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000
AGUS71 KTAR 201557
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1155 AM EDT SAT SEP 20 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLED OVER NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND DURING THE
PAST 24 HOURS LEADING TO DRY AND COOL CONDITIONS.
:
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO PUSH OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST THIS
AFTERNOON. A SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BRING MILD AND
PROGRESSIVELY MORE HUMID CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION.
:
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE GATHERING ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND
SOUTHEASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN WILL LIFT NORTHEAST DURING THE NEXT 24
TO 36 HOURS. A PIECE OF THIS MOISTURE AND ENERGY WILL BRING
SHOWERS TO SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY MORNING.
MEANWHILE A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION
AND BRING SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
AS IT CROSSES NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.
THE COLD FRONT WILL GRADUALLY PUSH OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST ON
MONDAY.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE FORECAST PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS RANGE FROM 0.
25 TO 1.00 INCH ACROSS WESTERN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE
AND NORTHERN AND WESTERN NEW ENGLAND. FORECAST AMOUNTS ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK AND SOUTHERN AND EASTERN NEW ENGLAND
GENERALLY RANGE FROM 0.25 INCH OR LESS.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
RIVER LEVELS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST REGION ARE GENERALLY IN
RECESSION OR HOLDING AT STEADY LEVELS. RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW YORK AND PORTIONS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WILL CAUSE
SOME MINOR RISES ALONG AREA RIVERS.  A COUPLE OF THE SMALLER
RIVERS COULD HAVE A 2 FOOT RISE BUT THE LARGER RIVERS WILL RISE
LESS THAN A FOOT IF AT ALL.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE, 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHEAST REGION ARE RUNNING AT
NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR MID-SEPTEMBER.  HOWEVER
, ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK, RIVER FLOWS
ARE MOSTLY BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                NORM BINGHAM






000
AGUS71 KTAR 191606
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1205 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A COLD FRONT WHICH MOVED ACROSS NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND DURING
THE PAST 24 HOURS BROUGHT SOME WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS TO
NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THIS RESULTED IN BASIN
AVERAGE AMOUNTS FROM NIL TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS. COOL HIGH PRESSURE
WAS BUILDING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST LATE THIS FRIDAY MORNING.
:
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH
SATURDAY. HOWEVER THE HIGH WILL BEGIN TO PUSH OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON ALLOWING FOR WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR TO
BE TRANSPORTED INTO THE REGION VIA SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.
:
LOW PRESSURE FORMING OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST WILL TRACK
NORTHEAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. IN ADDITION A COLD FRONT WILL
ADVANCE FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THESE TWO SYSTEMS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN SEPARATE. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BEGIN TO REACH WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE...MAINE
AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND BY SUNDAY. EVENTUALLY THE COLD
FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE REGION WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO
MONDAY MORNING.
:
48 HOUR BASIN AVERAGE PRECIPITATION TOTALS THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 0.05 TO 0.25 INCH ACROSS
WESTERN AND NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NORTHERN MAINE...0.10 INCH OR
LESS ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST NEW ENGLAND...AND NIL ELSEWHERE.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
RIVER LEVELS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST REGION ARE GENERALLY IN
RECESSION OR HOLDING AT STEADY LEVELS.  THE RAIN THAT FELL IN
NORTHERN MAINE CAUSED A FEW MINOR RISES BUT THEY WERE ALL LESS
THAN 0.5 FT. RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO TREND DOWNWARD THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE, 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHEAST REGION ARE RUNNING AT
NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR MID-SEPTEMBER.  HOWEVER
, ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK, RIVER FLOWS
ARE MOSTLY BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                NORM BINGHAM






000
AGUS71 KTAR 181522
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1121 AM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
A COLD FRONT ENTERED NORTHERN NEW YORK AND NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT
AND THIS SYSTEM BROUGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS TO THESE AREAS. BASIN
AVERAGE PRECIPITATION TOTALS DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS ENDING 8AM
THURSDAY RANGED FROM A TRACE TO 0.20 INCH IN NORTHERN NEW YORK AND
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND WITH NIL AMOUNTS ELSEWHERE. SOME LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 0.40 INCH WERE NOTED ACROSS FAR NORTHERN
MAINE.
:
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE...PRIMARILY ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NORTHERN NEW YORK
AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND TODAY. BASIN AVERAGE AMOUNTS DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM NIL TO 0.05 INCH.
:
COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE SOUTH FROM CANADA LATE TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY AND THIS SYSTEM WILL IS EXPECTED TO BRING DRY CONDITIONS
THE FIRST WIDESPREAD FROST AND FREEZE TO NORTHERN NEW YORK AND
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO DRIFT OFFSHORE
ON SATURDAY ALLOWING FOR A MILDER SOUTHERLY FLOW TO DEVELOP.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
RIVER LEVELS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST REGION ARE GENERALLY IN
RECESSION OR HOLDING AT STEADY LEVELS.  THE RAIN THAT FELL ALONG
THE NORTHERN BOARDER OF THE NERFC DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS CAUSED
LITTLE MORE THAN A FLUCTUATION ALONG AREA RIVERS.
:
ACCORDING TO THE USGS WATER WATCH WEBPAGE, 7-DAY AVERAGE
STREAMFLOWS ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHEAST REGION ARE RUNNING AT
NORMAL TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS FOR MID-SEPTEMBER.  HOWEVER
, ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK, RIVER FLOWS
ARE MOSTLY BELOW TO WELL BELOW NORMAL.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES
DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:       NEAL STRAUSS
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                NORM BINGHAM






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