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000
AGUS71 KTAR 251711
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
105 PM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED JUST EAST OF BOSTON SATURDAY MORNING AND
WAS DRIFTING EVER SO SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST.  THE LOW WAS
UNUSUALLY STRONG FOR LATE MAY AND EXTENDED FAR UP INTO THE
ATMOSPHERE.  RAIN...AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW WAS SPIRALING AROUND
THE SYSTEM WITH SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION VERY HEAVY.  SOME OF THE
HEAVIEST RAIN WAS FALLING OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS AND PARTS OF
THE HUDSON VALLEY.
:
AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTHWEST AREAS OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.  DURING SUNDAY THE LOW
WILL ACCELERATE TO NORTHEAST AND WE WILL SEE THE PRECIPITATION
BECOME LIGHTER...MORE SCATTERED AND FINALLY DURING SUNDAY NIGHT.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THE HOLIDAY WITH DRY WEATHER
AND MILDER TEMPERATURES.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
THE WET WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUED TO BRING RAIN TO NEW ENGLAND AND
EASTERN NEW YORK FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY AMOUNTS OF
AN INCH OR MORE WERE REPORTED IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND...
EASTERN MAINE...AND FROM THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MAINE ACROSS
NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND VERMONT INTO EASTERN NEW YORK.
:
THE CONTINUED RAINFALL WILL CAUSE SEVERAL RIVERS TO RISE TO OR
ABOVE ACTION STAGE...WITH A FEW POINTS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE
MINOR FLOOD STAGE THIS WEEKEND. THE EAST BRANCH OF THE AUSABLE
RIVER AT AUSABLE FORKS, NY ROSE TO FLOOD STAGE SATURDAY MORNING.
IT HAD CRESTED AND WAS FALLING...BUT COULD GO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. OTHER POINTS FORECAST TO
CREST NEAR OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE IN THE LAKE CHAMPLAIN DRAINAGE
BASIN THIS WEEKEND INCLUDE: THE WINOOSKI RIVER AT ESSEX JUNCTION..
.THE MISSISQUOI RIVER AT NORTH TROY AND EAST BERKSHIRE, VT...
OTTER CREEK AT CENTER RUTLAND, VT...AND THE LAMOILLE RIVER AT
JOHNSON AND EAST GEORGIA, VT IN THE CONNECTICUT RIVER BASIN
...THE CONNECTICUT RIVER AT NORTH STRATFORD...DALTON...AND WEST
LEBANON, NH AND WELLS RIVER, VT ARE FORECAST TO CREST NEAR OR
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. IN THE MERRIMACK RIVER BASIN...THE PEMIGEWASSET
RIVER AT WOODSTOCK AND PLYMOUTH, NH WILL CREST NEAR OR ABOVE
FLOOD STAGE. IN MAINE...THE KENNEBEC RIVER AT SKOWHEGAN...NORTH
SIDNEY...AND AUGUSTA, ME AS WELL AS THE SWIFT RIVER AT ROXBURY, ME
WILL ALL CREST NEAR OR ABOVE ACTION STAGE.
:
SEVERAL OTHER TRIBUTARIES THAT ARE NOT NERFC FORECAST POINTS COULD
ALSO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG AREA
RIVERS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES NO SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY FOR THE RIVERS IN NEW ENGLAND AND NEW
YORK FOR THE NEXT FIVE DAYS. MINOR RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY IN
NORTHERN NEW YORK...NORTHERN VERMONT..NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW
HAMPSHIRE...AND WESTERN MAINE THIS WEEKEND.
:
THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP.SHTML
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:          STEVE NOGUEIRA
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                   JEFF OUELLET


000
AGUS71 KTAR 251318
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
918 AM EDT SAT MAY 25 2013

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED JUST EAST OF BOSTON SATURDAY MORNING AND
WAS DRIFTING EVER SO SLOWLY TO THE NORTHWEST.  THE LOW WAS
UNUSUALLY STRONG FOR LATE MAY AND EXTENDED FAR UP INTO THE
ATMOSPHERE.  RAIN...AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW WAS SPIRALING AROUND
THE SYSTEM WITH SOME OF PRECIPITATION VERY HEAVY.  SOME OF THE
HEAVIEST RAIN WAS FALLING OVER THE WHITE MOUNTAINS AND PARTS OF
THE HUDSON VALLEY.
:
AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS SLOWLY NORTHWEST AREAS OF RAIN AND MOUNTAIN
SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.  DURING SUNDAY THE LOW
WILL ACCELERATE TO NORTHEAST AND WE WILL SEE THE PRECIPITATION
BECOME LIGHTER...MORE SCATTERED AND FINALLY DURING SUNDAY NIGHT.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THE HOLIDAY WITH DRY WEATHER
AND MILDER TEMPERATURES.
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:          STEVE NOGUEIRA
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                   JEFF OUELLET


