAINE.  AMOUNTS OF 0.25
TO 0.50 INCHES ARE FORECAST FOR BASINS IN THE COASTAL PLAIN.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       DAVID VALLEE
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                ALISON MACNEIL






    US Dept of Commerce
    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
    National Weather Service
    1325 East West Highway
    Silver Spring, MD 20910
    Page Author: NWS Internet Services Team
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Credits
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities