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000
AGUS71 KTAR 171608
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1207 PM EDT THU APR 17 2014

*** WIDESPREAD FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ***
*** FLOODWATERS BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE IN NORTHERN NEW YORK ***
*** NO BIG RAINS ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE WEEKEND ***

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
15Z ( 11 AM EDT ) SURFACE AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW A STRONG COLD
ARCTIC HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM CENTERED ACROSS CENTRAL MAINE. THIS
HIGH IS SUPPLYING MOSTLY CLEAR AND COLD WEATHER FOR APRIL TO THE
SEVEN STATE REGION OF NEW ENGLAND AND NEW YORK STATE. THE ONE
EXCEPTION TO THIS RULE IS FOUND ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND
WHERE THE CLOCKWISE FLOW AROUND THE HIGH IS PUSHING LOW CLOUDINESS
INTO COASTAL LOCATIONS. THAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR MOST OF
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
:
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR RAINSHOWERS WILL COME ACROSS INTERIOR NEW YORK
STATE AND CENTRAL/NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND FROM LATE FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE SWINGING EASTWARD FROM
THE GREAT LAKES. RIGHT NOW...PRECIPITATION WITH THIS SYSTEM LOOKS
LIGHT WITH BASIN AVERAGE RAINFALL GENERALLY NEAR OR UNDER 0.10
INCHES EXCEPT ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE WHERE BASIN AVERAGES ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 0.10 - 0.25 INCH RANGE. THERE MAY BE SOME
SNOW ACROSS THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS IN NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AND ALSO ACROSS NORTHERN MAINE BUT ANY
ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE MINOR.
:
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL LOOKS LIKE IT WILL
NOT COME UNTIL AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AND EVEN THAT IS
FAR FROM CERTAIN AT THIS TIME. THAT IS GOOD NEWS IN THAT THE
MAINLY DRY WEATHER WILL ALLOW MANY OF THE RIVERS IN FLOOD TO
CONTINUE THEIR RECESSION OVER THE NEXT 5 DAYS OR SO.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
WIDESPREAD RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES TODAY ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN
NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND, AS WELL AS THE MAINSTEM
CONNECTICUT RIVER.
:
MAJOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING ON THE SCHROON RIVER AT RIVERBANK NY,
AND THIS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING ON THE LOWER BLACK RIVER AT
WATERTOWN, NY...AND THE MATTAWAMKEAG RIVER AT MATTAWAMKEAG, ME.
THIS IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH LATE FRIDAY.  MODERATE
FLOODING IS FORECAST ON THE LOWER CONNECTICUT RIVER AT MIDDLE
HADDAM, CT BEGINNING EARLY FRIDAY AND LASTING THROUGH MUCH OF THE
WEEKEND.
:
WITH NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION FORECAST OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS,
RIVER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO RECEDE BACK TOWARD MORE NORMAL
LEVELS AT MOST LOCATIONS, THOUGH MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING WILL
STILL BE OCCURRING ON THE SCHROON RIVER, THE MATTAWAMKEAG RIVER,
AND THE LOWER END OF THE MAINSTEM CONNECTICUT RIVER THROUGH THE
COMING WEEKEND.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC SHOWS SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS
OCCURRING ON THE SCHROON RIVER AT RIVERBANK, NY...THE BLACK RIVER
AT WATERTOWN, NY...AND THE MATTAWAMKEAG RIVER AT MATTAWAMKEAG, ME.
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
ON THE SCHROON RIVER, BUT SHOULD HAVE SUBSIDED BACK TO MINOR FLOOD
LEVELS ON THE BLACK AND MATTAWAMKEAG RIVERS BY LATE FRIDAY.
:
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS LIKELY ON THE LOWER CONNECTICUT RIVER AT
MIDDLE HADDAM, CT BEGINNING FRIDAY AND LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND
.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://W2.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:        RON HORWOOD
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                 JEANE WALLACE






000
AGUS71 KTAR 161641
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1237 PM EDT WED APR 16 2014

*** WIDESPREAD FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ***
*** WIDESPREAD FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK ***
*** QUIETER WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ***

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
THE STRONG STORM SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT HEAVY RAINFALL TO MUCH OF
EASTERN NEW YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND
ACCUMULATING SNOW ON THE BACK END HAS PUSHED EAST OF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST NOW. THE LAST OF THE SNOW IS EXITING FAR DOWNEAST
MAINE AND OTHERWISE...SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOWSHOWERS SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO AND SOME LIGHT SNOWSHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND WILL END BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND WE EXPECT
FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER INTO FRIDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
WILL COME LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS NEW YORK STATE AND
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS DO NOT LOOK IMPRESSIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM RIGHT NOW
.
:
AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRED ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW
YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND DURING THE PAST 24-HOUR PERIOD ENDING
AT 8 AM EDT THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
OCCURRED FROM SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF NEW YORK STATE EAST INTO
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WHERE BASIN AVERAGE MELTED EQUIVALENT
PRECIPITATION WAS ON THE ORDER OF 1.00 - 2.00 INCHES. PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN VERMONT...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE INTO CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST MAINE ALSO REPORTED BASIN AVERAGE MELTED EQUIVALENTS OF 1
.00 - 1.75 INCHES. THE FOLLOWING IS A TOP 10 LIST FOR MELTED
EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FOR THE PAST 24-HOUR PERIOD
ENDING AT 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING:
:
STATE             LOCATION               PRECIPITATION IN INCHES
:
VERMONT           JEFFERSONVILLE                  2.40
RHODE ISLAND      WEST GLOCESTER COCORAHS         2.36
NEW HAMPSHIRE     MOUNT WASHINGTON                2.27
CONNECTICUT       EAST KILLINGLY COCORAHS         2.26
CONNECTICUT       NORWICH                         2.26
MASSACHUSETTS     MIDDLEBORO                      2.15
MASSACHUSETTS     MIDDLEBOROUGH COCORAHS          2.10
RHODE ISLAND      CRANSTON COCORAHS               2.08
RHODE ISLAND      EAST GREENWICH COCORAHS         2.06
NEW HAMPSHIRE     PINKHAM NOTCH                   2.02
VERMONT           SALISBURY COCORAHS              2.02
:
:
MOST AREAS SAW THE RAIN CHANGE TO ACCUMULATING SNOW BEFORE ENDING.
3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW WAS COMMON FOR THE GREEN MOUNTAINS IN
NORTHERN VERMONT...THE WHITE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
AND THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MAINE. THE FOLLOWING IS A TOP 10 LIST
OF SNOWFALL AMOUNTS REPORTED INTO THE NERFC FOR THE PAST 24-HOUR
PERIOD ENDING AT 8 AM EDT THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING:
:
STATE             LOCATION              SNOWFALL IN INCHES
:
VERMONT           SALISBURY COCORAHS            5.4
NEW HAMPSHIRE     PITTSBURG COCORAHS            5.0
VERMONT           LINCOLN COCORAHS              4.6
VERMONT           HYDE PARK COCORAHS            4.5
VERMONT           FAIRFAX                       4.1
NEW YORK          LAKE PLACID COCORAHS          4.0
NEW HAMPSHIRE     RANDOLPH COCORAHS             4.0
MAINE             RANGELEY                      4.0
NEW YORK          EAST JEWITT                   3.7
MAINE             RANGELEY #2                   3.5
VERMONT           WESTFIELD COCORAHS            3.5
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
SNOWMELT COMBINED WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL PRODUCED
SIGNIFICANT RIVER RISES ACROSS THE REGION OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS,
WITH MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING NOW OCCURRING FROM NORTHERN NEW
YORK STATE THROUGH NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND, AS WELL AS THE LOWER
MAINSTEM CONNECTICUT RIVER IN CONNECTICUT. MAJOR FLOODING IS
OCCURRING ON THE SCHROON RIVER AT RIVERBANK, NY.
:
THE MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING ON THE LOWER BLACK RIVER, THE
UPPER MOHAWK RIVER AND THE UPPER HUDSON RIVER IN NEW YORK STATE...
THE MISSISQUOI, WINOOSKI, LAMOILLE AND PASSUMPSIC RIVERS IN
VERMONT...AND THE AROOSTOOK RIVER IN NORTHERN MAINE.
:
THE LACK OF SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WILL
ALLOW RIVER LEVELS TO RECEDE BACK OUT OF FLOOD LEVELS AT MOST
LOCATIONS, THOUGH MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING WILL STILL BE
OCCURRING ON THE LOWER END OF THE MAINSTEM CONNECTICUT RIVER THIS
COMING WEEKEND.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC SHOWS SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS
OCCURRING IN THE BLACK RIVER BASIN OF NEW YORK STATE, THE UPPER
HUDSON RIVER BASIN, THE UPPER MOHAWK RIVER BASIN, SEVERAL
TRIBUTARIES TO LAKE CHAMPLAIN IN VERMONT, THE PASSUMPSIC RIVER IN
VERMONT, AND THE AROOSTOOK RIVER IN MAINE. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS
LIKELY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS ON THE LOWER CONNECTICUT RIVER AT
MIDDLE HADDAM, CT...AND THE MATTAWAMKEAG RIVER AT MATTAWAMKEAG, ME
.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://W2.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:        RON HORWOOD
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                 JEANE WALLACE






000
AGUS71 KTAR 161505
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1102 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

*** WIDESPREAD FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ***
*** WIDESPREAD FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK ***
*** QUIETER WEATHER EXPECTED NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ***

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
THE STRONG STORM SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT HEAVY RAINFALL TO MUCH OF
EASTERN NEW YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS AND
ACCUMULATING SNOW ON THE BACK END HAS PUSHED EAST OF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST NOW. THE LAST OF THE SNOW IS EXITING FAR DOWNEAST
MAINE AND OTHERWISE...SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOWSHOWERS SOUTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO AND SOME LIGHT SNOWSHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN
NEW ENGLAND WILL END BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND WE EXPECT
FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER INTO FRIDAY. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
WILL COME LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS NEW YORK STATE AND
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS DO NOT LOOK IMPRESSIVE WITH THIS SYSTEM RIGHT NOW
.
:
AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL OCCURRED ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NEW
YORK STATE AND NEW ENGLAND DURING THE PAST 24-HOUR PERIOD ENDING
AT 8 AM EDT THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
OCCURRED FROM SOUTHEAST SECTIONS OF NEW YORK STATE EAST INTO
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WHERE BASIN AVERAGE MELTED EQUIVALENT
PRECIPITATION WAS ON THE ORDER OF 1.00 - 2.00 INCHES. PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN VERMONT...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE INTO CENTRAL AND
DOWNEAST MAINE ALSO REPORTED BASIN AVERAGE MELTED EQUIVALENTS OF 1
.00 - 1.75 INCHES. THE FOLLOWING IS A TOP 10 LIST FOR MELTED
EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FOR THE PAST 24-HOUR PERIOD
ENDING AT 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING:
:
STATE             LOCATION               PRECIPITATION IN INCHES
:
VERMONT           JEFFERSONVILLE                  2.40
RHODE ISLAND      WEST GLOCESTER COCORAHS         2.36
NEW HAMPSHIRE     MOUNT WASHINGTON                2.27
CONNECTICUT       EAST KILLINGLY COCORAHS         2.26
CONNECTICUT       NORWICH                         2.26
MASSACHUSETTS     MIDDLEBORO                      2.15
MASSACHUSETTS     MIDDLEBOROUGH COCORAHS          2.10
RHODE ISLAND      CRANSTON COCORAHS               2.08
RHODE ISLAND      EAST GREENWICH COCORAHS         2.06
NEW HAMPSHIRE     PINKHAM NOTCH                   2.02
VERMONT           SALISBURY COCORAHS              2.02
:
:
MOST AREAS SAW THE RAIN CHANGE TO ACCUMULATING SNOW BEFORE ENDING.
3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW WAS COMMON FOR THE GREEN MOUNTAINS IN
NORTHERN VERMONT...THE WHITE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE
AND THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MAINE. THE FOLLOWING IS A TOP 10 LIST
OF SNOWFALL AMOUNTS REPORTED INTO THE NERFC FOR THE PAST 24-HOUR
PERIOD ENDING AT 8 AM EDT THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING:
:
STATE             LOCATION              SNOWFALL IN INCHES
:
VERMONT           SALISBURY COCORAHS            5.4
NEW HAMPSHIRE     PITTSBURG COCORAHS            5.0
VERMONT           LINCOLN COCORAHS              4.6
VERMONT           HYDE PARK COCORAHS            4.5
VERMONT           FAIRFAX                       4.1
NEW YORK          LAKE PLACID COCORAHS          4.0
NEW HAMPSHIRE     RANDOLPH COCORAHS             4.0
MAINE             RANGELEY                      4.0
NEW YORK          EAST JEWITT                   3.7
MAINE             RANGELEY #2                   3.5
VERMONT           WESTFIELD COCORAHS            3.5
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:        RON HORWOOD
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                 JEANE WALLACE






000
AGUS71 KTAR 151636
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1235 PM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

*** HEAVY RAIN AND SNOWMELT TODAY ACROSS NRN NEW YORK STATE  ***
*** HEAVY RAIN/SNOWMELT TODAY-TONIGHT ACROSS NRN NEW ENGLAND  ***
***        WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST  ***
***          UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT 1-3 DAYS ***

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
14Z ( 10 AM EDT ) SURFACE AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW A STRONG COLD
FRONT STRETCHING FROM JUST EAST OF MASSENA NEW YORK SOUTH TO JUST
WEST OF BINGHAMTON. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS
ARE PUSHING ANOMALOUSLY HIGH DEWPOINTS NORTH INTO NEW ENGLAND AND
EASTERN NEW YORK STATE WHICH IS HELPING TO ACCELERATE SNOWMELT
ACROSS THE ADIRONDACK MOUNTAINS IN NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND THE
MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. BEHIND THE FRONT...
TEMPERATURES DROP SHARPLY INTO THE 30S WITH SNOW FALLING ACROSS
WESTERN NEW YORK STATE.
:
AS THE FRONT WORKS ITS WAY EAST ACROSS NEW YORK STATE TODAY AND
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT...A VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET
APPROACHING 80 KNOTS...STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE...UPPER LEVEL
JET DIVERGENCE AND PRECIPITABLE WATERS OF 1.00 - 1.50 INCHES
SHOULD COMBINE TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM EASTERN NEW
YORK STATE INTO NEW ENGLAND. BASIN AVERAGE MELTED EQUIVALENT
PRECIPITATION OF 1.50 - 2.00 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN THE CATSKILL
AND ADIRONDACK MOUNTAIN RANGES IN NEW YORK STATE WITH EVEN HIGHER
AMOUNTS ON THE ORDER OF 2.00 - 2.50 INCHES FORECAST FROM
CONNECTICUT NORTHEAST INTO THE FOOTHILLS OF THE WHITE MOUNTAINS IN
NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN MAINE MOUNTAINS.
:
THE RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS MOST OF INTERIOR NEW YORK
STATE AND CENTRAL/NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BEFORE ENDING WITH SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. THE STORM IS A QUICK
MOVER AND SHOULD BE EXITING EASTERN NEW ENGLAND BY LATE WEDNESDAY
MORNING. MUCH MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.

:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
VERY WARM TEMPERATURES OVER THE PAST 24 TO 48 HOURS AND THE
ACCOMPANYING SNOWMELT COMBINED WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL
TODAY IS PRODUCING SIGNIFICANT RISES ACROSS THE REGION, WITH MINOR
TO MODERATE FLOODING FORECAST FOR MANY LOCATIONS FROM
NORTHEASTERN NEW YORK STATE THROUGH CENTRAL AND NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND, AS WELL AS THE LOWER MAINSTEM CONNECTICUT RIVER.
:
THE MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST FOR PORTIONS OF THE BLACK AND
MOHAWK RIVER BASINS IN NEW YORK STATE, THE UPPER HUDSON RIVER IN
NEW YORK STATE, SEVERAL OF THE TRIBUTARIES TO LAKE CHAMPLAIN
INCLUDING THE WINOOSKI RIVER, A FEW POINTS ALONG THE MAINSTEM
CONNECTICUT RIVER FROM WEST LEBANON, NH DOWN TO MIDDLE HADDAM, CT,
AND A COUPLE LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN MAINE.
:
COOLER, DRIER AIR WILL BE MOVING INTO THE REGION FOR THE LATTER
HALF OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW RIVER LEVELS TO BEGIN TO RECEDE
AS SNOWMELT RUNOFF WILL DECREASE.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC SHOWS THE POSSIBILITY OF
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN NEW YORK AND NEW
ENGLAND WITH THE EXCEPTION OF EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS/RHODE ISLAND.

:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://W2.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:        RON HORWOOD
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                 JEANE WALLACE






000
AGUS71 KTAR 151449
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1046 AM EDT TUE APR 15 2014

*** HEAVY RAIN AND SNOWMELT TODAY ACROSS NRN NEW YORK STATE  ***
*** HEAVY RAIN/SNOWMELT TODAY-TONIGHT ACROSS NRN NEW ENGLAND  ***
***        WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST  ***
***          UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT 1-3 DAYS ***

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
14Z ( 10 AM EDT ) SURFACE AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS SHOW A STRONG COLD
FRONT STRETCHING FROM JUST EAST OF MASSENA NEW YORK SOUTH TO JUST
WEST OF BINGHAMTON. AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS
ARE PUSHING ANOMALOUSLY HIGH DEWPOINTS NORTH INTO NEW ENGLAND AND
EASTERN NEW YORK STATE WHICH IS HELPING TO ACCELERATE SNOWMELT
ACROSS THE ADIRONDACK MOUNTAINS IN NORTHERN NEW YORK STATE AND THE
MOUNTAINS OF NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND. BEHIND THE FRONT...
TEMPERATURES DROP SHARPLY INTO THE 30S WITH SNOW FALLING ACROSS
WESTERN NEW YORK STATE.
:
AS THE FRONT WORKS ITS WAY EAST ACROSS NEW YORK STATE TODAY AND
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT...A VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET
APPROACHING 80 KNOTS...STRONG LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE...UPPER LEVEL
JET DIVERGENCE AND PRECIPITABLE WATERS OF 1.00 - 1.50 INCHES
SHOULD COMBINE TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL FROM EASTERN NEW
YORK STATE INTO NEW ENGLAND. BASIN AVERAGE MELTED EQUIVALENT
PRECIPITATION OF 1.50 - 2.00 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN THE CATSKILL
AND ADIRONDACK MOUNTAIN RANGES IN NEW YORK STATE WITH EVEN HIGHER
AMOUNTS ON THE ORDER OF 2.00 - 2.50 INCHES FORECAST FROM
CONNECTICUT NORTHEAST INTO THE FOOTHILLS OF THE WHITE MOUNTAINS IN
NEW HAMPSHIRE AND WESTERN MAINE MOUNTAINS.
:
THE RAIN WILL CHANGE TO SNOW ACROSS MOST OF INTERIOR NEW YORK
STATE AND CENTRAL/NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BEFORE ENDING WITH SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS. THE STORM IS A QUICK
MOVER AND SHOULD BE EXITING EASTERN NEW ENGLAND BY LATE WEDNESDAY
MORNING. MUCH MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.

:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:        RON HORWOOD
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                 JEANE WALLACE






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