000
AGUS71 KTAR 241655
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1255 PM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED NEARLY OVER PORTLAND MAINE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN WAS CONTINUING TO
FALL OVER FAR EASTERN MAINE.  AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS
NORTHEASTWARD THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN END OVER
THESE LOCATIONS.  OVER THE REST OF THE REGION COLDER AIR WAS
BEING USHERED IN ON NORTHWEST WINDS. SHOWERS WERE STILL WIDESPREAD
...AND THERE WERE EVEN REPORTS OF SNOW AND SLEET MIXING IN WITH
THE RAIN OVER PARTS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.
:
DURING THE AFTERNOON THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT HAS
BROUGHT THE MUCH NEEDED RAIN TO THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY.  AS IT DOES SO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
OVER MUCH OF THE REGION RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY
OVER EASTERN SECTIONS. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS
SYSTEM WITH SNOW EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ESPECIALLY
THE ADIRONDACKS...THE NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN WHITE
MOUNTAINS.  WHILE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TOTAL BETWEEN ONE
AND TWO INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS IT IS EXPECTED TO BE SPREAD OUT
OVER 36 TO 48 HOURS.  FINALLY AS WE HEAD TO THE HOLIDAY THE STORM
SYSTEM WILL HAVE PULLED NORTHEAST WITH DRIER AIR WORKING INTO THE
NORTHEAST.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOPED AND MOVED ACROSS THE REGION THURSSDAY
AND THURSSDAY NIGHT PRODUCED LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IN PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AN INCH OR
MORE OCCURRED IN BANDS ACROSS NEW ENGLAND AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.
THE HIGHEST RAINFALL TOTALS RANGED TO OVER THREE INCHES...WITH THE
HIGHEST TOTALS FALLING IN NORTHERN VERMONT AND IN THE BAND FROM
SOUTHEASTERN NEW YORK TO SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE.
:
THE HOUSATONIC RIVER AT STEVENSON DAM ROSE JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE
THURSDAY NIGHT. THE MISSISQUOI RIVER AT NORTH TROY, VT WILL CREST
NEAR FLOOD STAGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SEVERAL OTHER FORECAST POINTS
IN NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND ARE FORECAST TO CREST NEAR OR ABOVE ACTION
STAGE THIS WEEKEND. PERSONS WITH INTERESTS ALONG AREA RIVERS
SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
:
:
THE RISES SEEN ON AREA RIVERS HAVE RETURNED FLOWS TO NEAR OR ABOVE
SEASONAL NORMAL LEVELS ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHEASTERN
UNITED STATES. FLOWS IN THE LAKE CHAMPLAIN DRAINAGE AREA...HUDSON
RIVER BASIN...HOUSATONIC RIVER BASIN...AND CONNECTICUT RIVER BASIN
ARE MUCH ABOVE NORMAL FOR LATE MAY.COMPARISONS OF CURRENT TO
HISTORICAL STREAMFLOW LEVELS CAN BE FOUND AT HTTP://WATERWATCH.
USGS.GOV.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES NO SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY FOR THE RIVERS IN NEW ENGLAND AND NEW
YORK FOR THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.  THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS
AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP.SHTML
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:          STEVE NOGUEIRA
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                   JEFF OUELLET


000
AGUS71 KTAR 241421
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1021 AM EDT FRI MAY 24 2013

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
LOW PRESSURE WAS LOCATED NEARLY OVER PORTLAND MAINE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING. MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY HEAVY RAIN WAS CONTINUING TO
FALL OVER FAR EASTERN MAINE.  AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKS
NORTHEASTWARD THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN END OVER
THESE LOCATIONS.  OVER THE REST OF THE REGION COLDER AIR WAS
BEING USHERED IN ON NORTHWEST WINDS. SHOWERS WERE STILL WIDESPREAD
...AND THERE WERE EVEN REPORTS OF SNOW AND SLEET MIXING IN WITH
THE RAIN OVER PARTS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.
:
DURING THE AFTERNOON THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT HAS
BROUGH THE MUCH NEEDED RAIN TO THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY.  AS IT DOES SO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
OVER MUCH OF THE REGION RIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY
OVER EASTERN SECTIONS. MUCH COLDER AIR WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS
SYSTEM WITH SNOW EXPECTED OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ESPECIALLY
THE ADIRONDACKS...THE NORTHERN GREEN MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN WHITE
MOUNTAINS.  WHILE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO TOTAL BETWEEN ONE
AND TWO INCHES IN SOME LOCATIONS IT IS EXPECTED TO BE SPREAD OUT
OVER 36 TO 48 HOURS.  FINALLY AS WE HEAD TO THE HOLIDAY THE STORM
SYSTEM WILL HAVE PULLED NORTHEAST WITH DRIER AIR WORKING INTO THE
NORTHEAST.
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:          STEVE NOGUEIRA
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                   JEFF OUELLET


000
AGUS71 KTAR 231612
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1211 PM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WAS STILL DRAPED
ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS.  DURING THE DAY
TODAY THIS FRONT WILL GRADUALLY ERODE OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ALLOWING FOR WARM AND HUMID AIR TO RETURN.  SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS ESPECIALLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON.  DURING THE SAME TIME A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST AS STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALSO
APPROACHES.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD
AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW YORK.  THE FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED RAIN WILL SLOWLY SPREAD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND DURING
TONIGHT AND THEN OFF THE COAST BY LATER IN THE DAY FRIDAY.
:
LOOKING TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...IT APPEARS AS THOUGH MUCH OF THE
EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE NERFC SERVICE AREA WILL BE COOL AND WET
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE REGION AND TRACKS
SLOWLY NORTH.  IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF VERMONT AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE THERE COULD WELL BE A LATE MAY SNOWFALL.
:
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:
:
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOPED AND MOVED ACROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT PRODUCED LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IN PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES. RIVER RISES OF UP TO TWO FEET WERE
OBSERVED IN THE AREAS WHERE THE HEAVIEST RAIN FELL.
:
THE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE REGION WILL PRODUCE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. SOME OF THE
STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. RIVER FLOODING IS NOT
CURRENTLY FORECAST...BUT RISES TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE COULD BE
OBSERVED IN AREAS THAT RECEIVE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
:
THE RISES SEEN ON AREA RIVERS HAVE RETURNED FLOWS TO NEAR SEASONAL
NORMAL LEVELS ACROSS CENTRAL NEW YORK AND NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
FLOWS IN NORTHWESTERN AND SOUTHERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
...AND EXTREME NORTHERN MAINE ARE STILL BELOW TO MUCH BELOW
SEASONAL NORMAL LEVELS. COMPARISONS OF CURRENT TO HISTORICAL
STREAMFLOW LEVELS CAN BE FOUND AT HTTP://WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV.
:
FLOOD OUTLOOK DISCUSSION:
:
THE NERFC FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK GRAPHIC INDICATES NO SIGNIFICANT
RIVER FLOODING IS LIKELY FOR THE RIVERS IN NEW ENGLAND AND NEW
YORK FOR THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.  THE FLOOD OUTLOOK GRAPHIC IS
AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT:
:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/NERFC/FOP.SHTML
:
ADDITIONAL WATER AND WEATHER RELATED INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND ON
THE NWS/NERFC HOME PAGE AT http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/nerfc
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:          STEVE NOGUEIRA
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                   JEFF OUELLET


000
AGUS71 KTAR 231425
HMDTAR
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON...MA
1025 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013

HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:
:
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT WAS STILL DRAPPED
ACROSS EASTERN NEW ENGLAND EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS.  DURING THE DAY
TODAY THIS FRONT WILL GRADUALLY ERODE OVER SOUTHERN SECTIONS
ALLOWING FOR WARM AND HUMID AIR TO RETURN.  SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS ESPECIALLY DURING
THE AFTERNOON.  DURING THE SAME TIME A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT
WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST AS STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ALSO
APPROACHES.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME WIDESPREAD
AHEAD OF THE FRONT IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEW YORK.  THE FRONT AND
ASSOCIATED RAIN WILL SLOWLY SPREAD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND DURING
TONIGHT AND THEN OFF THE COAST BY LATER IN THE DAY FRIDAY.
:
LOOKING TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND...IT APPEARS AS THOUGH MUCH OF THE
EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF THE NERFC SERVICE AREA WILL BE COOL AND WET
AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOP SOUTH OF THE REGION AND TRACKS
SLOWLY NORTH.  IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF VERMONT AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE THERE COULD WELL BE A LATE MAY SNOWFALL.
:
$$
:
HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION:          STEVE NOGUEIRA
HYDROLOGIC DISCUSSION:                   JEFF OUELLET


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